Biographical

Portrait of Josh Smoker

Josh Smoker PDodgers

Dodgers Player Cards | Dodgers Team Audit | Dodgers Depth Chart

2019 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 30)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
50.7 4.70 1.41 53 2 1 1 -0.2
Birth Date11-26-1988
Height6' 1"
Weight232 lbs
Age30 years, 4 months, 30 days
BatsL
ThrowsL
2015
0.42016
-0.02017
-0.32018
-0.22019
proj
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA- WARP
2016 NYN MLB 20 0 15.3 3 0 0 16 4 25 4 88 9.4 2.3 2.3 14.7 31% .387 1.30 4.29 4.70 77 2.79 61.7 0.4
2017 NYN MLB 54 0 56.3 1 2 0 64 32 68 10 93 10.2 5.1 1.6 10.9 45% .351 1.70 4.93 5.11 104 5.23 111.2 0.0
2018 DET 0 1 0 1.7 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 101 0.0 10.8 0.0 10.8 0% .000 1.20 4.39 0.00 91 4.43 99.0 0.0
2018 PIT 0 7 0 5.7 0 0 0 11 5 2 2 99 17.5 7.9 3.2 3.2 25% .409 2.82 9.65 11.12 149 9.90 221.3 -0.3
2018 TOT MLB 8 0 7.3 0 0 0 11 7 4 2 99 13.5 8.6 2.5 4.9 22% .360 2.45 8.45 8.59 139 8.66 193.5 -0.3
CareerMLB82079.0420914397169310.44.91.811.140%.3571.705.135.351035.07109.30.0

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg LG G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA-
2007 VER A- NYP 2 2 4.0 0 0 0 2 3 5 0 100 4.5 6.8 0.0 11.3 43% .286 1.25 3.93 4.50 0 0.00 0.0
2008 HAG A SAL 5 5 18.0 0 4 0 31 9 21 5 110 15.5 4.5 2.5 10.5 43% .419 2.22 6.50 11.50 0 0.00 0.0
2008 NAT Rk GCL 6 6 26.3 2 1 0 20 13 16 0 88 6.8 4.4 0.0 5.5 38% .244 1.25 3.92 1.37 0 0.00 0.0
2009 NAT Rk GCL 10 9 42.7 4 2 0 46 10 31 2 108 9.7 2.1 0.4 6.5 46% .331 1.31 3.31 3.37 0 0.00 0.0
2010 HAG A SAL 30 19 91.3 3 10 3 106 56 92 15 93 10.4 5.5 1.5 9.1 36% .351 1.77 5.61 6.51 0 0.00 0.0
2011 POT A+ CAR 46 0 50.7 5 2 2 32 37 56 4 102 5.7 6.6 0.7 9.9 43% .231 1.36 4.40 2.31 0 0.00 0.0
2012 HAG A SAL 2 0 3.0 0 1 1 3 4 1 1 93 9.0 12.0 3.0 3.0 60% .222 2.33 11.24 15.00 0 0.00 0.0
2012 POT A+ CAR 2 0 1.7 0 0 0 2 1 2 0 94 10.8 5.4 0.0 10.8 20% .400 1.80 6.38 10.80 0 0.00 0.0
2012 NAT Rk GCL 2 0 5.0 1 0 0 3 1 3 0 87 5.4 1.8 0.0 5.4 69% .231 0.80 3.43 1.80 0 0.00 0.0
2015 SAV A SAL 6 0 6.7 1 0 0 11 2 8 0 91 14.9 2.7 0.0 10.8 48% .478 1.95 1.98 8.10 86 2.53 55.4
2015 SLU A+ FSL 14 0 21.3 1 0 6 12 6 26 1 104 5.1 2.5 0.4 11.0 50% .216 0.84 2.18 1.69 71 2.92 65.4
2015 BIN AA EAS 21 0 21.0 1 0 0 16 11 26 0 101 6.9 4.7 0.0 11.1 50% .308 1.29 2.36 3.00 71 2.37 52.1
2016 NYN MLB NL 20 0 15.3 3 0 0 16 4 25 4 88 9.4 2.3 2.3 14.7 31% .387 1.30 4.29 4.70 77 2.79 61.7
2016 LVG AAA PCL 52 0 57.0 3 2 3 66 18 81 5 10.4 2.8 0.8 12.8 46% .409 1.47 2.96 4.11 75 2.75 60.3
2017 NYN MLB NL 54 0 56.3 1 2 0 64 32 68 10 93 10.2 5.1 1.6 10.9 45% .351 1.70 4.93 5.11 104 5.23 111.2
2017 SLU A+ FSL 4 1 4.3 0 1 0 6 0 3 0 77 12.5 0.0 0.0 6.2 44% .375 1.38 1.92 4.15 112 5.64 119.5
2017 BIN AA EAS 1 0 1.0 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 18.0 0.0 0.0 18.0 33% .667 2.00 -0.78 0.00 121 8.73 183.9
2017 LVG AAA PCL 2 2 8.7 0 0 0 4 2 8 0 114 4.2 2.1 0.0 8.3 52% .190 0.69 2.56 1.04 83 3.37 71.0
2018 DET MLB AL 1 0 1.7 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 101 0.0 10.8 0.0 10.8 0% .000 1.20 4.39 0.00 91 4.43 99.0
2018 PIT MLB NL 7 0 5.7 0 0 0 11 5 2 2 99 17.5 7.9 3.2 3.2 25% .409 2.82 9.65 11.12 149 9.90 221.3
2018 IND AAA INT 32 0 35.0 3 1 0 32 12 39 4 8.2 3.1 1.0 10.0 35% .295 1.26 3.78 2.83 92 3.41 72.8
2018 TOL AAA INT 10 0 10.3 0 1 0 13 4 11 0 11.3 3.5 0.0 9.6 28% .406 1.65 2.36 5.23 96 3.22 68.7
2019 OKL AAA PCL 7 0 8.7 1 2 0 13 7 6 3 13.5 7.3 3.1 6.2 43% .370 2.31 9.25 11.42 0 0.00 0.0

Plate Discipline

YEAR Pits Zone% Swing% Contact% Z-Swing% O-Swing% Z-Contact% O-Contact% SwStr%
2016 254 0.5315 0.5197 0.6894 0.6963 0.3193 0.7872 0.4474 0.3106
2017 1059 0.5014 0.4315 0.6849 0.5857 0.2765 0.7781 0.4863 0.3151
2018 165 0.4424 0.4000 0.9091 0.6849 0.1739 0.9400 0.8125 0.0909
Career14780.50000.44310.71070.61580.27240.79770.51600.2893

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2010-05-07 2010-05-21 Minors 14 0 Not Disclosed -
2008-11-12 2008-11-12 Minors 0 0 Shoulder Surgery Bone Spurs -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2018 PIT $570,500
2017 NYN $536,625
2016 NYN $
YearsDescriptionSalary
2 yrPrevious$1,107,125
2 yrTotal$1,107,125

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
1 y 44 d1 year/$0.5705M (2018)

Details
  • 1 year/$0.5705M (2018). Acquired by Pittsburgh in trade 1/31/18 after being DFA by NY Mets 1/26/18. Re-signed by Pittsburgh 3/18. Claimed by Detroit off waivers 7/28/18 after being DFA by Pittsburgh 7/23/18. Released by Detroit 9/6/18.
  • 1 year (2017). Re-signed by NY Mets 3/17.
  • 1 year (2016). Contract selected by NY Mets 11/5/15. Re-signed by NY Mets 3/4/16.
  • 2015. Signed by NY Mets as a free agent 4/2/15 (minor-league contract).
  • Drafted by Washington 2007 (1s-31) (Calhoun HS, Ga.). $1M signing bonus.

2019 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 3.5 1.3 0.8 63 0 66.1 55 24 67 10 .264 1.20 3.61 3.92 5.5 0.6
80o 3.1 1.1 0.7 57 0 59.8 54 23 61 9 .278 1.29 4.03 4.37 2.2 0.2
70o 2.8 0.9 0.6 52 0 55.4 52 23 56 9 .289 1.36 4.33 4.7 0.1 0.0
60o 2.6 0.8 0.5 49 0 51.8 51 22 52 9 .298 1.42 4.60 4.99 -1.5 -0.2
50o 2.4 0.7 0.5 46 0 48.4 50 22 49 9 .306 1.47 4.85 5.26 -2.8 -0.3
40o 2.2 0.7 0.4 43 0 45.2 48 21 46 8 .314 1.53 5.11 5.54 -3.9 -0.4
30o 2 0.6 0.4 39 0 41.7 47 20 42 8 .323 1.60 5.39 5.84 -5.0 -0.5
20o 1.7 0.5 0.3 36 0 37.8 44 19 38 8 .334 1.68 5.72 6.21 -6.0 -0.6
10o 1.5 0.4 0.2 31 0 32.6 41 18 33 7 .349 1.79 6.19 6.72 -6.9 -0.8
Weighted Mean2.30.70.545047.84921488.3041.464.815.22-2.6-0.3

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2019 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20203121036038351539639.3131.334.685.258.43.69.31.4-0.1
20213221037039381640739.3181.404.835.428.83.79.31.6-0.2
20223321038040391641739.3201.394.745.328.83.69.31.6-0.2
20233421039042401642739.3181.344.695.268.63.59.11.5-0.2
20243521033035341436639.3191.374.745.328.73.69.31.5-0.2
20253610029031301331539.3241.404.805.388.83.89.11.5-0.2
20263710029031301231539.3201.354.745.328.73.59.01.5-0.1
20273810029030301231539.3201.384.745.328.93.69.21.5-0.1
20283910028030291230539.3201.384.785.368.83.69.11.5-0.2

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 67)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 81 Brian Sanches 2009 2.88
2 80 Josh Lueke 2015 0.00 DNP
3 77 Scott Dohmann 2008 6.14
4 75 Zac Rosscup 2018 4.76
5 75 Matt Daley 2012 0.00 DNP
6 75 Chris Booker 2007 18.00
7 75 Juan Perez 2009 0.00 DNP
8 75 Brian Omogrosso 2014 0.00 DNP
9 72 Joe Horgan 2007 0.00 DNP
10 72 Tyler Walker 2006 7.11
11 72 Jack Taschner 2008 5.06
12 72 Jimmy Serrano 2006 0.00 DNP
13 71 Fernando Cabrera 2012 0.00 DNP
14 71 Austin Adams 2017 0.00 DNP
15 71 Kirby Yates 2017 4.45
16 71 J.J. Hoover 2018 20.25
17 71 Scott Cassidy 2006 3.80
18 71 Kevin Walker 2007 0.00 DNP
19 71 Nate Field 2006 4.00
20 70 Greg Jones 2007 6.23
21 70 Matt White 2008 0.00 DNP
22 70 Brandon Gomes 2015 4.27
23 70 Shawn Kelley 2014 4.53
24 70 Fernando Abad 2016 3.86
25 69 Chris Bootcheck 2009 11.05
26 69 Edwar Ramirez 2011 0.00 DNP
27 69 Collin Balester 2016 0.00 DNP
28 69 Buddy Carlyle 2008 3.73
29 68 Chris Schroder 2009 0.00 DNP
30 68 Brad Voyles 2007 0.00 DNP
31 68 Boone Logan 2015 4.33
32 67 Chris Hatcher 2015 4.15
33 67 Ron Davis 1986 9.36
34 67 Joel Peralta 2006 4.52
35 67 Bobby Ayala 2000 0.00 DNP
36 67 Evan Scribner 2016 0.00
37 66 Scott Service 1997 6.45
38 66 Mike Dunn 2015 4.50
39 66 Mark Guthrie 1996 2.71
40 66 Hector Ambriz 2014 9.00
41 66 Jakie May 1926 3.54
42 66 Marcos Mateo 2014 0.00 DNP
43 66 Tyler Yates 2008 4.79
44 65 Lefty Weinert 1932 0.00 DNP
45 65 Joe Beckwith 1985 4.36
46 65 Jesse Chavez 2014 3.95
47 65 Blas Minor 1996 4.24
48 65 Doug Bair 1980 4.45
49 65 Darin Downs 2015 0.00 DNP
50 65 Joba Chamberlain 2016 3.15
51 65 Arquimedes Caminero 2017 0.00 DNP
52 65 Wilkins Arias 2011 0.00 DNP
53 65 Dan Giese 2007 4.82
54 65 Claude Raymond 1967 3.34
55 65 Chris Smith 2011 0.00 DNP
56 65 Frank Lacorte 1982 5.07
57 65 Russ Springer 1999 3.80
58 65 Winston Abreu 2007 6.23
59 64 Marshall Bridges 1961 8.27
60 64 Jorge Julio 2009 8.83
61 64 Vinnie Pestano 2015 6.94
62 64 Jason Anderson 2009 0.00 DNP
63 64 Edward Paredes 2017 3.24
64 64 Scott Proctor 2007 4.27
65 64 Will Cunnane 2004 7.30
66 64 Tim Crews 1991 3.55
67 64 Steve Hamilton 1965 1.85
68 64 Mike Myers 1999 5.23
69 64 Randy Keisler 2006 4.50
70 64 John Henry Johnson 1987 10.25
71 64 Ken Dayley 1989 3.11
72 64 Ian Ostlund 2009 0.00 DNP
73 64 Josh Ravin 2018 6.00
74 64 Steve Delabar 2014 4.91
75 64 Scott Atchison 2006 0.00 DNP
76 64 Mike Zagurski 2013 17.05
77 64 Esmil Rogers 2016 0.00 DNP
78 64 Mark Huismann 1988 5.06
79 64 Josh Edgin 2017 3.89
80 64 Jon Huber 2012 0.00 DNP
81 64 Tony Sipp 2014 3.55
82 64 Darren Hall 1995 4.96
83 64 Matt Kinney 2007 0.00 DNP
84 64 Logan Kensing 2013 0.00
85 64 Dan Boitano 1983 0.00 DNP
86 64 Justin Miller 2008 5.01
87 63 Miguel Mejia 2018 0.00 DNP
88 63 Louis Coleman 2016 5.06
89 63 Shawn Camp 2006 5.16
90 63 Frank Dipino 1987 3.60
91 63 Carmen Cali 2009 0.00 DNP
92 63 Mike Stanton 1983 3.60
93 63 Randy Flores 2006 6.26
94 63 Felix Romero 2010 0.00 DNP
95 63 Francisco Butto 2010 0.00 DNP
96 63 Ed Roebuck 1962 4.60 DNP
97 63 Alfredo Figaro 2015 0.00 DNP
98 63 Yoanner Negrin 2014 0.00 DNP
99 63 Esteban Yan 2005 4.86
100 62 Jonah Bayliss 2011 0.00 DNP

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2019  Due to publishing agreements, the 2019 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2019 book (available in hardcopy, and soon e-book and Kindle).
2018 In 2016, Smoker's strikeout rate rivaled those of Andrew Miller and Craig Kimbrel. He didn't quite live up to those numbers last season—nor did anyone expect him to—and a doubling of his walk rate leaves something to be desired, but all of that means less than just playing in the majors. (Remember, this Georgia native played in the independent leagues as recently as 2014.) With a replacement-level 2017, no one would dare make the Rich Hill comparison, but there's still a little upside here, and Smoker's story—unlike so many in baseball—is one of hope and a little bit of luck. All the best comeback stories are.
2017 A 2009 first-round pick by the Nationals, Smoker has had a long and winding road to the big leagues that is equal parts perseverance and blind luck. Shoulder injuries of increasing severity robbed him of velocity and ultimately his prospectdom with Washington, and Smoker was out of organized baseball by the end of the 2013 season. He caught on as a reliever with the Rockford Aviators of the independent Frontier League after an open tryout in 2014, but wasn't good enough there to catch any eyes. Through happenstance, Smoker's usual bullpen catcher was unavailable one day early in 2015, so an independent league coach named Paul Fletcher filled in. Fletcher also happened to be doing bird dog scout work for the Mets on the side, and tipped the organization off that he had found a lefty throwing in the mid-90s. Smoker, once again possessing an electric fastball along with a quality splitter and slider, got a tryout and was signed shortly thereafter. He opened the 2015 season as a 26-year-old reliever in the the Sally League. By the end of 2015, he'd conquered Double-A and made it onto the 40-man roster. By the end of 2016, he was averaging 96 on that fastball and his strikeout rate sat between Andrew Miller's and Craig Kimbrel's. That's a long way from Rockford.
2016 Former first-rounder Josh Smoker touched 99 from the left side at Double-A in his quest to resurrect his career after two arm surgeries and two years away from minor-league ball. Only health can hold him back.
2013 Injuries and the resulting ineffectiveness have mired Josh Smoker in the lower levels, and the 2007 first-rounder, who once had an impressive array of pitches, is now a long shot to ever reach the majors.
2012 Finally healthy again and converted to relief, Josh Smoker had his best season yet, throwing with the velocity that helped make him the 31st overall selection of the 2007 draft.

BP Articles

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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2016-12-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)% Chance that Josh Smoker and/or Hansel Robles turns into an impact, late inning reliever?
(George from NYC)
For Smoker, 30 percent. For Robles, 15 percent. (Bryan Grosnick)


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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

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