Final 2003 Support-Neutral W/L Report

by Michael Wolverton


The Support-Neutral statistics evaluate starting pitchers by measuring the probability that each outing will lead to the starter getting a win (SNW), the starter getting a loss (SNL), and the starter's team winning (SNVA), given league average support from the offense and the bullpen. More information can be found in a short summary of the stats, or in a long detailed article.

Best & Worst o Luckiest & Unluckiest o Reliever help o Flakiest & Steadiest o Team Rankings o Team-by-Team Stats o Definitions



(Numbers through end of 2003 regular season)

Top 30 ML Starters (ranked by SNWs over a .425 pitcher):
Pitcher       Team    SNW   SNL  SNPct   W  L    RA    APW  SNVA SNWAR
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Martinez,P     BOS   16.3   4.3  .789   14  4   2.51   5.0   5.5   7.5
Hudson,T       OAK   17.6   8.3  .680   16  7   3.15   4.5   4.6   6.6
Loaiza,E       CHW   16.9   7.4  .695   21  9   2.98   4.5   4.5   6.6
Schmidt,J      SFG   15.7   5.8  .728   17  5   2.43   4.7   4.8   6.5
Webb,B         ARI   14.2   5.0  .740   10  9   3.26   3.8   4.4   6.1
Halladay,R     TOR   17.5  10.4  .629   22  7   3.76   3.3   3.3   5.7
Vazquez,J      MON   16.0   8.5  .653   13 12   3.63   3.9   3.6   5.6
Prior,M        CHC   14.8   7.3  .668   18  6   2.85   3.7   3.5   5.4
Hernandez,L    MON   15.6   8.5  .647   14 10   3.65   3.7   3.4   5.3
Schilling,C    ARI   12.8   4.9  .724    8  9   3.11   3.8   3.8   5.3
Mulder,M       OAK   13.7   6.3  .684   15  9   3.18   3.4   3.5   5.2
Zito,B         OAK   16.0   9.7  .622   14 12   3.81   2.7   2.8   5.1
Brown,K        LAD   14.3   7.9  .646   14  9   2.86   3.6   3.0   4.9
Mussina,M      NYY   14.6   8.4  .633   17  8   3.61   3.1   3.0   4.8
Moyer,J        SEA   14.5   8.5  .632   21  7   3.47   3.1   2.9   4.8
Wood,K         CHC   14.7   8.8  .626   14 11   3.28   2.7   2.8   4.7
Colon,B        CHW   15.6  10.5  .598   15 13   3.98   2.3   2.4   4.5
Wells,K        PIT   13.2   7.6  .634   10  9   3.51   2.9   2.5   4.4
May,D          KCR   13.3   8.2  .618   10  8   4.32   2.7   2.5   4.1
Clemens,R      NYY   14.2   9.6  .597   17  9   4.21   1.7   2.2   4.1
Zambrano,C     CHC   14.0   9.4  .598   13 11   3.70   1.7   2.1   4.0
Nomo,H         LAD   13.8   9.6  .591   16 13   3.38   2.4   2.1   3.9
Batista,M      ARI   12.2   7.4  .621   10  7   3.92   2.6   2.1   3.8
Ohka,T         MON   14.0  10.1  .582   10 12   4.79   0.9   1.9   3.8
Willis,D       FLA   11.4   6.9  .624   14  6   3.42   1.8   2.1   3.7
Franklin,R     SEA   13.3   9.6  .582   11 13   3.95   2.0   1.8   3.6
Ponson,S       B/S   13.5   9.8  .578   17 12   3.92   1.8   1.7   3.6
Trachsel,S     NYM   13.4   9.8  .577   16 10   3.96   1.3   1.7   3.5
Leiter,A       NYM   12.4   8.5  .592   15  9   4.13   0.8   1.6   3.5
Maddux,G       ATL   14.3  11.3  .558   16 11   4.62   0.3   1.2   3.4

Return to Top

Bottom 10 ML Starters (ranked by SNWs over a .425 pitcher):
Pitcher       Team    SNW   SNL  SNPct   W  L    RA    APW  SNVA SNWAR
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Kennedy,J      TAM    4.4  11.3  .282    3 11   7.36  -3.2  -3.3  -2.2
Bonderman,J    DET    6.5  13.3  .327    6 19   6.78  -3.5  -3.3  -1.9
Estes,S        CHC    7.1  13.7  .340    8 11   6.65  -3.8  -3.3  -1.8
Brazelton,D    TAM    1.2   5.7  .180    1  6   9.12  -2.2  -2.1  -1.7
Ortiz,Ra       ANA    8.1  14.7  .356   16 13   6.05  -2.9  -3.2  -1.6
Heilman,A      NYM    2.1   6.5  .242    2  7   7.49  -2.1  -2.1  -1.6
Rusch,G        MIL    4.4   9.6  .314    1 12   7.62  -3.3  -2.6  -1.6
Haynes,J       CIN    3.9   8.9  .305    2 12   7.06  -2.7  -2.3  -1.5
Bierbrodt,N    TAM    0.2   3.7  .041    0  2  17.61  -2.1  -1.7  -1.5
Dempster,R     CIN    4.9   9.9  .331    3  7   7.11  -3.3  -2.5  -1.4

Return to Top

Luckiest 10 ML Starters (ranked by (W - E(W)) + (E(L) - L)):
Pitcher       Team    E(W)  E(L)    W  L   Diff.
------------------------------------------------
Pettitte,A     NYY   12.6  11.2    21  8   11.6
Ortiz,R        ATL   13.3  10.4    21  7   11.1
Ortiz,Ra       ANA    8.0  14.7    16 13    9.7
Lowe,D         BOS   11.6  11.3    16  7    8.7
Tomko,B        STL    9.2  13.6    13  9    8.4
Robertson,J    HOU    7.9  11.2    14  9    8.3
Moyer,J        SEA   14.5   8.5    21  7    7.9
Williams,W     STL   13.1  11.0    18  8    7.9
Halladay,R     TOR   17.5  10.4    22  7    7.8
Myers,B        PHI    9.9  11.9    14  9    7.0

Return to Top

Unluckiest 10 ML Starters (ranked by (W - E(W)) + (E(L) - L)):
Pitcher       Team    E(W)  E(L)    W  L   Diff.
------------------------------------------------
Cornejo,N      DET   11.1  12.0     6 17  -10.1
Schilling,C    ARI   12.8   4.9     8  9   -8.9
Webb,B         ARI   14.0   5.0    10  9   -8.0
Gonzalez,J     TAM   10.0   7.1     6 11   -7.9
Bernero,A      DET    4.1   7.7     1 12   -7.4
Maroth,M       DET    8.8  13.9     9 21   -6.9
Graves,D       CIN    7.5  11.4     4 14   -6.0
Vazquez,J      MON   15.5   8.5    13 12   -6.0
Bonderman,J    DET    6.3  13.3     6 19   -6.0
D'Amico,J      PIT    9.6  10.8     9 16   -5.8

Return to Top

20 ML Starters most hurt by their relievers (ranked by Bullpen Support):
Pitcher       Team   IR  E(IR)    RA/A  E(RA)/A  SNVA_n  SNVA     BSup
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Villone,R      HOU   11   5.3     4.16   3.69     0.70   1.33    -0.64
Hampton,M      ATL   11   5.1     4.26   3.98     0.97   1.58    -0.61
Davis,J        CLE   10   5.7     5.61   5.38    -1.20  -0.73    -0.48
Haren,D        STL    7   3.0     5.85   5.32    -0.98  -0.53    -0.45
Helling,R      BAL    6   2.5     5.96   5.73    -1.78  -1.35    -0.43
Williams,J     SFG   10   6.5     3.89   3.64     1.08   1.50    -0.42
Clemens,R      NYY   10   6.7     4.11   3.97     1.79   2.18    -0.39
Wolf,R         PHI    8   5.0     4.54   4.39    -0.26   0.09    -0.35
Pavano,C       FLA   11   6.8     4.69   4.48     0.55   0.89    -0.34
D'Amico,J      PIT   10   7.2     5.13   4.99    -0.87  -0.54    -0.33
Ortiz,R        ATL   12   9.2     4.23   4.11     1.12   1.45    -0.33
Garland,J      CHW    9   6.6     4.83   4.72     0.10   0.41    -0.31
Maroth,M       DET   10   7.6     6.35   6.23    -2.78  -2.47    -0.31
Affeldt,J      KCR    5   2.0     3.89   3.66     0.72   1.02    -0.30
Fossum,C       BOS    6   2.8     6.15   5.76    -0.95  -0.67    -0.28
Ramirez,H      ATL    8   5.4     4.44   4.31     0.66   0.93    -0.27
Gonzalez,J     TAM    6   3.9     4.10   3.98     1.06   1.33    -0.27
Thomson,J      TEX    9   4.7     4.42   4.27     0.55   0.81    -0.26
Callaway,M     A/T    6   4.0     8.26   7.73    -0.99  -0.73    -0.25
Cornejo,N      DET   12  10.3     5.34   5.26    -0.72  -0.47    -0.25

Return to Top

20 ML Starters most helped by their relievers (ranked by Bullpen Support):
Pitcher       Team   IR  E(IR)    RA/A  E(RA)/A  SNVA_n  SNVA     BSup
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Duckworth,B    PHI    4   9.8     6.30   6.97    -0.94  -1.45     0.51
Garcia,F       SEA    5   8.6     4.90   5.06     0.66   0.27     0.39
Seo,J          NYM    2   6.6     4.57   4.80     0.48   0.15     0.34
Ortiz,Ra       ANA    5   8.3     6.38   6.55    -2.90  -3.18     0.28
Pineiro,J      SEA    0   3.2     4.02   4.16     1.40   1.13     0.27
Lilly,T        OAK    6   9.5     4.61   4.79     0.46   0.20     0.27
Burkett,J      BOS    3   5.6     5.24   5.37    -0.83  -1.09     0.27
Kennedy,J      TAM    5   8.9     7.38   7.67    -3.00  -3.27     0.26
Moyer,J        SEA    4   6.6     3.49   3.61     3.15   2.89     0.26
Franklin,W     MIL    6   9.3     6.16   6.31    -2.76  -3.02     0.26
Buehrle,M      CHW    5   6.2     4.84   4.88     0.30   0.04     0.26
Chacon,S       COL    4   4.4     4.16   4.18     1.44   1.19     0.25
Batista,M      ARI    1   3.1     3.40   3.49     2.37   2.12     0.25
Kim,B          A/B    0   2.5     3.50   3.78     0.74   0.49     0.25
Prior,M        CHC    1   3.4     3.02   3.13     3.79   3.54     0.25
Schmidt,J      SFG    2   4.2     2.54   2.64     5.02   4.79     0.23
Loaiza,E       CHW    4   6.5     2.98   3.08     4.76   4.54     0.22
Cotts,N        CHW    1   3.7     8.09   9.93    -0.32  -0.54     0.22
Robertson,J    HOU   11  14.2     5.38   5.57    -1.01  -1.21     0.20
Tomko,B        STL    6   7.8     5.73   5.82    -1.94  -2.14     0.20

Return to Top

Flakiest 10 ML Starters (ranked by variance of SNVA):
(20 starts minimum)
Pitcher       Team   APW  SNVA   SNVA Var.
------------------------------------------
Chacon,S       COL   0.7   1.2    0.085
Zambrano,V     TAM   0.6   0.7    0.079
Anderson,B     C/K  -0.2   0.2    0.076
Morris,M       STL   0.8   0.7    0.075
Perez,O        LAD  -0.8   0.2    0.074
Lopez,R        BAL  -2.3  -1.8    0.073
Valdes,I       TEX  -1.1  -0.8    0.070
Day,Z          MON   1.2   1.3    0.069
Garcia,F       SEA  -0.1   0.3    0.069
Dempster,R     CIN  -3.3  -2.5    0.069

Return to Top

Steadiest 10 ML Starters (ranked by variance of SNVA):
(20 starts minimum)
Pitcher       Team   APW  SNVA   SNVA Var.
------------------------------------------
Redding,T      HOU   1.0   0.7    0.032
Wells,K        PIT   2.9   2.5    0.032
Wakefield,T    BOS   0.6   0.2    0.033
Davis,D        T/T   0.5   0.6    0.037
May,D          KCR   2.7   2.5    0.037
Westbrook,J    CLE  -0.4  -0.3    0.037
Burkett,J      BOS  -0.8  -1.1    0.040
Oliver,D       COL  -0.2  -0.8    0.041
Maroth,M       DET  -3.1  -2.5    0.041
Beckett,J      FLA   1.6   1.4    0.041

Return to Top

Team Totals (teams ranked by SNW-SNL):
Team     SNW    SNL   SNPct.  E(W)    W    L    RA   AdjRA  SNVA
-----------------------------------------------------------------
ARI     65.6   43.6    .601   63.8   50   56   4.29   3.72  10.5
MON     67.6   45.6    .597   64.4   55   57   4.27   3.77  10.5
OAK     68.0   47.6    .588   66.5   67   52   4.05   4.00   9.7
NYY     67.1   51.8    .564   66.5   83   42   4.36   4.25   7.3
LAD     63.5   48.3    .568   62.6   66   57   3.83   4.11   6.7
SEA     64.3   50.0    .563   62.8   75   58   4.17   4.20   6.6
SFG     60.6   48.4    .556   58.1   67   46   4.10   4.30   5.9
KCR     59.3   47.6    .554   55.8   57   49   5.08   4.23   5.5
FLA     62.2   50.8    .550   61.2   67   54   4.14   4.38   4.9
CHC     64.6   53.4    .547   63.6   68   55   4.12   4.37   5.1
CHW     62.4   52.5    .543   61.2   65   60   4.50   4.49   4.6
ATL     60.8   52.1    .539   59.6   74   39   4.62   4.57   3.9
BOS     58.0   51.4    .530   56.0   64   40   4.78   4.58   2.8
HOU     53.1   49.0    .520   49.6   59   54   4.74   4.59   1.9
MIN     56.6   56.2    .502   55.1   66   51   4.92   4.88  -0.1
PIT     54.8   54.9    .499   53.8   51   59   4.92   4.73  -0.4
PHI     54.6   57.5    .487   53.4   63   55   4.44   4.83  -1.8
TOR     56.2   59.4    .486   53.8   69   53   5.22   5.13  -1.9
NYM     53.2   56.6    .485   52.0   57   64   4.88   5.05  -2.1
CLE     52.7   57.1    .480   50.0   47   62   5.10   5.20  -2.4
STL     54.6   60.5    .474   53.3   61   52   4.80   5.15  -3.3
BAL     53.3   60.4    .469   52.0   53   62   5.17   5.27  -3.7
ANA     50.2   63.0    .443   48.9   57   71   5.35   5.64  -6.5
COL     47.5   60.6    .439   45.8   55   64   6.00   5.21  -6.3
TEX     44.3   61.8    .418   40.6   47   65   6.60   5.63  -8.0
TAM     47.2   64.7    .422   45.3   37   70   5.87   5.88  -8.5
SDP     47.3   65.4    .420   45.6   43   65   5.32   5.88  -9.0
DET     43.7   68.2    .390   41.4   29   94   6.14   6.39 -12.0
MIL     44.1   69.8    .387   42.3   39   73   5.93   6.04 -12.7
CIN     41.8   71.5    .369   39.4   33   72   6.25   6.55 -14.5
-----------------------------------------------------------------
ML    1679.0 1679.6    .500 1624.3 1724 1751   4.90   4.90  -7.1

Return to Top

Team Luck Totals
(teams ranked by ((SNW - E(W)) + (E(L) - SNL)):
Team    E(W)    E(L)    W    L    Diff
---------------------------------------
ATL     59.6   52.1    74   39   27.5
NYY     66.5   51.8    83   42   26.2
TOR     53.8   59.4    69   53   21.6
BOS     56.0   51.4    64   40   19.4
STL     53.3   60.5    61   52   16.3
MIN     55.1   56.2    66   51   16.1
PHI     53.4   57.5    63   55   12.1
SFG     58.1   48.4    67   46   11.3
COL     45.8   60.6    55   64    5.9
HOU     49.6   49.0    59   54    4.4
SEA     62.8   50.0    75   58    4.1
TEX     40.6   61.8    47   65    3.2
CHC     63.6   53.4    68   55    2.8
FLA     61.2   50.8    67   54    2.6
ANA     48.9   63.0    57   71    0.1
KCR     55.8   47.6    57   49   -0.1
BAL     52.0   60.4    53   62   -0.7
SDP     45.6   65.4    43   65   -2.2
NYM     52.0   56.6    57   64   -2.4
CHW     61.2   52.5    65   60   -3.6
OAK     66.5   47.6    67   52   -3.9
LAD     62.6   48.3    66   57   -5.3
MIL     42.3   69.8    39   73   -6.5
PIT     53.8   54.9    51   59   -6.9
CIN     39.4   71.5    33   72   -6.9
CLE     50.0   57.1    47   62   -7.9
TAM     45.3   64.7    37   70  -13.5
MON     64.4   45.6    55   57  -20.8
ARI     63.8   43.6    50   56  -26.2
DET     41.4   68.2    29   94  -38.2
---------------------------------------
ML    1624.3 1679.6  1724 1751   28.3

Return to Top

Team Bullpen Support Totals
(teams ranked by Bullpen Support of starting pitchers):
Team      IR   E(IR)   RA/A  E(RA)/A  SNVA_n  SNVA    BSup
----------------------------------------------------------
SEA       22   31.7    4.20   4.28     7.55   6.65    0.90
OAK       24   30.7    4.00   4.06    10.17   9.74    0.42
NYM       23   27.0    5.05   5.09    -1.65  -2.06    0.41
ARI       18   20.4    3.72   3.74    10.73  10.50    0.23
COL       32   34.8    5.21   5.23    -6.08  -6.29    0.21
CHW       36   36.8    4.49   4.50     4.83   4.63    0.20
CHC       32   35.1    4.37   4.40     5.14   5.06    0.09
MIN       34   36.0    4.88   4.90    -0.04  -0.06    0.02
PIT       33   33.7    4.73   4.74    -0.37  -0.35   -0.02
ANA       35   36.2    5.64   5.65    -6.58  -6.54   -0.04
BOS       28   26.7    4.58   4.57     2.69   2.75   -0.06
MON       31   31.7    3.77   3.77    10.39  10.49   -0.10
LAD       20   20.8    4.11   4.12     6.55   6.67   -0.12
CIN       41   37.6    6.55   6.51   -14.69 -14.51   -0.18
TOR       36   38.1    5.13   5.14    -2.07  -1.88   -0.19
MIL       34   33.7    6.04   6.04   -12.86 -12.65   -0.21
PHI       32   34.0    4.83   4.85    -2.05  -1.77   -0.28
BAL       43   42.3    5.27   5.27    -3.96  -3.65   -0.30
TAM       46   44.2    5.88   5.86    -8.82  -8.49   -0.33
FLA       30   28.2    4.38   4.37     4.52   4.88   -0.36
NYY       37   35.1    4.25   4.24     6.89   7.27   -0.38
HOU       46   44.1    4.59   4.57     1.48   1.92   -0.44
TEX       48   46.3    5.63   5.61    -8.47  -8.03   -0.44
CLE       30   28.5    5.20   5.19    -2.91  -2.39   -0.53
SFG       44   38.0    4.30   4.24     5.27   5.93   -0.67
DET       62   54.5    6.39   6.31   -12.86 -11.98   -0.89
STL       36   26.9    5.15   5.06    -4.23  -3.29   -0.93
KCR       46   34.6    4.23   4.14     4.47   5.55   -1.08
SDP       48   35.7    5.88   5.74   -10.19  -9.03   -1.15
ATL       47   34.8    4.57   4.46     2.72   3.89   -1.17
----------------------------------------------------------
ML      1074 1038.0    4.90   4.89   -14.45  -7.07   -7.38

Return to Top

Team-by-team stats:
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS          Park Effect: +26.5%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Batista,M    29  181.3  79 12.2  7.4  .621 10  7  3.92   2.6   2.1    3.8
Capuano,C     5   26.7  16  1.7  1.8  .488  2  3  5.40  -0.0   0.0    0.2
Dessens,E    30  166.7 102  9.0 10.2  .470  8  8  5.51  -0.3  -0.4    0.9
Gonzalez,E    2   11.0   7  0.3  0.9  .262  1  1  5.73  -0.0  -0.3   -0.2
Good,A       10   58.0  34  3.3  2.8  .542  4  2  5.28   0.0   0.2    0.7
Johnson,R    18  114.0  61  7.2  5.1  .585  5  8  4.82   0.6   1.0    2.0
Kim,B         7   43.0  17  3.0  1.8  .627  1  5  3.56   0.8   0.5    1.0
Patterson,J   8   41.7  32  1.7  3.4  .333  1  4  6.91  -0.7  -0.8   -0.5
Schilling,C  24  168.0  58 12.8  4.9  .724  8  9  3.11   3.8   3.8    5.3
Villarreal,O  1    3.0   2  0.2  0.3  .337  0  0  6.00  -0.0  -0.1   -0.0
Webb,B       28  179.7  65 14.2  5.0  .740 10  9  3.26   3.8   4.4    6.1
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  993.0 473 65.6 43.6  .601 50 56  4.29  10.5  10.5   19.2


ATLANTA BRAVES                Park Effect: +2.3%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Hampton,M    31  190.0  91 12.3  9.1  .576 14  8  4.31   0.9   1.6    3.2
Hodges,T      1    4.7   1  0.3  0.1  .703  0  0  1.93   0.1   0.1    0.1
Maddux,G     36  218.3 112 14.3 11.3  .558 16 11  4.62   0.3   1.2    3.4
Marquis,J     2   10.3   5  0.6  0.5  .534  0  0  4.35   0.0   0.0    0.1
Ortiz,R      34  212.3 101 13.3 10.4  .562 21  7  4.28   1.1   1.5    3.2
Ramirez,H    29  182.3  91 11.2  9.1  .552 12  4  4.49   0.5   0.9    2.6
Reynolds,S   29  165.3 104  8.7 11.5  .430 11  9  5.66  -1.6  -1.4    0.1
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  983.3 505 60.8 52.1  .539 74 39  4.62   1.4   3.9   12.8


CHICAGO CUBS                  Park Effect: -12.0%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Clement,M    32  201.7 100 12.0 11.1  .519 14 12  4.46  -0.1   0.4    2.2
Cruz,J        6   33.0  20  1.7  2.2  .432  1  3  5.45  -0.4  -0.3    0.0
Estes,S      28  151.7 112  7.1 13.7  .340  8 11  6.65  -3.8  -3.3   -1.8
Mitre,S       2    7.7   8  0.4  0.9  .330  0  1  9.39  -0.4  -0.2   -0.1
Prior,M      30  211.3  67 14.8  7.3  .668 18  6  2.85   3.7   3.5    5.4
Wood,K       32  211.0  77 14.7  8.8  .626 14 11  3.28   2.7   2.8    4.7
Zambrano,C   32  214.0  88 14.0  9.4  .598 13 11  3.70   1.7   2.1    4.0
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162 1030.3 472 64.6 53.4  .547 68 55  4.12   3.5   5.1   14.5


CINCINNATI REDS               Park Effect: -9.5%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Acevedo,Jo    4   26.0   8  1.8  0.9  .658  2  0  2.77   0.5   0.4    0.6
Anderson,J    7   37.7  39  1.0  4.2  .191  1  5  9.32  -2.0  -1.6   -1.2
Austin,J      7   28.3  27  1.3  3.5  .274  2  3  8.58  -1.3  -1.0   -0.7
Bale,J        9   44.3  23  2.7  2.8  .489  1  2  4.67  -0.1  -0.2    0.3
Dempster,R   20  112.7  89  4.9  9.9  .331  3  7  7.11  -3.3  -2.5   -1.4
Etherton,S    7   30.0  23  1.4  3.0  .322  2  4  6.90  -0.8  -0.8   -0.5
Graves,D     26  162.0 104  7.5 11.4  .396  4 14  5.78  -2.3  -2.0   -0.6
Hall,J        5   23.7  20  1.2  2.4  .330  0  2  7.61  -0.8  -0.6   -0.3
Harang,A      9   46.0  28  2.4  3.5  .406  4  3  5.48  -0.5  -0.5   -0.1
Haynes,J     18   94.3  74  3.9  8.9  .305  2 12  7.06  -2.7  -2.3   -1.5
Randall,S     2   10.3   7  0.3  0.9  .253  0  2  6.10  -0.2  -0.3   -0.2
Reith,B       1    5.0   0  0.5  0.0 1.000  1  0  0.00   0.2   0.3    0.3
Reitsma,C     3   17.3  14  0.9  1.5  .386  1  1  7.27  -0.5  -0.2   -0.1
Riedling,J    8   35.7  32  1.4  4.4  .246  0  3  8.07  -1.4  -1.4   -1.0
Serafini,D    4   18.7  18  0.7  2.0  .261  0  3  8.68  -0.9  -0.6   -0.4
VanPoppel,T   4   24.3  10  1.5  1.2  .548  2  1  3.70   0.2   0.1    0.3
Wilson,P     28  166.7  97  8.4 11.0  .433  8 10  5.24  -1.4  -1.3    0.2
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  883.0 613 41.8 71.5  .369 33 72  6.25 -17.3 -14.5   -6.3


COLORADO ROCKIES              Park Effect: +26.4%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Chacon,S     23  137.0  73  9.7  7.2  .574 11  8  4.80   0.7   1.2    2.5
Cook,A       16   87.0  63  4.2  6.9  .377  3  6  6.52  -1.1  -1.3   -0.5
Cruz,N        7   36.3  28  2.0  2.7  .417  3  3  6.94  -0.6  -0.4   -0.0
Elarton,S    10   50.7  44  1.9  4.6  .295  4  4  7.82  -1.3  -1.2   -0.9
Jennings,J   32  181.3 115 10.1 11.8  .461 12 13  5.71  -0.7  -1.0    0.8
Jimenez,J     7   39.7  20  2.5  1.7  .592  1  4  4.54   0.3   0.4    0.7
Jones,T       1    4.3   5  0.1  0.5  .150  0  1 10.38  -0.2  -0.2   -0.2
Neagle,D      7   35.3  31  1.6  3.1  .342  2  4  7.90  -0.9  -0.7   -0.4
Oliver,D     32  177.7 107  9.4 11.0  .461 13 11  5.42  -0.2  -0.8    0.7
Stark,D      13   71.0  54  3.2  5.7  .355  3  3  6.85  -1.1  -1.2   -0.6
Tsao,C        7   38.3  25  1.9  2.5  .439  3  2  5.87  -0.2  -0.2    0.1
Vance,C       3   16.0  12  0.5  1.5  .252  0  3  6.75  -0.2  -0.5   -0.3
Young,J       3   12.0  14  0.4  1.4  .214  0  2 10.50  -0.6  -0.4   -0.4
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      161  886.7 591 47.5 60.6  .439 55 64  6.00  -6.2  -6.3    1.5


FLORIDA MARLINS               Park Effect: -11.5%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Beckett,J    23  141.0  54  9.2  6.2  .597  9  8  3.45   1.6   1.4    2.6
Burnett,A     4   23.0  13  0.9  1.8  .326  0  2  5.09  -0.2  -0.4   -0.3
Pavano,C     32  199.0  98 12.5 10.6  .543 12 12  4.43   0.0   0.9    2.7
Penny,B      32  196.3  96 12.3 10.6  .538 14 10  4.40   0.1   0.6    2.6
Phelps,T      7   33.3  22  1.9  2.5  .434  3  2  5.94  -0.6  -0.3    0.0
Redman,M     29  190.7  82 11.9  9.1  .565 14  9  3.87   1.2   1.3    2.9
Tejera,M      6   30.0  18  1.8  2.0  .472  1  3  5.40  -0.3  -0.2    0.2
Wayne,J       2    5.3   7  0.2  1.1  .171  0  2 11.81  -0.4  -0.4   -0.3
Willis,D     27  160.7  61 11.4  6.9  .624 14  6  3.42   1.8   2.1    3.7
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  979.3 451 62.2 50.8  .550 67 54  4.14   3.2   4.9   14.2


HOUSTON ASTROS                Park Effect: +6.6%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Fernandez,J   6   30.0  16  1.5  2.0  .425  3  3  4.80   0.0  -0.2   -0.0
Johnson,Jo    3   14.3  10  0.5  1.2  .317  0  2  6.28  -0.2  -0.3   -0.2
Linebrink,S   6   29.0  13  1.9  1.3  .588  1  0  4.03   0.3   0.3    0.5
Miller,W     33  187.3  96 12.4  9.7  .562 14 13  4.61   0.5   1.2    3.0
Moehler,B     3   13.7  12  0.4  1.6  .206  0  0  7.90  -0.4  -0.6   -0.4
Munro,P       2    5.3  11  0.0  1.6  .014  0  2 18.56  -0.8  -0.8   -0.7
Oswalt,R     21  127.3  48  9.1  4.7  .660 10  5  3.39   2.0   1.9    3.2
Redding,T    32  175.0  84 10.5  9.1  .535 10 13  4.32   1.0   0.7    2.2
Robertson,J  30  152.0  94  8.4 11.2  .430 14  9  5.57  -1.2  -1.2    0.1
Rosario,R     2    8.0   2  0.8  0.1  .921  1  0  2.25   0.2   0.3    0.4
Saarloos,K    4   13.0  17  0.3  2.2  .125  0  1 11.77  -1.0  -0.9   -0.8
Villone,R    19  106.7  51  7.2  4.5  .618  6  6  4.30   0.6   1.3    2.3
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      161  861.7 454 53.1 49.0  .520 59 54  4.74   1.1   1.9    9.7


LOS ANGELES DODGERS           Park Effect: -14.7%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Alvarez,W    12   70.7  23  5.9  2.6  .697  6  2  2.93   1.1   1.5    2.3
Ashby,A      12   60.3  38  2.8  4.9  .368  3  8  5.67  -0.9  -0.9   -0.4
Brown,K      32  211.0  67 14.3  7.9  .646 14  9  2.86   3.6   3.0    4.9
Dreifort,D   10   60.3  29  3.2  3.3  .497  4  4  4.33   0.0  -0.0    0.5
Ishii,K      27  147.0  72  9.1  8.5  .518  9  7  4.41  -0.1   0.2    1.6
Jackson,E     3   19.0   3  1.8  0.3  .878  2  1  1.42   0.6   0.7    0.9
Kida,M        2   10.0   4  0.6  0.5  .580  0  1  3.60   0.1   0.0    0.2
Mullen,S      1    3.0   3  0.1  0.4  .225  0  0  9.00  -0.2  -0.1   -0.1
Nomo,H       33  218.3  82 13.8  9.6  .591 16 13  3.38   2.4   2.1    3.9
Perez,O      30  185.3  98 11.7 10.5  .526 12 12  4.76  -0.8   0.2    2.2
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  985.0 419 63.5 48.3  .568 66 57  3.83   5.9   6.7   16.0


MILWAUKEE BREWERS             Park Effect: -3.6%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Burba,D       2    9.7   6  0.4  0.7  .335  0  1  5.59  -0.1  -0.2   -0.1
Davis,D       8   52.3  18  3.7  1.9  .665  3  2  3.10   0.9   0.9    1.3
Ford,M        4   14.3  16  0.4  2.1  .161  0  3 10.05  -0.9  -0.8   -0.7
Franklin,W   34  192.0 129  8.8 14.8  .373 10 13  6.05  -3.0  -3.0   -1.2
Kinney,M     31  186.7 121  8.3 14.0  .373 10 13  5.83  -2.5  -2.7   -1.2
Manning,D     2    6.7  13  0.0  1.6  .023  0  2 17.55  -0.9  -0.7   -0.6
Martinez,L    4   16.3  18  0.3  2.4  .119  0  3  9.92  -0.9  -1.0   -0.8
Obermueller, 11   61.3  38  3.4  4.0  .462  2  5  5.58  -0.6  -0.3    0.3
Quevedo,R     8   41.3  30  1.9  3.5  .352  1  4  6.53  -0.9  -0.7   -0.4
Ritchie,T     5   28.3  17  1.5  1.8  .452  1  2  5.40  -0.2  -0.1    0.1
Rusch,G      19  100.3  85  4.4  9.6  .314  1 12  7.62  -3.3  -2.6   -1.6
Sheets,B     34  220.7 122 11.0 13.4  .449 11 13  4.98  -0.9  -1.4    0.6
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  930.0 613 44.1 69.8  .387 39 73  5.93 -13.4 -12.7   -4.3


MONTREAL EXPOS                Park Effect: +23.7%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
ArmasJr,T     5   31.0   9  2.6  0.9  .745  2  1  2.61   0.8   0.8    1.1
Day,Z        23  131.3  64  9.3  6.6  .586  9  8  4.39   1.2   1.3    2.6
Downs,S       1    3.0   5  0.0  0.6  .060  0  1 15.00  -0.3  -0.3   -0.2
Drew,T        1    4.7   5  0.1  0.6  .101  0  1  9.64  -0.2  -0.3   -0.2
Hernandez,L  32  224.3  91 15.6  8.5  .647 14 10  3.65   3.7   3.4    5.3
Kim,S         3   12.0  12  0.3  1.4  .181  0  1  9.00  -0.5  -0.5   -0.4
Knott,E       1    5.0   3  0.2  0.5  .283  0  1  5.40  -0.0  -0.2   -0.1
Ohka,T       34  199.0 106 14.0 10.1  .582 10 12  4.79   0.9   1.9    3.8
Tucker,T      7   26.7  18  2.0  2.3  .469  1  2  6.08  -0.2  -0.2    0.2
Vargas,C     20  109.3  58  7.5  5.7  .569  6  8  4.77   0.5   0.8    1.9
Vazquez,J    34  230.7  93 16.0  8.5  .653 13 12  3.63   3.9   3.6    5.6
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      161  977.0 464 67.6 45.6  .597 55 57  4.27   9.8  10.5   19.5


NEW YORK METS                 Park Effect: -6.8%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Astacio,P     7   36.7  30  1.4  3.5  .282  3  2  7.36  -1.1  -1.0   -0.7
Bacsik,M      3   14.7  12  0.4  1.6  .205  1  2  7.36  -0.5  -0.6   -0.5
Cone,D        3   11.0   9  0.6  1.1  .367  1  2  7.36  -0.3  -0.2   -0.1
Glavine,T    32  183.3  94 10.9 10.6  .509  9 14  4.61  -0.1   0.1    1.8
Griffiths,J   6   29.0  24  1.0  3.1  .241  1  4  7.45  -0.9  -1.0   -0.8
Heilman,A    13   63.7  53  2.1  6.5  .242  2  7  7.49  -2.1  -2.1   -1.6
Leiter,A     30  180.7  83 12.4  8.5  .592 15  9  4.13   0.8   1.6    3.5
Roach,J       2    9.0  12  0.1  1.5  .070  0  2 12.00  -0.7  -0.7   -0.6
Seo,J        31  183.3  90 10.8 10.3  .514  9 12  4.42   0.3   0.1    1.9
Trachsel,S   33  204.7  90 13.4  9.8  .577 16 10  3.96   1.3   1.7    3.5
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      160  916.0 497 53.2 56.6  .485 57 64  4.88  -3.4  -2.1    6.6


PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES         Park Effect: -17.6%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Duckworth,B  18   84.0  54  4.3  7.0  .382  4  7  5.79  -1.4  -1.4   -0.5
Millwood,K   35  222.0 103 13.5 12.1  .526 14 12  4.18   0.3   0.6    2.6
Myers,B      32  193.0  99 10.1 11.9  .459 14  9  4.62  -0.7  -0.9    0.7
Padilla,V    32  208.7  94 12.2 11.3  .518 14 12  4.05   0.6   0.4    2.2
Roa,J         3   12.0  10  0.6  1.4  .297  0  2  7.50  -0.4  -0.4   -0.3
Silva,C       1    4.0   3  0.1  0.5  .166  0  0  6.75  -0.1  -0.2   -0.1
Telemaco,A    8   45.3  22  2.6  2.4  .523  1  4  4.37  -0.0   0.1    0.5
Wolf,R       32  198.3  92 11.2 10.8  .508 16  9  4.17   0.3   0.1    1.8
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      161  967.3 477 54.6 57.5  .487 63 55  4.44  -1.6  -1.8    6.9


PITTSBURGH PIRATES            Park Effect: +7.8%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Benson,K     18  105.0  67  5.6  7.4  .430  5  9  5.74  -1.0  -0.9    0.1
D'Amico,J    29  175.3 104  9.7 10.8  .474  9 16  5.34  -0.8  -0.5    1.0
Figueroa,N    3   16.0   6  1.2  0.5  .689  2  0  3.38   0.3   0.3    0.4
Fogg,J       26  142.0  90  7.6 10.2  .427 10  9  5.70  -1.2  -1.3    0.0
Mahomes,P     1    5.0   2  0.3  0.2  .617  0  0  3.60   0.1   0.1    0.1
Meadows,B     7   31.3  25  1.5  3.1  .332  1  0  7.18  -0.8  -0.8   -0.4
Perez,Ol      5   23.0  15  1.4  1.9  .424  0  3  5.87  -0.2  -0.2   -0.0
Suppan,J     20  135.0  55  8.4  5.6  .600  9  7  3.67   1.8   1.4    2.5
Torres,S     16   81.7  51  4.5  5.4  .454  3  4  5.62  -0.6  -0.4    0.3
Vogelsong,R   5   21.0  18  1.3  2.2  .381  2  2  7.71  -0.6  -0.4   -0.2
Wells,K      31  197.3  77 13.2  7.6  .634 10  9  3.51   2.9   2.5    4.4
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      161  932.7 510 54.8 54.9  .499 51 59  4.92  -0.4  -0.4    8.2


ST. LOUIS CARDINALS           Park Effect: -14.8%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Calero,K      1    5.0   1  0.5  0.1  .861  0  0  1.80   0.1   0.2    0.2
Fassero,J     6   29.3  14  1.6  1.8  .483  0  2  4.30   0.0  -0.1    0.2
Haren,D      14   72.7  44  4.1  5.2  .443  3  7  5.45  -0.9  -0.5    0.2
Hitchcock,S   6   32.0  16  2.0  1.9  .518  4  1  4.50  -0.1   0.1    0.4
Morris,M     27  172.3  76 10.6  9.1  .540 11  8  3.97   0.8   0.7    2.3
Simontacchi, 16   85.3  63  4.1  7.4  .353  5  4  6.64  -2.2  -1.7   -0.8
Stephenson,G 27  165.3  91  9.1 10.5  .465  7 13  4.95  -1.1  -0.8    0.8
Tomko,B      32  197.3 117  9.4 13.6  .407 13  9  5.34  -2.2  -2.1   -0.4
Williams,W   33  220.0 100 13.2 11.0  .546 18  8  4.09   0.7   0.9    2.9
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  979.3 522 54.6 60.5  .474 61 52  4.80  -4.8  -3.3    5.7


SAN DIEGO PADRES              Park Effect: -20.9%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Bynum,M       5   23.0  24  0.6  2.9  .181  1  3  9.39  -1.4  -1.1   -0.9
Condrey,C     6   30.3  26  1.0  2.9  .248  1  1  7.71  -1.2  -1.0   -0.7
Deago,R       2   10.3   9  0.4  1.0  .295  0  1  7.84  -0.4  -0.3   -0.2
Eaton,A      31  183.0  91 10.0 11.2  .471  9 12  4.48  -0.5  -0.7    1.0
Howard,B      6   34.7  17  1.8  1.9  .482  1  3  4.41  -0.1  -0.1    0.2
Jarvis,K     16   92.0  65  3.8  7.6  .334  4  7  6.36  -2.3  -1.9   -1.0
Keisler,R     2    6.0   9  0.2  1.1  .132  0  1 13.50  -0.6  -0.5   -0.4
Lawrence,B   33  210.7 106 11.0 12.7  .465 10 15  4.53  -0.7  -0.8    1.0
Loewer,C      5   21.7  17  1.1  2.3  .323  1  2  7.06  -0.7  -0.5   -0.3
Peavy,J      32  194.7  94 11.6 10.8  .517 12 10  4.35  -0.3   0.2    2.1
Perez,Ol     19  103.7  65  5.2  8.2  .387  4  7  5.64  -1.7  -1.5   -0.5
Roa,J         1    3.3   5  0.1  0.5  .132  0  1 13.50  -0.4  -0.2   -0.2
Tankersley,D  1    0.0   7  0.0  0.9  .001  0  0   Inf   NaN  -0.4   -0.4
Tollberg,B    3   10.3  11  0.5  1.3  .287  0  2  9.58  -0.6  -0.3   -0.2
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  923.7 546 47.3 65.4  .420 43 65  5.32 -11.7  -9.0   -0.6


SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS          Park Effect: -9.6%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Ainsworth,K  11   66.0  31  4.0  3.4  .543  5  4  4.23   0.2   0.3    0.9
Brower,J      5   24.3  12  1.9  1.4  .578  3  2  4.44   0.0   0.2    0.5
Correia,K     7   34.3  15  2.1  1.9  .518  3  1  3.93   0.2   0.1    0.4
Foppert,J    21  108.0  67  5.8  7.6  .432  8  9  5.58  -1.3  -0.9    0.1
Hermanson,D   6   33.3  12  2.1  1.5  .578  2  1  3.24   0.5   0.3    0.5
Jensen,R      2    7.3  13  0.1  1.5  .066  0  0 15.95  -0.9  -0.7   -0.6
Moss,D       20  113.3  59  6.5  6.8  .490  9  7  4.69  -0.3  -0.1    0.9
Ponson,S     10   68.0  29  4.4  3.1  .584  3  6  3.84   0.5   0.6    1.2
Powell,B      1    4.7   7  0.0  0.7  .056  0  1 13.50  -0.5  -0.3   -0.3
Rueter,K     27  147.0  77  9.0  8.8  .504 10  5  4.71  -0.4   0.1    1.4
Schmidt,J    29  207.7  56 15.7  5.8  .728 17  5  2.43   4.7   4.8    6.5
Williams,J   21  131.0  54  8.7  5.5  .612  7  5  3.71   1.1   1.5    2.7
Zerbe,C       1    4.7   1  0.3  0.1  .669  0  0  1.93   0.1   0.1    0.1
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      161  949.7 433 60.6 48.4  .556 67 46  4.10   4.0   5.9   14.3


ANAHEIM ANGELS                Park Effect: -10.8%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Appier,K     19   92.7  60  5.5  7.2  .433  7  7  5.83  -1.3  -0.9    0.1
Bootcheck,C   1    3.3   8  0.0  0.8  .023  0  1 21.60  -0.6  -0.4   -0.3
Callaway,M    4   20.3  15  1.1  1.5  .427  1  2  6.64  -0.5  -0.2    0.0
Gregg,K       3   20.0   3  1.9  0.2  .904  2  0  1.35   0.7   0.7    1.0
Lackey,J     33  204.0 117 10.5 12.8  .451 10 16  5.16  -1.3  -1.2    0.6
Ortiz,Ra     32  180.0 121  8.1 14.7  .356 16 13  6.05  -2.9  -3.2   -1.6
Sele,A       25  121.7  82  6.5  9.8  .399  7 11  6.07  -2.0  -1.7   -0.4
Shields,S    13   78.7  40  4.8  4.1  .539  4  6  4.58   0.0   0.3    1.0
Washburn,J   32  207.3 106 11.7 11.8  .497 10 15  4.60  -0.0  -0.1    1.7
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  928.0 552 50.2 63.0  .443 57 71  5.35  -7.9  -6.5    2.1


BALTIMORE ORIOLES             Park Effect: -4.0%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Daal,O       17   88.7  65  4.5  7.3  .385  4 10  6.60  -1.8  -1.4   -0.5
Dubose,E     10   63.0  28  4.2  2.6  .619  3  5  4.00   0.5   0.7    1.3
Helling,R    24  138.7  90  6.9  9.5  .421  6  8  5.84  -1.6  -1.4   -0.1
Hentgen,P    22  138.7  67  8.3  6.7  .553  7  8  4.35   0.6   0.7    1.9
Johnson,J    32  189.7 100 10.3 11.4  .475 10 10  4.75   0.0  -0.5    1.1
Lopez,R      26  147.0 101  7.4 11.4  .394  7 10  6.18  -2.3  -1.8   -0.6
Moss,D        9   47.7  40  1.6  4.6  .255  1  5  7.55  -1.4  -1.4   -1.0
Ponson,S     21  148.0  65  9.1  6.7  .575 14  6  3.95   1.3   1.1    2.4
Riley,M       2   10.0   2  0.9  0.2  .842  1  0  1.80   0.3   0.3    0.5
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      163  971.3 558 53.3 60.4  .469 53 62  5.17  -4.5  -3.7    5.0


BOSTON RED SOX                Park Effect: +8.6%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Burkett,J    30  172.7 105  9.1 11.2  .450 10  9  5.47  -0.8  -1.1    0.5
Chen,B        2    9.0   7  0.3  0.8  .274  0  1  7.00  -0.2  -0.2   -0.2
Fossum,C     14   70.0  50  3.6  5.2  .410  5  5  6.43  -1.0  -0.7   -0.1
Kim,B         5   29.0  14  1.6  1.6  .497  2  1  4.34   0.2   0.0    0.2
Lowe,D       33  203.3 113 11.8 11.3  .510 16  7  5.00   0.1   0.2    2.0
Martinez,P   29  186.7  52 16.3  4.3  .789 14  4  2.51   5.0   5.5    7.5
Mendoza,R     5   24.3  19  1.4  1.9  .423  2  2  7.03  -0.5  -0.3   -0.0
Rupe,R        1    6.0   3  0.3  0.3  .508  1  0  4.50   0.0   0.0    0.0
Suppan,J     10   59.3  41  2.5  4.3  .366  3  4  6.22  -0.7  -0.8   -0.4
Wakefield,T  33  199.3 106 11.2 10.6  .513 11  7  4.79   0.6   0.2    1.9
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  959.7 510 58.0 51.4  .530 64 40  4.78   2.8   2.8   11.5


CHICAGO WHITE SOX             Park Effect: +0.3%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Buehrle,M    35  230.3 124 13.0 12.7  .505 14 14  4.85   0.0   0.0    2.1
Colon,B      34  242.0 107 15.6 10.5  .598 15 13  3.98   2.3   2.4    4.5
Cotts,N       4   13.3  12  0.6  1.8  .265  1  1  8.10  -0.5  -0.5   -0.4
Garland,J    32  191.7 103 11.4 10.5  .522 12 13  4.84   0.0   0.4    2.1
Loaiza,E     34  226.3  75 16.9  7.4  .695 21  9  2.98   4.5   4.5    6.6
Porzio,M      3   14.0  10  0.5  1.3  .259  1  1  6.43  -0.2  -0.4   -0.3
Stewart,J     5   25.7  18  1.4  1.8  .442  1  2  6.31  -0.4  -0.2    0.1
Wright,D     15   69.7  57  3.0  6.6  .311  0  7  7.36  -1.9  -1.7   -1.1
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162 1013.0 506 62.4 52.5  .543 65 60  4.50   3.9   4.6   13.5


CLEVELAND INDIANS             Park Effect: -4.1%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Anderson,B   24  146.0  88  8.2  9.1  .474  9 10  5.42  -1.1  -0.5    0.8
Bere,J        2    6.7   3  0.6  0.3  .694  0  0  4.05   0.0   0.2    0.2
Davis,J      27  165.3 101  8.9 10.5  .458  8 11  5.50  -1.4  -0.7    0.6
Durbin,C      1    4.3   5  0.2  0.4  .295  0  0 10.38  -0.3  -0.1   -0.1
Lee,C         9   52.3  28  3.0  3.0  .496  3  3  4.82  -0.0  -0.1    0.4
Mulholland,T  3   17.7  13  0.6  1.5  .298  0  1  6.62  -0.4  -0.4   -0.3
Rodriguez,R  15   81.7  57  4.1  6.2  .400  3  8  6.28  -1.4  -1.1   -0.3
Sabathia,C   30  197.7  85 12.1  8.7  .583 13  9  3.87   1.9   1.6    3.3
Stanford,J    8   44.7  17  3.0  2.0  .600  1  2  3.43   0.6   0.5    0.9
Tallet,B      3   15.7  11  0.6  1.3  .305  0  2  6.32  -0.3  -0.3   -0.2
Traber,B     18   88.7  58  4.9  7.1  .409  4  8  5.89  -1.1  -1.0   -0.2
Westbrook,J  22  118.3  66  6.5  7.2  .476  6  8  5.02  -0.4  -0.3    0.7
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  939.0 532 52.7 57.1  .480 47 62  5.10  -3.6  -2.4    6.0


DETROIT TIGERS                Park Effect: -8.2%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Bernero,A    17   99.7  67  4.2  7.7  .351  1 12  6.05  -1.5  -1.7   -0.9
Bonderman,J  28  151.3 114  6.5 13.3  .327  6 19  6.78  -3.5  -3.3   -1.9
Cornejo,N    32  194.7 111 11.3 12.0  .484  6 17  5.13  -1.0  -0.5    1.4
Knotts,G     18   92.0  64  4.8  7.6  .386  3  8  6.26  -1.6  -1.3   -0.5
Ledezma,W     8   35.3  26  1.9  3.1  .379  1  5  6.62  -0.8  -0.6   -0.2
Loux,S        4   15.3  12  0.9  1.4  .380  1  1  7.04  -0.4  -0.3   -0.1
Maroth,M     33  193.3 131  8.9 13.9  .391  9 21  6.10  -3.1  -2.5   -0.8
Mears,C       3   10.3  12  0.3  1.4  .162  0  2 10.45  -0.7  -0.5   -0.5
Robertson,N   8   44.7  27  2.4  2.9  .449  1  2  5.44  -0.4  -0.2    0.1
Roney,M      11   49.0  40  2.5  4.6  .354  1  7  7.35  -1.4  -1.1   -0.5
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  885.7 604 43.7 68.2  .390 29 94  6.14 -14.5 -12.0   -3.9


KANSAS CITY ROYALS            Park Effect: +33.5%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Abbott,P      8   42.7  22  2.9  2.2  .571  1  2  4.64   0.4   0.3    0.7
Affeldt,J    18   94.3  49  6.5  4.3  .604  6  5  4.67   0.9   1.0    1.9
Anderson,B    7   49.7  22  3.3  2.0  .622  5  1  3.99   0.8   0.7    1.1
Appier,K      4   19.0   9  1.4  1.0  .589  1  2  4.26   0.3   0.1    0.4
Asencio,M     8   48.3  29  2.6  2.6  .499  2  0  5.40   0.1  -0.1    0.4
Carrasco,D    2    8.3   4  0.7  0.2  .756  0  0  4.32   0.1   0.2    0.3
George,C     18   93.7  75  4.8  7.2  .400  9  6  7.21  -1.4  -1.1   -0.3
Gobble,J      9   52.7  32  3.2  3.0  .520  4  5  5.47   0.1   0.1    0.6
Hernandez,R  16   91.7  51  6.4  4.8  .570  7  5  5.01   0.6   0.7    1.6
Lima,J       14   73.3  40  5.3  3.9  .579  8  3  4.91   0.6   0.7    1.4
May,D        32  204.3  98 13.3  8.2  .618 10  8  4.32   2.7   2.5    4.1
Snyder,K     15   85.3  52  5.0  4.8  .510  1  6  5.48   0.2   0.2    0.8
Voyles,B      3   13.3  11  0.7  1.0  .418  0  2  7.43  -0.2  -0.1   -0.0
Wilson,K      4   21.3  13  1.3  1.0  .568  2  2  5.48   0.0   0.1    0.3
Wright,J      4   25.3  14  1.8  1.5  .548  1  2  4.97   0.2   0.1    0.4
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  923.3 521 59.3 47.6  .554 57 49  5.08   5.4   5.5   13.8


MINNESOTA TWINS               Park Effect: +1.6%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Balfour,G     1    2.7   4  0.0  0.6  .031  0  0 13.50  -0.2  -0.2   -0.2
Lohse,K      33  201.0 107 12.2 11.3  .520 14 11  4.79   0.2   0.4    2.2
Mays,J       21  110.3  84  5.0  9.5  .345  8  7  6.85  -2.3  -2.2   -1.2
Milton,E      3   17.0   5  1.3  0.6  .703  1  0  2.65   0.4   0.3    0.5
Pulido,C      1    3.0   3  0.1  0.4  .217  0  1  9.00  -0.1  -0.2   -0.1
Radke,B      33  212.3 111 12.1 11.6  .510 14 10  4.70   0.4   0.2    2.0
Reed,R       21  124.7  75  6.9  7.6  .477  5 12  5.41  -0.7  -0.4    0.8
Rogers,K     31  193.3 107 10.3 11.0  .484 13  8  4.98  -0.2  -0.3    1.3
Santana,Jo   18  110.3  37  8.6  3.7  .699 11  2  3.02   2.2   2.3    3.4
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  974.7 533 56.6 56.2  .502 66 51  4.92  -0.4  -0.1    8.7


NEW YORK YANKEES              Park Effect: +4.7%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Claussen,B    1    6.3   2  0.4  0.2  .710  1  0  2.84   0.1   0.1    0.2
Clemens,R    33  211.7  99 14.2  9.6  .597 17  9  4.21   1.7   2.2    4.1
Contreras,J   9   57.7  16  5.0  1.6  .754  6  1  2.50   1.5   1.6    2.2
DePaula,J     1    6.3   0  0.7  0.0  .972  0  0  0.00   0.3   0.3    0.4
Hitchcock,S   1    6.0   3  0.3  0.3  .501  0  0  4.50   0.0  -0.0    0.0
Mussina,M    31  214.7  86 14.6  8.4  .633 17  8  3.61   3.1   3.0    4.8
Pettitte,A   33  208.3 109 12.8 11.2  .533 21  8  4.71   0.6   0.7    2.6
Weaver,J     24  147.7 101  6.6 10.5  .386  7  9  6.16  -1.9  -1.8   -0.7
Wells,D      30  207.3 100 12.5  9.8  .560 14  7  4.34   1.4   1.2    3.0
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      163 1066.0 516 67.1 51.8  .564 83 42  4.36   6.8   7.3   16.6


OAKLAND ATHLETICS             Park Effect: +2.4%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Duchscherer,  3   14.3   7  1.0  0.8  .543  1  1  4.40   0.1   0.1    0.2
Halama,J     13   67.0  48  3.1  5.3  .370  3  5  6.45  -1.1  -1.0   -0.5
Harang,A      6   26.3  19  1.3  2.4  .343  1  3  6.49  -0.4  -0.5   -0.3
Harden,R     13   72.7  37  4.9  3.8  .560  5  4  4.58   0.2   0.5    1.2
Hudson,T     34  240.0  84 17.6  8.3  .680 16  7  3.15   4.5   4.6    6.6
Lilly,T      31  177.3  92 10.5 10.1  .511 12 10  4.67   0.4   0.2    1.8
Mulder,M     26  186.7  66 13.7  6.3  .684 15  9  3.18   3.4   3.5    5.2
Wood,M        1    2.0   7  0.0  0.9  .005  0  1 31.50  -0.6  -0.4   -0.4
Zito,B       35  231.7  98 16.0  9.7  .622 14 12  3.81   2.7   2.8    5.1
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162 1018.0 458 68.0 47.6  .588 67 52  4.05   9.3   9.7   18.9


SEATTLE MARINERS              Park Effect: -1.2%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Franklin,R   32  212.0  93 13.3  9.6  .582 11 13  3.95   2.0   1.8    3.6
Garcia,F     33  201.3 109 12.3 11.4  .518 12 14  4.87  -0.1   0.3    2.2
Meche,G      32  186.3  97 11.5 10.1  .532 15 13  4.69   0.3   0.6    2.3
Moyer,J      33  215.0  83 14.5  8.5  .632 21  7  3.47   3.1   2.9    4.8
Pineiro,J    32  211.7  94 12.7 10.4  .550 16 11  4.00   1.9   1.1    2.9
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162 1026.3 476 64.3 50.0  .563 75 58  4.17   7.1   6.6   15.7


TAMPA BAY DEVIL RAYS          Park Effect: -0.5%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Bell,R       18   96.7  59  5.2  6.3  .450  5  4  5.49  -0.7  -0.5    0.3
Bierbrodt,N   5   15.3  30  0.2  3.7  .041  0  2 17.61  -2.1  -1.7   -1.5
Brazelton,D  10   48.3  49  1.2  5.7  .180  1  6  9.12  -2.2  -2.1   -1.7
Gaudin,C      3   14.3   8  0.7  1.0  .419  0  0  5.02  -0.0  -0.2   -0.0
Gonzalez,J   25  156.3  71 10.1  7.1  .587  6 11  4.09   1.2   1.3    2.8
Kennedy,J    22  118.7  97  4.4 11.3  .282  3 11  7.36  -3.2  -3.3   -2.2
McClung,S     5   24.0  16  1.8  1.7  .514  3  1  6.00  -0.3   0.0    0.3
Parque,J      5   17.3  23  0.7  3.0  .189  1  1 11.94  -1.3  -1.1   -0.9
Parris,S      7   36.0  26  1.5  3.0  .339  0  3  6.50  -0.6  -0.7   -0.4
Reyes,C       3   16.7  14  0.5  1.3  .287  0  3  7.56  -0.5  -0.4   -0.3
Sosa,J       19  104.0  60  6.1  7.0  .468  5 11  5.19  -0.4  -0.5    0.6
Standridge,J  7   32.0  25  1.4  2.8  .340  0  5  7.03  -0.8  -0.6   -0.4
Waechter,D    5   33.0  13  2.2  1.2  .647  2  2  3.55   0.5   0.5    0.8
Zambrano,V   28  178.7  90 11.0  9.6  .534 11 10  4.53   0.6   0.7    2.2
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  891.3 581 47.2 64.7  .422 37 70  5.87  -9.9  -8.5   -0.4


TEXAS RANGERS                 Park Effect: +29.5%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Benes,Al      4   15.0  20  0.3  2.3  .102  0  3 12.00  -1.0  -0.9   -0.8
Benoit,J     17   82.7  54  4.9  5.7  .461  5  5  5.88  -0.3  -0.4    0.4
Callaway,M    3   12.7  16  0.5  1.7  .238  0  3 11.37  -0.7  -0.6   -0.4
Davis,D       1    3.0   4  0.0  0.5  .093  0  0 12.00  -0.2  -0.2   -0.2
Dickey,R     13   73.7  44  4.2  4.0  .513  5  5  5.38   0.1   0.2    0.7
Dominguez,J   3   14.0  13  0.4  1.3  .216  0  2  8.36  -0.4  -0.4   -0.4
Drese,R       8   37.0  32  2.0  3.4  .373  2  4  7.78  -0.8  -0.6   -0.3
Ellis,R       4   18.3  17  0.9  2.0  .311  1  1  8.35  -0.5  -0.5   -0.3
Lewis,C      26  127.0 104  6.3 10.4  .378 10  9  7.37  -2.3  -1.9   -0.8
Mounce,T     11   50.7  42  2.3  4.8  .324  1  5  7.46  -1.0  -1.2   -0.7
Park,C        7   29.7  26  1.5  2.7  .355  1  3  7.89  -0.7  -0.6   -0.3
Ramos,M       3   13.0   9  0.6  1.1  .366  1  1  6.23  -0.1  -0.2   -0.1
Santos,V      4   19.3  16  0.6  1.6  .268  0  2  7.45  -0.4  -0.5   -0.4
Thomson,J    35  217.0 125 13.0 11.3  .534 13 14  5.18   0.8   0.8    2.6
Valdes,I     22  115.0  83  6.7  8.3  .449  8  8  6.50  -1.1  -0.8    0.4
VanPoppel,T   1    4.0   5  0.1  0.6  .087  0  0 11.25  -0.2  -0.3   -0.2
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  832.0 610 44.3 61.8  .418 47 65  6.60  -8.5  -8.0   -0.8


TORONTO BLUE JAYS             Park Effect: +3.4%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Davis,D      11   53.7  31  3.1  3.3  .486  4  6  5.20  -0.2  -0.1    0.4
Escobar,K    26  163.0  77 10.6  7.8  .576 12  8  4.25   1.2   1.3    2.8
Halladay,R   36  266.0 111 17.5 10.4  .629 22  7  3.76   3.3   3.3    5.7
Hendrickson, 30  158.3 111  8.2 12.6  .394  9  9  6.31  -2.3  -2.2   -0.6
Lidle,C      31  192.7 133  9.1 13.7  .398 12 15  6.21  -2.6  -2.3   -0.6
Sturtze,T     8   44.0  38  1.7  3.8  .311  3  4  7.77  -1.3  -1.1   -0.6
Thurman,C     3    9.0  10  0.7  1.4  .338  1  1 10.00  -0.5  -0.4   -0.2
Towers,J      8   52.7  21  3.4  2.3  .600  6  1  3.59   0.7   0.6    1.0
Walker,P      7   33.7  23  1.7  2.5  .406  0  1  6.15  -0.4  -0.4   -0.1
Wasdin,J      2    3.7  11  0.0  1.6  .008  0  1 27.00  -0.9  -0.7   -0.7
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  976.7 566 56.2 59.4  .486 69 53  5.22  -3.0  -1.9    7.0


Multi-team pitcher totals:
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher   Teams GS   IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Anderson,B  C/K 31 195.7 110 11.5 11.1  .509 14 11  5.06  -0.2   0.2    1.9
Appier,K    A/K 23 111.7  69  6.9  8.2  .458  8  9  5.56  -1.0  -0.8    0.5
Callaway,M  A/T  7  33.0  31  1.6  3.2  .340  1  5  8.45  -1.2  -0.7   -0.4
Davis,D     T/T 20 109.0  53  6.9  5.7  .549  7  8  4.38   0.5   0.6    1.5
Harang,A    O/C 15  72.3  47  3.7  5.9  .382  5  6  5.85  -1.0  -1.0   -0.4
Hitchcock,S N/S  7  38.0  19  2.3  2.2  .516  4  1  4.50  -0.0   0.1    0.4
Kim,B       A/B 12  72.0  31  4.6  3.4  .574  3  6  3.88   1.0   0.5    1.2
Moss,D      S/B 29 161.0  99  8.1 11.3  .416 10 12  5.53  -1.7  -1.5   -0.2
Perez,Ol    S/P 24 126.7  80  6.6 10.1  .394  4 10  5.68  -1.9  -1.7   -0.5
Ponson,S    B/S 31 216.0  94 13.5  9.8  .578 17 12  3.92   1.8   1.7    3.6
Roa,J       P/S  4  15.3  15  0.7  2.0  .259  0  3  8.80  -0.8  -0.6   -0.4
Suppan,J    P/B 30 194.3  96 10.9  9.9  .525 12 11  4.45   1.0   0.5    2.1
VanPoppel,T T/C  5  28.3  15  1.5  1.8  .451  2  1  4.76  -0.0  -0.2    0.1


MAJOR LEAGUE Totals:
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 GS      IP      R    SNW    E(W)   SNL   SNPct   W    L    RA     APW   SNVA
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
4854  28583.0 15563 1679.0 1624.3 1679.6  .500  1724 1751  4.90  -39.5   -7.1



Return to Top

Definition of terms:
SNW = Support-Neutral Wins -- the pitcher's expected number of wins,
   assuming he had league-average support.
SNL = Support-Neutral Losses -- same as SNW except for losses.
SNVA = Support-Neutral Value Added -- the expected number of games the
   pitcher would be worth to an average team in the standings, over
   what a league-average pitcher would be worth.

The above three stats are calculated for each start, using innings
pitched and runs allowed plus the league's single-inning scoring
distribution, combined with simple probability theory.  They are
park-adjusted.


SNWAR -- "Support-Neutral Wins Above Replacement-level": the number
   of SNWs a pitcher has above what a .425 pitcher would get in the
   same number of (Support-Neutral) decisions.
SNPct -- SNW / (SNW+SNL)
W, L -- The pitcher's actual wins and losses
RA -- runs allowed per 9 innings
APW = Adjusted Pitcher Wins -- Thorn and Palmer's method for calculating
   a starter's value in wins.  Included for comparison with SNVA.  APW
   values here calculated using runs instead of earned runs.
E(W) = Expected Wins -- for each game, 0 if the pitcher pitched fewer
   than 5 innings, and SNW otherwise.  (This is *true* expected wins)
E(L) = Expected Losses -- same as SNL

Return to Top

Comments and questions welcome.


Baseball Prospectus Home