Final 2002 Support-Neutral W/L Report

by Michael Wolverton


The Support-Neutral statistics evaluate starting pitchers by measuring the probability that each outing will lead to the starter getting a win (SNW), the starter getting a loss (SNL), and the starter's team winning (SNVA), given league average support from the offense and the bullpen. More information can be found in a short summary of the stats, or in a long detailed article.

Best & Worst o Luckiest & Unluckiest o Reliever help o Flakiest & Steadiest o Team Rankings o Team-by-Team Stats o Definitions



(Numbers through end of 2002 regular season)

Top 30 ML Starters (ranked by SNWs over a .425 pitcher):
Pitcher       Team    SNW   SNL  SNPct   W  L    RA    APW  SNVA SNWAR
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Johnson,R      ARI   20.7   6.9  .751   24  5   2.70   6.3   6.7   9.0
Schilling,C    ARI   18.5   8.2  .691   23  7   3.21   4.8   4.9   7.1
Lowe,D         BOS   16.9   6.3  .728   21  8   2.66   5.0   4.9   7.0
Zito,B         OAK   17.2   7.9  .686   23  5   3.10   4.3   4.4   6.5
Martinez,P     BOS   15.8   6.3  .716   20  4   2.80   4.3   4.5   6.4
Halladay,R     TOR   16.7   8.9  .653   19  7   3.50   3.6   3.7   5.8
Maddux,G       ATL   15.2   7.0  .685   16  6   3.03   3.6   3.7   5.8
Hudson,T       OAK   16.4   8.9  .647   15  9   3.29   4.0   3.6   5.6
Oswalt,R       HOU   15.9   8.4  .655   19  9   3.34   3.5   3.4   5.6
Colon,B        C/M   16.2   8.9  .646   20  8   3.28   3.7   3.5   5.5
Buehrle,M      CHW   16.2   9.5  .632   19 12   3.84   2.8   3.2   5.3
Glavine,T      ATL   15.9   9.1  .636   18 11   3.41   3.2   3.3   5.3
Washburn,J     ANA   14.6   7.5  .661   18  6   3.28   3.5   3.3   5.2
Moyer,J        SEA   15.8   9.6  .621   13  8   3.47   2.8   2.9   5.0
Perez,O        LAD   14.5   9.1  .614   15 10   3.08   2.7   2.6   4.5
Millwood,K     ATL   14.3   9.0  .615   17  8   3.46   2.9   2.5   4.4
Mulder,M       OAK   13.9   8.5  .621   19  7   3.82   2.3   2.5   4.4
Wolf,R         PHI   13.8   8.6  .615   11  9   3.29   2.4   2.4   4.3
Byrd,P         KCR   15.1  10.5  .590   17 11   4.38   2.5   2.2   4.2
Burnett,A      FLA   13.3   8.5  .610   12  9   3.53   1.8   2.2   4.0
Rogers,K       TEX   14.0   9.7  .592   13  8   4.31   1.7   2.0   4.0
Ortiz,Ra       ANA   13.8   9.8  .587   15  9   4.02   2.0   1.9   3.8
Morris,M       STL   13.8   9.7  .587   17  9   3.68   1.8   1.9   3.8
Miller,W       HOU   11.4   6.6  .633   15  4   3.44   2.3   2.3   3.8
Wood,K         CHC   13.3   9.9  .574   12 11   3.88   1.2   1.4   3.5
Clement,M      CHC   12.9   9.5  .575   12 11   3.69   1.6   1.5   3.4
Ohka,T         MON   12.6   9.2  .578   13  7   3.85   1.4   1.6   3.3
Moss,D         ATL   11.9   8.2  .590   12  6   3.91   1.5   1.7   3.3
Wells,K        PIT   12.8   9.6  .572   12 14   4.17   1.4   1.4   3.3
Dessens,E      CIN   11.5   8.1  .587    7  8   3.54   2.1   1.5   3.2

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Bottom 10 ML Starters (ranked by SNWs over a .425 pitcher):
Pitcher       Team    SNW   SNL  SNPct   W  L    RA    APW  SNVA SNWAR
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Sparks,SW      DET    7.9  15.1  .342    8 16   6.58  -4.1  -3.7  -1.9
Ritchie,T      CHW    5.4  11.4  .320    5 15   7.15  -3.0  -2.9  -1.8
Hampton,M      COL    7.6  14.4  .346    7 15   6.80  -2.5  -3.5  -1.7
Myette,A       TEX    1.6   6.1  .212    2  5  10.32  -2.5  -2.2  -1.7
Wright,Jar     CLE    0.3   4.1  .076    1  3  17.08  -2.1  -1.8  -1.5
Tankersley,D   SDP    1.2   5.3  .191    1  4   8.63  -2.1  -2.0  -1.5
Tollberg,B     SDP    1.9   5.8  .249    1  5   7.74  -2.3  -1.9  -1.4
Figueroa,N     MIL    1.9   5.6  .253    1  5   6.94  -1.6  -1.8  -1.3
Drese,R        CLE    6.2  11.5  .352   10  9   6.82  -2.7  -2.6  -1.3
Person,R       PHI    3.5   7.6  .314    4  5   5.95  -1.7  -2.0  -1.2

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Luckiest 10 ML Starters (ranked by (W - E(W)) + (E(L) - L)):
Pitcher       Team    E(W)  E(L)    W  L   Diff.
------------------------------------------------
Wells,D        NYY   11.7  10.6    19  7   10.9
Nomo,H         LAD   12.5  11.6    16  6    9.1
Zito,B         OAK   17.0   7.9    23  5    8.8
Jennings,J     COL   10.6  10.4    16  8    7.8
Ishii,K        LAD    7.9  10.9    14 10    7.0
Mulder,M       OAK   13.8   8.5    19  7    6.8
Jensen,R       SFG    8.4  11.2    12  8    6.8
Reed,R         MIN   11.3   9.8    15  7    6.5
Martinez,P     BOS   15.8   6.3    20  4    6.5
Drese,R        CLE    6.0  11.5    10  9    6.5

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Unluckiest 10 ML Starters (ranked by (W - E(W)) + (E(L) - L)):
Pitcher       Team    E(W)  E(L)    W  L   Diff.
------------------------------------------------
Johnson,J      BAL    7.8   7.4     5 14   -9.4
Sturtze,T      TAM    9.9  15.3     4 18   -8.6
Redman,M       DET   11.6  11.0     8 15   -7.6
Suppan,J       KCR   11.5  12.3     9 16   -6.2
Valdes,I       T/S   11.5   9.5     8 12   -6.0
Finley,C       C/S   12.0  10.2    11 15   -5.9
Castillo,F     BOS    6.4   9.6     5 14   -5.9
Meadows,B      PIT    3.9   3.1     1  6   -5.8
Sheets,B       MIL   12.3  11.5    11 16   -5.8
Bere,J         CHC    4.0   7.6     1 10   -5.5

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20 ML Starters most hurt by their relievers (ranked by Bullpen Support):
Pitcher       Team   IR  E(IR)    RA/A  E(RA)/A  SNVA_n  SNVA     BSup
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Lidle,C        OAK   14   8.0     4.13   3.85     1.07   1.67    -0.60
Wright,D       CHW   15  10.5     5.43   5.23    -1.23  -0.73    -0.50
Damico,J       NYM   11   6.2     5.93   5.57    -1.79  -1.31    -0.48
Ortiz,R        SFG   10   6.2     4.13   3.95     0.69   1.14    -0.44
Smith,T        STL    7   3.0     7.73   6.97    -1.32  -0.98    -0.35
Bernero,A      DET   10   4.2     7.49   6.63    -1.25  -0.91    -0.33
Hernandez,C    HOU    9   5.6     4.10   3.83     0.71   1.04    -0.33
Pavano,C       M/F   13   9.5     6.32   6.03    -2.19  -1.86    -0.33
Bell,R         TEX    9   6.5     6.18   5.94    -1.46  -1.15    -0.30
Suppan,J       KCR   15  12.4     4.95   4.85    -0.69  -0.39    -0.30
Lieber,J       CHC    4   1.5     4.28   4.11     0.36   0.66    -0.30
Maroth,M       DET   12   9.3     4.99   4.79    -0.33  -0.03    -0.29
Sele,A         ANA   10   8.1     5.06   4.96    -0.61  -0.32    -0.29
Driskill,T     BAL   10   8.4     5.62   5.48    -1.40  -1.11    -0.29
Batista,M      ARI    5   2.8     4.46   4.35    -0.59  -0.30    -0.28
Redman,M       DET    7   4.3     4.98   4.85    -0.10   0.16    -0.26
Parris,S       TOR    6   3.9     5.75   5.50    -0.70  -0.44    -0.26
Weaver,J       D/N    7   5.4     4.23   4.14     0.89   1.15    -0.26
Moss,D         ATL    6   3.5     3.80   3.68     1.42   1.67    -0.25
Alvarez,W      TAM    5   2.6     6.45   6.00    -0.47  -0.21    -0.25

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20 ML Starters most helped by their relievers (ranked by Bullpen Support):
Pitcher       Team   IR  E(IR)    RA/A  E(RA)/A  SNVA_n  SNVA     BSup
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Pineiro,J      SEA    2   6.1     3.93   4.15     1.67   1.27     0.40
Sparks,SW      DET    1   6.4     6.90   7.18    -3.26  -3.65     0.39
Ishii,K        LAD    5   8.5     5.27   5.49    -1.05  -1.39     0.34
May,D          KCR    4   9.1     4.53   4.87    -0.12  -0.43     0.31
Hudson,T       OAK    7   9.2     3.21   3.29     3.90   3.60     0.30
Benson,K       PIT    0   4.0     4.98   5.24    -0.18  -0.46     0.28
Santana,Jo     MIN    1   3.9     3.77   4.09     1.08   0.81     0.27
Park,C         TEX    4   6.5     5.46   5.61    -1.15  -1.41     0.25
Lackey,J       ANA    2   5.0     4.22   4.46     0.43   0.18     0.25
Byrd,P         KCR    5   8.5     3.73   3.85     2.39   2.15     0.24
Maddux,G       ATL    2   4.2     2.94   3.04     3.88   3.65     0.23
Millwood,K     ATL    5   7.5     3.37   3.47     2.72   2.50     0.23
Jennings,J     COL    4   6.8     4.05   4.16     0.49   0.27     0.22
Baez,D         CLE    5   8.4     4.35   4.54     0.32   0.11     0.22
Tankersley,D   SDP    0   2.9     9.47  10.17    -1.76  -1.95     0.19
Reitsma,C      CIN    1   3.6     5.28   5.47    -0.64  -0.83     0.19
Dessens,E      CIN    1   3.6     3.53   3.66     1.73   1.54     0.19
Lilly,T        N/O    1   3.2     4.02   4.23     0.61   0.42     0.19
Kinney,M       MIN    1   3.3     4.92   5.24    -0.27  -0.45     0.19
Perez,Ol       SDP    1   2.7     4.11   4.29     0.47   0.29     0.18

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Flakiest 10 ML Starters (ranked by variance of SNVA):
(20 starts minimum)
Pitcher       Team   APW  SNVA   SNVA Var.
------------------------------------------
Byrd,P         KCR   2.5   2.2    0.077
Leiter,A       NYM  -0.2   0.3    0.076
Weaver,J       D/N   1.0   1.2    0.075
Moyer,J        SEA   2.8   2.9    0.074
Stark,D        COL   1.0   1.3    0.073
Hernandez,L    SFG  -1.5  -1.2    0.072
Pettitte,A     NYY   1.4   1.5    0.071
Penny,B        FLA  -1.4  -1.3    0.070
Morris,M       STL   1.8   1.9    0.069
Tomko,B        SDP  -1.4  -0.6    0.069

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Steadiest 10 ML Starters (ranked by variance of SNVA):
(20 starts minimum)
Pitcher       Team   APW  SNVA   SNVA Var.
------------------------------------------
Pavano,C       M/F  -2.2  -1.9    0.030
Baez,D         CLE   0.7   0.1    0.031
Glover,G       CHW  -1.7  -1.7    0.031
Asencio,M      KCR   0.8   0.6    0.031
Ponson,S       BAL   0.8   0.4    0.033
Burba,D        T/C  -0.7  -1.0    0.035
Valdes,I       T/S   1.3   1.0    0.037
Dessens,E      CIN   2.1   1.5    0.038
Drese,R        CLE  -2.7  -2.6    0.038
Beckett,J      FLA  -0.6  -0.4    0.039

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Team Totals (teams ranked by SNW-SNL):
Team     SNW    SNL   SNPct.  E(W)    W    L    RA   AdjRA  SNVA
-----------------------------------------------------------------
ARI     70.6   46.4    .603   70.0   72   45   3.96   3.61  11.4
OAK     68.5   47.0    .593   67.3   75   41   3.95   3.85  10.3
ATL     64.6   43.9    .595   63.0   71   45   3.77   3.67   9.6
BOS     67.0   46.9    .588   66.2   78   47   3.94   3.91   9.2
ANA     63.0   50.2    .557   61.9   72   47   4.32   4.23   6.0
NYY     62.3   52.2    .544   60.8   79   41   4.37   4.28   4.5
HOU     58.0   49.0    .542   54.8   62   52   4.43   4.27   4.0
STL     58.7   50.1    .539   55.0   64   44   4.37   4.50   3.6
LAD     58.0   55.0    .513   57.2   66   52   4.03   4.43   1.2
CHC     57.8   55.3    .511   56.0   45   67   4.46   4.67   0.8
SFG     58.4   56.3    .509   56.8   66   52   4.15   4.58   0.5
MIN     55.1   53.3    .508   51.6   64   51   4.75   4.72   0.8
SEA     57.8   56.4    .506   56.4   60   48   4.54   4.73   0.3
MON     56.1   54.8    .506   53.2   55   59   4.47   4.56   0.5
PIT     53.2   54.2    .495   51.2   51   67   4.96   4.70  -0.8
KCR     54.6   55.8    .494   51.9   40   69   5.48   4.68  -0.6
CLE     54.4   57.3    .487   53.4   55   61   5.16   4.92  -1.6
TOR     53.7   59.8    .473   51.3   61   55   5.38   5.18  -3.1
CHW     53.1   59.7    .471   50.9   61   64   5.49   5.24  -3.3
PHI     52.2   60.0    .465   50.2   50   53   4.62   4.93  -4.1
COL     51.1   59.2    .464   49.4   55   60   5.69   4.65  -3.9
NYM     52.6   61.0    .463   51.6   52   62   4.82   5.12  -4.3
TEX     50.7   59.7    .459   49.3   47   52   5.56   5.17  -4.6
FLA     50.8   60.4    .457   47.3   54   61   4.94   5.21  -5.1
CIN     48.5   59.2    .450   45.5   47   58   5.23   5.21  -5.5
BAL     49.9   62.2    .445   48.1   42   75   5.24   5.30  -6.2
DET     51.9   65.8    .441   50.2   40   81   5.54   5.82  -7.0
SDP     48.7   66.2    .424   47.0   46   61   5.14   5.64  -8.7
TAM     49.2   67.3    .422   48.1   33   75   5.77   5.72  -9.1
MIL     46.8   66.6    .412   44.7   40   84   5.65   5.69  -9.7
-----------------------------------------------------------------
ML    1677.0 1691.3    .498 1620.2 1703 1729   4.79   4.79 -15.0

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Team Luck Totals
(teams ranked by ((SNW - E(W)) + (E(L) - SNL)):
Team    E(W)    E(L)    W    L    Diff
---------------------------------------
NYY     60.8   52.2    79   41   29.5
STL     55.0   50.1    64   44   15.1
MIN     51.6   53.3    64   51   14.7
TOR     51.3   59.8    61   55   14.5
OAK     67.3   47.0    75   41   13.7
SFG     56.8   56.3    66   52   13.5
ANA     61.9   50.2    72   47   13.2
SEA     56.4   56.4    60   48   12.0
LAD     57.2   55.0    66   52   11.8
BOS     66.2   46.9    78   47   11.7
ATL     63.0   43.9    71   45    6.9
PHI     50.2   60.0    50   53    6.8
FLA     47.3   60.4    54   61    6.1
CHW     50.9   59.7    61   64    5.8
TEX     49.3   59.7    47   52    5.4
COL     49.4   59.2    55   60    4.8
HOU     54.8   49.0    62   52    4.2
SDP     47.0   66.2    46   61    4.2
ARI     70.0   46.4    72   45    3.5
CIN     45.5   59.2    47   58    2.7
NYM     51.6   61.0    52   62   -0.6
CLE     53.4   57.3    55   61   -2.1
MON     53.2   54.8    55   59   -2.4
PIT     51.2   54.2    51   67  -13.0
BAL     48.1   62.2    42   75  -18.9
MIL     44.7   66.6    40   84  -22.0
CHC     56.0   55.3    45   67  -22.7
TAM     48.1   67.3    33   75  -22.8
KCR     51.9   55.8    40   69  -25.1
DET     50.2   65.8    40   81  -25.4
---------------------------------------
ML    1620.2 1691.3  1703 1729   45.1

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Team Bullpen Support Totals
(teams ranked by Bullpen Support of starting pitchers):
Team      IR   E(IR)   RA/A  E(RA)/A  SNVA_n  SNVA    BSup
----------------------------------------------------------
COL       23   31.6    4.65   4.72    -3.16  -3.91    0.75
CIN       22   27.6    5.21   5.27    -4.91  -5.46    0.55
CLE       39   46.4    4.92   4.99    -1.09  -1.64    0.55
MIN       28   32.7    4.72   4.77     1.21   0.76    0.45
NYY       29   35.5    4.28   4.34     4.91   4.52    0.39
MIL       29   29.8    5.69   5.70    -9.47  -9.71    0.24
PIT       26   31.2    4.70   4.75    -0.62  -0.83    0.21
SEA       26   30.2    4.73   4.77     0.49   0.31    0.18
LAD       26   24.6    4.43   4.41     1.18   1.19   -0.01
SDP       29   32.2    5.64   5.67    -8.76  -8.71   -0.04
TEX       44   46.6    5.17   5.19    -4.62  -4.56   -0.06
ATL       29   29.6    3.67   3.67     9.48   9.60   -0.12
KCR       55   56.8    4.68   4.69    -0.90  -0.65   -0.25
ANA       35   34.0    4.23   4.22     5.75   6.01   -0.26
BAL       31   31.7    5.30   5.31    -6.54  -6.24   -0.29
OAK       43   37.1    3.85   3.80    10.01  10.32   -0.31
ARI       20   17.6    3.61   3.59    11.07  11.38   -0.31
BOS       33   32.4    3.91   3.90     8.85   9.16   -0.31
PHI       25   24.0    4.93   4.92    -4.54  -4.15   -0.39
FLA       28   24.0    5.21   5.17    -5.47  -5.07   -0.40
SFG       26   25.6    4.58   4.58     0.02   0.48   -0.46
TOR       40   36.1    5.18   5.14    -3.60  -3.10   -0.50
STL       37   31.1    4.50   4.44     3.04   3.64   -0.61
CHC       33   25.7    4.67   4.60     0.07   0.75   -0.68
TAM       33   28.9    5.72   5.68    -9.75  -9.05   -0.69
MON       39   32.3    4.56   4.50    -0.29   0.46   -0.74
HOU       40   34.6    4.27   4.21     3.24   4.03   -0.79
CHW       56   47.5    5.24   5.16    -4.29  -3.31   -0.99
NYM       42   33.9    5.12   5.04    -5.29  -4.29   -1.00
DET       57   44.8    5.82   5.70    -8.18  -6.97   -1.21
----------------------------------------------------------
ML      1023  995.8    4.79   4.78   -22.13 -15.03   -7.10

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Team-by-team stats:
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS          Park Effect: +17.8%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Anderson,B   24  141.7  80  7.9  8.2  .492  5 10  5.08  -0.2  -0.1    1.1
Batista,M    29  176.7  96  9.8 10.2  .490  8  9  4.89   0.2  -0.3    1.3
Helling,R    30  175.7  94 10.7  9.7  .524 10 12  4.82   0.3   0.4    2.0
Johnson,R    35  260.0  78 20.7  6.9  .751 24  5  2.70   6.3   6.7    9.0
Patterson,J   5   27.7  10  2.3  1.2  .658  2  0  3.25   0.5   0.5    0.8
Schilling,C  35  258.3  92 18.5  8.2  .691 23  7  3.21   4.8   4.9    7.1
Stottlemyre,  4   19.3  16  0.8  2.0  .277  0  2  7.45  -0.5  -0.6   -0.4
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162 1059.3 466 70.6 46.4  .603 72 45  3.96  11.4  11.4   20.9


ATLANTA BRAVES                Park Effect: +5.4%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Bong,J        1    6.0   5  0.1  0.6  .172  0  1  7.50  -0.2  -0.2   -0.2
Ennis,J       1    4.0   2  0.2  0.3  .444  0  0  4.50   0.0  -0.0    0.0
Glavine,T    36  224.7  85 15.9  9.1  .636 18 11  3.41   3.2   3.3    5.3
Lopez,A       4   19.0  17  0.7  2.0  .257  0  4  8.05  -0.7  -0.6   -0.4
Maddux,G     34  199.3  67 15.2  7.0  .685 16  6  3.03   3.6   3.7    5.8
Marquis,J    22  114.3  66  6.3  7.8  .446  8  9  5.20  -0.6  -0.7    0.3
Millwood,K   34  213.0  82 14.3  9.0  .615 17  8  3.46   2.9   2.5    4.4
Moss,D       29  175.0  76 11.9  8.2  .590 12  6  3.91   1.5   1.7    3.3
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      161  955.3 400 64.6 43.9  .595 71 45  3.77   9.7   9.6   18.5


CHICAGO CUBS                  Park Effect: -9.4%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Benes,Al      7   39.3  22  2.3  2.4  .484  2  2  5.03  -0.3  -0.1    0.3
Bere,J       16   85.7  63  4.1  7.6  .350  1 10  6.62  -2.2  -1.7   -0.9
Clement,M    32  205.0  84 12.9  9.5  .575 12 11  3.69   1.6   1.5    3.4
Cruz,J        9   45.7  30  1.6  4.0  .287  1  7  5.91  -0.8  -1.1   -0.8
Lieber,J     21  141.0  64  8.4  6.9  .551  6  8  4.09   0.4   0.7    1.9
Mahomes,P     2    8.7   8  0.3  1.0  .258  0  1  8.31  -0.4  -0.3   -0.2
Prior,M      19  116.7  45  7.7  5.0  .605  6  6  3.47   1.2   1.3    2.3
Smyth,S       7   24.0  28  1.0  3.6  .217  1  3 10.50  -1.7  -1.3   -1.0
Wood,K       33  213.7  92 13.3  9.9  .574 12 11  3.88   1.2   1.4    3.5
Zambrano,C   16   93.0  46  6.2  5.4  .536  4  8  4.45  -0.1   0.4    1.3
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  972.7 482 57.8 55.3  .511 45 67  4.46  -1.0   0.8    9.8


CINCINNATI REDS               Park Effect: +0.5%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Acevedo,Jo    5   22.0  21  0.9  2.6  .260  3  2  8.59  -1.0  -0.8   -0.6
Almanzar,C    1    0.7   3  0.1  0.2  .184  0  1 40.50  -0.3  -0.1   -0.1
Chen,B        1    4.0   7  0.0  0.8  .020  0  1 15.75  -0.5  -0.4   -0.3
Dempster,R   15   88.7  61  4.4  6.7  .395  5  5  6.19  -1.6  -1.2   -0.3
Dessens,E    30  178.0  70 11.5  8.1  .587  7  8  3.54   2.1   1.5    3.2
Estes,S       6   28.0  24  1.3  3.1  .295  1  3  7.71  -1.0  -0.8   -0.6
Fernandez,J   8   42.7  25  2.0  3.1  .390  1  3  5.27  -0.3  -0.5   -0.2
Graves,D      4   19.0   4  1.7  0.5  .769  1  0  1.89   0.6   0.6    0.8
Hamilton,J   17   90.7  61  4.5  7.0  .391  3  7  6.06  -1.5  -1.2   -0.4
Haynes,J     34  196.7  97 11.5 10.9  .515 15 10  4.44   0.3   0.2    2.0
Moehler,B     9   42.0  34  1.7  3.8  .311  2  4  7.29  -1.2  -1.0   -0.6
Pineda,L      2    5.3   5  0.6  0.7  .464  1  0  8.44  -0.2  -0.1    0.1
Reitsma,C    21  117.3  69  6.3  8.0  .440  4 10  5.29  -0.9  -0.8    0.2
Rijo,J        9   44.7  30  2.1  3.8  .352  4  4  6.04  -0.7  -0.8   -0.4
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  879.7 511 48.5 59.2  .450 47 58  5.23  -6.2  -5.5    2.7


COLORADO ROCKIES              Park Effect: +36.6%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Chacon,S     21  119.3  84  5.8  8.2  .415  5 12  6.34  -1.1  -1.1   -0.1
Cook,A        5   30.0  14  1.8  1.5  .546  2  1  4.20   0.4   0.2    0.4
Flores,R      2   10.7   8  0.4  0.8  .326  0  1  6.75  -0.1  -0.2   -0.1
Hampton,M    30  178.7 135  7.6 14.4  .346  7 15  6.80  -2.5  -3.5   -1.7
Jennings,J   32  185.3 102 10.8 10.4  .509 16  8  4.95   0.8   0.3    1.8
Neagle,D     28  154.7  96  9.5  9.5  .501  8 10  5.59  -0.3   0.0    1.5
Santos,V      2    4.0  12  0.0  1.6  .003  0  1 27.00  -0.9  -0.7   -0.7
Stark,D      20  113.3  57  8.0  5.5  .596 10  4  4.53   1.0   1.3    2.3
Thomson,J    21  127.3  77  6.8  7.3  .483  7  8  5.44  -0.1  -0.3    0.8
Vance,C       1    3.0   1  0.3  0.1  .795  0  0  3.00   0.1   0.1    0.1
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  926.3 586 51.1 59.2  .464 55 60  5.69  -2.7  -3.9    4.2


FLORIDA MARLINS               Park Effect: -10.9%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Beckett,J    21  104.7  56  6.2  6.7  .480  6  7  4.82  -0.6  -0.4    0.7
Burnett,A    29  201.7  79 13.3  8.5  .610 12  9  3.53   1.8   2.2    4.0
Dempster,R   18  120.3  66  6.1  7.2  .460  5  8  4.94  -0.8  -0.7    0.5
Izquierdo,H   2    7.0   4  0.5  0.7  .448  1  0  5.14  -0.1  -0.0    0.0
Olsen,K       8   37.7  25  1.5  3.2  .320  0  5  5.97  -0.7  -0.8   -0.5
Pavano,C      8   41.0  25  1.9  3.2  .374  3  1  5.49  -0.5  -0.6   -0.3
Penny,B      24  129.3  76  7.2  9.6  .427  8  7  5.29  -1.4  -1.3    0.0
Robertson,N   1    4.7   4  0.1  0.5  .203  0  1  7.71  -0.2  -0.2   -0.1
Tavarez,J    27  152.3  96  6.8 11.6  .369 10 11  5.67  -2.3  -2.4   -1.0
Tejera,M     18  105.7  60  5.7  6.7  .462  7  8  5.11  -0.9  -0.5    0.5
Teut,N        1    4.3   5  0.1  0.6  .106  0  1 10.38  -0.3  -0.3   -0.2
Wayne,J       5   23.7  16  1.3  2.0  .407  2  3  6.08  -0.5  -0.3   -0.1
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  932.3 512 50.8 60.4  .457 54 61  4.94  -6.4  -5.1    3.5


HOUSTON ASTROS                Park Effect: +7.3%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cruz,N        5   19.7  10  1.5  1.3  .539  1  1  4.58   0.0   0.1    0.3
Hernandez,C  21  110.0  52  7.6  5.4  .583  7  5  4.25   0.6   1.0    2.1
Lidge,B       1    3.0   0  0.4  0.0 1.000  0  0  0.00   0.2   0.2    0.2
Miller,W     26  164.7  63 11.4  6.6  .633 15  4  3.44   2.3   2.3    3.8
Mlicki,D     16   77.3  51  4.7  6.0  .443  4  9  5.94  -1.0  -0.5    0.2
Munro,P      14   70.3  36  4.4  4.4  .502  5  5  4.61   0.1   0.0    0.7
Oswalt,R     34  232.0  86 15.9  8.4  .655 19  9  3.34   3.5   3.4    5.6
Redding,T    14   67.7  44  3.9  4.8  .445  2  5  5.85  -0.8  -0.4    0.2
Reynolds,S   13   74.0  43  3.7  4.7  .437  3  6  5.23  -0.4  -0.6    0.1
Robertson,J   1    2.7   2  0.1  0.3  .314  0  1  6.75  -0.1  -0.1   -0.0
Saarloos,K   17   85.3  59  4.3  7.2  .377  6  7  6.22  -1.4  -1.4   -0.6
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  906.7 446 58.0 49.0  .542 62 52  4.43   3.1   4.0   12.5


LOS ANGELES DODGERS           Park Effect: -19.9%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Alvarez,V     1    7.0   2  0.4  0.3  .597  0  1  2.57   0.1   0.1    0.1
Ashby,A      30  181.7  85 10.8 10.2  .515  9 13  4.21  -0.2   0.2    1.9
Beirne,K      3   15.0   7  0.8  0.9  .456  1  0  4.20  -0.0  -0.0    0.1
Brown,K      10   49.3  27  3.0  3.5  .454  2  4  4.93  -0.5  -0.3    0.2
Carrara,G     1    5.0   2  0.2  0.3  .418  0  0  3.60   0.0  -0.0   -0.0
Daal,O       23  131.3  68  7.8  8.1  .490  9  8  4.66  -0.8  -0.2    1.0
Ishii,K      28  154.0  82  8.1 10.9  .425 14 10  4.79  -1.2  -1.4   -0.0
Nomo,H       34  220.3  92 12.5 11.6  .519 16  6  3.76   0.9   0.3    2.3
Perez,O      32  222.3  76 14.5  9.1  .614 15 10  3.08   2.7   2.6    4.5
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  986.0 441 58.0 55.0  .513 66 52  4.03   1.2   1.2   10.0


MILWAUKEE BREWERS             Park Effect: -1.4%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cabrera,J    11   55.3  47  2.5  4.8  .343  4  6  7.64  -1.9  -1.1   -0.6
Diggins,B     5   24.0  24  0.9  2.6  .253  0  4  9.00  -1.2  -0.8   -0.6
Figueroa,N   11   59.7  46  1.9  5.6  .253  1  5  6.94  -1.6  -1.8   -1.3
Franklin,W    4   24.0   8  2.0  0.8  .701  2  1  3.00   0.4   0.5    0.8
Lorraine,A    1    3.3   7  0.0  0.8  .016  0  1 18.90  -0.5  -0.4   -0.3
Neugebauer,N 12   55.3  33  2.8  4.0  .410  1  7  5.37  -0.5  -0.6   -0.1
Osting,J      3   12.0  11  0.5  1.6  .251  0  2  8.25  -0.5  -0.5   -0.4
Pember,D      1    3.7   4  0.1  0.6  .088  0  1  9.82  -0.2  -0.3   -0.2
Quevedo,R    25  138.0 100  6.5 11.6  .361  6 11  6.52  -3.0  -2.5   -1.2
Rusch,G      34  210.7 118 11.3 13.3  .458 10 16  5.04  -1.2  -1.1    0.8
Sheets,B     34  216.7 105 12.4 11.5  .519 11 16  4.36   0.4   0.4    2.2
Stull,E       2   10.0   7  0.3  0.9  .258  0  1  6.30  -0.2  -0.3   -0.2
Wright,J     19  114.3  72  5.5  8.3  .399  5 13  5.67  -1.4  -1.3   -0.4
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  927.0 582 46.8 66.6  .412 40 84  5.65 -11.3  -9.7   -1.4


MONTREAL EXPOS                Park Effect: -3.8%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
ArmasJr,T    29  164.3  87  8.9  9.8  .476 12 12  4.76  -0.5  -0.4    0.9
Chen,B        5   19.0  17  0.8  2.2  .262  0  3  8.05  -0.8  -0.7   -0.5
Colon,B      17  117.0  48  7.2  5.5  .566 10  4  3.69   1.0   0.8    1.8
Day,Z         2    7.7   7  0.2  0.9  .169  0  1  8.22  -0.3  -0.4   -0.3
Drew,T        1    5.7   2  0.3  0.3  .471  1  0  3.18   0.1   0.0    0.0
Kim,S         3   18.3   2  1.9  0.1  .946  1  0  0.98   0.7   0.8    1.0
Ohka,T       31  191.7  82 12.6  9.2  .578 13  7  3.85   1.4   1.6    3.3
Pavano,C     14   73.7  53  3.2  6.1  .348  3  8  6.48  -1.6  -1.3   -0.7
Reames,B      6   20.3  17  1.4  2.3  .374  1  3  7.52  -0.7  -0.4   -0.2
Vazquez,J    34  230.3 111 12.8 12.6  .504 10 13  4.34   0.4   0.0    2.0
Yoshii,M     20  107.3  49  6.9  5.8  .543  4  8  4.11   0.5   0.4    1.5
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  955.3 475 56.1 54.8  .506 55 59  4.47   0.2   0.5    9.0


NEW YORK METS                 Park Effect: -12.6%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Astacio,P    31  191.7 106 10.6 11.8  .473 12 11  4.98  -1.5  -0.7    1.1
Bacsik,M      9   51.7  29  2.5  3.5  .412  3  2  5.05  -0.4  -0.6   -0.1
Damico,J     22  129.0  80  6.5  9.3  .412  5 10  5.58  -1.9  -1.3   -0.2
Estes,S      23  132.7  70  7.0  8.9  .438  4  9  4.75  -0.7  -1.0    0.2
Leiter,A     33  204.3  99 12.6 11.9  .515 13 13  4.36  -0.2   0.3    2.2
Middlebrook,  3   16.0   7  0.9  0.8  .526  1  0  3.94   0.1   0.0    0.2
Thomson,J     9   54.3  39  2.0  4.7  .305  2  6  6.46  -1.3  -1.3   -0.8
Trachsel,S   30  173.7  80 10.3  9.7  .515 11 11  4.15   0.3   0.4    1.8
Walker,T      1    5.0   3  0.2  0.4  .330  1  0  5.40  -0.1  -0.1   -0.1
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      161  958.3 513 52.6 61.0  .463 52 62  4.82  -5.7  -4.3    4.3


PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES         Park Effect: -13.6%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Adams,T      19  102.7  67  4.7  8.2  .362  4  7  5.87  -1.9  -1.7   -0.8
Coggin,D      7   27.7  26  0.9  3.7  .194  0  3  8.46  -1.3  -1.3   -1.1
Duckworth,B  29  161.0 102  8.2 12.4  .399  8  9  5.70  -2.6  -2.1   -0.5
Junge,E       1    5.0   1  0.4  0.1  .743  1  0  1.80   0.1   0.1    0.2
Mercado,H     3   12.7   5  0.8  0.7  .519  0  0  3.55   0.1   0.0    0.1
Myers,B      12   72.0  38  3.8  4.7  .447  4  5  4.75  -0.4  -0.5    0.2
Padilla,V    32  206.0  83 12.8 10.1  .559 14 11  3.63   1.5   1.2    3.1
Person,R     16   87.7  58  3.5  7.6  .314  4  5  5.95  -1.7  -2.0   -1.2
Roa,J        11   64.0  30  3.4  3.8  .468  4  4  4.22   0.0  -0.3    0.3
Wolf,R       31  210.7  77 13.8  8.6  .615 11  9  3.29   2.4   2.4    4.3
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      161  949.3 487 52.2 60.0  .465 50 53  4.62  -3.7  -4.1    4.5


PITTSBURGH PIRATES            Park Effect: +10.3%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Anderson,J   25  136.7  83  7.7  9.5  .446  8 13  5.47  -1.0  -0.9    0.4
Arroyo,B      4   18.0  12  1.0  1.4  .413  2  1  6.00  -0.2  -0.2   -0.0
Beimel,J      8   42.7  28  2.1  3.0  .410  1  4  5.91  -0.5  -0.5   -0.1
Benson,K     25  130.3  76  7.9  8.7  .474  9  6  5.25  -0.6  -0.5    0.8
Fogg,J       33  194.3 102 11.5 11.0  .510 12 12  4.72   0.2   0.0    1.9
Lowe,S        1    3.3   6  0.0  0.7  .061  0  1 16.20  -0.4  -0.3   -0.3
Meadows,B    11   62.7  29  4.0  3.1  .566  1  6  4.16   0.4   0.5    1.0
Torres,S      5   30.0  10  2.2  1.3  .628  2  1  3.00   0.6   0.4    0.7
Villone,R     7   37.0  30  1.6  3.3  .326  2  4  7.30  -1.0  -0.8   -0.5
Wells,K      33  198.3  92 12.8  9.6  .572 12 14  4.17   1.4   1.4    3.3
Williams,D    9   43.3  26  2.6  2.7  .489  2  5  5.40  -0.3  -0.1    0.3
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      161  896.7 494 53.2 54.2  .495 51 67  4.96  -1.4  -0.8    7.6


ST. LOUIS CARDINALS           Park Effect: -6.1%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Benes,A      17   94.0  37  7.3  4.2  .635  5  4  3.54   0.9   1.4    2.4
Crudale,M     1    2.0   0  0.3  0.0 1.000  0  0  0.00   0.1   0.1    0.2
Finley,C     14   85.3  41  5.5  4.5  .550  7  4  4.32   0.1   0.4    1.2
Hackman,L     6   25.0  17  1.4  2.1  .397  1  1  6.12  -0.5  -0.3   -0.1
Kile,D       14   84.7  36  5.2  3.9  .573  5  4  3.83   0.6   0.6    1.4
Morris,M     32  210.3  86 13.8  9.7  .587 17  9  3.68   1.8   1.9    3.8
Pearce,J      3   13.0  13  0.3  1.6  .159  0  0  9.00  -0.7  -0.6   -0.5
Simontacchi, 24  143.3  68  8.9  7.1  .555 11  5  4.27   0.3   0.8    2.1
Smith,B      10   47.0  38  2.3  4.4  .338  1  5  7.28  -1.5  -1.1   -0.6
Smith,T      10   48.0  40  2.5  4.5  .362  4  2  7.50  -1.6  -1.0   -0.4
Stephenson,G 10   43.0  27  2.6  3.3  .439  2  5  5.65  -0.6  -0.3    0.1
Timlin,M      1    4.3   4  0.1  0.5  .230  0  1  8.31  -0.2  -0.2   -0.1
Williams,W   17  103.3  30  7.7  3.3  .700  9  4  2.61   2.1   2.0    3.0
Wright,J      3   14.0   8  0.8  1.1  .429  2  0  5.14  -0.1  -0.1    0.0
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  917.3 445 58.7 50.1  .539 64 44  4.37   0.8   3.6   12.5


SAN DIEGO PADRES              Park Effect: -19.5%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Bynum,M       3   17.7  10  0.7  1.2  .364  1  0  5.09  -0.2  -0.3   -0.1
Condrey,C     3   19.3   7  1.3  0.9  .586  1  2  3.26   0.2   0.2    0.4
Eaton,A       6   33.3  20  1.8  2.4  .427  1  1  5.40  -0.5  -0.3    0.0
Howard,B      2    6.0   7  0.5  0.9  .351  0  1 10.50  -0.4  -0.2   -0.1
Jarvis,K      7   35.0  19  2.2  2.5  .468  2  4  4.89  -0.3  -0.2    0.2
Jones,BJ     18  107.0  67  4.5  8.4  .348  7  7  5.64  -1.9  -1.8   -1.0
Jones,BM      2    6.3   6  0.2  0.9  .196  0  0  8.53  -0.3  -0.3   -0.3
Lawrence,B   31  205.0  94 11.6 10.9  .516 12 11  4.13   0.0   0.3    2.0
Middlebrook,  2    8.7  11  0.0  1.6  .028  0  2 11.42  -0.7  -0.7   -0.6
Peavy,J      17   97.7  54  5.4  6.2  .462  6  7  4.98  -0.9  -0.6    0.4
Perez,Ol     15   89.0  37  5.6  4.9  .531  4  5  3.74   0.4   0.3    1.1
Pickford,K    4   17.3  13  0.5  1.9  .217  0  2  6.75  -0.5  -0.6   -0.5
Tankersley,D  9   40.7  39  1.2  5.3  .191  1  4  8.63  -2.1  -2.0   -1.5
Tollberg,B   11   54.7  47  1.9  5.8  .249  1  5  7.74  -2.3  -1.9   -1.4
Tomko,B      32  204.3 107 11.3 12.4  .477 10 10  4.71  -1.4  -0.6    1.2
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  942.0 538 48.7 66.2  .424 46 61  5.14 -10.9  -8.7   -0.1


SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS          Park Effect: -21.0%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Ainsworth,K   4   21.7   7  1.2  1.0  .545  1  2  2.91   0.3   0.1    0.3
Hernandez,L  33  216.0 113 11.5 13.8  .455 12 16  4.71  -1.5  -1.2    0.7
Jensen,R     30  163.3  93  9.2 11.2  .450 12  8  5.12  -1.9  -1.2    0.5
Ortiz,R      33  214.3  89 12.9 10.3  .556 14 10  3.74   0.9   1.1    3.0
Rueter,K     33  203.7  83 12.7 10.4  .551 14  8  3.67   1.0   0.9    2.9
Schmidt,J    29  185.3  78 10.8  9.6  .530 13  8  3.79   0.7   0.6    2.1
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162 1004.3 463 58.4 56.3  .509 66 52  4.15  -0.5   0.5    9.6


ANAHEIM ANGELS                Park Effect: +4.5%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Appier,K     32  188.3  89 12.2  9.5  .563 14 12  4.25   1.2   1.4    3.0
Callaway,M    6   34.3  20  2.0  2.1  .483  2  1  5.24  -0.1  -0.1    0.2
Lackey,J     18  108.3  52  6.3  5.8  .520  9  4  4.32   0.6   0.2    1.2
Ortiz,Ra     32  217.3  97 13.8  9.8  .587 15  9  4.02   2.0   1.9    3.8
Schoeneweis, 15   90.3  57  5.2  5.8  .474  6  6  5.68  -0.8  -0.3    0.5
Sele,A       26  160.0  92  8.7  9.4  .480  8  9  5.18  -0.5  -0.3    1.0
Shields,S     1    3.0   2  0.1  0.3  .299  0  0  6.00  -0.0  -0.1   -0.1
Washburn,J   32  206.0  75 14.6  7.5  .661 18  6  3.28   3.5   3.3    5.2
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162 1007.7 484 63.0 50.2  .557 72 47  4.32   5.8   6.0   14.9


BALTIMORE ORIOLES             Park Effect: -2.5%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Bauer,R       1    6.0   5  0.1  0.6  .147  0  1  7.50  -0.2  -0.2   -0.2
Douglass,S    8   40.0  35  1.4  3.9  .263  0  5  7.88  -1.4  -1.2   -0.8
Driskill,T   19  108.7  67  5.2  7.5  .410  7  8  5.55  -1.0  -1.1   -0.2
Erickson,S   28  158.7 109  7.8 13.0  .375  5 12  6.18  -2.6  -2.4   -1.0
Hentgen,P     4   22.0  20  0.4  2.4  .157  0  4  8.18  -0.8  -0.9   -0.8
Johnson,J    22  131.3  68  8.0  7.4  .518  5 14  4.66   0.0   0.2    1.4
Lopez,R      28  181.7  80 11.5  8.3  .580 14  9  3.96   1.4   1.3    3.1
Maduro,C     10   53.3  35  2.4  4.1  .369  2  5  5.91  -0.7  -0.8   -0.4
Ponson,S     28  176.0  84  9.8  8.9  .524  7  9  4.30   0.8   0.4    1.9
Stephens,J   11   64.0  44  2.6  4.9  .347  2  5  6.19  -1.0  -1.1   -0.6
Towers,J      3   19.3  12  0.7  1.3  .359  0  3  5.59  -0.2  -0.3   -0.1
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  961.0 559 49.9 62.2  .445 42 75  5.24  -5.7  -6.2    2.2


BOSTON RED SOX                Park Effect: +1.7%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Arrojo,R      8   39.3  23  3.0  2.7  .523  1  2  5.26  -0.2   0.0    0.6
Burkett,J    29  173.0  93 10.3 10.1  .506 13  8  4.84  -0.1   0.0    1.7
Castillo,F   23  130.7  84  6.6  9.6  .409  5 14  5.79  -1.4  -1.4   -0.3
Fossum,C     12   66.7  41  3.1  4.6  .405  3  3  5.54  -0.5  -0.7   -0.2
Hancock,J     1    5.3   3  0.3  0.3  .501  0  1  5.06  -0.0  -0.0    0.0
Hermanson,D   1    5.0   2  0.3  0.2  .562  1  0  3.60   0.1   0.0    0.1
Kim,S         2    8.7   7  0.4  0.8  .304  1  0  7.27  -0.2  -0.2   -0.1
Lowe,D       32  219.7  65 16.9  6.3  .728 21  8  2.66   5.0   4.9    7.0
Martinez,P   30  199.3  62 15.8  6.3  .716 20  4  2.80   4.3   4.5    6.4
Oliver,D      9   47.3  25  2.9  3.0  .492  4  4  4.75   0.0  -0.0    0.4
Wakefield,T  15   98.0  30  7.4  3.0  .709  9  3  2.76   2.1   2.1    2.9
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  993.0 435 67.0 46.9  .588 78 47  3.94   9.1   9.2   18.6


CHICAGO WHITE SOX             Park Effect: +8.9%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Biddle,R      7   33.7  16  1.9  1.7  .524  2  2  4.28   0.2   0.1    0.4
Buehrle,M    34  239.0 102 16.2  9.5  .632 19 12  3.84   2.8   3.2    5.3
Garland,J    33  192.7 109 11.3 11.4  .497 12 12  5.09  -0.3  -0.1    1.6
Glover,G     22  116.0  82  5.3  8.8  .374  7  7  6.36  -1.7  -1.7   -0.7
Parque,J      4   14.3  17  0.4  2.0  .177  1  3 10.67  -0.9  -0.7   -0.6
Rauch,J       6   25.3  24  1.6  2.4  .391  1  1  8.53  -1.0  -0.4   -0.1
Ritchie,T    23  131.0 104  5.4 11.4  .320  5 15  7.15  -3.0  -2.9   -1.8
Wright,D     33  196.3 124 11.1 12.5  .471 14 12  5.68  -1.5  -0.7    1.1
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  948.3 578 53.1 59.7  .471 61 64  5.49  -5.2  -3.3    5.2


CLEVELAND INDIANS             Park Effect: +9.3%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Baez,D       26  154.0  78  8.5  8.5  .501  9 10  4.56   0.7   0.1    1.3
Burba,D       3   17.7  14  0.6  1.3  .304  1  0  7.13  -0.4  -0.3   -0.2
Colon,B      16  116.3  37  9.0  3.4  .728 10  4  2.86   2.6   2.7    3.8
Davis,J       2   10.7   2  1.0  0.1  .876  1  0  1.69   0.4   0.4    0.5
Drese,R      26  137.3 104  6.2 11.5  .352 10  9  6.82  -2.7  -2.6   -1.3
Finley,C     18  105.3  56  6.6  5.7  .536  4 11  4.78   0.2   0.3    1.4
Lee,C         2   10.3   2  1.0  0.1  .896  0  1  1.74   0.4   0.4    0.5
Mulholland,T  3   20.7   9  1.1  1.0  .525  1  1  3.92   0.2   0.0    0.2
Nagy,C        7   29.0  29  1.4  3.5  .293  1  4  9.00  -1.2  -1.0   -0.6
Phillips,J    6   36.3  21  1.8  2.1  .467  1  3  5.20  -0.1  -0.1    0.2
Rodriguez,R   7   41.3  27  1.9  2.9  .390  2  2  5.88  -0.4  -0.5   -0.2
Sabathia,C   33  210.0 109 12.4 10.9  .534 13 11  4.67   0.7   0.7    2.5
Smith,R       1    3.3   2  0.1  0.3  .298  0  0  5.40  -0.0  -0.0   -0.1
Tallet,B      2   12.0   3  1.0  0.3  .777  1  0  2.25   0.3   0.3    0.5
Westbrook,J   4   21.7  16  1.3  1.7  .428  0  2  6.65  -0.4  -0.2    0.0
Wright,Jar    6   16.3  31  0.3  4.1  .076  1  3 17.08  -2.1  -1.8   -1.5
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  942.3 540 54.4 57.3  .487 55 61  5.16  -1.8  -1.6    6.9


DETROIT TIGERS                Park Effect: -9.9%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Bernero,A    11   64.3  51  3.3  5.1  .394  2  6  7.13  -1.9  -0.9   -0.3
Beverlin,J    3   12.3  15  0.4  1.6  .180  0  3 10.95  -0.9  -0.6   -0.5
Cornejo,N     9   50.0  33  2.4  4.0  .376  1  5  5.94  -0.8  -0.7   -0.3
Greisinger,S  8   37.7  26  2.1  3.2  .395  2  2  6.21  -0.7  -0.5   -0.2
Lima,J       12   53.0  48  2.9  5.6  .341  4  4  8.15  -2.1  -1.3   -0.7
Loux,S        3   14.0  16  0.3  1.9  .120  0  3 10.29  -0.9  -0.8   -0.6
Maroth,M     21  128.7  68  7.3  7.3  .500  6 10  4.76  -0.4  -0.0    1.1
Moehler,B     3   19.7   5  1.5  0.7  .688  1  1  2.29   0.5   0.4    0.6
Powell,B      9   49.3  30  2.3  3.5  .397  1  5  5.47  -0.5  -0.6   -0.2
Redman,M     30  203.0 107 11.7 11.0  .516  8 15  4.74  -0.5   0.2    2.1
Sparks,SW    30  180.7 132  7.9 15.1  .342  8 16  6.58  -4.1  -3.7   -1.9
VanHekken,A   5   30.0  13  1.9  1.5  .558  1  3  3.90   0.2   0.2    0.5
Weaver,J     17  121.7  50  7.9  5.3  .600  6  8  3.70   1.1   1.3    2.3
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      161  964.3 594 51.9 65.8  .441 40 81  5.54 -11.1  -7.0    1.9


KANSAS CITY ROYALS            Park Effect: +29.3%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Affeldt,J     7   33.0  20  2.2  1.8  .541  0  4  5.45   0.0   0.1    0.5
Asencio,M    21  111.7  59  6.9  5.7  .546  4  7  4.76   0.8   0.6    1.5
Byrd,P       33  228.3 111 15.1 10.5  .590 17 11  4.38   2.5   2.2    4.2
Durbin,C      2    8.3  11  0.1  1.2  .105  0  1 11.88  -0.5  -0.5   -0.4
George,C      6   27.3  17  1.6  1.8  .472  0  4  5.60  -0.0  -0.1    0.2
Hernandez,R  12   74.3  36  4.6  2.9  .614  4  4  4.36   0.8   0.9    1.4
May,D        21  115.3  68  6.5  7.2  .473  3  8  5.31   0.2  -0.4    0.7
Obermueller,  2    7.7  10  0.1  1.2  .076  0  2 11.74  -0.5  -0.5   -0.5
Reichert,D    6   34.7  28  1.4  2.8  .331  0  3  7.27  -0.6  -0.7   -0.4
Rekar,B       2    7.0  12  0.1  1.2  .059  0  2 15.43  -0.7  -0.5   -0.5
Sedlacek,S   14   79.3  60  3.9  5.7  .406  3  5  6.81  -1.1  -0.9   -0.2
Stein,B       2    9.3   8  0.3  0.8  .281  0  1  7.71  -0.2  -0.2   -0.2
Suppan,J     33  208.0 134 11.6 12.3  .485  9 16  5.80  -0.7  -0.4    1.4
Suzuki,M      1    5.0   4  0.2  0.5  .232  0  1  7.20  -0.1  -0.2   -0.1
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  949.3 578 54.6 55.8  .494 40 69  5.48  -0.2  -0.6    7.7


MINNESOTA TWINS               Park Effect: +1.1%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Fiore,T       2   10.3   7  0.5  0.7  .427  1  1  6.10  -0.1  -0.1    0.0
Kinney,M     12   63.7  35  3.2  4.3  .428  2  7  4.95  -0.1  -0.5    0.0
Lohse,K      31  180.3  90 11.1  9.6  .534 13  8  4.49   0.6   0.7    2.3
Mays,J       17   95.3  60  5.5  6.5  .459  4  8  5.66  -0.9  -0.5    0.4
Milton,E     29  171.0  96 10.1 10.4  .494 13  9  5.05  -0.5  -0.0    1.4
Radke,B      21  118.3  64  6.6  7.0  .487  9  5  4.87  -0.1  -0.2    0.8
Reed,R       32  187.0  89 11.9  9.8  .549 15  7  4.28   1.0   1.0    2.7
Rincon,J      3   14.0  11  0.6  1.4  .316  0  1  7.07  -0.3  -0.4   -0.2
Santana,Jo   14   80.7  34  5.5  3.8  .594  7  5  3.79   0.9   0.8    1.6
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      161  920.7 486 55.1 53.3  .508 64 51  4.75   0.3   0.8    9.0


NEW YORK YANKEES              Park Effect: +3.9%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Clemens,R    29  180.0  94 10.7  9.7  .525 13  6  4.70   0.3   0.5    2.0
Hernandez,A   1    4.0   6  0.0  0.8  .030  0  1 13.50  -0.4  -0.3   -0.3
Hernandez,O  22  140.0  63  9.2  6.2  .598  8  5  4.05   1.2   1.3    2.7
Hitchcock,S   2    8.3   7  0.2  1.1  .124  0  0  7.56  -0.2  -0.4   -0.4
Lilly,T      11   68.7  29  4.5  3.2  .587  3  5  3.80   0.8   0.7    1.2
Mussina,M    33  215.7 103 12.7 10.9  .539 18 10  4.30   1.3   0.9    2.7
Pettitte,A   22  134.7  58  9.5  6.2  .603 13  5  3.88   1.4   1.5    2.8
Thurman,M     2   11.3   6  0.7  0.6  .555  1  0  4.76   0.0   0.1    0.2
Weaver,J      8   55.7  31  3.0  3.1  .490  4  2  5.01  -0.1  -0.2    0.4
Wells,D      31  206.3 100 11.9 10.6  .528 19  7  4.36   1.1   0.5    2.3
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      161 1024.7 497 62.3 52.2  .544 79 41  4.37   5.2   4.5   13.6


OAKLAND ATHLETICS             Park Effect: +4.7%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Fyhrie,M      4   23.0  18  0.9  2.0  .307  1  3  7.04  -0.5  -0.6   -0.3
Harang,A     15   76.3  43  4.8  4.8  .497  5  3  5.07  -0.2  -0.0    0.7
Hiljus,E      9   45.7  36  2.1  4.1  .340  3  3  7.09  -1.1  -1.0   -0.5
Hudson,T     34  238.3  87 16.4  8.9  .647 15  9  3.29   4.0   3.6    5.6
Lidle,C      30  191.7  90 12.1  9.0  .574  8 10  4.23   1.3   1.7    3.1
Lilly,T       5   21.3  12  1.1  1.7  .390  1  1  5.06  -0.0  -0.3   -0.1
Mulder,M     30  207.3  88 13.9  8.5  .621 19  7  3.82   2.3   2.5    4.4
Zito,B       35  229.3  79 17.2  7.9  .686 23  5  3.10   4.3   4.4    6.5
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162 1033.0 453 68.5 47.0  .593 75 41  3.95  10.1  10.3   19.4


SEATTLE MARINERS              Park Effect: -8.2%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Abbott,P      5   21.3  27  0.5  3.2  .142  1  2 11.39  -1.6  -1.3   -1.0
Baldwin,J    23  135.3  83  6.7  9.5  .416  7  9  5.52  -1.4  -1.4   -0.1
Franklin,R   12   69.0  38  4.0  4.1  .496  4  5  4.96  -0.3  -0.1    0.6
Garcia,F     34  223.7 110 12.7 11.6  .522 16 10  4.43   0.3   0.4    2.4
Halama,J     10   50.3  29  2.5  3.6  .404  4  1  5.19  -0.4  -0.5   -0.1
Moyer,J      34  230.7  89 15.8  9.6  .621 13  8  3.47   2.8   2.9    5.0
Pineiro,J    28  176.3  74 11.4  8.5  .571 13  7  3.78   1.5   1.3    2.9
Soriano,R     8   42.3  25  1.9  3.2  .373  0  3  5.31  -0.4  -0.6   -0.3
Valdes,I      8   49.3  29  2.3  3.1  .427  2  3  5.29  -0.4  -0.4    0.0
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  998.3 504 57.8 56.4  .506 60 48  4.54   0.1   0.3    9.3


TAMPA BAY DEVIL RAYS          Park Effect: +1.8%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Alvarez,W    10   47.0  34  3.2  3.5  .472  2  2  6.51  -0.9  -0.2    0.3
Brazelton,D   2   13.0   7  0.7  0.7  .484  0  1  4.85  -0.0  -0.0    0.1
Harper,T      7   31.3  29  1.4  3.5  .285  2  4  8.33  -1.2  -1.1   -0.7
James,D       6   28.3  23  1.5  2.4  .381  0  3  7.31  -0.8  -0.4   -0.2
Kennedy,J    30  196.7 114 10.2 11.8  .463  8 11  5.22  -0.9  -0.9    0.8
Rupe,R       15   90.0  60  4.8  6.8  .415  5 10  6.00  -1.2  -0.9   -0.1
Santos,L      3   14.0  19  0.2  2.1  .081  0  3 12.21  -1.1  -0.9   -0.8
Sosa,J       14   74.3  50  3.6  5.6  .392  2  7  6.05  -1.0  -1.0   -0.3
Sturtze,T    33  224.0 141  9.9 15.3  .393  4 18  5.67  -2.1  -2.6   -0.8
Wilson,P     30  193.7 113 10.3 12.0  .463  6 12  5.25  -1.0  -0.9    0.8
Zambrano,V   11   65.3  37  3.5  3.6  .491  4  4  5.10  -0.2  -0.1    0.5
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      161  977.7 627 49.2 67.3  .422 33 75  5.77 -10.3  -9.1   -0.3


TEXAS RANGERS                 Park Effect: +13.9%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Bell,R       15   86.7  64  3.8  6.2  .376  4  3  6.65  -1.4  -1.2   -0.5
Benoit,J     13   66.3  46  3.7  4.9  .428  4  5  6.24  -0.8  -0.6    0.0
Burba,D      18  104.3  62  5.2  6.8  .435  4  4  5.35  -0.3  -0.7    0.1
Davis,D      10   59.7  36  3.1  4.0  .442  3  5  5.43  -0.2  -0.5    0.1
Irabu,H       2   11.0   8  0.5  0.6  .418  0  2  6.55  -0.2  -0.0   -0.0
Kozlowski,B   2   10.0   7  0.4  0.8  .298  0  0  6.30  -0.1  -0.2   -0.1
Lewis,C       4   21.7  15  1.0  1.7  .383  0  1  6.23  -0.3  -0.3   -0.1
Myette,A     12   45.3  52  1.6  6.1  .212  2  5 10.32  -2.5  -2.2   -1.7
Park,C       25  145.7  95  7.3 10.0  .421  9  8  5.87  -1.2  -1.4   -0.1
Reyes,D       5   23.3  24  0.8  2.5  .252  2  2  9.26  -1.0  -0.8   -0.6
Rogers,K     33  210.7 101 14.0  9.7  .592 13  8  4.31   1.7   2.0    4.0
Valdes,I     23  146.7  65  9.3  6.3  .594  6  9  3.99   1.7   1.4    2.6
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  931.3 575 50.7 59.7  .459 47 52  5.56  -4.6  -4.6    3.8


TORONTO BLUE JAYS             Park Effect: +7.6%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher      GS    IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Carpenter,C  13   73.3  45  4.4  4.6  .486  4  5  5.52  -0.5  -0.3    0.6
Cooper,B      2    8.3  13  0.1  1.5  .040  0  1 14.04  -0.8  -0.7   -0.6
Eyre,S        3   14.3  16  0.5  1.8  .202  1  2 10.05  -0.8  -0.6   -0.5
Halladay,R   34  239.3  93 16.7  8.9  .653 19  7  3.50   3.6   3.7    5.8
Hendrickson,  4   26.0   4  2.5  0.3  .902  3  0  1.38   1.0   1.0    1.3
Loaiza,E     25  151.3 102  7.7 10.9  .414  9 10  6.07  -1.8  -1.4   -0.2
Lyon,B       10   53.3  42  2.0  4.7  .304  1  4  7.09  -1.2  -1.2   -0.8
Miller,J     18   93.0  58  5.0  6.8  .424  8  5  5.61  -0.7  -0.8   -0.0
Parris,S     14   75.3  50  4.4  5.1  .467  5  5  5.97  -0.8  -0.4    0.4
Prokopec,L   12   63.0  44  3.1  5.0  .381  2  7  6.29  -0.9  -1.0   -0.4
Smith,M       6   23.3  24  0.7  2.9  .188  0  3  9.26  -1.1  -1.1   -0.8
Thurman,C     1    3.0   5  0.0  0.6  .043  0  1 15.00  -0.3  -0.3   -0.3
Walker,P     20  114.7  65  6.6  6.7  .496  9  5  5.10  -0.2  -0.0    0.9
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS      162  938.3 561 53.7 59.8  .473 61 55  5.38  -4.4  -3.1    5.4


Multi-team pitcher totals:
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pitcher   Teams GS   IP    R  SNW  SNL  SNPct W  L   RA    APW  SNVA  SNWAR
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Burba,D     T/C 21 122.0  76  5.8  8.1  .417  5  4  5.61  -0.7  -1.0   -0.1
Chen,B      M/C  6  23.0  24  0.8  3.1  .210  0  4  9.39  -1.2  -1.1   -0.8
Colon,B     C/M 33 233.3  85 16.2  8.9  .646 20  8  3.28   3.7   3.5    5.5
Dempster,R  F/C 33 209.0 127 10.5 13.9  .430 10 13  5.47  -2.4  -1.8    0.1
Estes,S     N/C 29 160.7  94  8.3 12.0  .407  5 12  5.27  -1.7  -1.8   -0.4
Finley,C    C/S 32 190.7  97 12.1 10.2  .543 11 15  4.58   0.3   0.7    2.6
Kim,S       B/M  5  27.0   9  2.2  0.9  .703  2  0  3.00   0.5   0.6    0.9
Lilly,T     N/O 16  90.0  41  5.6  4.9  .534  4  6  4.10   0.7   0.4    1.1
Middlebrook,S/N  5  24.7  18  0.9  2.4  .283  1  2  6.57  -0.7  -0.7   -0.5
Moehler,B   D/C 12  61.7  39  3.2  4.5  .415  3  5  5.69  -0.8  -0.5   -0.1
Pavano,C    M/F 22 114.7  78  5.2  9.3  .357  6  9  6.12  -2.2  -1.9   -1.0
Thomson,J   C/N 30 181.7 116  8.9 12.0  .426  9 14  5.75  -1.3  -1.5    0.0
Valdes,I    T/S 31 196.0  94 11.6  9.5  .550  8 12  4.32   1.3   1.0    2.6
Weaver,J    D/N 25 177.3  81 10.9  8.4  .566 10 10  4.11   1.0   1.2    2.7
Wright,J    M/S 22 128.3  80  6.3  9.4  .403  7 13  5.61  -1.5  -1.4   -0.3


MAJOR LEAGUE Totals:
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 GS      IP      R    SNW    E(W)   SNL   SNPct   W    L    RA     APW   SNVA
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
4852  28758.7 15312 1677.0 1620.2 1691.3  .498  1703 1729  4.79  -41.1  -15.0



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Definition of terms:
SNW = Support-Neutral Wins -- the pitcher's expected number of wins,
   assuming he had league-average support.
SNL = Support-Neutral Losses -- same as SNW except for losses.
SNVA = Support-Neutral Value Added -- the expected number of games the
   pitcher would be worth to an average team in the standings, over
   what a league-average pitcher would be worth.

The above three stats are calculated for each start, using innings
pitched and runs allowed plus the league's single-inning scoring
distribution, combined with simple probability theory.  They are
park-adjusted.


SNWAR -- "Support-Neutral Wins Above Replacement-level": the number
   of SNWs a pitcher has above what a .425 pitcher would get in the
   same number of (Support-Neutral) decisions.
SNPct -- SNW / (SNW+SNL)
W, L -- The pitcher's actual wins and losses
RA -- runs allowed per 9 innings
APW = Adjusted Pitcher Wins -- Thorn and Palmer's method for calculating
   a starter's value in wins.  Included for comparison with SNVA.  APW
   values here calculated using runs instead of earned runs.
E(W) = Expected Wins -- for each game, 0 if the pitcher pitched fewer
   than 5 innings, and SNW otherwise.  (This is *true* expected wins)
E(L) = Expected Losses -- same as SNL

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Comments and questions welcome.


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