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Final 2003 Support-Neutral W/L Report by Michael Wolverton The Support-Neutral statistics evaluate starting pitchers by measuring the probability that each outing will lead to the starter getting a win (SNW), the starter getting a loss (SNL), and the starter's team winning (SNVA), given league average support from the offense and the bullpen. More information can be found in a short summary of the stats, or in a long detailed article. Best & Worst o Luckiest & Unluckiest o Reliever help o Flakiest & Steadiest o Team Rankings o Team-by-Team Stats o Definitions (Numbers through end of 2003 regular season) Top 30 ML Starters (ranked by SNWs over a .425 pitcher): Pitcher Team SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR ----------------------------------------------------------------------- Martinez,P BOS 16.3 4.3 .789 14 4 2.51 5.0 5.5 7.5 Hudson,T OAK 17.6 8.3 .680 16 7 3.15 4.5 4.6 6.6 Loaiza,E CHW 16.9 7.4 .695 21 9 2.98 4.5 4.5 6.6 Schmidt,J SFG 15.7 5.8 .728 17 5 2.43 4.7 4.8 6.5 Webb,B ARI 14.2 5.0 .740 10 9 3.26 3.8 4.4 6.1 Halladay,R TOR 17.5 10.4 .629 22 7 3.76 3.3 3.3 5.7 Vazquez,J MON 16.0 8.5 .653 13 12 3.63 3.9 3.6 5.6 Prior,M CHC 14.8 7.3 .668 18 6 2.85 3.7 3.5 5.4 Hernandez,L MON 15.6 8.5 .647 14 10 3.65 3.7 3.4 5.3 Schilling,C ARI 12.8 4.9 .724 8 9 3.11 3.8 3.8 5.3 Mulder,M OAK 13.7 6.3 .684 15 9 3.18 3.4 3.5 5.2 Zito,B OAK 16.0 9.7 .622 14 12 3.81 2.7 2.8 5.1 Brown,K LAD 14.3 7.9 .646 14 9 2.86 3.6 3.0 4.9 Mussina,M NYY 14.6 8.4 .633 17 8 3.61 3.1 3.0 4.8 Moyer,J SEA 14.5 8.5 .632 21 7 3.47 3.1 2.9 4.8 Wood,K CHC 14.7 8.8 .626 14 11 3.28 2.7 2.8 4.7 Colon,B CHW 15.6 10.5 .598 15 13 3.98 2.3 2.4 4.5 Wells,K PIT 13.2 7.6 .634 10 9 3.51 2.9 2.5 4.4 May,D KCR 13.3 8.2 .618 10 8 4.32 2.7 2.5 4.1 Clemens,R NYY 14.2 9.6 .597 17 9 4.21 1.7 2.2 4.1 Zambrano,C CHC 14.0 9.4 .598 13 11 3.70 1.7 2.1 4.0 Nomo,H LAD 13.8 9.6 .591 16 13 3.38 2.4 2.1 3.9 Batista,M ARI 12.2 7.4 .621 10 7 3.92 2.6 2.1 3.8 Ohka,T MON 14.0 10.1 .582 10 12 4.79 0.9 1.9 3.8 Willis,D FLA 11.4 6.9 .624 14 6 3.42 1.8 2.1 3.7 Franklin,R SEA 13.3 9.6 .582 11 13 3.95 2.0 1.8 3.6 Ponson,S B/S 13.5 9.8 .578 17 12 3.92 1.8 1.7 3.6 Trachsel,S NYM 13.4 9.8 .577 16 10 3.96 1.3 1.7 3.5 Leiter,A NYM 12.4 8.5 .592 15 9 4.13 0.8 1.6 3.5 Maddux,G ATL 14.3 11.3 .558 16 11 4.62 0.3 1.2 3.4 Return to Top Bottom 10 ML Starters (ranked by SNWs over a .425 pitcher): Pitcher Team SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR ----------------------------------------------------------------------- Kennedy,J TAM 4.4 11.3 .282 3 11 7.36 -3.2 -3.3 -2.2 Bonderman,J DET 6.5 13.3 .327 6 19 6.78 -3.5 -3.3 -1.9 Estes,S CHC 7.1 13.7 .340 8 11 6.65 -3.8 -3.3 -1.8 Brazelton,D TAM 1.2 5.7 .180 1 6 9.12 -2.2 -2.1 -1.7 Ortiz,Ra ANA 8.1 14.7 .356 16 13 6.05 -2.9 -3.2 -1.6 Heilman,A NYM 2.1 6.5 .242 2 7 7.49 -2.1 -2.1 -1.6 Rusch,G MIL 4.4 9.6 .314 1 12 7.62 -3.3 -2.6 -1.6 Haynes,J CIN 3.9 8.9 .305 2 12 7.06 -2.7 -2.3 -1.5 Bierbrodt,N TAM 0.2 3.7 .041 0 2 17.61 -2.1 -1.7 -1.5 Dempster,R CIN 4.9 9.9 .331 3 7 7.11 -3.3 -2.5 -1.4 Return to Top Luckiest 10 ML Starters (ranked by (W - E(W)) + (E(L) - L)): Pitcher Team E(W) E(L) W L Diff. ------------------------------------------------ Pettitte,A NYY 12.6 11.2 21 8 11.6 Ortiz,R ATL 13.3 10.4 21 7 11.1 Ortiz,Ra ANA 8.0 14.7 16 13 9.7 Lowe,D BOS 11.6 11.3 16 7 8.7 Tomko,B STL 9.2 13.6 13 9 8.4 Robertson,J HOU 7.9 11.2 14 9 8.3 Moyer,J SEA 14.5 8.5 21 7 7.9 Williams,W STL 13.1 11.0 18 8 7.9 Halladay,R TOR 17.5 10.4 22 7 7.8 Myers,B PHI 9.9 11.9 14 9 7.0 Return to Top Unluckiest 10 ML Starters (ranked by (W - E(W)) + (E(L) - L)): Pitcher Team E(W) E(L) W L Diff. ------------------------------------------------ Cornejo,N DET 11.1 12.0 6 17 -10.1 Schilling,C ARI 12.8 4.9 8 9 -8.9 Webb,B ARI 14.0 5.0 10 9 -8.0 Gonzalez,J TAM 10.0 7.1 6 11 -7.9 Bernero,A DET 4.1 7.7 1 12 -7.4 Maroth,M DET 8.8 13.9 9 21 -6.9 Graves,D CIN 7.5 11.4 4 14 -6.0 Vazquez,J MON 15.5 8.5 13 12 -6.0 Bonderman,J DET 6.3 13.3 6 19 -6.0 D'Amico,J PIT 9.6 10.8 9 16 -5.8 Return to Top 20 ML Starters most hurt by their relievers (ranked by Bullpen Support): Pitcher Team IR E(IR) RA/A E(RA)/A SNVA_n SNVA BSup ----------------------------------------------------------------------- Villone,R HOU 11 5.3 4.16 3.69 0.70 1.33 -0.64 Hampton,M ATL 11 5.1 4.26 3.98 0.97 1.58 -0.61 Davis,J CLE 10 5.7 5.61 5.38 -1.20 -0.73 -0.48 Haren,D STL 7 3.0 5.85 5.32 -0.98 -0.53 -0.45 Helling,R BAL 6 2.5 5.96 5.73 -1.78 -1.35 -0.43 Williams,J SFG 10 6.5 3.89 3.64 1.08 1.50 -0.42 Clemens,R NYY 10 6.7 4.11 3.97 1.79 2.18 -0.39 Wolf,R PHI 8 5.0 4.54 4.39 -0.26 0.09 -0.35 Pavano,C FLA 11 6.8 4.69 4.48 0.55 0.89 -0.34 D'Amico,J PIT 10 7.2 5.13 4.99 -0.87 -0.54 -0.33 Ortiz,R ATL 12 9.2 4.23 4.11 1.12 1.45 -0.33 Garland,J CHW 9 6.6 4.83 4.72 0.10 0.41 -0.31 Maroth,M DET 10 7.6 6.35 6.23 -2.78 -2.47 -0.31 Affeldt,J KCR 5 2.0 3.89 3.66 0.72 1.02 -0.30 Fossum,C BOS 6 2.8 6.15 5.76 -0.95 -0.67 -0.28 Ramirez,H ATL 8 5.4 4.44 4.31 0.66 0.93 -0.27 Gonzalez,J TAM 6 3.9 4.10 3.98 1.06 1.33 -0.27 Thomson,J TEX 9 4.7 4.42 4.27 0.55 0.81 -0.26 Callaway,M A/T 6 4.0 8.26 7.73 -0.99 -0.73 -0.25 Cornejo,N DET 12 10.3 5.34 5.26 -0.72 -0.47 -0.25 Return to Top 20 ML Starters most helped by their relievers (ranked by Bullpen Support): Pitcher Team IR E(IR) RA/A E(RA)/A SNVA_n SNVA BSup ----------------------------------------------------------------------- Duckworth,B PHI 4 9.8 6.30 6.97 -0.94 -1.45 0.51 Garcia,F SEA 5 8.6 4.90 5.06 0.66 0.27 0.39 Seo,J NYM 2 6.6 4.57 4.80 0.48 0.15 0.34 Ortiz,Ra ANA 5 8.3 6.38 6.55 -2.90 -3.18 0.28 Pineiro,J SEA 0 3.2 4.02 4.16 1.40 1.13 0.27 Lilly,T OAK 6 9.5 4.61 4.79 0.46 0.20 0.27 Burkett,J BOS 3 5.6 5.24 5.37 -0.83 -1.09 0.27 Kennedy,J TAM 5 8.9 7.38 7.67 -3.00 -3.27 0.26 Moyer,J SEA 4 6.6 3.49 3.61 3.15 2.89 0.26 Franklin,W MIL 6 9.3 6.16 6.31 -2.76 -3.02 0.26 Buehrle,M CHW 5 6.2 4.84 4.88 0.30 0.04 0.26 Chacon,S COL 4 4.4 4.16 4.18 1.44 1.19 0.25 Batista,M ARI 1 3.1 3.40 3.49 2.37 2.12 0.25 Kim,B A/B 0 2.5 3.50 3.78 0.74 0.49 0.25 Prior,M CHC 1 3.4 3.02 3.13 3.79 3.54 0.25 Schmidt,J SFG 2 4.2 2.54 2.64 5.02 4.79 0.23 Loaiza,E CHW 4 6.5 2.98 3.08 4.76 4.54 0.22 Cotts,N CHW 1 3.7 8.09 9.93 -0.32 -0.54 0.22 Robertson,J HOU 11 14.2 5.38 5.57 -1.01 -1.21 0.20 Tomko,B STL 6 7.8 5.73 5.82 -1.94 -2.14 0.20 Return to Top Flakiest 10 ML Starters (ranked by variance of SNVA): (20 starts minimum) Pitcher Team APW SNVA SNVA Var. ------------------------------------------ Chacon,S COL 0.7 1.2 0.085 Zambrano,V TAM 0.6 0.7 0.079 Anderson,B C/K -0.2 0.2 0.076 Morris,M STL 0.8 0.7 0.075 Perez,O LAD -0.8 0.2 0.074 Lopez,R BAL -2.3 -1.8 0.073 Valdes,I TEX -1.1 -0.8 0.070 Day,Z MON 1.2 1.3 0.069 Garcia,F SEA -0.1 0.3 0.069 Dempster,R CIN -3.3 -2.5 0.069 Return to Top Steadiest 10 ML Starters (ranked by variance of SNVA): (20 starts minimum) Pitcher Team APW SNVA SNVA Var. ------------------------------------------ Redding,T HOU 1.0 0.7 0.032 Wells,K PIT 2.9 2.5 0.032 Wakefield,T BOS 0.6 0.2 0.033 Davis,D T/T 0.5 0.6 0.037 May,D KCR 2.7 2.5 0.037 Westbrook,J CLE -0.4 -0.3 0.037 Burkett,J BOS -0.8 -1.1 0.040 Oliver,D COL -0.2 -0.8 0.041 Maroth,M DET -3.1 -2.5 0.041 Beckett,J FLA 1.6 1.4 0.041 Return to Top Team Totals (teams ranked by SNW-SNL): Team SNW SNL SNPct. E(W) W L RA AdjRA SNVA ----------------------------------------------------------------- ARI 65.6 43.6 .601 63.8 50 56 4.29 3.72 10.5 MON 67.6 45.6 .597 64.4 55 57 4.27 3.77 10.5 OAK 68.0 47.6 .588 66.5 67 52 4.05 4.00 9.7 NYY 67.1 51.8 .564 66.5 83 42 4.36 4.25 7.3 LAD 63.5 48.3 .568 62.6 66 57 3.83 4.11 6.7 SEA 64.3 50.0 .563 62.8 75 58 4.17 4.20 6.6 SFG 60.6 48.4 .556 58.1 67 46 4.10 4.30 5.9 KCR 59.3 47.6 .554 55.8 57 49 5.08 4.23 5.5 FLA 62.2 50.8 .550 61.2 67 54 4.14 4.38 4.9 CHC 64.6 53.4 .547 63.6 68 55 4.12 4.37 5.1 CHW 62.4 52.5 .543 61.2 65 60 4.50 4.49 4.6 ATL 60.8 52.1 .539 59.6 74 39 4.62 4.57 3.9 BOS 58.0 51.4 .530 56.0 64 40 4.78 4.58 2.8 HOU 53.1 49.0 .520 49.6 59 54 4.74 4.59 1.9 MIN 56.6 56.2 .502 55.1 66 51 4.92 4.88 -0.1 PIT 54.8 54.9 .499 53.8 51 59 4.92 4.73 -0.4 PHI 54.6 57.5 .487 53.4 63 55 4.44 4.83 -1.8 TOR 56.2 59.4 .486 53.8 69 53 5.22 5.13 -1.9 NYM 53.2 56.6 .485 52.0 57 64 4.88 5.05 -2.1 CLE 52.7 57.1 .480 50.0 47 62 5.10 5.20 -2.4 STL 54.6 60.5 .474 53.3 61 52 4.80 5.15 -3.3 BAL 53.3 60.4 .469 52.0 53 62 5.17 5.27 -3.7 ANA 50.2 63.0 .443 48.9 57 71 5.35 5.64 -6.5 COL 47.5 60.6 .439 45.8 55 64 6.00 5.21 -6.3 TEX 44.3 61.8 .418 40.6 47 65 6.60 5.63 -8.0 TAM 47.2 64.7 .422 45.3 37 70 5.87 5.88 -8.5 SDP 47.3 65.4 .420 45.6 43 65 5.32 5.88 -9.0 DET 43.7 68.2 .390 41.4 29 94 6.14 6.39 -12.0 MIL 44.1 69.8 .387 42.3 39 73 5.93 6.04 -12.7 CIN 41.8 71.5 .369 39.4 33 72 6.25 6.55 -14.5 ----------------------------------------------------------------- ML 1679.0 1679.6 .500 1624.3 1724 1751 4.90 4.90 -7.1 Return to Top Team Luck Totals (teams ranked by ((SNW - E(W)) + (E(L) - SNL)): Team E(W) E(L) W L Diff --------------------------------------- ATL 59.6 52.1 74 39 27.5 NYY 66.5 51.8 83 42 26.2 TOR 53.8 59.4 69 53 21.6 BOS 56.0 51.4 64 40 19.4 STL 53.3 60.5 61 52 16.3 MIN 55.1 56.2 66 51 16.1 PHI 53.4 57.5 63 55 12.1 SFG 58.1 48.4 67 46 11.3 COL 45.8 60.6 55 64 5.9 HOU 49.6 49.0 59 54 4.4 SEA 62.8 50.0 75 58 4.1 TEX 40.6 61.8 47 65 3.2 CHC 63.6 53.4 68 55 2.8 FLA 61.2 50.8 67 54 2.6 ANA 48.9 63.0 57 71 0.1 KCR 55.8 47.6 57 49 -0.1 BAL 52.0 60.4 53 62 -0.7 SDP 45.6 65.4 43 65 -2.2 NYM 52.0 56.6 57 64 -2.4 CHW 61.2 52.5 65 60 -3.6 OAK 66.5 47.6 67 52 -3.9 LAD 62.6 48.3 66 57 -5.3 MIL 42.3 69.8 39 73 -6.5 PIT 53.8 54.9 51 59 -6.9 CIN 39.4 71.5 33 72 -6.9 CLE 50.0 57.1 47 62 -7.9 TAM 45.3 64.7 37 70 -13.5 MON 64.4 45.6 55 57 -20.8 ARI 63.8 43.6 50 56 -26.2 DET 41.4 68.2 29 94 -38.2 --------------------------------------- ML 1624.3 1679.6 1724 1751 28.3 Return to Top Team Bullpen Support Totals (teams ranked by Bullpen Support of starting pitchers): Team IR E(IR) RA/A E(RA)/A SNVA_n SNVA BSup ---------------------------------------------------------- SEA 22 31.7 4.20 4.28 7.55 6.65 0.90 OAK 24 30.7 4.00 4.06 10.17 9.74 0.42 NYM 23 27.0 5.05 5.09 -1.65 -2.06 0.41 ARI 18 20.4 3.72 3.74 10.73 10.50 0.23 COL 32 34.8 5.21 5.23 -6.08 -6.29 0.21 CHW 36 36.8 4.49 4.50 4.83 4.63 0.20 CHC 32 35.1 4.37 4.40 5.14 5.06 0.09 MIN 34 36.0 4.88 4.90 -0.04 -0.06 0.02 PIT 33 33.7 4.73 4.74 -0.37 -0.35 -0.02 ANA 35 36.2 5.64 5.65 -6.58 -6.54 -0.04 BOS 28 26.7 4.58 4.57 2.69 2.75 -0.06 MON 31 31.7 3.77 3.77 10.39 10.49 -0.10 LAD 20 20.8 4.11 4.12 6.55 6.67 -0.12 CIN 41 37.6 6.55 6.51 -14.69 -14.51 -0.18 TOR 36 38.1 5.13 5.14 -2.07 -1.88 -0.19 MIL 34 33.7 6.04 6.04 -12.86 -12.65 -0.21 PHI 32 34.0 4.83 4.85 -2.05 -1.77 -0.28 BAL 43 42.3 5.27 5.27 -3.96 -3.65 -0.30 TAM 46 44.2 5.88 5.86 -8.82 -8.49 -0.33 FLA 30 28.2 4.38 4.37 4.52 4.88 -0.36 NYY 37 35.1 4.25 4.24 6.89 7.27 -0.38 HOU 46 44.1 4.59 4.57 1.48 1.92 -0.44 TEX 48 46.3 5.63 5.61 -8.47 -8.03 -0.44 CLE 30 28.5 5.20 5.19 -2.91 -2.39 -0.53 SFG 44 38.0 4.30 4.24 5.27 5.93 -0.67 DET 62 54.5 6.39 6.31 -12.86 -11.98 -0.89 STL 36 26.9 5.15 5.06 -4.23 -3.29 -0.93 KCR 46 34.6 4.23 4.14 4.47 5.55 -1.08 SDP 48 35.7 5.88 5.74 -10.19 -9.03 -1.15 ATL 47 34.8 4.57 4.46 2.72 3.89 -1.17 ---------------------------------------------------------- ML 1074 1038.0 4.90 4.89 -14.45 -7.07 -7.38 Return to Top Team-by-team stats: ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS Park Effect: +26.5% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Batista,M 29 181.3 79 12.2 7.4 .621 10 7 3.92 2.6 2.1 3.8 Capuano,C 5 26.7 16 1.7 1.8 .488 2 3 5.40 -0.0 0.0 0.2 Dessens,E 30 166.7 102 9.0 10.2 .470 8 8 5.51 -0.3 -0.4 0.9 Gonzalez,E 2 11.0 7 0.3 0.9 .262 1 1 5.73 -0.0 -0.3 -0.2 Good,A 10 58.0 34 3.3 2.8 .542 4 2 5.28 0.0 0.2 0.7 Johnson,R 18 114.0 61 7.2 5.1 .585 5 8 4.82 0.6 1.0 2.0 Kim,B 7 43.0 17 3.0 1.8 .627 1 5 3.56 0.8 0.5 1.0 Patterson,J 8 41.7 32 1.7 3.4 .333 1 4 6.91 -0.7 -0.8 -0.5 Schilling,C 24 168.0 58 12.8 4.9 .724 8 9 3.11 3.8 3.8 5.3 Villarreal,O 1 3.0 2 0.2 0.3 .337 0 0 6.00 -0.0 -0.1 -0.0 Webb,B 28 179.7 65 14.2 5.0 .740 10 9 3.26 3.8 4.4 6.1 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 162 993.0 473 65.6 43.6 .601 50 56 4.29 10.5 10.5 19.2 ATLANTA BRAVES Park Effect: +2.3% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Hampton,M 31 190.0 91 12.3 9.1 .576 14 8 4.31 0.9 1.6 3.2 Hodges,T 1 4.7 1 0.3 0.1 .703 0 0 1.93 0.1 0.1 0.1 Maddux,G 36 218.3 112 14.3 11.3 .558 16 11 4.62 0.3 1.2 3.4 Marquis,J 2 10.3 5 0.6 0.5 .534 0 0 4.35 0.0 0.0 0.1 Ortiz,R 34 212.3 101 13.3 10.4 .562 21 7 4.28 1.1 1.5 3.2 Ramirez,H 29 182.3 91 11.2 9.1 .552 12 4 4.49 0.5 0.9 2.6 Reynolds,S 29 165.3 104 8.7 11.5 .430 11 9 5.66 -1.6 -1.4 0.1 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 162 983.3 505 60.8 52.1 .539 74 39 4.62 1.4 3.9 12.8 CHICAGO CUBS Park Effect: -12.0% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Clement,M 32 201.7 100 12.0 11.1 .519 14 12 4.46 -0.1 0.4 2.2 Cruz,J 6 33.0 20 1.7 2.2 .432 1 3 5.45 -0.4 -0.3 0.0 Estes,S 28 151.7 112 7.1 13.7 .340 8 11 6.65 -3.8 -3.3 -1.8 Mitre,S 2 7.7 8 0.4 0.9 .330 0 1 9.39 -0.4 -0.2 -0.1 Prior,M 30 211.3 67 14.8 7.3 .668 18 6 2.85 3.7 3.5 5.4 Wood,K 32 211.0 77 14.7 8.8 .626 14 11 3.28 2.7 2.8 4.7 Zambrano,C 32 214.0 88 14.0 9.4 .598 13 11 3.70 1.7 2.1 4.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 162 1030.3 472 64.6 53.4 .547 68 55 4.12 3.5 5.1 14.5 CINCINNATI REDS Park Effect: -9.5% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Acevedo,Jo 4 26.0 8 1.8 0.9 .658 2 0 2.77 0.5 0.4 0.6 Anderson,J 7 37.7 39 1.0 4.2 .191 1 5 9.32 -2.0 -1.6 -1.2 Austin,J 7 28.3 27 1.3 3.5 .274 2 3 8.58 -1.3 -1.0 -0.7 Bale,J 9 44.3 23 2.7 2.8 .489 1 2 4.67 -0.1 -0.2 0.3 Dempster,R 20 112.7 89 4.9 9.9 .331 3 7 7.11 -3.3 -2.5 -1.4 Etherton,S 7 30.0 23 1.4 3.0 .322 2 4 6.90 -0.8 -0.8 -0.5 Graves,D 26 162.0 104 7.5 11.4 .396 4 14 5.78 -2.3 -2.0 -0.6 Hall,J 5 23.7 20 1.2 2.4 .330 0 2 7.61 -0.8 -0.6 -0.3 Harang,A 9 46.0 28 2.4 3.5 .406 4 3 5.48 -0.5 -0.5 -0.1 Haynes,J 18 94.3 74 3.9 8.9 .305 2 12 7.06 -2.7 -2.3 -1.5 Randall,S 2 10.3 7 0.3 0.9 .253 0 2 6.10 -0.2 -0.3 -0.2 Reith,B 1 5.0 0 0.5 0.0 1.000 1 0 0.00 0.2 0.3 0.3 Reitsma,C 3 17.3 14 0.9 1.5 .386 1 1 7.27 -0.5 -0.2 -0.1 Riedling,J 8 35.7 32 1.4 4.4 .246 0 3 8.07 -1.4 -1.4 -1.0 Serafini,D 4 18.7 18 0.7 2.0 .261 0 3 8.68 -0.9 -0.6 -0.4 VanPoppel,T 4 24.3 10 1.5 1.2 .548 2 1 3.70 0.2 0.1 0.3 Wilson,P 28 166.7 97 8.4 11.0 .433 8 10 5.24 -1.4 -1.3 0.2 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 162 883.0 613 41.8 71.5 .369 33 72 6.25 -17.3 -14.5 -6.3 COLORADO ROCKIES Park Effect: +26.4% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Chacon,S 23 137.0 73 9.7 7.2 .574 11 8 4.80 0.7 1.2 2.5 Cook,A 16 87.0 63 4.2 6.9 .377 3 6 6.52 -1.1 -1.3 -0.5 Cruz,N 7 36.3 28 2.0 2.7 .417 3 3 6.94 -0.6 -0.4 -0.0 Elarton,S 10 50.7 44 1.9 4.6 .295 4 4 7.82 -1.3 -1.2 -0.9 Jennings,J 32 181.3 115 10.1 11.8 .461 12 13 5.71 -0.7 -1.0 0.8 Jimenez,J 7 39.7 20 2.5 1.7 .592 1 4 4.54 0.3 0.4 0.7 Jones,T 1 4.3 5 0.1 0.5 .150 0 1 10.38 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 Neagle,D 7 35.3 31 1.6 3.1 .342 2 4 7.90 -0.9 -0.7 -0.4 Oliver,D 32 177.7 107 9.4 11.0 .461 13 11 5.42 -0.2 -0.8 0.7 Stark,D 13 71.0 54 3.2 5.7 .355 3 3 6.85 -1.1 -1.2 -0.6 Tsao,C 7 38.3 25 1.9 2.5 .439 3 2 5.87 -0.2 -0.2 0.1 Vance,C 3 16.0 12 0.5 1.5 .252 0 3 6.75 -0.2 -0.5 -0.3 Young,J 3 12.0 14 0.4 1.4 .214 0 2 10.50 -0.6 -0.4 -0.4 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 161 886.7 591 47.5 60.6 .439 55 64 6.00 -6.2 -6.3 1.5 FLORIDA MARLINS Park Effect: -11.5% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Beckett,J 23 141.0 54 9.2 6.2 .597 9 8 3.45 1.6 1.4 2.6 Burnett,A 4 23.0 13 0.9 1.8 .326 0 2 5.09 -0.2 -0.4 -0.3 Pavano,C 32 199.0 98 12.5 10.6 .543 12 12 4.43 0.0 0.9 2.7 Penny,B 32 196.3 96 12.3 10.6 .538 14 10 4.40 0.1 0.6 2.6 Phelps,T 7 33.3 22 1.9 2.5 .434 3 2 5.94 -0.6 -0.3 0.0 Redman,M 29 190.7 82 11.9 9.1 .565 14 9 3.87 1.2 1.3 2.9 Tejera,M 6 30.0 18 1.8 2.0 .472 1 3 5.40 -0.3 -0.2 0.2 Wayne,J 2 5.3 7 0.2 1.1 .171 0 2 11.81 -0.4 -0.4 -0.3 Willis,D 27 160.7 61 11.4 6.9 .624 14 6 3.42 1.8 2.1 3.7 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 162 979.3 451 62.2 50.8 .550 67 54 4.14 3.2 4.9 14.2 HOUSTON ASTROS Park Effect: +6.6% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Fernandez,J 6 30.0 16 1.5 2.0 .425 3 3 4.80 0.0 -0.2 -0.0 Johnson,Jo 3 14.3 10 0.5 1.2 .317 0 2 6.28 -0.2 -0.3 -0.2 Linebrink,S 6 29.0 13 1.9 1.3 .588 1 0 4.03 0.3 0.3 0.5 Miller,W 33 187.3 96 12.4 9.7 .562 14 13 4.61 0.5 1.2 3.0 Moehler,B 3 13.7 12 0.4 1.6 .206 0 0 7.90 -0.4 -0.6 -0.4 Munro,P 2 5.3 11 0.0 1.6 .014 0 2 18.56 -0.8 -0.8 -0.7 Oswalt,R 21 127.3 48 9.1 4.7 .660 10 5 3.39 2.0 1.9 3.2 Redding,T 32 175.0 84 10.5 9.1 .535 10 13 4.32 1.0 0.7 2.2 Robertson,J 30 152.0 94 8.4 11.2 .430 14 9 5.57 -1.2 -1.2 0.1 Rosario,R 2 8.0 2 0.8 0.1 .921 1 0 2.25 0.2 0.3 0.4 Saarloos,K 4 13.0 17 0.3 2.2 .125 0 1 11.77 -1.0 -0.9 -0.8 Villone,R 19 106.7 51 7.2 4.5 .618 6 6 4.30 0.6 1.3 2.3 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 161 861.7 454 53.1 49.0 .520 59 54 4.74 1.1 1.9 9.7 LOS ANGELES DODGERS Park Effect: -14.7% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Alvarez,W 12 70.7 23 5.9 2.6 .697 6 2 2.93 1.1 1.5 2.3 Ashby,A 12 60.3 38 2.8 4.9 .368 3 8 5.67 -0.9 -0.9 -0.4 Brown,K 32 211.0 67 14.3 7.9 .646 14 9 2.86 3.6 3.0 4.9 Dreifort,D 10 60.3 29 3.2 3.3 .497 4 4 4.33 0.0 -0.0 0.5 Ishii,K 27 147.0 72 9.1 8.5 .518 9 7 4.41 -0.1 0.2 1.6 Jackson,E 3 19.0 3 1.8 0.3 .878 2 1 1.42 0.6 0.7 0.9 Kida,M 2 10.0 4 0.6 0.5 .580 0 1 3.60 0.1 0.0 0.2 Mullen,S 1 3.0 3 0.1 0.4 .225 0 0 9.00 -0.2 -0.1 -0.1 Nomo,H 33 218.3 82 13.8 9.6 .591 16 13 3.38 2.4 2.1 3.9 Perez,O 30 185.3 98 11.7 10.5 .526 12 12 4.76 -0.8 0.2 2.2 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 162 985.0 419 63.5 48.3 .568 66 57 3.83 5.9 6.7 16.0 MILWAUKEE BREWERS Park Effect: -3.6% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Burba,D 2 9.7 6 0.4 0.7 .335 0 1 5.59 -0.1 -0.2 -0.1 Davis,D 8 52.3 18 3.7 1.9 .665 3 2 3.10 0.9 0.9 1.3 Ford,M 4 14.3 16 0.4 2.1 .161 0 3 10.05 -0.9 -0.8 -0.7 Franklin,W 34 192.0 129 8.8 14.8 .373 10 13 6.05 -3.0 -3.0 -1.2 Kinney,M 31 186.7 121 8.3 14.0 .373 10 13 5.83 -2.5 -2.7 -1.2 Manning,D 2 6.7 13 0.0 1.6 .023 0 2 17.55 -0.9 -0.7 -0.6 Martinez,L 4 16.3 18 0.3 2.4 .119 0 3 9.92 -0.9 -1.0 -0.8 Obermueller, 11 61.3 38 3.4 4.0 .462 2 5 5.58 -0.6 -0.3 0.3 Quevedo,R 8 41.3 30 1.9 3.5 .352 1 4 6.53 -0.9 -0.7 -0.4 Ritchie,T 5 28.3 17 1.5 1.8 .452 1 2 5.40 -0.2 -0.1 0.1 Rusch,G 19 100.3 85 4.4 9.6 .314 1 12 7.62 -3.3 -2.6 -1.6 Sheets,B 34 220.7 122 11.0 13.4 .449 11 13 4.98 -0.9 -1.4 0.6 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 162 930.0 613 44.1 69.8 .387 39 73 5.93 -13.4 -12.7 -4.3 MONTREAL EXPOS Park Effect: +23.7% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- ArmasJr,T 5 31.0 9 2.6 0.9 .745 2 1 2.61 0.8 0.8 1.1 Day,Z 23 131.3 64 9.3 6.6 .586 9 8 4.39 1.2 1.3 2.6 Downs,S 1 3.0 5 0.0 0.6 .060 0 1 15.00 -0.3 -0.3 -0.2 Drew,T 1 4.7 5 0.1 0.6 .101 0 1 9.64 -0.2 -0.3 -0.2 Hernandez,L 32 224.3 91 15.6 8.5 .647 14 10 3.65 3.7 3.4 5.3 Kim,S 3 12.0 12 0.3 1.4 .181 0 1 9.00 -0.5 -0.5 -0.4 Knott,E 1 5.0 3 0.2 0.5 .283 0 1 5.40 -0.0 -0.2 -0.1 Ohka,T 34 199.0 106 14.0 10.1 .582 10 12 4.79 0.9 1.9 3.8 Tucker,T 7 26.7 18 2.0 2.3 .469 1 2 6.08 -0.2 -0.2 0.2 Vargas,C 20 109.3 58 7.5 5.7 .569 6 8 4.77 0.5 0.8 1.9 Vazquez,J 34 230.7 93 16.0 8.5 .653 13 12 3.63 3.9 3.6 5.6 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 161 977.0 464 67.6 45.6 .597 55 57 4.27 9.8 10.5 19.5 NEW YORK METS Park Effect: -6.8% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Astacio,P 7 36.7 30 1.4 3.5 .282 3 2 7.36 -1.1 -1.0 -0.7 Bacsik,M 3 14.7 12 0.4 1.6 .205 1 2 7.36 -0.5 -0.6 -0.5 Cone,D 3 11.0 9 0.6 1.1 .367 1 2 7.36 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 Glavine,T 32 183.3 94 10.9 10.6 .509 9 14 4.61 -0.1 0.1 1.8 Griffiths,J 6 29.0 24 1.0 3.1 .241 1 4 7.45 -0.9 -1.0 -0.8 Heilman,A 13 63.7 53 2.1 6.5 .242 2 7 7.49 -2.1 -2.1 -1.6 Leiter,A 30 180.7 83 12.4 8.5 .592 15 9 4.13 0.8 1.6 3.5 Roach,J 2 9.0 12 0.1 1.5 .070 0 2 12.00 -0.7 -0.7 -0.6 Seo,J 31 183.3 90 10.8 10.3 .514 9 12 4.42 0.3 0.1 1.9 Trachsel,S 33 204.7 90 13.4 9.8 .577 16 10 3.96 1.3 1.7 3.5 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 160 916.0 497 53.2 56.6 .485 57 64 4.88 -3.4 -2.1 6.6 PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES Park Effect: -17.6% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Duckworth,B 18 84.0 54 4.3 7.0 .382 4 7 5.79 -1.4 -1.4 -0.5 Millwood,K 35 222.0 103 13.5 12.1 .526 14 12 4.18 0.3 0.6 2.6 Myers,B 32 193.0 99 10.1 11.9 .459 14 9 4.62 -0.7 -0.9 0.7 Padilla,V 32 208.7 94 12.2 11.3 .518 14 12 4.05 0.6 0.4 2.2 Roa,J 3 12.0 10 0.6 1.4 .297 0 2 7.50 -0.4 -0.4 -0.3 Silva,C 1 4.0 3 0.1 0.5 .166 0 0 6.75 -0.1 -0.2 -0.1 Telemaco,A 8 45.3 22 2.6 2.4 .523 1 4 4.37 -0.0 0.1 0.5 Wolf,R 32 198.3 92 11.2 10.8 .508 16 9 4.17 0.3 0.1 1.8 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 161 967.3 477 54.6 57.5 .487 63 55 4.44 -1.6 -1.8 6.9 PITTSBURGH PIRATES Park Effect: +7.8% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Benson,K 18 105.0 67 5.6 7.4 .430 5 9 5.74 -1.0 -0.9 0.1 D'Amico,J 29 175.3 104 9.7 10.8 .474 9 16 5.34 -0.8 -0.5 1.0 Figueroa,N 3 16.0 6 1.2 0.5 .689 2 0 3.38 0.3 0.3 0.4 Fogg,J 26 142.0 90 7.6 10.2 .427 10 9 5.70 -1.2 -1.3 0.0 Mahomes,P 1 5.0 2 0.3 0.2 .617 0 0 3.60 0.1 0.1 0.1 Meadows,B 7 31.3 25 1.5 3.1 .332 1 0 7.18 -0.8 -0.8 -0.4 Perez,Ol 5 23.0 15 1.4 1.9 .424 0 3 5.87 -0.2 -0.2 -0.0 Suppan,J 20 135.0 55 8.4 5.6 .600 9 7 3.67 1.8 1.4 2.5 Torres,S 16 81.7 51 4.5 5.4 .454 3 4 5.62 -0.6 -0.4 0.3 Vogelsong,R 5 21.0 18 1.3 2.2 .381 2 2 7.71 -0.6 -0.4 -0.2 Wells,K 31 197.3 77 13.2 7.6 .634 10 9 3.51 2.9 2.5 4.4 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 161 932.7 510 54.8 54.9 .499 51 59 4.92 -0.4 -0.4 8.2 ST. LOUIS CARDINALS Park Effect: -14.8% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Calero,K 1 5.0 1 0.5 0.1 .861 0 0 1.80 0.1 0.2 0.2 Fassero,J 6 29.3 14 1.6 1.8 .483 0 2 4.30 0.0 -0.1 0.2 Haren,D 14 72.7 44 4.1 5.2 .443 3 7 5.45 -0.9 -0.5 0.2 Hitchcock,S 6 32.0 16 2.0 1.9 .518 4 1 4.50 -0.1 0.1 0.4 Morris,M 27 172.3 76 10.6 9.1 .540 11 8 3.97 0.8 0.7 2.3 Simontacchi, 16 85.3 63 4.1 7.4 .353 5 4 6.64 -2.2 -1.7 -0.8 Stephenson,G 27 165.3 91 9.1 10.5 .465 7 13 4.95 -1.1 -0.8 0.8 Tomko,B 32 197.3 117 9.4 13.6 .407 13 9 5.34 -2.2 -2.1 -0.4 Williams,W 33 220.0 100 13.2 11.0 .546 18 8 4.09 0.7 0.9 2.9 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 162 979.3 522 54.6 60.5 .474 61 52 4.80 -4.8 -3.3 5.7 SAN DIEGO PADRES Park Effect: -20.9% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Bynum,M 5 23.0 24 0.6 2.9 .181 1 3 9.39 -1.4 -1.1 -0.9 Condrey,C 6 30.3 26 1.0 2.9 .248 1 1 7.71 -1.2 -1.0 -0.7 Deago,R 2 10.3 9 0.4 1.0 .295 0 1 7.84 -0.4 -0.3 -0.2 Eaton,A 31 183.0 91 10.0 11.2 .471 9 12 4.48 -0.5 -0.7 1.0 Howard,B 6 34.7 17 1.8 1.9 .482 1 3 4.41 -0.1 -0.1 0.2 Jarvis,K 16 92.0 65 3.8 7.6 .334 4 7 6.36 -2.3 -1.9 -1.0 Keisler,R 2 6.0 9 0.2 1.1 .132 0 1 13.50 -0.6 -0.5 -0.4 Lawrence,B 33 210.7 106 11.0 12.7 .465 10 15 4.53 -0.7 -0.8 1.0 Loewer,C 5 21.7 17 1.1 2.3 .323 1 2 7.06 -0.7 -0.5 -0.3 Peavy,J 32 194.7 94 11.6 10.8 .517 12 10 4.35 -0.3 0.2 2.1 Perez,Ol 19 103.7 65 5.2 8.2 .387 4 7 5.64 -1.7 -1.5 -0.5 Roa,J 1 3.3 5 0.1 0.5 .132 0 1 13.50 -0.4 -0.2 -0.2 Tankersley,D 1 0.0 7 0.0 0.9 .001 0 0 Inf NaN -0.4 -0.4 Tollberg,B 3 10.3 11 0.5 1.3 .287 0 2 9.58 -0.6 -0.3 -0.2 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 162 923.7 546 47.3 65.4 .420 43 65 5.32 -11.7 -9.0 -0.6 SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS Park Effect: -9.6% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Ainsworth,K 11 66.0 31 4.0 3.4 .543 5 4 4.23 0.2 0.3 0.9 Brower,J 5 24.3 12 1.9 1.4 .578 3 2 4.44 0.0 0.2 0.5 Correia,K 7 34.3 15 2.1 1.9 .518 3 1 3.93 0.2 0.1 0.4 Foppert,J 21 108.0 67 5.8 7.6 .432 8 9 5.58 -1.3 -0.9 0.1 Hermanson,D 6 33.3 12 2.1 1.5 .578 2 1 3.24 0.5 0.3 0.5 Jensen,R 2 7.3 13 0.1 1.5 .066 0 0 15.95 -0.9 -0.7 -0.6 Moss,D 20 113.3 59 6.5 6.8 .490 9 7 4.69 -0.3 -0.1 0.9 Ponson,S 10 68.0 29 4.4 3.1 .584 3 6 3.84 0.5 0.6 1.2 Powell,B 1 4.7 7 0.0 0.7 .056 0 1 13.50 -0.5 -0.3 -0.3 Rueter,K 27 147.0 77 9.0 8.8 .504 10 5 4.71 -0.4 0.1 1.4 Schmidt,J 29 207.7 56 15.7 5.8 .728 17 5 2.43 4.7 4.8 6.5 Williams,J 21 131.0 54 8.7 5.5 .612 7 5 3.71 1.1 1.5 2.7 Zerbe,C 1 4.7 1 0.3 0.1 .669 0 0 1.93 0.1 0.1 0.1 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 161 949.7 433 60.6 48.4 .556 67 46 4.10 4.0 5.9 14.3 ANAHEIM ANGELS Park Effect: -10.8% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Appier,K 19 92.7 60 5.5 7.2 .433 7 7 5.83 -1.3 -0.9 0.1 Bootcheck,C 1 3.3 8 0.0 0.8 .023 0 1 21.60 -0.6 -0.4 -0.3 Callaway,M 4 20.3 15 1.1 1.5 .427 1 2 6.64 -0.5 -0.2 0.0 Gregg,K 3 20.0 3 1.9 0.2 .904 2 0 1.35 0.7 0.7 1.0 Lackey,J 33 204.0 117 10.5 12.8 .451 10 16 5.16 -1.3 -1.2 0.6 Ortiz,Ra 32 180.0 121 8.1 14.7 .356 16 13 6.05 -2.9 -3.2 -1.6 Sele,A 25 121.7 82 6.5 9.8 .399 7 11 6.07 -2.0 -1.7 -0.4 Shields,S 13 78.7 40 4.8 4.1 .539 4 6 4.58 0.0 0.3 1.0 Washburn,J 32 207.3 106 11.7 11.8 .497 10 15 4.60 -0.0 -0.1 1.7 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 162 928.0 552 50.2 63.0 .443 57 71 5.35 -7.9 -6.5 2.1 BALTIMORE ORIOLES Park Effect: -4.0% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Daal,O 17 88.7 65 4.5 7.3 .385 4 10 6.60 -1.8 -1.4 -0.5 Dubose,E 10 63.0 28 4.2 2.6 .619 3 5 4.00 0.5 0.7 1.3 Helling,R 24 138.7 90 6.9 9.5 .421 6 8 5.84 -1.6 -1.4 -0.1 Hentgen,P 22 138.7 67 8.3 6.7 .553 7 8 4.35 0.6 0.7 1.9 Johnson,J 32 189.7 100 10.3 11.4 .475 10 10 4.75 0.0 -0.5 1.1 Lopez,R 26 147.0 101 7.4 11.4 .394 7 10 6.18 -2.3 -1.8 -0.6 Moss,D 9 47.7 40 1.6 4.6 .255 1 5 7.55 -1.4 -1.4 -1.0 Ponson,S 21 148.0 65 9.1 6.7 .575 14 6 3.95 1.3 1.1 2.4 Riley,M 2 10.0 2 0.9 0.2 .842 1 0 1.80 0.3 0.3 0.5 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 163 971.3 558 53.3 60.4 .469 53 62 5.17 -4.5 -3.7 5.0 BOSTON RED SOX Park Effect: +8.6% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Burkett,J 30 172.7 105 9.1 11.2 .450 10 9 5.47 -0.8 -1.1 0.5 Chen,B 2 9.0 7 0.3 0.8 .274 0 1 7.00 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 Fossum,C 14 70.0 50 3.6 5.2 .410 5 5 6.43 -1.0 -0.7 -0.1 Kim,B 5 29.0 14 1.6 1.6 .497 2 1 4.34 0.2 0.0 0.2 Lowe,D 33 203.3 113 11.8 11.3 .510 16 7 5.00 0.1 0.2 2.0 Martinez,P 29 186.7 52 16.3 4.3 .789 14 4 2.51 5.0 5.5 7.5 Mendoza,R 5 24.3 19 1.4 1.9 .423 2 2 7.03 -0.5 -0.3 -0.0 Rupe,R 1 6.0 3 0.3 0.3 .508 1 0 4.50 0.0 0.0 0.0 Suppan,J 10 59.3 41 2.5 4.3 .366 3 4 6.22 -0.7 -0.8 -0.4 Wakefield,T 33 199.3 106 11.2 10.6 .513 11 7 4.79 0.6 0.2 1.9 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 162 959.7 510 58.0 51.4 .530 64 40 4.78 2.8 2.8 11.5 CHICAGO WHITE SOX Park Effect: +0.3% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Buehrle,M 35 230.3 124 13.0 12.7 .505 14 14 4.85 0.0 0.0 2.1 Colon,B 34 242.0 107 15.6 10.5 .598 15 13 3.98 2.3 2.4 4.5 Cotts,N 4 13.3 12 0.6 1.8 .265 1 1 8.10 -0.5 -0.5 -0.4 Garland,J 32 191.7 103 11.4 10.5 .522 12 13 4.84 0.0 0.4 2.1 Loaiza,E 34 226.3 75 16.9 7.4 .695 21 9 2.98 4.5 4.5 6.6 Porzio,M 3 14.0 10 0.5 1.3 .259 1 1 6.43 -0.2 -0.4 -0.3 Stewart,J 5 25.7 18 1.4 1.8 .442 1 2 6.31 -0.4 -0.2 0.1 Wright,D 15 69.7 57 3.0 6.6 .311 0 7 7.36 -1.9 -1.7 -1.1 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 162 1013.0 506 62.4 52.5 .543 65 60 4.50 3.9 4.6 13.5 CLEVELAND INDIANS Park Effect: -4.1% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Anderson,B 24 146.0 88 8.2 9.1 .474 9 10 5.42 -1.1 -0.5 0.8 Bere,J 2 6.7 3 0.6 0.3 .694 0 0 4.05 0.0 0.2 0.2 Davis,J 27 165.3 101 8.9 10.5 .458 8 11 5.50 -1.4 -0.7 0.6 Durbin,C 1 4.3 5 0.2 0.4 .295 0 0 10.38 -0.3 -0.1 -0.1 Lee,C 9 52.3 28 3.0 3.0 .496 3 3 4.82 -0.0 -0.1 0.4 Mulholland,T 3 17.7 13 0.6 1.5 .298 0 1 6.62 -0.4 -0.4 -0.3 Rodriguez,R 15 81.7 57 4.1 6.2 .400 3 8 6.28 -1.4 -1.1 -0.3 Sabathia,C 30 197.7 85 12.1 8.7 .583 13 9 3.87 1.9 1.6 3.3 Stanford,J 8 44.7 17 3.0 2.0 .600 1 2 3.43 0.6 0.5 0.9 Tallet,B 3 15.7 11 0.6 1.3 .305 0 2 6.32 -0.3 -0.3 -0.2 Traber,B 18 88.7 58 4.9 7.1 .409 4 8 5.89 -1.1 -1.0 -0.2 Westbrook,J 22 118.3 66 6.5 7.2 .476 6 8 5.02 -0.4 -0.3 0.7 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 162 939.0 532 52.7 57.1 .480 47 62 5.10 -3.6 -2.4 6.0 DETROIT TIGERS Park Effect: -8.2% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Bernero,A 17 99.7 67 4.2 7.7 .351 1 12 6.05 -1.5 -1.7 -0.9 Bonderman,J 28 151.3 114 6.5 13.3 .327 6 19 6.78 -3.5 -3.3 -1.9 Cornejo,N 32 194.7 111 11.3 12.0 .484 6 17 5.13 -1.0 -0.5 1.4 Knotts,G 18 92.0 64 4.8 7.6 .386 3 8 6.26 -1.6 -1.3 -0.5 Ledezma,W 8 35.3 26 1.9 3.1 .379 1 5 6.62 -0.8 -0.6 -0.2 Loux,S 4 15.3 12 0.9 1.4 .380 1 1 7.04 -0.4 -0.3 -0.1 Maroth,M 33 193.3 131 8.9 13.9 .391 9 21 6.10 -3.1 -2.5 -0.8 Mears,C 3 10.3 12 0.3 1.4 .162 0 2 10.45 -0.7 -0.5 -0.5 Robertson,N 8 44.7 27 2.4 2.9 .449 1 2 5.44 -0.4 -0.2 0.1 Roney,M 11 49.0 40 2.5 4.6 .354 1 7 7.35 -1.4 -1.1 -0.5 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 162 885.7 604 43.7 68.2 .390 29 94 6.14 -14.5 -12.0 -3.9 KANSAS CITY ROYALS Park Effect: +33.5% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Abbott,P 8 42.7 22 2.9 2.2 .571 1 2 4.64 0.4 0.3 0.7 Affeldt,J 18 94.3 49 6.5 4.3 .604 6 5 4.67 0.9 1.0 1.9 Anderson,B 7 49.7 22 3.3 2.0 .622 5 1 3.99 0.8 0.7 1.1 Appier,K 4 19.0 9 1.4 1.0 .589 1 2 4.26 0.3 0.1 0.4 Asencio,M 8 48.3 29 2.6 2.6 .499 2 0 5.40 0.1 -0.1 0.4 Carrasco,D 2 8.3 4 0.7 0.2 .756 0 0 4.32 0.1 0.2 0.3 George,C 18 93.7 75 4.8 7.2 .400 9 6 7.21 -1.4 -1.1 -0.3 Gobble,J 9 52.7 32 3.2 3.0 .520 4 5 5.47 0.1 0.1 0.6 Hernandez,R 16 91.7 51 6.4 4.8 .570 7 5 5.01 0.6 0.7 1.6 Lima,J 14 73.3 40 5.3 3.9 .579 8 3 4.91 0.6 0.7 1.4 May,D 32 204.3 98 13.3 8.2 .618 10 8 4.32 2.7 2.5 4.1 Snyder,K 15 85.3 52 5.0 4.8 .510 1 6 5.48 0.2 0.2 0.8 Voyles,B 3 13.3 11 0.7 1.0 .418 0 2 7.43 -0.2 -0.1 -0.0 Wilson,K 4 21.3 13 1.3 1.0 .568 2 2 5.48 0.0 0.1 0.3 Wright,J 4 25.3 14 1.8 1.5 .548 1 2 4.97 0.2 0.1 0.4 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 162 923.3 521 59.3 47.6 .554 57 49 5.08 5.4 5.5 13.8 MINNESOTA TWINS Park Effect: +1.6% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Balfour,G 1 2.7 4 0.0 0.6 .031 0 0 13.50 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 Lohse,K 33 201.0 107 12.2 11.3 .520 14 11 4.79 0.2 0.4 2.2 Mays,J 21 110.3 84 5.0 9.5 .345 8 7 6.85 -2.3 -2.2 -1.2 Milton,E 3 17.0 5 1.3 0.6 .703 1 0 2.65 0.4 0.3 0.5 Pulido,C 1 3.0 3 0.1 0.4 .217 0 1 9.00 -0.1 -0.2 -0.1 Radke,B 33 212.3 111 12.1 11.6 .510 14 10 4.70 0.4 0.2 2.0 Reed,R 21 124.7 75 6.9 7.6 .477 5 12 5.41 -0.7 -0.4 0.8 Rogers,K 31 193.3 107 10.3 11.0 .484 13 8 4.98 -0.2 -0.3 1.3 Santana,Jo 18 110.3 37 8.6 3.7 .699 11 2 3.02 2.2 2.3 3.4 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 162 974.7 533 56.6 56.2 .502 66 51 4.92 -0.4 -0.1 8.7 NEW YORK YANKEES Park Effect: +4.7% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Claussen,B 1 6.3 2 0.4 0.2 .710 1 0 2.84 0.1 0.1 0.2 Clemens,R 33 211.7 99 14.2 9.6 .597 17 9 4.21 1.7 2.2 4.1 Contreras,J 9 57.7 16 5.0 1.6 .754 6 1 2.50 1.5 1.6 2.2 DePaula,J 1 6.3 0 0.7 0.0 .972 0 0 0.00 0.3 0.3 0.4 Hitchcock,S 1 6.0 3 0.3 0.3 .501 0 0 4.50 0.0 -0.0 0.0 Mussina,M 31 214.7 86 14.6 8.4 .633 17 8 3.61 3.1 3.0 4.8 Pettitte,A 33 208.3 109 12.8 11.2 .533 21 8 4.71 0.6 0.7 2.6 Weaver,J 24 147.7 101 6.6 10.5 .386 7 9 6.16 -1.9 -1.8 -0.7 Wells,D 30 207.3 100 12.5 9.8 .560 14 7 4.34 1.4 1.2 3.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 163 1066.0 516 67.1 51.8 .564 83 42 4.36 6.8 7.3 16.6 OAKLAND ATHLETICS Park Effect: +2.4% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Duchscherer, 3 14.3 7 1.0 0.8 .543 1 1 4.40 0.1 0.1 0.2 Halama,J 13 67.0 48 3.1 5.3 .370 3 5 6.45 -1.1 -1.0 -0.5 Harang,A 6 26.3 19 1.3 2.4 .343 1 3 6.49 -0.4 -0.5 -0.3 Harden,R 13 72.7 37 4.9 3.8 .560 5 4 4.58 0.2 0.5 1.2 Hudson,T 34 240.0 84 17.6 8.3 .680 16 7 3.15 4.5 4.6 6.6 Lilly,T 31 177.3 92 10.5 10.1 .511 12 10 4.67 0.4 0.2 1.8 Mulder,M 26 186.7 66 13.7 6.3 .684 15 9 3.18 3.4 3.5 5.2 Wood,M 1 2.0 7 0.0 0.9 .005 0 1 31.50 -0.6 -0.4 -0.4 Zito,B 35 231.7 98 16.0 9.7 .622 14 12 3.81 2.7 2.8 5.1 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 162 1018.0 458 68.0 47.6 .588 67 52 4.05 9.3 9.7 18.9 SEATTLE MARINERS Park Effect: -1.2% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Franklin,R 32 212.0 93 13.3 9.6 .582 11 13 3.95 2.0 1.8 3.6 Garcia,F 33 201.3 109 12.3 11.4 .518 12 14 4.87 -0.1 0.3 2.2 Meche,G 32 186.3 97 11.5 10.1 .532 15 13 4.69 0.3 0.6 2.3 Moyer,J 33 215.0 83 14.5 8.5 .632 21 7 3.47 3.1 2.9 4.8 Pineiro,J 32 211.7 94 12.7 10.4 .550 16 11 4.00 1.9 1.1 2.9 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 162 1026.3 476 64.3 50.0 .563 75 58 4.17 7.1 6.6 15.7 TAMPA BAY DEVIL RAYS Park Effect: -0.5% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Bell,R 18 96.7 59 5.2 6.3 .450 5 4 5.49 -0.7 -0.5 0.3 Bierbrodt,N 5 15.3 30 0.2 3.7 .041 0 2 17.61 -2.1 -1.7 -1.5 Brazelton,D 10 48.3 49 1.2 5.7 .180 1 6 9.12 -2.2 -2.1 -1.7 Gaudin,C 3 14.3 8 0.7 1.0 .419 0 0 5.02 -0.0 -0.2 -0.0 Gonzalez,J 25 156.3 71 10.1 7.1 .587 6 11 4.09 1.2 1.3 2.8 Kennedy,J 22 118.7 97 4.4 11.3 .282 3 11 7.36 -3.2 -3.3 -2.2 McClung,S 5 24.0 16 1.8 1.7 .514 3 1 6.00 -0.3 0.0 0.3 Parque,J 5 17.3 23 0.7 3.0 .189 1 1 11.94 -1.3 -1.1 -0.9 Parris,S 7 36.0 26 1.5 3.0 .339 0 3 6.50 -0.6 -0.7 -0.4 Reyes,C 3 16.7 14 0.5 1.3 .287 0 3 7.56 -0.5 -0.4 -0.3 Sosa,J 19 104.0 60 6.1 7.0 .468 5 11 5.19 -0.4 -0.5 0.6 Standridge,J 7 32.0 25 1.4 2.8 .340 0 5 7.03 -0.8 -0.6 -0.4 Waechter,D 5 33.0 13 2.2 1.2 .647 2 2 3.55 0.5 0.5 0.8 Zambrano,V 28 178.7 90 11.0 9.6 .534 11 10 4.53 0.6 0.7 2.2 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 162 891.3 581 47.2 64.7 .422 37 70 5.87 -9.9 -8.5 -0.4 TEXAS RANGERS Park Effect: +29.5% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Benes,Al 4 15.0 20 0.3 2.3 .102 0 3 12.00 -1.0 -0.9 -0.8 Benoit,J 17 82.7 54 4.9 5.7 .461 5 5 5.88 -0.3 -0.4 0.4 Callaway,M 3 12.7 16 0.5 1.7 .238 0 3 11.37 -0.7 -0.6 -0.4 Davis,D 1 3.0 4 0.0 0.5 .093 0 0 12.00 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 Dickey,R 13 73.7 44 4.2 4.0 .513 5 5 5.38 0.1 0.2 0.7 Dominguez,J 3 14.0 13 0.4 1.3 .216 0 2 8.36 -0.4 -0.4 -0.4 Drese,R 8 37.0 32 2.0 3.4 .373 2 4 7.78 -0.8 -0.6 -0.3 Ellis,R 4 18.3 17 0.9 2.0 .311 1 1 8.35 -0.5 -0.5 -0.3 Lewis,C 26 127.0 104 6.3 10.4 .378 10 9 7.37 -2.3 -1.9 -0.8 Mounce,T 11 50.7 42 2.3 4.8 .324 1 5 7.46 -1.0 -1.2 -0.7 Park,C 7 29.7 26 1.5 2.7 .355 1 3 7.89 -0.7 -0.6 -0.3 Ramos,M 3 13.0 9 0.6 1.1 .366 1 1 6.23 -0.1 -0.2 -0.1 Santos,V 4 19.3 16 0.6 1.6 .268 0 2 7.45 -0.4 -0.5 -0.4 Thomson,J 35 217.0 125 13.0 11.3 .534 13 14 5.18 0.8 0.8 2.6 Valdes,I 22 115.0 83 6.7 8.3 .449 8 8 6.50 -1.1 -0.8 0.4 VanPoppel,T 1 4.0 5 0.1 0.6 .087 0 0 11.25 -0.2 -0.3 -0.2 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 162 832.0 610 44.3 61.8 .418 47 65 6.60 -8.5 -8.0 -0.8 TORONTO BLUE JAYS Park Effect: +3.4% -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Davis,D 11 53.7 31 3.1 3.3 .486 4 6 5.20 -0.2 -0.1 0.4 Escobar,K 26 163.0 77 10.6 7.8 .576 12 8 4.25 1.2 1.3 2.8 Halladay,R 36 266.0 111 17.5 10.4 .629 22 7 3.76 3.3 3.3 5.7 Hendrickson, 30 158.3 111 8.2 12.6 .394 9 9 6.31 -2.3 -2.2 -0.6 Lidle,C 31 192.7 133 9.1 13.7 .398 12 15 6.21 -2.6 -2.3 -0.6 Sturtze,T 8 44.0 38 1.7 3.8 .311 3 4 7.77 -1.3 -1.1 -0.6 Thurman,C 3 9.0 10 0.7 1.4 .338 1 1 10.00 -0.5 -0.4 -0.2 Towers,J 8 52.7 21 3.4 2.3 .600 6 1 3.59 0.7 0.6 1.0 Walker,P 7 33.7 23 1.7 2.5 .406 0 1 6.15 -0.4 -0.4 -0.1 Wasdin,J 2 3.7 11 0.0 1.6 .008 0 1 27.00 -0.9 -0.7 -0.7 -------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTALS 162 976.7 566 56.2 59.4 .486 69 53 5.22 -3.0 -1.9 7.0 Multi-team pitcher totals: ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pitcher Teams GS IP R SNW SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA SNWAR ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Anderson,B C/K 31 195.7 110 11.5 11.1 .509 14 11 5.06 -0.2 0.2 1.9 Appier,K A/K 23 111.7 69 6.9 8.2 .458 8 9 5.56 -1.0 -0.8 0.5 Callaway,M A/T 7 33.0 31 1.6 3.2 .340 1 5 8.45 -1.2 -0.7 -0.4 Davis,D T/T 20 109.0 53 6.9 5.7 .549 7 8 4.38 0.5 0.6 1.5 Harang,A O/C 15 72.3 47 3.7 5.9 .382 5 6 5.85 -1.0 -1.0 -0.4 Hitchcock,S N/S 7 38.0 19 2.3 2.2 .516 4 1 4.50 -0.0 0.1 0.4 Kim,B A/B 12 72.0 31 4.6 3.4 .574 3 6 3.88 1.0 0.5 1.2 Moss,D S/B 29 161.0 99 8.1 11.3 .416 10 12 5.53 -1.7 -1.5 -0.2 Perez,Ol S/P 24 126.7 80 6.6 10.1 .394 4 10 5.68 -1.9 -1.7 -0.5 Ponson,S B/S 31 216.0 94 13.5 9.8 .578 17 12 3.92 1.8 1.7 3.6 Roa,J P/S 4 15.3 15 0.7 2.0 .259 0 3 8.80 -0.8 -0.6 -0.4 Suppan,J P/B 30 194.3 96 10.9 9.9 .525 12 11 4.45 1.0 0.5 2.1 VanPoppel,T T/C 5 28.3 15 1.5 1.8 .451 2 1 4.76 -0.0 -0.2 0.1 MAJOR LEAGUE Totals: ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ GS IP R SNW E(W) SNL SNPct W L RA APW SNVA ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 4854 28583.0 15563 1679.0 1624.3 1679.6 .500 1724 1751 4.90 -39.5 -7.1 Return to Top Definition of terms: SNW = Support-Neutral Wins -- the pitcher's expected number of wins, assuming he had league-average support. SNL = Support-Neutral Losses -- same as SNW except for losses. SNVA = Support-Neutral Value Added -- the expected number of games the pitcher would be worth to an average team in the standings, over what a league-average pitcher would be worth. The above three stats are calculated for each start, using innings pitched and runs allowed plus the league's single-inning scoring distribution, combined with simple probability theory. They are park-adjusted. SNWAR -- "Support-Neutral Wins Above Replacement-level": the number of SNWs a pitcher has above what a .425 pitcher would get in the same number of (Support-Neutral) decisions. SNPct -- SNW / (SNW+SNL) W, L -- The pitcher's actual wins and losses RA -- runs allowed per 9 innings APW = Adjusted Pitcher Wins -- Thorn and Palmer's method for calculating a starter's value in wins. Included for comparison with SNVA. APW values here calculated using runs instead of earned runs. E(W) = Expected Wins -- for each game, 0 if the pitcher pitched fewer than 5 innings, and SNW otherwise. (This is *true* expected wins) E(L) = Expected Losses -- same as SNL Return to Top Comments and questions welcome. |