Biographical

Portrait of Eduardo Rodriguez

Eduardo Rodriguez P  

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2019 Projections (Rest of Season Projections - seasonal age 26)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
108.3 3.71 1.28 113 8 5 0 1.6
Birth Date4-7-1993
Height6' 2"
Weight220 lbs
Age26 years, 0 months, 17 days
BatsL
ThrowsL
0.62015
-0.52016
1.82017
2.32018
1.62019
proj
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA- WARP
2015 BOS MLB 21 21 121.7 10 6 0 120 37 98 13 113 8.9 2.7 1.0 7.2 45% .290 1.29 3.89 3.85 107 4.68 109.2 0.6
2016 BOS MLB 20 20 107.0 3 7 0 99 40 100 16 110 8.3 3.4 1.3 8.4 33% .278 1.30 4.38 4.71 120 5.81 128.5 -0.5
2017 BOS MLB 25 24 137.3 6 7 0 126 50 150 19 104 8.3 3.3 1.2 9.8 36% .299 1.28 3.95 4.19 99 4.37 93.0 1.8
2018 BOS MLB 27 23 129.7 13 5 0 119 45 146 16 109 8.3 3.1 1.1 10.1 39% .301 1.26 3.68 3.82 94 3.77 84.2 2.3
2019 BOS MLB 4 4 20.0 1 2 0 26 7 21 4 98 11.7 3.2 1.8 9.5 48% .361 1.65 4.83 7.20 0 0.00 0.0 0.0
CareerMLB9792515.733270490179515681088.63.11.29.039%.2951.303.994.241004.4298.44.2

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg LG G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA-
2011 ABE A- NYP 1 1 4.0 0 0 0 6 1 4 1 99 13.5 2.3 2.3 9.0 43% .385 1.75 5.36 6.75 0 0.00 0.0
2011 ORI Rk GCL 11 10 44.7 1 1 1 28 17 46 0 86 5.6 3.4 0.0 9.3 55% .248 1.01 2.62 1.81 0 0.00 0.0
2012 DEL A SAL 22 22 107.0 5 7 0 103 30 73 4 100 8.7 2.5 0.3 6.1 53% .289 1.24 3.68 3.70 0 0.00 0.0
2013 FRD A+ CAR 14 14 85.3 6 4 0 78 25 66 4 107 8.2 2.6 0.4 7.0 48% .292 1.21 3.36 2.85 0 0.00 0.0
2013 BOW AA EAS 11 11 59.7 4 3 0 53 24 59 5 102 8.0 3.6 0.8 8.9 42% .296 1.29 3.73 4.22 0 0.00 0.0
2014 BOW AA EAS 16 16 82.7 3 7 0 90 29 69 5 103 9.8 3.2 0.5 7.5 46% .328 1.44 3.52 4.79 99 3.59 76.0
2014 PME AA EAS 6 6 37.3 3 1 0 30 8 39 1 99 7.2 1.9 0.2 9.4 47% .299 1.02 2.41 0.96 77 2.67 56.4
2015 BOS MLB AL 21 21 121.7 10 6 0 120 37 98 13 113 8.9 2.7 1.0 7.2 45% .290 1.29 3.89 3.85 107 4.68 109.2
2015 PAW AAA INT 8 8 48.3 4 3 0 46 7 44 2 93 8.6 1.3 0.4 8.2 50% .321 1.10 2.30 2.98 81 3.22 66.3
2016 BOS MLB AL 20 20 107.0 3 7 0 99 40 100 16 110 8.3 3.4 1.3 8.4 33% .278 1.30 4.38 4.71 120 5.81 128.5
2016 PAW AAA INT 7 7 38.0 0 4 0 33 7 24 6 94 7.8 1.7 1.4 5.7 43% .233 1.05 4.59 3.08 107 3.52 77.8
2017 BOS MLB AL 25 24 137.3 6 7 0 126 50 150 19 104 8.3 3.3 1.2 9.8 36% .299 1.28 3.95 4.19 99 4.37 93.0
2017 PME AA EAS 1 1 3.0 0 1 0 9 0 3 1 110 27.0 0.0 3.0 9.0 57% .615 3.00 5.56 15.00 98 4.43 93.2
2017 PAW AAA INT 2 2 10.3 0 1 0 10 5 12 0 92 8.7 4.4 0.0 10.5 38% .385 1.45 2.75 4.35 93 3.36 71.4
2018 BOS MLB AL 27 23 129.7 13 5 0 119 45 146 16 109 8.3 3.1 1.1 10.1 39% .301 1.26 3.68 3.82 94 3.77 84.2
2018 PME AA EAS 2 2 8.0 0 0 0 3 4 14 0 107 3.4 4.5 0.0 15.8 69% .231 0.88 1.31 0.00 101 4.53 96.2
2019 BOS MLB AL 4 4 20.0 1 2 0 26 7 21 4 98 11.7 3.2 1.8 9.5 48% .361 1.65 4.83 7.20 0 0.00 0.0

Plate Discipline

YEAR Pits Zone% Swing% Contact% Z-Swing% O-Swing% Z-Contact% O-Contact% SwStr%
2015 2004 0.5010 0.4651 0.8101 0.6464 0.2830 0.8629 0.6890 0.1899
2016 1839 0.4584 0.4916 0.7622 0.6951 0.3193 0.8584 0.5849 0.2378
2017 2464 0.4688 0.4675 0.7344 0.6545 0.3025 0.8069 0.5960 0.2656
2018 2313 0.4553 0.4730 0.7367 0.6676 0.3103 0.8137 0.5985 0.2633
2019 376 0.4654 0.4495 0.6746 0.6057 0.3134 0.7453 0.5556 0.3254
Career89960.47020.47260.75500.66230.30410.82910.61340.2450

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-04-15 2014-05-22 Minors 37 0 - Knee Sprain - -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2019 BOS $4,300,000
2018 BOS $2,375,000
2017 BOS $584,500
2016 BOS $521,000
2015 BOS $
YearsDescriptionSalary
3 yrPrevious$3,480,500
2019Current$4,300,000
4 yrPvs + Cur$7,780,500
4 yrTotal$7,780,500

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
3 y 130 dISE Baseball1 year/$4.3M (2019)

Details
  • 1 year/$4.3M (2019). Re-signed by Boston 1/11/19 (avoided arbitration). Performance bonuses: $25,000 for 100 innings pitched.
  • 1 year/$2.375M (2018). Re-signed by Boston 1/12/18 (avoided arbitration).
  • 1 year (2017). Re-signed by Boston 3/17.
  • 1 year/$0.521M (2016). Re-signed by Boston 3/2/16.
  • 1 year/$0.5075M (2015). Contract selected by Boston 11/20/14. Re-signed by Boston 3/8/15.
  • Acquired by Boston in trade from Baltimore 7/31/14.
  • Signed by Baltimore 2010 as an amateur free agent from Venezuela. $0.175M signing bonus.

2019 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 8.4 4.2 0 19 19 124.9 98 38 131 13 .264 1.09 2.75 3.12 26.9 2.9
80o 8.2 4.5 0 19 19 119.1 99 38 125 13 .275 1.15 3.08 3.48 22.8 2.5
70o 8.1 4.8 0 19 19 115.0 100 38 120 13 .284 1.20 3.31 3.74 19.8 2.2
60o 8 5 0 19 19 111.5 100 38 117 13 .291 1.24 3.51 3.96 17.3 1.9
50o 7.8 5.2 0 19 19 108.3 101 39 113 13 .297 1.28 3.71 4.17 14.9 1.6
40o 7.7 5.4 0 19 19 105.1 101 39 110 14 .304 1.33 3.90 4.38 12.5 1.4
30o 7.6 5.6 0 19 19 101.8 101 39 107 14 .311 1.37 4.11 4.61 9.8 1.1
20o 7.4 5.9 0 19 19 98.0 101 39 103 14 .319 1.43 4.35 4.89 6.6 0.7
10o 7.2 6.3 0 19 19 92.8 101 39 97 14 .331 1.50 4.70 5.27 2.2 0.2
Weighted Mean7.85.201919108.21003811313.2961.283.694.1515.11.6

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2019 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
202027111003131194176662082438.2951.253.844.048.23.19.71.12.8
202128101002929183167621962438.2961.253.964.168.23.19.71.22.5
202229111003030192177662052538.2971.263.964.168.33.19.61.22.6
20233010902828172158591822238.2961.263.994.208.33.19.51.22.3
2024319902626157149561642238.3001.314.184.408.63.29.41.31.8
2025329802525149138521552038.2961.284.094.308.43.19.41.21.9
2026337702020120112421261638.2961.284.144.358.43.29.51.21.5
202734660171710194351061438.2961.284.144.358.43.19.41.21.2
2028355501313797428831138.2961.294.174.388.43.29.51.31.0

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 76)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 88 Matt Garza 2010 4.13
2 88 Tyler Skaggs 2018 4.31
3 86 Kevin Gausman 2017 4.77
4 86 Sean Manaea 2018 3.70
5 85 Justin Masterson 2011 3.71
6 85 Derek Holland 2013 3.80
7 82 Patrick Corbin 2016 6.30
8 82 Dallas Braden 2010 3.88
9 82 Paul Maholm 2008 3.88
10 82 Alex Wood 2017 2.95
11 81 Jameson Taillon 2018 3.25
12 81 Jon Niese 2013 4.28
13 80 Gio Gonzalez 2012 3.12
14 80 Alex Cobb 2014 3.03
15 80 Mike Foltynewicz 2018 3.20
16 80 Johnny Cueto 2012 3.03
17 80 Matt Moore 2015 5.71
18 79 Tommy Hanson 2013 5.67
19 78 Sean Marshall 2009 4.54
20 78 Bill Singer 1970 3.30
21 78 Jose Quintana 2015 3.53
22 78 Ryan Madson 2007 3.05
23 78 Jaime Garcia 2013 4.23
24 78 Manny Parra 2009 6.94
25 78 Jon Gray 2018 5.33
26 77 Brett Cecil 2013 2.97
27 77 Jake Odorizzi 2016 3.84
28 77 Brandon Maurer 2017 6.52
29 77 Ricky Romero 2011 3.40
30 76 Felix Doubront 2014 6.10
31 76 Jordan Zimmermann 2012 3.17
32 76 Jenrry Mejia 2016 0.00 DNP
33 76 Gerrit Cole 2017 4.34
34 76 Robbie Ray 2018 4.00
35 76 Carlos Martinez 2018 3.64
36 76 Brett Anderson 2014 3.74
37 76 Scott Kazmir 2010 6.18
38 76 Jonathan Sanchez 2009 4.52
39 76 Ricky Nolasco 2009 5.40
40 76 Fernando Valenzuela 1987 4.30
41 75 Drew Pomeranz 2015 4.60
42 75 Nathan Eovaldi 2016 4.76
43 75 Mat Latos 2014 3.69
44 75 Noah Lowry 2007 4.38
45 75 Johnny Antonelli 1956 3.39
46 75 Brandon Beachy 2013 5.10
47 75 Marcus Stroman 2017 3.67
48 75 Yordano Ventura 2017 0.00 DNP
49 75 Billy Traber 2006 6.85
50 75 Zach Duke 2009 4.27
51 74 Rick Reuschel 1975 4.42 DNP
52 74 Matt Harrison 2012 3.46
53 74 Erasmo Ramirez 2016 3.87
54 74 Daniel Hudson 2013 0.00 DNP
55 74 David Price 2012 2.69
56 74 Danny Duffy 2015 4.21
57 74 Danny Salazar 2016 4.00
58 74 Homer Bailey 2012 4.20
59 74 Joba Chamberlain 2012 4.79
60 74 Michael Wacha 2018 3.84
61 74 Zack Wheeler 2016 0.00 DNP
62 74 Jesse Hahn 2016 6.22
63 74 Rafael Soriano 2006 2.25
64 73 Clay Buchholz 2011 3.70
65 73 Anthony DeSclafani 2016 3.72
66 73 Madison Bumgarner 2016 3.14
67 73 Steve Busby 1976 5.27
68 73 John Danks 2011 4.70
69 73 Aaron Crow 2013 3.56
70 73 Francisco Liriano 2010 3.62
71 73 Carlos Villanueva 2010 4.61
72 73 Steve Carlton 1971 3.92
73 73 Curt Simmons 1955 5.14
74 73 Edinson Volquez 2010 4.31
75 73 Shelby Miller 2017 4.09
76 73 Vinegar Bend Mizell 1957 4.16
77 73 Jeremy Bonderman 2009 8.71
78 73 Tom Gorzelanny 2009 5.74
79 73 Joe Blanton 2007 4.15
80 73 Daniel Cabrera 2007 5.86
81 72 Felix Hernandez 2012 3.26
82 72 CC Sabathia 2007 3.51
83 72 Brock Stewart 2018 7.64
84 72 Andy Sonnanstine 2009 7.68
85 72 Chad Billingsley 2011 4.69
86 72 Tyler Duffey 2017 5.32
87 72 Frank Sullivan 1956 4.17
88 72 Dana Eveland 2010 7.29
89 72 Alejandro Pena 1985 10.38
90 72 Steven Matz 2017 6.21
91 72 Gene Brabender 1968 3.83
92 72 Burt Hooton 1976 3.69
93 72 Edwin Jackson 2010 4.77
94 72 Randall Delgado 2016 4.80
95 72 Ed Halicki 1977 3.67
96 72 Mike Boddicker 1984 3.27
97 72 Raisel Iglesias 2016 2.53
98 72 Jon Matlack 1976 3.23
99 71 Dwight Gooden 1991 3.79
100 71 Kelly Downs 1987 4.02

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2019  Due to publishing agreements, the 2019 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2019 book (available in hardcopy, and soon e-book and Kindle).
2018 In Rodriguez’s first nine starts, he posted a 2.77 ERA, held batters to a .209/.290/.362 line and looked like a bona fide no. 3 MLB starter. Then, June 1 happened. Rodriguez slipped during warmups and suffered another subluxation of his right knee. He got bombed in his start that night, missed six weeks and was never as effective upon his return. In the 14 appearances E-Rod made after coming off the DL, his ERA was close to 5.00 and his problems with the long ball resurfaced. Rodriguez’s knee is predisposed to this type of injury—it’s his third as a professional—so in October, he tried to do something about it. Rodriguez underwent patellofemoral ligament reconstruction in the hope of stabilizing his pesky joint once and for all. The bad news is the surgery should keep E-Rod out for the early part of 2018, but if it ensures his long-term health, the Red Sox will take the trade-off. Still, it seems cruel that the first good arm Boston has developed in forever would have so many problems with his legs.
2017 Rodriguez’s 2016 is a play that can be told in two acts. A knee injury suffered in spring training prevented him from joining Boston’s rotation until late May. In his first six starts, he was atrocious, posting an 8.59 ERA and allowing a .315/.372/.621 (yes, .621) line against. Rodriguez was still tipping pitches like he was trying to get their number, and he was banished to Rhode Island to iron out the kinks. It worked. The talented lefty resurfaced in mid-July and was a viable mid-rotation starter from there on out, posting a 3.24 ERA and a .210/.284/.329 line against in 14 starts. Assuming Rodriguez stops telegraphing his pitches, he’s well on his way to becoming Boston’s best home-grown(ish) starter since Clay Buchholz. If he keeps letting hitters know what’s coming, well, Pawtucket is nice in the spring.
2016 The Red Sox and Orioles have both had trouble developing quality MLB starting pitchers over the past half-decade, but Rodriguez looks poised to break that trend after a very promising rookie campaign. The Venezuelan southpaw relied heavily on a potent mid-90s fastball and an inconsistent slider/changeup mix to finish slightly better than league average, per cFIP. At his best, such as his May 28th debut against Texas, Rodriguez is a strikeout machine who gets ahead, pounds the zone and limits walks. At his worst, such as his five-out mid-July implosion against the Angels, Rodriguez loses his command, leaves the ball up, tips his pitches and surrenders a ton of hard contact. Still, for a 22-year-old with no experience above Triple-A heading into 2015, E-Rod's (don't blame us: He picked that nickname) debut was nothing short of a success, portending a best-case future as a no. 2 starter. Holding up over 200-plus innings will be Rodriguez's next big test, as the 170 he logged last season were a career high.
2015 Andrew Miller is a phenomenal reliever, but it's incredible to think that the Red Sox talked the Orioles into giving up six years of Rodriguez's services for two-plus months of a set-up man. Rodriguez earned his way onto most top-100 prospect lists before the 2014 season thanks to a solid 2013 performance in High-A and Double-A and a bat-missing plus-fastball/plus-slider combo. There's still debate over whether he's a future no. 3 or just back-of-the-rotation chum, but Rodriguez should be ready to start in the majors fairly soon.
2014 One of the biggest reasons that you can't examine stats alone to project prospects is age/level disparity. Take Rodriguez. No one is going to be knocked over by a 4.22 ERA at Double-A, but the 20-year-old lefty was one of the youngest players at the level. When you factor in his strikeout-per-inning rate and plus command, all of a sudden he is markedly more intriguing. Building on his big season, the Orioles sent Rodriguez to the Arizona Fall League, extending his career-high workload and perhaps hoping to prepare him for a big season between Double- and Triple-A in 2013. With some graduation in the upper tiers of the organization, Rodriguez has a chance to jump another rung up the prospect ladder.
2013 More about control than power, Eduardo Rodriguez projects as a middle- or back-of-the-rotation pitcher with a merely average fastball but a good curve and average changeup.

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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC