Support-Neutral W/L Report: October 27, 1999

by Michael Wolverton


The Support-Neutral statistics evaluate starting pitchers by measuring the probability that each outing will lead to the starter getting a win (SNW), the starter getting a loss (SNL), and the starter's team winning (SNVA), given league average support from the offense and the bullpen. More information can be found in a short summary of the stats, or in a long detailed article.

Best & Worst o Luckiest & Unluckiest o Reliever help o Flakiest & Steadiest o Team Rankings o Team-by-Team Stats o Definitions



(Numbers through end of 1999 regular season)

Top 30 ML Starters (ranked by SNWs over a .425 pitcher):
Pitcher       Team    SNW   SNL  SNPct   W  L    RA     APW   SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Johnson,R      ARI   21.0   7.2  .745   17  9   2.85   6.52   6.65   9.03
Martinez,P     BOS   18.3   3.8  .828   22  4   2.38   6.47   6.91   8.88
Hampton,M      HOU   17.1   8.2  .676   22  4   3.24   3.93   4.20   6.34
Brown,K        LAD   17.7   9.5  .651   18  9   3.53   3.31   3.84   6.14
Millwood,K     ATL   16.0   7.9  .670   18  7   3.16   4.06   3.74   5.85
Moyer,J        SEA   15.7   8.8  .642   14  8   4.26   2.72   3.35   5.31
Radke,B        MIN   15.2   9.1  .625   12 14   3.99   2.69   2.80   4.87
Daal,O         ARI   14.4   8.3  .633   16  9   3.86   2.91   2.95   4.74
Mussina,M      BAL   14.2   8.1  .637   18  7   3.90   2.52   2.83   4.74
Smoltz,J       ATL   13.4   7.1  .653   11  8   3.38   2.87   2.79   4.69
Colon,B        CLE   14.3   8.3  .632   18  5   4.26   2.68   2.86   4.68
Garcia,F       SEA   14.0   8.7  .618   17  8   4.29   2.34   2.58   4.37
Schilling,C    PHI   12.2   6.5  .654   15  6   3.69   2.92   2.86   4.25
Harnisch,P     CIN   13.9   8.8  .612   16 10   3.90   2.45   2.32   4.25
Lima,J         HOU   15.5  11.2  .582   21 10   3.95   2.17   2.00   4.18
Rosado,J       KCR   13.8   9.1  .604   10 14   4.46   1.94   2.09   4.10
Saberhagen,B   BOS    9.6   4.3  .690   10  6   3.25   2.64   2.42   3.67
Hudson,T       OAK   10.0   5.0  .665   11  2   3.70   2.24   2.26   3.60
Reynolds,S     HOU   14.8  11.6  .561   16 14   4.20   1.41   1.45   3.58
Burba,D        CLE   13.6  10.1  .575   15  9   4.62   2.08   1.76   3.55
Cone,D         NYY   12.6   8.7  .591   12  9   3.91   2.24   1.84   3.53
Astacio,P      COL   14.8  11.7  .558   17 11   5.43   2.05   1.39   3.52
Maddux,G       ATL   14.0  10.9  .563   19  9   4.23   1.39   1.42   3.42
Hernandez,O    NYY   13.5  10.4  .566   17  9   4.53   1.07   1.43   3.36
Guzman,J       B/C   12.9   9.7  .572   11 12   4.32   1.60   1.45   3.32
Sirotka,M      CHW   13.2  10.3  .562   11 13   4.65   1.17   1.33   3.21
Yoshii,M       NYM   11.8   8.5  .580   12  8   4.29   1.10   1.48   3.15
Ritchie,T      PIT   11.0   7.6  .592   15  8   4.11   1.78   1.58   3.11
Oliver,D       STL   12.2   9.2  .569    9  9   4.40   1.09   1.27   3.09
Suppan,J       KCR   12.9  10.2  .557   10 12   4.87   1.06   1.29   3.04

Return to Top

Bottom 10 ML Starters (ranked by SNWs over a .425 pitcher):
Pitcher       Team    SNW   SNL  SNPct   W  L    RA     APW   SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Bowie,M        CHC    1.2   6.4  .158    2  6  10.34  -2.63  -2.43  -2.04
Silva,J        PIT    1.8   6.7  .207    1  8   8.72  -2.45  -2.38  -1.85
Blair,W        DET    3.1   8.4  .267    3  8   8.74  -2.87  -2.59  -1.81
Perkins,D      MIN    1.6   6.1  .209    1  7   9.06  -2.16  -2.10  -1.65
Spoljaric,P    P/T    0.1   4.0  .026    0  5  19.36  -2.54  -1.91  -1.64
Perez,C        LAD    3.2   8.3  .282    2 10   8.02  -3.02  -2.44  -1.64
Hawkins,L      MIN    8.1  14.8  .355   10 14   7.02  -3.33  -3.21  -1.61
Meadows,B      FLA    7.4  13.6  .353   11 15   5.90  -2.58  -3.00  -1.52
Candiotti,T    O/C    2.4   6.7  .265    3  5   8.56  -2.01  -1.93  -1.45
Belcher,T      ANA    5.8  11.2  .341    6  8   7.07  -2.63  -2.54  -1.42

Return to Top

Luckiest 10 ML Starters (ranked by (W - E(W)) + (E(L) - L)):
Pitcher       Team    E(W)  E(L)    W  L   Diff.
------------------------------------------------
Bottenfield,K  STL   11.1   9.8    18  7    9.8
Hampton,M      HOU   17.0   8.2    22  4    9.2
Ortiz,R        SFG   11.8  11.8    18  9    9.1
Morgan,M       TEX    5.3  10.7    11  8    8.4
Rueter,K       SFG   10.1  13.2    15 10    8.0
Sele,A         TEX   11.9  10.9    18  9    8.0
Colon,B        CLE   14.2   8.3    18  5    7.1
Bere,J         C/M    3.1   5.1     5  0    7.0
Maddux,G       ATL   13.9  10.9    19  9    6.9
Lima,J         HOU   15.5  11.2    21 10    6.7

Return to Top

Unluckiest 10 ML Starters (ranked by (W - E(W)) + (E(L) - L)):
Pitcher       Team    E(W)  E(L)    W  L   Diff.
------------------------------------------------
Trachsel,S     CHC   11.5  13.1     8 18   -8.3
Rosado,J       KCR   13.2   9.1    10 14   -8.1
Radke,B        MIN   15.2   9.1    12 14   -8.0
Hermanson,D    MON   12.8  11.0     9 14   -6.9
Valdes,I       LAD   12.1  10.3     9 14   -6.8
Hill,K         ANA    6.7   7.1     4 11   -6.6
Holt,C         HOU    8.0   9.6     5 13   -6.4
Johnson,R      ARI   21.0   7.2    17  9   -5.8
Moehler,B      DET   11.2  11.7    10 16   -5.5
Milton,E       MIN   12.6  11.1     7 11   -5.5

Return to Top

20 ML Starters most hurt by their relievers (ranked by Bullpen Support):
Pitcher       Team   IR  E(IR)    RA/A  E(RA)/A  SNVA_n  SNVA     BSup
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Jimenez,J      STL   15   7.1     6.32   5.87    -1.97  -1.28    -0.69
Gooden,D       CLE   13   6.8     6.79   6.30    -1.66  -1.05    -0.61
Haynes,J       OAK   14   8.4     6.43   6.07    -1.34  -0.76    -0.58
Oliver,D       STL   11   6.6     4.53   4.32     0.75   1.27    -0.51
Thurman,M      MON   13   6.9     5.25   4.87    -0.17   0.34    -0.50
Clement,M      SDP   12   8.5     6.00   5.80    -2.23  -1.75    -0.48
Nitkowski,C    DET    7   2.9     4.52   3.55     0.18   0.64    -0.46
Moyer,J        SEA   13   7.8     4.09   3.89     2.90   3.35    -0.45
Suppan,J       KCR   11   8.4     4.74   4.63     0.88   1.29    -0.41
Wright,Jar     CLE   14   9.5     6.24   5.95    -1.33  -0.94    -0.39
Oquist,M       OAK   14  10.5     5.67   5.43    -0.74  -0.36    -0.37
Rekar,B        TAM    8   4.0     6.72   6.16    -1.17  -0.80    -0.37
Spencer,St     SDP    6   1.9    12.10  10.95    -2.14  -1.78    -0.37
Heredia,G      OAK   14  10.6     5.27   5.11    -0.12   0.24    -0.36
Trachsel,S     CHC   12   7.6     5.87   5.68    -1.16  -0.80    -0.36
Pulsipher,B    MIL    6   3.1     6.84   6.53    -1.59  -1.28    -0.32
Hernandez,O    NYY   11   8.4     4.72   4.61     1.13   1.43    -0.30
Gardner,M      SFG    6   2.9     7.46   7.22    -2.66  -2.37    -0.29
Lincoln,M      MIN    6   3.0     7.43   7.03    -1.70  -1.40    -0.29
Dempster,R     FLA   11   7.8     5.16   4.95    -0.08   0.21    -0.29

Return to Top

20 ML Starters most helped by their relievers (ranked by Bullpen Support):
Pitcher       Team   IR  E(IR)    RA/A  E(RA)/A  SNVA_n  SNVA     BSup
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Lima,J         HOU    2   6.0     4.19   4.34     2.47   2.00     0.47
Cone,D         NYY    2   6.6     4.07   4.29     2.31   1.84     0.47
Olivares,O     C/O    5   9.4     4.61   4.80     1.55   1.16     0.39
Rose,B         BOS    1   5.5     5.25   5.67    -0.01  -0.37     0.36
Hentgen,P      TOR    5   9.3     5.08   5.27     0.15  -0.18     0.34
Ashby,A        SDP    2   6.0     4.71   4.91    -0.03  -0.34     0.32
Bohanon,B      COL    3   7.6     4.91   5.06    -0.76  -1.07     0.31
Jones,BM       COL    4   7.8     5.18   5.43    -0.56  -0.85     0.29
Burba,D        CLE    3   6.2     4.33   4.45     2.05   1.76     0.29
Erickson,S     BAL    3   7.1     5.10   5.26     0.40   0.13     0.27
Schourek,P     PIT    3   6.1     6.16   6.49    -1.16  -1.42     0.27
Bottenfield,K  STL    4   7.4     4.42   4.59     0.81   0.54     0.27
Radke,B        MIN    0   3.3     4.03   4.16     3.06   2.80     0.26
Williams,W     SDP    3   5.2     5.20   5.31     0.04  -0.22     0.26
Carpenter,C    TOR    6  10.3     4.75   5.00     0.65   0.38     0.26
Parque,J       CHW    6  10.0     5.84   6.05    -1.24  -1.50     0.26
Murray,H       SDP    0   4.2     7.28   8.37    -0.77  -1.02     0.25
Astacio,P      COL    6   9.1     4.00   4.09     1.64   1.39     0.24
Sparks,S       ANA    6  10.3     6.16   6.43    -1.23  -1.47     0.24
Person,R       PHI    0   4.0     4.45   4.73     0.78   0.55     0.23

Return to Top

Flakiest 10 ML Starters (ranked by variance of SNVA):
(20 starts minimum)
Pitcher       Team    APW   SNVA   SNVA Var.
--------------------------------------------
Astacio,P      COL   2.05   1.39    0.081
Erickson,S     BAL   0.28   0.13    0.079
Benson,K       PIT   0.63   0.86    0.077
Haynes,J       OAK  -1.70  -0.76    0.076
Kile,D         COL  -1.25  -1.23    0.075
Snyder,J       CHW  -2.64  -2.15    0.075
Thompson,J     DET  -0.09   0.33    0.074
Wells,D        TOR   0.51   0.76    0.073
Maddux,G       ATL   1.39   1.42    0.072
Fassero,J      S/T  -2.73  -2.58    0.072

Return to Top

Steadiest 10 ML Starters (ranked by variance of SNVA):
(20 starts minimum)
Pitcher       Team    APW   SNVA   SNVA Var.
--------------------------------------------
Meadows,B      FLA  -2.58  -3.00    0.029
Johnson,J      BAL  -0.78  -0.88    0.035
Jones,BM       COL  -0.60  -0.85    0.036
Martinez,P     BOS   6.47   6.91    0.037
Hershiser,O    NYM   0.51   0.89    0.038
Parris,S       CIN   1.39   1.25    0.039
Reed,R         NYM   0.40   0.74    0.039
Clement,M      SDP  -1.82  -1.75    0.039
Bottenfield,K  STL   1.26   0.54    0.040
Williams,W     SDP  -0.45  -0.22    0.041

Return to Top

Team Totals (teams ranked by SNW-SNL):
Team     SNW    SNL   SNPct.  E(W)    W    L    RA   AdjRA   SNVA
------------------------------------------------------------------
ARI     69.8   46.3    .601   68.0   69   40   4.15   4.07  11.42
ATL     66.9   49.6    .574   66.2   70   45   4.08   4.29   7.80
BOS     62.2   45.5    .577   57.8   64   48   4.56   4.37   7.78
HOU     65.4   52.2    .556   64.4   72   51   4.20   4.46   6.00
NYM     59.4   51.9    .534   58.1   66   47   4.69   4.85   3.22
CIN     58.3   52.5    .527   56.7   63   44   4.78   4.77   2.90
SEA     59.5   53.7    .526   57.9   60   52   5.31   5.09   2.73
NYY     60.1   54.5    .524   58.9   71   50   4.74   4.93   2.49
CLE     57.2   53.7    .516   55.8   65   43   5.54   5.19   1.67
BAL     59.0   56.0    .513   56.5   61   57   5.00   5.14   1.21
LAD     58.0   57.2    .503   57.2   63   60   4.88   5.20  -0.05
PHI     57.6   58.1    .498   56.1   57   63   5.44   5.22  -0.33
PIT     55.5   56.1    .497   53.6   57   63   5.11   5.06  -0.24
TOR     56.6   58.9    .490   55.1   63   58   5.55   5.42  -1.19
KCR     54.2   56.6    .489   51.7   44   61   5.63   5.47  -1.15
OAK     54.8   57.7    .487   53.2   63   49   5.59   5.50  -1.24
STL     52.8   56.7    .482   51.1   50   54   5.15   5.30  -2.22
MON     52.9   57.9    .477   51.3   45   66   5.51   5.53  -2.66
TEX     52.1   58.3    .472   49.1   65   51   5.84   5.44  -2.84
ANA     53.7   60.2    .471   50.7   42   68   5.55   5.62  -2.97
MIN     51.9   59.1    .468   49.4   40   70   5.62   5.67  -3.39
DET     52.8   61.1    .463   51.1   51   71   5.91   5.83  -4.27
COL     52.6   61.0    .463   51.0   49   65   6.65   4.90  -3.55
TAM     49.9   59.3    .457   47.2   45   69   6.04   5.91  -4.57
CHW     51.3   61.7    .454   49.5   52   69   5.83   5.86  -5.20
MIL     49.1   60.6    .448   47.4   48   59   5.81   5.78  -5.70
SDP     50.8   63.0    .446   49.2   53   66   4.89   5.55  -6.41
SFG     51.0   64.4    .442   50.2   64   54   5.41   5.84  -6.64
FLA     48.9   63.1    .437   46.4   45   68   5.24   5.74  -6.92
CHC     49.6   63.8    .437   47.1   40   73   5.83   5.88  -6.84
------------------------------------------------------------------
ML    1674.1 1710.5    .495 1617.7 1697 1734   5.26   5.26 -21.15

Return to Top

Team Luck Totals
(teams ranked by ((SNW - E(W)) + (E(L) - SNL)):
Team    E(W)    E(L)    W    L    Diff
---------------------------------------
SFG     50.2   64.4    64   54   24.1
TEX     49.1   58.3    65   51   23.2
CLE     55.8   53.7    65   43   19.9
OAK     53.2   57.7    63   49   18.5
NYY     58.9   54.5    71   50   16.6
CIN     56.7   52.5    63   44   14.8
NYM     58.1   51.9    66   47   12.8
HOU     64.4   52.2    72   51    8.8
TOR     55.1   58.9    63   58    8.8
ATL     66.2   49.6    70   45    8.4
ARI     68.0   46.3    69   40    7.3
SEA     57.9   53.7    60   52    3.8
BOS     57.8   45.5    64   48    3.7
BAL     56.5   56.0    61   57    3.5
LAD     57.2   57.2    63   60    3.0
MIL     47.4   60.6    48   59    2.2
STL     51.1   56.7    50   54    1.6
SDP     49.2   63.0    53   66    0.8
PIT     53.6   56.1    57   63   -3.4
PHI     56.1   58.1    57   63   -4.0
CHW     49.5   61.7    52   69   -4.8
COL     51.0   61.0    49   65   -6.0
FLA     46.4   63.1    45   68   -6.4
DET     51.1   61.1    51   71   -9.9
TAM     47.2   59.3    45   69  -11.9
KCR     51.7   56.6    44   61  -12.1
MON     51.3   57.9    45   66  -14.4
CHC     47.1   63.8    40   73  -16.4
ANA     50.7   60.2    42   68  -16.4
MIN     49.4   59.1    40   70  -20.3
---------------------------------------
ML    1617.7 1710.5  1697 1734   55.9

Return to Top

Team Bullpen Support Totals
(teams ranked by Bullpen Support of starting pitchers):
Team      IR   E(IR)   RA/A  E(RA)/A  SNVA_n  SNVA    BSup
----------------------------------------------------------
BOS       33   45.1    4.37   4.48     8.53   7.78    0.75
COL       32   43.2    4.90   4.98    -2.90  -3.55    0.66
CHW       35   41.4    5.86   5.93    -4.62  -5.20    0.58
ANA       47   56.2    5.62   5.71    -2.56  -2.97    0.40
TEX       52   61.4    5.44   5.52    -2.46  -2.84    0.38
HOU       28   33.5    4.46   4.51     6.38   6.00    0.38
BAL       32   35.7    5.14   5.17     1.54   1.21    0.32
NYY       29   33.7    4.93   4.98     2.70   2.49    0.21
ATL       22   28.5    4.29   4.35     7.98   7.80    0.18
SDP       28   33.5    5.55   5.61    -6.24  -6.41    0.17
MIN       39   43.1    5.67   5.71    -3.27  -3.39    0.12
PHI       27   32.1    5.22   5.26    -0.27  -0.33    0.06
CIN       39   42.9    4.77   4.80     2.84   2.90   -0.07
PIT       34   35.9    5.06   5.08    -0.32  -0.24   -0.08
TOR       44   47.0    5.42   5.45    -1.28  -1.19   -0.09
ARI       32   31.7    4.07   4.07    11.29  11.42   -0.14
NYM       31   30.9    4.85   4.85     3.07   3.22   -0.15
CHC       36   32.5    5.88   5.85    -7.17  -6.84   -0.32
SFG       40   40.1    5.84   5.84    -7.02  -6.64   -0.38
LAD       32   28.6    5.20   5.17    -0.52  -0.05   -0.47
SEA       54   51.0    5.09   5.06     2.16   2.73   -0.57
DET       56   52.4    5.83   5.79    -4.92  -4.27   -0.66
FLA       41   35.4    5.74   5.68    -7.64  -6.92   -0.73
MIL       45   39.5    5.78   5.72    -6.45  -5.70   -0.75
STL       45   37.8    5.30   5.23    -3.12  -2.22   -0.90
CLE       47   38.6    5.19   5.11     0.77   1.67   -0.90
TAM       57   48.3    5.91   5.83    -5.52  -4.57   -0.95
OAK       63   56.0    5.50   5.44    -2.20  -1.24   -0.96
MON       47   35.4    5.53   5.41    -3.74  -2.66   -1.08
KCR       65   57.2    5.47   5.40    -2.32  -1.15   -1.17
----------------------------------------------------------
ML      1212 1228.4    5.26   5.27   -27.32 -21.15   -6.17

Return to Top

Team-by-team stats:
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS          Park Effect: +3.9%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Anderson,B   19  111.7  56  7.7  5.3  .590  7  1  4.51  0.75  1.23   2.15
Benes,An     32  196.3 116 10.8 11.7  .480 13 12  5.32 -0.31 -0.48   1.23
Daal,O       32  214.7  92 14.4  8.3  .633 16  9  3.86  2.91  2.95   4.74
Johnson,R    35  271.7  86 21.0  7.2  .745 17  9  2.85  6.52  6.65   9.03
Reynoso,A    27  161.0  86 10.0  8.3  .546 10  6  4.81  0.59  0.85   2.22
Stottlemyre, 17  101.3  51  5.9  5.4  .523  6  3  4.53  0.67  0.24   1.10
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162 1056.7 487 69.8 46.3  .601 69 40  4.15 11.13 11.42  20.47


ATLANTA BRAVES                Park Effect: -10.0%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Chen,B        7   40.0  23  2.3  2.5  .477  1  2  5.18 -0.15 -0.11   0.26
Glavine,T    35  234.0 115 13.3 12.0  .526 14 11  4.42  0.99  0.54   2.55
Maddux,G     33  219.3 103 14.0 10.9  .563 19  9  4.23  1.39  1.42   3.42
Millwood,K   33  228.0  80 16.0  7.9  .670 18  7  3.16  4.06  3.74   5.85
Mulholland,T  8   52.0  21  3.7  1.8  .672  3  2  3.63  0.66  0.80   1.34
Perez,O      17   92.0  65  4.2  7.4  .363  4  6  6.36 -1.52 -1.38  -0.72
Smoltz,J     29  186.3  70 13.4  7.1  .653 11  8  3.38  2.87  2.79   4.69
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162 1051.7 477 66.9 49.6  .574 70 45  4.08  8.29  7.80  17.40


CHICAGO CUBS                  Park Effect: -1.8%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Bowie,M      11   47.0  54  1.2  6.4  .158  2  6 10.34 -2.63 -2.43  -2.04
Farnsworth,K 21  116.7  75  6.1  8.2  .424  5  8  5.79 -0.94 -1.00  -0.02
Lieber,J     31  203.3 107 11.9 10.7  .527 10 11  4.74  0.61  0.60   2.30
Lorraine,A   11   61.7  42  3.0  4.5  .394  2  5  6.13 -0.72 -0.71  -0.23
Mcnichol,B    2    9.0   8  0.4  0.9  .329  0  2  8.00 -0.28 -0.24  -0.12
Mulholland,T 16   94.3  63  5.0  6.5  .437  6  6  6.01 -0.98 -0.72   0.13
Sanders,S     6   30.7  19  1.7  2.3  .421  0  3  5.58 -0.18 -0.31  -0.02
Serafini,D    4   19.0  14  0.7  1.7  .304  1  1  6.63 -0.32 -0.46  -0.30
Tapani,K     23  136.0  81  7.5  8.3  .477  6 12  5.36 -0.48 -0.47   0.82
Trachsel,S   34  205.7 133 11.6 13.1  .470  8 18  5.82 -1.73 -0.80   1.10
Woodall,B     3   12.0  10  0.4  1.1  .271  0  1  7.50 -0.31 -0.31  -0.24
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  935.3 606 49.6 63.8  .437 40 73  5.83 -7.97 -6.84   1.40


CINCINNATI REDS               Park Effect: +0.7%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Avery,S      19   96.0  62  6.0  6.7  .472  6  7  5.81 -0.73 -0.33   0.59
Bere,J       10   40.3  31  2.2  3.9  .361  3  0  6.92 -0.77 -0.78  -0.39
Guzman,J     12   77.3  33  5.2  3.3  .615  6  3  3.84  1.01  0.91   1.62
Harnisch,P   33  198.3  86 13.9  8.8  .612 16 10  3.90  2.45  2.32   4.25
Neagle,D     19  109.3  53  7.2  5.4  .570  9  5  4.36  0.82  0.90   1.82
Parris,S     21  125.3  56  8.1  5.7  .586 10  4  4.02  1.39  1.25   2.23
Reyes,D       1    2.7   6  0.0  0.8  .011  0  1 20.25 -0.42 -0.39  -0.34
Tomko,B      26  157.3  99  8.3 10.7  .438  5  7  5.66 -0.95 -1.14   0.24
Villone,R    22  125.0  69  7.5  7.3  .509  8  7  4.97  0.15  0.16   1.24
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      163  931.7 495 58.3 52.5  .527 63 44  4.78  2.94  2.90  11.25


COLORADO ROCKIES              Park Effect: +52.5%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Astacio,P    34  232.0 140 14.8 11.7  .558 17 11  5.43  2.05  1.39   3.52
Bohanon,B    33  197.3 146 10.6 13.1  .449 12 12  6.66 -0.52 -1.07   0.56
Brownson,M    7   29.7  26  2.1  2.4  .459  0  2  7.89 -0.42 -0.11   0.15
Hackman,L     3   14.0  17  0.4  1.5  .216  0  2 10.93 -0.59 -0.48  -0.39
Jones,BM     20  100.0  78  4.9  7.0  .411  6  9  7.02 -0.60 -0.85  -0.17
Kile,D       32  190.7 150 10.3 13.0  .442  8 13  7.08 -1.25 -1.23   0.40
Ramirez,R     4   16.7  20  0.6  1.8  .253  1  3 10.80 -0.69 -0.51  -0.42
Thomson,J    13   60.7  62  2.4  6.2  .283  1 10  9.20 -1.60 -1.70  -1.22
Wright,Jam   16   94.3  52  6.4  4.3  .598  4  3  4.96  1.25  1.00   1.87
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  935.3 691 52.6 61.0  .463 49 65  6.65 -2.36 -3.55   4.30


FLORIDA MARLINS               Park Effect: -19.0%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Burnett,A     7   41.3  23  2.4  2.2  .525  4  2  5.01 -0.19  0.05   0.47
Cornelius,R   2   13.7   3  1.3  0.1  .902  1  0  1.98  0.39  0.53   0.66
Dempster,R   25  147.0  77  8.9  8.4  .514  7  8  4.71 -0.20  0.21   1.54
Fernandez,A  24  141.0  60  8.6  6.8  .556  7  8  3.83  1.18  0.90   2.02
Hernandez,L  20  136.0  78  6.9  8.1  .458  5  9  5.16 -0.85 -0.62   0.50
Meadows,B    31  178.3 117  7.4 13.6  .353 11 15  5.90 -2.58 -3.00  -1.52
Nunez,V      12   68.0  45  3.4  5.1  .401  3  7  5.96 -1.02 -0.85  -0.21
Ojala,K       1    0.7   6  0.0  0.8  .001  0  1 81.00 -0.56 -0.39  -0.34
Sanchez,J    10   42.7  34  1.7  4.7  .267  1  4  7.17 -1.21 -1.39  -1.00
Springer,D   29  174.3 105  8.3 12.8  .393  6 14  5.42 -1.59 -2.22  -0.68
Tejera,M      1    2.0   2  0.1  0.4  .133  0  0  9.00 -0.10 -0.12  -0.13
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  945.0 550 48.9 63.1  .437 45 68  5.24 -6.72 -6.92   1.31


HOUSTON ASTROS                Park Effect: -12.3%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Bergman,S    16   93.0  55  4.8  6.5  .426  4  6  5.32 -0.57 -0.84   0.01
Elarton,S    15   84.7  43  5.1  4.4  .538  4  3  4.57  0.17  0.24   1.08
Hampton,M    34  239.0  86 17.1  8.2  .676 22  4  3.24  3.93  4.20   6.34
Holt,C       26  158.0  86  8.1  9.6  .457  5 13  4.90 -0.24 -0.66   0.56
Lima,J       35  246.3 108 15.5 11.2  .582 21 10  3.95  2.17  2.00   4.18
Miller,W      1    3.0   7  0.0  0.8  .018  0  1 21.00 -0.53 -0.39  -0.33
Reynolds,S   35  231.7 108 14.8 11.6  .561 16 14  4.20  1.41  1.45   3.58
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162 1055.7 493 65.4 52.2  .556 72 51  4.20  6.35  6.00  15.42


LOS ANGELES DODGERS           Park Effect: -12.9%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Arnold,J      3   15.3  12  1.0  1.3  .422  1  0  7.04 -0.38 -0.18  -0.01
Brown,K      35  252.3  99 17.7  9.5  .651 18  9  3.53  3.31  3.84   6.14
Checo,R       2    5.3   5  0.4  0.8  .325  1  1  8.44 -0.21 -0.19  -0.12
Dreifort,D   29  177.0 105  9.0 11.1  .446 13 13  5.34 -1.14 -1.01   0.43
Gagne,E       5   30.0   8  2.4  0.9  .716  1  1  2.40  0.76  0.67   0.96
Judd,M        4   23.7  13  1.1  1.5  .414  3  1  4.94 -0.05 -0.22  -0.03
Park,C       33  194.3 120 10.4 12.3  .458 13 11  5.56 -1.71 -1.09   0.76
Perez,C      16   85.3  76  3.2  8.3  .282  2 10  8.02 -3.02 -2.44  -1.64
Valdes,I     32  203.3  97 12.2 10.3  .542  9 14  4.29  0.99  0.78   2.63
Williams,J    3   15.7   9  0.7  1.1  .369  2  0  5.17 -0.07 -0.20  -0.10
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162 1002.3 544 58.0 57.2  .503 63 60  4.88 -1.53 -0.05   9.04


MILWAUKEE BREWERS             Park Effect: +1.2%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Abbott,J     15   75.0  65  3.1  7.0  .305  2  8  7.80 -2.12 -1.89  -1.21
Bere,J        4   22.3  15  1.1  1.2  .481  2  0  6.04 -0.22 -0.04   0.13
Eldred,C     15   74.7  68  3.2  7.3  .303  2  8  8.20 -2.42 -2.08  -1.28
Karl,S       33  197.7 121 10.5 11.8  .471 11 11  5.51 -0.85 -0.66   1.02
Nomo,H       28  176.3  96 10.3  9.1  .532 12  8  4.90  0.36  0.54   2.08
Peterson,K   12   70.0  39  4.2  4.2  .494  3  5  5.01  0.06  0.02   0.58
Pulsipher,B  16   82.3  63  3.9  6.5  .376  5  6  6.89 -1.54 -1.28  -0.51
Roque,R       9   39.0  27  1.9  3.3  .372  0  5  6.23 -0.46 -0.63  -0.28
Woodard,S    29  182.3 100 10.8 10.0  .519 11  8  4.94  0.31  0.34   1.97
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      161  919.7 594 49.1 60.6  .448 48 59  5.81 -6.88 -5.70   2.50


MONTREAL EXPOS                Park Effect: -0.8%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
ArmasJr,T     1    6.0   4  0.2  0.5  .296  0  1  6.00 -0.06 -0.16  -0.09
Batista,M    17   98.7  62  5.7  6.5  .469  7  5  5.66 -0.63 -0.32   0.54
Bennett,S     1    4.0  10  0.0  0.8  .015  0  1 22.50 -0.73 -0.42  -0.35
Hermanson,D  34  216.3 110 13.0 11.0  .542  9 14  4.58  1.07  0.86   2.81
Johnson,M     1    4.3   6  0.1  0.5  .192  0  0 12.46 -0.34 -0.19  -0.13
Lilly,T       3   17.7   9  0.9  1.0  .476  0  1  4.58  0.09 -0.01   0.09
Pavano,C     18  103.0  65  6.0  6.5  .479  6  8  5.68 -0.68 -0.18   0.67
Powell,J     17   97.0  60  5.5  6.1  .475  4  8  5.57 -0.53 -0.44   0.57
Smith,D      17   83.7  61  4.1  7.0  .368  3  9  6.56 -1.33 -1.32  -0.63
Thurman,M    27  144.7  84  9.2  8.2  .528  7 11  5.23 -0.27  0.34   1.79
Vazquez,J    26  154.7  98  8.3 10.0  .454  9  8  5.70 -1.06 -0.82   0.53
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  930.0 569 52.9 57.9  .477 45 66  5.51 -4.48 -2.66   5.81


NEW YORK METS                 Park Effect: -6.9%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Dotel,O      14   79.0  48  4.9  5.2  .484  7  2  5.47 -0.48 -0.19   0.59
Hershiser,O  32  179.0  92 11.4  9.3  .550 13 12  4.63  0.51  0.89   2.58
Isringhausen  5   24.7  20  1.1  2.1  .329  1  2  7.30 -0.63 -0.53  -0.31
Jones,B       9   52.7  34  2.8  3.5  .449  3  3  5.81 -0.51 -0.30   0.15
Leiter,A     32  213.0 107 12.2 10.9  .529 13 12  4.52  0.84  0.55   2.40
Reed,R       26  149.3  77  9.3  7.5  .555 11  5  4.64  0.40  0.74   2.17
Rogers,Ken   12   76.0  35  4.7  4.0  .541  5  1  4.14  0.61  0.37   1.00
Watson,A      4   20.3   8  1.3  0.9  .588  1  2  3.54  0.29  0.21   0.36
Yoshii,M     29  170.0  81 11.8  8.5  .580 12  8  4.29  1.10  1.48   3.15
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      163  964.0 502 59.4 51.9  .534 66 47  4.69  2.12  3.22  12.09


PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES         Park Effect: +8.3%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Bennett,J     3   13.7  13  0.7  1.3  .355  1  1  8.56 -0.46 -0.30  -0.14
Byrd,P       32  199.7 119 12.0 11.3  .515 15 11  5.36 -0.19  0.34   2.10
Grace,M       5   23.3  21  0.9  2.2  .293  0  3  8.10 -0.68 -0.68  -0.42
Grahe,J       5   23.3  16  1.7  1.7  .495  1  4  6.17 -0.22 -0.05   0.24
Loewer,C     13   82.0  49  4.4  4.9  .471  2  5  5.38 -0.09 -0.18   0.43
Ogea,C       28  153.0 102  8.9 10.3  .461  6 12  6.00 -1.14 -0.76   0.70
Person,R     22  126.0  65  8.3  6.9  .546 10  5  4.64  0.81  0.55   1.85
Schilling,C  24  180.3  74 12.2  6.5  .654 15  6  3.69  2.92  2.86   4.25
Schrenk,S     2    8.3   6  0.7  0.8  .468  1  1  6.48 -0.10 -0.03   0.07
Shumaker,A    4   19.3  15  1.3  1.6  .444  0  3  6.98 -0.34 -0.17   0.06
Spoljaric,P   3    7.7  23  0.0  2.5  .009  0  3 27.00 -1.71 -1.22  -1.06
Wolf,R       21  120.7  76  6.5  7.9  .450  6  9  5.67 -0.49 -0.69   0.36
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  957.3 579 57.6 58.1  .498 57 63  5.44 -1.68 -0.33   8.44


PITTSBURGH PIRATES            Park Effect: +1.8%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Anderson,J    4   20.3   8  1.4  0.7  .659  2  1  3.54  0.33  0.37   0.51
Benson,K     31  196.7 105 12.3 10.5  .538 11 14  4.81  0.63  0.86   2.58
Cordova,F    27  160.7  83 10.2  8.6  .542  8 10  4.65  0.77  0.77   2.19
Peters,C     11   55.7  43  2.7  4.3  .385  4  4  6.95 -1.07 -0.83  -0.28
Ritchie,T    26  170.7  78 11.0  7.6  .592 15  8  4.11  1.78  1.58   3.11
Schmidt,J    33  212.7 110 12.5 10.8  .538 13 11  4.66  1.01  0.82   2.62
Schourek,P   17   84.0  58  3.6  6.9  .346  3  7  6.21 -0.97 -1.42  -0.83
Silva,J      12   65.0  63  1.8  6.7  .207  1  8  8.72 -2.45 -2.38  -1.85
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      161  965.7 548 55.5 56.1  .497 57 63  5.11  0.05 -0.24   8.04


ST. LOUIS CARDINALS           Park Effect: -5.7%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Acevedo,J    12   59.7  46  2.5  5.4  .312  2  3  6.94 -1.28 -1.39  -0.90
Ankiel,R      5   28.0  12  1.9  1.1  .629  0  1  3.86  0.32  0.32   0.62
Aybar,M       1    3.7   9  0.0  0.9  .002  0  1 22.09 -0.67 -0.45  -0.39
Bottenfield, 31  190.3  91 11.2  9.8  .531 18  7  4.30  1.26  0.54   2.23
Jimenez,J    28  161.0 110  8.8 11.4  .435  5 13  6.15 -2.09 -1.28   0.21
Luebbers,L    8   45.7  27  2.4  2.9  .461  3  3  5.32 -0.19 -0.16   0.19
Mercker,K    18   91.3  58  4.9  6.7  .424  6  5  5.72 -0.77 -0.83  -0.01
Oliver,D     30  196.3  96 12.2  9.2  .569  9  9  4.40  1.09  1.27   3.09
Osborne,D     6   29.3  18  1.3  2.2  .373  1  3  5.52 -0.19 -0.42  -0.18
Painter,L     4   18.0  11  1.1  1.1  .507  0  2  5.50 -0.11 -0.05   0.18
Sodowsky,C    1    3.3   8  0.0  0.9  .010  0  1 21.60 -0.59 -0.43  -0.36
Stephenson,G 12   75.0  35  4.6  3.6  .557  5  3  4.20  0.58  0.44   1.08
Thompson,M    5   29.3  12  1.9  1.4  .581  1  3  3.68  0.39  0.22   0.52
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      161  931.0 533 52.8 56.7  .482 50 54  5.15 -2.25 -2.22   6.28


SAN DIEGO PADRES              Park Effect: -27.2%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Ashby,A      31  206.0  95 11.6 12.0  .492 14 10  4.15  0.55 -0.34   1.57
Boehringer,B 11   61.7  25  3.7  3.2  .536  4  4  3.65  0.51  0.18   0.76
Carlyle,B     7   37.7  28  1.3  3.7  .256  1  3  6.69 -0.98 -1.18  -0.85
Clement,M    31  180.7 106  8.6 12.3  .412 10 12  5.28 -1.82 -1.75  -0.27
Hitchcock,S  33  205.7  99 11.3 11.8  .490 12 14  4.33  0.13 -0.31   1.51
Murray,H      8   39.3  28  1.5  3.7  .294  0  4  6.41 -0.89 -1.02  -0.69
Spencer,St    8   36.3  43  1.2  4.9  .191  0  7 10.65 -2.56 -1.78  -1.41
Williams,W   33  208.3 106 11.6 11.4  .504 12 12  4.58 -0.45 -0.22   1.81
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  975.7 530 50.8 63.0  .446 53 66  4.89 -5.50 -6.41   2.43


SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS          Park Effect: -15.9%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Brock,C      19  106.7  69  4.5  8.2  .354  6  8  5.82 -1.34 -1.68  -0.91
Estes,S      32  203.0 121 10.4 13.3  .440 11 11  5.36 -1.54 -1.35   0.35
Gardner,M    21  122.3  94  5.3 10.0  .344  4 10  6.92 -3.00 -2.37  -1.24
Hernandez,L  10   63.7  32  4.0  3.3  .543  3  3  4.52  0.10  0.22   0.86
Nathan,J     14   81.3  40  4.8  4.5  .514  7  3  4.43  0.22  0.05   0.83
Ortiz,R      33  207.7 109 11.9 11.8  .501 18  9  4.72 -0.12  0.05   1.81
Rueter,K     33  184.7 118 10.3 13.2  .438 15 10  5.75 -2.18 -1.57   0.29
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  969.3 583 51.0 64.4  .442 64 54  5.41 -7.85 -6.64   2.00


ANAHEIM ANGELS                Park Effect: -2.5%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Belcher,T    24  132.3 104  5.8 11.2  .341  6  8  7.07 -2.63 -2.54  -1.42
Cooper,B      5   27.7  15  1.5  1.7  .469  1  1  4.88  0.08 -0.06   0.14
Finley,C     33  213.3 117 13.2 11.2  .541 12 11  4.94  0.49  0.94   2.83
Fyhrie,M      7   33.7  25  1.7  2.7  .392  0  4  6.68 -0.53 -0.41  -0.15
Hasegawa,S    1    2.3   4  0.0  0.7  .022  0  1 15.43 -0.25 -0.28  -0.27
Hill,K       22  123.7  70  7.3  7.1  .508  4 11  5.09  0.08  0.20   1.20
Levine,A      1    4.0   0  0.5  0.0 1.000  0  0  0.00  0.21  0.21   0.26
Mcdowell,J    4   19.0  17  1.1  1.8  .386  0  4  8.05 -0.57 -0.34  -0.11
Olivares,O   20  131.0  62  9.2  5.9  .608  8  9  4.26  1.22  1.53   2.78
Ortiz,Ra      9   48.3  35  2.4  4.0  .373  2  3  6.52 -0.68 -0.81  -0.33
Sparks,S     26  145.0  98  7.7 10.6  .420  5 11  6.08 -1.39 -1.47  -0.09
Washburn,J   10   54.7  30  3.4  3.4  .493  4  5  4.94  0.12  0.08   0.46
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  935.0 577 53.7 60.2  .471 42 68  5.55 -3.84 -2.97   5.30


BALTIMORE ORIOLES             Park Effect: -5.5%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Bones,R       2    6.3   6  0.2  0.8  .174  0  1  8.53 -0.23 -0.27  -0.25
Coppinger,R   2    6.7  10  0.1  1.2  .064  0  1 13.50 -0.59 -0.48  -0.46
Erickson,S   34  230.3 127 13.5 12.9  .511 15 12  4.96  0.28  0.13   2.27
Guzman,J     21  122.7  63  7.7  6.4  .546  5  9  4.62  0.59  0.53   1.70
Johns,D       5   33.0  14  2.0  1.3  .604  2  2  3.82  0.44  0.38   0.58
Johnson,J    21  114.7  73  6.1  7.7  .444  8  7  5.73 -0.78 -0.88   0.26
Kamieniecki,  3    8.3  14  0.4  1.5  .201  0  2 15.12 -0.87 -0.56  -0.43
Linton,D      8   47.0  30  2.1  3.1  .399  1  4  5.74 -0.33 -0.49  -0.13
Mussina,M    31  203.3  88 14.2  8.1  .637 18  7  3.90  2.52  2.83   4.74
Ponson,S     32  210.0 118 12.5 11.6  .519 12 12  5.06  0.05  0.46   2.27
Riley,M       3   11.0   9  0.3  1.3  .168  0  0  7.36 -0.26 -0.43  -0.40
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  993.3 552 59.0 56.0  .513 61 57  5.00  0.82  1.21  10.14


BOSTON RED SOX                Park Effect: +8.5%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cho,J         7   36.0  23  1.8  2.3  .441  2  3  5.75 -0.11 -0.16   0.07
Florie,B      2    7.7   2  0.7  0.2  .771  0  0  2.35  0.24  0.22   0.29
Gross,K       1    3.0   5  0.1  0.6  .091  0  0 15.00 -0.29 -0.26  -0.21
Martinez,P   29  208.3  55 18.3  3.8  .828 22  4  2.38  6.47  6.91   8.88
Martinez,R    4   20.7   8  1.7  0.9  .650  2  1  3.48  0.41  0.37   0.58
Mercker,K     5   25.7  12  1.7  1.1  .608  2  0  4.21  0.32  0.31   0.51
Ohka,T        2    5.7  12  0.0  1.5  .024  0  2 19.06 -0.78 -0.69  -0.61
Pena,J        2   13.0   1  1.4  0.0  .969  2  0  0.69  0.62  0.65   0.79
Portugal,M   27  143.7  94  8.3  9.8  .460  7 11  5.89 -0.64 -0.77   0.63
Rapp,P       26  126.0  71  9.0  7.6  .542  6  7  5.07  0.48  0.63   1.95
Rose,B       18   92.0  56  5.4  6.2  .466  6  5  5.48 -0.03 -0.37   0.48
Saberhagen,B 22  119.0  43  9.6  4.3  .690 10  6  3.25  2.64  2.42   3.67
Wakefield,T  17   93.7  71  4.3  7.3  .373  5  9  6.82 -1.30 -1.46  -0.61
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  894.3 453 62.2 45.5  .577 64 48  4.56  8.05  7.78  16.41


CHICAGO WHITE SOX             Park Effect: -1.2%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Baldwin,J    33  196.7 116 11.5 11.8  .494 12 13  5.31 -0.24 -0.19   1.60
Castillo,C    2    8.3   9  0.4  0.9  .333  0  1  9.72 -0.39 -0.24  -0.12
Daneker,P     2   12.0   8  0.5  0.8  .386  0  0  6.00 -0.10 -0.15  -0.05
Myette,A      3   13.7  10  0.5  1.2  .306  0  2  6.59 -0.20 -0.30  -0.21
Navarro,J    27  151.3 123  6.8 12.4  .353  7 12  7.31 -3.32 -2.77  -1.38
Parque,J     30  170.7 110  8.5 11.6  .421  9 15  5.80 -1.07 -1.50  -0.07
Sirotka,M    32  209.0 108 13.2 10.3  .562 11 13  4.65  1.17  1.33   3.21
Snyder,J     25  129.3 103  6.7 11.1  .375  9 12  7.17 -2.64 -2.15  -0.90
Sturtze,T     1    6.0   0  0.7  0.0 1.000  0  0  0.00  0.32  0.33   0.39
Wells,K       7   35.7  17  2.6  1.6  .627  4  1  4.29  0.33  0.43   0.84
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  932.7 604 51.3 61.7  .454 52 69  5.83 -6.14 -5.20   3.31


CLEVELAND INDIANS             Park Effect: +12.9%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Brower,J      2    9.3  10  0.3  1.0  .231  1  0  9.64 -0.38 -0.34  -0.25
Burba,D      34  220.0 113 13.6 10.1  .575 15  9  4.62  2.08  1.76   3.55
Candiotti,T   2    4.3  12  0.0  1.4  .013  0  0 24.92 -0.84 -0.68  -0.60
Colon,B      32  205.0  97 14.3  8.3  .632 18  5  4.26  2.68  2.86   4.68
Gooden,D     22  106.7  86  5.7  8.2  .409  3  4  7.26 -1.80 -1.05  -0.22
Haney,C       4   21.3  16  0.9  1.7  .349  0  2  6.75 -0.25 -0.40  -0.19
Karsay,S      3   13.0   6  1.1  0.7  .623  2  0  4.15  0.18  0.21   0.35
Langston,M    5   24.3  22  1.4  2.2  .380  1  2  8.14 -0.62 -0.47  -0.16
Nagy,C       32  201.0 117 12.3 10.7  .534 17 11  5.24  0.66  0.70   2.52
Wright,Jar   26  133.7  99  7.6  9.3  .450  8 10  6.67 -1.47 -0.94   0.42
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  938.7 578 57.2 53.7  .516 65 43  5.54  0.24  1.67  10.09


DETROIT TIGERS                Park Effect: +2.8%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Blair,W      16   81.3  79  3.1  8.4  .267  3  8  8.74 -2.87 -2.59  -1.81
Borkowski,D  12   66.3  56  2.8  5.8  .325  1  6  7.60 -1.56 -1.41  -0.86
Cruz,N        6   31.3  28  1.4  2.8  .326  2  3  8.04 -0.88 -0.70  -0.42
Florie,B      3   15.3   8  0.8  0.9  .466  1  0  4.70  0.09 -0.05   0.07
Graterol,B    1    4.0   7  0.0  0.8  .028  0  1 15.75 -0.43 -0.39  -0.33
Mlicki,D     31  191.7 108 11.8 10.3  .535 14 12  5.07  0.45  0.63   2.42
Moehler,B    32  196.3 116 11.2 11.7  .490 10 16  5.32 -0.04 -0.13   1.48
Nitkowski,C   7   37.3  19  2.7  1.4  .654  2  2  4.58  0.27  0.64   0.95
Thompson,J   24  142.7  85  9.2  8.2  .529  9 11  5.36 -0.09  0.33   1.82
Weaver,J     29  162.7 104  9.7 10.7  .476  9 12  5.75 -0.76 -0.60   1.05
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      161  929.0 610 52.8 61.1  .463 51 71  5.91 -5.81 -4.27   4.37


KANSAS CITY ROYALS            Park Effect: +5.5%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Appier,K     22  140.3  81  8.0  7.4  .519  9  9  5.19  0.25  0.33   1.45
Barber,B      3   10.0  15  0.3  1.7  .147  1  2 13.50 -0.83 -0.71  -0.56
Fussell,C     8   38.0  37  1.2  3.9  .240  0  4  8.76 -1.31 -1.27  -0.95
Mathews,Te    1    4.7   4  0.1  0.4  .180  0  0  7.71 -0.11 -0.13  -0.13
Pittsley,J    5   23.3  22  0.6  2.5  .199  1  2  8.49 -0.74 -0.87  -0.71
Reichert,D    8   36.7  38  1.6  4.0  .284  2  2  9.33 -1.48 -1.12  -0.78
Rosado,J     33  208.0 103 13.8  9.1  .604 10 14  4.46  1.94  2.09   4.10
Stein,B      11   67.3  30  4.8  3.0  .614  1  2  4.01  0.93  0.92   1.49
Suppan,J     32  208.7 113 12.9 10.2  .557 10 12  4.87  1.06  1.29   3.04
Suzuki,M      9   42.3  31  2.3  3.3  .415  1  2  6.59 -0.52 -0.47  -0.06
Wengert,D     1    5.0   8  0.0  0.8  .046  0  1 14.40 -0.46 -0.38  -0.31
Witasick,J   28  151.0 103  8.6 10.3  .454  9 11  6.14 -1.18 -0.84   0.54
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      161  935.3 585 54.2 56.6  .489 44 61  5.63 -2.45 -1.15   7.12


MINNESOTA TWINS               Park Effect: -1.8%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Hawkins,L    33  174.3 136  8.1 14.8  .355 10 14  7.02 -3.33 -3.21  -1.61
Lincoln,M    15   69.7  57  3.1  6.2  .330  3  9  7.36 -1.58 -1.40  -0.88
Mays,J       20  118.7  54  8.0  5.7  .582  6  9  4.10  1.33  1.15   2.16
Milton,E     34  206.3 111 13.0 11.1  .541  7 11  4.84  0.72  0.87   2.79
Perkins,D    12   53.7  54  1.6  6.1  .209  1  7  9.06 -2.16 -2.10  -1.65
Radke,B      33  218.7  97 15.2  9.1  .625 12 14  3.99  2.69  2.80   4.87
Rath,G        1    3.0   5  0.0  0.6  .056  0  1 15.00 -0.31 -0.26  -0.24
Redman,M      1    4.7   3  0.1  0.4  .240  0  0  5.79 -0.03 -0.09  -0.10
Ryan,J        8   40.7  23  2.6  2.4  .511  1  4  5.09  0.04  0.07   0.43
Sampson,B     4    9.0  21  0.2  2.6  .063  0  1 21.00 -1.48 -1.22  -1.02
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      161  898.7 561 51.9 59.1  .468 40 70  5.62 -4.10 -3.39   4.74


NEW YORK YANKEES              Park Effect: -8.1%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Clemens,R    30  187.7 101 11.0 10.4  .513 14 10  4.84  0.33  0.27   1.88
Cone,D       31  193.3  84 12.6  8.7  .591 12  9  3.91  2.24  1.84   3.53
Hernandez,O  33  214.3 108 13.5 10.4  .566 17  9  4.53  1.07  1.43   3.36
Irabu,H      27  158.0  92  8.7  9.9  .467 11  7  5.24 -0.39 -0.57   0.78
Juden,J       1    3.7   6  0.0  0.7  .042  0  1 14.73 -0.38 -0.32  -0.28
Mendoza,R     6   39.7  24  2.3  2.3  .502  2  3  5.45 -0.18 -0.05   0.36
Pettitte,A   31  191.7 105 11.1 11.2  .499 14 11  4.93  0.16 -0.07   1.64
Stanton,M     1    4.0   0  0.4  0.0 1.000  0  0  0.00  0.21  0.21   0.26
Yarnall,E     2   10.3   8  0.4  0.9  .327  1  0  6.97 -0.21 -0.25  -0.13
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162 1002.7 528 60.1 54.5  .524 71 50  4.74  2.85  2.49  11.40


OAKLAND ATHLETICS             Park Effect: +3.0%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Appier,K     12   68.7  50  3.8  4.9  .440  7  5  6.55 -0.88 -0.48   0.13
Candiotti,T  11   56.7  46  2.4  5.2  .314  3  5  7.31 -1.16 -1.26  -0.84
Haynes,J     25  135.0  98  8.1  9.7  .454  7 12  6.53 -1.70 -0.76   0.52
Heredia,G    33  200.3 119 11.9 11.4  .512 13  8  5.35 -0.08  0.24   2.03
Hudson,T     21  136.3  56 10.0  5.0  .665 11  2  3.70  2.24  2.26   3.60
Jarvis,K      1    4.3   6  0.1  0.6  .092  0  1 12.46 -0.32 -0.28  -0.23
Laxton,B      2    8.0  11  0.1  1.2  .085  0  1 12.38 -0.58 -0.49  -0.44
Mahay,R       1    5.0   1  0.4  0.1  .863  1  0  1.80  0.18  0.18   0.22
Olivares,O   12   74.7  43  3.8  4.6  .452  7  2  5.18  0.09 -0.37   0.22
Oquist,M     24  125.0  80  7.2  8.1  .468  9 10  5.76 -0.58 -0.36   0.66
Rogers,Ken   19  119.3  66  7.0  6.2  .530  5  3  4.98  0.40  0.39   1.39
Stein,B       1    2.7   5  0.0  0.7  .035  0  0 16.88 -0.32 -0.31  -0.26
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  936.0 581 54.8 57.7  .487 63 49  5.59 -2.69 -1.24   7.00


SEATTLE MARINERS              Park Effect: +8.2%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Abbott,P      7   43.7  22  2.6  2.1  .557  3  2  4.53  0.40  0.27   0.62
Bunch,M       1    2.7   3  0.2  0.2  .411  0  0 10.13 -0.13 -0.04  -0.01
Cloude,K      6   23.0  29  0.6  3.4  .146  1  2 11.35 -1.37 -1.36  -1.12
Fassero,J    24  131.0 113  6.0 12.0  .332  4 13  7.76 -3.07 -2.94  -1.66
Garcia,F     33  201.3  96 14.0  8.7  .618 17  8  4.29  2.34  2.58   4.37
Halama,J     24  152.0  75 10.0  6.8  .597  9  8  4.44  1.54  1.53   2.88
Henry,B       4   23.3  13  1.6  1.1  .584  2  0  5.01  0.10  0.27   0.43
Hinchliffe,B  4   14.3  20  0.4  2.2  .160  0  3 12.56 -1.03 -0.89  -0.70
Meche,G      15   84.0  45  5.3  4.2  .558  8  4  4.82  0.53  0.55   1.27
Moyer,J      32  228.0 108 15.7  8.8  .642 14  8  4.26  2.72  3.35   5.31
Ramsay,R      3   14.7  10  0.6  1.0  .380  0  1  6.14 -0.10 -0.16  -0.07
Rodriguez,Fr  5   26.0  15  1.9  1.2  .610  2  1  5.19  0.07  0.22   0.58
Suzuki,M      4   18.7  19  0.6  2.0  .228  0  2  9.16 -0.70 -0.65  -0.50
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  962.7 568 59.5 53.7  .526 60 52  5.31  1.30  2.73  11.41


TAMPA BAY DEVIL RAYS          Park Effect: +4.1%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Alvarez,W    28  160.0  92 10.3  8.8  .540  9  9  5.18  0.26  0.66   2.19
Arrojo,R     24  140.7  84  8.1  8.4  .493  7 12  5.37 -0.06 -0.01   1.13
Callaway,M    4   15.3  14  0.8  1.4  .369  1  2  8.22 -0.45 -0.33  -0.13
Eiland,D     15   68.0  45  4.0  4.8  .458  4  7  5.96 -0.43 -0.37   0.29
Lidle,C       1    2.0   2  0.1  0.3  .183  0  0  9.00 -0.07 -0.08  -0.09
Rekar,B      12   63.0  48  3.0  4.7  .394  5  5  6.86 -0.98 -0.80  -0.24
Rupe,R       24  142.3  81  8.9  8.1  .523  8  9  5.12  0.31  0.43   1.68
Santana,J     5   26.0  29  0.9  2.8  .235  1  3 10.04 -1.25 -0.90  -0.70
Saunders,T    9   42.0  39  2.3  4.3  .350  3  3  8.36 -1.30 -0.96  -0.50
Wheeler,D     6   30.7  20  1.6  2.0  .454  0  4  5.87 -0.17 -0.18   0.10
White,R       1    2.3   2  0.1  0.3  .263  0  0  7.71 -0.06 -0.10  -0.07
Witt,B       32  180.3 130  9.3 13.3  .412  7 15  6.49 -2.13 -1.97  -0.29
Yan,E         1    4.0   2  0.3  0.1  .678  0  0  4.50  0.03  0.04   0.12
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  876.7 588 49.9 59.3  .457 45 69  6.04 -6.30 -4.57   3.49


TEXAS RANGERS                 Park Effect: +13.7%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Burkett,J    25  129.3  89  7.8  9.1  .461  9  8  6.19 -0.78 -0.54   0.61
Clark,M      15   74.3  73  3.0  7.3  .293  3  7  8.84 -2.41 -2.01  -1.37
Fassero,J     3   14.0   5  1.2  0.4  .741  1  0  3.21  0.33  0.36   0.50
Glynn,R      10   50.3  42  2.0  4.4  .314  2  4  7.51 -0.96 -1.24  -0.70
Helling,R    35  219.3 127 12.9 11.8  .522 13 11  5.21  0.83  0.55   2.41
Loaiza,E     15   91.7  41  6.4  3.6  .638  8  4  4.03  1.43  1.35   2.15
Morgan,M     25  123.0 100  5.9 10.7  .357 11  8  7.32 -2.12 -2.28  -1.14
Perisho,M     1    6.0   0  0.7  0.0 1.000  0  0  0.00  0.33  0.33   0.42
Sele,A       33  205.0 115 12.1 10.9  .525 18  9  5.05  1.11  0.64   2.31
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  913.0 592 52.1 58.3  .472 65 51  5.84 -2.24 -2.84   5.20


TORONTO BLUE JAYS             Park Effect: +4.5%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Carpenter,C  24  150.0  81  8.9  8.2  .522  9  8  4.86  0.74  0.38   1.65
Escobar,K    30  168.0 116  9.0 11.6  .438 14 11  6.21 -1.49 -1.28   0.27
Halladay,R   18  104.3  54  7.4  5.4  .577  5  6  4.66  0.73  1.06   1.95
Hamilton,J   18   94.7  69  5.7  7.0  .451  7  8  6.56 -1.17 -0.66   0.33
Hentgen,P    34  199.0 115 11.4 11.8  .492 11 12  5.20  0.29 -0.18   1.56
Munro,P       2    8.0  13  0.1  1.3  .075  0  1 14.63 -0.76 -0.57  -0.49
Spoljaric,P   2   10.0  15  0.1  1.5  .053  0  2 13.50 -0.83 -0.69  -0.58
Wells,D      34  231.7 132 13.9 12.1  .534 17 10  5.13  0.51  0.76   2.83
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  965.7 595 56.6 58.9  .490 63 58  5.55 -1.96 -1.19   7.51


Multi-team pitcher totals:
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher   Teams GS   IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Appier,K    K/O 34 209.0 131 11.8 12.2  .491 16 14  5.64 -0.62 -0.16   1.58
Bere,J      C/M 14  62.7  46  3.3  5.1  .395  5  0  6.61 -0.99 -0.83  -0.26
Candiotti,T O/C 13  61.0  58  2.4  6.7  .265  3  5  8.56 -2.01 -1.93  -1.45
Fassero,J   S/T 27 145.0 118  7.1 12.4  .366  5 13  7.32 -2.73 -2.58  -1.16
Florie,B    D/B  5  23.0  10  1.5  1.1  .566  1  0  3.91  0.34  0.17   0.36
Guzman,J    B/C 33 200.0  96 12.9  9.7  .572 11 12  4.32  1.60  1.45   3.32
Hernandez,L F/S 30 199.7 110 10.8 11.5  .486  8 12  4.96 -0.75 -0.40   1.36
Mercker,K   S/B 23 117.0  70  6.6  7.8  .460  8  5  5.38 -0.43 -0.52   0.50
Mulholland,TC/A 24 146.3  84  8.7  8.2  .512  9  8  5.17 -0.34  0.09   1.48
Olivares,O  C/O 32 205.7 105 13.0 10.5  .553 15 11  4.59  1.31  1.16   3.00
Rogers,Ken  O/N 31 195.3 101 11.7 10.2  .534 10  4  4.65  0.99  0.76   2.39
Spoljaric,P P/T  5  17.7  38  0.1  4.0  .026  0  5 19.36 -2.54 -1.91  -1.64
Stein,B     O/K 12  70.0  35  4.9  3.7  .568  1  2  4.50  0.62  0.62   1.23
Suzuki,M    S/K 13  61.0  50  2.9  5.2  .356  1  4  7.38 -1.23 -1.12  -0.56


MAJOR LEAGUE Totals:
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 GS      IP      R    SNW    E(W)   SNL   SNPct   W    L    RA     APW   SNVA
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
4856  28640.0 16753 1674.1 1617.7 1710.5  .495  1697 1734  5.26 -36.30 -21.15



Return to Top

Definition of terms:
SNW = Support-Neutral Wins -- the pitcher's expected number of wins,
   assuming he had league-average support.
SNL = Support-Neutral Losses -- same as SNW except for losses.
SNVA = Support-Neutral Value Added -- the expected number of games the
   pitcher would be worth to an average team in the standings, over
   what a league-average pitcher would be worth.

The above three stats are calculated for each start, using innings
pitched and runs allowed plus the league's single-inning scoring
distribution, combined with simple probability theory.  They are
park-adjusted.


SNWAR -- "Support-Neutral Wins Above Replacement-level": the number
   of SNWs a pitcher has above what a .425 pitcher would get in the
   same number of (Support-Neutral) decisions.
SNPct -- SNW / (SNW+SNL)
W, L -- The pitcher's actual wins and losses
RA -- runs allowed per 9 innings
APW = Adjusted Pitcher Wins -- Thorn and Palmer's method for calculating
   a starter's value in wins.  Included for comparison with SNVA.  APW
   values here calculated using runs instead of earned runs.
E(W) = Expected Wins -- for each game, 0 if the pitcher pitched fewer
   than 5 innings, and SNW otherwise.  (This is *true* expected wins)
E(L) = Expected Losses -- same as SNL

Return to Top

Comments and questions welcome.


Baseball Prospectus Home