Portrait of Anthony Rizzo

Anthony Rizzo 1BCubs

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2019 Projections (Rest of Season Projections - seasonal age 29)
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Birth Date8-8-1989
Height6' 3"
Weight240 lbs
Age29 years, 6 months, 7 days
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

2011 SDN 21 49 153 18 8 1 1 21 46 4 2 1 .141 .281 .242 59 -7.0 -2.3 -3.0 -1.1
2012 CHN 22 87 368 96 15 0 15 27 62 3 3 2 .285 .342 .463 116 6.8 -0.7 1.6 1.2
2013 CHN 23 160 690 141 40 2 23 76 127 6 6 5 .233 .323 .419 107 6.3 -1.8 13.6 2.7
2014 CHN 24 140 616 150 28 1 32 73 116 15 5 4 .286 .386 .527 151 34.4 2.1 -1.1 4.5
2015 CHN 25 160 701 163 38 3 31 78 105 30 17 6 .278 .387 .512 142 36.7 -5.1 1.4 4.3
2016 CHN 26 155 676 170 43 4 32 74 108 16 3 5 .292 .385 .544 139 32.9 -1.2 11.3 5.1
2017 CHN 27 157 691 156 32 3 32 91 90 24 10 4 .273 .392 .507 126 24.6 -3.2 14.1 4.3
2018 CHN 28 153 665 160 29 1 25 70 80 20 6 4 .283 .376 .470 128 24.6 -5.8 14.4 4.1

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
2007 RSX Rk 6 24 .261 .347 .377 .278 97 0.8 0.7 -0.5 137 0 2.1 0.5 -0.1 0.3
2008 GRN A 21 87 .260 .326 .386 .456 107 5.7 2.5 -1.6 150 0 -1.3 0.5 3.9 0.4
2009 GRN A 64 274 .263 .331 .377 .364 96 20.1 7.8 -5 138 0 1.8 -1.0 5.8 1.0
2009 SLM A+ 55 229 .263 .331 .397 .354 102 6.3 7.5 -4.8 119 0 1.2 -3.8 1.1 0.1
2010 SLM A+ 29 135 .263 .337 .394 .300 107 1.8 4.0 -2.5 99 0 0.8 1.7 -2.4 0.2
2010 PME AA 107 467 .260 .335 .397 .303 109 10.3 13.5 -8.6 116 0 9.8 -2.2 -1.0 1.2
2011 SDN MLB 49 153 .246 .313 .379 .210 93 -5.8 4.1 -2.5 59 11 -3.0 -2.3 -7.0 -1.1
2011 TUC AAA 93 413 .290 .360 .461 .369 108 36.3 12.8 -8.2 147 0 14.2 1.7 16.6 3.5
2011 TDE Wnt 6 24 .000 .000 .000 .429 0.0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2012 CHN MLB 87 368 .252 .314 .398 .310 101 10.2 10.1 -6.4 116 12 1.6 -0.7 6.8 1.2
2012 IOW AAA 70 284 .278 .341 .434 .357 92 36.7 8.4 -5.4 177 0 12.0 -3.2 20.0 3.2
2013 CHN MLB 160 690 .249 .312 .383 .258 104 2.8 18.1 -11.6 107 7 13.6 -1.8 6.3 2.7
2013 ITA int 5 22 .000 .000 .000 .286 0.0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2014 CHN MLB 140 616 .249 .311 .381 .311 99 43.2 15.9 -10.2 151 11 -1.1 2.1 34.4 4.5
2015 CHN MLB 160 701 .255 .318 .399 .289 98 46.8 18.9 -12.1 142 7 1.4 -5.1 36.7 4.3
2016 CHN MLB 155 676 .261 .330 .425 .309 92 50.8 19.1 -12.2 139 8 11.3 -1.2 32.9 5.1
2017 CHN MLB 157 691 .258 .325 .430 .273 99 32.2 20.2 -12.9 126 11 14.1 -3.2 24.6 4.3
2018 CHN MLB 153 665 .249 .317 .407 .287 100 27.1 18.7 -11.9 128 9 14.4 -5.8 24.6 4.1

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
2007 RSX Rk 24 21 6 6 0 0 1 9 3 1 2 0 0 .286 .375 .429 .143 0 0
2008 GRN A 87 83 9 31 6 0 0 37 11 3 15 0 0 .373 .402 .446 .072 0 0
2009 SLM A+ 229 200 23 59 16 0 3 84 24 25 39 2 0 .295 .376 .420 .125 0 0
2009 GRN A 274 245 40 73 21 0 9 121 42 25 60 2 1 .298 .368 .494 .196 0 0
2010 SLM A+ 135 117 26 29 12 0 5 56 20 16 32 3 0 .248 .338 .479 .231 0 0
2010 PME AA 467 414 66 109 30 0 20 199 80 45 100 7 1 .263 .338 .481 .217 0 0
2011 TDE Wnt 24 21 4 7 1 0 1 11 2 3 6 0 0 .333 .417 .524 .190 0 0
2011 SDN MLB 153 128 9 18 8 1 1 31 9 21 46 2 1 .141 .281 .242 .102 0 0
2011 TUC AAA 413 356 64 118 34 1 26 232 101 43 89 7 6 .331 .404 .652 .320 8 0
2012 IOW AAA 284 257 48 88 18 2 23 179 62 23 52 2 2 .342 .405 .696 .354 0 0
2012 CHN MLB 368 337 44 96 15 0 15 156 48 27 62 3 2 .285 .342 .463 .178 1 0
2013 ITA int 22 17 4 4 2 0 0 6 6 5 3 0 0 .235 .409 .353 .118 0 0
2013 CHN MLB 690 606 71 141 40 2 23 254 80 76 127 6 5 .233 .323 .419 .186 2 0
2014 CHN MLB 616 524 89 150 28 1 32 276 78 73 116 5 4 .286 .386 .527 .240 4
2015 CHN MLB 701 586 94 163 38 3 31 300 101 78 105 17 6 .278 .387 .512 .234 7 0
2016 CHN MLB 676 583 94 170 43 4 32 317 109 74 108 3 5 .292 .385 .544 .252 3 0
2017 CHN MLB 691 572 99 156 32 3 32 290 109 91 90 10 4 .273 .392 .507 .234 4 0
2018 CHN MLB 665 566 74 160 29 1 25 266 101 70 80 6 4 .283 .376 .470 .187 9 0

Plate Discipline

YEAR Pits Zone% Swing% Contact% Z-Swing% O-Swing% Z-Contact% O-Contact% SwStr% CSAA
2011 594 0.4949 0.4680 0.6583 0.6190 0.3200 0.7582 0.4688 0.3417 0.0043
2012 1334 0.4775 0.5045 0.7905 0.6797 0.3443 0.8891 0.6125 0.2095 0.0064
2013 2588 0.4602 0.4490 0.7806 0.6205 0.3028 0.8836 0.6005 0.2194 0.0076
2014 2442 0.4582 0.4369 0.7713 0.5979 0.3008 0.8729 0.6005 0.2287 0.0023
2015 2714 0.4363 0.4620 0.8062 0.6546 0.3131 0.8916 0.6681 0.1938 0.0025
2016 2612 0.4598 0.4525 0.8029 0.6170 0.3125 0.8880 0.6599 0.1971 0.0000
2017 2728 0.4802 0.4560 0.8143 0.6321 0.2934 0.8792 0.6851 0.1857 0.0000
2018 2432 0.4753 0.4737 0.8316 0.6514 0.3127 0.8977 0.7068 0.1684 0.0000

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-08-27 2014-09-15 DTD 19 18 - Low Back Strain -
2014-04-20 2014-04-20 DTD 0 0 - Low Back Spasms - -
2013-08-19 2013-08-20 DTD 1 1 - General Medical Illness - -
2012-05-28 2012-06-02 Minors 5 5 Right Wrist Soreness - -
2011-06-01 2011-06-03 Minors 2 2 Left Hand Contusion -
2011-05-10 2011-05-12 Minors 2 2 Left Hand Contusion -
2009-07-31 2009-08-14 Minors 14 0 Back Strain -
2008-05-01 2008-09-02 Minors 124 0 General Medical Cancer Limited Stage Classical Hodgkin’s Lymphoma -


Year Team Salary
2021 CHN $
2020 CHN $2,000,000
2019 CHN $11,285,714
2018 CHN $7,285,714
2017 CHN $7,285,714
2016 CHN $5,285,714
2015 CHN $5,285,714
2014 CHN $1,535,714
2013 CHN $1,035,714
2012 CHN $
6 yrPrevious$27,714,284
7 yrPvs + Cur$38,999,998
1 yrFuture$2,000,000
8 yrTotal$40,999,998


Service TimeAgentContract Status
6 y 168 dSports One7 years/$41M (2013-19), 2020-21 options

  • 7 years/$41M (2013-19), plus 2020-21 club options. Signed extension with Chicago Cubs 5/12/13, replacing 1 year/$0.498M contract signed 3/4/13. $2M signing bonus ($0.25M due on approval, $1.75M due 1/15/14). 13:$0.75M, 14:$1.25M, 15:$5M, 16:$5M, 17:$7M, 18:$7M, 19:$11M, 20:$14.5M club option (or $2M buyout due 1/15/20), 21:$14.5M club option (or $2M buyout due 1/15/21). 2019 salary increases to $12M and 2020-21 options increase to $16.5M with one MVP in 2013-19 or two Top 5 finishes in MVP vote, 2013-19. Player may void 2021 option with Top 2 finish in MVP vote, 2013-19, and subsequent trade. Contract does not include no-trade protection, Perks: hotel suite on road.
  • Acquired by Chicago Cubs in trade from San Diego 1/5/12.
  • Acquired by San Diego in trade from Boston 12/4/10 (Adrian Gonzalez deal).
  • Drafted by Boston 2007 (6-204) (Douglas HS, Parkland, Fla.). $0.325M signing bonus.

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BP Annual Player Comments

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BP Articles

Click here to see articles tagged with Anthony Rizzo

BP Chats

2019-02-05 17:00:00 (link to chat)Yeesh. Given that this has been a pretty rough offseason to be a fan of the team, is there anything from PECOTA that you can share to make a Cubs fan somewhat optimistic, outside of possibly getting a pre-injury caliber Kris Bryant back?
(jg from Chicago)
Well, Anthony Rizzo remains really, really good! (Rob Arthur)
2018-12-04 21:00:00 (link to chat)With all the adjustments built into DRC+, does it adjust value for triples based on speed versus outfielder misplays? Basically, does a guy like Javy Baez get more credit for a triple to the gap than a guy like Anthony Rizzo would for a misplayed triple?
(Bill Thompson from Milwaukee)
No, at the moment we treat events the way they were officially scored. The reason that works is because we have over 180,000 batting events each year, and the fluky ones have a way of washing out with the volume, particularly with the skeptical way we allocate credit to batters. (Jonathan Judge)
2016-05-18 19:00:00 (link to chat)What do you think Gregory Polanco becomes? A Marte? A McCutchen? Something better? Something worse?
(Justin from Iowa City)
I don't think he's anything like McCutchen or Marte at all. He's going to walk a ton and if a pitcher makes a mistake, he's going to crush the ball on you. His game reminds me a lot of a guy like Anthony Rizzo but with less raw power. (George Bissell)
2015-04-29 20:00:00 (link to chat)Is Vogelbach #legit? Small sample, but he has cut down on the strikeouts,still walking, and killing the ball with Schwaber. Odd player type we don't see too often. Best comp?
(Gila Monster from Boston)
You bet he is, but not because of his hot start. He can flat out hit. It's really not that weird of a player type. In any other system, he'd be a really good first base prospect, but since the Cubs have Anthony Rizzo, he's viewed a little differently. Outside of the glove, which he's admitted far worse with, how much worse of a prospect is he than Eric Hosmer was at the same stage? (Bret Sayre)
2015-03-03 13:00:00 (link to chat)I've thrown this out before but the whole souring on prospects talk makes me remember. I can totally see Kris Bryant pulling a Chris Davis and struggling to make contact this season and everyone souring on him. Then in 2016:He'll go bananas and hit .270 with 35 homers and everyone will be shocked.
(NightmareRec0n from Boston)
Very possible. We've been spoiled by Harper/Trout-type trajectories for young players, and forgotten that many must suffer through a miserable down year or two. The track that Anthony Rizzo followed is, historically speaking, I think more common. (Rob Arthur)
2015-01-20 19:30:00 (link to chat)Dynasty league-- do you prefer Jose Abreu or Anthony Rizzo? Abreu has great power/ ballpark but slightly concerning peripherals while Rizzo made some real adjustments and will have unreal contextual stats in several years. Thanks as always for your insights
(Jack from Chicago)
This is really tough for me, but give me Abreu by a hair. I have Abreu as the third-best dynasty 1B and Rizzo as the fourth. (Ben Carsley)
2015-03-23 13:00:00 (link to chat)I'm a big fan of Hosmer (especially) post-season Hosmer - can we expect an uptick in production in 2015?
(Al from KC)
We've seen enough of Hosmer to know two things: He's very capable of ripping off long stretches where he's very good. Not just three weeks in October, but three months: He hit .321/.379/.509 from July on last year, not counting the postseason, and has had similarly long and strong stretches in the previous seasons. But we also know that we can't *expect* anything from him. He's got 2,400 plate appearances. I know he's young, but not that young and that's a huge number of plate appearances. Russell Branyan only had 3,400 in his whole career. So I'd say he's got at least two All-Star level seasons in him, but it's not like I'd take him in the same round as Anthony Rizzo or anything, because I have no idea which two years those seasons will come in. (Sam Miller)
2015-03-19 14:00:00 (link to chat)Who are some of your favorite non-Cubs minor leaguers?
(Shawn from Cubicle)
Some of my favorite past Cubs were Ron Santo and Dusty Baker. A funny story actually my Grandfather used to get Dusty Baker his toothpick back for a few seasons about 10 years ago. I then got the opportunity to be the bat-boy for 10 plus games over a few year span. Current Cubs would have to be Anthony Rizzo. I really like his worth ethic as great showing on and off the field within the Chicago community. I'm a big believer in giving back and think he is a great ambassador for the MLB throughout his volunteering and charity work. (Rob Willer)
2015-01-05 15:00:00 (link to chat)Is Kyle Schwarber a first baseman in the majors, if he makes it?
(Mike from Nashville)
No, he's either a catcher or a left fielder, and the Cubs are going to give him a chance to stick behind the plate. I was more encouraged by his receiving skills than some, but I didn't think he was a butcher back there. Here's the report I wrote this summer?

He's not great but there are probably worse defensive catchers in the majors right now. I think he'll be good enough to catch 2-3 days per week, which could be huge. Either way, he's not playing first base with the Cubs. Between Anthony Rizzo and Dan Vogelbach, they'll have to find a different spot for him if he can't catch. (Jeff Moore)
2014-09-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)As my 12-team, 5x5 roto season winds to a close, I need some keeper help. We keep six from year to year and here are the potentials: Anthony Rendon, Josh Donaldson, Mike Trout (obviously), Troy Tulowitzki, Anthony Rizzo, Max Scherzer, Stephen Strasburg, Nolan Arenado I have Tulo, Rendon, Trout, Rizzo, Scherzer and Stras as my six. Would you choose them? Thanks for the help!
(Jake from Minneapolis)
I'd try to find a way to keep Donaldson and deal one of the pitchers, if I could. 28 bombs from 3B isn't anything to sneeze at, plus it allows you to play Rendon at 2B next year. Pitching is everywhere. (Craig Goldstein)
2014-07-29 14:00:00 (link to chat)I'm contending in a Keeper league and I just traded Joey Votto (who's on the shelf for at least another month and may not be 100% for the rest of the season at least) for Anthony Rizzo, who can help me win now and possibly be a keeper. How do you like Rizzo for ROS and next year? Is Votto entering a decline phase?
(mattstupp from NYC)
I've always liked Rizzo because Epstein/Hoyer like Rizzo, but I haven't followed him closely until last season. It's hard to find something that's not to like about Rizzo. He has this down-and-in hole and he doesn't really use the whole field as much as Votto does, but you've gotta like the plate discipline and power. Votto is such a smart hitter that I would hate to say that he's heading for a decline. He could become a different hitter (as far as the counting stats go), but I think he'll still be productive. (Noah Woodward)
2014-05-19 13:00:00 (link to chat)I enjoyed seeing Anthony Rizzo make a mockery of The Shift last week by easily bunting down the third-base line for hits, not once but twice. As I recall, Matheny stopped using The Shift after that; it seemed Rizzo took the option off the table. If Ted Williams had done the same 75 years ago, would The Shift have ended there? Why don't teams insist their batters bunt against it, like say Ryan Howard?
(gerrybraun from San Diego)
Teams are weird and don't like insisting on anything with their established players.

I don't think the shift would have ended there because there have been times when letting a slugger try to bunt is a more optimal result for the defensive team than letting him hit. (Late 90s and early 2000s come to mind.) In this offensive era, it becomes a much, much better strategy. (Zachary Levine)
2014-04-16 19:00:00 (link to chat)10tm 5x5mixed. Would you give up Anthony Rizzo for Anibel Sanchez? (I already have D.Ortiz and Hosmer)
(Silverback38 from VA)
Yes, definitely. I like Rizzo, but Sanchez is very good right now and you have limited need for Rizzo. (Ben Carsley)
2014-02-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)Computer sim league question. Would you deal Miguel Cabrera and Randall Delgado for Wei-Yin Chen and Anthony Rizzo? Getting picks for next year too but those are the players.
(joott41 from Wisconsin)
Are you getting all of the picks? If not, no. (Jeff Moore)
2014-01-23 12:00:00 (link to chat)1B Dan Vogelbach (CHC) - where do you see him in 2015? DH in the AL? Also, do you really think .300 and 30HR is legit or will he struggle to hit for average against MLB pitching? Thank you!
(fishersehorn31 from VA - The 540)
No reason he can't be a first baseman. Well Anthony Rizzo is a reason, but Rizzo will have to hit more and better than he did last season before he can lay claim to the position long term (yes, I know about the contract). (And wow did the Cubs two young guys signed to long-term deals have lousy seasons last year, huh?)

In a previous chat, Jason Parks was asked about Vogelbach and he said, and I quote, "He can f'n hit!" only he didn't say f'n. So I don't know about .300, but 30 homers isn't out of the question. (Matthew Kory)
2014-01-21 18:00:00 (link to chat)Mike, thanks again! Is it possible for Hosmer to to get MVP considerations in the next year or two? AND, is Rizzo the long term 1B solution @ 1B in Chicago?
(Gary from Petaluma, CA.)
It's possible, but Eric Hosmer would have to start putting more power together, especially given his position.

Yes, I think Anthony Rizzo is going to be fine for the Cubs, even if he is never the superstar some thought he might be. (Mike Gianella)
2013-12-26 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hey Harry, I have to make a dynasty keeper decision to make involving Anthony Rizzo. How do you see his long-term value? Thanks for your insight.
(nictaclacta from Glendale)
as a general rule I think you can acquire value at 1B from the fringes of the market. Since I'll guess your league doesn't value defense and makeup, let him fly. (Harry Pavlidis)
2013-11-19 13:00:00 (link to chat)I don't feel great about Anthony Rizzo as my long-term solution at 1b in dynasty points...make me feel better. Please?
(Joe from Vegas Baby)
Look around at the first base landscape, it could be a lot worse. I still like Rizzo long-term, but just not as a fantasy star. (Bret Sayre)
2013-09-11 13:00:00 (link to chat)Not really a prospect any more, but what kind of improvement, if any, do you expect from Anthony Rizzo? Does he have another gear or two?
(Brad from Chicago)
I don't think he'll be competing for any batting titles or even showing a plus hit tool, but I think he's better than the .220-.230 we've seen this season. So I do think there's another gear. Maybe it's a fringe-to-average hit tool with on-base skills and plus power at the end of the day. (Jason Cole)
2013-08-27 13:00:00 (link to chat)Thanks for the chat, Harry. What do you think the future holds (in terms of offensive production) for Anthony Rizzo. Could the cubs have an all-star infield in 3-4 years?
(Chopper from Indy)
he'll take walks and hit home runs, something of a three true outcome guy. I like his defense, too. He should be among the better guys in the league overall, but not elite. And, yea, the Cubs project to have an impressive infield ... but let's just wait it out. (Harry Pavlidis)
2013-05-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)Thoughts on Anthony Rizzo. Slow start but seems to be coming on. A good play from here on out?
(Steve from Bayshore)
He's been excellent so far. If this is a slow start, he's going to have a tremendous season (has a 905 OPS, 9 HR, and 142 OPS+ so far) (Paul Sporer)
2013-04-10 20:00:00 (link to chat)MG What's going on? In a yahoo league rotisserie standard 8 team league. I really need to make a couple of adjustments. Need to add another pitcher and solid bar to this line up. This league is tough with trades! Who should we ditch and is there anyone we should be tracking or picking up? Here is the squad, 1. (6) Albert Pujols 1B 2. (11) Joe Mauer C,1B 3. (22) Jacoby Ellsbury OF 4. (27) Evan Longoria 3B 5. (38) Matt Holliday OF 6. (43) Cliff Lee SP 7. (54) Shin-Soo Choo OF 8. (59) Jose Altuve 2B 9. (70) Jimmy Rollins SS 10. (75) Roy Halladay SP 11. (86) Huston Street RP 12. (91) Addison Reed RP 13. (102) Anthony Rizzo 1B 14. (107) Jason Grilli RP 15. (118) Tim Lincecum SP 16. (123) Alex Gordon OF 17. (134) Carlos Marmol RP 18. (139) Dan Haren SP 19. (150) Kenley Jansen RP 20. (155) Rickie Weeks 2B 21. (166) Alejandro De Aza OF 22. (171) J.P. Arencibia C Guys who are available. FYI Materson, ziti, e Santana, pettitte Crisp, wells, m Saunders, carpenter, werth
(coach53 from Ct)
Hey Coach

Without knowing what the rules are regarding how deep your reserve lists are and what your free agent pool looks like it's difficult to offer specific advice. Your roster looks strong, but 8-team mixed probably has a lot of rosters that look like this. Dan Haren and Tim Lincecum seem like players that you should be upgrading on. Feel free to drop Carlos Marmol, and as much as I love Kenley Jansen if there's a closer out there, get him; in an 8-team league you shouldn't be speculating on future saves but getting saves here and now. The free agents you list don't look particularly great which - again - makes me wonder how deep your reserve lists are. (Mike Gianella)
2013-04-12 14:00:00 (link to chat)HEY DT What's going on? In a yahoo league rotisserie standard 8 team league. Standard starters C-all infield with 3 outfielders with a utility player. We use 2 SP,2RP 3P in general. I really need to make a couple of adjustments. Need to add another pitcher and solid bar to this line up. This league is tough with trades! Who should we ditch and is there anyone we should be tracking or picking up? Here is the squad, 1. (6) Albert Pujols 1B 2. (11) Joe Mauer C,1B 3. (22) Jacoby Ellsbury OF 4. (27) Evan Longoria 3B 5. (38) Matt Holliday OF 6. (43) Cliff Lee SP 7. (54) Shin-Soo Choo OF 8. (59) Jose Altuve 2B 9. (70) Jimmy Rollins SS 10. (75) Roy Halladay SP 11. (86) Huston Street RP 12. (91) Addison Reed RP 13. (102) Anthony Rizzo 1B 14. (107) Jason Grilli RP 15. (118) Tim Lincecum SP 16. (123) Alex Gordon OF 17. (134) Carlos Marmol RP 18. (139) Dan Haren SP 19. (150) Kenley Jansen RP 20. (155) Rickie Weeks 2B 21. (166) Alejandro De Aza OF 22. (171) J.P. Arencibia C Guys who are available. SP: Lance Lynn Doug Fister Josh Beckett A.J. Griffin Brett Anderson Trevor Cahill Homer Bailey Tommy Hanson RP Shelby Miller John Axford David Phelps Andrew Cashner Hitters: Melky Cabrera David Freese Norichika Aoki Angel Pagan Coco Crisp A.J. Pierzynski Matt Carpenter Daniel Murphy
(coach53 from CT)
Wow, there is a ton of talent on the FA list. I would certainly target Lynn, Anderson, and Miller on the mound, especially since your pitching is hurting with Lincecum, Haren, and Halladay. That would be my #1 priority, no doubt.

Among the hitters, I like Freese, Crisp, and Aoki. But you are pretty solid in the OF and 3B already, so that would be a secondary concern. (Doug Thorburn)
2013-02-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)I love using BP's Player Forecast Manager as a major tool during a draft. In your opinion give a couple of players that PECOTA is too Bullish on as well as too Bearish.
(rupertoooo from Lorton, VA)
I like Aaron Hill, Maro Estrada, Doug Fister, and Carlos Santana a bit more. Not quite as high on Anthony Rizzo and I'm nervous about Mike Napoli's hips. Like Shakira's, they don't lie except unlike Shakira's, I don't like what they're saying. (Paul Sporer)
2013-02-12 13:00:00 (link to chat)First Base Fashion Sense: If I buy an Anthony Rizzo jersey today, will I be embarassed to wear it 3 years from now? I ask because I'm STILL waiting for my Hee Sop Choi jersey to become trendy and cool...
(Steve from Bay)
If you already have your Hee Sop Choi jersey and you're not afraid to admit that then I'd say go for it. I'm big fan of Rizzo. I don't know if he'll be Adrian Gonzalez but I think he'll be a solid to plus first baseman with patience and power for years to come. I'd take the plunge. (Matthew Kory)
2013-01-14 14:00:00 (link to chat)Other than Anthony Rizzo and Starlin Castro, is there really anything worth a look when it comes to the Cubs upcoming season? Do you believe "The Scrabble Ace" will continue to be dominant or should the Cubs look to sell-high on him soon?
(jlarsen from chicago)
Don't think anything about Samardzija's season screamed "fluke," so I don't see why he couldn't be that good again. The Cubs have a strong rotation, so that seems like something worth watching. Fujikawa could be fun. (Ben Lindbergh)
2013-01-14 14:00:00 (link to chat)Out of the group of: Oscar Taveras, Jurickson Profar, Anthony Rizzo and Wil Myers. If given the same number of MLB ABs, who do you foresee having the most HRs, highest WARP/VORP and awards if each remain with their current organization in a 6 yr span?
(jlarsen from chicago)
With the caveat that I'm not an expert prospect guy, I'd say most homers Myers, highest AVG/OBP Taveras, and highest WARP Profar. Doesn't hurt that Profar has already arrived, though he's also -0.2 WARP in the hole from last season. (Ben Lindbergh)
2012-12-28 13:00:00 (link to chat)Fantasy Question, if you don't mind...who do you like better in a dynasty league: Eric Hosmer or Anthony Rizzo?
(Mr Indecisive from Parts Unknown)
I don't mind at all. Hosmer's 2012 still confounds me. Based on their previous track records, he should have a higher upside than Rizzo, but it's hard to argue with what the latter did for the Cubs last year. He's in a great park that should maximize his strengths. I'll go with Rizzo, but it's not a terribly strong feeling. (Geoff Young)
2012-05-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)I have most of my FAAB budgeted in my keeper league for late-season prospect call ups. Guys like Hultzen, Bauer, Skaggs, and Arenado are all taken already. Who's a good bet to be called up that's not on everyone's radar (that's worth a sizable bid)?
(Don H. from Oak Park)
I'm assuming you can't bid on guys in-season until they're recalled? Anthony Rizzo, Jed Gyorko, Julio Teheran are pretty good bets for call-ups this year. Maybe Andrelton Simmons if Pastornicky fails. Leonys Martin could be up at some point late, especially if we see some Texas injuries (Hamilton and Cruz are bound to go down at some point). Wil Myers could get a September call-up. Matt Harvey could too. (Derek Carty)
2012-05-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)I asked KG on twitter, but is Donald Lutz (Reds High A 1B) a legit power prospect or a fringe guy? Already at 10 HRs, albeit in the offense-boosting Cal League
(Johnny from SD)
And he didn't answer you? Man, I'm going to have to talk to that guy. He never answers questions from readers. (That was a joke. He answers a million questions from readers. Literally a million, and 99% of them are about when Anthony Rizzo is going to get called up.)

Here's Kevin's succinct response: "Cal League guy. Scouts aren't impressed." I'm just relaying questions from readers to KG now. This must be what being Twitter feels like. (Ben Lindbergh)
2012-03-15 12:00:00 (link to chat)With the movement of 1B out of the NL, which of the young NL 1B's do you see moving to the top of the position?
(will.I.ain't from roaming)
Ike Davis if he stays healthy--particularly with the fences moving in. I'm not sure what to make of Freddie Freeman, Paul Goldschmidt, or Anthony Rizzo just yet. (R.J. Anderson)
2012-02-23 11:00:00 (link to chat)If you had made one "realistic" move for the Padres this offseason that they didnt make what would it have been? Alternative, which of the Padres moves do you like the least?
(Matthew from Boston)
Aside from trying to find a taker for Jason Bartlett or Orlando Hudson (which I'm sure the Padres did, but it takes two to tango), I'm not sure there was a lot else to do. As for moves I like the least, I don't love Anthony Rizzo for Cashner. It seems to me that Rizzo should have fetched more, but that is easy for me to say when I'm not privy to all the details. (Geoff Young)
2012-01-20 14:00:00 (link to chat)Do you think Anthony Rizzo will be able to be the starting 1B all year for the Cubs and be productive?
(Eric from Kc)
Well, the Cubs don't think so, and that's more important. They've made it pretty clear that Rizzo starts the year in Iowa, and LaHair starts the year at first base in the big leagues. (Kevin Goldstein)
2011-09-06 14:00:00 (link to chat)What's your take on year 2 of the Jed Hoyer era in San Diego?
(Arby's from Good mood food)
Why wasn't Heath Bell traded? ...I have to admit I haven't seen too many Friars games this year, being generally more focused on the AL East, but it's really hard for me to come to a judgment in that other than Chase Headley, Cameron Maybin, Kyle Blanks, Corey Luebke, and Mat Latos, and (likely) Anthony Rizzo, I see a lot of guys who are basically just interim types. I wish they had gotten more playing time for James Darnell. (Steven Goldman)
2011-06-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)Lawrie, Jennings, Ackley... Are you high on any prospects likely to be called up soon?
(Andrew from Las Vegas)
Yup, I like all three. You can also keep an eye on guys like Mike Moustakas, Jemile Weeks, Yonder Alonso, Anthony Rizzo, Lonnie Chisenhall, and a number of others. (Derek Carty)
2011-05-26 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who appears in the bigs this year first, Kyle Blanks or Anthony Rizzo?
(tommybones from brooklyn)
I consulted with Normandin and he thinks Blanks will be up first so they find out what he's all about. Plus, the Padres have said once they bring up Rizzo, they want it to be for good. (R.J. Anderson)
2011-04-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who do you think will be the starting 1B for the Padres by the all star break?
(Jeff from Bay Area)
Kyle Blanks or Anthony Rizzo. Rizzo has a 1255 OPS to start the year at Triple-A, so maybe by the time the All-Star break comes around they will decide to call him up. The Pads still think Blanks can play the outfield, and I still have faith in his bat to come back.

Lightning round time, folks. (Marc Normandin)
2010-12-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)You support this move for the Sox? Why not let it ride and have a choice of Agonz, Fielder or Pujols after 2011 with no NYY in the mix. I don't know how much money sox save on Gonzalez with the rumored numbers being mentioned.
(SK from DC)
Absolutely. First off, Fielder isn't that great. Terrible defensive first baseman, and really, do we know if he's a pretty good hitter or a great hitter yet? He never seems to be the same thing two years in a row, and he needs to be excellent all the time to make up for that glove. I don't think Pujols is leaving St. Louis--other teams would be in the mix solely to make sure the Cards pay up.

The Cubs love Adrian Gonzalez, and have the money to throw at him in 2012 if he was available. Eight teams inquired about him in a trade, so there is interest there. Anthony Rizzo has no future in the organization if the Sox are acquiring a first baseman anyways, so this is basically trading Casey Kelly and Reymond Fuentes for the rights to Gonzalez in 2011, as well as the right to negotiate with him during the season. I'm very optimistic he'll be signed well before the season is over.

If Boston gets Gonzalez for $22M a year, then this is a steal. Just assume $5M per win for a minute, Gonzalez is something like a $25-30M win player a year. Getting him for less money than Ryan Howard is silly, but I'll take it. (Marc Normandin)
2010-12-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)So you Red Sox joy counterbalances your Padres' sadness on the Gonzalez deal?
(formersd from San Diego)
There really isn't any Padres' sadness, honestly. Here is my thinking.

As great as Adrian Gonzalez is--and he's one of the top players in the game--he is one guy. The Padres had reason to believe the 2011 team could be a bit better, with an improved rotation, a full season of (healthy) Ryan Ludwick, Cameron Maybin possibly blossoming in center with another year in the majors, Kyle Blanks coming back from his TJ surgery, etc. If they acquire Brendan Ryan in a trade to man shortstop as is expected, and then sign someone like Derrek Lee to play first base, then you're talking about a team that could still win something like 82-85 games. Then, in 2012, you have Casey Kelly, Anthony Rizzo, Simon Castro and maybe Drew Cumberland coming up if he continues to tear up the minors. That is an exciting roster all of a sudden, and it was brought about without fielding a terrible team.

The Padres can trade Bell and Ludwick in July and still have a decent team, assuming Aaron Cunningham or Kyle Blanks can slot into Ludwick's place and they bump Mike Adams up to the role of closer. The gloom and doom mentality coming out of San Diego after the trade of Adrian Gonzalez is almost enough to make me start a Padres' blog in response. (Marc Normandin)
2010-12-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)Now that the Sox have Gonzalez, what happens to Lars Anderson now? HOw much longer until he's traded? July?
(richardkr34 from St. Paul)
Lars Anderson wasn't going to be the first baseman in Boston whether they got Adrian Gonzalez or not, because Anthony Rizzo was the first baseman of the future. Chances are good he will sit in Triple-A until someone wants to take a chance on him as part of a larger deal. (Marc Normandin)
2010-10-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)Great work on Red Sox Beacon! Assuming Beltre doesn't come back, who do you see playing 3B next year?
(Casey from Memphis)
Thanks! That's much appreciated. Patrick Sullivan and I are enjoying our new outlet, and I'm excited to be able to spend some more time on the Red Sox with my writing.

I'm pretty convinced Adrian Beltre isn't coming back, which was kind of a sad realization. My guess is that Kevin Youkilis will play third for the Sox next year, and they will set about finding a first baseman--either a permanent solution (which will probably cost them Anthony Rizzo in a trade) or a one-year stopgap so they can insert Rizzo into the role in 2012. (Marc Normandin)
2010-08-20 15:30:00 (link to chat)Anthony Rizzo: future super-star or future mega-super star?
(mattymatty2000 from Portland, OR)
Future good every day play. Not ready to hang star stuff up there. (Kevin Goldstein)

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