2014
0.62015
-0.52016
1.82017
2.32018
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA- WARP
2015 BOS MLB 21 21 121.7 10 6 0 120 37 98 13 .267 113 8.9 2.7 1.0 7.2 45% .290 .250 1.29 3.89 3.85 107 4.68 109.2 0.6
2016 BOS MLB 20 20 107.0 3 7 0 99 40 100 16 .258 110 8.3 3.4 1.3 8.4 33% .278 .251 1.30 4.38 4.71 120 5.81 128.5 -0.5
2017 BOS MLB 25 24 137.3 6 7 0 126 50 150 19 .263 104 8.3 3.3 1.2 9.8 36% .299 .254 1.28 3.95 4.19 99 4.37 93.0 1.8
2018 BOS MLB 27 23 129.7 13 5 0 119 45 146 16 .263 109 8.3 3.1 1.1 10.1 39% .301 .242 1.26 3.68 3.82 94 3.77 84.2 2.3
CareerMLB9388495.73225046417249464.2631098.43.11.29.038%.292.2491.283.964.121044.60102.34.2

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA-
2011 ABE A- 1 1 4.0 0 0 0 6 1 4 1 .263 99 13.5 2.3 2.3 9.0 43% .385 .321 1.75 5.36 6.75 0 0.00 0.0
2011 ORI Rk 11 10 44.7 1 1 1 28 17 46 0 .243 86 5.6 3.4 0.0 9.3 55% .248 .212 1.01 2.62 1.81 0 0.00 0.0
2012 DEL A 22 22 107.0 5 7 0 103 30 73 4 .263 100 8.7 2.5 0.3 6.1 53% .289 .250 1.24 3.68 3.70 0 0.00 0.0
2013 FRD A+ 14 14 85.3 6 4 0 78 25 66 4 .254 107 8.2 2.6 0.4 7.0 48% .292 .232 1.21 3.36 2.85 0 0.00 0.0
2013 BOW AA 11 11 59.7 4 3 0 53 24 59 5 .270 102 8.0 3.6 0.8 8.9 42% .296 .253 1.29 3.73 4.22 0 0.00 0.0
2014 BOW AA 16 16 82.7 3 7 0 90 29 69 5 .262 103 9.8 3.2 0.5 7.5 46% .328 .268 1.44 3.52 4.79 99 3.59 76.0
2014 PME AA 6 6 37.3 3 1 0 30 8 39 1 .253 99 7.2 1.9 0.2 9.4 47% .299 .206 1.02 2.41 0.96 77 2.67 56.4
2015 BOS MLB 21 21 121.7 10 6 0 120 37 98 13 .267 113 8.9 2.7 1.0 7.2 45% .290 .250 1.29 3.89 3.85 107 4.68 109.2
2015 PAW AAA 8 8 48.3 4 3 0 46 7 44 2 .262 93 8.6 1.3 0.4 8.2 50% .321 .257 1.10 2.30 2.98 81 3.22 66.3
2016 BOS MLB 20 20 107.0 3 7 0 99 40 100 16 .258 110 8.3 3.4 1.3 8.4 33% .278 .251 1.30 4.38 4.71 120 5.81 128.5
2016 PAW AAA 7 7 38.0 0 4 0 33 7 24 6 .255 94 7.8 1.7 1.4 5.7 43% .233 .253 1.05 4.59 3.08 107 3.52 77.8
2017 BOS MLB 25 24 137.3 6 7 0 126 50 150 19 .263 104 8.3 3.3 1.2 9.8 36% .299 .254 1.28 3.95 4.19 99 4.37 93.0
2017 PME AA 1 1 3.0 0 1 0 9 0 3 1 .246 110 27.0 0.0 3.0 9.0 57% .615 .429 3.00 5.56 15.00 98 4.43 93.2
2017 PAW AAA 2 2 10.3 0 1 0 10 5 12 0 .236 92 8.7 4.4 0.0 10.5 38% .385 .242 1.45 2.75 4.35 93 3.36 71.4
2018 BOS MLB 27 23 129.7 13 5 0 119 45 146 16 .263 109 8.3 3.1 1.1 10.1 39% .301 .242 1.26 3.68 3.82 94 3.77 84.2
2018 PME AA 2 2 8.0 0 0 0 3 4 14 0 .276 107 3.4 4.5 0.0 15.8 69% .231 .158 0.88 1.31 0.00 101 4.53 96.2

Plate Discipline

YEAR Pits Zone% Swing% Contact% Z-Swing% O-Swing% Z-Contact% O-Contact% SwStr%
2015 2004 0.5010 0.4651 0.8101 0.6464 0.2830 0.8629 0.6890 0.1899
2016 1839 0.4584 0.4916 0.7622 0.6951 0.3193 0.8584 0.5849 0.2378
2017 2464 0.4688 0.4675 0.7344 0.6545 0.3025 0.8069 0.5960 0.2656
2018 2313 0.4553 0.4730 0.7367 0.6676 0.3103 0.8137 0.5985 0.2633
Career86200.47040.47360.75850.66480.30360.83270.61590.2415

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-04-15 2014-05-22 Minors 37 0 - Knee Sprain - -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2018 BOS $2,375,000
2017 BOS $584,500
2016 BOS $521,000
2015 BOS $
YearsDescriptionSalary
2 yrPrevious$1,105,500
2018Current$2,375,000
3 yrPvs + Cur$3,480,500
3 yrTotal$3,480,500

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
2 y 130 dISE Baseball1 year/$2.375M (2018)

Details
  • 1 year/$2.375M (2018). Re-signed by Boston 1/12/18 (avoided arbitration).
  • 1 year (2017). Re-signed by Boston 3/17.
  • 1 year/$0.521M (2016). Re-signed by Boston 3/2/16.
  • 1 year/$0.5075M (2015). Contract selected by Boston 11/20/14. Re-signed by Boston 3/8/15.
  • Acquired by Boston in trade from Baltimore 7/31/14.
  • Signed by Baltimore 2010 as an amateur free agent from Venezuela. $0.175M signing bonus.

2018 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 6.3 3.8 0 15 15 100.7 82 31 104 11 .271 1.11 2.81 3.35 20.1 2.2
80o 6.2 4 0 15 15 95.4 82 31 98 11 .282 1.18 3.13 3.72 16.9 1.8
70o 6 4.2 0 15 15 91.6 82 31 94 11 .290 1.23 3.36 3.98 14.6 1.6
60o 5.9 4.4 0 15 15 88.4 82 31 91 11 .297 1.27 3.56 4.21 12.6 1.4
50o 5.8 4.5 0 15 15 85.5 82 31 88 11 .304 1.31 3.75 4.42 10.7 1.2
40o 5.7 4.7 0 15 15 82.6 81 31 85 11 .310 1.36 3.95 4.64 8.8 1.0
30o 5.6 4.9 0 15 15 79.6 81 30 82 11 .317 1.40 4.15 4.87 6.8 0.7
20o 5.5 5.1 0 15 15 76.1 81 30 78 11 .326 1.46 4.40 5.15 4.3 0.5
10o 5.3 5.4 0 15 15 71.4 80 30 73 11 .337 1.54 4.74 5.54 0.9 0.1
Weighted Mean5.94.50151585.481308811.3031.313.734.410.91.2

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2018 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
201926111003131194181662052540.3021.283.754.108.43.19.51.23.0
20202710902929182168601942340.3001.253.684.028.33.09.61.13.1
2021289902727165155551752240.3031.273.794.148.53.09.51.22.7
20222910902929177168591872440.3041.283.814.178.53.09.51.22.7
20233010902828169160591772240.3031.303.844.208.53.19.41.22.6
2024319902626154148521612040.3041.303.844.208.63.09.41.22.4
2025328802323138132471441840.3041.303.864.228.63.19.41.22.2
2026337702121126121441311740.3031.313.914.278.63.19.31.21.9
2027346601919111107381151540.3051.313.914.288.73.19.41.21.7

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 81)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 92 Tyler Skaggs 2017 4.87
2 89 Jaime Garcia 2012 4.29
3 89 Matt Garza 2009 4.12
4 87 Noah Lowry 2006 5.03
5 87 Daniel Hudson 2012 7.35
6 85 Matt Moore 2014 2.70
7 85 Drew Smyly 2014 3.35
8 85 Martin Perez 2016 4.94
9 85 Derek Holland 2012 5.13
10 84 Josh Johnson 2009 3.32
11 84 Patrick Corbin 2015 3.60
12 84 Jon Gray 2017 3.83
13 83 Jenrry Mejia 2015 0.00
14 83 Drew Pomeranz 2014 2.87
15 83 Yordano Ventura 2016 4.65
16 83 Tom Gorzelanny 2008 6.75
17 83 Dallas Braden 2009 4.15
18 83 Alex Cobb 2013 2.89
19 83 Brandon Maurer 2016 4.78
20 83 Brett Cecil 2012 5.87
21 83 Justin Masterson 2010 5.35
22 83 Marcus Stroman 2016 4.59
23 82 Jameson Taillon 2017 4.65
24 82 Michael Pineda 2014 2.12
25 82 Dana Eveland 2009 7.98
26 82 Sean Marshall 2008 3.99
27 82 Jose Quintana 2014 3.86
28 82 Zack Wheeler 2015 0.00 DNP
29 82 Francisco Liriano 2009 6.12
30 82 Luke Hochevar 2009 6.86
31 81 Brett Anderson 2013 6.45
32 81 Jacob Turner 2016 9.85
33 81 Jesse Litsch 2010 5.79
34 81 Kevin Gausman 2016 3.81
35 81 Homer Bailey 2011 4.64
36 81 Alex Wood 2016 4.48
37 81 Andy Sonnanstine 2008 4.89
38 81 Brandon Beachy 2012 2.67
39 80 Jered Weaver 2008 4.48
40 80 Tommy Hanson 2012 4.90
41 80 Sonny Gray 2015 3.07
42 80 Clay Buchholz 2010 2.85
43 80 J.P. Howell 2008 2.92
44 80 David Price 2011 3.73
45 80 Sean Manaea 2017 4.93
46 80 Trevor Rosenthal 2015 2.10
47 80 Tommy Hunter 2012 5.66
48 80 Jordan Zimmermann 2011 3.46
49 80 Andrew Heaney 2016 6.00
50 80 Shelby Miller 2016 6.42
51 80 Wade Davis 2011 4.70
52 79 Brandon McCarthy 2009 5.09
53 79 Jesse Hahn 2015 4.19
54 79 Zach Duke 2008 5.35
55 79 Madison Bumgarner 2015 2.97
56 79 Matt Harvey 2014 0.00 DNP
57 79 A.J. Griffin 2013 4.05
58 79 Jon Lester 2009 3.54
59 79 Edinson Volquez 2009 4.53
60 79 Gio Gonzalez 2011 3.61
61 79 Tyler Duffey 2016 6.97
62 79 Felipe Rivero 2017 2.27
63 78 Joe Blanton 2006 5.14
64 78 Andrew Miller 2010 9.37
65 78 Nathan Eovaldi 2015 4.08
66 78 Vance Worley 2013 7.95
67 78 Chris Tillman 2013 3.79
68 78 Johnny Cueto 2011 2.94
69 78 Lance Lynn 2012 3.89
70 78 Kris Medlen 2011 0.00
71 78 Chad Billingsley 2010 3.80
72 78 Trevor Bauer 2016 4.55
73 78 Zach Britton 2013 5.18
74 77 Ubaldo Jimenez 2009 3.59
75 77 Gerrit Cole 2016 4.42
76 77 Ryan Madson 2006 6.16
77 77 Travis Wood 2012 4.62
78 77 Max Scherzer 2010 3.86
79 77 Wily Peralta 2014 3.99
80 77 Vin Mazzaro 2012 5.93
81 77 Nick Tropeano 2016 3.56
82 77 Anibal Sanchez 2009 4.08
83 77 Brian Matusz 2012 5.60
84 77 Jordan Lyles 2016 7.06
85 77 Trevor Cahill 2013 4.30
86 77 Jon Niese 2012 3.64
87 77 Kevin Slowey 2009 4.96
88 77 Mat Latos 2013 3.50
89 76 Daniel Cabrera 2006 4.99
90 76 Adam Loewen 2009 0.00 DNP
91 76 Steven Matz 2016 3.60
92 76 Johnny Antonelli 1955 3.56
93 76 Jordan Walden 2013 3.64
94 76 Michael Wacha 2017 4.45
95 76 Rich Harden 2007 2.45
96 76 Marc Rzepczynski 2011 3.92
97 76 Arodys Vizcaino 2016 5.59
98 76 John Danks 2010 3.93
99 76 Phil Hughes 2011 5.79
100 76 Jarrod Parker 2014 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .269 .335 .420 .264
11 vs R (Multi) .240 .303 .403 .247
18 Split (Multi) .029 .032 .017 .017
19 LgAvg (Multi) -.020 -.022 -.064 -.025
30 vs L (2016) .267 .351 .360 .250
31 vs R (2016) .235 .298 .432 .251
38 Split (2016) .033 .052 -.072 -.001
39 LgAvg (2016) -.022 -.023 -.071 -.028

Definition of multi-year splits

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2018 In Rodriguez’s first nine starts, he posted a 2.77 ERA, held batters to a .209/.290/.362 line and looked like a bona fide no. 3 MLB starter. Then, June 1 happened. Rodriguez slipped during warmups and suffered another subluxation of his right knee. He got bombed in his start that night, missed six weeks and was never as effective upon his return. In the 14 appearances E-Rod made after coming off the DL, his ERA was close to 5.00 and his problems with the long ball resurfaced. Rodriguez’s knee is predisposed to this type of injury—it’s his third as a professional—so in October, he tried to do something about it. Rodriguez underwent patellofemoral ligament reconstruction in the hope of stabilizing his pesky joint once and for all. The bad news is the surgery should keep E-Rod out for the early part of 2018, but if it ensures his long-term health, the Red Sox will take the trade-off. Still, it seems cruel that the first good arm Boston has developed in forever would have so many problems with his legs.
2017 Rodriguez’s 2016 is a play that can be told in two acts. A knee injury suffered in spring training prevented him from joining Boston’s rotation until late May. In his first six starts, he was atrocious, posting an 8.59 ERA and allowing a .315/.372/.621 (yes, .621) line against. Rodriguez was still tipping pitches like he was trying to get their number, and he was banished to Rhode Island to iron out the kinks. It worked. The talented lefty resurfaced in mid-July and was a viable mid-rotation starter from there on out, posting a 3.24 ERA and a .210/.284/.329 line against in 14 starts. Assuming Rodriguez stops telegraphing his pitches, he’s well on his way to becoming Boston’s best home-grown(ish) starter since Clay Buchholz. If he keeps letting hitters know what’s coming, well, Pawtucket is nice in the spring.
2016 The Red Sox and Orioles have both had trouble developing quality MLB starting pitchers over the past half-decade, but Rodriguez looks poised to break that trend after a very promising rookie campaign. The Venezuelan southpaw relied heavily on a potent mid-90s fastball and an inconsistent slider/changeup mix to finish slightly better than league average, per cFIP. At his best, such as his May 28th debut against Texas, Rodriguez is a strikeout machine who gets ahead, pounds the zone and limits walks. At his worst, such as his five-out mid-July implosion against the Angels, Rodriguez loses his command, leaves the ball up, tips his pitches and surrenders a ton of hard contact. Still, for a 22-year-old with no experience above Triple-A heading into 2015, E-Rod's (don't blame us: He picked that nickname) debut was nothing short of a success, portending a best-case future as a no. 2 starter. Holding up over 200-plus innings will be Rodriguez's next big test, as the 170 he logged last season were a career high.
2015 Andrew Miller is a phenomenal reliever, but it's incredible to think that the Red Sox talked the Orioles into giving up six years of Rodriguez's services for two-plus months of a set-up man. Rodriguez earned his way onto most top-100 prospect lists before the 2014 season thanks to a solid 2013 performance in High-A and Double-A and a bat-missing plus-fastball/plus-slider combo. There's still debate over whether he's a future no. 3 or just back-of-the-rotation chum, but Rodriguez should be ready to start in the majors fairly soon.
2014 One of the biggest reasons that you can't examine stats alone to project prospects is age/level disparity. Take Rodriguez. No one is going to be knocked over by a 4.22 ERA at Double-A, but the 20-year-old lefty was one of the youngest players at the level. When you factor in his strikeout-per-inning rate and plus command, all of a sudden he is markedly more intriguing. Building on his big season, the Orioles sent Rodriguez to the Arizona Fall League, extending his career-high workload and perhaps hoping to prepare him for a big season between Double- and Triple-A in 2013. With some graduation in the upper tiers of the organization, Rodriguez has a chance to jump another rung up the prospect ladder.
2013 More about control than power, Eduardo Rodriguez projects as a middle- or back-of-the-rotation pitcher with a merely average fastball but a good curve and average changeup.

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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC