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Justin Smoak 1BGiants

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2019 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 32)

PA	AVG	HR	R	RBI	SB	DRC+	WARP
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Birth Date	12-5-1986
Height	6' 4"
Weight	220 lbs

Age	37 years, 4 months, 19 days
Bats	B
Throws	L

: 1.02015
: -0.32016
: 3.62017
: 0.82018
: 2.02019
proj

WARP Summary

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MLB Statistics

YEAR	TEAM	AGE	G	PA	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	DRC+	DRAA	BRR	FRAA	BWARP
2010	SEA	23	30	122	27	4	0	5	8	34	0	0	0	.239	.287	.407	90	-1.3	-0.3	-1.8	-0.2
2010	TEX	23	70	275	49	10	0	8	38	57	0	1	0	.209	.316	.353	92	-2.2	0.4	3.0	0.4
2011	SEA	24	123	489	100	24	0	15	55	105	3	0	0	.234	.323	.396	100	0.8	-3.1	-5.1	-0.3
2012	SEA	25	132	535	105	14	0	19	49	111	1	1	0	.217	.290	.364	96	-2.4	-2.5	-10.7	-1.1
2013	SEA	26	131	521	108	19	0	20	64	119	2	0	0	.238	.334	.412	114	9.1	-5.1	-9.1	0.0
2014	SEA	27	80	276	50	13	0	7	24	66	2	0	1	.202	.275	.339	86	-4.1	-0.4	-3.3	-0.6
2015	TOR	28	132	328	67	16	1	18	29	86	2	0	0	.226	.299	.470	112	5.9	-2.4	2.1	1.0
2016	TOR	29	126	341	65	10	0	14	40	112	2	1	0	.217	.314	.391	91	-2.8	-1.3	-2.3	-0.3
2017	TOR	30	158	637	151	29	1	38	73	128	2	0	1	.270	.355	.529	135	29.8	0.6	-0.9	3.6
2018	TOR	31	147	594	122	34	0	25	83	156	3	0	1	.242	.350	.457	117	14.2	-5.1	-7.2	0.8
2019	TOR	32	121	500	86	16	0	22	79	106	6	0	0	.208	.342	.406	111	9.5	-2.0	-5.5	0.7
Career			1250	4618	930	189	2	191	542	1080	23	3	3	.231	.324	.420	108	56.4	-21.2	-40.7	4.2

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shown —Click to hide.

YEAR	Team	Lg	LG	G	PA	oppAVG	oppOBP	oppSLG	BABIP	BPF	BRAA	repLVL	POS_ADJ	DRC+	DRC+ SD	FRAA	BRR	DRAA	BWARP
2008	CLN	A	MDW	14	62	.260	.333	.382	.326	98	4.4	2.0	-1.3	138	0	1.0	-0.3	2.0	0.3
2009	FRI	AA	TXS	50	227	.278	.349	.404	.380	112	13.3	6.4	-4.1	167	0	-0.2	-3.4	13.5	1.3
2009	OKL	AAA	PCL	54	237	.272	.340	.420	.297	86	1.6	6.8	-4.4	100	0	1.0	-1.5	0.8	0.3
2009	RNG	Rk	AZL	2	7	.206	.277	.264	.667	88	0.3	0.1	-0.1	163	0	0.0	0.0	0.6	0.1
2010	SEA	MLB	AL	30	122	.254	.319	.394	.293	100	-2.8	3.4	-2.2	90	10	-1.8	-0.3	-1.3	-0.2
2010	TEX	MLB	AL	70	275	.263	.328	.412	.238	112	-7.1	7.6	-4.8	92	10	3.0	0.4	-2.2	0.4
2010	OKL	AAA	PCL	15	66	.273	.336	.422	.325	97	5.8	2.0	-1.3	150	0	0.0	-0.2	16.9	1.7
2010	TAC	AAA	PCL	35	159	.270	.344	.429	.309	89	14.3	6.0	-3.8	153	0	-3.0	-1.1	18.1	1.6
2011	SEA	MLB	AL	123	489	.253	.315	.398	.273	94	6.3	13.2	-8.4	100	7	-5.1	-3.1	0.8	-0.3
2011	TAC	AAA	PCL	4	15	.280	.364	.415	.000	90	-2.7	0.5	-0.3	61	0	0.4	0.2	-0.7	0.0
2012	SEA	MLB	AL	132	535	.251	.313	.403	.242	90	-11.2	14.7	-9.4	96	9	-10.7	-2.5	-2.4	-1.1
2012	TAC	AAA	PCL	20	82	.290	.351	.434	.320	91	0.5	2.4	-1.6	111	0	-1.2	0.4	1.4	0.1
2013	SEA	MLB	AL	131	521	.252	.319	.394	.278	94	10.5	13.7	-8.7	114	8	-9.1	-5.1	9.1	0.0
2013	TAC	AAA	PCL	5	22	.271	.340	.422	.313	95	0.1	0.6	-0.4	80	0	-0.2	0.3	-0.7	0.0
2014	SEA	MLB	AL	80	276	.255	.317	.390	.243	89	-5.7	7.1	-4.5	86	12	-3.3	-0.4	-4.1	-0.6
2014	TAC	AAA	PCL	56	249	.281	.346	.438	.376	88	26.6	7.3	-4.7	152	0	-1.7	-0.9	13.1	1.3
2015	TOR	MLB	AL	132	328	.253	.314	.410	.254	108	1	8.9	-5.3	112	13	2.1	-2.4	5.9	1.0
2016	TOR	MLB	AL	126	341	.261	.320	.431	.295	110	-5.6	9.6	-5.9	91	9	-2.3	-1.3	-2.8	-0.3
2017	TOR	MLB	AL	158	637	.251	.320	.420	.285	105	20	18.6	-11.8	135	10	-0.9	0.6	29.8	3.6
2018	TOR	MLB	AL	147	594	.248	.317	.411	.297	106	13.7	16.7	-10.6	117	9	-7.2	-5.1	14.2	0.8
2019	TOR	MLB	AL	121	500	.248	.317	.424	.223	100	0.5	15.1	-9.6	111	5	-5.5	-2.0	9.5	0.7

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shown —Click to hide.

Year	Team	lvl	LG	PA	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	TB	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	ISO	SF	SH
2008	CLN	A	MDW	62	56	9	17	3	0	3	29	6	5	10	0	0	.304	.361	.518	.214	0	0
2009	FRI	AA	TXS	227	183	30	60	10	0	6	88	29	39	35	0	0	.328	.453	.481	.153	0	0
2009	RNG	Rk	AZL	7	6	3	4	0	1	2	12	5	1	1	0	0	.667	.714	2.000	1.333	0	0
2009	OKL	AAA	PCL	237	197	25	48	11	0	4	71	23	35	45	0	0	.244	.366	.360	.117	0	0
2010	OKL	AAA	PCL	66	50	10	15	6	0	2	27	5	16	8	0	0	.300	.470	.540	.240	0	0
2010	TAC	AAA	PCL	159	133	23	36	7	0	7	64	25	23	32	0	0	.271	.382	.481	.211	0	0
2010	TEX	MLB	AL	275	235	29	49	10	0	8	83	34	38	57	1	0	.209	.316	.353	.145	2	0
2010	SEA	MLB	AL	122	113	11	27	4	0	5	46	14	8	34	0	0	.239	.287	.407	.168	1	0
2011	SEA	MLB	AL	489	427	38	100	24	0	15	169	55	55	105	0	0	.234	.323	.396	.162	4	0
2011	TAC	AAA	PCL	15	11	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	.000	.267	.000	.000	0	0
2012	TAC	AAA	PCL	82	66	10	16	6	1	0	24	4	16	16	1	0	.242	.390	.364	.121	0	0
2012	SEA	MLB	AL	535	483	49	105	14	0	19	176	51	49	111	1	0	.217	.290	.364	.147	2	0
2013	SEA	MLB	AL	521	454	53	108	19	0	20	187	50	64	119	0	0	.238	.334	.412	.174	1	0
2013	TAC	AAA	PCL	22	21	2	5	2	0	0	7	1	0	5	0	0	.238	.273	.333	.095	0	0
2014	SEA	MLB	AL	276	248	28	50	13	0	7	84	30	24	66	0	1	.202	.275	.339	.137	2
2014	TAC	AAA	PCL	249	205	29	69	13	0	7	103	40	33	41	0	2	.337	.422	.502	.166	8
2015	TOR	MLB	AL	328	296	44	67	16	1	18	139	59	29	86	0	0	.226	.299	.470	.243	1	0
2016	TOR	MLB	AL	341	299	33	65	10	0	14	117	34	40	112	1	0	.217	.314	.391	.174	0	0
2017	TOR	MLB	AL	637	560	85	151	29	1	38	296	90	73	128	0	1	.270	.355	.529	.259	2	0
2018	TOR	MLB	AL	594	505	67	122	34	0	25	231	77	83	156	0	1	.242	.350	.457	.216	3	0
2019	TOR	MLB	AL	500	414	54	86	16	0	22	168	61	79	106	0	0	.208	.342	.406	.198	1	0

Plate Discipline

YEAR	Pits	Zone%	Swing%	Contact%	Z-Swing%	O-Swing%	Z-Contact%	O-Contact%	SwStr%	CSAA
2010	1521	0.4990	0.4221	0.7601	0.5968	0.2480	0.8653	0.5079	0.2399	0.0018
2011	1902	0.4874	0.4464	0.7373	0.6386	0.2636	0.8176	0.5525	0.2627	-0.0016
2012	1970	0.4812	0.4279	0.7758	0.6034	0.2652	0.8741	0.5683	0.2242	0.0115
2013	2076	0.4725	0.4451	0.7695	0.6381	0.2721	0.8450	0.6107	0.2305	-0.0053
2014	1103	0.4714	0.4334	0.7385	0.6231	0.2642	0.8611	0.4805	0.2615	0.0084
2015	1265	0.4530	0.4245	0.7020	0.6126	0.2688	0.8291	0.4624	0.2980	0.0004
2016	1370	0.4759	0.4533	0.7037	0.6212	0.3008	0.8148	0.4954	0.2963	0.0000
2017	2573	0.4516	0.4287	0.7652	0.6299	0.2629	0.8497	0.5984	0.2348	0.0000
2018	2439	0.4695	0.4022	0.7452	0.5825	0.2427	0.8396	0.5446	0.2548	0.0000
2019	2023	0.4785	0.3959	0.7603	0.6095	0.2000	0.8593	0.4834	0.2397	0.0000
Career	18242	0.4734	0.4264	0.7497	0.6153	0.2567	0.8461	0.5400	0.2503	0.0012

Injury History — No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On	Date Off	Transaction	Days	Games	Side	Body Part	Injury	Severity	Surgery Date	Reaggravation
2014-06-10	2014-07-04	15-DL	24	22	Left	Thigh	Strain	Quadriceps	-
2014-06-08	2014-06-09	DTD	1	1	Left	Thigh	Tightness	Quadriceps	-
2014-06-03	2014-06-03	DTD	0	0	Left	Thigh	Tightness	Quadriceps	-
2013-09-15	2013-09-16	DTD	1	1	Left	Thigh	Tightness	Quadriceps	-	-
2013-05-30	2013-06-18	15-DL	19	18	Right	Abdomen	Strain	Oblique	-
2013-05-26	2013-05-29	DTD	3	3	-	Abdomen	Strain	Oblique	-	-
2012-06-20	2012-06-22	DTD	2	1	Right	Knee	Contusion	Foul Ball	-	-
2012-04-22	2012-04-25	DTD	3	2	Right	Thigh	Strain	Hamstring	-	-
2012-04-18	2012-04-19	DTD	1	1	Right	Thigh	Tightness	Hamstring	-	-
2011-09-15	2011-09-20	DTD	5	4	Right	Groin	Strain		-	-
2011-08-13	2011-09-02	15-DL	20	19	-	Face	Fracture	Nose and Maxilla From Ground Ball	-	-
2011-08-03	2011-08-12	DTD	9	7	Left	Thumb	Sprain		-	-
2011-07-25	2011-07-25	DTD	0	0	Right	Thumb	Soreness	About One Month Ago	-	-
2011-06-25	2011-06-25	DTD	0	0		General Medical	Illness		-
2011-05-16	2011-05-16	DTD	0	0		Ankle	Sprain		-
2010-03-07	2010-03-10	Camp	3	0	Left	Hip	Strain	Hip Flexor	-
2009-05-29	2009-06-23	Minors	25	0	Left	Abdomen	Strain	Oblique	-

Compensation

Year	Team	Salary
2020	MIL	$4,000,000
2019	TOR	$8,000,000
2018	TOR	$4,125,000
2017	TOR	$4,125,000
2016	TOR	$3,900,000
2015	TOR	$1,000,000
2014	SEA	$2,637,500
2013	SEA	$514,000
2012	SEA	$495,100
2011	SEA	$419,000

Years	Description	Salary
10 yr	Previous	$29,215,600
10 yr	Total	$29,215,600

Service Time	Agent	Contract Status
10 y 69 d	Bledsoe Agency	2021

Details

1 year/$6M (2021). Signed by Yomiuri Giants of Japan 1/6/21.
1 year/$5M (2020), plus 2021 club option. Signed by Milwaukee as a free agent 12/20/19 (minor-league contract). 20:$4M, 21:$5.5M club option ($1M buyout). Released by Milwaukee 9/6/20. Signed by San Francisco as a free agent 9/9/20 (minor-league contract). Contract selected by San Francisco 9/10/20. DFA by San Francisco 9/21/20.
2 years/$8.5M (2017-18), plus 2019 club option. Signed extension with Toronto 7/16/16. 17:$4.125M, 18:$4.125M, 19:$6M club option ($250,000 buyout). 2019 option may increase to $7M with 950 PAs in 2017-18 combined or to $8M with 1,100 PAs in 2017-18 combined (met). Toronto exercised 2019 option at $8M 10/31/18.
1 year/$3.9M (2016). Re-signed by Toronto 12/2/15 (avoided arbitration).
1 year/$1M (2015). Re-signed by Toronto as a free agent 12/3/14.
1 year/$2.7875M (2014), plus 2015 club option. Re-signed by Seattle 2/15/14 (avoided arbitration, $3.25M-$2.025M). 14:$2.6375M, 15:$3.65M club option, $0.15M buyout. 2015 option guaranteed with 525 plate appearances in 2014. Claimed by Toronto off waivers from Seattle 10/28/14. Toronto declined 2015 option 11/1/14. Non-tendered by Toronto 12/2/14.
1 year/$514,000 (2013). Re-signed by Seattle 3/13.
1 year/$495,100 (2012). Re-signed by Seattle 2/27/12.
1 year/$419,000 (2011). Re-signed by Seattle 2/27/11.
1 year (2010). Contract purchased by Texas 4/22/10. Acquired by Seattle in trade from Texas 7/9/10 (Cliff Lee deal).
Drafted by Texas 2008 (1-11) (South Carolina). Signed 8/15/08, $3.5M signing bonus.

2019 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT	PA	H	2B	HR	BB	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	DRC+	FRAA
90^o	54	13	3	2	7	12	.277	.370	.468	136	1B -1
80^o	36	9	2	2	5	8	.290	.389	.548	129	1B 0
70^o	23	5	1	1	3	5	.250	.348	.450	124	1B 0
60^o	12	3	1	0	1	3	.300	.364	.400	119	1B 0
50^o	1	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	115	1B 0
Weighted Mean	4	1	0	0	0	1	.333	.333	.333	116	1B 0

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BP Annual Player Comments

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BP Articles

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BP Chats

Date	Question	Answer
2019-11-07 14:00:00 (link to chat)	What do you make of Milwaukee declining the contract for Thames without having an established 1B on the roster. Think they try to bring him back at a reduced cost? (sportsguy21792 from Madison)	There are quite a few 1Bs available this offseason and none who are expected to cost all that much. They could and probably will bring back Eric Thames, but could also go after Mitch Moreland, Jose Abreu, Justin Smoak, Howie Kendrick, Yoshitomo Tsutsugo. Thames is cool, but if I were a Brewers fan I'd rather they get someone capable of playing every day. Thames is a platoon bat. (Free Agent Chat w/Collin Whitchurch)
2019-07-09 12:00:00 (link to chat)	Is Justin Smoak capable of playing 1B full time for an NL team? What teams do you expect to pursue him? (Craig from Chicago)	Let's assume he is, I still don't know that any buyer at the deadline would see him as enough of a first base upgrade to give up much. I think it's more likely he's a Justin Bour type bench bat for a contender (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2019-04-24 13:00:00 (link to chat)	What would Toronto want from Milwaukee for Justin Smoak? Asking for a friend. (Phil from Toronto)	I don't know exactly what they'd want, but I can't see Milwaukee being desperate for Smoak. Aguilar has been brutal but Thames has been fine and they have enough depth that they can either shift Moustakas or Shaw to first and call up Hiura if they need. So maybe Toronto seeks a Marcos Diplan or Trey Supak but it's hard for me to see Milwaukee biting on that given their options. (Craig Goldstein)
2019-04-10 21:00:00 (link to chat)	Is Nate Lowe more like CJ Cron or the next Goldy? (wrburgess from KC)	Hah, if you're going to force me to pick one of those options ... Rays fans will not like the answer. BUT: I think his power and plate discipline numbers in the minors are extremely impressive and point toward success. Goldy is such a lofty name because of his all-around game. I'm not a scout, don't know Lowe well enough to tell you a whole lot about his defense or baserunning, but I still feel FAIRLY confident saying they won't be Goldy level. I do think he'll hit better and more consistently than Cron. How about recent vintage Justin Smoak? That seems like a realistic, but very positive outcome. (Zach Crizer)
2018-02-06 15:00:00 (link to chat)	Which Justin are you more bullish on for this season - Justin Smoak or Justin Bour? (Charlie from Sacramento)	Smoak for me. I believe in the changes he made and as long as he's not getting destroyed by breaking balls, I think he's going to keep hitting for plenty of power and a decent average. Bour has monstrous power but I'm not convinced that the platoon issues are gone and that could severely limit his upside. (Darius Austin)
2018-01-31 14:00:00 (link to chat)	$280 cap 12 team keeper league - Please rank the following 4 potential keepers in terms of 2018 value: Eric Hosmer $26, Jake Lamb $11, Chris Taylor $7, Justin Smoak $6 Locked in Keepers are Willson Contreras, Jose Ramirez, Alex Bregman, Tim Anderson and Hunter Renfroe Thanks! (Corey from Hoboken, NJ)	Taylor, Smoak, Lamb, Hosmer. Hosmer is good, despite a sabr reputation to the contrary, but he's not $20 better than Smoak. (Mark Barry)
2016-05-18 19:00:00 (link to chat)	Thanks George. Do you think Justin Smoak has taken a step forward this year, or is his OBP just due to small sample size? (Keith from Farmington, CT)	I do. Here's whats crazy, Smoak has already walked 17 times in 100 PA. Last year, he walked just 29 times in 328 PA. I think the approach has improved, he's guaranteed at-bats with Colabello gone. I've always liked Smoak and it's a shame he got traded to Seattle all those years ago. Another hitting prospect the Mariners just failed miserably to develop. (George Bissell)
2015-04-16 17:00:00 (link to chat)	Bench players with a chance to perform at high level if given a chance....? (Deep leagues) (Darnell Coles from Jose Batista before he was good)	Justin Smoak. Peter Bourjos if only for the steals. (I still believe in him, and now he had the hip surgery). Aaron Hill (he'll get traded, and the guy can hit when healthy). (Mike Gianella)
2014-05-15 20:00:00 (link to chat)	Dynasty league you like CJ Cron, Justin Smoak or Junior Lake more? And what about just this season? (Rick from Hoffa)	Ugh, if I have to pick one it's probably Cron, but I"m not happy about it. (Bret Sayre)
2014-04-09 19:00:00 (link to chat)	What are your thoughts about Justin Smoak? It's a small sample this season, not he has looked good; always a patient hitter but now actually doing some of the hitting. With Cano in front of him, there will be opportunities. Thanks. Keep up the good work on TINO. (Billy from Chicago)	Thanks Billy. I need to see more from Smoak but I'm encouraged by his very early season success. I'm kinda buying it. (Mauricio Rubio)
2014-04-03 19:30:00 (link to chat)	Do you believe in Justin Smoak? Has he finally figured it out and worthy of picking up in Head-to-Head dynasty? (Guest from ures)	Depends on league depth. Probably worth an add on the offchance that he has figured it out but the Angels bullpen is a tirefire, so we shouldn't assume anything just yet (Craig Goldstein)
2013-05-28 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Seems like the M's are finally holding their struggling super prospects accountable. Do you think Justin Smoak is sweating a little bit right now? (James from Morgantown)	Yep, the Mariners have an entire roster of 1B/DHs especially after converting Jesus Montero to yet another one. He's very frustrating because just when he seems to have figured out how to get on base, the power hasn't been there. (Zachary Levine)
2013-05-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Is Justin Smoak worth keeping around in 16 team dynasty league, or is he just taking up a spot? (Mat from Toronto)	Oof, probably just taking a spot. I've about lost all hope. (Paul Sporer)
2013-04-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Is Justin Smoak ever going to hit enough to be an average first baseman? Is Montero ever going to hit enough to warrant placement as a DH some day? (Mike from Seattle)	Hey Mike, good questions. Smoak had a great spring, but once the bell rang he went back to doing what he always seems to do. I'm not ready to give up on him yet, but it's getting close. As for Montero, he is younger and a better hitter. I wrote about him last October and discovered something interesting: He had an 839 OPS as a catcher in 2012 vs a 571 OPS as a DH. So he'll need to fix that first if that's the route the M's want to go with him. (Geoff Young)
2013-02-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)	With the Mariners trading Mike Carp, what are your thoughts on Justin Smoak? Any indication from what you're seeing/reading that he could break out any time soon? (johnpatrickbail from Washington, DC)	Smoak seems like a guy who really knows how to play baseball well but can't actually do it. If that makes sense. I just don't think he is capable of hitting the ball hard regularly, and this'll be the last ST we'll pay attention to him. (Sam Miller)
2013-02-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Justin Smoak face-planted. Still hope for him? (Nate from Fort Worth)	Good call. I'm not sure. I thought he would be a first-division player. Not sure he carves out a career as a regular. (Jason Parks)
2013-02-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)	For the next five years, you have the option of Mitch Moreland or Justin Smoak at first base. Probably not ideal either way, but go with me here. Which do you take? Do you believe in Smoak at all at this point? (Steve from Yellowstone)	Moreland. He can actually make contact. (Jason Parks)
2012-12-20 14:00:00 (link to chat)	Does the Morales trade make you think the M's want to have Montero catch every day? (Steve from New York, NY)	Thanks for stopping by, Steve. I think that was the Mariners' intention when they acquired Montero last offseason, and while he was definitely rough around the edges in 2011, that's one possible inference from this trade. That said, they have an underrated catcher in John Jaso, who has done more than enough against RHP in his brief career to warrant a look, and they might try to trade Justin Smoak to open up first base for Morales. This is a situation to monitor in the coming weeks. (Daniel Rathman)
2012-12-28 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Hey Geoff, What do you think the Mariners' infield looks like for most of the season? (captnamerca from Dunedin)	Howdy Captain. I'm assuming it'll be similar to last year's, with Kendrys Morales displacing Justin Smoak at first base. Nick Franklin could make things interesting at second if Dustin Ackley doesn't get his act together. (Geoff Young)
2012-10-04 14:00:00 (link to chat)	Mariners fire another hitting coach, does this acutally do anything or is it just a way of scapegoating another crappy season? (Ed W from Washington State)	It's scapegoating, mostly, but I think in this case the Mariners are also looking for a bit of a fresh start. As was reported several days ago, they are moving in the outfield walls at Safeco, which should both help the hitters already on their roster and perhaps attract more free agents to Seattle. But one thing getting a new hitting coach now does, is when hitters like Justin Smoak and Kyle Seager begin to post better overall numbers, the organization will be able to spin it as the new hitting coach making a difference. (Daniel Rathman)
2012-08-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)	If you don't mind a fantasy question, who would be your final keeper among Chris Carter, Travis Snider and Justin Smoak? It's a dynasty league, no contracts or time limits. (Rob from Alaska)	Carter would be my guy. Snider has looked good in Pittsburgh, but I'm more confident in Carter's improvement than Snider's. Smoak... I'm bearish. He's the clear third guy for me. (Bradley Ankrom)
2011-12-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Ultimately, who do you think will have the better MLB career, Freddie Freeman or Justin Smoak? (Anello from Chicago)	Smoak (Jason Parks)
2011-12-02 14:00:00 (link to chat)	What does Justin Smoak project to be at this point? (Bret from Phoenix)	I'm still optimistic in him turning into a solid to slightly more first baseman, but hard to see star anymore. (Kevin Goldstein)
2011-11-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)	How do you value Josh Johnson for 2012? I could potentially get him in a lifetime keeper league for something like Logan Morrison or Justin Smoak. I generally prefer hitters to pitchers, and Josh Johnson is a pretty good example of why. Is this a risk I should consider? My team is a contender and I need to add pitching (that will be the focus of my draft) as I tend to keep many more hitters than pitchers. (Jake from Kalamazoo)	He's elite when healthy, but the shoulder injury is obviously worrisome. Still, for the price of Justin Smoak, I think my trigger finger gets too itchy and I make the deal. (Derek Carty)
2011-04-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Christian Friedrich or Justin Smoak? (Adam J. Morris from H-Town)	Smoak. (Jason Parks)
2011-02-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Who has the better year/career? Freddie Freeman, Brandon Belt, or Justin Smoak? (Sean from DC)	Year 2011: Smoak, Freeman, Belt Career: Smoak/Freeman/Belt (but its close). (Jason Parks)
2010-07-29 16:30:00 (link to chat)	Matt, use the Swartz... How toxic is the situation in Seattle given the Figgins brawl and how does something like that effect young players like Justin Smoak in there development and adjustment to the bigs? (Jquinton82 from NY)	I'm sure that Justin Smoak is a human being, and he probably doesn't feel all that comfortable with the tumult going on there, but at the same time, he's an adult and he's got a lot of incentive to do his best and make a good career for himself. I doubt it has long-term effects, but it's not like I know him personally. (Matt Swartz)
2010-07-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Peart kicks ass, no doubt. Too bad I write so few good tunes for him to play on. (Geddy Lee from Canada)	Ouch. Let's not make fun of Rush, I'll have to tell Jonah Keri so the two of us can gang up on you. Current indications are the Rangers are the team gunning for Cliff Lee now--I hope they don't do something silly, like trade Justin Smoak within their division. (Marc Normandin)
2010-06-18 14:00:00 (link to chat)	Thank you for answering my earlier question. Who do you like better long-term as a hitter: Justin Smoak or Jesus Montero? Do you think Montero will stay in the Yankees organization or eventually become trade bait? (Dennis from LA)	No problem! I like what I've seen with Smoak even though the numbers aren't much right now, but I haven't seen Montero really. Where is Montero going to play, though? The only opening is catcher, and they seem to think he can't play there. Tex is signed for another 113 seasons so he isn't going to play there. I guess they could call him up and use him as a DH, but I'd like to have that question answered first, and to see Montero in the bigs before being confident in the answer. (Eric Seidman)
2010-06-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)	The reputation that permitted him to steal the 2006 MVP from the clearly correct choice, Joe Mauer? (Minneapolitan from Nashville)	That's the one! I think he got tired of people saying Justin Smoak was the switch-hitting Justin Morneau, or that Joey Votto was the hitter people thought Justin Morneau was. He's taken it up a notch or six. (Marc Normandin)
2010-03-03 14:00:00 (link to chat)	So you are down on Alonso for not showing power (despite slugging nearly .500 in the FSL) but love Justin Smoak for slugging .440 in the PCL and Texas League combined, while hitting lefties just as bad as Alonso did in 2009? Care to go into that one? (Doug from Cincinnati)	Sure. Smoak is a much, much better pure HITTER than Alonso, and more scouts believe in Smoak's power blossoming than those that believe in Alonso's. (Kevin Goldstein)
2009-12-11 13:00:00 (link to chat)	What do you think of the Josh Johnson for Justin Smoak and Neftali rumor? even if it was just a rumor (jarjets89 from NJ)	I think the Rangers would be silly silly silly to do that. (Kevin Goldstein)
2009-10-13 14:00:00 (link to chat)	I was a huge supporter of Chris Davis coming into the year, but even though he still struck out a ton last season, he looked utterly helpless at the plate this year. Do you see any hope for a turn around? (ramjam36 from Fort Worth, TX)	I'd rather not give up on Davis just yet. It isn't like we're talking Hank Blalock here--Davis has value on defense, still has tremendous power, and may have had the lessons stick from his in-season demotion. It doesn't cost anything to invest the time to wait and see, up until the point that Justin Smoak arrives and makes Davis a bit of a distressed property on the roster. That's going to be sooner rather than later, of course, but selling Davis now means selling low, and he's better and more valuable than that. (Christina Kahrl)
2009-06-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)	How long can Texas live with Chris Davis?!!!! It's now reaching the embarrassment stage. (Thomas from NYC)	Max Ramirez tanked and Justin Smoak got hurt. It seems like it has to end soon, but you do need to play someone. (Joe Sheehan)
2009-06-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Justin Smoak is on the DL in the minors, but could the Rangers consider bringing him up if Davis continues to struggle over the next couple of weeks? (KO from Pittsfield, MA)	I'm sure they've already considered it, but I don't expect them to do it. This franchise didn't get better by panicking. The fact that they have options and the problem of "too much talent" tells you how far they've come. (Will Carroll)
2009-05-21 14:00:00 (link to chat)	Is Stephen Strasburg the #1 prospect for 2010? (Jim from D.C.)	Yes. I'm not Kevin, but I figure Jason Heyward, Neftali Feliz, Buster Posey and Justin Smoak are all in the mix. I'm almost certainly forgetting someone. (Joe Sheehan)
2009-05-07 14:00:00 (link to chat)	What current major league player most reminds you of Justin Smoak? What kind of numbers do you expect he will put up early on at the ML level and how about during his prime? (Matt from Palatine, IL)	I'm not a big fan of comps unless they're really obvious. The best one I heard on Smoak is a switch-hitting Morneau with better defensive chops. That one made a lot of sense to me. (Kevin Goldstein)
2009-05-04 14:00:00 (link to chat)	Is Chris Davis' 50% contact rate an anomaly or a representation of his skill set? Do you send him back down or let him work through it? (Mike from Arlington)	I never thought he would make contact enough to hit .270. His current performance isn't really representative, though. The problem is that the Rangers have a chance to win and there's a real possibility that Justin Smoak is already the better player, and if he's not, maybe Max Ramirez is. I don't know that you can go into June with him unless there's improvement (noting that "improvement" may not necessarily immediately translate into results). (Joe Sheehan)
2009-05-04 14:00:00 (link to chat)	Looking ahead to 2010, who are the prospects to watch? (assume strasberg is coming up this year) (joyrider2001 from NYC)	Justin Smoak, Desmond Jennings, Adrian Cardenas, Brian Matusz, Buster Posey. (Joe Sheehan)
2009-04-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)	If Chris Davis continues his struggles will it become time for a Smoak break? (Gavin from County Ct.)	I've been bearish on Davis all year. His strikeout rate won't allow him to hit enough. Justin Smoak, as crazy as it sounds, may be a better player already. He certainly will be by next April. In between...I think if they were to bail on Davis, Max Ramirez would get the ABs. (Joe Sheehan)
2009-03-19 15:00:00 (link to chat)	What can you tell me about Justin Smoak that isn't been widely talked about? You hear about his bat and his ability to field, his power and patience at the plate. Tell me something new, if you please, that the everyday fan might no know. (Ben from Dallas)	His favorite food is steak and he has an older brother named David. Thanks old South Carolina media guide! (Kevin Goldstein)

BP Roundtables

Date	Roundtable Name	Comment
2009-06-10 08:45:00	2009 Draft Coverage, Day Two	KG, this reminds me of the year the Athletics drafted and fell in love with Justin Smoak. Something tells me that, this time around, they get the deal done. (Bryan Smith)

PITCHf/x Hitter Profile

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