Biographical

Portrait of Heath Hembree

Heath Hembree PRed Sox

Red Sox Player Cards | Red Sox Team Audit | Red Sox Depth Chart

2019 Projections (Rest of Season Projections - seasonal age 30)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
3.3 3.63 1.32 4 0 0 0 0.0
Birth Date1-13-1989
Height6' 4"
Weight210 lbs
Age30 years, 7 months, 11 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
-0.52015
0.02016
1.22017
0.72018
0.02019
proj
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA- WARP
2013 SFN MLB 9 0 7.7 0 0 0 4 2 12 0 97 4.7 2.3 0.0 14.1 0% .267 0.78 0.67 0.00 60 2.20 52.7 0.2
2014 BOS MLB 6 0 10.0 0 0 0 11 5 6 1 98 9.9 4.5 0.9 5.4 0% .323 1.60 4.76 4.50 116 5.15 126.3 -0.1
2015 BOS MLB 22 0 25.3 2 0 0 25 9 15 5 115 8.9 3.2 1.8 5.3 0% .260 1.34 5.55 3.55 127 6.36 148.6 -0.5
2016 BOS MLB 38 0 51.0 4 1 0 51 17 47 6 118 9.0 3.0 1.1 8.3 38% .294 1.33 3.79 2.65 106 4.92 108.9 0.0
2017 BOS MLB 62 0 62.0 2 3 0 72 18 70 10 10.5 2.6 1.5 10.2 42% .360 1.45 3.90 3.63 82 3.39 72.1 1.2
2018 BOS MLB 67 0 60.0 4 1 0 53 27 76 10 107 8.0 4.1 1.5 11.4 40% .295 1.33 4.22 4.20 96 3.87 86.5 0.7
2019 BOS MLB 43 0 37.7 1 0 2 34 18 45 7 107 8.1 4.3 1.7 10.8 23% .287 1.38 4.90 4.06 118 7.09 145.0 -0.7
CareerMLB2470253.713522509627139838.93.41.49.637%.3131.364.203.551014.69102.90.9

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg LG G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA-
2010 GIA Rk AZL 12 0 11.0 0 0 3 9 0 22 0 7.4 0.0 0.0 18.0 0% .474 0.82 0.25 0.82 0 0.00 0.0
2011 SJO A+ CAL 26 0 24.7 0 0 21 16 12 44 1 5.8 4.4 0.4 16.1 0% .349 1.14 2.48 0.73 58 1.75 35.7
2011 RIC AA EAS 28 0 28.7 1 1 17 20 13 34 1 6.3 4.1 0.3 10.7 0% .271 1.15 2.84 2.83 86 3.15 64.2
2012 SJO A+ CAL 5 0 5.0 0 0 0 0 1 7 0 0.0 1.8 0.0 12.6 0% .000 0.20 1.60 0.00 73 1.60 33.3
2012 FRE AAA PCL 39 0 38.0 1 1 15 29 20 36 2 6.9 4.7 0.5 8.5 0% .257 1.29 4.34 4.74 99 3.23 67.2
2012 SCO Wnt AFL 9 0 9.0 0 0 2 8 3 12 1 8.0 3.0 1.0 12.0 0% .318 1.22 3.70 3.00 0 0.00 0.0
2013 SFN MLB NL 9 0 7.7 0 0 0 4 2 12 0 97 4.7 2.3 0.0 14.1 0% .267 0.78 0.67 0.00 60 2.20 52.7
2013 FRE AAA PCL 54 0 55.3 1 4 31 54 16 63 7 8.8 2.6 1.1 10.2 0% .315 1.27 3.85 4.07 86 3.73 81.0
2014 BOS MLB AL 6 0 10.0 0 0 0 11 5 6 1 98 9.9 4.5 0.9 5.4 0% .323 1.60 4.76 4.50 116 5.15 126.3
2014 FRE AAA PCL 41 0 39.3 1 3 18 40 13 46 5 9.2 3.0 1.1 10.5 0% .337 1.35 4.15 3.89 91 3.90 82.5
2014 PAW AAA INT 7 0 6.7 0 1 2 5 5 9 0 6.8 6.8 0.0 12.2 0% .294 1.50 2.89 2.70 96 4.78 101.3
2015 BOS MLB AL 22 0 25.3 2 0 0 25 9 15 5 115 8.9 3.2 1.8 5.3 0% .260 1.34 5.55 3.55 127 6.36 148.6
2015 PAW AAA INT 29 0 31.7 0 5 8 23 10 32 1 6.5 2.8 0.3 9.1 0% .265 1.04 2.67 2.27 82 2.86 62.6
2015 RSX Rk GCL 1 1 1.0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 114 18.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0% .400 2.00 3.30 0.00 105 7.21 158.0
2016 BOS MLB AL 38 0 51.0 4 1 0 51 17 47 6 118 9.0 3.0 1.1 8.3 38% .294 1.33 3.79 2.65 106 4.92 108.9
2016 PAW AAA INT 13 0 13.3 0 0 8 6 3 22 0 4.1 2.0 0.0 14.9 38% .250 0.68 0.54 0.68 49 2.28 50.3
2017 BOS MLB AL 62 0 62.0 2 3 0 72 18 70 10 10.5 2.6 1.5 10.2 42% .360 1.45 3.90 3.63 82 3.39 72.1
2018 BOS MLB AL 67 0 60.0 4 1 0 53 27 76 10 107 8.0 4.1 1.5 11.4 40% .295 1.33 4.22 4.20 96 3.87 86.5
2019 BOS MLB AL 43 0 37.7 1 0 2 34 18 45 7 107 8.1 4.3 1.7 10.8 23% .287 1.38 4.90 4.06 118 7.09 145.0
2019 PAW AAA INT 1 0 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 18.0 100% .000 0.00 -0.38 0.00 66 1.75 35.8

Plate Discipline

YEAR Pits Zone% Swing% Contact% Z-Swing% O-Swing% Z-Contact% O-Contact% SwStr%
2013 134 0.4925 0.5000 0.6567 0.6667 0.3382 0.6364 0.6957 0.3433
2014 167 0.5150 0.5090 0.7647 0.6977 0.3086 0.8000 0.6800 0.2353
2015 387 0.5323 0.5116 0.7879 0.7573 0.2320 0.8462 0.5714 0.2121
2016 856 0.5350 0.4848 0.7855 0.6616 0.2814 0.8515 0.6071 0.2145
2017 1097 0.4631 0.4995 0.6953 0.6772 0.3463 0.7820 0.5490 0.3047
2018 1103 0.4796 0.4905 0.6839 0.6975 0.2997 0.7859 0.4651 0.3161
2019 680 0.4912 0.4897 0.7177 0.7126 0.2746 0.7563 0.6211 0.2823
Career44240.49430.49430.72290.69210.29940.79440.56180.2771

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2012-07-05 2012-08-07 Minors 33 29 Right Elbow Strain Flexor Pronator Mass - -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2019 BOS $1,312,500
2018 BOS $581,500
2017 BOS $547,000
2016 BOS $
2015 BOS $
2014 SFN $
2013 SFN $
YearsDescriptionSalary
2 yrPrevious$1,128,500
2019Current$1,312,500
3 yrPvs + Cur$2,441,000
3 yrTotal$2,441,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
3 y 106 dBallengee Group1 year/$1.3125M (2019)

Details
  • 1 year/$1.3125M (2019). Re-signed by Boston 12/21/18 (avoided arbitration).
  • 1 year/$0.5815M (2018). Re-signed by Boston 3/18.
  • 1 year (2017). Re-signed by Boston 3/17.
  • 1 year (2016). Re-signed by Boston 3/2/16.
  • 1 year/$0.5095M (2015). Re-signed by Boston 3/8/15.
  • 1 year (2014). Re-signed by San Francisco 3/4/14. Acquired by Boston in trade from San Francisco 7/26/14 (Peavy deal).
  • 1 year (2013). Contract selected by San Francisco 9/3/13.
  • Drafted by San Francisco 2010 (5-168) (College of Charleston). $0.185M signing bonus.

2019 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 0.2 0.2 0 3 0 17.9 13 6 20 2 .260 1.06 2.58 2.93 0.8 0.1
80o 0.2 0.2 0 3 0 12.8 10 4 14 1 .275 1.15 2.94 3.32 0.6 0.1
70o 0.2 0.2 0 3 0 9.2 8 3 10 1 .286 1.21 3.20 3.61 0.5 0.1
60o 0.2 0.2 0 3 0 6.2 5 2 7 1 .295 1.27 3.43 3.87 0.4 0.0
50o 0.2 0.2 0 3 0 3.5 3 1 4 0 .303 1.32 3.64 4.11 0.3 0.0
40o 0.2 0.2 0 3 0 0.9 1 0 1 0 .312 1.37 3.85 4.35 0.2 0.0
Weighted Mean0.20.20302.72130.3011.313.614.070.30.0

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2019 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20203121244047451951640.3031.364.164.388.63.69.81.10.4
20213231251054492359740.3011.344.114.328.23.99.91.20.5
20223321248051462254640.2971.344.154.378.23.99.61.10.4
20233421247050462154740.3011.354.174.398.33.89.81.30.4
20243521246048452052640.2991.344.194.418.43.79.71.10.4
20253621240043401846640.3021.354.274.498.43.89.61.30.3
20263721240042391845640.2991.364.214.438.43.99.61.30.3
20273821138041381743540.3011.354.214.438.43.89.51.10.3
20283921136038361640540.3011.374.244.468.53.89.51.20.3

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 76)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 88 Fernando Abad 2016 3.86
2 85 David Carpenter 2016 0.00 DNP
3 85 Junichi Tazawa 2016 3.99
4 84 Scott Stewart 2006 0.00 DNP
5 83 J.J. Hoover 2018 20.25
6 83 Neftali Feliz 2018 0.00 DNP
7 82 Mike Dunn 2015 4.50
8 82 Joba Chamberlain 2016 3.15
9 81 Santiago Casilla 2011 1.92
10 80 Neal Cotts 2010 0.00 DNP
11 80 Justin Miller 2008 5.01
12 80 Evan Scribner 2016 0.00
13 80 Danny Farquhar 2017 4.20
14 79 Vinnie Pestano 2015 6.94
15 78 Fernando Salas 2015 4.81
16 78 Jose Veras 2011 4.18
17 78 Pedro Baez 2018 3.04
18 78 Jorge Julio 2009 8.83
19 78 Ken Dayley 1989 3.11
20 78 Scott Proctor 2007 4.27
21 78 Todd Coffey 2011 3.77
22 78 Dave Veres 1997 4.06
23 78 Mike Stanton 1983 3.60
24 78 Scott Dohmann 2008 6.14
25 78 Paul Assenmacher 1991 3.68
26 77 Daniel Hudson 2017 4.96
27 77 Jay Howell 1986 3.88
28 77 Jesse Chavez 2014 3.95
29 77 Tyler Yates 2008 4.79
30 77 Arquimedes Caminero 2017 0.00 DNP
31 77 Shawn Kelley 2014 4.53
32 77 Juan Oviedo 2012 0.00 DNP
33 77 Rudy Seanez 1999 3.52
34 76 Jon Rauch 2009 3.86
35 76 Juan Gutierrez 2014 4.24
36 76 Pat Neshek 2011 4.38
37 76 John Henry Johnson 1987 10.25
38 76 Joel Hanrahan 2012 2.72
39 76 Chad Harville 2007 0.00 DNP
40 76 Steve Hamilton 1965 1.85
41 76 Jerry Blevins 2014 4.87
42 75 Jason Motte 2012 2.88
43 75 Chris Resop 2013 7.00
44 75 Brad Brach 2016 2.62
45 75 Brad Boxberger 2018 5.23
46 75 Xavier Hernandez 1996 5.19
47 75 Louis Coleman 2016 5.06
48 75 Chris Hatcher 2015 4.15
49 75 Nate Jones 2016 2.55
50 75 Mark Lowe 2013 9.26
51 75 Manny Acosta 2011 4.02
52 75 Rafael Betancourt 2005 3.06
53 75 Ed Roebuck 1962 4.60 DNP
54 75 Austin Adams 2017 0.00 DNP
55 75 Brandon Gomes 2015 4.27
56 74 Kirby Yates 2017 4.45
57 74 Marshall Bridges 1961 8.27
58 74 Blas Minor 1996 4.24
59 74 Joe Sambito 1982 1.42
60 74 Todd Worrell 1990 0.00 DNP
61 74 Steve Delabar 2014 4.91
62 74 Zac Rosscup 2018 4.76
63 74 De Wayne Buice 1988 6.31
64 74 Tyler Walker 2006 7.11
65 74 Logan Ondrusek 2015 0.00 DNP
66 74 Lindy McDaniel 1966 3.40
67 73 Shawn Camp 2006 5.16
68 73 Edwar Ramirez 2011 0.00 DNP
69 73 Jose Arredondo 2014 0.00 DNP
70 73 Joe Beckwith 1985 4.36
71 73 Nate Field 2006 4.00
72 73 Don Elston 1959 3.71
73 73 Bill Campbell 1979 4.61
74 73 Kiko Calero 2005 3.23
75 73 Dan Wheeler 2008 3.39
76 73 Brian Matusz 2017 0.00 DNP
77 73 Mike Adams 2009 2.19
78 73 Tom Gorman 1955 3.99
79 73 Grant Balfour 2008 1.54
80 73 Wil Ledezma 2011 15.00
81 73 Kyle Farnsworth 2006 4.64
82 73 Charlie Furbush 2016 0.00 DNP
83 73 Greg Harris 1986 3.31
84 72 Kerry Ligtenberg 2001 3.32
85 72 Mark Davis 1991 5.17
86 72 Dennys Reyes 2007 4.60
87 72 Mark Huismann 1988 5.06
88 72 Angel Guzman 2012 0.00 DNP
89 72 Rick Aguilera 1992 3.78
90 72 Tim Crews 1991 3.55
91 72 Matt Daley 2012 0.00 DNP
92 72 Rod Beck 1999 5.93
93 72 Matt Guerrier 2009 2.71
94 72 Vinnie Chulk 2009 4.50
95 72 Bobby Ayala 2000 0.00 DNP
96 72 J.J. Putz 2007 1.38
97 72 Josh Lueke 2015 0.00 DNP
98 72 Doug Bair 1980 4.45
99 72 Will Ohman 2008 4.14
100 72 Scott Cassidy 2006 3.80

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2019  Due to publishing agreements, the 2019 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2019 book (available in hardcopy, and soon e-book and Kindle).
2018 We tend to roll our eyes at players who are hostile toward advanced statistics, but if Hembree acted as such it’d simply be self-preservation. The right-hander’s surface-level numbers don’t look too bad: an unremarkable ERA, a solid strikeout rate, etc. But DRA tells us Hembree was awful last season, actively hurting the Red Sox when on the mound. Hembree served as a traveling dinger machine last year, and his well-documented struggles against lefties (.277 TAv) continued. But for the first time in his career, Hembree was bad against righties, too (.281 TAv). Odds are his same-side struggles are an aberration, and there’s value in Hembree’s ability to log innings, but he seems destined for a career as the 24th or 25th guy on a roster. He also still looks too much like the love child of Animal the Muppet and John Lackey, which is a fairly major flaw.
2017 You don’t hear much about ROOGYs, but Hembree would be best served in that role. Righties hit just .200/.225/.336 against him—essentially Christian Vazquez’s slash line. On the other hand, southpaws feasted to the tune of .338/.397/.493—he made them all First-Half Xander. That may seem like a disappointing outcome for a former “closer of the future,” but in today’s world of specialized bullpen roles, a guy like Hembree can be valuable if used correctly. Whether you trust John Farrell to use him correctly is a different story, but Hembree is out of options, so the Sox will need to play him or trade him.
2016 Heath Hembree's heavenly high heat had heralds harboring hope he'd hang around; however, his horrific homer habit has hamstrung him horribly.
2015 Once billed as San Francisco's “closer of the future,” Heath Hembree now looks like he'll profile more as a solid. unspectacular seventh-inning arm. He's homer-prone, which is dangerous in Fenway.
2014 Hembree has a big body and big stuff: He can work in the mid-90s with his four-seamer and cut the fastball grip as well, and the slider can be devastating when its on. Control, or rather lack thereof, has been a knock on Hembree for years now, but he dramatically curtailed his walks in Triple-A, more than doubling his K/BB ratio over 2012. Hembree set the single-season saves record in Fresno and did well in a September audition in San Francisco, appearing in nine games without allowing a run. The relief ace most saw as Brian Wilson's heir apparent has returned, now rebranded as Sergio Romo's heir apparent. (Brian Wilson's hair apparent is another story.)
2013 Hembree is a two-pitch reliever. Those two pitches are a plus fastball with big velocity and life, and a slider that is average to slightly better. He spent most of last year in Triple-A and is knocking on the door. Hembree could develop into a closer, but he is probably better suited serving as a set-up man.
2012 Heath Hembree was born in a city called Cowpens, so of course he's a reliever. Not just any reliever, though. He's the best in the Giants system, a tall right-hander who pitches in the high 90s and has struck out 14 batters per nine innings. His walk rate isn't improving, but holding it steady as he moves up the system is an accomplishment.

BP Articles

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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2017-08-28 13:00:00 (link to chat)I know relief pitchers don't get a lot of attention, but can you name the 5 best future closers in the minors?
(Paddy from Ireland )
Man, I can't honestly give a good answer for this one. I think there are a number of MLB guys who are likely to be tried in the bullpen for health or performance reasons -- Vince Velasquez jumps to mind thanks to fandom; maybe someone tries taking a talented but mercurial starter like Eduardo Rodriguez or Carson Fulmer and transitioning them to a closing role. It's long held that failed starters are relievers, but I think more and more, it's just mediocre starters that become elite closers (Andrew Miller bias much???).

Anyway, that said, I know teams draft closers to be fast rising bullpen lynchpins, but I never trust front offices to stick to that plan. Brandon Finnegan, exhibit A. And assuming closers are going to be as good in the majors as the minors -- say, Heath Hembree -- is almost never workable. It's so hard to pin this down! (Trevor Strunk)
2014-03-12 14:00:00 (link to chat)Have a favorite pick you've made in the reliever draft thus far? Didn't make it into your league so can't see your roster.
(Alex from Milwaukee)
My league is in the middle of the 13th round. My 12 picks so far:

Craig Kimbrel
Grant Balfour
Junichi Tazawa
Kevin Siegrist
Craig Stammen
Will Smith
Carlos Martinez
Adam Ottavino
Wade Davis
Manny Parra
Heath Hembree
Santiago Casilla

(For anyone who doesn't know what we're talking about, Sam is running a reliever-only fantasy league with Effectively Wild listeners. Only categories are runs allowed and strikeouts, and only relief innings count.) (Ben Lindbergh)
2013-06-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Are any of these arm prospects going to make an impact in 2 years for fantasy owners?: Roberto Osuna, Lucas Giolito, Heath Hembree, Matt Wisler, or Blake Snell?
(Hector from Santa Ana)
I'd bet on Wisler of that group. Hembree should be a major leaguer, but we'll see if he's doing anything of fantasy import. (Paul Sporer)
2012-10-30 13:00:00 (link to chat)Thanks for the chat today. I have questions on a couple of guys. Darrin Ruf will he become a decent MLB bat? Heath Hembree does he make the major league roster next season?
(Frederick from T Hills)
Hi Frederick, thanks for the questions. Ruf's impressive power display last season is softened a bit by the fact that he did it as a 25-year-old in Double-A. Still, that was quite a display and I'd think a team would have room for his bat as a platoon option (he destroyed lefties in 2012) or coming off the bench. As for Hembree, that's a loaded bullpen, but we'll see him up with the Giants at some point. (Geoff Young)


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