Biographical

Portrait of David Price

David Price PRed Sox

Red Sox Player Cards | Red Sox Team Audit | Red Sox Depth Chart

2019 Projections (Rest of Season Projections - seasonal age 33)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
162.0 3.92 1.29 151 11 8 0 2.0
Birth Date8-26-1985
Height6' 5"
Weight215 lbs
Age33 years, 6 months, 21 days
BatsL
ThrowsL
6.22015
5.92016
0.42017
3.22018
2.02019
proj
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA- WARP
2008 TBA MLB 5 1 14.0 0 0 0 9 4 12 1 106 5.8 2.6 0.6 7.7 53% .205 0.93 3.44 1.93 106 5.26 112.2 0.0
2009 TBA MLB 23 23 128.3 10 7 0 119 54 102 17 106 8.3 3.8 1.2 7.2 43% .268 1.35 4.62 4.42 111 5.11 109.7 0.6
2010 TBA MLB 32 31 208.7 19 6 0 170 79 188 15 104 7.3 3.4 0.6 8.1 45% .270 1.19 3.38 2.72 98 3.69 83.4 3.8
2011 TBA MLB 34 34 224.3 12 13 0 192 63 218 22 98 7.7 2.5 0.9 8.7 45% .281 1.14 3.35 3.49 93 3.47 80.7 4.2
2012 TBA MLB 31 31 211.0 20 5 0 173 59 205 16 98 7.4 2.5 0.7 8.7 53% .285 1.10 2.99 2.56 80 2.74 62.7 6.0
2013 TBA MLB 27 27 186.7 10 8 0 178 27 151 16 96 8.6 1.3 0.8 7.3 47% .298 1.10 3.05 3.33 86 3.02 72.2 4.4
2014 DET 0 11 11 77.7 4 4 0 74 15 82 5 109 8.6 1.7 0.6 9.5 45% .317 1.15 2.46 3.59 87 3.27 80.1 1.5
2014 TBA 0 23 23 170.7 11 8 0 156 23 189 20 95 8.2 1.2 1.1 10.0 42% .301 1.05 2.96 3.11 72 2.14 52.4 5.7
2015 DET 0 21 21 146.0 9 4 0 133 29 138 13 102 8.2 1.8 0.8 8.5 41% .293 1.11 3.02 2.53 86 2.97 69.3 3.7
2015 TOR 0 11 11 74.3 9 1 0 57 18 87 4 102 6.9 2.2 0.5 10.5 45% .283 1.01 2.18 2.30 73 2.21 51.7 2.5
2016 BOS MLB 35 35 230.0 17 9 0 227 50 228 30 110 8.9 2.0 1.2 8.9 45% .310 1.20 3.56 3.99 87 3.13 69.4 5.9
2017 BOS MLB 16 11 74.7 6 3 0 65 24 76 8 104 7.8 2.9 1.0 9.2 40% .278 1.19 3.61 3.38 105 5.04 107.3 0.4
2018 BOS MLB 30 30 176.0 16 7 0 151 50 177 25 106 7.7 2.6 1.3 9.1 41% .274 1.14 4.05 3.58 97 3.72 83.1 3.2
2014 TOT MLB 34 34 248.3 15 12 0 230 38 271 25 99 8.3 1.4 0.9 9.8 43% .306 1.08 2.80 3.26 77 2.49 61.1 7.2
2015 TOT MLB 32 32 220.3 18 5 0 190 47 225 17 102 7.8 1.9 0.7 9.2 42% .290 1.08 2.74 2.45 82 2.71 63.3 6.2
CareerMLB2992891922.3143750170449518531921028.02.30.98.745%.2871.143.333.25903.3275.741.9

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg LG G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA-
2008 TBA MLB AL 5 1 14.0 0 0 0 9 4 12 1 106 5.8 2.6 0.6 7.7 53% .205 0.93 3.44 1.93 106 5.26 112.2
2008 VRO A+ FSL 6 6 34.7 4 0 0 28 7 37 0 101 7.3 1.8 0.0 9.6 50% .311 1.01 1.68 1.82 0 0.00 0.0
2008 MNT AA SOU 9 9 57.0 7 0 0 42 16 55 7 112 6.6 2.5 1.1 8.7 58% .246 1.02 3.96 1.89 0 0.00 0.0
2008 DUR AAA INT 4 4 18.0 1 1 0 22 9 17 0 92 11.0 4.5 0.0 8.5 54% .378 1.72 2.93 4.50 0 0.00 0.0
2009 TBA MLB AL 23 23 128.3 10 7 0 119 54 102 17 106 8.3 3.8 1.2 7.2 43% .268 1.35 4.62 4.42 111 5.11 109.7
2009 DUR AAA INT 8 8 34.3 1 4 0 28 18 35 5 115 7.3 4.7 1.3 9.2 45% .261 1.34 4.66 3.94 0 0.00 0.0
2010 TBA MLB AL 32 31 208.7 19 6 0 170 79 188 15 104 7.3 3.4 0.6 8.1 45% .270 1.19 3.38 2.72 98 3.69 83.4
2011 TBA MLB AL 34 34 224.3 12 13 0 192 63 218 22 98 7.7 2.5 0.9 8.7 45% .281 1.14 3.35 3.49 93 3.47 80.7
2012 TBA MLB AL 31 31 211.0 20 5 0 173 59 205 16 98 7.4 2.5 0.7 8.7 53% .285 1.10 2.99 2.56 80 2.74 62.7
2013 TBA MLB AL 27 27 186.7 10 8 0 178 27 151 16 96 8.6 1.3 0.8 7.3 47% .298 1.10 3.05 3.33 86 3.02 72.2
2013 PCH A+ FSL 2 2 7.3 1 0 0 4 3 12 0 99 4.9 3.7 0.0 14.7 53% .267 0.95 1.19 1.23 0 0.00 0.0
2014 DET MLB AL 11 11 77.7 4 4 0 74 15 82 5 109 8.6 1.7 0.6 9.5 45% .317 1.15 2.46 3.59 87 3.27 80.1
2014 TBA MLB AL 23 23 170.7 11 8 0 156 23 189 20 95 8.2 1.2 1.1 10.0 42% .301 1.05 2.96 3.11 72 2.14 52.4
2015 DET MLB AL 21 21 146.0 9 4 0 133 29 138 13 102 8.2 1.8 0.8 8.5 41% .293 1.11 3.02 2.53 86 2.97 69.3
2015 TOR MLB AL 11 11 74.3 9 1 0 57 18 87 4 102 6.9 2.2 0.5 10.5 45% .283 1.01 2.18 2.30 73 2.21 51.7
2016 BOS MLB AL 35 35 230.0 17 9 0 227 50 228 30 110 8.9 2.0 1.2 8.9 45% .310 1.20 3.56 3.99 87 3.13 69.4
2017 BOS MLB AL 16 11 74.7 6 3 0 65 24 76 8 104 7.8 2.9 1.0 9.2 40% .278 1.19 3.61 3.38 105 5.04 107.3
2017 PAW AAA INT 2 2 5.7 0 0 0 12 2 8 1 91 19.1 3.2 1.6 12.7 27% .524 2.47 3.86 9.53 113 3.61 76.7
2018 BOS MLB AL 30 30 176.0 16 7 0 151 50 177 25 106 7.7 2.6 1.3 9.1 41% .274 1.14 4.05 3.58 97 3.72 83.1

Plate Discipline

YEAR Pits Zone% Swing% Contact% Z-Swing% O-Swing% Z-Contact% O-Contact% SwStr%
2008 233 0.5322 0.5150 0.7333 0.6935 0.3119 0.7907 0.5882 0.2667
2009 2237 0.5288 0.4417 0.8148 0.6137 0.2486 0.8457 0.7290 0.1852
2010 3337 0.5460 0.4732 0.7739 0.6175 0.2997 0.8240 0.6498 0.2261
2011 3674 0.5237 0.4382 0.7876 0.5795 0.2829 0.8287 0.6949 0.2124
2012 3195 0.5167 0.4360 0.7818 0.5845 0.2772 0.8446 0.6402 0.2182
2013 2706 0.5388 0.4701 0.8168 0.6084 0.3085 0.8771 0.6779 0.1832
2014 3726 0.5636 0.4836 0.7647 0.6171 0.3112 0.8187 0.6265 0.2353
2015 3377 0.5395 0.5037 0.7425 0.6570 0.3241 0.7945 0.6190 0.2575
2016 3497 0.5179 0.5013 0.7467 0.6681 0.3221 0.7975 0.6335 0.2533
2017 1241 0.4730 0.4988 0.7383 0.6797 0.3364 0.8321 0.5682 0.2617
2018 2716 0.5136 0.4716 0.7705 0.6401 0.2937 0.8399 0.6108 0.2295
Career299390.53030.47160.77340.62370.30010.82760.64710.2266

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-07-07 2014-07-13 DTD 6 5 - General Medical Illness -
2013-05-16 2013-07-02 15-DL 47 44 Left Upper Arm Strain Triceps - -
2012-09-03 2012-09-14 DTD 11 9 Left Shoulder Soreness - -
2012-06-29 2012-06-29 DTD 0 0 - Low Back Spasms - -
2012-03-09 2012-03-13 Camp 4 0 - Neck Spasms - -
2011-09-18 2011-09-18 DTD 0 0 - Chest Contusion - -
2011-07-10 2011-07-15 DTD 5 1 - Sprain Turf Toe - -
2010-06-16 2010-06-20 DTD 4 4 - Groin Contusion - -
2010-03-11 2010-03-20 Camp 9 0 Right Hand Laceration -
2010-01-01 2010-01-01 Off 0 0 Bilateral Face Surgery LASIK 2010-01-01
2008-04-03 2008-05-22 Minors 49 0 Left Elbow Strain -
2008-03-20 2008-04-03 Camp 14 2 Left Elbow Soreness -
2008-02-28 2008-03-08 Camp 9 0 Left Shoulder Stiffness -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2022 BOS $32,000,000
2021 BOS $32,000,000
2020 BOS $32,000,000
2019 BOS $31,000,000
2018 BOS $30,000,000
2017 BOS $30,000,000
2016 BOS $30,000,000
2015 DET $19,750,000
2014 TBA $14,000,000
2013 TBA $10,112,500
2012 TBA $4,350,000
2011 TBA $2,183,333
2010 TBA $1,933,333
2009 TBA $1,683,333
2008 TBA $650,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
11 yrPrevious$144,662,499
2018Current$31,000,000
12 yrPvs + Cur$175,662,499
3 yrFuture$96,000,000
15 yrTotal$271,662,499

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
9 y 164 dBo McKinnis7 years/$217M (2016-22)

Details
  • 7 years/$217M (2016-22). Signed by Boston as a free agent 12/15. 16-18:$30M annually, 19:$31M, 20-22:$32M annually. No money deferred. May opt out of contract after 2018 season. Most lucrative contract ever for a pitcher. At $31M, tied Miguel Cabrera for highest-ever average annual value. Perks: may purchase 8 premium seats for all games, including post-season.
  • 1 year/$19.75M (2015). Re-signed by Detroit 1/16/15 (avoided arbitration). One-year record for player filing for arbitration. Acquired by Toronto in trade from Detroit 7/30/15 with Blue Jays assuming responsibility for remaining $7,122,950 on contract.
  • 1 year/$14M (2014). Re-signed by Tampa Bay 1/16/14 (avoided arbitration). Acquired by Detroit in trade from Tampa Bay 7/31/14.
  • 1 year/$10.1125M (2013). Re-signed by Tampa Bay 1/2/13 (avoided arbitration). $5M signing bonus. $4M in salary deferred until 2014. At signing, salary was a record for a pitcher eligible for arbitration for a second time.
  • 1 year/$4.35M (2012). Re-signed by Tampa Bay 1/17/12 (avoided arbitration).
  • 6 years/$8.5M (2007-12). Signed Major League contract with Tampa Bay 8/15/07. $5.6M signing bonus. 07:$0.5M, 08:$0.65M, 09:$0.75M, 10:$1M, 11:$1.25M, 12:$1.5M. Salaries in minors: 08:$0.1M, 09:$0.15M, 10:$0.2M, 11:$0.65M, 12:$1.3M. Price may void remainder of contract and file for arbitration in any year he is otherwise arbitration-eligible. Optioned 3/11/08. Recalled 9/13/08. Optioned to Triple-A 3/25/09. Recalled 5/25/09. Voided final year of contract, opted for arbitration 10/31/11.
  • Drafted by Tampa Bay 2007 (1-1) (Vanderbilt).

2019 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 12.2 6.6 0 27 27 180.0 153 46 168 21 .269 1.11 3.00 3.4 35.5 3.9
80o 11.9 7.1 0 27 27 173.7 156 47 162 21 .279 1.17 3.30 3.75 29.5 3.2
70o 11.7 7.4 0 27 27 169.3 158 47 158 22 .287 1.21 3.53 4 25.2 2.7
60o 11.5 7.7 0 27 27 165.5 160 48 154 22 .293 1.25 3.73 4.21 21.6 2.3
50o 11.4 8 0 27 27 162.0 161 48 151 22 .299 1.29 3.92 4.42 18.0 2.0
40o 11.2 8.3 0 27 27 158.5 162 48 148 22 .306 1.33 4.10 4.62 14.5 1.6
30o 11 8.7 0 27 27 154.9 163 49 144 22 .312 1.37 4.31 4.84 10.8 1.2
20o 10.8 9 0 27 27 150.7 165 49 140 23 .320 1.42 4.55 5.1 6.3 0.7
10o 10.5 9.6 0 27 27 144.9 167 50 135 23 .330 1.49 4.87 5.47 0.0 0.0
Weighted Mean11.4802727162.01604815122.2981.283.904.418.32.0

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2019 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
202034101103030190190591752942.2961.314.484.729.02.88.31.41.6
202135101002828169169521552542.2991.314.384.629.02.88.31.31.6
2022368802323135136411232042.2991.314.384.619.12.78.21.31.3
2023377802121124126391131842.3011.334.474.719.22.88.21.31.1
2024387802121124128401121942.3021.354.544.789.32.98.11.41.0
20253966017179810132881542.3031.364.574.829.32.98.11.40.7
2026405601515909329811442.3021.364.574.819.32.98.11.40.7
2027414401111626520561042.3021.364.584.839.42.98.11.40.5
202842340101058601951942.3031.374.684.939.43.08.01.40.4

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 79)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 93 Johan Santana 2012 5.00
2 93 Josh Beckett 2013 6.23
3 91 Cole Hamels 2017 4.50
4 88 John Smoltz 2000 0.00 DNP
5 88 Kelvim Escobar 2009 3.60
6 87 A.J. Burnett 2010 5.69
7 86 Anibal Sanchez 2017 6.92
8 86 Adam Wainwright 2015 2.25
9 85 Roy Oswalt 2011 3.88
10 85 Marco Estrada 2017 5.03
11 85 Jon Lester 2017 5.03
12 84 Justin Verlander 2016 3.20
13 84 Erik Bedard 2012 5.44
14 84 Vic Raschi 1952 3.11
15 84 Jake Peavy 2014 4.00
16 84 Kevin Millwood 2008 5.55
17 83 Bob Gibson 1969 2.41
18 83 Scott Kazmir 2017 0.00 DNP
19 83 Mike Cuellar 1970 3.81
20 82 Phil Niekro 1972 3.54
21 82 Jeff Samardzija 2018 6.45
22 82 Ted Higuera 1991 4.46
23 82 Mike Mussina 2002 4.30
24 81 Justin Duchscherer 2011 0.00 DNP
25 81 Jack Morris 1988 4.40
26 81 Jason Schmidt 2006 3.97
27 81 Jim Bunning 1965 2.85
28 81 Mark Langston 1994 5.05
29 80 CC Sabathia 2014 6.07
30 80 Orlando Hernandez 1999 4.53
31 80 Tom Seaver 1978 3.36
32 80 Gavin Floyd 2016 4.06
33 80 Bartolo Colon 2006 6.23
34 79 Charlie Root 1932 3.81
35 79 Mike Scott 1988 3.05
36 79 Ted Lilly 2009 3.36
37 79 Jered Weaver 2016 5.36
38 79 Jimmy Key 1994 3.64
39 79 Steve Carlton 1978 3.31
40 78 Shaun Marcum 2015 5.40
41 78 George Pipgras 1933 4.21
42 78 Andy Pettitte 2005 2.67
43 78 Curt Schilling 2000 3.85
44 78 Zack Greinke 2017 3.56
45 78 Virgil Trucks 1950 3.82
46 78 Freddy Garcia 2010 4.87
47 78 Jeff Fassero 1996 3.69
48 78 Mike Garcia 1957 4.13
49 78 Wilbur Wood 1975 4.57 DNP
50 77 Colby Lewis 2013 0.00 DNP
51 77 Juan Marichal 1971 3.65
52 77 Bret Saberhagen 1997 6.92
53 77 Tommy Bridges 1940 3.75
54 77 Jason Hammel 2016 4.16
55 77 Stan Coveleski 1923 3.87
56 77 Pascual Perez 1990 1.93
57 77 Don Sutton 1978 4.12
58 76 George Earnshaw 1933 7.11
59 76 Bobo Newsom 1941 5.09
60 76 Warren Spahn 1954 3.49
61 76 Whitey Ford 1962 3.14 DNP
62 76 Dazzy Vance 1924 2.54
63 76 Cliff Melton 1945 0.00 DNP
64 76 Roger Clemens 1996 3.93
65 75 Preacher Roe 1949 2.92
66 75 Hisashi Iwakuma 2014 3.52
67 75 Ervin Santana 2016 3.87
68 75 Javier Vazquez 2010 5.49
69 75 Ben Sheets 2012 3.83
70 75 John Lackey 2012 0.00 DNP
71 75 Pedro Martinez 2005 2.86
72 75 Wilbur Cooper 1925 4.79
73 75 Gaylord Perry 1972 2.07
74 75 Wandy Rodriguez 2012 4.33
75 74 Brad Radke 2006 4.82
76 74 Bronson Arroyo 2010 3.96
77 74 Joe Dobson 1950 4.56
78 74 Larry Jansen 1954 6.99
79 74 Doug Davis 2009 4.47
80 74 Frank Lary 1963 3.35
81 74 David Cone 1996 3.13
82 74 Yusmeiro Petit 2018 3.00
83 74 Doug Fister 2017 5.48
84 74 Claude Passeau 1942 3.76
85 74 Jesse Chavez 2017 5.41
86 74 Billy Pierce 1960 3.67
87 74 Matt Morris 2008 12.49
88 73 Brandon McCarthy 2017 4.18
89 73 Bud Norris 2018 4.21
90 73 Ron Reed 1976 2.74
91 73 Rodrigo Lopez 2009 7.50
92 73 Andy Messersmith 1979 4.91
93 73 Cliff Lee 2012 3.37
94 73 Dolf Luque 1924 4.11
95 73 Ubaldo Jimenez 2017 6.88
96 73 Johnny Sain 1951 4.83
97 73 Clay Buchholz 2018 2.29
98 73 Al Benton 1944 0.00 DNP
99 72 James Shields 2015 4.14
100 72 Matt Garza 2017 5.65

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2019  Due to publishing agreements, the 2019 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2019 book (available in hardcopy, and soon e-book and Kindle).
2018 Block out all the noise for a second. Forget about the spat with Dennis Eckersley or the tiff with reporter Evan Drellich or the ridiculous “is Price faking his injury” propaganda from the mouth-breathers. Just look at Price’s performance, and be honest: You didn’t realize he was that decent in 2017, did you? Days of Price’s Life has become Boston’s leading drama when the Pats aren’t playing, but when the big lefty was actually on the mound last season he was a good pitcher. Sure, the giant caveat here is that Price threw just 74 2/3 innings, and 8 2/3 of them came in relief. It was outstanding relief work, but that won’t cut it when you're making $30 million a year. Nonetheless, when healthy, Price proved he’s still mostly the guy the Red Sox invested in. That’s one question answered, but two big ones remain. First, will Price’s left elbow allow him to log 200 innings in a season? And second, does Price hate Boston enough to opt out of his contract after 2018 even if it will cost him money? Tune in next time to find out.
2017 Life can be tough for players who don’t live up to their contracts in Boston, but even if Price had dominated in 2016, he was going to be a tough sell for many Sox fans. After all, Price served as one of their chief antagonists for years. He shut them down in the 2008 postseason, was a sore loser when Boston returned the favor in 2013 and took more shots at David Ortiz than your average Yankees fan along the way. There was always going to be an adjustment period, but Price didn’t endear himself to Massholes by carrying an an ERA that started with a four for most of the year and submitting yet another bad playoff start. Seriously, the only way Price could be less popular in Boston right now is if you stitched “Drew" on the back of his uniform. Advanced metrics suggest Price was actually quite good last season, and the $217 million man did lead all of baseball in innings pitched. Good luck bringing those points up to your standard Red Sox fan who just watched Jon Lester win another ring, though. All Price can do is hope his ERA matches his DRA next season as he waits for another shot at October redemption. Until then, Price will remain the ire of Sox fans with long memories, medium iced coffees, short tempers and no patience.
2016 Just like Mark McGwire's 62nd home run, the moon landing and Janet Jackson's wardrobe malfunction, we all remember where we were when we saw David Price storm out of the bullpen in Game Four of the ALDS. In fact, it's still as befuddling today as it was on October 12th, even knowing the Blue Jays went on to win the series. Before he was relegated to mop-up duty that day, Price finished second in the AL Cy Young voting after coming over from Detroit at the trade deadline. A true workhorse, Price has faced more batters over the last six years than Clayton Kershaw, Cole Hamels and Justin Verlander; nobody has faced more than him since the start of 2014. He also found himself immune, at least during the regular season, to two major tenets of the modern pitching age: the velocity aging curve (Price saw his highest mark since 2012) and the third-time-through-the-order penalty (his .533 OPS against third-time opponents was lower than his first or second). The playoffs continued to be his bugaboo, but there's no reason to believe this won't resolve itself over the life of his massive new contract.
2015 Forty years ago, 40 pitchers faced at least 1,000 batters in a season. In the last four seasons, one did: this guy, last year. It's no wonder Price, the ace of a waffling contender, endured a typhoon of trade rumors. Finally he was freighted to Detroit to supplement the Best Starting Rotation Ever, which was still not enough to win a postseason game. The Tigers might have anticipated a Randy Johnson/CC Sabathia-type performance down the stretch, but received the same old stoic eight-inning vignettes. Now in his final year of team control, he could face another 1,000 batters, spell the bullpen even on his mediocre nights and run away with the gross tonnage of Scrooge McDuck's swimming pool next winter.
2014 The uncontested king of the Rays' jungle, Price struggled in the early going before a triceps injury landed him on the disabled list for the first time. You could argue the case that he improved on his 2012 Cy Young performance when he returned healthy in early July. His strikeout rate dropped a bit, but his command and control have never been better. Price lost some velocity off his fastball, but he had room for a decline, as he still clocked in with an average of 94 mph. Following that heat with a low-80s changeup and curveball along with a cutter in the upper 80s that he commands to his arm side ... well, it's easy to see why he's one of the best pitchers in the game. And he won't turn 30 until late in 2015.
2013 After he won his 20th game, Price was asked whether he felt he'd had a Cy Young season. His answer: "One hundred percent." And who is to argue, other than Justin Verlander? Price established himself as the ace the Rays foresaw when they took him with the first pick in 2007. What stands out is his consistency, both year-to-year and within the season itself. Price almost duplicated many key stats from 2011: walk and strikeout rates, BABIP, batting average-against, and others. He pitched into the seventh inning in 26 of his 31 starts. It's only a matter of time, and probably not much of it, before Price prices himself out of the Rays' market and perhaps wins his second Cy Young Award in another uniform.
2012 He posted a higher FIP than he did in 2010, a higher WARP than he did in 2010, and was rewarded with some of the worst run support in baseball. The result? A 12-13 season. In 11 of those 13 losses, the Rays provided Price with two runs or less of support, and were shut out in three of those contests. Only the miraculous comeback on the season's final game stopped him from earning a 14th no-run-support loss. Price's strikeout rate and walk rate both improved from 2010 but a spike in home runs slowed his overall gains a bit. He continues to dominate left-handed batters, holding them to a 508 OPS last season while allowing just 12 extra base hits in 230 at bats. The further development of his change-up will help against righties, who again slugged over .400 against him. Price got in just ahead of the Super Two cutoff, making him arbitration-eligible a season earlier than the organization would have liked. By the time you read this, we'll know just how escalated his salary will be from the $2.43M he made last year.
2011 In his first full major-league season, Price advanced leaps and bounds beyond his rookie year, living up to the hype that had made him one of the game's top prospects and establishing himself as one of the league's top lefty starters. With his once-vaunted slider having fizzled in 2009, he broke out a new curveball as his breaking pitch of choice, and he grew more efficient with his pitches and missing more bats. Integrating a two-seam fastball into his arsenal, he boosted his K/BB ratio, cut his homer rate in half, and wound up third in the league in ERA and fifth in hit rate. He received his due from the AL Cy Young voters, finishing second to Felix Hernandez, and it is not difficult to believe that he'll win his own hardware one of these days.
2010 The first overall pick of 2007 closed 2008 with a tantalizing post-season showing and entered the year ranked behind only Matt Wieters on our Top 100 Prospect list. Unwilling to get caught up in the hype, the Rays sent Price back to Durham during the season's first six weeks, and his initial results upon promotion were underwhelming: a 4.70 ERA and 1.5 K/BB ratio prior to the All-Star break. He improved markedly in the second half (4.27 ERA, 2.4 K/BB ratio) by pitching to contact more often; while his strikeout rate fell (9.6 to 5.9), his walk rate plummeted more drastically (6.3 to 2.5), and he produced more ground balls, allowing him to pitch deeper into games. The most troubling aspect of his season was his struggles with his vaunted slider, considered a plus-plus pitch by scouts; advertised as a knockout pitch, it generated swings and misses just 4.8 percent of the time, the fourth-lowest rate among pitchers who threw at least 200 sliders. He'll have to restore his feel for that pitch in order to fulfill the lofty explanations set for him.
2009 Everyone in the scouting community knew that he was the next best thing, and in October, Price proved it to the world. At this point, some feel that the Rays are in a bit of a Joba-quandary with Price; he could easily be among the most dominant relievers in the game, but his long-term value clearly lies in being a starter. If you want to nitpick a bit, the changeup is inconsistent, and as everyone saw, he can lose his command when he's jacked up and overthrowing, but everything else that you witnessed in October was real. Price is the best pitching prospect in the game, and he should be a perennial Cy Young candidate.
2008 The first overall pick last June, Price is believed to be a superior talent to former Tiger/current Marlins prospect Andrew Miller, another big, power college lefty who was considered the top talent in the 2006 draft. Price doesn't have as much juice on his fastball as Miller, but he has plenty, his slider is better, and his command is head and shoulders above Miller's. He could move very quickly and be a rotation stalwart alongside Kazmir, James Shields, and Matt Garza by 2009.

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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC