Biographical

Portrait of Justin Nicolino

Justin Nicolino P  

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2019 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 27)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
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Birth Date11-22-1991
Height6' 3"
Weight195 lbs
Age27 years, 6 months, 0 days
BatsL
ThrowsL
0.32015
0.52016
-0.32017
2018
-0.32019
proj
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA- WARP
2015 MIA MLB 12 12 74.0 5 4 0 72 20 23 8 91 8.8 2.4 1.0 2.8 46% .259 1.24 4.87 4.01 117 4.77 111.4 0.3
2016 MIA MLB 18 13 79.3 3 6 0 96 20 37 8 88 10.9 2.3 0.9 4.2 49% .317 1.46 4.43 4.99 104 4.72 104.4 0.5
2017 MIA MLB 20 8 48.0 2 3 0 66 20 26 8 91 12.4 3.8 1.5 4.9 48% .333 1.79 5.57 5.06 111 5.93 126.1 -0.3
CareerMLB5033201.3101302346086249010.52.71.13.848%.3001.464.864.651105.03112.20.6

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg LG G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA-
2011 LNS A MID 3 3 8.7 1 1 0 11 2 9 0 103 11.4 2.1 0.0 9.3 54% .393 1.50 1.97 3.12 0 0.00 0.0
2011 VAN A- NOR 12 9 52.3 5 1 0 28 11 64 0 93 4.8 1.9 0.0 11.0 56% .241 0.75 1.84 1.03 0 0.00 0.0
2012 LNS A MID 28 22 124.3 10 4 0 112 21 119 6 102 8.1 1.5 0.4 8.6 55% .308 1.07 2.68 2.46 0 0.00 0.0
2013 JUP A+ FSL 18 18 96.7 5 2 0 89 18 64 4 94 8.3 1.7 0.4 6.0 50% .286 1.11 3.07 2.23 0 0.00 0.0
2013 JAX AA SOU 9 9 45.3 3 2 0 63 12 31 2 98 12.5 2.4 0.4 6.2 42% .386 1.65 3.03 4.96 0 0.00 0.0
2014 JAX AA SOU 28 28 170.3 14 4 0 162 20 81 10 100 8.6 1.1 0.5 4.3 49% .267 1.07 3.43 2.85 101 4.06 85.5
2015 MIA MLB NL 12 12 74.0 5 4 0 72 20 23 8 91 8.8 2.4 1.0 2.8 46% .259 1.24 4.87 4.01 117 4.77 111.4
2015 NWO AAA PCL 20 20 115.0 7 7 0 134 29 63 11 86 10.5 2.3 0.9 4.9 52% .324 1.42 4.60 3.52 101 3.74 80.5
2016 MIA MLB NL 18 13 79.3 3 6 0 96 20 37 8 88 10.9 2.3 0.9 4.2 49% .317 1.46 4.43 4.99 104 4.72 104.4
2016 NWO AAA PCL 14 14 85.0 7 6 0 87 13 49 10 90 9.2 1.4 1.1 5.2 54% .282 1.18 4.55 4.13 97 3.41 74.8
2017 MIA MLB NL 20 8 48.0 2 3 0 66 20 26 8 91 12.4 3.8 1.5 4.9 48% .333 1.79 5.57 5.06 111 5.93 126.1
2017 JUP A+ FSL 1 1 6.0 1 0 0 7 0 1 1 113 10.5 0.0 1.5 1.5 73% .286 1.17 5.14 3.00 111 4.41 93.3
2017 NWO AAA PCL 14 14 79.0 5 5 0 75 24 51 10 88 8.5 2.7 1.1 5.8 45% .269 1.25 5.06 3.19 105 3.73 78.5
2018 LOU AAA INT 25 24 134.3 6 6 0 161 35 86 13 94 10.8 2.3 0.9 5.8 40% .333 1.46 4.22 4.69 113 4.71 100.4
2019 CHR AAA INT 3 3 15.3 0 0 0 21 5 12 5 108 12.3 2.9 2.9 7.0 41% .327 1.70 7.46 7.04 0 0.00 0.0
2019 ROC AAA INT 4 3 19.3 1 1 0 22 8 13 2 103 10.2 3.7 0.9 6.1 43% .339 1.55 5.01 5.12 0 0.00 0.0

Plate Discipline

YEAR Pits Zone% Swing% Contact% Z-Swing% O-Swing% Z-Contact% O-Contact% SwStr%
2015 1041 0.5293 0.4870 0.8895 0.6570 0.2959 0.9144 0.8276 0.1105
2016 1203 0.4904 0.4539 0.8791 0.6288 0.2855 0.9380 0.7543 0.1209
2017 859 0.4983 0.4319 0.8437 0.5841 0.2807 0.8840 0.7603 0.1563
Career31030.50560.45890.87280.62590.28770.91510.78060.1272

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2019 CHA $
2018 CIN $
2017 MIA $
2016 MIA $
2015 MIA $

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
1 y 83 dWest Coast Mgt1 year (2019)

Details
  • 1 year (2019). Signed by Minnesota as a free agent (minor-league contract). Released by Minnesota 5/1/19. Signed by Chicago White Sox 5/5/19 (minor-league contract).
  • 1 year (2018). Re-signed by Miami 3/18. Claimed by Cincinnati off waivers from Miami 3/25/18. Sent outright to Triple-A 3/27/18.
  • 1 year (2017). Re-signed by Miami 3/17.
  • 1 year (2016). Re-signed by Miami 3/16.
  • 1 year (2015). Contract selected by Miami 11/20/14. Re-signed by Miami 3/3/15.
  • Acquired by Miami in trade from Toronto 11/13/12.
  • Drafted by Toronto 2010 (2-80) (University HS, Orlando). $0.615M signing bonus.

2019 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 6.4 8.9 0 23 23 128.6 124 36 87 20 .267 1.24 4.19 4.57 12.3 1.3
80o 5.9 8.9 0 22 22 122.6 125 36 83 20 .278 1.31 4.54 4.95 6.8 0.7
70o 5.5 8.9 0 21 21 118.3 125 37 80 20 .286 1.37 4.79 5.23 3.0 0.3
60o 5.2 8.9 0 21 21 114.7 126 37 78 20 .293 1.41 5.01 5.47 0.0 0.0
50o 4.9 8.9 0 20 20 111.4 126 37 76 20 .299 1.46 5.22 5.69 -2.6 -0.3
40o 4.6 8.9 0 20 20 108.2 126 37 73 20 .306 1.50 5.44 5.92 -5.2 -0.6
30o 4.3 8.9 0 19 19 104.7 126 37 71 20 .312 1.55 5.67 6.17 -7.8 -0.8
20o 3.9 8.9 0 18 18 100.8 126 37 68 20 .320 1.61 5.94 6.47 -10.7 -1.2
10o 3.5 8.8 0 17 17 95.4 125 37 65 20 .332 1.70 6.32 6.88 -14.3 -1.5
Weighted Mean4.98.902020111.3125367620.2981.455.205.67-2.4-0.3

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BP Annual Player Comments

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BP Articles

Click here to see articles tagged with Justin Nicolino

BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2016-03-09 19:00:00 (link to chat)Which group sucks less? Anthony Alford, Rusney Castillo, Manuel Margot, Brett Phillips, Nick Williams,Spencer Adams, Mark Appel, Dylan Cease, Josh Hader, James Kapeielian, Triston McKenzie,Vince Velasquez or Blake Swihart, Jon Singleton, Dansby Swanson, Alex Jackson, Clayton Blackburn,Tyrell Jenkins, Rob Kaminsky, Zach Lee, Keuy Mella, Justin Nicolino, Aaron Nola, Tyler Jay. God these teams are awful.
(Clark from The 19th Hole)
The first group, but you're right, but they're both bad. (Mike Gianella)
2014-06-24 13:00:00 (link to chat)What do you make of Justin Nicolino's year in AA? The results are good, but <4 K/9, even with <1 BB/9, strikes me as worrisome for whether he's a big-league starter....
(edwardarthur from Illinois)
He's an interesting case, but ultimately, I believe in Miami's ability to develop pitching. He's going to be able to get righties out, especially with his excellent CH, and the command profile is really good. I understand it's difficult to work off a fastball that is below major league average, but if he can locate it, and use his CH frequently, there's no reason he can't be a back end starter a the major league level. (Jordan Gorosh)
2014-04-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)What are your thoughts on Maikel Franco? I've heard mixed reviews on his hitting tool. I've been encouraged by his low K rate, which was why I picked him up in a dynasty league draft. Bonus question: what do you think the ETA is for Justin Nicolino?
(Luis from Brooklyn)
I love Franco; loved him since the day I saw him in Instructs as a 16/17 year old. He swings the bat way too much, but he's got that knack for getting the barrel to the ball, and driving it to all fields. I think he's an occasional All-Star.

On Nicolino, I think he probably gets a taste late this year or next year at the latest, but I don't really like the profile that much. (Mark Anderson)
2014-04-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)Which prospects are at the top end of the scale when it comes to locating their pitches?
(Gary from Irvine, CA)
The guys that came up the most during our off-season Top Tools (http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=22959) discussion were Kyle Hendriks, Dylan Bundy, Ty Blach, Justin Nicolino, Rafael Montero, Marucs Stroman, and Noah Syndergaard. (Mark Anderson)
2014-03-21 14:00:00 (link to chat)What do you think about Justin Nicolino. Personally, I like him, but not sold on him yet.
(David from Indiana)
I'm not sold on him either to be an impact player. There's things to like, but the overall package doesn't overwhelm me. (Ronit Shah)
2014-03-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)What do you think about Justin Nicolino?
(David from Indiana)
Saw him in the FSL last year. I always like a good FB/CH congo but Nicolino doesn't have much of a ceiling. He needs to command his fastball better within the strike zone. Throws a ton of strikes but not good ones, and he got away with it in the big parks of the FSL. I thought he might get hit around a little in AA and he did. Nothing he can't fix and he'll be a ML starter, but more towards the back end. (Jeff Moore)
2014-01-06 13:00:00 (link to chat)Has Heaney raised his ceiling after such a great year? What is it now if so?
(Matt from OBX)
Heaney profiles as a solid number two starter and should slot in right between Jose Fernandez and Justin Nicolino in the Marlins 2015 rotation. (Jeff Moore)
2012-07-26 14:00:00 (link to chat)would Toronto giving up one of the Lansing 3, one of Gose/Marsnick and another prospect get a sniff of Johnson from the Marlins?
(Mikeleelop from toronto)
The latest from Miami is that they're asking for a lot for JJ, but some combination of Justin Nicolino, Aaron Sanchez, Noah Syndergaard, and another OF prospect or two would definitely get their interest. The question would be whether Toronto would want to pay such a steep price for Johnson, who's proven to be brittle and inconsistent of late. The package Miami's asking for is being compared to the Mark Teixiera deal, but I think Tex was a much more valuable commodity. If they'd tried to make this trade two seasons ago, they'd get that high price. I'm just not sure if it's worth Toronto to shed so much talent for JJ when they've got a ton of pitching talent just a year or two from the bigs. (Michael Street)


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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

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