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Prospectus Hit List for July 18



by Matt Sussman

Hit List for July 15 Hit List for July 22
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.

Hey now, it's a hit list.

RkTmWLW1W2W3HLFAHLFWin Div% Win WC%Playoff%1-Day7-Day
1

49

42

48.5

50.0

49.7

.540

.535

7.7%

43.1%

50.8%

6.1%

4.5%

It's for the best that Jacob deGrom threw a one-hitter instead of a no-hitter. The last Met that did that was eventually lost at sea.
2

52

42

53.5

59.2

58.8

.583

.578

38.2%

43.1%

81.3%

-2.7%

-1.8%

For $500 you can hire Vin Scully for a day to narrate you walking down the street catching Pokémon Go. You'll be surprised at your Rattata's superstitions.
3

52

42

54.7

55.9

56.1

.555

.560

31.6%

38.3%

69.9%

5.2%

-4.9%

Pretty weird how Kevin Pillar, Justin Smoak and Junior Lake bat at the bottom of the lineup, when the top Canadian mystery film of all time is undoubtedly Pillar Smoak Lake.
4

53

37

49.0

46.7

46.5

.507

.512

24.4%

35.3%

59.7%

-6.7%

6.6%

Looking back it was a great move by Zach Britton to vote in favor of secession from allowing earned runs.
5

51

39

51.5

54.6

54.8

.555

.560

42.5%

33.2%

75.8%

-4.1%

5.7%

Good to see ESPN gave some coverage to David Ortiz's 18th to last game playing in Yankee Stadium. For the next 17 Sundays, I have plans washing my hair.
6

47

44

54.6

57.2

56.8

.554

.549

3.8%

32.5%

36.3%

-6.7%

-2.6%

Adam Wainwright threw a complete game shutout on Saturday, striking out five. He also struck out four times at the plate. So is that one strikeout or nine?
7

57

36

53.7

53.4

52.7

.549

.544

61.7%

29.3%

91.0%

-2.2%

-4.1%

On Saturday the Giants lost on a balk for the first time since they ultimately decided not to re-sign Tim Lincecum.
8

50

42

50.3

48.6

47.5

.541

.546

25.8%

27.2%

53.0%

4.1%

5.9%

Jose Altuve hit his 51st career home run which, as a 5'6" player, converts to 763 major league home runs. Sorry, Bonds, give up the crown.
9

49

42

45.5

47.4

47.5

.501

.496

3.3%

25.5%

28.8%

3.6%

4.1%

Ichiro recorded his 2992nd base hit via pinch hit. But that's just his 31st pinch hit, tied all time with Xavier Nady.
10

47

44

45.3

46.7

46.5

.506

.511

4.2%

17.6%

21.9%

3.4%

1.4%

Player A: 18 home runs, .861 OPS, 34 years old
Player B: 18 home runs, .866 OPS, 33 years old
Player A is Ian Kinsler. Player B is Miguel Cabrera.
11

55

38

47.6

43.4

44.2

.501

.506

65.4%

15.8%

81.2%

4.9%

-0.7%

Extension talks with Rougned Odor are not going well. By the way, if you need to save some characters in your tweets, instead of "Odor extension," just say "linger."
12

47

45

45.8

43.5

45.0

.496

.491

1.1%

13.2%

14.4%

3.1%

-1.2%

Prior to yesterday's game, the only time the Pirates won anything in the 18th was not the inning, but the century.
13

46

45

49.8

48.4

47.8

.525

.530

8.8%

12.6%

21.4%

-5.3%

-5.8%

The fact that Tom Wilhelmsen has a sub-3.00 ERA in Seattle and an ERA over 10 in Texas means either caffeine gives him super strength or he's allergic to brisket.
14

56

37

59.1

61.5

60.7

.596

.591

89.0%

8.7%

97.7%

-0.6%

0.6%

Where would the Nationals be without Tanner Roark and Daniel Murphy? Other than, of course, Montreal.
15

45

46

42.5

41.7

41.7

.493

.498

1.6%

6.2%

7.8%

-1.5%

-5.8%

The White Sox are activating Justin Morneau at exactly the right time, because the second half is here and they completely ran out of veteran scapegoats.
16

46

45

42.6

42.2

43.2

.465

.470

1.1%

5.5%

6.6%

-2.2%

-2.3%

Once Kendrys Morales retires, hopefully he starts a baseball blog called Morales' Analysis.
17

45

46

41.6

43.5

43.7

.494

.499

1.4%

4.3%

5.8%

1.3%

-1.8%

The Yankees won't trade any of their veterans for prospects, unless that prospect is Some Of Don Mattingly's Prime Years Back, because when you have the opportunity to alter the time/space dimension at the deadline and unload payroll, you do it.
18

55

36

60.4

64.4

62.7

.619

.614

95.1%

3.7%

98.7%

-0.3%

0.4%

The 2016 Cubs won their first series since late June. This 2016 Cubs comment brought to you by the 2013 Cubs. The 2013 Cubs: The White Hot Fire Of Losing Purifies Everything.™
19

54

37

54.6

54.5

53.2

.577

.582

93.1%

3.5%

96.7%

0.8%

1.5%

Just as the scrolls predicted, Josh Tomlin has 10 wins and Corey Kluber doesn't. The scrolls, by the way, have an uncanny resemblance to Josh Tomlin's handwriting.
20

42

49

45.0

45.9

45.3

.474

.469

0.1%

0.5%

0.6%

-0.2%

0.0%

The Rockies pitchers stunning gave up just six runs in a three-game series on the road. Do not look up which team from the state of Georgia they played, just give them the compliment and move on.
21

41

51

41.7

37.9

38.3

.445

.440

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

0.1%

0.1%

Sure, the Padres swept the Giants, but does it really matter in the grand scheme of things, given that last week in their own stadium the Padres lost World Series home field advantage?
22

40

52

45.5

40.9

40.8

.456

.461

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

0.0%

0.1%

Okay, no more jokes about Jered Weaver's slow fastball. It got the job done yesterday against the White Sox. Granted, those were all initally thrown in his previous start, but still.
23

43

50

36.3

34.7

35.0

.413

.409

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

-0.0%

-0.0%

Fun fact: the oldest pitcher on the Phillies staff is Andrew Bailey, who won Rookie of the Year in the final season before Ryan Howard's five-year extension. In a way we were all rookies back then.
24

40

53

40.7

41.4

43.1

.463

.458

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

0.0%

0.0%

One of the great PowerPoints making the rounds is one called "What About Designated Hitters For Shortstops?" by a mysterious author named Schmick Schmahmed.
25

40

52

38.9

36.8

36.3

.439

.444

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

0.1%

0.0%

Rich Hill exited yesterday's game with a blister on his finger on the first batter but is probable to make it back to the end of singing "Helter Skelter."
26

35

56

37.7

41.9

43.5

.483

.488

0.0%

0.0%

0.1%

0.1%

0.0%

Perhaps it's time to stop referencing pitching records because now we have to say Chris Archer is 4-13. There is no baseball God.
27

39

51

37.5

35.7

35.5

.439

.434

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-0.0%

-0.0%

Telling people you lost on a walkoff passed ball sounds like "walkoff fastball" in the right context, so just go with that instead.
28

33

58

37.8

39.0

38.5

.445

.450

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

You laugh now, but the Twins are just two good weeks from being back in this thing, "thing" meaning the battle for fourth place. In the division.
29

34

58

31.0

25.9

26.7

.380

.375

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Billy Hamilton scored on a passed ball to walkoff the win yesterday. The crazy part was that he was standing on first base. In Winnipeg.
30

32

60

33.2

35.5

36.6

.394

.390

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Yesterday the Braves won on a walkoff single, beating the Rockies 1-0. Which meant they prevented a scoreless Braves-Rockies game from going into extra innings, which is more special than winning the World Series if you ask me.