Biographical

Portrait of Drew Smyly

Drew Smyly PCubs

Cubs Player Cards | Cubs Team Audit | Cubs Depth Chart

2018 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 29)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
36.3 4.55 1.28 38 2 2 0 0.3
Birth Date6-13-1989
Height6' 3"
Weight190 lbs
Age29 years, 4 months, 4 days
BatsL
ThrowsL
1.22014
1.02015
1.62016
2017
0.32018
+proj
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA- WARP
2012 DET MLB 23 18 99.3 4 3 0 93 33 94 12 .262 104 8.4 3.0 1.1 8.5 42% .295 .258 1.27 3.77 3.99 92 3.78 86.7 1.6
2013 DET MLB 63 0 76.0 6 0 2 62 17 81 4 .265 101 7.3 2.0 0.5 9.6 43% .291 .218 1.04 2.33 2.37 75 2.57 61.5 1.9
2014 DET 0 21 18 105.3 6 9 0 111 31 89 14 .258 106 9.5 2.6 1.2 7.6 40% .313 .274 1.35 4.11 3.93 104 4.69 115.1 0.2
2014 TBA 0 7 7 47.7 3 1 0 25 11 44 4 .270 97 4.7 2.1 0.8 8.3 36% .184 .180 0.76 3.09 1.70 99 3.03 74.4 1.0
2015 TBA MLB 12 12 66.7 5 2 0 58 20 77 11 .262 104 7.8 2.7 1.5 10.4 39% .283 .254 1.17 3.88 3.10 98 3.83 89.5 1.0
2016 TBA MLB 30 30 175.3 7 12 0 174 49 167 32 .258 100 8.9 2.5 1.6 8.6 33% .291 .267 1.27 4.44 4.88 109 4.55 100.7 1.6
2014 TOT MLB 28 25 153.0 9 10 0 136 42 133 18 .261 103 8.0 2.5 1.1 7.8 39% .278 .248 1.16 3.79 3.24 102 4.18 102.4 1.2
CareerMLB15685570.33127252316155277.2611028.32.51.28.738%.287.2521.203.803.74993.9792.27.3

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA-
2011 LAK A+ 14 14 80.3 7 3 0 71 21 77 1 .256 102 8.0 2.4 0.1 8.6 49% .317 .225 1.15 2.51 2.58 0 0.00 0.0
2011 ERI AA 8 7 45.7 4 3 0 32 15 53 1 .273 94 6.3 3.0 0.2 10.4 52% .287 .202 1.03 2.42 1.18 0 0.00 0.0
2012 DET MLB 23 18 99.3 4 3 0 93 33 94 12 .262 104 8.4 3.0 1.1 8.5 42% .295 .258 1.27 3.77 3.99 92 3.78 86.7
2012 TOL AAA 7 7 17.7 0 2 0 22 8 25 3 .250 98 11.2 4.1 1.5 12.7 35% .413 .301 1.70 4.06 6.11 0 0.00 0.0
2013 DET MLB 63 0 76.0 6 0 2 62 17 81 4 .265 101 7.3 2.0 0.5 9.6 43% .291 .218 1.04 2.33 2.37 75 2.57 61.5
2014 DET MLB 21 18 105.3 6 9 0 111 31 89 14 .258 106 9.5 2.6 1.2 7.6 40% .313 .274 1.35 4.11 3.93 104 4.69 115.1
2014 TBA MLB 7 7 47.7 3 1 0 25 11 44 4 .270 97 4.7 2.1 0.8 8.3 36% .184 .180 0.76 3.09 1.70 99 3.03 74.4
2015 TBA MLB 12 12 66.7 5 2 0 58 20 77 11 .262 104 7.8 2.7 1.5 10.4 39% .283 .254 1.17 3.88 3.10 98 3.83 89.5
2015 PCH A+ 3 3 8.3 0 0 0 10 0 9 1 .251 95 10.8 0.0 1.1 9.7 38% .360 .255 1.20 2.56 5.40 65 1.41 31.7
2015 MNT AA 1 1 3.7 0 0 0 1 3 4 0 .235 82 2.5 7.4 0.0 9.8 50% .125 .177 1.09 3.57 0.00 59 0.67 16.0
2015 DUR AAA 3 3 10.7 0 2 0 13 6 13 2 .257 97 11.0 5.1 1.7 11.0 34% .367 .349 1.78 5.12 8.44 109 3.68 75.9
2016 TBA MLB 30 30 175.3 7 12 0 174 49 167 32 .258 100 8.9 2.5 1.6 8.6 33% .291 .267 1.27 4.44 4.88 109 4.55 100.7
2018 SBN A 1 1 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 .303 94 0.0 0.0 0.0 27.0 0% .000 -.016 0.00 -2.52 0.00 101 6.57 142.3

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2012 1744 0.4891 0.4289 0.7714 0.5686 0.2952 0.8495 0.6274 0.2286
2013 1280 0.4680 0.4633 0.7538 0.6227 0.3231 0.8525 0.5864 0.2462
2014 2528 0.4850 0.4648 0.7643 0.6223 0.3164 0.8427 0.6189 0.2357
2015 1134 0.4762 0.4762 0.7389 0.6111 0.3535 0.8303 0.5952 0.2611
2016 2885 0.4711 0.4686 0.7470 0.6394 0.3165 0.8101 0.6335 0.2530
Career95710.47820.46060.7560.61640.31790.8340.61770.244

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-06-29 2014-06-29 DTD 0 0 - General Medical Illness -
2012-07-07 2012-07-29 15-DL 22 17 Right Trunk Strain Intercostal - -
2012-06-11 2012-06-26 15-DL 15 13 Left Fingers Blister Middle Finger - -
2012-04-17 2012-04-17 DTD 0 0 - Low Back Contusion Batted Ball - -
2011-04-20 2011-05-28 Minors 38 36 Left Elbow Soreness -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2019 CHN $7,000,000
2018 CHN $3,000,000
2017 SEA $6,850,000
2016 TBA $3,750,000
2015 TBA $2,650,000
2014 DET $520,000
2013 DET $498,000
2012 DET $
YearsDescriptionSalary
5 yrPrevious$14,268,000
2018Current$3,000,000
6 yrPvs + Cur$17,268,000
1 yrFuture$7,000,000
7 yrTotal$24,268,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
5 y 154 dFrontline2 years/$10M (2018-19)

Details
  • 2 years/$10M (2018-19). Signed by Chicago Cubs as a free agent 12/12/17. 18:$3M, 19:$7M. 2019 performance bonuses: May earn up to $6M as a starter, up to $1M as a reliever.
  • 1 year/$6.85M (2017). Acquired by Seattle in trade from Tampa Bay 1/11/17. Signed by Seattle 1/13/17 (avoided arbitration). Non-tendered by Seattle 12/1/17.
  • 1 year/$3.75M (2016). Won arbitration with Tampa Bay 2/4/16 ($3.75M-$3.2M).
  • 1 year/$2.65M (2015). Re-signed by Tampa Bay 1/16/15 (avoided arbitration). May earn additional $50,000 in performance bonuses based on games started.
  • 1 year/$0.52M (2014). Re-signed by Detroit 2/24/14. Acquired by Tampa Bay in trade from Detroit 7/31/14.
  • 1 year/$0.498M (2013). Re-signed by Detroit 2/22/13.
  • 1 year (2012). Contract purchased by Detroit 4/12/12.
  • Drafted by Detroit 2010 (2-68) (Arkansas). $1.1M signing bonus.

2018 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 3.8 2.2 0 9 9 50.2 40 15 51 8 .252 1.10 3.62 3.74 8.4 0.9
80o 3.3 2.1 0 8 8 44.8 38 14 45 7 .265 1.18 4.01 4.16 5.6 0.6
70o 2.9 2.1 0 7 7 41.0 37 14 41 7 .274 1.23 4.30 4.47 3.8 0.4
60o 2.6 2 0 7 7 37.8 35 13 38 7 .283 1.29 4.56 4.74 2.4 0.3
50o 2.4 1.9 0 6 6 34.9 34 13 35 7 .290 1.33 4.79 4.99 1.4 0.1
40o 2.2 1.8 0 6 6 32.1 32 12 32 6 .298 1.39 5.04 5.25 0.4 0.0
30o 1.9 1.7 0 5 5 29.1 30 11 29 6 .306 1.44 5.30 5.53 -0.5 -0.1
20o 1.6 1.6 0 5 5 25.7 28 11 26 5 .316 1.51 5.61 5.86 -1.3 -0.1
10o 1.3 1.4 0 4 4 21.1 25 9 21 5 .329 1.60 6.05 6.33 -2.1 -0.2
Weighted Mean2.41.906634.33312356.2891.324.764.961.40.2

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2018 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20193091203131194186641943538.3111.294.765.238.63.09.01.60.7
20203191102929179169641763338.3051.304.955.448.53.28.91.70.3
20213281002727159148541552838.3021.274.835.318.43.18.81.60.5
20223371002525145139501412738.3061.304.995.488.63.18.71.70.2
2023346802020117112411102238.3021.315.095.598.63.28.51.70.0
2024356802020119116411162338.3111.325.035.538.83.18.81.70.1
2025365701919110107401072138.3101.345.095.598.83.38.81.70.0
2026375601616929031891738.3111.315.015.518.83.08.71.70.1
2027384601515908831861738.3111.335.035.538.83.18.61.70.1

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 85)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 90 Dennis Leonard 1980 4.05
2 90 Jered Weaver 2012 3.01
3 90 Homer Bailey 2015 5.56
4 89 Shaun Marcum 2011 3.77
5 89 Frank Viola 1989 3.97
6 89 Aaron Harang 2007 3.85
7 89 Ted Higuera 1987 4.13
8 88 Bret Saberhagen 1993 3.55
9 88 Gil Meche 2008 4.19
10 88 Ian Kennedy 2014 3.81
11 88 Josh Beckett 2009 4.20
12 88 Mike Mussina 1998 3.71
13 87 Alex Fernandez 1999 3.83
14 87 Bert Blyleven 1980 4.24
15 87 Jake Peavy 2010 4.63
16 87 Randy Wolf 2006 5.88
17 87 Don Drysdale 1966 3.75
18 87 Scott Baker 2011 3.34
19 87 Wei-Yin Chen 2015 3.67
20 87 Brandon Morrow 2014 5.67
21 87 Odalis Perez 2007 5.83
22 87 Mike Minor 2017 2.67
23 87 Billy O'Dell 1962 4.04 DNP
24 87 Cole Hamels 2013 3.80
25 86 James Shields 2011 3.00
26 86 Daisuke Matsuzaka 2010 4.92
27 86 Freddy Garcia 2006 4.83
28 86 Brad Penny 2007 3.25
29 86 Vida Blue 1979 5.43
30 86 Ervin Santana 2012 5.46
31 86 Adam Wainwright 2011 0.00 DNP
32 86 Gavin Floyd 2012 4.50
33 86 Edwin Jackson 2013 5.65
34 86 Max Scherzer 2014 3.23
35 86 Jeremy Hellickson 2016 4.10
36 86 Ben Sheets 2008 3.36
37 86 Mickey Lolich 1970 4.13
38 85 Jeff Francis 2010 5.26
39 85 Anibal Sanchez 2013 2.77
40 85 Cliff Lee 2008 2.74
41 85 Len Barker 1985 6.72
42 85 Dan Haren 2010 4.21
43 85 Dick Donovan 1957 3.10
44 85 Zack Greinke 2013 2.74
45 85 Gaylord Perry 1968 2.88
46 84 Billy Pierce 1956 3.52
47 84 Jack McDowell 1995 4.38
48 84 Kevin Millwood 2004 5.17
49 84 Jack Sanford 1958 4.93
50 84 Phil Hughes 2015 4.40
51 84 Curt Schilling 1996 3.39
52 84 Jordan Zimmermann 2015 3.97
53 84 Kevin Tapani 1993 4.91
54 84 Tim Lincecum 2013 4.64
55 84 Jeff Weaver 2006 6.12
56 84 Jorge De La Rosa 2010 4.51
57 84 Harvey Haddix 1955 5.71
58 84 Derek Holland 2016 5.20
59 84 Javier Vazquez 2006 5.11
60 84 Travis Wood 2016 3.54
61 84 John Patterson 2007 7.18
62 84 Erik Hiljus 2002 6.90
63 84 Jason Hammel 2012 3.66
64 83 Don Sutton 1974 3.62
65 83 Kris Medlen 2015 4.63
66 83 Roger Nelson 1973 4.12
67 83 John Smoltz 1996 3.30
68 83 Andrew Cashner 2016 5.66
69 83 Ivan Nova 2016 4.50
70 83 Hector Santiago 2017 5.63
71 83 Lance Lynn 2016 0.00 DNP
72 83 Rich Harden 2011 5.23
73 83 Carlos Villanueva 2013 4.06
74 83 Kerry Wood 2006 5.95
75 83 Matt Morris 2004 5.12
76 82 Wade Davis 2015 1.07
77 82 Yovani Gallardo 2015 3.71
78 82 Erik Hanson 1994 4.40
79 82 Carl Erskine 1956 4.44
80 82 Luke Hochevar 2013 1.92
81 82 Dave Bush 2009 6.61
82 82 Melido Perez 1995 5.97
83 82 Joel Pineiro 2008 5.39
84 82 La Marr Hoyt 1984 4.85
85 82 Jonathan Sanchez 2012 8.35
86 82 Jimmy Key 1990 4.60
87 82 John Lackey 2008 3.91
88 82 Chris Bosio 1992 3.89
89 82 Vicente Padilla 2007 6.58
90 82 Ray Culp 1971 4.01
91 82 Wade Miley 2016 5.42
92 81 Andy Messersmith 1975 2.57 DNP
93 81 Steve Carlton 1974 3.65
94 81 Daniel Hudson 2016 5.82
95 81 Steve Rogers 1979 3.51
96 81 Kyle Lohse 2008 3.96
97 81 Taylor Buchholz 2011 3.46
98 81 Jon Matlack 1979 4.55
99 81 Don Mossi 1958 4.26
100 81 Mark Gubicza 1992 3.80

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .220 .255 .384 .227
11 vs R (Multi) .260 .314 .453 .270
18 Split (Multi) -.039 -.059 -.069 -.043
19 LgAvg (Multi) -.020 -.022 -.064 -.025
30 vs L (2016) .250 .276 .449 .258
31 vs R (2016) .262 .315 .458 .269
38 Split (2016) -.012 -.039 -.009 -.011
39 LgAvg (2016) -.022 -.023 -.071 -.028

Definition of multi-year splits

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2018 Due to publishing agreements, the 2018 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2018 book (available in hardcopy, and soon e-book and Kindle).
2017 There are two best possible results for a pitcher most of the time: strike a guy out or pop him up. Smyly is terrific at both of these things. Both his curveball and his molasses-slow changeup—an off-speed pitch a full 10 miles per hour slower than his heater—get regular swings and misses. And the tall lefty’s infield fly rate of 16 percent was better than all but three starers last season. But Smyly is a pitcher of extremes, and to offset all the whiffs and squibs there are dingers and doubles aplenty. The southpaw had the third-lowest groundball rate among starters with over 100 innings, and the only two pitchers who gave up more air contact were the twin garbage fires of Jered Weaver and A.J. Griffin. Homers continue to be a problem for Smyly, and the play of extremes between those powerfully-hit balls and easy outs creates a pitcher decidedly in the middle ground: an effective no. 3 or no. 4 starter.
2016 Smyly, a lanky left-hander, is already used to pitching with diminished stuff. He took that to the extreme last year, pitching with a partially torn rotator cuff. Rather than going under the knife like some injury experts expected, he opted for rehabilitation instead, missing about three months before making a successful return in August. He made nine starts over the final six weeks of the season, allowing one earned run or fewer in five of those games. He also produced the best strikeout rate of his career while maintaining a walk rate of fewer than three free passes per nine. Nice set of PECOTA comps.
2015 The Tigers thought so highly of Smyly that they traded Doug Fister in part to clear a spot in the rotation for him. The Rays showed how much they valued the lanky lefty, acquiring him as a key piece of the David Price trade. Tampa Bay inherited a 25-year-old southpaw with a low-90s fastball, a knee-buckling curveball in the high 70s, a cutter-slider hybrid in the mid-80s and a change more for show than use. In lieu of sweeping changes to their new addition, the club took the available pieces and rearranged them a bit. This included encouraging Smyly to let the fastball fly high and to put the cutter in the back door to right-handers. The latter helped narrow a sizable platoon split while the former led to quicker outs and an uptick in whiffs. Concerns over workload resulted in an early September shutdown, but the seven-start introduction was enough to get those in and around the organization excited to see what Smyly can do full-time in 2015.
2014 Smyly is too good for a reliever's workload, and certainly too good for the limited LOOGY work he got in October, when the rest of the Detroit bullpen crumbled around him. Ironically, the better Smyly pitched the smaller his role, as he went from full-inning work early in the season to one-out appearances in August, September and October. While Smyly is, indeed, better against lefties, he was effective against righties, toomore effective, for instance, than Al Alburquerque or Luke Putkonen. With the trade of Doug Fister, Smyly will likely move back into the rotation, a role in which he flourished in 2012. However, if he doesnt earn a starting gig, at his current trajectory he'll be throwing one pitch per outing by the All-Star break. At least it'll be a great pitch.
2013 Many pegged Smyly for a 2012 cup of coffee at best after a solid debut season in pro ball that ended in Double-A. Instead, he threw 99 strong innings for the big club, including 18 starts. Pitching with more of a high-80s fastball in the minors, Smyly impressed with his heater averaging 92 mph in the majors. Smylys debut would be considered a resounding success under any circumstance, but considering the fact that he had just 126 innings of pro ball under his belt (including 46 at Double-A), he ended up one of the most pleasant rookie surprises in the league. He will have to be ready for double duty again in 2013, as he could find himself locking down the back end of the rotation or a key bullpen role.
2012 Smylys first minor league season could hardly have gone better, as the former Arkansas starter pitched well and earned a promotion to Double-A, where he was surprisingly dominant down the stretch. Smyly has terrific command and knows how to pitch, mixing his upper-80s fastball and cutter with a wide array of off-speed offerings. He doesnt have the stuff or upside of fellow lefties Casey Crosby or Andrew Oliver, but he is a finished product and is more likely to reach his ceiling. If Smyly can continue to rack up the strikeouts at higher levels, he could quickly become a solid rotation contributor, though not a star.
2011 The Tigers were happy to nab college starter Drew Smyly in the second round, hoping he can refine his four-pitch lefty arsenal enough to soon fulfill their mid-rotation dreams.

BP Articles

Click here to see articles tagged with Drew Smyly

BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2017-01-18 20:00:00 (link to chat)I'm having a lot of anxiety deciding on my final keeper in a dynasty league. Top of the rotation is easy, but after the first 3, I'm at a loss. Appreciate your opinion of my choices: Matt Moore, Taijuan Walker, Drew Smyly, Matt Andriese, or Yordano Ventura. It's an AL only league, but I have an open crossover slot.
(Jim from Middlefield)
I still stand with Walker. (Bret Sayre)
2016-08-01 16:00:00 (link to chat)My depth SP in a 14 team points lg are DeSclafani Joe Ross Hammel and Odorizzi. Any reason to consider dropping one of them for Drew Smyly or Brandon McCarthy? Thanks.
(dylanrox from New Orleans)
You're OK as is. I could see a case for dropping Ross for McCarthy in this format and riding the hot hand if you wanted to. (Mike Gianella)
2016-01-21 19:00:00 (link to chat)Projection for Drew Smyly this year if he throws 175 innings?
(Lover of Arms from The Rubber)
Considering that he's eclipsed 150 innings just once since 2012, 175 is an aggressive number, but I wouldn't rule it out. There's a ton to like with Smyly if you can overlook the legitimate durability concerns. 175 IP = 3.30 ERA (3.84 DRA) 195 K (10 K/9) 1.17 WHIP (SP30-35 range) (George Bissell)
2015-02-13 19:00:00 (link to chat)Who are a couple hitters and pitchers you see breaking out this year? Thoughts on Bogaerts?
(Jobu from Cerrano's locker)
I like George Springer coming through and meeting a lot of the potential/hype we were looking at last year. Oswaldo Arcia is a boom/bust proposition this year, but if he can even get the average to .250 there is a lot of power there. For pitchers, I think Zack Wheeler takes a big step forward this year and I also like Drew Smyly joining Cobb as a big impact guy for the Rays.

I'm closer to Ben Carsley on Bogaerts than I am to the negative nellies. I see some improvement this year, with 15-17 home runs and a .260-.270 average a realistic expectation. I agree with Ben and think the breakout comes in 2016 or 2017. (Mike Gianella)
2014-08-29 12:00:00 (link to chat)Drew Smyly. Rays magic?
(Ken Tuckee from wilshire)
Smyly is a solid pitcher, but he's probably just on a hot run. Tommy Rancel noted over the weekend that he's using his cutter more to his arm side, which is lifted from the Jon Lester playbook (and something I wanted to see from him). He's got three quality pitches, control, brains, and guts. You don't need a whole lot more to find success in the majors. Let's just give it a little more time before we buy into him as a monster. (R.J. Anderson)
2014-03-12 14:00:00 (link to chat)Am I alright with a fantasy pitching staff anchored by Scherzer, Cain, Shelby Miller, Andrew Cashner, RA Dickey, Drew Smyly and Tyson Ross?
(Lou from washington)
I have no idea. How big is your league? I like a lot of those pitchers. If you're in a 20-team NL-only league, well done! (Except for the three AL guys.) (Ben Lindbergh)
2014-03-14 09:00:00 (link to chat)Why are the experts so pessimistic on Drew Smyly? Obviously he can't replicate what he did last year but he still seems like a strong option.
(Dave from Boston)
Hi Dave (I'm going to be saying "Hi Dave" in my sleep tonight).

Are we? I like Smyly a lot. I think my big concern is going to be with durability/him holding up over the course of a full season given that he pitched out of the pen last year, but I think the numbers are going to be very good. (Mike Gianella)
2014-02-26 19:00:00 (link to chat)Do you see Drew Smyly having a good year this year?
(Sumner from The beach)
I think so. Transitioning from a reliever to a starter is an iffy proposition. There are a lot of success stories and a few guys (most famously Joba) who failed.

I think he'll be fine this year. (Mauricio Rubio)
2014-02-28 14:00:00 (link to chat)Hey Doug, just wondering what your thoughts are on today's fantasy article on Pitchers To Avoid? And anyone you would add to that list?Thanks
(DanDaMan from SeaCliff)
Great stuff from the fantasy staff today in this article: http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=22928

I would add anybody on the Brewers, esp Estrada who seems to be getting some helium in drafts. Same with Drew Smyly. I will also be staying away from Liriano, Ubaldo, and both Wood's. (Doug Thorburn)
2013-10-07 18:00:00 (link to chat)List 5 hitters and pitchers that you feel could be breakout players in 2014. Thanks for the chat, Mike!
(Brett from The Office)
Hi Brett.

Hitters: Christian Yelich, Billy Hamilton, Oscar Taveras, Avisail Garcia, Josmil Pinto.

Pitchers: Jameson Taillon, Rafael Montero, Drew Smyly, Jimmy Nelson, Taijuan Walker. (Mike Gianella)
2013-07-08 14:00:00 (link to chat)I know there is no room in the Tigers' rotation, but do you think Drew Smyly's talent is being wasted in the bullpen?
(BF from New York)
It depends on his change-up, which rarely makes an appearance out of the 'pen. A lefty starter without a change-of-pace can run into trouble against a platoon-stacked lineup.

On the jukebox: Aerosmith, "Dream On" (Doug Thorburn)
2013-04-25 12:30:00 (link to chat)When do you think that J. Leyland will realize that Porcello is better suited on the bench or the minors than starting over Drew Smyly? One, maybe two more starts?
(G Money from Atlanta)
I'm as guilty as anyone of expecting big things out of Porcello this season, even before his great spring training. The fact that Detroit's bullpen isn't exactly rock solid will buy Porcello a few more starts, I'd think, since Smyly is a guy who can go multiple innings out of the pen. (Ben Lindbergh)
2013-01-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who from the following list of young 4th/5th starter talent types have the best chances at a solid 2013: Dan Straily, Jose Quintana, Joe Kelly, Drew Smyly, AJ Griffin, David Phelps, Erasmo Ramirez, and Patrick Corbin?
(Paul from DC)
I don't know if Kelly, Smyly, or Corbin will get a full slate of starts, I know Phelps won't. That leaves Griffin, Straily, Quintana, and Ramirez and I'd lean toward one of the first two. (R.J. Anderson)
2013-01-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)Which of these young starters has the best year in 2013: AJ Griffin, Matt Harvey, Drew Smyly, and Jose Quintana?
(Paul from DC)
I like Matt Harvey by a wide margin. He's easily got the best stuff of the bunch, and his debut was electric. Quintana/Smyly/Griffin are back of the rotation types and they lack the sizzle of Harvey. (Josh Shepardson)
2012-11-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Detroit lefty Drew Smyly had a pretty decent rookie season with a 1.268 WHIP and 94 Ks in 99 IPs. Does this 2010 2nd round draft pick project as a #3 or better starter?
(Paul from DC)
I see Smyly as a 4, but he could be a solid one at that, which is a little more than I saw from him in 2011. The one shot he has, as do most young arms, to change their profile, is to command everything better. Cliff Lee is a great example. Was never a top prospect, never expected to be a 2 let alone a one who wins a Cy Young and challenges for five others.

As for Chen, I think he is what he is, for the most part, but we could see some small, incremental progressions in some areas, particular with runners on base. There is generally a transition period with Asian pitchers, especially since the ball is different. (Jason A. Churchill)
2012-05-21 14:00:00 (link to chat)Long-term outlook for Drew Smyly? Strike-throwing 4/5 or something more?
(RationalSportsFan from Indy)
The former. (Kevin Goldstein)


BP Roundtables

No BP Roundtables have mentioned this guy.

 

PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC