Biographical

Portrait of Hyun-jin Ryu

Hyun-jin Ryu PDodgers

Dodgers Player Cards | Dodgers Team Audit | Dodgers Depth Chart

2019 Projections (Rest of Season Projections - seasonal age 32)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
30.0 3.83 1.21 30 2 2 0 0.3
Birth Date3-25-1987
Height6' 3"
Weight255 lbs
Age32 years, 4 months, 30 days
BatsR
ThrowsL
2015
0.12016
2.02017
2.72018
0.32019
proj
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA- WARP
2013 LAN MLB 30 30 192.0 14 8 0 182 49 154 15 97 8.5 2.3 0.7 7.2 0% .296 1.20 3.21 3.00 87 3.00 71.8 4.5
2014 LAN MLB 26 26 152.0 14 7 0 152 29 139 8 96 9.0 1.7 0.5 8.2 0% .319 1.19 2.59 3.38 86 2.92 71.7 3.6
2016 LAN MLB 1 1 4.7 0 1 0 8 2 4 1 81 15.4 3.9 1.9 7.7 50% .412 2.14 5.54 11.57 104 3.27 72.4 0.1
2017 LAN MLB 25 24 126.7 5 9 1 128 45 116 22 94 9.1 3.2 1.6 8.2 48% .299 1.37 4.76 3.77 99 4.18 88.9 2.0
2018 LAN MLB 15 15 82.3 7 3 0 68 15 89 9 96 7.4 1.6 1.0 9.7 47% .281 1.01 2.96 1.97 72 2.45 54.7 2.7
2019 LAN MLB 24 24 152.7 12 4 0 131 19 133 15 96 7.7 1.1 0.9 7.8 53% .272 0.98 3.17 2.00 77 2.68 54.7 5.2
CareerMLB121120710.35232166915963570968.52.00.98.051%.2961.173.332.94853.0669.218.1

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg LG G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA-
2013 LAN MLB NL 30 30 192.0 14 8 0 182 49 154 15 97 8.5 2.3 0.7 7.2 0% .296 1.20 3.21 3.00 87 3.00 71.8
2014 LAN MLB NL 26 26 152.0 14 7 0 152 29 139 8 96 9.0 1.7 0.5 8.2 0% .319 1.19 2.59 3.38 86 2.92 71.7
2016 LAN MLB NL 1 1 4.7 0 1 0 8 2 4 1 81 15.4 3.9 1.9 7.7 50% .412 2.14 5.54 11.57 104 3.27 72.4
2016 RCU A+ CAL 5 5 18.0 1 1 0 15 1 14 2 90 7.5 0.5 1.0 7.0 45% .241 0.89 3.76 2.00 93 2.86 63.2
2016 OKL AAA PCL 3 3 9.7 0 1 0 17 0 9 2 96 15.8 0.0 1.9 8.4 44% .441 1.76 4.54 8.38 93 7.19 158.7
2017 LAN MLB NL 25 24 126.7 5 9 1 128 45 116 22 94 9.1 3.2 1.6 8.2 48% .299 1.37 4.76 3.77 99 4.18 88.9
2018 LAN MLB NL 15 15 82.3 7 3 0 68 15 89 9 96 7.4 1.6 1.0 9.7 47% .281 1.01 2.96 1.97 72 2.45 54.7
2018 RCU A+ CAL 1 1 4.0 0 0 0 2 0 4 0 116 4.5 0.0 0.0 9.0 67% .222 0.50 1.75 0.00 85 3.05 64.4
2018 OKL AAA PCL 1 1 5.0 0 1 0 5 0 3 0 123 9.0 0.0 0.0 5.4 53% .294 1.00 2.54 1.80 94 3.85 81.3
2019 LAN MLB NL 24 24 152.7 12 4 0 131 19 133 15 96 7.7 1.1 0.9 7.8 53% .272 0.98 3.17 2.00 77 2.68 54.7

Plate Discipline

YEAR Pits Zone% Swing% Contact% Z-Swing% O-Swing% Z-Contact% O-Contact% SwStr%
2013 3052 0.5069 0.4423 0.7993 0.5863 0.2944 0.8688 0.6569 0.2007
2014 2330 0.5223 0.4519 0.7816 0.5933 0.2974 0.8767 0.5740 0.2184
2016 85 0.5294 0.4824 0.7561 0.6667 0.2750 0.8333 0.5455 0.2439
2017 2118 0.4334 0.4358 0.7400 0.6144 0.2992 0.8457 0.5738 0.2600
2018 1234 0.4959 0.4579 0.7239 0.6225 0.2958 0.8163 0.5326 0.2761
2019 2146 0.4753 0.4842 0.7507 0.6294 0.3526 0.8411 0.6045 0.2493
Career109650.48870.45340.76580.60630.30740.85440.59810.2342

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-09-13 - DTD - - Left Shoulder Fatigue -
2014-08-14 2014-08-31 15-DL 17 14 Right Hip Strain Gluteus -
2014-04-28 2014-05-21 15-DL 23 20 Left Shoulder Inflammation - -
2013-05-29 2013-06-07 DTD 9 9 - Foot Contusion Batted Ball - -
2013-05-29 - DTD - - - Foot Contusion Batted Ball - -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2019 LAN $17,900,000
2018 LAN $7,833,334
2017 LAN $7,833,334
2016 LAN $7,833,333
2015 LAN $4,833,333
2014 LAN $4,333,333
2013 LAN $3,333,333
YearsDescriptionSalary
6 yrPrevious$36,000,000
2019Current$17,900,000
7 yrPvs + Cur$53,900,000
7 yrTotal$53,900,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
6 y 0 dBoras Corp.1 year/$17.9M (2019)

Details
  • 1 year/$17.9M (2019). Re-signed by LA Dodgers 11/14/18 (accepted qualifying offer).
  • 6 years/$36M (2013-18). Signed by LA Dodgers 12/9/12. $5M signing bonus. 13:$2.5M, 14:$3.5M, 15:$4M, 16:$7M, 17:$7M, 18:$7M. With 750 IP in 2013-17, Ryu may opt out after 2017 season. LA Dodgers made $17.9M qualifying offer 11/2/18.
  • LA Dodgers paid $25.7M posting fee for right to negotiate with Ryu 11/10/12.
  • 2006-12: Hanwha Eagles of South Korea

2019 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 2.4 1.2 0 5 5 45.8 35 11 46 5 .253 0.99 2.82 3.02 6.4 0.7
80o 2.3 1.3 0 5 5 40.2 33 10 41 5 .266 1.06 3.16 3.39 5.3 0.6
70o 2.3 1.3 0 5 5 36.3 31 9 37 5 .276 1.12 3.42 3.66 4.4 0.5
60o 2.2 1.4 0 5 5 33.0 29 9 33 4 .284 1.16 3.63 3.9 3.6 0.4
50o 2.2 1.4 0 5 5 30.0 28 8 30 4 .292 1.21 3.83 4.12 2.9 0.3
40o 2.1 1.5 0 5 5 27.1 26 8 27 4 .299 1.25 4.05 4.34 2.2 0.2
30o 2.1 1.5 0 5 5 24.0 24 7 24 4 .308 1.30 4.26 4.59 1.4 0.2
20o 2 1.6 0 5 5 20.5 21 7 21 3 .317 1.37 4.53 4.88 0.5 0.1
10o 2 1.7 0 5 5 15.8 18 5 16 3 .331 1.45 4.91 5.28 -0.8 -0.1
Weighted Mean2.21.405529.3278304.2901.203.814.093.00.3

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2019 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
202033111103232210182602043145.2901.154.154.637.82.68.71.31.4
202134101103030190167521852745.2961.154.094.567.92.58.81.31.5
20223591002727163144451602545.2971.164.164.648.02.58.91.41.2
2023369902727164145471622345.2991.174.084.558.02.68.91.31.3
2024377702020120107351171845.2981.194.244.738.02.68.81.40.8
2025386701919113102321091745.2991.184.174.658.12.58.71.30.8
2026395501414847624811245.3021.204.204.688.22.68.71.30.6
2027404501313777022751145.3001.194.224.708.12.68.71.30.5
2028414401212726521691145.2991.194.244.738.12.68.61.40.5

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 79)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 88 Chris Capuano 2011 4.79
2 86 Wandy Rodriguez 2011 3.82
3 86 James Shields 2014 3.77
4 85 Brett Myers 2013 8.02
5 85 Scott Kazmir 2016 4.69
6 84 Gavin Floyd 2015 2.70
7 84 Jeff Samardzija 2017 4.64
8 83 Mickey Lolich 1973 4.17
9 83 Mike Cuellar 1969 2.91
10 82 Don Drysdale 1969 4.74
11 82 Brandon McCarthy 2016 5.40
12 82 Jon Lester 2016 2.53
13 82 Matt Cain 2017 6.15
14 82 Bert Blyleven 1983 4.26
15 82 Anibal Sanchez 2016 6.34
16 82 Pascual Perez 1989 3.86
17 82 Matt Garza 2016 5.93
18 81 Aaron Harang 2010 5.72
19 81 Dan Haren 2013 4.88
20 81 Cole Hamels 2016 3.72
21 80 John Smiley 1997 5.77
22 80 Bob Friend 1963 2.91
23 80 Jorge De La Rosa 2013 3.76
24 80 John Lackey 2011 6.69
25 80 Frank Viola 1992 3.74
26 80 Mike Fiers 2017 5.52
27 80 Jon Lieber 2002 4.09
28 80 Andy Pettitte 2004 4.01
29 80 Wei-Yin Chen 2018 5.06
30 79 Cliff Lee 2011 2.55
31 79 Billy Pierce 1959 3.94
32 79 Claude Passeau 1941 3.78
33 79 Josh Beckett 2012 4.81
34 79 Kyle Lohse 2011 3.82
35 79 Homer Bailey 2018 6.94
36 79 Carlos Villanueva 2016 6.08
37 79 Bud Norris 2017 4.21
38 79 Jon Matlack 1982 3.90
39 79 Mike Mussina 2001 3.42
40 79 Rodrigo Lopez 2008 0.00 DNP
41 78 Ben Sheets 2011 0.00 DNP
42 78 Watty Clark 1934 6.25
43 78 Jeff Francis 2013 6.91
44 78 Joel Pineiro 2011 5.50
45 78 Claudio Vargas 2010 7.32
46 78 Esteban Loaiza 2004 6.10
47 78 Edinson Volquez 2016 5.89
48 78 Marco Estrada 2016 3.73
49 78 Ted Lilly 2008 4.22
50 78 Jesse Chavez 2016 4.84
51 78 Shane Reynolds 2000 5.91
52 78 Steve Carlton 1977 3.15
53 78 Josh Tomlin 2017 5.11
54 78 Luke Hochevar 2016 4.10
55 78 Larry French 1940 3.68
56 77 Nate Robertson 2010 6.75
57 77 Bob Muncrief 1948 4.60
58 77 Paul Derringer 1939 3.44
59 77 Joe Blanton 2013 6.51
60 77 Frank Tanana 1986 4.54
61 77 Larry Jansen 1953 4.68
62 77 Mike Scott 1987 3.42
63 77 Tim Stauffer 2014 3.50
64 77 Colby Lewis 2012 4.11
65 77 Odalis Perez 2010 0.00 DNP
66 77 Jason Vargas 2015 4.19
67 76 Warren Spahn 1953 2.48
68 76 Gil Meche 2011 0.00 DNP
69 76 Frank Sullivan 1962 6.23 DNP
70 76 Mark Buehrle 2011 4.03
71 76 Cy Blanton 1941 5.31
72 76 Wilbur Cooper 1924 3.89
73 76 Fred Martin 1947 0.00 DNP
74 76 Jason Hammel 2015 4.17
75 76 Jim Bunning 1964 3.13
76 76 Javier Vazquez 2009 3.08
77 76 Johan Santana 2011 0.00 DNP
78 76 Randy Wolf 2009 3.40
79 76 Bob Gibson 1968 1.45
80 75 Vicente Padilla 2010 4.36
81 75 Dolly Gray 1930 7.56
82 75 Erik Bedard 2011 4.38
83 75 Harvey Haddix 1958 3.86
84 75 Jake Peavy 2013 4.35
85 75 Bill Doak 1923 3.91
86 75 Shaun Marcum 2014 0.00 DNP
87 75 Cliff Melton 1944 5.51
88 75 Tom Koehler 2018 0.00 DNP
89 74 Tom Gorzelanny 2015 6.64
90 74 Ron Guidry 1983 3.56
91 74 Zane Smith 1993 4.66
92 74 Matt Belisle 2012 4.05
93 74 Dave Goltz 1981 4.09
94 74 Jason Johnson 2006 6.73
95 74 Bret Saberhagen 1996 0.00 DNP
96 74 Ervin Santana 2015 4.17
97 74 Chris Narveson 2014 0.00 DNP
98 74 Denny Galehouse 1944 2.70
99 74 Scott Feldman 2015 4.07
100 74 Jose Guzman 1995 0.00 DNP

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2019  Due to publishing agreements, the 2019 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2019 book (available in hardcopy, and soon e-book and Kindle).
2018 One of the greatest luxuries of wealth is patience, and the Dodgers were rewarded for exercising theirs through Ryu's various recoveries. He was gone, and then, like a gentle breeze wafting through an open window under an obsidian sky, he was back, starting 24 more games than you remember him starting. It was a return uncannily lacking in triumph, and yet it was as steady and valuable as any best-case scenario could've predicted. Although he effectively hadn't set foot on a big-league mound since the last mid-term election, Ryu's stuff looked reasonably intact. He even added a shiny new cutter into the mix, and it wasn't half bad! The performance was weird, though. He worked behind constantly, and gave up some dingers and walks for his trouble, yet he managed to skirt the damning DRA that ensued and prevent runs at just a nominally below-average rate. He'll enter his walk year looking to carve out a niche for his thirties as quality rotation depth.
2017 Following a lost season due to a shoulder injury, Ryu nearly doubled down (don't call him Trent), appearing in fewer than five innings in 2016—and clearly diminished ones at that. He succumbed to elbow tendinitis and later an elbow debridement, though he'll supposedly be ready for the start of the 2017 season. Sounds familiar, right? The Dodgers won't be able to rely on Ryu for 2017 even if he is healthy—missing damn near two seasons will do that to you—but that is hardly an obstacle for a team with this kind of pitching depth. He's clearly a fighter, but given his injury history one wonders how much more time Ryu can miss before the Dodgers tell him to hit the streets.
2016 The hope for Ryu was that he'd combine his 2013 innings total with his 2014 production, leading to a true breakout year. Instead, the left-shoulder soreness that plagued him in 2014 reared its ugly head again, and Ryu underwent season-ending labrum-repair surgery on May 21st without throwing a regular-season pitch. Shoulder injuries are infinitely more terrifying than their elbow counterparts, but Ryu is supposed to be ready for spring training. He's only going into his age-29 season, which is a point in his favor, but counting on him for bulk innings may not be wise. Counting on him to be bulky is a safe bet, though.
2015 When the Dodgers signed Ryu in late 2012, some thought he wouldn't be more than a back-of-the-rotation starter or even a reliever. Ryu has since hushed the doubters and he may not be done improving. He dealt with injuries to his shoulder and hip in 2014, preventing him from adding to his innings total, but the quality of those innings was excellent: He slotted in between Felix Hernandez and Chris Sale on the major-league FIP leaderboard. Ryu was mostly a fastball-changeup pitcher in 2013, but he refined his curve and slider to the point where they were actually better weapons than the change. Add 2013 (or better) quantity to 2014 quality and you've got a Cy Young Award candidate. Oh, and the entertainment he provides with Juan Uribe is good enough to land them their own sitcom on the Dodgers' regional sports network. Seriously, how has SportsNet LA not made this a thing yet? Time Warner Cable is paying the Dodgers $8 billion over 25 years for TV rights; it might as well try to make some of that money back with "The Ryuribe Show."
2014 Ryu had an inspired introduction to the majors, impressing his new hosts with the sleek walk rate that he brought from the KBO. The southpaw kept the ball on the ground en route to 26 double plays, third-most in the NL, largely due to an 80 mph "hadouken" changeup. The off-speed pitch silenced right-handed bats, and he finished with a reverse platoon split of more than 100 points of OPS. His atypical tendency to throw the changeup when behind in the count coaxed mistimed swings from overzealous hitters sitting on heat. He might not fit the traditional mold of a championship-caliber starter, but the results speak for themselves.

BP Articles

Click here to see articles tagged with Hyun-jin Ryu

BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2018-11-30 13:00:00 (link to chat)What does a full season of Hyun-Jin Ryu look like this year? Could he have a better year than Buehler?
(tallahassee from Chatham, NJ)
I think he goes back to being a solid number 3 with like 90% of the workload you want, but I don't think he has close to Buehler's upside. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2015-08-13 20:00:00 (link to chat)Greg, in a points league would you rather have Jason Heyward ($12) and Jesse Winker ($1) for Rusney Castillo ($4), Matt Shoemaker ($1), and Hyun-Jin Ryu ($2)? I am looking for some long term OF help.
(Matthew from Twin Cities)
Heyward and Winker and it's not even close (Greg Wellemeyer)
2014-07-29 14:00:00 (link to chat)Hyun-Jin Ryu is apparently mimicking Kershaw's slider and Beckett's curve these days. According to pitchfx, how well is he doing it?
(Daniel Dinosaur from Chicago)
Is that why the dodgers are winning so many games? The sliders don't look the same (in terms of spin), and the curves don't either. I guess the grip isn't everything. (Noah Woodward)
2014-03-19 20:00:00 (link to chat)International signings seem to have huge benefits: (Cespedes, Wei-Yin Chen, Darvish, Puig and Hyun-Jin Ryu). Who are a couple of the next big players we should look out for?
(Silverback38 from VA)
There's not much coming out of Japan. Kenta Maeda is the next pitcher who will come over (likely for 2015), but he's a soft-tossing #4 profile. Cuba has some good hitters in Jose Fernandez and Yasmani Tomas, but who knows when or if they'll defect. (Bret Sayre)
2014-02-26 19:00:00 (link to chat)What do you expect from Hyun-Jin Ryu this year? Regression?
(Joe from Indiana)
We talked about this a bit on Flags Fly Forever, I do expect him to come back a bit as the K Rate isn't exactly eye popping. He's going to be a good #3 I think but I'm not sure about him being a Top Of The Rotation guy. (Mauricio Rubio)
2014-02-28 14:00:00 (link to chat)I know Spring Training is essentially meaningless, but have there been any pitchers that have really impressed you from any improvements you've seen so far?
(NightmareRec0n from Boston)
Spring Training mechanics are extremely volatile as pitchers round out into shape, and it can be dangerous to overweight what one sees in the first week. For example, Hyun-jin Ryu looked sluggish with his motion early last spring in my first exposure to his delivery, but he looked like a different pitcher by the time that the regular season rolled around. I haven't seen much to get excited about yet, aside from the blatant differences in Bauer's mechanics - he showed the opposite trend of most early-spring pitchers, with better balance than in the past, which made his alterations notable. (Doug Thorburn)
2013-12-20 14:00:00 (link to chat)What's your best guess for Hyun-Jin Ryu in 2014? Better, worse, or about the same?
(MickeyRivers from NY)
The big question is whether the league can adjust to him. Ryu pitched somewhat backwards last season, leaning on his change-up in hitter's counts in order to take advantage of over-zealous bats. It was extremely effective and made him a weapon against right-handed bats - he had a reverse platoon split - and a lefty who can't be platooned against can be devastating.

On the jukebox: The Doors, "The Crystal Ship" (Doug Thorburn)
2013-08-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is Hyun-Jin Ryu actually as good as his sub-3.00 ERA suggests? His K% plummeted in May & June, and I expected massive regression, but he's bumped it back up lately and continues to prevent runs.
(Dave from Iowa)
He's probably more of a low-to-mid 3s guy if I had to project going fwd, but he's definitely a quality pitcher. Can miss bats, but also keeps the ball on the ground very well. (Paul Sporer)
2013-07-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)How has Bartolo Colon done what he's done? Is his jiggling almost hypnotic to hitters?
(John from Springfield)
Love that this was the first question submitted, so while I may jump around, I'm totally fine starting here. The simple answer is that he doesn't walk anybody, but as Ben and Sam on the podcast pointed out, that's not always an automatic route to success. Joe Blanton was an example. The slightly more complicated answer is that his late-career evolution has brought him overwhelmingly toward the two-seamer, which is a great pitch for him and one that routinely gets strikes.

Or maybe it is the fat. I don't know. I feel like between him and my personal favorite, the delightfully out-of-shape Hyun-Jin Ryu, we're in a decent era of fat pitchers. (Zachary Levine)


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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

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