Biographical

Portrait of Aaron Crow

Aaron Crow PCubs

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2018 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 31)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
32.7 7.97 1.77 23 1 0 1 -1.2
Birth Date11-10-1986
Height6' 3"
Weight195 lbs
Age31 years, 9 months, 11 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
-0.42014
2015
2016
2017
-1.22018
+proj
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA- WARP
2011 KCA MLB 57 0 62.0 4 4 0 55 31 65 8 .263 110 8.0 4.5 1.2 9.4 53% .290 .247 1.39 4.14 2.76 91 3.31 77.0 1.1
2012 KCA MLB 73 0 64.7 3 1 2 54 22 65 4 .264 103 7.5 3.1 0.6 9.0 53% .298 .219 1.18 2.90 3.48 87 3.00 68.9 1.4
2013 KCA MLB 57 0 48.0 7 5 1 49 22 44 6 .267 100 9.2 4.1 1.1 8.2 51% .316 .285 1.48 4.36 3.38 105 4.43 106.1 0.1
2014 KCA MLB 67 0 59.0 6 1 3 52 24 34 10 .260 101 7.9 3.7 1.5 5.2 45% .239 .267 1.29 5.43 4.12 116 5.07 124.4 -0.4
CareerMLB2540233.7201162109920828.2631048.13.81.18.050%.283.2531.324.173.431024.22100.31.2

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA-
2009 gcr Wnt 4 4 15.3 0 2 0 17 2 12 2 .000 10.0 1.2 1.2 7.1 0% .312 .000 1.24 5.15 5.88 0 0.00 0.0
2010 WIL A+ 7 7 44.0 2 3 0 51 6 53 6 .250 108 10.4 1.2 1.2 10.8 54% .378 .258 1.30 3.23 5.93 76 2.18 46.5
2010 NWA AA 22 22 119.3 7 7 0 130 59 90 13 .259 106 9.8 4.5 1.0 6.8 64% .315 .271 1.58 4.71 5.66 99 4.35 95.0
2011 KCA MLB 57 0 62.0 4 4 0 55 31 65 8 .263 110 8.0 4.5 1.2 9.4 53% .290 .247 1.39 4.14 2.76 91 3.31 77.0
2012 KCA MLB 73 0 64.7 3 1 2 54 22 65 4 .264 103 7.5 3.1 0.6 9.0 53% .298 .219 1.18 2.90 3.48 87 3.00 68.9
2013 KCA MLB 57 0 48.0 7 5 1 49 22 44 6 .267 100 9.2 4.1 1.1 8.2 51% .316 .285 1.48 4.36 3.38 105 4.43 106.1
2014 KCA MLB 67 0 59.0 6 1 3 52 24 34 10 .260 101 7.9 3.7 1.5 5.2 45% .239 .267 1.29 5.43 4.12 116 5.07 124.4
2014 NWA AA 2 0 3.0 1 0 0 3 1 1 1 .258 98 9.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 56% .250 .272 1.33 7.78 3.00 101 4.77 112.1
2016 CUB Rk 3 2 3.0 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 .270 96 6.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 50% .250 .114 0.67 2.77 0.00 92 3.69 72.5

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2011 1013 0.4610 0.4255 0.7077 0.5803 0.2930 0.8524 0.4625 0.2923
2012 953 0.4627 0.4512 0.6907 0.6077 0.3164 0.8582 0.4136 0.3093
2013 794 0.4723 0.4559 0.7569 0.6480 0.2840 0.8848 0.4958 0.2431
2014 927 0.4908 0.4196 0.8226 0.5912 0.2542 0.9294 0.5833 0.1774
Career36870.47140.43720.74280.60470.28740.88020.48740.2572

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2011-07-11 2011-07-14 DTD 3 0 - General Medical Illness - -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2016 CHN $
2015 MIA $1,975,000
2014 KCA $1,475,000
2013 KCA $1,280,000
2012 KCA $1,600,000
2011 KCA $1,400,000
2010 KCA $900,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
6 yrPrevious$8,630,000
6 yrTotal$8,630,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
5 y 0 dExcel Sports1 year (2016)

Details
  • 1 year (2016). Signed by Chicago Cubs as a free agent 2/19/16 (minor-league contract).
  • 1 year/$1.975M (2015). Re-signed by Miami 1/16/15 (avoided arbitration). Non-tendered by Miami 12/2/15.
  • 1 year/$1.475M (2014). Re-signed by Kansas City (avoided arbitration, $1.7M-$1.28M). Award bonus: $50,000 for All-Star selection. Acquired by Miami in trade from Kansas City 11/28/14.
  • 1 year/$1.28M (2013). Re-signed by Kansas City 3/2/13.
  • 3 years/$3M (2010-12). Signed Major League contract with Kansas City 9/18/09. $1.5M signing bonus. Estimated salaries: 10:$0.4M, 11:$0.5M, 12:$0.6M. Salaries may increase based on when Crow is promoted to Major Leagues, with total value of contract increasing to as much as $4.5M.
  • Drafted by Kansas City 2009 (1-12) (Fort Worth of independent American Association). Drafted by Washington 2008 (1-9) (Missouri). Did not sign.

2018 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 2.5 0.6 1.8 54 0 48.9 50 23 32 14 .246 1.49 6.58 6.93 -10.1 -1.1
80o 2 0.4 1.4 47 0 42.5 47 21 28 13 .261 1.61 7.17 7.57 -11.6 -1.3
70o 1.8 0.3 1.2 42 0 38.1 45 20 25 13 .271 1.70 7.62 8.04 -12.3 -1.3
60o 1.6 0.2 1 38 0 34.5 42 19 23 12 .280 1.78 8.00 8.45 -12.6 -1.4
50o 1.4 0.2 0.8 35 0 31.1 40 18 21 11 .288 1.85 8.38 8.85 -12.7 -1.4
40o 1.2 0.1 0.7 31 0 27.9 37 17 18 10 .297 1.93 8.76 9.25 -12.6 -1.4
30o 1 0 0.6 27 0 24.5 34 15 16 10 .306 2.02 9.18 9.7 -12.2 -1.3
20o 0.8 0 0.4 23 0 20.7 30 14 14 9 .317 2.12 9.68 10.24 -11.5 -1.2
10o 0.6 -0 0.3 17 0 15.7 25 11 10 7 .332 2.28 10.41 11.01 -10.0 -1.1
Weighted Mean1.30.20.834030.338172011.2861.838.318.78-12.2-1.3

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2018 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20193210020018211013647.3011.758.179.1010.75.16.63.1-0.8
2020331001601418810547.3121.868.399.3411.65.16.43.2-0.7
202134000120111467447.3091.828.629.6011.54.95.73.3-0.6
202235100140131678547.3041.778.519.4711.14.85.53.5-0.6
202336000130121578447.3061.838.429.3711.25.26.03.0-0.6
202437000120111467447.3051.828.469.4211.54.95.73.3-0.5
202538000120101367447.3051.848.459.4111.35.26.13.5-0.5
20263900010091156347.3061.788.589.5511.05.06.03.0-0.5
202740000110101366447.3071.908.619.5811.75.45.43.6-0.5

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 82)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 89 Danny Patterson 2002 15.00
2 88 Roy Lee Jackson 1985 2.92
3 87 Dave Baldwin 1969 4.16
4 87 Gary Lucas 1986 3.74
5 86 Jay Ritchie 1968 5.08
6 86 Darold Knowles 1973 3.91
7 86 Carlos Almanzar 2005 14.40
8 86 Windy McCall 1957 13.50
9 86 George Frazier 1986 5.63
10 85 Carl Willis 1992 2.95
11 85 Lou Pote 2003 0.00 DNP
12 85 Luis Aponte 1984 4.47
13 85 Hank Aguirre 1962 2.79 DNP
14 84 Don McMahon 1961 3.42
15 84 Tom Gorman 1956 4.39
16 84 Jerry Don Gleaton 1989 6.28
17 84 T.J. Mathews 2001 5.02
18 84 Ken Dayley 1990 3.80
19 84 Donn Pall 1993 3.77
20 84 Matt Whiteside 1999 13.91
21 84 Antonio Alfonseca 2003 5.97
22 84 Curtis Leskanic 1999 5.72
23 83 Tony Castillo 1994 2.91
24 83 Yorkis Perez 1999 4.22
25 83 Tom House 1978 5.43
26 83 Ricardo Rincon 2001 3.17
27 83 Mike Perez 1996 4.67
28 83 Craig Lefferts 1989 3.20
29 83 Fred Gladding 1967 2.34
30 83 Bill Short 1969 15.43
31 83 Hector Carrasco 2001 4.89
32 82 Tim Crabtree 2001 6.94
33 82 Bob Miller 1970 4.96
34 82 Mike Schooler 1994 0.00 DNP
35 82 Steve Mingori 1975 3.75 DNP
36 82 Tim Scott 1998 0.00 DNP
37 82 Jim Hughes 1954 3.74
38 82 Graeme Lloyd 1998 2.63
39 82 Warren Brusstar 1983 2.58
40 82 Fred Beene 1974 5.20
41 82 Dave Tomlin 1980 5.88
42 82 Richard Batchelor 1998 0.00 DNP
43 81 Scott Radinsky 1999 5.86
44 81 Terry Forster 1983 2.16
45 81 Tom Hurd 1955 3.57
46 81 Bert Roberge 1986 6.28
47 81 Jay Powell 2003 8.90
48 81 Luis Sanchez 1985 6.02
49 81 Cecil Upshaw 1974 3.72
50 81 Tug McGraw 1976 3.24
51 81 Bob Howry 2005 2.84
52 81 Bryce Florie 2001 11.42
53 81 Bob Grim 1961 0.00 DNP
54 80 Vic Darensbourg 2002 6.33
55 80 Joe Hoerner 1968 1.65
56 80 Dave Smith 1986 2.73
57 80 Gene Nelson 1992 6.45
58 80 Randy Moffitt 1980 5.40
59 80 Mark Davis 1992 7.47
60 80 Ray Searage 1986 3.53
61 80 Frank Dipino 1988 5.48
62 80 Mark Dewey 1996 4.32
63 80 Wayne Granger 1975 4.74 DNP
64 80 John Riedling 2007 0.00 DNP
65 80 Marvin Freeman 1994 3.12
66 80 Larry Bradford 1981 4.39
67 80 Pedro Borbon 1978 5.07
68 80 Dyar Miller 1977 3.77
69 80 Mike Fornieles 1963 5.89
70 80 Jim Corsi 1993 6.64
71 80 Alan Embree 2001 7.83
72 80 Dan Plesac 1993 5.31
73 80 Bob Wickman 2000 3.72
74 79 Don Robinson 1988 3.21
75 79 Ken Forsch 1978 2.97
76 79 Eddie Fisher 1968 3.41
77 79 Mark Williamson 1991 4.71
78 79 Paul Lindblad 1973 4.38
79 79 Carlos Reyes 2000 5.72
80 79 Rich Rodriguez 1994 4.48
81 79 Humberto Robinson 1961 0.00 DNP
82 79 Sean Lowe 2002 6.58
83 79 Rich Monteleone 1994 3.57
84 79 Ben Weber 2001 3.82
85 79 James Russell 2017 0.00 DNP
86 79 Rick Camp 1984 3.57
87 79 Matt Herges 2001 3.53
88 79 Cory Bailey 2002 4.70
89 78 Scott Bankhead 1995 6.00
90 78 Steve Schrenk 2000 7.71
91 78 Dave Righetti 1990 4.08
92 78 Aaron Fultz 2005 2.61
93 78 Dave Hamilton 1979 4.57
94 78 Jack Aker 1972 4.07
95 78 Jim Poole 1997 8.21
96 78 Mike Magnante 1996 6.33
97 78 Tom Underwood 1985 0.00 DNP
98 78 John Costello 1992 0.00 DNP
99 78 Rick White 2000 3.97
100 78 Scott Sullivan 2002 7.09

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv

Definition of multi-year splits

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2016 Aaron Crow's precipitous fall from first-round grace smacked the pavement elbow first in 2015, as he succumbed to Tommy John surgery without throwing a single pitch for his new organization.
2015 Crow's fourth full year in the Royals' bullpen turned out to be his last, as the Topeka native was shipped off to Miami in November. A former top pick, Crow's peripherals have been headed in the wrong direction for years and last year wandered clean off the map. His velocity was down from its mid-90s peak, his sinker didn't have much sink and his woeful walk and strikeout rates helped Crow post baseball's worst FIP among relievers who worked at least 50 innings. The Marlins, always willing to try new ways to fail, are toying with the idea of putting him in the rotation. Curious, to say the least, given how few bats he missed when he was throwing all-out in relief. Think Tanner Scheppers.
2014 A declining strikeout rate and increasing walk and home run rates represented a triple crown of disappointment for Crow. His Tick Licker is a two-seam fastball with heavy sink, but he uncharacteristically left it up in the zone with alarming frequency last year; opponents took advantage, posting a .280 TAv. Nevertheless, he had the second-highest leverage index among Royal relievers and appeared in more tie games than any member of the relief corps. Then, he seemed to lose the faith of his manager in September, making just four appearances in the seasonís final month. Maybe with good reason.
2013 With a 95-mph fastball and a wicked slider, Crow enjoyed a consistent season coming out of the pen for the Royals. In many ways, heís an ideal reliever, possessing a high strikeout rate, solid control, and a sinking fastball that leads to a groundball rate over 50 percent. Crow was drafted as a starter, but moved to the bullpen when he struggled in the rotation in the minors. The Royals are always in the market for starting pitching, so itís natural to consider their right-hander. However, given his comfort and success in his current role, itís probably best for everyone if he sticks with short relief.
2012 After his first professional season (2010, Double-A), the Royals' top pick in the 2009 draft battled mechanical issues and was demoted to High-A. However, a strong spring meant Crow was a surprise addition to the Opening Day bullpen and he built an exceptional first half into a selection to the All-Star team as the Royals' lone representative. His fastball lives in the mid-90s and can approach 98 mph on occasion. His slider is a plus pitch with exceptional lateral movement. Shortly after the All-Star Game, it was revealed he had been dealing with a stiff shoulder and forearm tightness: he limped to the finish line with a 7.36 ERA over the final two months of the season. The poor finish doesnít discourage the Royals, who are going to give him a long look in the rotation this spring.
2011 No organization can have a perfect season down on the farm, and Crow represented one of Kansas City's few low notes in 2010. After choosing not to sign with the Nationals out of the 2008 draft, Crow got $3 million from the Royals the following year, but the layoff left considerable rust. Scouts see plenty of stuff in his arm, which still reaches the low-to-mid-90s with a sinking fastball, and his slider still features plenty of break, but an inability to throw strikes as he fought with his mechanics turned Crow into a one-pitch guy at times last year, with predictable results. He shouldn't be written off, but a move to the bullpen could be in order.
2010 Drafted by the Nationals with the ninth overall pick of the 2008 draft, Crow didn't sign and ended up going to the Royals in 2009 at 12th overall, losing some of the bonus money the Nats offered in the process, but gaining a major-league contract. In the year between the two selections he took some time off, pitching some indendent league ball in the spring, and his stuff was still good but not nearly as sharp as it had looked in college. Now a year older and a year further away from free agency, Crow is still a power arm with good velocity and a good slider. He'll be expected to move up quickly, and at his age he almost has to if he's going to make up for his lack of pro experience.

BP Articles

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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2018-07-13 15:00:00 (link to chat)If I were an MLB prospect, who would be my closest comp?
(George Hirst from SWFC)
I guess it would be someone who didn't sign and went and played indy ball for a year. Aaron Crow maybe? I guess the closest actual baseball comp is Rolen forcing a move from Philly? (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2014-06-17 20:00:00 (link to chat)We in Canada have only been drafting Rule IV guys right after their June draft since 2009. That was the Dustin Ackley - Aaron Crow class in the American League. We've been drafting about 3 or 4 of them every June's first round ever since. It is too soon to say how many of them were a worthwhile pick. If Bryon Buxton turns out as good as expected that will make up for a long list of duds who didn't bring significant value. With your experience, can you quantify how worthwhile it has been to jump on these top picks right away?
(John Carter from T.O.)
Since so many of the superstars in Scoresheet are first acquired in the supplemental that follows the MLB rule IV draft, we advocate grabbing as many of those lottery tickets as possible. You can keep the superstars indefinitely, so you don't have to be successful too often for it to be worthwhile taking those chances with supplemental picks. In some leagues, it's the only way you're going to end up with a player of that caliber, like Strasburg, Harper, Longoria, Tulowitzki, etc. In almost leagues, it's a great way to build up your keepers. We once said that in general you should trade for keepers and draft for depth, and the ability to pick up these potential superstars in a supplemental draft is the most obvious exception to that particular phrase. (Scoresheet Chat with Ben, Jared, and Ian)


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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

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