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Sam Miller

Career Summary
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Birth Date--
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WARP Summary

MLB Statistics


Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
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Statistics For All Levels

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Plate Discipline

YEAR Pits Zone% Swing% Contact% Z-Swing% O-Swing% Z-Contact% O-Contact% SwStr% CSAA

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation


Year Team Salary


Service TimeAgentContract Status


2019 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

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BP Annual Player Comments

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BP Articles

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BP Chats

2015-01-15 18:00:00 (link to chat)Is there an injury expert at BP this year? If so, who would that be?
(DanDaMan from Sea Cliff)
According to our EIC Sam Miller, Corey Dawkins is still and will continue to manage and update BP's injury database. There are currently no plans for an injury columnist, but the information is still available and updated constantly. (Mark Anderson)
2015-03-19 14:00:00 (link to chat)Does Sam Miller scream at you and make you get him coffee? Be careful, he used to work Starbucks!
(Shawn from Cubicle)
Nope Sam has been an incredible mentor and I'm blessed for the opportunity to intern with BP. It's an amazing community of contributors and writers and I'm thankful to help out in any way I can. I might have to get him some coffee one of these day or get Craig Goldstein a sandwich. (Rob Willer)
2015-01-28 19:00:00 (link to chat)Where the heck do I find the PECOTA projections?
(Cliff from Denial )
Via Sam Miller "Can download the spreadsheet under the fantasy tab on our site. Standings under "depth charts"." (Mauricio Rubio)
2014-08-29 12:00:00 (link to chat)What editor turned a young rj anderson into a god?
(jimmy from gettin shmoney, usa)
None. But Sam Miller keeps me above replacement level. (R.J. Anderson)
2013-12-06 13:00:00 (link to chat)I'm a follower from your Chron days. What do you think about the Fowler deal for the Astros? Step in the right direction?
(barnhart84 from The 607)
I like it because I like the asset. I mean that as they could even trade him tomorrow and possibly get a better return than the Rockies did. You'll have to temper the numbers, but I think it was a good move.

As a step for the franchise, it was a clear turning point. As Sam Miller wrote in his transaction analysis, it was the first move in years where the Astros got the main guy in the deal. (Zachary Levine)
2013-01-14 14:00:00 (link to chat)If Ryan Howard has the worst contract in baseball, does that mean Salvador Perez may end up as the best contract in baseball?
(igoinsane67 from my office)
Maybe! That's an excellent contract. Ask Sam Miller about it sometime. Sometimes he stops people on the street to tell them how much money Sal Perez is making. (Ben Lindbergh)
2012-09-28 13:00:00 (link to chat)Sam Miller's piece got me wondering: Is there a player you regret not protecting from the Rule 5 draft?
(Lil' Sebastian from The Barn)
Thanks for your question, Lil' Sebastian from The Barn. I gave your question a lot of thought, and the answer for me is NO, because I do not remember getting burned by losing someone permanently in the Rule 5. Sometimes you know that a player might get selected, but your assessment was that the player would return. An example is one of my favorite players, Shane Victorino, who we decided to leave unprotected while I was with the Dodgers and he was selected by the Padres. I thought that we we would get him back, as there were phases of his game that had not fully progressed, but I loved his character, competitive desire, and ability. Luckily, we got him back. I also remember leaving Magglio Ordonez unprotected one year, but his game also had yet to mature enough to stick in the Majors. It's one of the great chess games. (Dan Evans)
2012-08-30 13:30:00 (link to chat)How do the Baltimore Orioles keep winning? They're 14 games over .500 despite a -46 run differential. What is the best record for a team that was outscored by its opponents?
(Eric from DC)
I don't know the answer to your second question off the top of my head, though I fondly remember the '07 Diamondbacks, who won 90 games and the NL West despite being outscored by 20 runs. The Orioles are doubling down on flukiness this year. They're winning one-run games at an incredible rate, which has a lot to do with luck. It also has a lot to do with the bullpen, and the Orioles have a successful one, but even that is kind of fluky, both in the sense that building a good bullpen is hard to repeat and in the sense that oh man have you looked at Jim Johnson's and Pedro Strop's BABIPs lately? It shouldn't be working, but it is, and maybe it'll keep up just long enough. Sam Miller wrote an excellent article on this very topic earlier this week, so I don't know why you're still reading this sentence instead of that. I would link to it, but my normally reliable internet connection is refusing to cooperate (maybe related to the drilling upstairs), so I can't. But don't let my lousy connection prevent you from reading it. (Ben Lindbergh)
2012-08-14 14:00:00 (link to chat)Eric Chavez has impressed in limited at-bats this year. Would he be in the Hall of Fame if it weren't for all the injuries?
(Alex from Anaheim)
Chavez has an .890 OPS this season, so yeah, he's been pretty impressive. But, as the excellent Sam Miller noted on the (also excellent) Effectively Wild Podcast, Chavez has faced almost exclusively right-handed pitchers this year (197 PAs vs RHP; 23 PAs vs LHP). In other words, he's not a true-talent .890 OPS guy at this point, he's a really good platoon player. There is nothing wrong with that, but it's doesn't point to maybe quite the Renaissance that some are claiming.

But none of that answers your question. Without the injuries? I probably depends on how you value his defense and how you value defense in general. Was Chavez so amazing with the glove that it vaulted a good-but-not-great hitter into HoF territory? I'll say no. There. I'm being definitive. (Matthew Kory)
2012-05-31 14:00:00 (link to chat)In the Halls of BP Justice, how do groupies, err, your loyal public tell you and that other Jason (Parks) apart? Do you have call signs like Dinger, Juggs Gun, and Speed? Do you wear BP jerseys emblazoned with name and number? Or is it so obvious that by my having to even ask proves your [expletive delete] bouncers have never once let me in!
(Paul from DC)
We actually try to dress identically just to show how not alike we are. It's an amusing game. He's the cool customer, the guy who's been here before. The Koveian guy who does a podcast with Kevin Goldstein like it ain't no thang.

I'm the wide-eyed ingenue straight from the sticks. I'm constantly whispering things like "oh my god is that Colin Wyers, should I go say hi?" Matt Kory and I nudge each other a lot and try to discreetly point at the celebrities. "I heard that Ben Lindbergh worked for the Yankees."

I once fainted when Sam Miller nodded hello.

So yeah, we're easy to tell apart. (Jason Wojciechowski)
2012-05-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is this the best buy low moment on Pujols ever, or should we all be worried?
(Sara from Tacoma)
There are reasons to be a bit worried -- Sam Miller wrote a good article recently ( -- but I wouldn't be shy about buying low on him. Even if he's entering his decline phase, he should still be a top 5 or 10 fantasy player the rest of the way. (Derek Carty)
2012-05-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)Will Jordan Walden regain the closer role with Scott Downs (and Hawkins) getting injured? Did Scioscia overreact in removing him the role to begin with?
(LoyalRoyal from Kansas)
Walden will probably regain the job at some point, if only by default. I enjoyed Sam Miller's piece on Walden's removal. Keep in mind, the Angels liked Walden enough to throw him in the role to begin with. Maybe a few rotten outings changed their mind, but I think it was designed to be a temporary fix and a sign that no job is safe. That's sort of silly, of course, because they aren't going to bench Pujols or Aybar, but baseball teams do weird things for the sake of shaking things up all the time. (R.J. Anderson)
2012-05-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is Seattle a forgotten land in baseball? or even in Baseball Prospectus? Will we see a writer represent Seattle soon enough? Or maybe there are ones that I'm not aware of... p.s. I'm a huge Sam Miller fan but still...he is not just west but not pacific north west. #EastCoastBias
(Tom Hank before bald from Seattle)
We have had writers with Seattle leanings in the past, but at the moment, we're without a staff Mariners fan. Can you blame us? You've seen the Mariners lately, right? Matthew Kory is from Portland, if that counts. Adjacent state!

That said, there's a ton of great Mariners writing out there, so the internet definitely isn't ignoring them. If you're not reading the incredible Jeff Sullivan (and Matthew Carruth) at Lookout Landing, you're missing out, whether or not you care about the Mariners. And BP alums Derek Zumsteg and Dave Cameron blog about the M's at USS Mariner.

And yeah, Sam is great, but his decision not to live farther north really has to make you question his character.

I probably shouldn't have linked that awesome KG three-parter during my chat. You're all just reading KG now. (Ben Lindbergh)
2012-05-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)I don't see anyone close to a replacement for Werth available right now. Can the Nats risk trying to get by without him? Who might they go after coming up to the trade deadline?
(dianagram from Value Over Replacement Grit)
Well, Mike Rizzo says that he's not looking to make a trade, which could mean either that he's not looking to make a trade or that he's desperately looking to make a trade but doesn't want to say that for fear of driving up asking prices. I'm actually writing a BP/ESPN article now on lopsided teams like the Nats that excel at either run scoring or run preventing but don't do both, so maybe after that I'll have more insight on whether they can get by with a Nady/Bernadina platoon for three months. One confession I should make here: I'm absolutely awful at coming up with potential trades. Whenever I have to propose one, I look at basically every person playing baseball and ask myself whether he's available or not and why, and which teams might want him. It's the most inefficient process ever. Can't wait for the trade deadline!

By the way, Sam Miller just emailed me to say that he's working on the Bonifacio article, so look forward to seeing that sometime in the next day or two. I wonder how many more times I can name-drop BP staff members before the end of the chat. (Ben Lindbergh)
2012-03-14 13:30:00 (link to chat)What's the state of the Baseball Prospectus brand?
(JT from Exhibition Stadium)
Our style is impetuous, our defense is impregnable, and we're just ferocious. We want your heart! We don't want to eat your children!

More seriously, I have a lot of confidence in the product we're putting out. I'm biased, but there's nowhere I'd rather go to read about baseball on the internet than BP. Our stable of authors is as strong as it's been for some time, and it's about to get stronger. (As we announced on Twitter, we've hired Sam Miller to write and edit full time as of March 26th, so you're about to start seeing a lot more Miller.) I think you'll be pleased by the changes and improvements we have planned for the rest of the year. (Ben Lindbergh)
2012-03-14 13:30:00 (link to chat)Time to share your big plans for the site now that you're in charge.
(Marc from Internet)
First and foremost, I'm thinking about getting a new coffeemaker for our nonexistent office. But mostly, my agenda looks like this: 1) hire Sam Miller, 2) take over the world, 3) Make buying a BP subscription mandatory. In the near future, you'll see an old column appearing in a new format, and possibly another new face. In the long term--well, I won't get into that quite yet. I'm not going to mess with things that are working just for the sake of putting my stamp on the site, and I think most things are working. We know there are areas in which we need to improve, and we're putting in a lot of time to improve them. Joe Hamrahi and I don't sleep. (Ben Lindbergh)

BP Roundtables

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