Matt Andriese Stats | Baseball Prospectus

IP	ERA	WHIP	SO	W	L	SV	WARP
58.3	3.63	1.23	58	3	2	0	0.8

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shown —Click to hide.

YEAR	Team	Lg	G	GS	IP	W	L	SV	H	BB	SO	HR	PPF	H/9	BB/9	HR/9	K/9	GB%	BABIP	WHIP	FIP	ERA	cFIP	DRA	DRA-	WARP
2015	TBA	MLB	25	8	65.7	3	5	2	69	18	49	8	101	9.5	2.5	1.1	6.7	0%	.298	1.32	4.10	4.11	103	4.31	100.6	0.5
2016	TBA	MLB	29	19	127.7	8	8	1	131	25	109	17	105	9.2	1.8	1.2	7.7	44%	.305	1.22	3.73	4.37	91	3.63	80.4	2.4
2017	TBA	MLB	18	17	86.0	5	5	1	90	28	76	16	98	9.4	2.9	1.7	8.0	45%	.296	1.37	4.91	4.50	97	4.10	87.2	1.4
2018	ARI	0	14	1	19.0	0	3	0	29	7	19	8	103	13.7	3.3	3.8	9.0	44%	.382	1.89	7.70	9.00	103	5.20	116.2	0.0
2018	TBA	0	27	4	59.7	3	4	0	55	18	59	7	99	8.3	2.7	1.1	8.9	52%	.291	1.22	3.74	4.07	106	4.89	109.3	0.1
2019	ARI	MLB	54	0	70.7	5	5	1	72	27	79	8	102	9.2	3.4	1.0	10.1	51%	.333	1.40	3.67	4.71	86	3.62	74.3	1.3
2018	TOT	MLB	41	5	78.7	3	7	0	84	25	78	15	100	9.6	2.9	1.7	8.9	50%	.314	1.39	4.70	5.26	105	4.97	111.0	0.0
Career		MLB	167	49	428.7	24	30	5	446	123	391	64	101	9.4	2.6	1.3	8.2	47%	.310	1.33	4.19	4.58	96	4.07	89.5	5.6

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shown —Click to hide.

YEAR	Team	Lg	LG	G	GS	IP	W	L	SV	H	BB	SO	HR	PPF	H/9	BB/9	HR/9	K/9	GB%	BABIP	WHIP	FIP	ERA	cFIP	DRA	DRA-
2011	EUG	A-	NOR	12	8	41.7	5	1	0	29	10	42	0	89	6.3	2.2	0.0	9.1	0%	.271	0.94	2.44	1.51	80	2.85	58.1
2012	LEL	A+	CAL	27	26	146.0	10	8	0	140	38	131	9	88	8.6	2.3	0.6	8.1	0%	.311	1.22	3.67	3.58	85	3.50	72.9
2013	SAN	AA	TEX	15	15	76.0	8	2	0	71	17	63	3	96	8.4	2.0	0.4	7.5	0%	.298	1.16	2.69	2.37	86	4.12	89.6
2013	TUC	AAA	PCL	12	10	58.7	3	5	0	64	12	42	2	103	9.8	1.8	0.3	6.4	0%	.332	1.30	3.29	4.45	84	4.04	87.8
2014	DUR	AAA	INT	28	25	162.3	11	8	0	153	48	129	18	105	8.5	2.7	1.0	7.2	0%	.291	1.24	4.23	3.77	104	4.47	94.6
2015	TBA	MLB	AL	25	8	65.7	3	5	2	69	18	49	8	101	9.5	2.5	1.1	6.7	0%	.298	1.32	4.10	4.11	103	4.31	100.6
2015	DUR	AAA	INT	13	12	65.0	3	3	0	65	10	69	2	96	9.0	1.4	0.3	9.6	0%	.344	1.15	1.93	2.35	66	3.72	81.7
2016	TBA	MLB	AL	29	19	127.7	8	8	1	131	25	109	17	105	9.2	1.8	1.2	7.7	44%	.305	1.22	3.73	4.37	91	3.63	80.4
2016	DUR	AAA	INT	6	6	34.3	1	2	0	32	7	44	2	105	8.4	1.8	0.5	11.5	48%	.345	1.14	2.15	3.41	65	3.23	71.2
2017	TBA	MLB	AL	18	17	86.0	5	5	1	90	28	76	16	98	9.4	2.9	1.7	8.0	45%	.296	1.37	4.91	4.50	97	4.10	87.2
2017	PCH	A+	FSL	2	2	3.0	0	0	0	5	1	2	1	99	15.0	3.0	3.0	6.0	25%	.364	2.00	7.31	6.00	112	5.74	122.1
2017	DUR	AAA	INT	1	1	4.3	0	0	0	5	0	6	0	99	10.4	0.0	0.0	12.5	36%	.455	1.15	0.57	2.08	81	6.76	143.8
2018	ARI	MLB	NL	14	1	19.0	0	3	0	29	7	19	8	103	13.7	3.3	3.8	9.0	44%	.382	1.89	7.70	9.00	103	5.20	116.2
2018	TBA	MLB	AL	27	4	59.7	3	4	0	55	18	59	7	99	8.3	2.7	1.1	8.9	52%	.291	1.22	3.74	4.07	106	4.89	109.3
2018	VIS	A+	CAL	1	1	3.7	0	0	0	1	2	5	0	95	2.5	4.9	0.0	12.3	14%	.143	0.82	2.66	0.00	92	2.81	59.5
2019	ARI	MLB	NL	54	0	70.7	5	5	1	72	27	79	8	102	9.2	3.4	1.0	10.1	51%	.333	1.40	3.67	4.71	86	3.62	74.3
2019	VIS	A+	CAL	2	2	2.0	0	0	0	5	1	4	2	92	22.5	4.5	9.0	18.0	50%	.750	3.00	14.16	13.50	130	9.55	196.4
2019	DIA	Rk	AZL	1	1	0.3	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	94	54.0	27.0	0.0	0.0	75%	.500	9.00	13.25	27.00	113	7.43	152.9

Plate Discipline

YEAR	Pits	Zone%	Swing%	Contact%	Z-Swing%	O-Swing%	Z-Contact%	O-Contact%	SwStr%
2015	1086	0.4917	0.4558	0.7939	0.6180	0.2989	0.8576	0.6667	0.2061
2016	1978	0.5030	0.4909	0.7703	0.6251	0.3550	0.8826	0.5702	0.2297
2017	1436	0.4930	0.4770	0.7533	0.6610	0.2981	0.8312	0.5853	0.2467
2018	1343	0.4929	0.5093	0.7412	0.6888	0.3348	0.8509	0.5219	0.2588
2019	1196	0.4983	0.4674	0.7460	0.6477	0.2883	0.7953	0.6358	0.2540
Career	7039	0.4965	0.4822	0.7608	0.6473	0.3195	0.8474	0.5901	0.2392

Injury History — No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On	Date Off	Transaction	Days	Games	Side	Body Part	Injury	Severity	Surgery Date	Reaggravation

Compensation

Year	Team	Salary
2021	BOS	$1,850,000
2020	ANA	$1,395,000
2019	ARI	$920,000
2018	TBA	$558,400
2017	TBA	$547,500
2016	TBA	$
2015	TBA	$507,500

Years	Description	Salary
6 yr	Previous	$5,778,400
6 yr	Total	$5,778,400

Service Time	Agent	Contract Status
6 y 71 d	Beverly Hills Sports	1 year (2024)

Details

1 year (2024). Signed by Miami as a free agent 2/5/24 (minor-league contract). Contract selected by Miami 4/4/24.
1 year (2023). Signed by LA Dodgers as a free agent 2/1/23 (minor-league contract).
2022. Signed by Yomiuri Giants of Japan 12/16/21.
1 year/$2.1M (2021), plus 2022 club option. Signed by Boston as a free agent 12/23/20. 21:$1.85M, 22:$3.5M club option ($250,000 buyout). Performance bonuses: $125,00 each for 120, 130, 140, 150 innings pitched. 2022 salary increases by $250,000 each with 120, 130, 140, 150 IP in 2021. DFA by Boston 8/17/21. Released 8/19/21. Signed by Seattle as a free agent 8/22/21. DFA by Seattle 9/28/21. Sent outright to Triple-A 9/30/21 (elected free agency).
1 year/$1.395M (2020). Re-signed by Arizona 1/10/20 (avoided arbitration). Acquired by LA Angels in trade from Arizona 1/14/20.
1 year/$920,000 (2019). Re-signed by Arizona 1/11/19 (avoided arbitration).
1 year/$558,400 (2018). Re-signed by Tampa Bay 3/18. Acquired by Arizona in trade from Tampa Bay 7/25/18 with $201,144 remaining on contract.
1 year/$547,500 (2017). Re-signed by Tampa Bay 3/17.
1 year (2016). Re-signed by Tampa Bay 3/3/16.
1 year/$507,500 (2015). Contract selected by Tampa Bay 11/20/14. Re-signed by Tampa Bay 3/8/15.
Acquired by Tampa Bay in trade from San Diego 1/22/14.
Drafted by San Diego 2011 (3-112) (UC-Riverside). $270,000 signing bonus.

2019 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT	W	L	SV	G	GS	IP	H	BB	SO	HR	BABIP	WHIP	ERA	DRA
90^o	0	0	0	0	0	13.7	10	4	14	1	.260	1.04	2.52	2.92
80^o	0	0	0	0	0	8.9	7	3	9	1	.274	1.11	2.84	3.27
70^o	0	0	0	0	0	5.6	5	2	6	1	.283	1.17	3.06	3.53
60^o	0	0	0	0	0	2.9	3	1	3	0	.291	1.21	3.26	3.76
50^o	0	0	0	0	0	0.4	0	0	0	0	.299	1.26	3.44	3.97
Weighted Mean	?	?	?	?	?	0.0	?	0	0	?	.000	0.00	0.00	?

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2019 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.

Year	Age	W	L	SV	G	GS	IP	H	BB	SO	HR	GB%	BABIP	WHIP	ERA	DRA	H/9	BB/9	K/9	HR/9	WARP
2020	30	5	3	1	75	6	108	88	35	110	12	45	.293	1.14	3.54	4.09	7.4	2.9	9.2	1.0	1.0
2021	31	5	3	1	80	6	115	95	36	119	11	45	.301	1.14	3.35	3.87	7.5	2.8	9.3	0.9	1.4
2022	32	5	3	0	71	5	101	84	32	104	10	45	.303	1.14	3.38	3.91	7.5	2.8	9.2	0.9	1.2
2023	33	5	3	0	67	5	96	80	31	99	10	45	.302	1.16	3.46	4.00	7.5	2.9	9.3	0.9	1.0
2024	34	4	2	0	59	5	85	73	29	86	9	45	.305	1.20	3.54	4.09	7.7	3.1	9.1	0.9	0.8
2025	35	4	2	0	53	4	77	64	25	79	8	45	.303	1.16	3.48	4.02	7.5	2.9	9.3	0.9	0.8
2026	36	3	2	0	47	4	68	58	22	68	7	45	.304	1.18	3.49	4.04	7.7	2.9	9.0	0.9	0.7
2027	37	3	2	0	40	3	58	49	20	60	6	45	.302	1.19	3.57	4.13	7.6	3.1	9.3	0.9	0.5
2028	38	3	2	0	37	3	54	46	18	55	6	45	.306	1.19	3.56	4.12	7.7	3.0	9.2	1.0	0.5

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 77)

Rank	Score	Name	Year	Run Average	Trend
1	86	Matt Belisle	2009	5.81
2	85	Chase Anderson	2017	2.99
3	84	Vidal Nuno	2017	10.43
4	84	Brandon Claussen	2008	0.00	DNP
5	83	Tommy Milone	2016	6.88
6	83	Glen Perkins	2012	3.20
7	82	Corey Kluber	2015	3.73
8	82	Brandon Workman	2018	3.27
9	82	Cha Seung Baek	2009	0.00	DNP
10	81	Boof Bonser	2011	0.00	DNP
11	81	Kyle Snyder	2007	4.80
12	80	Marco Estrada	2013	3.94
13	80	Chris Capuano	2008	0.00	DNP
14	80	Kevin Gregg	2007	3.64
15	79	Jason Vargas	2012	3.85
16	79	Tyler Lyons	2017	2.83
17	79	Shane Greene	2018	5.54
18	79	Matt Shoemaker	2016	3.99
19	79	Jae Weong Seo	2006	5.79
20	79	Ariel Miranda	2018	1.80
21	79	Rubby De La Rosa	2018	0.00	DNP
22	79	Charlie Furbush	2015	2.49
23	79	Liam Hendriks	2018	4.13
24	78	Juan Gutierrez	2013	4.72
25	78	Jon Rauch	2008	4.52
26	78	Craig Stammen	2013	3.31
27	78	Dillon Gee	2015	6.58
28	78	Zach McAllister	2017	2.32
29	77	A.J. Griffin	2017	6.05
30	77	Jeff Niemann	2012	4.03
31	77	Josh Towers	2006	9.00
32	77	Jason Berken	2013	0.00	DNP
33	77	Brad Peacock	2017	3.14
34	77	Chris Narveson	2011	4.56
35	77	Tom Gorzelanny	2012	3.38
36	77	Adam Ottavino	2015	0.00
37	77	Jesse Chavez	2013	4.24
38	77	Yusmeiro Petit	2014	3.92
39	77	Jeff Karstens	2012	4.07
40	76	Jeremy Hefner	2015	0.00	DNP
41	76	Michael Tejera	2006	0.00	DNP
42	76	Kameron Loe	2011	3.75
43	76	Brian Duensing	2012	5.86
44	76	Brad Lincoln	2014	11.57
45	76	Blake Hawksworth	2012	0.00	DNP
46	76	Wesley Wright	2014	3.54
47	76	Taylor Buchholz	2011	3.46
48	76	Brett Cecil	2016	4.17
49	76	Pat Misch	2011	10.29
50	76	Tommy Hunter	2016	3.44
51	76	Mike Wood	2009	0.00	DNP
52	76	Travis Wood	2016	3.54
53	76	Wade Miley	2016	5.42
54	76	Don Drysdale	1966	3.75
55	76	Matt Guerrier	2008	5.42
56	76	Manny Parra	2012	5.98
57	75	Daniel Hudson	2016	5.82
58	75	Chase Whitley	2018	18.00
59	75	Troy Patton	2015	0.00	DNP
60	75	Shaun Marcum	2011	3.77
61	75	Vance Worley	2017	7.03
62	75	Chad Bettis	2018	5.39
63	75	Dave Borkowski	2006	4.82
64	75	Dan Straily	2018	4.56
65	75	Josh Hancock	2007	4.26
66	75	Andy Sonnanstine	2012	0.00	DNP
67	75	Fernando Abad	2015	4.34
68	75	Jason Hammel	2012	3.66
69	75	Dave Bush	2009	6.61
70	75	Christian Friedrich	2017	0.00	DNP
71	75	Larry Christenson	1983	4.66
72	74	Wil Ledezma	2010	7.32
73	74	Billy Traber	2009	14.73
74	74	Wade LeBlanc	2014	3.94
75	74	Wilton Lopez	2013	4.18
76	74	Cliff Lee	2008	2.74
77	74	Tim Stauffer	2011	3.93
78	74	Mike Bolsinger	2017	6.97
79	74	Derek Holland	2016	5.20
80	74	James Shields	2011	3.00
81	74	Nick Blackburn	2011	5.52
82	74	Lenny DiNardo	2009	11.81
83	74	Wandy Rodriguez	2008	4.26
84	74	Juan Nicasio	2016	4.88
85	74	Scott Baker	2011	3.34
86	74	Edwin Jackson	2013	5.65
87	74	Felix Doubront	2017	0.00	DNP
88	74	Greg Aquino	2007	5.79
89	74	Doug Waechter	2010	0.00	DNP
90	74	Homer Bailey	2015	5.56
91	74	Edgar Gonzalez	2012	5.04
92	74	Brad Penny	2007	3.25
93	74	Jon Niese	2016	5.73
94	74	David Phelps	2016	2.39
95	74	Casey Janssen	2011	2.26
96	74	Andrew Cashner	2016	5.66
97	73	La Marr Hoyt	1984	4.85
98	73	Anthony Swarzak	2015	6.08
99	73	Kevin Correia	2010	5.52
100	73	Chris Short	1967	2.44

BP Annual Player Comments

Year		Comment
2019		Due to publishing agreements, the 2019 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2019 book (available in hardcopy, and soon e-book and Kindle).
2018		A late bloomer, Andriese is still trying to establish that he can stay healthy and be consistent in a big-league rotation over a full season. He has a fastball with plenty of life, a pitch that can miss bats even within the zone at times. His changeup is the real point of interest, though. No pitcher throws their changeup with more cutting, sinking action. He induced the highest swing rate in MLB on his change, because it's so similar to his heater. He also gets a ton of groundballs with the pitch. In any kind of relief role, eliminating the need for his fringy breaking stuff, Andriese could be a valuable weapon.
2017		During the 2016 ALCS, it seemed like all anyone could talk about was Andrew Miller and the idea of the multi-inning relief ace. Perhaps the Rays’ best chance to replicate that success is their up-and-down swingman. Used in a variety of roles over the past two years—starter, reliever, majors and minors—last season Andriese thrived in relief between starting stints, holding hitters to a .171/.198/.306 slash line. Granted this was only 10 appearances, but he hung in for at least five outs in all but one of those stints. The second time through the order is the UC Riverside product’s Achilles’ heel; during hitters’ second look strikeouts crater and extra-base hits surge. While he’s been an acceptable back-of-the-rotation starter over the past two seasons, perhaps leaning more on his grounder-inducing cutter and change in two- or three-inning bursts could unlock something more rare and special than just a competent no. 5 starter.
2016		The Rays treated Andriese's right arm like a yo-yo, doing around-the-worlds and sending him up and down multiple times throughout the season. Making matters even tougher, they bounced him from the rotation to the bullpen nearly as often. When working on a consistent basis, the former third-round selection flashes back-of-the-rotation potential. Throwing with control, he works primarily off of a low-90s heater followed by decent cutter and a useable curveball. He also has what can be described as a bulldog mentality on the mound. Provided he is not worked like a toy attached to a string, he should be a viable contributor moving forward.
2015		The UC Riverside product, who came to the Rays with Logan Forsythe et al., has trouble gaining notice with his soft stuff, but he has a varied repertoire and a cool head. His five-pitch mix includes a sinker and cutter; as he matures he'll get savvier about how to use all of it and miss more bats. The question is whether he'll get a fair shot to crack Tampa Bay's crowded rotation, or anyone's for that matter.
2014		Employing a sinking fastball, curve, cutter and changeup, Matt Andriese throws strikes, generates groundballs and projects as a back-end starter; his improvement against left-handed batters last year could help him advance quickly.
2013		Strike thrower Matt Andriese fared much better against right-handed batters than against lefties in his full-season debut.

BP Articles

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BP Chats

Date	Question	Answer
2017-03-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Mike Andriese or Chase Whitley for TB 5th starter spot ? Thank you (Jimmy from Atlanta)	I'd like to see Matt Andriese get the first shot. There's some reason to think he'll be better off as a reliever, because he struggles to go through a lineup multiple times, but it's worth investing another 15-20 starts to find out for sure. (Aaron Gleeman)
2017-01-18 20:00:00 (link to chat)	I'm having a lot of anxiety deciding on my final keeper in a dynasty league. Top of the rotation is easy, but after the first 3, I'm at a loss. Appreciate your opinion of my choices: Matt Moore, Taijuan Walker, Drew Smyly, Matt Andriese, or Yordano Ventura. It's an AL only league, but I have an open crossover slot. (Jim from Middlefield)	I still stand with Walker. (Bret Sayre)
2016-05-18 19:00:00 (link to chat)	What should we expect from Matt Andriese in 2016 and what's his future look like? (GoTribe06 from Lynchburg)	I really like Andriese. He works quickly, throws strikes and is aggressive. The Rays moved him in between the rotation and the bullpen a number of times last season, so it's nice to see him taking advantage of an opportunity this year. The fact that he doesn't strike out a ton of batters obviously limits his upside, but the command is excellent and a 100 cFIP suggests that he's going to be a roughly league-average starter moving forward. The cutter and change are going to be the keys for him moving forward. What's interesting to me is that he's really excelled in the Trop. His career ERA at home is 3.06 (15 games, six starts) while his road ERA is 4.08 (12 games, four starts). He's only 26...I think the future is bright. If he's your fifth starter, then you're rotation is pretty good. (George Bissell)
2016-05-18 19:00:00 (link to chat)	Currently running a rotation with Arrieta, Chen, Karns, and pray for rain in a deep league (20 w/ 40 man) 5x5. Can you give me a list of 5 so SP trade targets that you see having value over cost ROS? Thanks... (Jim from North 40)	Guy who won't break the bank: Rick Porcello, Rich Hill, Drew Pomeranz, J.A. Happ, Matt Andriese just to name a few. (George Bissell)

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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC

Matt Andriese has thrown 11,116 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2015 and 2024, all of them occuring in Spring Training. In 2024, he has relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (90mph), also mixing in a Change (85mph), Sinker (90mph), Cutter (86mph) and Curve (80mph).

Baseball Prospectus

Biographical

Matt Andriese PRed Sox

2019 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 29)