Biographical

Portrait of Collin McHugh

Collin McHugh PAstros

Astros Player Cards | Astros Team Audit | Astros Depth Chart

2019 Projections (Rest of Season Projections - seasonal age 32)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
Login or Subscribe today for access to projections!
Birth Date6-19-1987
Height6' 2"
Weight190 lbs
Age32 years, 2 months, 28 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
4.32015
3.32016
0.72017
1.92018
0.02019
proj
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA- WARP
2012 NYN MLB 8 4 21.3 0 4 0 27 8 17 5 95 11.4 3.4 2.1 7.2 0% .328 1.64 5.99 7.59 88 3.23 73.9 0.5
2013 COL 0 4 4 19.0 0 3 0 33 2 8 4 117 15.6 0.9 1.9 3.8 0% .377 1.84 5.23 9.95 105 5.69 136.4 -0.2
2013 NYN 0 3 1 7.0 0 1 0 12 3 3 2 95 15.4 3.9 2.6 3.9 0% .385 2.14 7.16 10.29 89 3.22 77.1 0.1
2014 HOU MLB 25 25 154.7 11 9 0 117 41 157 13 97 6.8 2.4 0.8 9.1 0% .259 1.02 3.13 2.73 85 2.75 67.5 4.0
2015 HOU MLB 32 32 203.7 19 7 0 207 53 171 19 107 9.1 2.3 0.8 7.6 0% .310 1.28 3.54 3.89 93 3.30 77.1 4.3
2016 HOU MLB 33 33 184.7 13 10 0 206 54 177 25 102 10.0 2.6 1.2 8.6 43% .339 1.41 3.90 4.34 93 3.81 84.3 3.3
2017 HOU MLB 12 12 63.3 5 2 0 62 20 62 7 105 8.8 2.8 1.0 8.8 33% .313 1.29 3.80 3.55 101 4.58 97.5 0.7
2018 HOU MLB 58 0 72.3 6 2 0 45 21 94 6 99 5.6 2.6 0.7 11.7 35% .248 0.91 2.75 1.99 78 2.70 60.3 1.9
2019 HOU MLB 35 8 74.7 4 5 0 62 30 82 12 101 7.5 3.6 1.4 9.9 40% .265 1.23 4.44 4.70 103 4.98 101.9 0.5
2013 TOT MLB 7 5 26.0 0 4 0 45 5 11 6 111 15.6 1.7 2.1 3.8 0% .000 1.92 5.75 10.04 101 5.03 120.4 0.0
CareerMLB210119800.758430771232771931028.72.61.08.741%.3011.253.723.95923.5780.615.0

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg LG G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA-
2008 KNG Rk APL 12 8 41.0 0 0 1 47 16 41 5 97 10.3 3.5 1.1 9.0 0% .341 1.54 4.61 4.17 101 5.22 106.8
2009 BRO A- NYP 14 14 75.0 8 2 0 61 21 79 1 90 7.3 2.5 0.1 9.5 0% .302 1.09 2.41 2.76 84 3.72 78.3
2010 SAV A SAL 28 20 132.3 7 8 1 139 38 129 7 91 9.5 2.6 0.5 8.8 0% .339 1.34 3.39 3.33 0 0.00 0.0
2011 SLU A+ FSL 9 6 35.7 1 2 1 47 14 39 3 106 11.9 3.5 0.8 9.8 0% .411 1.71 3.54 6.31 86 6.06 123.6
2011 BIN AA EAS 18 16 93.3 8 2 2 78 32 100 2 93 7.5 3.1 0.2 9.6 0% .302 1.18 2.82 2.89 80 3.30 67.3
2012 NYN MLB NL 8 4 21.3 0 4 0 27 8 17 5 95 11.4 3.4 2.1 7.2 0% .328 1.64 5.99 7.59 88 3.23 73.9
2012 BIN AA EAS 12 12 74.7 5 5 0 63 17 65 4 102 7.6 2.0 0.5 7.8 0% .278 1.07 3.03 2.41 84 3.38 70.5
2012 BUF AAA INT 13 13 73.7 2 4 0 60 29 70 8 101 7.3 3.5 1.0 8.6 0% .256 1.21 3.93 3.42 96 3.74 77.8
2013 COL MLB NL 4 4 19.0 0 3 0 33 2 8 4 117 15.6 0.9 1.9 3.8 0% .377 1.84 5.23 9.95 105 5.69 136.4
2013 NYN MLB NL 3 1 7.0 0 1 0 12 3 3 2 95 15.4 3.9 2.6 3.9 0% .385 2.14 7.16 10.29 89 3.22 77.1
2013 TUL AA TEX 2 2 13.0 1 1 0 9 0 12 1 90 6.2 0.0 0.7 8.3 0% .250 0.69 2.20 1.38 77 2.88 62.7
2013 CSP AAA PCL 9 9 46.7 2 2 0 52 14 47 2 106 10.0 2.7 0.4 9.1 0% .355 1.41 3.20 4.63 83 4.73 102.9
2013 LVG AAA PCL 9 9 53.3 3 2 0 57 13 41 3 115 9.6 2.2 0.5 6.9 0% .329 1.31 3.71 2.87 84 4.71 102.3
2014 HOU MLB AL 25 25 154.7 11 9 0 117 41 157 13 97 6.8 2.4 0.8 9.1 0% .259 1.02 3.13 2.73 85 2.75 67.5
2014 OKL AAA PCL 5 3 19.0 0 0 0 15 6 13 0 96 7.1 2.8 0.0 6.2 0% .263 1.11 3.27 3.79 100 3.49 73.9
2015 HOU MLB AL 32 32 203.7 19 7 0 207 53 171 19 107 9.1 2.3 0.8 7.6 0% .310 1.28 3.54 3.89 93 3.30 77.1
2016 HOU MLB AL 33 33 184.7 13 10 0 206 54 177 25 102 10.0 2.6 1.2 8.6 43% .339 1.41 3.90 4.34 93 3.81 84.3
2017 HOU MLB AL 12 12 63.3 5 2 0 62 20 62 7 105 8.8 2.8 1.0 8.8 33% .313 1.29 3.80 3.55 101 4.58 97.5
2017 CCH AA TEX 4 4 15.0 0 0 0 18 4 11 1 96 10.8 2.4 0.6 6.6 57% .340 1.47 3.72 3.60 98 5.78 123.0
2017 FRE AAA PCL 1 1 1.0 0 0 0 3 1 1 0 100 27.0 9.0 0.0 9.0 80% .600 4.00 4.72 27.00 98 5.93 126.3
2018 HOU MLB AL 58 0 72.3 6 2 0 45 21 94 6 99 5.6 2.6 0.7 11.7 35% .248 0.91 2.75 1.99 78 2.70 60.3
2019 HOU MLB AL 35 8 74.7 4 5 0 62 30 82 12 101 7.5 3.6 1.4 9.9 40% .265 1.23 4.44 4.70 103 4.98 101.9
2019 CCH AA TEX 3 0 3.0 0 0 0 2 1 4 0 6.0 3.0 0.0 12.0 43% .286 1.00 1.78 3.00 89 3.73 76.7
2019 ROU AAA PCL 1 0 0.7 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 13.5 13.5 13.5 13.5 50% .000 3.00 24.79 27.00 127 8.09 166.5

Plate Discipline

YEAR Pits Zone% Swing% Contact% Z-Swing% O-Swing% Z-Contact% O-Contact% SwStr%
2012 388 0.4433 0.4536 0.7898 0.6279 0.3148 0.7870 0.7941 0.2102
2013 435 0.5218 0.4943 0.8233 0.6388 0.3365 0.8621 0.7429 0.1767
2014 2474 0.5158 0.4539 0.7444 0.6097 0.2880 0.8149 0.5855 0.2556
2015 3224 0.4882 0.4736 0.7616 0.6156 0.3382 0.8380 0.6290 0.2384
2016 3141 0.4862 0.4737 0.7594 0.6110 0.3439 0.8660 0.5802 0.2406
2017 1079 0.5032 0.4708 0.7205 0.6519 0.2873 0.7768 0.5909 0.2795
2018 1204 0.4859 0.4510 0.6869 0.5624 0.3457 0.8176 0.4860 0.3131
2019 1290 0.4713 0.4326 0.7186 0.5740 0.3065 0.8166 0.5550 0.2814
Career132350.49200.46380.74640.60860.32290.83070.59450.2536

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-09-16 2014-09-21 DTD 5 5 Right Wrist Contusion Batted Ball -
2014-07-07 2014-07-27 15-DL 20 14 Right Fingers Avulsion Middle Finger Nail -
2014-06-09 2014-06-13 DTD 4 4 Right Fingers Blister Middle Finger -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2019 HOU $5,800,000
2018 HOU $5,000,000
2017 HOU $3,850,000
2016 HOU $529,000
2015 HOU $516,300
2014 HOU $
2013 NYN $
2012 NYN $
YearsDescriptionSalary
4 yrPrevious$9,895,300
2019Current$5,800,000
5 yrPvs + Cur$15,695,300
5 yrTotal$15,695,300

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
5 y 85 dMoye Sports1 year/$5.8M (2019)

Details
  • 1 year/$5.8M (2019). Re-signed by Houston 1/11/19 (avoided arbitration).
  • 1 year/$5M (2018). Won arbitration with Houston 2/15/18 ($5M-$4.55M).
  • 1 year/$3.85M (2017). Won arbitration with Houston 2/14/17 ($3.85M-$3.35M).
  • 1 year/$0.529M (2016). Re-signed by Houston 3/16.
  • 1 year/$0.5163M (2015). Re-signed by Houston 3/15.
  • 1 year (2014). Re-signed by Houston 3/6/14.
  • 1 year (2013). Re-signed by NY Mets 3/3/13. Acquired by Colorado in trade 6/19/13 after being DFA by NY Mets 6/16/13. Claimed by Houston off waivers 12/18/13 after being DFA by Colorado 12/17/13.
  • 1 year (2012). Contract purchased by NY Mets 8/22/12.
  • Drafted by NY Mets 2008 (18-554) (Berry, Ga.).

2019 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 0.1 0.1 0 2 0 15.0 10 4 18 1 .248 0.93 2.12 2.54 0.5 0.1
80o 0.1 0.1 0 2 0 10.3 7 3 13 1 .260 1.00 2.42 2.9 0.4 0.0
70o 0.1 0.1 0 2 0 7.1 5 2 9 1 .270 1.04 2.65 3.17 0.4 0.0
60o 0.1 0.1 0 2 0 4.4 3 1 5 0 .277 1.09 2.84 3.4 0.3 0.0
50o 0.1 0.1 0 2 0 1.9 1 1 2 0 .285 1.13 3.02 3.61 0.3 0.0
Weighted Mean0.10.10201.31020.2831.123.003.590.30.0

The rest of this card is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers.

Not a subscriber? Click here for a free card so you can see what's missing.

Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or to subscribe and get instant access to the best baseball content on the web.

BP Annual Player Comments

The rest of this card is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers.

Not a subscriber? Click here for a free card so you can see what's missing.

Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or to subscribe and get instant access to the best baseball content on the web.

BP Articles

Click here to see articles tagged with Collin McHugh

BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2018-12-12 17:00:00 (link to chat)Struggling to identify some potential post-hype pitchers to target for cheap this season - you have a couple that you might be scooping up?
(Gary Mack from in the back)
I've never been a big fan, but Steven Matz is slipping so far in early drafts. I still believe in the stuff. Collin McHugh is going to start this year barring an off-the-wall move by Houston and is really solid. (Mike Gianella)
2017-10-23 13:00:00 (link to chat)Counterfactual: What happens if the Astros didn't want to part with any prospects and didn't trade for Verlander?
(nschaef from NYC)
I mean they almost certainly still make the playoffs. It's just a matter of giving starts to [peers over roster] errr, Collin McHugh instead of Justin Verlander. You'd also have a clubhouse that's still justifiably ticked off about only trading for what's left of Francisco Liriano. (Nicolas Stellini)
2017-02-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)Scoresheet, 12-team AL-only league. Gun nowhere in sight, least of all pointed at your head, but an imploring look in your direction, which five do you keep? (Only two NLers.) Yu Darvish, Rich Hill, Jeff Samardjiza, John Lackey, Matt Shoemaker, James Paxton, Collin McHugh, Tyler Skaggs, Steven Wright, Jose Berrios
(touchstoneQu from Minneapolis)
Darvish, Hill, Shark, Lackey, Paxton. I'd love to say Shoe or Skaggs, but they have major health question marks. If you wanted to be daring, Skaggs over Shark would be the way to go. (George Bissell)
2015-04-16 17:00:00 (link to chat)Can Collin McHugh become a #2/3 on a fantasy staff?
(Eddie from Texas)
#2 might be pushing it, but I suppose it's possible. It's only a couple of starts, but he is carrying over success from last year Post All-Star. (Mike Gianella)
2015-01-20 19:30:00 (link to chat)In a dynasty league, I can keep 4 of these 6, who would you keep? Collin McHugh, Andrew Cashner, Carlos Martinez, Dee Gordon, Wil Myers, and Clint Frazier. I'm interested in who has the most long term value. Thanks!
(cracker73 from Florida)
I'd drop McHugh easy, then probably Frazier next. (Ben Carsley)
2015-01-21 15:00:00 (link to chat)What are your thoughts on Collin McHugh? Is he a #2 starter? What is his upside?
(cracker73 from Florida)
I really like McHugh. We probably saw his upside already, but I think that his performance was legit last season and he could retain much of that 2014 performance. (Doug Thorburn)
2014-10-23 14:00:00 (link to chat)What are your thoughts on Collin McHugh? What is his upside?
(cracker73 from Florida)
Big fan, really like the stuff and the delivery, though I think we saw his upside in 2014.

I wrote about McHugh back in June, if you're interested in more details: http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=24018 (Doug Thorburn)
2014-06-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)What are your thoughts on Collin McHugh now? Is he just going to be a flash in the pan or will he have sustained success?
(Danny from Chicago)
I'm really starting to buy in. The strikeouts seem legit, particularly with that curveball. He may be more of a mid-3.00s ERA guy by season's end, but the punchouts will keep him viable (Paul Sporer)
2014-05-02 14:00:00 (link to chat)Hi Doug: Can you evaluate the relative strengths/weaknesses of the Astro three of Jarred Cosart, Dallas Keuchel, and Collin McHugh. My general take is that Cosart has stuff, but control issues limit his upside, Keuchel seems to have harnessed something to start the 2014 season and from what I've read has his share of supporters at BP, and then McHugh I realize has small sample size, but does he have a chance to sustain some amount of the success of his first two starts or is he reversion waiting to happen. I saw that the Astros pitching coach said that he wasn't the same pitcher in late April that he was in spring trainer. Your thoughts on the three and whether any of them are long-term starters (or bullpen or minor-league bound) are appreciated. Thanks.
(Drifter from Long Branch )
I really like Cosart's baseline mechanics, with average or better grades in every category except for Repetition. But there's the rub, because repetition is by far the most important grade on the mechanics report card, and he won't approach ceiling until he can find consistency with his delivery. He is also a 2-pitch guy, essentially, and though he throws very hard, he will need to refine the cambio if he hopes to find sustained success in the rotation.

Keuchel is an example of a pitcher who is very well-balanced but who utilizes a very slow delivery as part of that approach. The pedestrian pace opens up the chance to mistime his delivery and necessitates a different timing pattern from the stretch. Command is key for a pitcher with a 90-mph fastball, and Keuchel has the underpinnings of a pitcher who will struggle with that element at times.

I have not yet had the chance to watch McHugh, but I'm looking forward to seeing him in action. (Doug Thorburn)
2014-04-29 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hi RJ, curious if there is a recent precedent for what Collin McHugh is doing, and if so, how long was Quality Start performance sustained by the precedent? Andrew Albers comes to mind, but I think they're different pitchers.
(Drifter from Long Branch)
Albers is a good call as a pop-up type. Maybe Scott Diamond as well? Back in 2012 he had a pretty good ERA for a few months there. It's funny because McHugh's comment in the annual wasn't the least bit optimistic:

After another disastrous season-this one split between the Mets and Rockies, preceding an offseason waiver claim by the Astros-it's time to ask what McHugh really offers a major-league team. The only pitches he routinely throws for strikes-his fastball and slider-were hammered for slugging percentages over .550 (as was his sinker, at .952). His only asset appears to be his changeup, a groundball machine. But nothing about that arsenal suggests McHugh would succeed out of the bullpen, either-his fastball is just too hittable, and none of his breaking pitches have shown swing-and-miss movement. On second thought, maybe it's not time to ask the question, but rather to answer it.


Obviously pitchers can change, and maybe he's found something that works for him. My guess is he'll fade and we'll look back in a year at McHugh like we're doing right now with Albers and Diamond. There is something interesting about his profile: he's become less of a groundball pitcher thus far; not just in his two big-league appearances, but also in his 14 minor-league innings, too. I guess I should make an appointment to see his next start. (R.J. Anderson)
2014-04-24 13:00:00 (link to chat)So ... Collin McHugh. 12Ks (including 3 of Robbie Cano), 0BB doesn't scream fluke. He's obviously not an ace, and almost as obviously has a good shot at sticking as a number 5. My question is in the middle -- how likely is he to turn into a genuine mid-rotation guy?
(edwardarthur from Illinois)
It does scream fluke. Seattle should be embarrassed. I'd honestly be blown away if he sticks, let alone succeeds. (Paul Sporer)


BP Roundtables

No BP Roundtables have mentioned this guy.

 

PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC