Welcome to Baseball Prospectus! Click Here to Subscribe Today! Already a member? Login | Forgot Password

Prospectus Hit List for May 9
Hit List for May 8
Hit List for May 10
Teams are ordered based on Adjusted Hit List Factor, a computer generated number, and the author isn't responsible for the order of the teams.
Rk | Tm | W | L | W1 | W2 | W3 | HLF | AHLF | Win Div% | Win WC% | Playoff% | 1-Day | 7-Day |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | ![]() | 20 | 10 | 21.4 | 22.1 | 21.7 | .710 | .726 | 78.2% | 18.3% | 96.5% | 0.1% | 4.0% |
When asked about his four-homer game Tuesday, Josh Hamilton homered. | |||||||||||||
2 | ![]() | 19 | 11 | 22.0 | 22.9 | 22.0 | .716 | .699 | 69.8% | 20.1% | 90.0% | 0.7% | 5.1% |
Carlos Beltran has been worth 8.1 VORP, or almost the opposite of Albert Pujols' -7.9. (That fulfills the obligatory Albert Pujols requirement.) | |||||||||||||
3 | ![]() | 18 | 11 | 16.2 | 17.7 | 17.7 | .600 | .581 | 5.0% | 8.0% | 12.9% | -1.1% | 5.3% |
Henry Rodriguez has thrown six wild pitches, which leads the league, in just 13 innings. He led the league last year, with 14. | |||||||||||||
4 | ![]() | 19 | 11 | 16.1 | 16.1 | 16.1 | .561 | .581 | 18.0% | 29.4% | 47.4% | 0.4% | -3.8% |
Raul Ibanez: .289/.341/.553 at home. How many plate appearances, you ask? Aw, why do you have to go and be so responsible. | |||||||||||||
5 | ![]() | 19 | 11 | 17.2 | 17.4 | 17.8 | .595 | .575 | 18.9% | 6.6% | 25.5% | 6.1% | 11.4% |
An encouraging sign for the Dodgers is Andre Ethier's showing against left-handers (.286/.352/.449). | |||||||||||||
6 | ![]() | 19 | 11 | 16.7 | 15.5 | 14.2 | .546 | .565 | 0.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | -1.0% | 0.8% |
The Orioles were 19-9 before rumors of them signing MIguel Tejada broke. Now they're 19-11! �No firme a Miguel Tejada! | |||||||||||||
7 | ![]() | 16 | 13 | 15.9 | 16.1 | 15.3 | .545 | .565 | 57.1% | 23.3% | 80.4% | 2.3% | -8.4% |
Alex Rodriguez is slugging just .430. How come nobody ever gets on his case? | |||||||||||||
8 | ![]() | 16 | 14 | 16.7 | 15.6 | 15.3 | .530 | .550 | 1.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | -0.0% | 2.3% |
Prediction: giving up a game-winning grand slam to a player who was unemployed a few weeks ago will not make it onto the team's end-of-season DVD. | |||||||||||||
9 | ![]() | 17 | 12 | 14.7 | 15.4 | 14.1 | .527 | .547 | 31.8% | 15.2% | 47.0% | 3.1% | 9.7% |
If you're ever looking to be mean to Ned Colletti, mail him an anonymous postcard with just the words "Carlos Santana for Casey Blake" on it. | |||||||||||||
10 | ![]() | 19 | 12 | 17.9 | 17.0 | 16.0 | .564 | .544 | 34.8% | 22.7% | 57.4% | -1.6% | 4.7% |
Hoping for for the Braves' sake that Chipper Jones' family is as fun to be around as Andy Pettitte's. | |||||||||||||
11 | ![]() | 14 | 17 | 15.5 | 16.9 | 17.0 | .512 | .532 | 9.9% | 7.1% | 17.0% | -0.6% | -9.9% |
Adam Dunn now has 24 walks to lead the American League. Dunn bid to become the first man to walk 100 times and steal 200 bases in a season is still likely to fall 200 stolen bases short. | |||||||||||||
12 | ![]() | 14 | 16 | 16.2 | 15.7 | 16.7 | .521 | .501 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
If Brian Bogusevic doesn't can it with the game-winning hits, the Astros will lose their good draft position and be forced to keep playing Brian Bogusevic. | |||||||||||||
13 | ![]() | 15 | 14 | 15.1 | 14.1 | 14.6 | .507 | .487 | 14.0% | 32.6% | 46.6% | 0.7% | 1.8% |
Joey Votto has hit just two homers, but leads the majors with 14 doubles on the year. One of these days those doubles will turn into homers. | |||||||||||||
14 | ![]() | 15 | 15 | 14.5 | 15.3 | 16.0 | .507 | .487 | 37.1% | 7.0% | 44.1% | -2.1% | -10.3% |
With Brandon Belt, Angel Pagan, and now Brett Pill, it's tough to figure out whose name to make fun of. | |||||||||||||
15 | ![]() | 12 | 17 | 13.8 | 14.5 | 13.7 | .466 | .486 | 22.4% | 31.6% | 54.1% | -3.2% | -2.3% |
After giving up a three-run homer, reliever Matt Albers walked into the clubhouse, took starter Daniel Bard's sandwich out of his hand, stomped on it, and then left to take a shower. | |||||||||||||
16 | ![]() | 15 | 14 | 14.3 | 12.6 | 12.1 | .466 | .486 | 57.6% | 12.5% | 70.1% | -0.1% | 6.4% |
Don Kelly dove into the stands after a foul ball in the ninth for one reason: because Jose Valverde knows how to close a game. | |||||||||||||
17 | ![]() | 14 | 18 | 15.4 | 15.0 | 14.5 | .460 | .480 | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | -0.1% |
The Mariners have been issued one intentional walk so far this season, the fewest in baseball. | |||||||||||||
18 | ![]() | 15 | 15 | 14.9 | 14.7 | 15.2 | .498 | .478 | 20.3% | 21.0% | 41.4% | 1.1% | -8.7% |
Carlos Zen-brano, amirite? | |||||||||||||
19 | ![]() | 16 | 14 | 13.7 | 12.6 | 12.6 | .457 | .477 | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | -0.1% | -0.0% |
The A's are 5-2 against the AL East despite an almost pathological inability to hit. | |||||||||||||
20 | ![]() | 14 | 17 | 14.9 | 15.5 | 17.2 | .496 | .476 | 25.0% | 7.1% | 32.1% | -2.5% | -1.3% |
Since getting dumped by the Yankees, Ian Kennedy has thrown 455 innings of 3.30 ball. I mean, he's no Freddy Garcia, but still. | |||||||||||||
21 | ![]() | 13 | 18 | 14.9 | 14.8 | 13.0 | .449 | .469 | 21.7% | 52.9% | 74.6% | -0.7% | 2.7% |
Mike Trout hit .403/.467/.623 in Triple-A but has struggled since being promoted to Anaheim. A suggestion to improve his hitting: trade him to St. Louis. | |||||||||||||
22 | ![]() | 17 | 13 | 12.6 | 13.1 | 14.4 | .476 | .456 | 3.2% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 0.2% | 1.1% |
Whatever was bothering David Wright (the economy, too many water-skiing chipmunk, the decline of haberdashery) last year has ceased to bother him this year (.375/.479/.552). | |||||||||||||
23 | ![]() | 12 | 18 | 12.7 | 14.5 | 16.6 | .465 | .445 | 0.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | -0.1% | 1.1% |
Hey everyone! Alfonso Soriano got a hit! Want to trade for him? | |||||||||||||
24 | ![]() | 14 | 17 | 14.9 | 13.9 | 14.8 | .465 | .445 | 36.8% | 22.1% | 58.8% | 1.0% | -0.6% |
Why can't the Phillies score runs? The players with the sixth-, seventh-, and eighth-most plate appearances on the team are Freddy Galvis, Juan Pierre, and Ty Wigginton. | |||||||||||||
25 | ![]() | 12 | 17 | 13.6 | 11.4 | 12.0 | .422 | .403 | 9.7% | 3.4% | 13.0% | -1.2% | 2.6% |
The Rockies are like the early-aughts Phillies. They have three or four All-Stars, Jamie Moyer, and then everyone else can be replaced with lawn furniture. | |||||||||||||
26 | ![]() | 13 | 16 | 11.3 | 10.8 | 12.5 | .410 | .391 | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% | -0.9% |
San Diego on Tuesday passed 100 runs on the season, leaving only the Pirates below that mark. Good news though: they can do it today if they score 17. | |||||||||||||
27 | ![]() | 11 | 20 | 12.9 | 12.8 | 14.1 | .410 | .391 | 9.3% | 4.0% | 13.3% | -1.0% | -7.5% |
Jeff Suppan and Will Venable: the keys to nobody's World Series winning team. | |||||||||||||
28 | ![]() | 10 | 19 | 11.1 | 11.1 | 10.9 | .372 | .390 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | -0.1% | 0.1% |
Home runs can cover up a lot, like the 4 1/3 innings of lousiness from starter Danny Duffy, all wiped out by one three-run swing of Billy Butler's bat. | |||||||||||||
29 | ![]() | 13 | 17 | 12.0 | 11.5 | 12.0 | .405 | .386 | 15.5% | 35.8% | 51.3% | -0.2% | -3.8% |
Aramis Ramirez hit his second triple this season and, surprisingly, the 21st in his career, though he hasn't had two in a season since 2008. | |||||||||||||
30 | ![]() | 8 | 21 | 8.6 | 9.3 | 9.8 | .307 | .325 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | -0.2% | -1.4% |
How bad are the Twins? They're further out of first place than any team in baseball, in a division with the worst first-place team in baseball. |
Watch Josh, My Gosh