Collin McHugh PRays |
IP | ERA | WHIP | SO | W | L | SV | WARP |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Login or Subscribe today for access to projections! |
|
|
YEAR | Team | Lg | G | GS | IP | W | L | SV | H | BB | SO | HR | PPF | H/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | K/9 | GB% | BABIP | WHIP | FIP | ERA | cFIP | DRA | DRA- | WARP |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2012 | NYN | MLB | 8 | 4 | 21.3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 27 | 8 | 17 | 5 | 95 | 11.4 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 7.2 | 0% | .328 | 1.64 | 5.99 | 7.59 | 88 | 3.23 | 73.9 | 0.5 |
2013 | COL | 0 | 4 | 4 | 19.0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 33 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 117 | 15.6 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 3.8 | 0% | .377 | 1.84 | 5.23 | 9.95 | 105 | 5.69 | 136.4 | -0.2 |
2013 | NYN | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 95 | 15.4 | 3.9 | 2.6 | 3.9 | 0% | .385 | 2.14 | 7.16 | 10.29 | 89 | 3.22 | 77.1 | 0.1 |
2014 | HOU | MLB | 25 | 25 | 154.7 | 11 | 9 | 0 | 117 | 41 | 157 | 13 | 97 | 6.8 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 9.1 | 0% | .259 | 1.02 | 3.13 | 2.73 | 85 | 2.75 | 67.5 | 4.0 |
2015 | HOU | MLB | 32 | 32 | 203.7 | 19 | 7 | 0 | 207 | 53 | 171 | 19 | 107 | 9.1 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 7.6 | 0% | .310 | 1.28 | 3.54 | 3.89 | 93 | 3.30 | 77.1 | 4.3 |
2016 | HOU | MLB | 33 | 33 | 184.7 | 13 | 10 | 0 | 206 | 54 | 177 | 25 | 102 | 10.0 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 8.6 | 43% | .339 | 1.41 | 3.90 | 4.34 | 93 | 3.81 | 84.3 | 3.3 |
2017 | HOU | MLB | 12 | 12 | 63.3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 62 | 20 | 62 | 7 | 105 | 8.8 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 8.8 | 33% | .313 | 1.29 | 3.80 | 3.55 | 101 | 4.58 | 97.5 | 0.7 |
2018 | HOU | MLB | 58 | 0 | 72.3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 45 | 21 | 94 | 6 | 99 | 5.6 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 11.7 | 35% | .248 | 0.91 | 2.75 | 1.99 | 78 | 2.70 | 60.3 | 1.9 |
2019 | HOU | MLB | 35 | 8 | 74.7 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 62 | 30 | 82 | 12 | 101 | 7.5 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 9.9 | 40% | .265 | 1.23 | 4.46 | 4.70 | 104 | 4.94 | 101.3 | 0.5 |
2013 | TOT | MLB | 7 | 5 | 26.0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 45 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 111 | 15.6 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 3.8 | 0% | .000 | 1.92 | 5.75 | 10.04 | 101 | 5.03 | 120.4 | 0.0 |
Career | MLB | 210 | 119 | 800.7 | 58 | 43 | 0 | 771 | 232 | 771 | 93 | 102 | 8.7 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 8.7 | 41% | .301 | 1.25 | 3.72 | 3.95 | 92 | 3.57 | 80.6 | 15.1 |
YEAR | Team | Lg | LG | G | GS | IP | W | L | SV | H | BB | SO | HR | PPF | H/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | K/9 | GB% | BABIP | WHIP | FIP | ERA | cFIP | DRA | DRA- |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2008 | KNG | Rk | APL | 12 | 8 | 41.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 47 | 16 | 41 | 5 | 97 | 10.3 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 9.0 | 0% | .341 | 1.54 | 4.61 | 4.17 | 101 | 5.22 | 106.8 |
2009 | BRO | A- | NYP | 14 | 14 | 75.0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 61 | 21 | 79 | 1 | 90 | 7.3 | 2.5 | 0.1 | 9.5 | 0% | .302 | 1.09 | 2.41 | 2.76 | 84 | 3.72 | 78.3 |
2010 | SAV | A | SAL | 28 | 20 | 132.3 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 139 | 38 | 129 | 7 | 91 | 9.5 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 8.8 | 0% | .339 | 1.34 | 3.39 | 3.33 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.0 |
2011 | SLU | A+ | FSL | 9 | 6 | 35.7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 47 | 14 | 39 | 3 | 106 | 11.9 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 9.8 | 0% | .411 | 1.71 | 3.54 | 6.31 | 86 | 6.06 | 123.6 |
2011 | BIN | AA | EAS | 18 | 16 | 93.3 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 78 | 32 | 100 | 2 | 93 | 7.5 | 3.1 | 0.2 | 9.6 | 0% | .302 | 1.18 | 2.82 | 2.89 | 80 | 3.30 | 67.3 |
2012 | NYN | MLB | NL | 8 | 4 | 21.3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 27 | 8 | 17 | 5 | 95 | 11.4 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 7.2 | 0% | .328 | 1.64 | 5.99 | 7.59 | 88 | 3.23 | 73.9 |
2012 | BIN | AA | EAS | 12 | 12 | 74.7 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 63 | 17 | 65 | 4 | 102 | 7.6 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 7.8 | 0% | .278 | 1.07 | 3.03 | 2.41 | 84 | 3.38 | 70.5 |
2012 | BUF | AAA | INT | 13 | 13 | 73.7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 60 | 29 | 70 | 8 | 101 | 7.3 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 8.6 | 0% | .256 | 1.21 | 3.93 | 3.42 | 96 | 3.74 | 77.8 |
2013 | COL | MLB | NL | 4 | 4 | 19.0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 33 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 117 | 15.6 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 3.8 | 0% | .377 | 1.84 | 5.23 | 9.95 | 105 | 5.69 | 136.4 |
2013 | NYN | MLB | NL | 3 | 1 | 7.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 95 | 15.4 | 3.9 | 2.6 | 3.9 | 0% | .385 | 2.14 | 7.16 | 10.29 | 89 | 3.22 | 77.1 |
2013 | TUL | AA | TEX | 2 | 2 | 13.0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 90 | 6.2 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 8.3 | 0% | .250 | 0.69 | 2.20 | 1.38 | 77 | 2.88 | 62.7 |
2013 | CSP | AAA | PCL | 9 | 9 | 46.7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 52 | 14 | 47 | 2 | 106 | 10.0 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 9.1 | 0% | .355 | 1.41 | 3.20 | 4.63 | 83 | 4.73 | 102.9 |
2013 | LVG | AAA | PCL | 9 | 9 | 53.3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 57 | 13 | 41 | 3 | 115 | 9.6 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 6.9 | 0% | .329 | 1.31 | 3.71 | 2.87 | 84 | 4.71 | 102.3 |
2014 | HOU | MLB | AL | 25 | 25 | 154.7 | 11 | 9 | 0 | 117 | 41 | 157 | 13 | 97 | 6.8 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 9.1 | 0% | .259 | 1.02 | 3.13 | 2.73 | 85 | 2.75 | 67.5 |
2014 | OKL | AAA | PCL | 5 | 3 | 19.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 96 | 7.1 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 6.2 | 0% | .263 | 1.11 | 3.27 | 3.79 | 100 | 3.49 | 73.9 |
2015 | HOU | MLB | AL | 32 | 32 | 203.7 | 19 | 7 | 0 | 207 | 53 | 171 | 19 | 107 | 9.1 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 7.6 | 0% | .310 | 1.28 | 3.54 | 3.89 | 93 | 3.30 | 77.1 |
2016 | HOU | MLB | AL | 33 | 33 | 184.7 | 13 | 10 | 0 | 206 | 54 | 177 | 25 | 102 | 10.0 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 8.6 | 43% | .339 | 1.41 | 3.90 | 4.34 | 93 | 3.81 | 84.3 |
2017 | HOU | MLB | AL | 12 | 12 | 63.3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 62 | 20 | 62 | 7 | 105 | 8.8 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 8.8 | 33% | .313 | 1.29 | 3.80 | 3.55 | 101 | 4.58 | 97.5 |
2017 | CCH | AA | TEX | 4 | 4 | 15.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 96 | 10.8 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 6.6 | 57% | .340 | 1.47 | 3.72 | 3.60 | 98 | 5.78 | 123.0 |
2017 | FRE | AAA | PCL | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100 | 27.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 80% | .600 | 4.00 | 4.72 | 27.00 | 98 | 5.93 | 126.3 |
2018 | HOU | MLB | AL | 58 | 0 | 72.3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 45 | 21 | 94 | 6 | 99 | 5.6 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 11.7 | 35% | .248 | 0.91 | 2.75 | 1.99 | 78 | 2.70 | 60.3 |
2019 | HOU | MLB | AL | 35 | 8 | 74.7 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 62 | 30 | 82 | 12 | 101 | 7.5 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 9.9 | 40% | .265 | 1.23 | 4.46 | 4.70 | 104 | 4.94 | 101.3 |
2019 | CCH | AA | TEX | 3 | 0 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 43% | .286 | 1.00 | 1.78 | 3.00 | 89 | 3.73 | 76.7 | |
2019 | ROU | AAA | PCL | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13.5 | 13.5 | 13.5 | 13.5 | 50% | .000 | 3.00 | 24.79 | 27.00 | 127 | 8.09 | 166.5 |
YEAR | Pits | Zone% | Swing% | Contact% | Z-Swing% | O-Swing% | Z-Contact% | O-Contact% | SwStr% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2012 | 388 | 0.4433 | 0.4536 | 0.7898 | 0.6279 | 0.3148 | 0.7870 | 0.7941 | 0.2102 |
2013 | 435 | 0.5218 | 0.4943 | 0.8233 | 0.6388 | 0.3365 | 0.8621 | 0.7429 | 0.1767 |
2014 | 2474 | 0.5158 | 0.4539 | 0.7444 | 0.6097 | 0.2880 | 0.8149 | 0.5855 | 0.2556 |
2015 | 3224 | 0.4882 | 0.4736 | 0.7616 | 0.6156 | 0.3382 | 0.8380 | 0.6290 | 0.2384 |
2016 | 3141 | 0.4862 | 0.4737 | 0.7594 | 0.6110 | 0.3439 | 0.8660 | 0.5802 | 0.2406 |
2017 | 1079 | 0.5032 | 0.4708 | 0.7205 | 0.6519 | 0.2873 | 0.7768 | 0.5909 | 0.2795 |
2018 | 1204 | 0.4859 | 0.4510 | 0.6869 | 0.5624 | 0.3457 | 0.8176 | 0.4860 | 0.3131 |
2019 | 1290 | 0.4713 | 0.4326 | 0.7186 | 0.5740 | 0.3065 | 0.8166 | 0.5550 | 0.2814 |
Career | 13235 | 0.4920 | 0.4638 | 0.7464 | 0.6086 | 0.3229 | 0.8307 | 0.5945 | 0.2536 |
Injury History — No longer being updated | Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET |
Date On | Date Off | Transaction | Days | Games | Side | Body Part | Injury | Severity | Surgery Date | Reaggravation |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2014-09-16 | 2014-09-21 | DTD | 5 | 5 | Right | Wrist | Contusion | Batted Ball | - | |
2014-07-07 | 2014-07-27 | 15-DL | 20 | 14 | Right | Fingers | Avulsion | Middle Finger Nail | - | |
2014-06-09 | 2014-06-13 | DTD | 4 | 4 | Right | Fingers | Blister | Middle Finger | - |
Compensation
|
|
2019 Preseason Forecast | Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET |
PCT | W | L | SV | G | GS | IP | H | BB | SO | HR | BABIP | WHIP | ERA | DRA | VORP | WARP |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
90o | 12.9 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 77.7 | 53 | 22 | 90 | 8 | .249 | 0.96 | 2.55 | 2.85 | 3.0 | 0.3 |
80o | 11.7 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 11 | 72.0 | 53 | 21 | 84 | 8 | .262 | 1.03 | 2.89 | 3.23 | -0.1 | 0.0 |
70o | 10.8 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | 67.9 | 52 | 21 | 79 | 8 | .272 | 1.08 | 3.14 | 3.51 | -2.1 | -0.2 |
60o | 10.1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | 64.5 | 52 | 21 | 75 | 8 | .279 | 1.12 | 3.35 | 3.75 | -3.7 | -0.4 |
50o | 9.5 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | 61.4 | 51 | 21 | 71 | 8 | .287 | 1.17 | 3.56 | 3.97 | -4.9 | -0.5 |
40o | 8.8 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | 58.4 | 50 | 20 | 68 | 7 | .294 | 1.21 | 3.76 | 4.2 | -6.1 | -0.7 |
30o | 8.2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | 55.1 | 49 | 20 | 64 | 7 | .302 | 1.26 | 3.99 | 4.45 | -7.2 | -0.8 |
20o | 7.5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | 51.4 | 48 | 19 | 60 | 7 | .312 | 1.31 | 4.25 | 4.74 | -8.3 | -0.9 |
10o | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | 46.5 | 46 | 19 | 54 | 7 | .324 | 1.39 | 4.62 | 5.16 | -9.6 | -1.0 |
Weighted Mean | 9.4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 9 | 60.9 | 50 | 20 | 71 | 7 | .285 | 1.16 | 3.53 | 3.95 | -4.7 | -0.5 |
|
|
Date | Question | Answer |
---|---|---|
2018-12-12 17:00:00 (link to chat) | Struggling to identify some potential post-hype pitchers to target for cheap this season - you have a couple that you might be scooping up? (Gary Mack from in the back) | I've never been a big fan, but Steven Matz is slipping so far in early drafts. I still believe in the stuff. Collin McHugh is going to start this year barring an off-the-wall move by Houston and is really solid. (Mike Gianella) |
2017-10-23 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Counterfactual: What happens if the Astros didn't want to part with any prospects and didn't trade for Verlander? (nschaef from NYC) | I mean they almost certainly still make the playoffs. It's just a matter of giving starts to [peers over roster] errr, Collin McHugh instead of Justin Verlander. You'd also have a clubhouse that's still justifiably ticked off about only trading for what's left of Francisco Liriano. (Nicolas Stellini) |
2017-02-21 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Scoresheet, 12-team AL-only league. Gun nowhere in sight, least of all pointed at your head, but an imploring look in your direction, which five do you keep? (Only two NLers.)
Yu Darvish, Rich Hill, Jeff Samardjiza, John Lackey, Matt Shoemaker, James Paxton, Collin McHugh, Tyler Skaggs, Steven Wright, Jose Berrios (touchstoneQu from Minneapolis) | Darvish, Hill, Shark, Lackey, Paxton. I'd love to say Shoe or Skaggs, but they have major health question marks. If you wanted to be daring, Skaggs over Shark would be the way to go. (George Bissell) |
2015-04-16 17:00:00 (link to chat) | Can Collin McHugh become a #2/3 on a fantasy staff? (Eddie from Texas) | #2 might be pushing it, but I suppose it's possible. It's only a couple of starts, but he is carrying over success from last year Post All-Star. (Mike Gianella) |
2015-01-20 19:30:00 (link to chat) | In a dynasty league, I can keep 4 of these 6, who would you keep? Collin McHugh, Andrew Cashner, Carlos Martinez, Dee Gordon, Wil Myers, and Clint Frazier. I'm interested in who has the most long term value. Thanks! (cracker73 from Florida) | I'd drop McHugh easy, then probably Frazier next. (Ben Carsley) |
2015-01-21 15:00:00 (link to chat) | What are your thoughts on Collin McHugh? Is he a #2 starter? What is his upside? (cracker73 from Florida) | I really like McHugh. We probably saw his upside already, but I think that his performance was legit last season and he could retain much of that 2014 performance. (Doug Thorburn) |
2014-10-23 14:00:00 (link to chat) | What are your thoughts on Collin McHugh? What is his upside? (cracker73 from Florida) | Big fan, really like the stuff and the delivery, though I think we saw his upside in 2014.
I wrote about McHugh back in June, if you're interested in more details: http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=24018 (Doug Thorburn) |
2014-06-13 13:00:00 (link to chat) | What are your thoughts on Collin McHugh now? Is he just going to be a flash in the pan or will he have sustained success? (Danny from Chicago) | I'm really starting to buy in. The strikeouts seem legit, particularly with that curveball. He may be more of a mid-3.00s ERA guy by season's end, but the punchouts will keep him viable (Paul Sporer) |
2014-05-02 14:00:00 (link to chat) | Hi Doug: Can you evaluate the relative strengths/weaknesses of the Astro three of Jarred Cosart, Dallas Keuchel, and Collin McHugh. My general take is that Cosart has stuff, but control issues limit his upside, Keuchel seems to have harnessed something to start the 2014 season and from what I've read has his share of supporters at BP, and then McHugh I realize has small sample size, but does he have a chance to sustain some amount of the success of his first two starts or is he reversion waiting to happen. I saw that the Astros pitching coach said that he wasn't the same pitcher in late April that he was in spring trainer. Your thoughts on the three and whether any of them are long-term starters (or bullpen or minor-league bound) are appreciated. Thanks. (Drifter from Long Branch ) | I really like Cosart's baseline mechanics, with average or better grades in every category except for Repetition. But there's the rub, because repetition is by far the most important grade on the mechanics report card, and he won't approach ceiling until he can find consistency with his delivery. He is also a 2-pitch guy, essentially, and though he throws very hard, he will need to refine the cambio if he hopes to find sustained success in the rotation.
Keuchel is an example of a pitcher who is very well-balanced but who utilizes a very slow delivery as part of that approach. The pedestrian pace opens up the chance to mistime his delivery and necessitates a different timing pattern from the stretch. Command is key for a pitcher with a 90-mph fastball, and Keuchel has the underpinnings of a pitcher who will struggle with that element at times. I have not yet had the chance to watch McHugh, but I'm looking forward to seeing him in action. (Doug Thorburn) |
2014-04-29 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Hi RJ, curious if there is a recent precedent for what Collin McHugh is doing, and if so, how long was Quality Start performance sustained by the precedent? Andrew Albers comes to mind, but I think they're different pitchers. (Drifter from Long Branch) | Albers is a good call as a pop-up type. Maybe Scott Diamond as well? Back in 2012 he had a pretty good ERA for a few months there. It's funny because McHugh's comment in the annual wasn't the least bit optimistic:
After another disastrous season-this one split between the Mets and Rockies, preceding an offseason waiver claim by the Astros-it's time to ask what McHugh really offers a major-league team. The only pitches he routinely throws for strikes-his fastball and slider-were hammered for slugging percentages over .550 (as was his sinker, at .952). His only asset appears to be his changeup, a groundball machine. But nothing about that arsenal suggests McHugh would succeed out of the bullpen, either-his fastball is just too hittable, and none of his breaking pitches have shown swing-and-miss movement. On second thought, maybe it's not time to ask the question, but rather to answer it. Obviously pitchers can change, and maybe he's found something that works for him. My guess is he'll fade and we'll look back in a year at McHugh like we're doing right now with Albers and Diamond. There is something interesting about his profile: he's become less of a groundball pitcher thus far; not just in his two big-league appearances, but also in his 14 minor-league innings, too. I guess I should make an appointment to see his next start. (R.J. Anderson) |
2014-04-24 13:00:00 (link to chat) | So ... Collin McHugh. 12Ks (including 3 of Robbie Cano), 0BB doesn't scream fluke. He's obviously not an ace, and almost as obviously has a good shot at sticking as a number 5. My question is in the middle -- how likely is he to turn into a genuine mid-rotation guy? (edwardarthur from Illinois) | It does scream fluke. Seattle should be embarrassed. I'd honestly be blown away if he sticks, let alone succeeds. (Paul Sporer) |
No BP Roundtables have mentioned this guy.
A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC
Although he has not thrown an MLB pitch in 2024, Collin McHugh threw 16,896 pitches that were tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2012 and 2023, all of them occuring in Spring Training. In 2023, he relied primarily on his Slider (80mph) and Cutter (89mph). He also rarely threw a Fourseam Fastball (91mph), Curve (74mph), Change (84mph) and Slow Curve (63mph).
BP Annual Player Comments
The rest of this card is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers.
Not a subscriber? Click here for a free card so you can see what's missing.
Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or to subscribe and get instant access to the best baseball content on the web.