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2019 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 26)
| IP | ERA | WHIP | SO | W | L | SV | WARP |
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- 2015
- 0.62016
- 1.22017
- 2.52018
- 1.22019
proj
WARP Summary
MLB Statistics
Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shown —Click to hide.
| YEAR | Team | Lg | G | GS | IP | W | L | SV | H | BB | SO | HR | PPF | H/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | K/9 | GB% | BABIP | WHIP | FIP | ERA | cFIP | DRA | DRA- | WARP |
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| 2016 | HOU | MLB | 11 | 10 | 62.0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 59 | 16 | 55 | 9 | 102 | 8.6 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 8.0 | 43% | .289 | 1.21 | 4.13 | 4.06 | 103 | 4.43 | 97.9 | 0.6 |
| 2017 | HOU | MLB | 38 | 15 | 109.3 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 117 | 28 | 98 | 18 | 98 | 9.6 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 8.1 | 47% | .316 | 1.33 | 4.37 | 4.77 | 96 | 4.49 | 95.5 | 1.2 |
| 2018 | PIT | MLB | 19 | 19 | 115.3 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 113 | 23 | 100 | 12 | 97 | 8.8 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 7.8 | 48% | .294 | 1.18 | 3.54 | 4.06 | 91 | 3.43 | 76.6 | 2.5 |
| 2019 | PIT | MLB | 32 | 31 | 170.3 | 11 | 12 | 0 | 168 | 39 | 157 | 21 | 100 | 8.9 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 8.3 | 45% | .299 | 1.22 | 3.77 | 4.44 | 90 | 3.59 | 73.7 | 4.0 |
| Career | MLB | 100 | 75 | 457.0 | 28 | 33 | 2 | 457 | 106 | 410 | 60 | 99 | 9.0 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 8.1 | 46% | .301 | 1.23 | 3.90 | 4.37 | 93 | 3.88 | 82.9 | 8.3 | |
Statistics for All Levels
'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.Minor league stats are currently shown —Click to hide.
| YEAR | Team | Lg | LG | G | GS | IP | W | L | SV | H | BB | SO | HR | PPF | H/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | K/9 | GB% | BABIP | WHIP | FIP | ERA | cFIP | DRA | DRA- |
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| 2011 | BLJ | Rk | GCL | 8 | 7 | 21.7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 4 | 16 | 1 | 110 | 7.1 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 6.6 | 0% | .267 | 0.97 | 3.91 | 4.57 | 94 | 3.11 | 63.4 |
| 2011 | BLU | Rk | APP | 1 | 0 | 3.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 0% | .286 | 1.00 | 3.41 | 0.00 | 96 | 4.30 | 87.7 | |
| 2012 | BLU | Rk | APP | 2 | 1 | 8.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 104 | 5.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.1 | 0% | .263 | 0.63 | 1.81 | 1.13 | 81 | 6.18 | 128.6 |
| 2012 | GRV | Rk | APP | 4 | 0 | 9.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 0% | .483 | 2.00 | 2.80 | 7.00 | 80 | 5.83 | 121.5 | |
| 2013 | AST | Rk | GCL | 11 | 3 | 32.7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 43 | 4 | 30 | 1 | 111 | 11.8 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 8.3 | 0% | .375 | 1.44 | 2.56 | 4.41 | 85 | 5.71 | 124.0 |
| 2014 | TCV | A- | NYP | 15 | 13 | 77.0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 64 | 10 | 67 | 4 | 101 | 7.5 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 7.8 | 0% | .275 | 0.96 | 2.84 | 2.81 | 88 | 2.81 | 59.5 |
| 2015 | QUD | A | MID | 5 | 3 | 25.7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 100 | 7.7 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 8.1 | 0% | .293 | 0.90 | 1.83 | 0.70 | 75 | 3.09 | 67.8 |
| 2015 | LNC | A+ | CAL | 6 | 4 | 30.0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 43 | 2 | 123 | 8.4 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 12.9 | 0% | .371 | 0.97 | 2.08 | 2.40 | 57 | 2.27 | 49.8 |
| 2015 | CCH | AA | TEX | 8 | 7 | 45.0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 35 | 6 | 33 | 7 | 114 | 7.0 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 6.6 | 0% | .219 | 0.91 | 4.25 | 2.20 | 102 | 2.97 | 65.2 |
| 2016 | HOU | MLB | AL | 11 | 10 | 62.0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 59 | 16 | 55 | 9 | 102 | 8.6 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 8.0 | 43% | .289 | 1.21 | 4.13 | 4.06 | 103 | 4.43 | 97.9 |
| 2016 | CCH | AA | TEX | 6 | 4 | 26.3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 3 | 30 | 1 | 98 | 6.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 10.3 | 49% | .265 | 0.84 | 1.73 | 0.34 | 63 | 2.22 | 49.0 |
| 2016 | FRE | AAA | PCL | 10 | 10 | 59.0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 60 | 7 | 57 | 8 | 89 | 9.2 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 8.7 | 55% | .317 | 1.14 | 3.95 | 3.81 | 84 | 3.41 | 75.3 |
| 2017 | HOU | MLB | AL | 38 | 15 | 109.3 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 117 | 28 | 98 | 18 | 98 | 9.6 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 8.1 | 47% | .316 | 1.33 | 4.37 | 4.77 | 96 | 4.49 | 95.5 |
| 2017 | FRE | AAA | PCL | 1 | 1 | 7.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 100 | 1.3 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 54% | .077 | 0.43 | 2.58 | 0.00 | 89 | 2.94 | 62.5 |
| 2018 | PIT | MLB | NL | 19 | 19 | 115.3 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 113 | 23 | 100 | 12 | 97 | 8.8 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 7.8 | 48% | .294 | 1.18 | 3.54 | 4.06 | 91 | 3.43 | 76.6 |
| 2018 | BRD | A+ | FSL | 1 | 1 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 108 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 73% | .455 | 1.67 | 2.14 | 6.00 | 98 | 5.56 | 117.6 |
| 2018 | ALT | AA | EAS | 1 | 1 | 4.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 86 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 9.0 | 30% | .111 | 0.50 | 4.56 | 2.25 | 89 | 2.98 | 62.9 |
| 2018 | IND | AAA | INT | 2 | 2 | 10.7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 95 | 8.4 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 9.3 | 41% | .313 | 1.13 | 1.83 | 5.06 | 91 | 3.79 | 80.1 |
| 2019 | PIT | MLB | NL | 32 | 31 | 170.3 | 11 | 12 | 0 | 168 | 39 | 157 | 21 | 100 | 8.9 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 8.3 | 45% | .299 | 1.22 | 3.77 | 4.44 | 90 | 3.59 | 73.7 |
Plate Discipline
| YEAR | Pits | Zone% | Swing% | Contact% | Z-Swing% | O-Swing% | Z-Contact% | O-Contact% | SwStr% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 979 | 0.5056 | 0.4627 | 0.7748 | 0.6081 | 0.3140 | 0.8738 | 0.5789 | 0.2252 |
| 2017 | 1764 | 0.5125 | 0.5011 | 0.7421 | 0.6416 | 0.3535 | 0.8293 | 0.5757 | 0.2579 |
| 2018 | 1628 | 0.5473 | 0.5240 | 0.7608 | 0.6599 | 0.3596 | 0.8503 | 0.5623 | 0.2392 |
| 2019 | 2654 | 0.4894 | 0.5143 | 0.7524 | 0.6682 | 0.3668 | 0.8571 | 0.5694 | 0.2476 |
| Career | 7025 | 0.5109 | 0.5060 | 0.7549 | 0.6512 | 0.3544 | 0.8509 | 0.5707 | 0.2451 |
Injury History — No longer being updated | Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET |
| Date On | Date Off | Transaction | Days | Games | Side | Body Part | Injury | Severity | Surgery Date | Reaggravation |
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Compensation
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2019 Preseason Forecast | Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET |
| PCT | W | L | SV | G | GS | IP | H | BB | SO | HR | BABIP | WHIP | ERA | DRA | VORP | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weighted Mean | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | 0.0 | ? | 0 | 0 | ? | .000 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ? | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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BP Articles
Click here to see articles tagged with Joe MusgroveBP Chats
| Date | Question | Answer |
|---|---|---|
| 2020-02-28 13:00:00 (link to chat) | 5x5 Roto keeper, can keep for 3 years at roughly the same price. Rank these 4 pitchers: Caleb Smith, Joe Musgrove, Mike Foltynewicz, Wade Miley. Thanks! (MK from Houston) | (1) Mike Foltynewicz, gap, (2) Caleb Smith, (3) Joe Musgrove, massive gap, (4) Wade Miley.
In sum, do not consider Wade Miley. (Jesse Roche) |
| 2019-07-22 15:00:00 (link to chat) | My best hitters in a dynasty league are Mike Moustakas and Trey Mancini. My top scoring pitchers are Joe Musgrove and Michael Pineda. Am I doomed? (Elton from Pacific Northwest) | Hi Elton - or whichever of your leaguemates this is! The good news about dynasty leagues is that you're never doomed the way you are in a redraft. It might take a while to rebuild but Moustakas and Mancini have been really good this year and Musgrove is starting to tap into some of that potential. Flip some of those guys to contenders to rebuild the system, draft well, and don't worry about being doomed. (Darius Austin) |
| 2019-06-07 12:00:00 (link to chat) | Last season I traded away Gary Sanchez and James Paxton for Kiriloff and Musgrove in my dynasty league. I'm on the verge of contending, but I think I need to wait at least another year. Who would you sell off of my most useful pieces: Haniger, Moustakas, Musgrove, or Kiriloff? (Elton from Pacific NW) | You'd be selling awfully low on Kiriloff and Haniger I'd expect. Maybe you can still find a Joe Musgrove believer out there. (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2019-05-10 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Explain Joe Musgrove and why we should buy in and/or sell off. (Adam from Durham) | I'd love to dig into it a little deeper, but at a glance, it looks like his velocity is way down and guys aren't whiffing against his change/curve as much as they did last season. I'm a little concerned, but I don't know if you can sell coming off last night's start. (Mark Barry) |
| 2018-12-12 17:00:00 (link to chat) | Other than Dylan Bundy (who I see you're high on) who are some of your other mid 20 year old breakout pitching candidates? (Zamzow from Sunset Grill) | I like Joe Musgrove and Sean Newcomb is a big breakout guy for me if the command improves. (Mike Gianella) |
| 2017-02-14 12:00:00 (link to chat) | Where would Joe Musgrove rank on the list if he still had rookie eligibility? And going off of that, how does he compare to fellow Astros Francis Martes and David Paulino in upside and overall outlook, relatively speaking? (Chipshot212 from MA) | I am not a huge Musgrove guy, but internally we split pretty hard on him around midseason list time. He's safer than Paulino but he doesn't have the upside there, and Martes is just a tier or two above as a pitching prospect. I would guess he would be in that general 80-120 range where you find a lot of 55/50 arms (and riskier guys like Paulino). The exact location would have depended on how much I let Wilson harangue me about including him. (The Top 101 Prospect Chat with Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2016-12-08 23:00:00 (link to chat) | hey Wilson good evening...how would you rate the following pitchers in 2017 as #3,#4 or #5's Bundy, Musgrove Clevinger I like Musgrove's upside
Also your thoughts on Phils catcher Cameron Rupp can he improve anymore than 2016? (JohnnyT from New jersey) | I like Joe Musgrove, like, a lot. I dunno why everyone's always looking for reasons he won't be awesome, but I remain convinced they won't find 'em. He's not gonna top anyone's rotation, but he doesn't beat himself and he's mad efficient. Bundy looked like the beast he was always supposed to be when I saw him in LA this summer, but man...I just dunno about ever comfortably betting on innings outta that guy. Clevinger's a lower-fi option far as I'm concerned. Command's not there for him to get away with a whole lot. Solid-average hair tho. (Wilson Karaman) |
| 2016-12-02 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Who will have the better career, Robert Gsellman or Joe Musgrove? (ColeWhittier from Pasadena, CA) | You are asking the national prospect guy who is likely the highest on Gsellman and the lowest on Musgrove, so... (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2017-01-18 20:00:00 (link to chat) | Am I Joe Musgrove or can I be more? (Szapucki from underground) | More. Way more. (Bret Sayre) |
| 2016-09-21 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Thomas Szapucki or Dylan Cease?
Joe Musgrove or Robert Gsellman?
Tomas Nido or Reese McGuire? (Felipe from Alpine) | Cease; Gsellman; McGuire. (Brendan Gawlowski) |
| 2016-05-12 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Can we get your thoughts on some diverse group of prospects: Joe Musgrove, Ronald Guzman, Jacob Faria, Tyler O'Neill, & Max Fried? Can we see any of them this year in the show & should we be buying or concerned in there early season performance? (Bob from Northern Hemisphere) | Well, that certainly is a diverse group of prospects. The only one I would say is going to make an impact in 2016 is Musgrove, he was just promoted to Triple-A after dominating in Corpus Christi. Really impressed with O'Neill's start, the approach has improved a lot over this first month. Fried is struggling to throw strikes (common theme!) but like Fedde, some rust to shake off there, he needs to just stay healthy. But yeah, the guy who is gonna make an impact in 2016 is Musgrove. I was too low on him this preseason. (Christopher Crawford) |
| 2015-07-23 17:00:00 (link to chat) | Please rank the following pitching prospects...Francis Martes, Joe Musgrove, Anderson Espinoza, Franklyn Kilome, Colin Rea, Chih-Wei Hu, Wei-Chieh Huang
(Festivus313 from Phoenix) | Kilome is ahead of the rest of those guys and then Musgrove but after that this is where my lack of deeper minor league knowledge hurts me. I'd guess Marte, Rea, Huang, and Hu but to be honest I don't have a good feel for where these guys should truly sit. (Mike Gianella) |
| 2015-06-16 20:00:00 (link to chat) | Digging for diamonds... is Joe Musgrove one? (Jason from Seattle) | Potential MLB contributor for sure, but not a diamond. Certainly not for fantasy purposes. (Ben Carsley) |
| 2015-06-15 19:00:00 (link to chat) | Is Joe Musgrove just a late bloomer or is this year a case of SSS? (Stanton Smith from Houston, TX) | He's only 22, so I'd say he's more of a slow starter. He's worth getting excited about, although I'm concerned that his cutter won't induce often whiffs and that his change won't come along enough to start. Could be a good reliever. (Brendan Gawlowski) |
| 2012-09-10 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Assuming they all stay healthy, which new Astros' pitching prospect has the best chance of becoming an impact starting pitcher in the Majors; Colton Cain, Joe Musgrove or Kevin Comer? (Ashitaka1110 from Houston, TX) | Of those three, I like Musgrove's upside the most but will go with Cain here because he'll be in Double-A next year. (Bradley Ankrom) |
BP Roundtables
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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile
A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC
Joe Musgrove has thrown 16,083 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2016 and 2024, all of them occuring in Spring Training. In 2024, he has relied primarily on his Slider (82mph), Fourseam Fastball (92mph) and Curve (81mph), also mixing in a Cutter (90mph), Change (87mph) and Sinker (92mph).
BP Annual Player Comments
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