WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
2014 TOR MLB 24 0 33.0 2 2 3 14 9 27 1 103 3.8 2.5 0.3 7.4 0% .157 0.70 2.82 1.09 106 4.32 106.0 0.1
2015 TOR MLB 41 11 92.3 7 6 0 74 44 61 9 110 7.2 4.3 0.9 5.9 0% .247 1.28 4.57 3.22 115 5.12 119.6 -0.2
2016 TOR MLB 30 30 192.0 15 2 0 161 63 161 15 110 7.5 3.0 0.7 7.5 55% .267 1.17 3.50 3.00 93 3.77 83.5 3.5
2017 TOR MLB 8 8 36.0 1 3 0 42 20 24 6 104 10.5 5.0 1.5 6.0 48% .310 1.72 5.72 4.25 119 7.30 155.3 -0.7
2018 TOR MLB 20 20 105.0 4 6 0 106 58 86 11 107 9.1 5.0 0.9 7.4 50% .304 1.56 4.77 4.89 111 5.97 133.3 -0.8
2019 HOU 0 3 3 16.3 2 0 0 10 7 15 4 103 5.5 3.9 2.2 8.3 47% .146 1.04 6.02 3.86 118 2.78 49.2 0.5
2019 TOR 0 23 23 112.7 3 14 0 131 59 99 15 102 10.5 4.7 1.2 7.9 48% .341 1.69 5.01 6.07 113 7.40 152.3 -1.9
2019 TOT MLB 26 26 129.0 5 14 0 141 66 114 19 102 9.8 4.6 1.3 8.0 48% .320 1.60 5.14 5.79 114 6.82 139.1 -1.4

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
2010 AUB A- NYP 2 2 6.0 0 1 0 4 5 9 0 106 6.0 7.5 0.0 13.5 0% .267 1.50 2.96 4.50 0 0.00 0.0
2010 BLJ Rk GCL 8 8 19.0 0 2 0 19 12 28 1 99 9.0 5.7 0.5 13.3 0% .419 1.63 3.76 1.42 0 0.00 0.0
2011 VAN A- NOR 3 3 11.7 0 1 0 8 8 13 0 103 6.2 6.2 0.0 10.0 0% .276 1.37 3.68 4.63 92 3.53 72.0
2011 BLU Rk APP 11 6 42.7 3 2 1 45 18 43 4 109 9.5 3.8 0.8 9.1 0% .331 1.48 4.28 5.48 94 3.98 81.3
2012 LNS A MID 25 18 90.3 8 5 0 64 51 97 3 102 6.4 5.1 0.3 9.7 0% .279 1.27 3.55 2.49 94 3.46 72.0
2013 DUN A+ FSL 22 20 86.3 4 5 0 63 40 75 4 100 6.6 4.2 0.4 7.8 0% .250 1.19 3.66 3.34 102 3.54 76.9
2014 TOR MLB AL 24 0 33.0 2 2 3 14 9 27 1 103 3.8 2.5 0.3 7.4 0% .157 0.70 2.82 1.09 106 4.32 106.0
2014 NHP AA EAS 14 14 66.0 3 4 0 52 40 57 2 104 7.1 5.5 0.3 7.8 0% .279 1.39 4.15 3.82 102 4.41 93.4
2014 BUF AAA INT 8 6 34.3 0 3 0 36 17 27 4 100 9.4 4.5 1.0 7.1 0% .317 1.54 4.86 4.19 109 4.99 105.6
2015 TOR MLB AL 41 11 92.3 7 6 0 74 44 61 9 110 7.2 4.3 0.9 5.9 0% .247 1.28 4.57 3.22 115 5.12 119.6
2015 DUN A+ FSL 1 1 2.7 0 0 0 3 2 2 0 115 10.1 6.8 0.0 6.8 0% .375 1.88 3.91 3.38 112 5.30 116.2
2015 BUF AAA INT 3 1 5.0 0 1 0 6 5 4 0 91 10.8 9.0 0.0 7.2 0% .400 2.20 5.15 3.60 113 6.64 145.6
2015 BLJ Rk GCL 1 1 2.0 0 0 0 3 1 1 0 102 13.5 4.5 0.0 4.5 0% .375 2.00 3.80 9.00 108 7.11 155.9
2016 TOR MLB AL 30 30 192.0 15 2 0 161 63 161 15 110 7.5 3.0 0.7 7.5 55% .267 1.17 3.50 3.00 93 3.77 83.5
2017 TOR MLB AL 8 8 36.0 1 3 0 42 20 24 6 104 10.5 5.0 1.5 6.0 48% .310 1.72 5.72 4.25 119 7.30 155.3
2017 DUN A+ FSL 1 1 3.7 0 0 0 6 2 3 0 99 14.7 4.9 0.0 7.4 54% .462 2.18 3.31 7.36 100 6.62 140.8
2017 BUF AAA INT 1 1 4.3 0 1 0 5 3 4 0 90 10.4 6.2 0.0 8.3 55% .455 1.85 3.57 8.31 99 6.19 131.8
2018 TOR MLB AL 20 20 105.0 4 6 0 106 58 86 11 107 9.1 5.0 0.9 7.4 50% .304 1.56 4.77 4.89 111 5.97 133.3
2018 DUN A+ FSL 1 1 3.7 0 0 0 2 4 3 0 105 4.9 9.8 0.0 7.4 56% .222 1.64 5.11 2.45 123 5.39 114.0
2018 NHP AA EAS 1 1 4.3 0 1 0 6 4 4 0 107 12.5 8.3 0.0 8.3 73% .400 2.31 4.93 6.23 120 7.21 152.4
2018 BLJ Rk GCL 1 1 3.0 0 0 0 5 2 4 0 105 15.0 6.0 0.0 12.0 60% .500 2.33 2.98 12.00 97 7.56 159.8
2019 HOU MLB AL 3 3 16.3 2 0 0 10 7 15 4 103 5.5 3.9 2.2 8.3 47% .146 1.04 6.02 3.86 118 2.78 49.2
2019 TOR MLB AL 23 23 112.7 3 14 0 131 59 99 15 102 10.5 4.7 1.2 7.9 48% .341 1.69 5.01 6.07 113 7.40 152.3

Plate Discipline

YEAR Pits Zone% Swing% Contact% Z-Swing% O-Swing% Z-Contact% O-Contact% SwStr%
2014 462 0.5238 0.4199 0.8247 0.5702 0.2545 0.8986 0.6429 0.1753
2015 1425 0.4919 0.4161 0.8078 0.6049 0.2334 0.8868 0.6095 0.1922
2016 2919 0.5050 0.4317 0.7873 0.6106 0.2491 0.8567 0.6139 0.2127
2017 611 0.4812 0.4075 0.8394 0.5952 0.2334 0.8629 0.7838 0.1606
2018 1793 0.4462 0.4239 0.7513 0.6363 0.2528 0.8330 0.5857 0.2487
2019 2253 0.4887 0.4447 0.7804 0.6358 0.2622 0.8571 0.6026 0.2196

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2013-05-20 2013-06-21 Minors 32 0 - Shoulder - -
2012-07-31 2012-08-15 Minors 15 0 - Not Disclosed - -


Year Team Salary
2019 TOR $3,900,000
2018 TOR $2,700,000
2017 TOR $535,000
2016 TOR $517,800
2015 TOR $510,800
2014 TOR $
4 yrPrevious$4,263,600
5 yrPvs + Cur$8,163,600
5 yrTotal$8,163,600


Service TimeAgentContract Status
4 y 69 dBoras Corp.1 year/$3.9M (2019)

  • 1 year/$3.9M (2019). Re-signed by Toronto 1/11/19 (avoided arbitration). Acquired by Houston in trade from Toronto 7/31/19 with $1,258,065 remaining on contract.
  • 1 year/$0.535M (2017). Renewed by Toronto 3/17.
  • 1 year/$0.5178M (2016). Re-signed by Toronto 3/16.
  • 1 year/$0.5108M (2015). Re-signed by Toronto 3/15.
  • 1 year (2014). Contract selected by Toronto 7/22/14.
  • Drafted by Toronto 2010 (1s-37) (Barstow HS, Calif.). $0.775M signing bonus.

2019 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

90o 1.3 0.7 0 3 3 30.4 23 11 26 3 .241 1.11 3.26 3.67 3.1 0.3
80o 1.3 0.8 0 3 3 25.7 20 10 22 2 .253 1.19 3.59 4.05 2.4 0.3
70o 1.3 0.8 0 3 3 22.4 19 9 19 2 .262 1.25 3.84 4.32 1.9 0.2
60o 1.3 0.8 0 3 3 19.6 17 8 17 2 .269 1.29 4.05 4.56 1.5 0.2
50o 1.2 0.9 0 3 3 17.1 15 8 14 2 .276 1.34 4.26 4.79 1.1 0.1
40o 1.2 0.9 0 3 3 14.6 14 7 12 2 .283 1.39 4.46 5.02 0.7 0.1
30o 1.2 0.9 0 3 3 12.0 12 6 10 1 .291 1.44 4.68 5.27 0.2 0.0
20o 1.2 1 0 3 3 9.1 9 5 8 1 .300 1.51 4.95 5.57 -0.3 0.0
10o 1.1 1 0 3 3 5.1 5 3 4 1 .312 1.60 5.32 5.99 -1.1 -0.1
Weighted Mean1.20.903316.6157142.2751.334.234.771.10.1

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BP Annual Player Comments

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BP Articles

Click here to see articles tagged with Aaron Sanchez

BP Chats

2019-04-05 16:00:00 (link to chat)In a mixed roto league. I drafted Darvish late. Now I don't know whether to drop him and pick up Odorizzi or Aaron Sanchez as a FA, or to give it a few more weeks. Can he build on his first three innings from last night's start?
(Greg from California)
If you go by the cold, hard, objective projection systems, they still like Darvish the most. And yeah, maybe he figures it out. I'd hate to just dump him for nothing, because I'm stubbon. Sanchez won't keep this up all year, but he has a small profit margin as a waiver wire pickup. Odorizzi could be intriguing, given he's generating suchs good SwStr% so far and cut down the walks. But again: small sample size in April. I cringe, but I say hold on to Darvish a bit longer and see what happens. Odds are one of those FA starters will still be around in another week or two. (Kevin Jebens)
2019-03-15 16:00:00 (link to chat)If I start with a Sale and Taillon front end 15 team 5 x 5 pitching staff, can I wait until Round 20 plus for the other 5 starters? I would scoop up two closers between the Taillon pick and Round 20. What would be some options? Strahm, Lopez from the Marlins?
(Vic from Baltimore)
Man, neither one of those guys has been the picture of health, so I think that would be awfully risky to wait that long for rotation depth. As far as late round guys you could nab, I like Trevor Cahill, Aaron Sanchez and Yonny Chirinos an awful lot for their ADP. (Mark Barry)
2018-12-11 13:00:00 (link to chat)Do you think Aaron Sanchez turns a corner and returns to the pitcher he was a few years back? Blisters seem to be hindering his development. A possible change of scenery a good thing for him?
(Fighting Moose from Manitoba)
I'm not super high on Sanchez, in part because I think even his 2016 breakout wasn't quite as good as the raw numbers made it seem. With that said, it's tough to evaluate any pitcher when injuries have clearly been a factor. It wouldn't surprise me if several teams were pushing the Blue Jays hard to give him a change-of-scenery chance. (Aaron Gleeman)
2018-06-29 13:00:00 (link to chat)I sold high on Alex Kiriloff and reeled in Aaron Sanchez for my rotation. How exciting should I be for the turnaround?
(Billy from Indiana)
Hate to be a killjoy again, but the Jays track record of developing starters and getting sustained success out of them in the rotation isn't great. Deal seems fair enough though given what Sanchez has flashed in the past. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2018-05-25 12:15:00 (link to chat)Is Aaron Sanchez a reliever eventually?
(Jason from St. Charles)
I'll go with yes, and I don't mean in 8 years, but probably more in the context of say... the next 3. (Craig Goldstein)
2018-04-13 12:00:00 (link to chat)I'm looking to pick up a set-up guy and need to drop a starting pitcher. I've narrowed it to Danny Duffy and Ian Kennedy, both who were picked up off the wire. Suggestions if you please and thank you. Also, Tanner Roark and Aaron Sanchez could be dropped as well.
(Joe Sixpack from Hastings)
I guess you have to wait and see on Kennedy now? He'd normally be my pick, and he still might be actually. I am a low dude on Tanner Roark, so he'd be my other option. Too much upside in Duffy and Sanchez despite rough starts. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2018-04-23 20:00:00 (link to chat)Would you rather own Aaron Sanchez or Jose Quintana in a dynasty league? I've been offered Sanchez & Kela for Quintana and am pretty tempted to do it.
(Warren from Australia)
Man, I'm bummed about Quintana. He lost a tick on his fastball and it seems to have made a difference. I've never been big on Sanchez. Though he's been using his changeup *a lot* this season and it's an average pitch. However results are still meh. I'd hang onto Quintana. (Eddy Almaguer)
2017-03-29 14:00:00 (link to chat)Does Steven Matz have Ace upside? Obviously an injury risk but how good is his stuff?
(Jackson from NY)
I go back and forth on Matz. His numbers have sort of that soft-ace upside of a Danny Duffy or Aaron Sanchez, which is deeply valuable, but I also don't really think he has another gear at this point. In this way he's kind of similar to his teammate in Jacob deGrom, who is incredibly good at pitching, but not a Syndergaard, Kershaw, Scherzer type True Ace.

I guess the bottom line is, he's probably good enough to head up a staff, but if you're talking best 10 pitchers in baseball, I'm skeptical. (Trevor Strunk)
2016-02-23 13:00:00 (link to chat)What do you see out of Henry Owens and Aaron Sanchez this year? Can either be dependable starters?
(Kevin from Orlando)
Sure, either could be. I think Owens has a little bit better chance to be, at least in the short term. Sanchez seems like a slow consolidator to me, maybe that Samardzija career path? Anyway. Like both arms, would keep Sanchez in relief if I were Toronto, at least for now. (Matthew Trueblood)
2015-08-12 13:00:00 (link to chat)Do you think Roberto Osuna is the long term answer to the closer position in Toronto?
(Karl from San Angelo)
I think so, yes. The only reason he might not be is because of Aaron Sanchez, but I think Osuna is the guy. He's really impressive. (Christopher Crawford)
2015-04-16 17:00:00 (link to chat)Who do you have more faith in as a starter, Aaron Sanchez or Carlos Martinez?
(Spanky Lavalliere from home)
Probably Martinez, definitely Martinez this year due to the park, coaching staff, and division. I think Sanchez can hang, but as we have seen with Martinez sometimes the curve to get to relevancy is longer than you would expect. (Mike Gianella)
2015-03-06 14:00:00 (link to chat)Is Aaron Sanchez more a #2 starter with high strikeout totals, a #3 or 4 starter with poor ratios or an elite closer in 2-3 years?
(Daniel from Ohio)

The safe thing is to pick the No. 3 or No. 4, but I'd probably go with the closer. I think he's a victim of his success last year. (Christopher Crawford)
2015-02-25 14:00:00 (link to chat)Toronto closer: Aaron Sanchez? Brett Cecil? You must have seen these guys in the Int, no?
(CyMature from fountain of youth)
Yes. Saw Sanchez at New Hampshire last year. He wasn't around AAA a long time. The guy is one of the biggest arms around the game. Mid 90's with ease. Tons of natural life and run. I was told he has those big Pedro Martinez fingers that create a natural rifling effect as he releases the ball. Even long tossing he would appear to be throwing 15 degree away from the catcher and the ball ran back that much. I think this is a big reason for his command issues. The other big problem is his short striding. I don't like it and it's not helping him repeat better at all. Two Plus or better pitches and the change has a ton of potential. Big, strong, athlete who can throw hard all day. He'd be a waste in the pen in many ways - it wouldn't hide his command deficiencies, for one. If you're having trouble locating that doesn't really improve if you suddenly ONLY pitch high leverage innings. In either case though, he doesn't need to improve his command to get big leaguers out. He can be effectively wild because the stuff is just so good. Our own Mark Anderson used a AJ Burnett comp I liked a lot. Burnett has basically been a thrower and not a pitcher his whole career and yet he's made a hell of a career of that. Sanchez could do the same and has the potential to evolve into a better type of pitcher (READ: NOT saying better career than Burnett neccesarily ). EDIT: Rambled and Forgot Cecil. Cecil was the Closer for Maryland in College and he's more than capable. I also wouldn't sleep on Aaron Loup. He gets out LHs and RHs and is a pretty strong arm. Neither of those guys has a more impressive resume than Casey Janssen when he took over, no? (Al Skorupa)
2015-02-25 14:00:00 (link to chat)Aaron Sanchez or Dellin Betances as a closer? Who has more dominating stuff in that role?
(Drew from Topeke)
Betances. I whiffed on him, too. Never bought him as a starting pitcher, but thought late inning reliever with stuff over command profile. He was still a mess mechanically like... a year and a half ago! Big pitchers are the weirdest like that. Sometimes it's like a light switch with those guys. They figure something out or a coach says something and all of a sudden it clicks and their big, awkward delivery all of a sudden works. Give up on those types at your peril. These two have some of the better raw stuff in the game. (Al Skorupa)
2015-02-04 19:00:00 (link to chat)Other than maybe some different names at the back end, would there be any significant ranking differences between the BP 101 and your personal 101?
(Shawnykid23 from CT)
I can't really speak to that since the BP 101 isn't officially released yet. But, in general, some guys I'm higher on than other lists are: Tyler Glasnow, Reese McGuire, Aaron Judge, Manuel Margot, Brandon Drury, Nomar Mazara, ad Jorge Mateo. Guys I'm a bit lower on: Aaron Sanchez, Nick Williams, Josh Bell, Matt Olson, Hunter Harvey, Tyrone Taylor, Luis Severino, Brandon Nimmo. Hope that helps. (Jordan Gorosh)
2015-03-23 13:00:00 (link to chat)Back end rotation arms of Heaney, Aaron Sanchez, TJ House, & Carlos Martinez - can I expect decent production from at least two of the four?
(Team Theo from Cubdom)
Yes but not necessarily at the same time. I'll take Heaney and Sanchez of the group this year. (Sam Miller)
2015-02-16 11:00:00 (link to chat)It looks like the Blue Jays are going to go with Brett Cecil and Aaron Sanchez as their late inning arms. If it were up to you, who would be the closer and who the setup man?
(Mark from Toronto)
I'm not sure the order matters from where I'm sitting. I guess I'd put Cecil in the ninth so I could cushion Sanchez's eventual arb costs (since he's likely to reach Super Two status).

If I were the team, I'd like to know how they approach the ninth inning mentally. It reminds me of what Kevin Goldstein used to say: if the players believe in the closer's mentality, then it exists; it may not mean much to you or I or Suzy by the seashore, but if they value it, then it is valuable. If Sanchez has that mindset and Cecil doesn't, well, who can blame Toronto for putting the youngster in that spot? (R.J. Anderson)
2015-01-21 15:00:00 (link to chat)What are you thoughts on future roles for Daniel Norris and Aaron Sanchez in Toronto? Two really good starters, or back-of-the-rotatio/bullpen types?
(Frank from Toronto)
I really like Sanchez in the bullpen, and hopefully he continues to lengthen his stride a bit with a touch more momentum. I think that Norris has a future in the rotation, though he needs to hone his delivery during the rotational phases and work on his timing to find consistency. I think that Norris has a limited ceiling, though. (Doug Thorburn)
2015-01-05 15:00:00 (link to chat)How do you think Aaron Sanchez will be used by the Blue Jays this season? does he have a chance to start?
(jumpngeorge from North Carolina)
I think he starts in their pen and could end up being their closer. The stuff is that good, though he'll have to prove he can throw strikes consistently. He did that well as a reliever in his stint last season, but there's nothing in his track record to suggest he'll be able to do that as a starter. If he can, good for him and the Blue Jays, because he'd be a heck of a starting pitcher, but he'd also be an outlier. Very few guys have walked players at his rate in the minors and then turned it around as starters once they've reached the big leagues. (Jeff Moore)
2014-12-11 18:00:00 (link to chat)Hey Mark, thanks for the chat! Now that JA Happ has been traded, who do you think has a better chance of success in the 5th starter role for the Jays this season, Aaron Sanchez or Daniel Norris? Who in the long term?
(Steve from Toronto)
I like Sanchez as the superior prospect, but I think Norris has a better chance for success in the rotation in 2015. Sanchez's game still needs to make some strides, most notably with his control/command and overall consistency, something that will lead to a lot of short outings and overall scatter shot performance, while I think Norris can at least grind out 5-6 innings on a consistent basis, even if he's not completely ready for big league turns every five days. (Mark Anderson)
2014-09-15 19:30:00 (link to chat)Ben, Aaron Sanchez has looked great out of the pen. With Janssen being a free agent after the season, what are the chances of the Jays handing the closer role over to Sanchez?
(Cal Guy from Cal)
I think Sanchez could do the job as soon as next year, yeah, but I'd definitely still be trying him as a starter next year. As good as Stroman and Norris are, you can never have too many effective young starters, and Sanchez can still be a No. 3, even if he's erratic. (Ben Carsley)
2014-09-10 12:00:00 (link to chat)I'm 26 and the girl I thought I was going to marry broke up with me last night. Tell me something about the Blue Jays to make me feel better.
(Kyle from Canada)
Marcus Stroman is one of the best 25U pitchers in baseball. I think he has proven to just about everyone that he is a legitimate starter. Those guys Aaron Sanchez and Daniel Norris are pretty good too. (Tucker Blair)
2014-08-08 13:00:00 (link to chat)Aaron Sanchez has done better than I expected so far. Any chance the Jays leave him in the bullpen for good?
(Frank from Toronto)
There's always that opportunity when a player succeeds there, but I do think they have enough rotation issues going forward that they give him a shot. (Craig Goldstein)
2014-07-25 14:00:00 (link to chat)Aaron Sanchez's MLB debut went pretty well. Since he's had command issues his whole career but has wipe-out stuff, should the Jays consider keeping him in the bullpen long term?
(James from Toronto)
If the command continues to be an issue then the Jays always have that fallback option. I have not been a fan of the mechanical adjustments thus far, with a slowed pace and a short stride that were designed to help him find a repeatable release point, but the results have been quite the opposite. He still has a lot of mechanical wrinkles to iron, and the show is not the place for a young pitcher to refine his delivery. The Jays might have contention needs that supersede his immediate development, but his long-term role is murky. (Doug Thorburn)
2014-07-24 19:00:00 (link to chat)What do you think about Aaron Sanchez's call-up to the pros? I know critics aren't too favourable on Sanchez but he looked good yesterday, albeit in just 2 innings. Also, how good has Stroman looked so far huh!?
(Dan from Toronto)
I thought it was interesting and warranted. It's time to figure out what you have here with Sanchez. I'm much higher on Stroman (like everyone else) and I'm so, so happy this is working out right now. (Mauricio Rubio)
2014-07-24 19:00:00 (link to chat)thoughts on these relievers rest of season: Fields, Tolleson, Boxberger, Aaron Sanchez.
(Frank from brooklyn)
Fields has a better chance to get saves than any of these guys, Tolleson is likely blocked by Feliz for awhile and Knebel is coming. I like Aaron Sanchez more for the future. I think Jake McGee has that stuff locked down in Tampa, poor Boxberger. (Mauricio Rubio)
2014-07-22 15:00:00 (link to chat)Aaron Sanchez is joining the Blue Jays rotation. Does this mean he will get the Carlos Martinez treatment of spot starting?
(Alex from CA)
I really have no idea what Toronto is going to do with Sanchez. He's never thrown over 100 innings or turned a lineup over, so it'd probably be throwing him to the wolves asking him to take the ball every 5th day. (Jordan Gorosh)
2014-07-07 11:00:00 (link to chat)Would you be in favor of putting Aaron Sanchez and Daniel Norris in the Toronto pen after the break? That's being considered according to a tweet from Jim Bowden.
(Kyle from Ontario, Canada)
Sanchez makes more sense than Norris. (Jason Parks on the Top 50)
2014-07-08 13:00:00 (link to chat)With Aaron Sanchez's control issues and possible move to the bullpen, is it safe to say Daniel Norris and Sean Nolin are the best in house starter prospects? When do you project they get their chances, eh?
(Hoser from Bob n Doug's Kitchen)
I'm not prepared to say Sanchez is destined for the bulllpen in any way. Even as much as I question the projection of his control/command, I still think he can succeed in the Major Leagues as a starter. He may end up more of a #3 than a #2 that his raw stuff suggests he should become, but that's still a damn valuable rotation piece. I still consider Sanchez the best starting pitching prospects in the Blue Jays organization and the gap between Sanchez and Norris/Nolin is considerable for me. (Mark Anderson)
2014-07-03 19:00:00 (link to chat)Who has a higher ceiling, Daniel Norris or Aaron Sanchez? Who do you think will be the better player in the end?
(Daniel from Chicago)
I still think Aaron Sanchez has the bigger ceiling. Norris is fun from what I've read, however. (Mauricio Rubio)
2014-07-03 19:00:00 (link to chat)Would you rather have Daniel Norris or Aaron Sanchez? Also, do you think the Cubs could get both for Samardzija? (or just norris for hammel)
(splatstrike from Chicago)
Answered the first part a bit in another question, Sanchez. Trades are hard to evaluate, all I can say is that from the comfort of my keyboard without my job on the line I would give up both for Samardzija were I in the Jays position. (Mauricio Rubio)
2014-06-27 14:00:00 (link to chat)What do you make of Aaron Sanchez? Will he ever have the consistent ability to throw strikes to enable him to be a #2 that his stuff clearly gives him the potential for? As an aside, I have this out of left field theory (from MILB tv) that plainly, some portion of his high walk rate relates to the inability of his minor league catchers to frame his pitches given the run he has on his fastball. I'd love to see the + or - runs his catchers get him when he's pitching
(canada from Canada)
I think that Sanchez has mechanical underpinnings that will make it very difficult for him to find consistency without a major change of approach. He has a very slow delivery from the windup, giving him a lot of time for the gears of rotation to fall off-track, and the strategy also creates a huge timing disparity between windup and stretch. He also has a very short stride, which mitigates his biological advantages and gives hitters a longer look at the baseball due to a shallower release point. Interestingly, these are conscious adjustments that were made in the effort to make him more consistent, slowing him down to keep him balanced, but this strategy opens up Pandora's Box of mechanical miscues.

His minor-league catchers might not be helping the walk rate, but Sanchez is not doing himself any favors.

On the jukebox: Bob Dylan, "Hurricane" (Doug Thorburn)
2014-06-24 13:00:00 (link to chat)How would you rank Aaron Sanchez, Jose Berrios, Lucas Sims, ChiChi Gonzales, & Marco Gonzales as prospects?
(bzalaski from Madison, WI)
Chi Chi, Gonzales, Sanchez, Berrios, Sims. I've been the low man on Sanchez for quite some time. I don't think the command profile ever comes around, and he's never gotten outs past the 5th inning. In fact, he hasn't even thrown 100 innings in a season yet. It's hard to project how someone is going to turn a lineup over when they've never pitched tired. (Jordan Gorosh)
2014-05-29 19:30:00 (link to chat)More likely to be the Blue Jays' number 1 prospect by the end of the year Aaron Sanchez or Dan Norris?
(Chris from Toronto)
Sanchez. Norris is a mid-rotation starter for me. (Ben Carsley)
2014-05-27 11:30:00 (link to chat)Aaron Sanchez's last outing was eh, not so good. Is he ever going to figure out the control and should the Cubs target him in a package for Shark?
(maxpowers from chicago)
The problem for Sanchez is that his FB has so much natural movement that it's difficult for him to control it. I'm a Stroman over Sanchez guy, not to say I don't like Sanchez, but I'm not enamored with the profile. He's hardly ever faced a guy 3X through in a lineup, has never thrown at all when tired or after 100 pitches, and it's hard to learn those things at the MLB level. If I were Toronto, I'd be fine moving him for Shark, and wouldn't look back. (Jordan Gorosh)
2014-05-13 11:00:00 (link to chat)Why can't Aaron Sanchez throw strikes?
(jbirenbaum from Toronto)
Delivery just isn't all that conducive for repeatability and his FB moves a ton, making it even harder to fully command. Here is Chris Mellen's latest report on Sanchez: http://www.baseballprospectus.com/prospects/eyewitness_pit.php?reportid=104 (Jason Parks)
2014-04-16 19:00:00 (link to chat)5x5 12 team roto 40 man roster 400$ cap keep as many as you want, +2-15ish $ per year raise (determined by other teams via arbitration). Grienke 34$ Jj hardy 14$ for Ventura 4$ crick 3$ and Aaron Sanchez 3$. Which side wins? Trying to win this season.
(Bubbles from Sunnyvale)
If you're trying to win this season you need to stick with Greinke and Hardy, but god does Ventura at $4 look good. Still, FFF. (Ben Carsley)
2014-04-09 19:00:00 (link to chat)What is Aaron Sanchez's ceiling and what's his chances of making a real impact with the Blue Jays this year?
(Dan from Toronto)
His ceiling is the foundation of an irresponsible monument made out of dreams, raw stuff and suspect command.

His ceiling is high as hell, it's just going to be very difficult to get there. I don't know if he makes a real impact with the Jays this year. (Mauricio Rubio)
2014-04-08 14:00:00 (link to chat)Can you give us some player comps (floor/ceiling) for these guys? Aaron Sanchez, Robert Stephenson, Kevin gausman and Kyle zimmer?
(Tinstaapp from Maine)
I am not a proponent of throwing player comps because it can give a false impression of the pitcher's profile. There are so many variables at play, from mechanics to size and stuff, and these guys are all unique snowflakes in my mind's eye. For example, it is rare to find a pitcher with Zimmer's impressive momentum or Gausman's sharp angles (at the joints) during the delivery, and yet they are not defined by those aspects. They might have certain similarities to past players, but these are typically outnumbered by the differences. (Doug Thorburn)
2014-04-01 13:00:00 (link to chat)hey Jason i love this years prospect book as always awesome man keep up the good work and my question whats your thoughts about Aaron Sanchez in spring command better? you think he can help the jays this year?
(Wesley from Toronto)
THanks. My phone exploded all spring with scouting notes on Sanchez in camp. He not only looked the part but he pitched the part, and several scouts thought he was ready to pitch at the major league level right out of the gate. That's incredibly high praise. It won't take long before he forces the issue and arrives at the ML level. Incredibly easy release of the ball. It's like he's playing catch in the backyard except he's throwing 96 with late-life. (Jason Parks)
2014-04-01 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hey Jason,how many of these guys will be up by June 1st...Lindor,Jon Gray,Eddie Butler,A.Bradley,Aaron Sanchez and Springer....Thanks!!!!
(John from Boston)
Butler, Bradley, Springer--with Sanchez being a maybe. (Jason Parks)
2014-04-03 19:30:00 (link to chat)Crag, are you at all worried about Clayton Kershaw? I'm asking because I have a trade offer on the table I'm considering right now. The offer is Kershaw for Mark Appell, Addison Russell, Aaron Sanchez and Noah Syndergaard (I would be the one getting Kershaw). The league I'm playing in is a keeper league with 16 teams, H2H, points-based scoring. I would be able to keep Kershaw for the next four years (2015-2018). Would you pull the trigger on this one?
(Armin from Vienna, Austria)
I talked about my concern with Kershaw before but this is a hell of an offer. I think I'd take Kershaw. As much as I love the prospects, there's a wide variation of how they all pan out. I know it can be scary to give up all that potential, but not having to give up a major league for Clayton F***ing Kershaw is insane. Gotta do it. (Craig Goldstein)
2014-03-14 09:00:00 (link to chat)Hey Mike, would you deal Aaron Sanchez and Jackie Bradley for Trumbo, Jim Johnson and Fernando Rodney??? Thanks
(John from Boston)
Can you keep forever or do you have limits? In a keep forever that seems like a lot of ceiling (particularly with Sanchez) to give up for two uninspiring closers and Trumbo, but in a league with shorter term keeps that might be worth the gamble. My instincts tell me to pass, but if you can easily replace guys like Sanchez/Bradley in a farm draft, it might be worth it. (Mike Gianella)
2014-03-14 09:00:00 (link to chat)Drew Hutchison has the inside track for the rotation in Toronto , Is he Meh or is there any upside left ? Cheers Mike.
(boatman44 from Liverpool)
He's meh for me, and with Aaron Sanchez and Marcus Stroman beating down the door, he's more of a capable AL-only fill in than a guy I'd gamble on in a deeper mixed. (Mike Gianella)
2014-03-03 13:00:00 (link to chat)What young pitcher had the best mechanics you saw? What would you rate it as?
(Gila Monster from Massachusetts)
Aaron Sanchez's release is one of the best I've seen, but I wouldn't say his mechanics (as a whole) are the best. My go-to answer is usually a young Neftali Feliz. He was upper-90s with no effort. It just exploded like he was playing catch. It was scary. It actually scared me because it was so easy. (Jason Parks on the Completed Prospect Rankings)
2014-01-29 19:00:00 (link to chat)Who are some players you see making the jump that could be top 25 or even top 10 next season?
(James from Kansas)
Giolito, Dahl, Urias, Fried, Nick Williams, Aaron Sanchez, Alfaro (Ben Carsley)
2014-01-17 10:00:00 (link to chat)If you pick one between Alex Meyer and Aaron Sanchez, who is your pick?
(gotwins0912 from Taichung city)
Meyer. Higher floor; comparable ceiling in a rotation. Sanchez has big upside, but I've never been all the way in with him. Something about the approach really bothers me. (Jason Parks)
2014-01-06 13:00:00 (link to chat)What's you opinion on Aaron Sanchez? Keith Law seemed to love him but then noticed some changes to his mechanics he didn't like. Jason doesn't even see him as the best pitching prospect in the Jay's org.
(Kenny Bania from Mendy's)
He's not. I like Stroman better. I freaking love Stroman. Sanchez has the whole package, but there are questions about his control (even bigger questions than with Zach Wheeler - you're welcome Mets fans). (Jeff Moore)
2014-01-06 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hi Jeff - A lot of pitching prospects have been throw around in this chat. Curious where Kyle Zimmer ranks; thinking in terms of tiers, who is his peer set - the guys you would cluster around him? What is his ceiling like down the road?
(aaronayoung from Washington, DC)
He's in the Jameson Taillon, Andrew Heaney, Aaron Sanchez, Alex Meyer class. It's a good spot to be in. (Jeff Moore)
2014-01-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)What do you think of Aaron Sanchez? Potential #2?
(Peter from Des Moines)
I think the raw ceiling suggests more, but in the end I think that is a realistic ceiling for Sanchez. He may still not get to that level and he wouldn't be a huge disappointment if that happened. (Mark Anderson)
2013-12-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)Jason, could you rank these pitchers by upside? Aaron Sanchez, Tyler Glasnow, and Julio Urias. Thanks.
(cracker73 from Florida)
Sanchez, Urias, Glasnow (Jason Parks)
2013-11-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)After watching Noah Syndergaard blossom into one of the best pitching prospects in baseball, could the Blue Jays actually be stupid enough to consider sending Aaron Sanchez or Marcus Stroman to Chicago for two years of Jeff Sarmfhugjhkhjiza?
(Kyle from Ottawa, ON)
I hope that doesn't happen. It seems a bit reckless to me. For what its worth, I would take Stroman over Sanchez. (Jason Parks)
2013-11-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)How many industrial sized bottles of lotion will you need when you do the Cubs' system rankings if they trade Samardzija for a package of, say, Aaron Sanchez, Marcus Stroman and DJ Davis? Would a deal like that move their system ahead of the Twins? What do you think about Sanchez and Stroman?
(TulaneCubs from Chicago)
That's not a realistic package for David Price, much less for Shark. (Jason Parks)
2013-11-26 13:00:00 (link to chat)At jury duty wondering if I should pull a Cusack (#RunawayJury). Which prospects have you seen whose mechanics were exceptional given their age/stuff/advancement?
(AJ from Phoenix)
I can't say "exceptional" but I can say what I like (I'm an analyst, not a scout) and there are plenty of guys I simply haven't seen yet. That said, Julio Urias pops to mind, no one that young should be in the MWL let alone pitch as well as he did. Taijuan Walker has that amazingly easy power. So does Aaron Sanchez, nice and balanced. Marcus Stroman has amazing arm speed and athleticism in his delivery. (Harry Pavlidis)
2013-11-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)Per the mid-season Top 50, the top 10 Starting Pitching propects in baseball (that are still prospect eligible) were: Archie Bradley, Kevin Gausman, Taijuan Walker, Jameson Taillon, Dylan Bundy, Mark Appel, Robert Stephenson, Carlos Martinez, Noah Syndergaard, and Aaron Sanchez. What would an updated list look like? I assume Jonathan Gray would be somewhere in the middle of the pack, no?
(Jonah from Redwood)
I think there are some slight differences that you'd see here. Globally speaking, I think everyone recognizes that Noah Syndergaard has vaulted himself higher up a list of this nature. Speaking personally, I have always been on the lower end with my Dylan Bundy projections and I would push him down the list some. Gray would be in the mix toward the back of this pack for me, and that's not a slight against him, I just don't believe he is quite on par with some of the other names in this group. (Mark Anderson)
2013-11-22 14:00:00 (link to chat)Doug - All year we have heard negative reports on the mechanics of Aaron Sanchez? Yet the results have been pretty good, culminating in a great run in the AFL. What have you heard on his form? Also, is there anything besides height that has you thinking that Marcus Stroman should be in the pen? Thank you.
(R.A.Wagman from Toronto)
Sanchez has reportedly straightened his posture and shortened his stride, and though I had not seen much of him prior to the AFL, footage from the Fall Stars game confirms the posture and stride. The improved posture is great (so is his balance), and the slow pace allows him to repeat the delivery, but I really don't like the muted stride. He can survive on the minors on raw stuff, but advanced batters will likely punish him with a shortened release distance. Once again, the Tyson Ross paradigm rears its ugly head - never thought I would use that name so many times in the same chat!

On the jukebox: Beatles, "A Hard Day's Night" (Doug Thorburn)
2013-08-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who is your favorite starting pitcher prospect out of the group? (Most likely to stick at SP taken into account) Mike Foltynewicz, Tyler Glasnow, Eddie Butler, Aaron Sanchez, and Lucas Giolito?
(Fish72292 from New Hampshire)
That's a tough list, especially since we're comparing upper-level pitchers (Folty and Butler) with complex-league pitchers (Giolito). I like all of those guys. I'd probably go Butler though, because we're talking ceiling + probability of big leagues with the Double-A guy. Highest ceiling of the group? Probably Giolito. Which makes it a tough one to answer. (Jason Cole)
2013-07-29 11:00:00 (link to chat)What happened with Sanchez the other night, lack of aggressiveness showing, or command issues clearly not solved?
(Steve from Ewan's drunk mind)
I've spoken strongly about Aaron Sanchez. I believe he has top notch stuff, but is unable to command it at that level. If he can develop better command of the stuff it will be very positive going forward, but something tells me he never will hit projected ceiling. (Zach Mortimer)
2013-05-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)Aaron Sanchez or Archie Bradley
(Paul from Oakland)
Love both. Great question. I guess I'll go Bradley, but I don't think you can go wrong either way there. Saw Bradley in person in camp, and I'm yet to see Sanchez so I might be a little biased. One scout told me this on Sanchez: "If you were to draw up what the perfect projectable right-hander looks like, you'd basically draw up Sanchez." (Jason Cole)
2013-04-16 20:00:00 (link to chat)took over a clunker in a dynasty league and decent SP is non-existant on the wire. was able to trade for and pick up some SP prospects (archer, gausman, taillon and cingrani). any other young guys i should target? just missed out on wheeler. my trade chips are ellsbury, morse and papelbon.
(phin from Milwaukee)
Target the next wave of potential studs. Max Fried, Aaron Sanchez, Archie Bradley and Taylor Guerrieri are all potential top-25 prospects next year. (Bret Sayre)
2013-04-04 11:00:00 (link to chat)Care to find the nearest crystal ball in your apt. and provide an early look at the top 10 next year?
(bmmolter from Mass.)
I can:
1. Addison Russell
2. Javier Baez
3. Taijuan Walker
4. Archie Bradley
5. Aaron Sanchez
6. Byron Buxton
7. Jameson Taillon
8. Robert Stephenson
9. Francisco Lindor
10. Austin Hedges (Jason Parks)
2013-04-04 11:00:00 (link to chat)Can you name the pitchers with a real chance at being a 1P, and who are outside of the BP top 20 at the current moment?
(Brian from Boston)
Aaron Sanchez, Archie Bradley, Lucas Giolito (Jason Parks)
2013-02-25 11:00:00 (link to chat)How do you feel about Aaron Sanchez' chances of refining his control/command enough to reach his ceiling of a #2? Is he a #3 with even average control because of the stuff? Thanks Prof
(Charlie from PA)
I think he can play loose, but he will obviously need to refine his command to find sustainable success. He's a lengthy kid, but the delivery is pretty easy and the release is abnormally easy. Great stuff. If he can harness it, he's very legit. (Jason Parks on the Top 101 Prospects)
2013-02-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)KLaw ranked Aaron Sanchez pretty high on his top 100. Agree with the high praise reserved for Sanchez?
(LowDraw67 from Moncton)
Sure. He's a really high-end pitching prospect. At present, I prefer Syndergaard, but its hard to argue with Sanchez receiving high praise. It's a very easy release and potential for two 7 pitches. (Jason Parks)
2013-02-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)More likely to improve, Aaron Sanchez' command or Noah Syndergaard's secondary stuff?
(Steve from Canada)
I like Syndergaard's secondary profile more than Sanchez's command profile. (Jason Parks)
2013-01-31 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hey Mr.Levine,can you put thes guys in order??Jose Fernandez...Salvador Perez...Albert Almora..Jorge Solar...Kyle Zimmer...Noah Syndergaaud...Allen Webster...Alen Hanson...Gregory Palanco..Aaron Sanchez...Andrew Heaney...Kevin Gausman..Addison Russell....Kyle Crick...Sean Manaea...Clint Frazier...Ryne Stanek... Thanks John
(John from Boston)
I sort of feel like this is a riddle to see if I can figure out what this list even is. What is this list? I'll go with Salvador (Sal(vy)) Perez and then the rest just for the present. (Zachary Levine)
2013-01-29 14:00:00 (link to chat)Hey Dan,can you put these guys in order.....Jose Fernandez,Albert Almora,Solar,Zimmer,Syndergaard,Hedges,Andrew Heaney,Salvador Perez,Allen Webster,Aaron Sanchez and Dan Straily....thanks
(John from Boston)
Hey, John.

Sheesh, that's a lot of names. From a fantasy standpoint, and based on what I've read, I'd probably want to own Fernandez and Sanchez. I'm probably not qualified to put the others in order, so I'd suggest asking a member of our prospect team. (Daniel Rathman)
2013-01-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hey R.J.,can you put these guys in order,Jose Fernandez,Almora,Solar,Zimmer,Syndergaurd,Hedges,Allen Webster,Aaron Sanchez,Alen Hanson,Sean Manrea,Clint Frazier and Kevin Gausman...thanks for all the hard work!!!
(John from Boston)
John, I don't think I know enough about these players to give you a useful answer. I will say that I like Webster and Hanson quite a bit. (R.J. Anderson)
2012-11-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Assuming it was their choice, did the Marlins pick the right young Blue Jays pitcher?
(edwardarthur from Illinois)
It was not their choice, IMO, because Aaron Sanchez is their best young SP. Nicolino was probably 2nd or third. The Jays are loaded. LOADED. STILL. (Jason A. Churchill)
2012-10-23 13:00:00 (link to chat)How much has Daniel Norris' stock fallen over the past year? With the plus stuff still kicking around and the delivery issues, the similarities to Aaron Sanchez in some regards seem high.
(Steve from Winnipeg)
He's young. His stock is going to ebb and flow as he goes thru the developmental process. (Jason Parks)
2012-09-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)By the way, the Garza to Verlander thing for Aaron Sanchez came from Mike Newman of Fangraphs/Scouting the Sal. Said that was the range of comps he'd received from 4-5 scouting contacts.
(Klochner from MN)
That's great. I think the Verlander ceiling is bullshit. He has a high ceiling. It's not that high. Let's be realistic. (Jason Parks)
2012-10-08 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hey, thanks for the chat. So how did Taylor Guerrieri look when you saw him in September? Do you want him or Aaron Sanchez in a lifetime keeper league?
(Rob from Alaska)
I like both quite a bit, but Sanchez has the higher upside. Guerrieri profiles as more of a mid-rotation guy, whereas Sanchez could develop into a strong two or better. (Bradley Ankrom)
2012-10-08 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hey, thanks for the chat. So how did Taylor Guerrieri look when you saw him in September? Do you want him or Aaron Sanchez in a lifetime keeper league?
(Rob from Alaska)
I like both quite a bit, but Sanchez has the higher upside. Guerrieri profiles as more of a mid-rotation guy, whereas Sanchez could develop into a strong two or better. (Bradley Ankrom)
2012-09-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)Aaron Sanchez or Taylor Guerreri?
(Rob from Alaska)
Can I let you know after I see Taylor Guerrieri tonight? (Bradley Ankrom)
2012-07-26 14:00:00 (link to chat)would Toronto giving up one of the Lansing 3, one of Gose/Marsnick and another prospect get a sniff of Johnson from the Marlins?
(Mikeleelop from toronto)
The latest from Miami is that they're asking for a lot for JJ, but some combination of Justin Nicolino, Aaron Sanchez, Noah Syndergaard, and another OF prospect or two would definitely get their interest. The question would be whether Toronto would want to pay such a steep price for Johnson, who's proven to be brittle and inconsistent of late. The package Miami's asking for is being compared to the Mark Teixiera deal, but I think Tex was a much more valuable commodity. If they'd tried to make this trade two seasons ago, they'd get that high price. I'm just not sure if it's worth Toronto to shed so much talent for JJ when they've got a ton of pitching talent just a year or two from the bigs. (Michael Street)

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