Biographical

Portrait of Aaron Blair

Aaron Blair PBraves

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2019 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 27)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
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Birth Date5-26-1992
Height6' 4"
Weight220 lbs
Age27 years, 5 months, 18 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2015
-0.42016
0.12017
2018
0.32019
proj
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA- WARP
2016 ATL MLB 15 15 70.0 2 7 0 82 34 46 14 85 10.5 4.4 1.8 5.9 42% .304 1.66 6.18 7.59 119 5.81 128.6 -0.4
2017 ATL MLB 1 1 3.0 0 1 0 5 5 3 1 102 15.0 15.0 3.0 9.0 55% .400 3.33 10.51 15.00 51 1.68 35.7 0.1
CareerMLB161673.0280873949158610.74.81.86.042%.3081.736.367.891155.64124.8-0.2

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg LG G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA-
2013 SBN A MID 3 3 17.7 0 2 0 19 4 13 0 104 9.7 2.0 0.0 6.6 0% .328 1.30 2.71 3.57 92 4.96 107.8
2013 YAK A- NOR 8 8 31.0 1 1 0 25 13 28 2 96 7.3 3.8 0.6 8.1 0% .281 1.23 3.80 2.90 101 3.73 81.0
2014 SBN A MID 6 6 35.7 1 2 0 25 14 44 2 101 6.3 3.5 0.5 11.1 0% .258 1.09 3.00 4.04 82 2.88 60.9
2014 VIS A+ CAL 13 13 72.3 4 2 0 70 21 81 6 103 8.7 2.6 0.7 10.1 0% .328 1.26 3.85 4.35 86 3.68 77.8
2014 MOB AA SOU 8 8 46.3 4 1 0 30 16 46 4 98 5.8 3.1 0.8 8.9 0% .228 0.99 3.48 1.94 86 2.71 57.4
2015 MOB AA SOU 13 13 83.3 6 3 0 70 23 64 8 103 7.6 2.5 0.9 6.9 0% .265 1.12 3.95 2.70 99 3.00 65.9
2015 RNO AAA PCL 13 12 77.0 7 2 0 67 27 56 5 114 7.8 3.2 0.6 6.5 0% .273 1.22 4.07 3.16 97 2.89 63.4
2016 ATL MLB NL 15 15 70.0 2 7 0 82 34 46 14 85 10.5 4.4 1.8 5.9 42% .304 1.66 6.18 7.59 119 5.81 128.6
2016 GWN AAA INT 13 13 71.7 5 4 0 77 32 71 4 106 9.7 4.0 0.5 8.9 50% .358 1.52 3.38 4.65 95 5.12 113.0
2017 ATL MLB NL 1 1 3.0 0 1 0 5 5 3 1 102 15.0 15.0 3.0 9.0 55% .400 3.33 10.51 15.00 51 1.68 35.7
2017 GWN AAA INT 25 25 127.3 7 9 0 135 56 104 10 99 9.5 4.0 0.7 7.4 43% .315 1.50 4.23 5.02 108 5.05 107.5
2018 GWN AAA INT 1 1 2.7 0 1 0 1 5 3 0 99 3.4 16.9 0.0 10.1 29% .143 2.25 6.70 0.00 131 6.53 138.1

Plate Discipline

YEAR Pits Zone% Swing% Contact% Z-Swing% O-Swing% Z-Contact% O-Contact% SwStr%
2016 1197 0.4369 0.4653 0.7756 0.6616 0.3131 0.8960 0.5782 0.2244
2017 75 0.3600 0.4133 0.5161 0.6296 0.2917 0.5882 0.4286 0.4839
Career12720.43240.46220.76030.65970.31180.87790.56940.2397

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2018 ATL $
2017 ATL $
2016 ATL $

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
0 y 92 d1 year (2018)

Details
  • 1 year (2018). Re-signed by Atlanta 3/18. Released by Atlanta 5/31/18.
  • 1 year (2017). Re-signed by Atlanta 3/17.
  • 1 year (2016). Contract selected by Atlanta 4/24/16.
  • Acquired by Atlanta in trade from Arizona 12/8/15.
  • Drafted by Arizona 2013 (1s-36) (Marshall). $1.435M signing bonus ($1.5477M slot).

2019 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 9.3 0 0 9 9 49.6 37 20 44 4 .247 1.14 3.10 3.5 -1.6 -0.2
80o 8.1 0 0 8 8 44.2 35 19 39 4 .260 1.23 3.45 3.88 -3.2 -0.3
70o 7.2 0 0 8 8 40.4 34 18 35 3 .270 1.29 3.71 4.17 -4.2 -0.5
60o 6.5 0 0 7 7 37.2 33 17 33 3 .278 1.35 3.93 4.42 -4.8 -0.5
50o 5.9 0 0 6 6 34.3 31 17 30 3 .286 1.40 4.14 4.65 -5.3 -0.6
40o 5.2 0 0 6 6 31.4 30 16 28 3 .294 1.45 4.35 4.89 -5.6 -0.6
30o 4.6 0 0 5 5 28.5 28 15 25 3 .302 1.51 4.58 5.15 -5.9 -0.6
20o 4 0 0 5 5 25.1 26 14 22 3 .312 1.59 4.85 5.46 -6.0 -0.7
10o 3.1 0 0 4 4 20.6 23 12 18 2 .326 1.69 5.24 5.89 -5.9 -0.6
Weighted Mean5.8006633.73116303.2841.394.114.62-5.1-0.6

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BP Annual Player Comments

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BP Articles

Click here to see articles tagged with Aaron Blair

BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2017-02-13 20:00:00 (link to chat)Do you see Aaron Blair or Jake Thompson having value in 2017, or in future years?
(Old man from Cheerleaders)
I like Thompson more than Blair. Hard to see tons of value from Blair given his pedestrian stuff. Thompson's stuff and upside are better than Blair's but he's no sure thing, either. (Scooter Hotz)
2016-11-22 20:00:00 (link to chat)What are your thoughts on Lewis Brinson? The shine seemed to wear off a bit after an up and down year. What can we expect from him going forward? Also, can we expect to see Aaron Blair start the year in the majors or does he need more time back in the minors?
(AJ from Ottawa)
The reports out of the Texas League on Brinson were never as down as the stats, and it only still stands out because his best month is split off into a different line. I think his stock is even to even slightly up compared to last offseason.

I'm pretty down on Blair. Dickey and Colon may push him back to the minors. (Jarrett Seidler)
2016-08-11 14:00:00 (link to chat)J.P., I have an embarrassment of riches in my 20-team, 25-man roster 5x5 dynasty league. This was a rebuild year for me, and right now, my SS are Anderson, J.P. Crawford, Swanson, and Rogers. We can only keep 20 from year to year with no penalty, and the league has a penchant for valuing players weirdly (I got offered Mauricio Cabrera for Andrew Benintendi straight up). Do I use my stash to overpay for positions of need in a spread out league like this? Or should I just wait for these beautiful prospect flowers to bloom?
(Tim L from Sonoma Stompers HQ)
The easy cop-out answer is to gauge what kinda interest other owners in your league have in your players. Find which owners like your players more than you do and try to make something work. Waiting for prospects to "bloom" is tricky, especially when you *want* to move them. Aaron Blair was a hot trade piece prior to the season and now probably can't be given away. The same with Luis Severino. Prospects who haven't had a chance to fail yet always bring a higher return than guys who are known quantities. (J.P. Breen)
2016-01-29 11:00:00 (link to chat)Can you talk more about what Atlanta may have now in Aaron Blair?
(Bigs from Atlanta)
I've come around on Blair. It's not the sexiest profile, but the pitches and frame are there for him to be a mid-rotation guy. I can certainly understand why some exercise caution in promoting the profile, because while there's "security" in a guy like Blair, if he happens to underperform that perceived security, you're left with something significantly less than a high-upside guy underperforming to the same degree. That said, two plus pitched and an average third gives me confidence that he can reach that ceiling, and possibly surprise some people along the way. (Top 101 Chat with Craig Goldstein)
2016-01-29 11:00:00 (link to chat)Could you offer some thoughts on Eric Fedde? If healthy, is he someone you could see springing into the top 50 by midseason?
(Splat from Detroit)
It's...possible, but much of that depends on the promotions of guys in front of him. I like Fedde a bunch, but we're looking at a mid-rotation guy at best with the potential to be a reliever. He's a bit of a high-floor guy but there's more risk there than with the standard high-floor guys. I do like his chances to start, but some of this goes back to what I said in my Aaron Blair answer. Two plus pitches right now, with a chance for the change to be playable. (Top 101 Chat with Craig Goldstein)
2016-01-21 19:00:00 (link to chat)Expectations for Aaron Blair this year? Brinson and/or Kepler make it to the majors this year? Lines for them?
(Jon Smith from Ottawa)
Not very high. He's the classic mid-rotation starting pitching prospect that I personally try to avoid in dynasty formats. Lewis Brinson is someone who took a huge step forward last year and could get a look in Texas later this season, especially after they traded away Nick Williams. (George Bissell)
2015-08-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)So Braden Shipley has been disappointing this season, but I feel like the hate has gone wayyy too far. Guy's still new to pitching and has a 3.43 ERA in Double-A, and is giving up almost no HR's.
(Chase from LA)
Yeah, this is a good point. Shipley hasn't great by any means, but I know some who are ready to write the guy off, and that's not fair. I'd say he's fallen behind Aaron Blair, but that's okay, he's still a potential mid-rotation starter. (Christopher Crawford)
2015-02-26 20:00:00 (link to chat)What pitching prospects ranked 20 and lower will make their big league clubs in 2015? Chi Chi Gonzalez, Jake Thompson, Steven Matz, Aaron Blair, others?
(Karl from San Angelo)
Those first three are good names. Blair has an outside shot. I'd throw Norris, Wisler, and Appel on there as well. (Bret Sayre)
2015-02-04 19:00:00 (link to chat)How would you rank Aaron Blair, Marco Gonzalez, and Braden Shipley? And will Eddie Butler ultimately be a starter? Thank you!
(Dennis from LA)
Shipley, gap, Butler, Blair, Gonzales. Way too early to write off Butler-- let's see how the breaking ball comes along. A RHP with a big time FB and a swing and miss quality CH is usually a good bet. (Jordan Gorosh)
2014-07-01 13:00:00 (link to chat)Which pitcher will have the highest impact in the Majors: Josh Hader, Aaron Blair, or Ben Lively?
(Steve from nowhere)
Tough one. Hader is a reliever for me but could be nasty. Lively back-end guy. Blair back-end guy with a chance for more. I'll go Blair. (Chris Rodriguez)
2014-07-08 13:00:00 (link to chat)Mark, where do you see the ETA for Diamondback hurlers Braden Shipley and Aaron Blair? Also, are the mid rotation to back end guys or a chance for more?
(Brett from New Jersey)
Shipley is showing the stuff and enough polish to move very quickly through the system and could reach the big leagues late next year, though 2016 is more likely. Blair is squarely in the 2016 time frame for me. Shipley has a much higher ceiling and be a #2 if he can put it all together; Blair has the type of ceiling you noted. (Mark Anderson)
2014-05-13 11:00:00 (link to chat)Better long-term ceiling: Ben Lively, Aaron Blair, or Jen-Ho Tseng?
(Steve from Philly)
I would take Tseng. I dig it. (Jason Parks)


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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

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