Biographical

Portrait of Dan Otero

Dan Otero PIndians

Indians Player Cards | Indians Team Audit | Indians Depth Chart

2018 Projections (Rest of Season Projections - seasonal age 33)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
10.0 4.37 1.37 7 0 0 0 0.1
Birth Date2-19-1985
Height6' 3"
Weight205 lbs
Age33 years, 5 months, 30 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
0.82014
-1.02015
0.62016
0.32017
0.42018
+proj
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA- WARP
2012 SFN MLB 12 0 12.3 0 0 0 19 2 8 0 .255 100 13.9 1.5 0.0 5.8 67% .422 .306 1.70 2.80 5.84 103 4.98 114.2 -0.0
2013 OAK MLB 33 0 39.0 2 0 0 42 6 27 0 .267 93 9.7 1.4 0.0 6.2 56% .333 .224 1.23 2.15 1.38 105 4.54 108.8 0.0
2014 OAK MLB 72 0 86.7 8 2 1 80 15 45 4 .259 95 8.3 1.6 0.4 4.7 58% .269 .243 1.10 3.31 2.28 101 3.76 92.1 0.8
2015 OAK MLB 41 0 46.7 2 4 0 64 6 28 7 .267 97 12.3 1.2 1.4 5.4 50% .354 .309 1.50 4.36 6.75 115 6.50 151.7 -1.0
2016 CLE MLB 62 0 70.7 5 1 1 54 10 57 2 .253 114 6.9 1.3 0.3 7.3 64% .260 .188 0.91 2.28 1.53 88 4.24 93.7 0.6
2017 CLE MLB 52 0 60.0 3 0 0 63 9 38 6 .258 107 9.4 1.4 0.9 5.7 65% .302 .231 1.20 3.61 2.85 95 4.75 101.1 0.3
2018 CLE MLB 45 0 43.7 2 1 1 49 4 33 8 .261 106 10.1 0.8 1.6 6.8 61% .299 .273 1.21 4.54 5.56 95 4.33 96.6 0.3
CareerMLB3170359.022833715223627.2601029.31.30.75.960%.301.2441.183.303.231004.66106.90.6

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA-
2007 SLO A- 22 0 22.3 0 0 19 12 0 15 1 .262 108 4.8 0.0 0.4 6.1 61% .171 .149 0.54 2.90 1.21 86 3.17 92.6
2008 AUG A 25 0 27.0 0 0 18 22 4 26 0 .258 94 7.3 1.3 0.0 8.7 63% .278 .203 0.96 2.07 0.33 78 2.32 48.9
2008 SJO A+ 27 0 27.0 1 1 16 34 3 23 1 .264 89 11.3 1.0 0.3 7.7 56% .358 .322 1.37 3.10 3.67 91 3.98 77.3
2009 NRW AA 39 0 39.0 0 3 19 40 10 31 0 .262 91 9.2 2.3 0.0 7.2 59% .333 .225 1.28 2.46 1.15 81 2.41 53.8
2010 SJO A+ 10 0 13.3 3 0 0 11 1 11 2 .251 108 7.4 0.7 1.4 7.4 53% .250 .194 0.90 4.25 4.06 89 4.16 79.2
2010 GIA Rk 9 0 10.7 2 0 1 7 1 7 0 .261 95 5.9 0.8 0.0 5.9 62% .167 .188 0.75 3.22 0.00 0 0.00 0.0
2011 RIC AA 23 0 38.0 2 1 1 34 4 40 0 .271 83 8.1 0.9 0.0 9.5 61% .318 .202 1.00 1.77 1.42 69 1.21 26.1
2011 FRE AAA 33 0 36.0 2 3 12 38 7 36 4 .271 102 9.5 1.8 1.0 9.0 45% .318 .258 1.25 3.80 3.25 79 2.82 49.6
2012 SFN MLB 12 0 12.3 0 0 0 19 2 8 0 .255 100 13.9 1.5 0.0 5.8 67% .422 .306 1.70 2.80 5.84 103 4.98 114.2
2012 FRE AAA 48 0 62.0 5 5 0 70 8 45 4 .269 103 10.2 1.2 0.6 6.5 56% .333 .251 1.26 3.58 2.90 81 2.65 50.7
2013 OAK MLB 33 0 39.0 2 0 0 42 6 27 0 .267 93 9.7 1.4 0.0 6.2 56% .333 .224 1.23 2.15 1.38 105 4.54 108.8
2013 SAC AAA 23 0 27.3 1 0 15 14 1 22 0 .267 93 4.6 0.3 0.0 7.2 63% .187 .153 0.55 2.17 0.99 77 1.99 40.1
2014 OAK MLB 72 0 86.7 8 2 1 80 15 45 4 .259 95 8.3 1.6 0.4 4.7 58% .269 .243 1.10 3.31 2.28 101 3.76 92.1
2015 OAK MLB 41 0 46.7 2 4 0 64 6 28 7 .267 97 12.3 1.2 1.4 5.4 50% .354 .309 1.50 4.36 6.75 115 6.50 151.7
2015 NAS AAA 15 2 27.7 2 0 0 23 4 19 1 .274 86 7.5 1.3 0.3 6.2 60% .262 .199 0.98 3.12 1.95 85 1.79 36.8
2016 CLE MLB 62 0 70.7 5 1 1 54 10 57 2 .253 114 6.9 1.3 0.3 7.3 64% .260 .188 0.91 2.28 1.53 88 4.24 93.7
2017 CLE MLB 52 0 60.0 3 0 0 63 9 38 6 .258 107 9.4 1.4 0.9 5.7 65% .302 .231 1.20 3.61 2.85 95 4.75 101.1
2018 CLE MLB 45 0 43.7 2 1 1 49 4 33 8 .261 106 10.1 0.8 1.6 6.8 61% .299 .273 1.21 4.54 5.56 95 4.33 96.6

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2012 182 0.5659 0.4890 0.8090 0.6602 0.2658 0.8529 0.6667 0.1910
2013 578 0.5121 0.4775 0.8514 0.6047 0.3440 0.9274 0.7113 0.1486
2014 1188 0.5320 0.4865 0.8426 0.5965 0.3615 0.9098 0.7164 0.1574
2015 719 0.5118 0.4951 0.8399 0.6359 0.3476 0.8974 0.7295 0.1601
2016 990 0.4970 0.4980 0.8357 0.6443 0.3534 0.8864 0.7443 0.1643
2017 853 0.5135 0.5334 0.8484 0.6918 0.3663 0.8944 0.7566 0.1516
2018 670 0.4597 0.4866 0.8282 0.6461 0.3508 0.8744 0.7559 0.1718
Career51800.50910.49670.83980.63640.35210.89650.7330.1602

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2010-04-05 2010-08-04 Minors 121 0 Right Elbow Recovery From Surgery Tommy John Surgery -
2009-07-27 2009-09-08 Minors 43 0 Right Elbow Surgery Tommy John Surgery - -
2009-07-27 2009-09-19 Minors 54 0 Right Arm Soreness -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2021 CLE $100,000
2020 CLE $1,300,000
2019 CLE $1,300,000
2018 CLE $1,100,000
2017 CLE $1,055,000
2016 CLE $520,000
2015 OAK $512,500
2014 OAK $502,500
2013 OAK $
2012 SFN $480,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
5 yrPrevious$3,070,000
2018Current$1,100,000
6 yrPvs + Cur$4,170,000
3 yrFuture$2,700,000
9 yrTotal$6,870,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
4 y 124 dACES2 years/$2.5M (2018-19), 2020 option

Details
  • 2 years/$2.5M (2018-19), plus 2020 club option. 18:$1.1M, 19:$1.3M, 20:$1.5M club option ($0.1M buyout). May earn an additional $0.1M annually in performance bonuses based on games finished. Replaced 1 year/$1.3M contract signed 12/1/17, avoiding arbitration.
  • 1 year/$1.055M (2017). Re-signed by Cleveland 1/12/17 (avoided arbitration).
  • 1 year/$0.52M (2016). Re-signed by Cleveland 3/9/16.
  • 1 year/$0.5125M (2015). Re-signed by Oakland 3/15. Claimed by Philadelphia off waivers from Oakland 11/3/15. Acquired by Cleveland in trade 12/18/15 after being DFA by Philadelphia 12/12/15.
  • 1 year/$0.5025M (2014). Re-signed by Oakland 3/14.
  • 1 year (2013). Re-signed by San Francisco 3/13. Claimed by NY Yankees off waivers from San Francisco 3/26/13. Claimed by Oakland off waivers 3/29/13 after being DFA by NY Yankees 3/27/13. DFA by Oakland 4/5/13. Sent outright to Triple-A 4/7/13. Contract selected by Oakland 6/14/13.
  • 1 year/$0.48M (2012). Contract purchased by San Francisco 11/19/11. Re-signed by San Francisco 3/9/12.
  • Drafted by San Francisco 2007 (21-644) (South Florida).

2018 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 2.9 2.2 0 51 0 71.5 60 21 51 7 .256 1.13 3.24 3.64 8.7 0.9
80o 2.9 2.2 0 51 0 65.2 59 20 47 7 .270 1.21 3.59 4.02 6.6 0.7
70o 2.8 2.3 0 51 0 60.8 58 20 44 6 .280 1.28 3.84 4.3 5.0 0.5
60o 2.8 2.3 0 51 0 57.1 57 20 41 6 .289 1.34 4.08 4.55 3.7 0.4
50o 2.8 2.3 0 51 0 53.7 56 19 39 6 .297 1.39 4.29 4.78 2.4 0.3
40o 2.7 2.4 0 51 0 50.4 54 19 36 6 .306 1.45 4.50 5.01 1.1 0.1
30o 2.7 2.4 0 51 0 46.9 53 18 34 6 .315 1.51 4.74 5.27 -0.3 -0.0
20o 2.6 2.5 0 51 0 43.0 51 18 31 6 .325 1.59 5.02 5.57 -2.0 -0.2
10o 2.6 2.5 0 51 0 37.7 48 17 27 5 .340 1.70 5.42 6 -4.3 -0.5
Weighted Mean2.82.3051053.15419386.2951.384.264.752.60.3

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2018 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20193421045048491735656.2961.384.494.849.33.26.61.10.2
20203521046049511735656.3001.394.404.749.43.16.41.10.3
20213621043045471632556.2981.404.464.819.43.26.41.00.2
20223721037039431428556.3061.454.524.879.83.26.41.10.2
20233821040042441530556.2971.404.514.869.43.26.41.10.2
20243921036038411427556.3011.434.564.929.63.36.31.20.1
20254021038040431428556.2991.414.574.939.63.16.21.10.1
20264121036038411427556.3021.434.594.959.63.36.31.20.1
20274211030032341222456.3001.454.634.999.73.46.31.10.1

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 66)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 82 Mariano Rivera 2003 1.91
2 81 Burke Badenhop 2016 0.00 DNP
3 80 Jim Johnson 2016 3.20
4 79 Joe Smith 2017 3.33
5 78 Ronald Belisario 2016 0.00 DNP
6 78 Brad Ziegler 2013 2.47
7 78 Joe Beimel 2010 3.60
8 78 Casey Janssen 2015 4.95
9 77 Dan Quisenberry 1986 3.43
10 77 Matt Albers 2016 7.71
11 76 Brandon League 2016 0.00 DNP
12 75 Chad Bradford 2008 3.03
13 73 Geoff Geary 2010 0.00 DNP
14 72 J.P. Howell 2016 4.09
15 72 Luke Gregerson 2017 4.72
16 71 Kent Tekulve 1980 3.87
17 71 Jason Isringhausen 2006 3.86
18 71 Peter Moylan 2012 5.40
19 71 Dan Kolb 2008 0.00 DNP
20 70 Craig Breslow 2014 6.63
21 69 Matt Wise 2009 0.00 DNP
22 69 Santiago Casilla 2014 2.01
23 69 Jared Burton 2014 4.78
24 69 Jeff Shaw 2000 4.55
25 69 Steve Kline 2006 4.18
26 68 Bill Swift 1995 5.28
27 68 Ryan Dempster 2010 4.60
28 68 Matt Lindstrom 2013 3.41
29 68 Jonathan Broxton 2017 6.89
30 67 LaTroy Hawkins 2006 4.48
31 67 Matt Guerrier 2012 3.86
32 67 Hideki Okajima 2009 3.39
33 67 Scot Shields 2009 7.13
34 67 Craig Stammen 2017 3.36
35 67 Keith Foulke 2006 4.35
36 67 Tim Hudson 2009 3.61
37 67 Roy Halladay 2010 2.66
38 67 Matt Belisle 2013 4.56
39 66 Bob Wickman 2002 5.77
40 66 Dennys Reyes 2010 3.55
41 66 Nick Masset 2015 5.40
42 66 Braden Looper 2008 4.57
43 66 Brandon Lyon 2013 5.24
44 66 Tom Wilhelmsen 2017 4.44
45 66 Jerry Blevins 2017 2.94
46 65 Rafael Perez 2015 0.00 DNP
47 65 Tim Burke 1992 5.61
48 65 Tony Barnette 2017 5.65
49 64 J.C. Romero 2009 3.24
50 64 Bob Howry 2007 3.43
51 64 Sparky Lyle 1978 3.71
52 64 Adam Wainwright 2015 2.25
53 64 Derek Lowe 2006 4.00
54 64 Zack Greinke 2017 3.56
55 64 C.J. Wilson 2014 4.87
56 64 Francisco Cordero 2008 3.58
57 63 Mike Timlin 1999 4.29
58 63 Jonathan Papelbon 2014 2.04
59 63 Scott Feldman 2016 4.91
60 63 Ramon Hernandez 1974 2.88
61 63 Mike Adams 2012 3.61
62 63 J.J. Putz 2010 3.00
63 63 Kevin Brown 1998 2.70
64 63 Scott Rice 2015 0.00 DNP
65 63 Dale Thayer 2014 2.76
66 62 Pedro Feliciano 2010 3.45
67 62 Francisley Bueno 2014 4.45
68 62 George Sherrill 2010 7.43
69 62 Greg Maddux 1999 4.23
70 62 Doug Jones 1990 2.77
71 62 Justin Verlander 2016 3.20
72 61 Mike MacDougal 2010 7.23
73 61 Chris Carpenter 2008 2.93
74 61 Chad Paronto 2009 12.15
75 61 Ramon Ramirez 2015 0.00 DNP
76 61 Hoyt Wilhelm 1956 4.77
77 61 Mike Marshall 1976 4.35
78 61 Scott Downs 2009 3.47
79 61 B.J. Ryan 2009 6.53
80 61 Dennis Lamp 1986 6.16
81 60 Dave Smith 1988 4.08
82 60 Jose Veras 2014 4.89
83 60 CC Sabathia 2014 6.07
84 60 Erasmo Ramirez 2009 0.00 DNP
85 60 Jim Brosnan 1963 3.24
86 60 Brian Wilson 2015 0.00 DNP
87 60 Manny Parra 2016 0.00 DNP
88 60 Randy Choate 2009 3.47
89 60 Huston Street 2017 0.00
90 59 Julian Tavarez 2006 5.02
91 59 Fernando Rodney 2010 4.37
92 59 Warren Spahn 1954 3.49
93 59 Kelly Wunsch 2006 0.00 DNP
94 59 Jose Mesa 1999 5.50
95 59 Doug Fister 2017 5.48
96 59 Joe Thatcher 2015 3.18
97 59 Carl Willis 1994 7.28
98 59 Darren O'Day 2016 3.77
99 59 Steve Rogers 1983 3.56
100 59 Ryan Mattheus 2017 0.00 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .238 .284 .336 .226
11 vs R (Multi) .253 .270 .355 .225
18 Split (Multi) -.015 .014 -.019 .001
19 LgAvg (Multi) .006 .020 .015 .013
30 vs L (2016) .197 .248 .274 .183
31 vs R (2016) .223 .234 .295 .192
38 Split (2016) -.026 .014 -.021 -.010
39 LgAvg (2016) .003 .018 .013 .012

Definition of multi-year splits

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2018 Due to publishing agreements, the 2018 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2018 book (available in hardcopy, and soon e-book and Kindle).
2017 Otero comes from a family of competitive swimmers, but he doesn’t share the talent. When his father, who swam at Princeton, first put young Dan in the pool, “I sank to the bottom,” he told the Cleveland Plain Dealer. This was a harbinger of Otero’s athletic ability, and not just the fact that he apparently lacks any when it comes to swimming: he grew up to be a sinkerballer. The only problem was that he was a sinkerballer whose sinker didn’t always sink—an issue he fixed 2016, when the pitch obediently followed the example set by Otero’s attempts to swim. Otero got more ground balls than ever in his first year in Cleveland, and had the best year of career as a result. He can keep swimming in the big-league pool so long as the sinker stays sunk.
2016 After two years as a key bullpen cog for the A's, Dan Otero turned into a punching bag, the unfortunate sinkerballer whose ball doesn't sink until it's on the other side of the outfield fence.
2015 "Book 'em" Dan Otero is a worm-burning machine thanks to a heavy sinker that batters struggle to lift. He didn't surrender a home run for the first 63 innings of his career, and, at 29, finally managed to spend a full year with the luxuries of big-league life (per diem above McDonald's grade; bed bug-free hotels; games in real cities like Milwaukee rather than third-rate podunks like Las Vegas). He only throws two speeds with his three-pitch repertoire, and he relies on the sinker to fuel an extreme pitch-to-contact approach (18 percent Three True Outcome rate last year). The risky strategy has paid off to the tune of a 2.01 ERA across 125 innings over the past two seasons, a nod to Otero's excellent command fueled by a repeatable release point from his low-three-quarter arm slot.
2014 The sinkerballing sidearmer was allergic to true outcomes in 2013. This includes striking out few batters, but his penchant for worm-burners kept the damage to a minimum. The 29-year-old with impeccable command steadily earned trust from Bob Melvin as the year went on, culminating in four appearances in the ALDS. (True to form, he struck out just two of 21 batters while inducing 12 grounders. No runs, allowed, natch.) Had Billy Beane simply let Grant Balfour move on to greener ($$$) pastures and bumped everyone in the remaining bullpen up a notch, Otero might have found himself with a nice seventh-inning role on Opening Day 2014. Instead, Beane did Beane Things and acquired Jim Johnson and Luke Gregerson, so Otero will have to scrap for high-leverage work once again.
2013 Danny Otero avoids walks, but he caught too much plate in his limited big-league stint and was quite hittable.
2010 The latest sleight-of-hand reliever from the farm might be Dan Otero, at least if he can keep hitting his spots.

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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2017-03-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)What should be the concern level with the Indians pitching staff? Klubers work load, Salazar and Carrasco injuries. Bauers inconsistencies. What gives?
(Dave from Cleveland)
There's definitely reason to worry about Carrasco and Salazar from a durability standpoint, but if healthy I think they're each among the top 20 pitchers in the league. I've mostly given up on Bauer being in that same category, although he's not without upside still. Their rotation depth could be an issue, but that's not really unique to the Indians. As long as Kluber is making 30-plus starts and they get, say, 300 innings from the Carrasco/Salazar combo, it'll be one of the best rotations in the league. I can't see a bullpen with Andrew Miller, Cody Allen, Bryan Shaw, Dan Otero, and Boone Logan for a full season being anything but excellent. (Aaron Gleeman)


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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

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