Biographical

Portrait of Alex Guerrero

Alex Guerrero LF

Player Cards | Team Audit | Depth Chart

Career Summary
Years PA AVG OBP SLG DRC+ WARP
3 243 .224 .251 .414 84 -0.1
Birth Date11-20-1986
Height6' 1"
Weight220 lbs
Age37 years, 4 months, 8 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA H 2B 3B HR BB SO HBP SB CS AVG OBP SLG DRC+ DRAA BRR FRAA BWARP
2014 LAN 27 11 13 1 0 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 .077 .077 .077 55 -0.6 0.2 -0.3 -0.1
2015 LAN 28 106 230 51 9 1 11 7 57 2 1 0 .233 .261 .434 86 -2.9 -1.3 -2.1 -0.1
Career117243529111763210.224.251.41484-3.5-1.1-2.4-0.1

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg LG G PA oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ DRC+ DRC+ SD FRAA BRR DRAA BWARP
2014 LAN MLB NL 11 13 .263 .332 .404 .143 98 -2.4 0.3 0 55 13 -0.3 0.2 -0.6 -0.1
2014 RCU A+ CAL 5 21 .301 .365 .484 .412 104 2.2 0.6 0.1 137 0 -0.1 -0.1 0.3 0.1
2014 ABQ AAA PCL 65 258 .281 .348 .445 .351 105 16 7.7 -0.4 134 0 -4.9 1.5 7.7 1.2
2014 DOD Rk AZL 7 29 .000 .000 .000 .333 0.0 175 0 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.0
2015 LAN MLB NL 106 230 .255 .319 .408 .261 92 -1.1 6.2 -0.6 86 10 -2.1 -1.3 -2.9 -0.1
2016 RCU A+ CAL 6 27 .270 .343 .436 .273 89 1.3 0.8 -0.2 118 0 0.2 0.6 -0.2 0.1
2016 TUL AA TEX 8 33 .244 .308 .378 .037 96 -7 0.9 -0.1 -21 0 -0.4 -0.1 -4.6 -0.5
2016 OKL AAA PCL 2 8 .277 .353 .448 .500 78 -1.5 0.2 -0.1 -8 0 0.3 -0.1 -1.0 -0.1

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team lvl LG PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO SF SH
2014 DOD Rk AZL 29 23 6 8 1 0 2 15 6 3 5 0 0 .348 .414 .652 .304 2
2014 RCU A+ CAL 21 19 3 7 4 1 0 13 2 2 2 0 0 .368 .429 .684 .316 0
2014 ABQ AAA PCL 258 243 38 80 14 5 15 149 49 10 44 4 0 .329 .364 .613 .284 1
2014 LAN MLB NL 13 13 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 6 0 0 .077 .077 .077 .000 0
2015 LAN MLB NL 230 219 25 51 9 1 11 95 36 7 57 1 0 .233 .261 .434 .201 2 0
2016 TUL AA TEX 33 32 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 5 0 0 .031 .061 .031 .000 0 0
2016 RCU A+ CAL 27 26 4 7 1 0 1 11 4 1 3 1 0 .269 .296 .423 .154 0 0
2016 OKL AAA PCL 8 8 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 6 0 0 .125 .125 .125 .000 0 0

Plate Discipline

YEAR Pits Zone% Swing% Contact% Z-Swing% O-Swing% Z-Contact% O-Contact% SwStr% CSAA
2014 41 0.4146 0.6829 0.5357 0.7647 0.6250 0.6923 0.4000 0.4643 -0.0018
2015 800 0.4950 0.5913 0.7400 0.7677 0.4183 0.8553 0.5325 0.2600 0.0064
Career8410.49110.59580.73000.76760.42840.84740.52600.27000.0060

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-05-21 - Minors - - - Head Laceration Ear From Bite with Teammate - -
2014-03-26 2014-04-12 Minors 17 0 - Trunk Strain Ribcage - -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2017 LAN $7,500,000
2016 LAN $7,500,000
2015 LAN $6,500,000
2014 LAN $6,500,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
4 yrPrevious$28,000,000
4 yrTotal$28,000,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
1 y 31 dScott Boras4 years/$28M (2014-17)

Details
  • 4 years/$28M (2014-17). Signed Major League contract with LA Dodgers as a free agent from Cuba (via Haiti) 10/21/13. $10M signing bonus. 14:$4M, 15:$4M, 16:$5M, 17:$5M. Performance bonuses: $1M annually for 500-600 plate appearances. May not be optioned to minors without permission after 2014. May become Article XX(B) free agent after 2017 season. DFA by LA Dodgers 5/31/16. Released by LA Dodgers 6/8/16.

2019 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG DRC+ VORP FRAA WARP
Weighted Mean???????00??.000.000.00000.0?0.0

Comparable Players (Similarity Index )

Rank Score Name Year DRC+ Trend

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2016 For the first time in his stateside career, Guerrero finished a season with as much of his ears intact as when that season began. Unfortunately, that was the Cuban's most notable achievement in 2015, as the $28 million man floundered at the plate after a hot April and made more appearances in the outfield than the infield, which was very much not the plan when he was signed. Guerrero probably needs to be demoted or traded to see playing time moving forward, but his contract makes it difficult for the Dodgers to do either. A sunk cost is a sunk cost, so perhaps Guerrero will just be released, but at 29 there's still time for him to become a worthwhile bench option.
2015 Guerrero was the Dodgers' second foray into the market of Cuban escapees since Guggenheim Partners took over ownership of the organization in 2012. They hit really big on Yasiel Puig the first time and were hoping Guerrero would be better (offensively) than anyone they've had at second base since Jeff Kent. A shortstop in Cuba, a move to second shouldn't have been so difficult. It was. Guerrero spent most of his debut season in Triple-A, and even that was interrupted by attempted cannibalism by Miguel Olivo, who took a chomp out of Guerrero's ear in a dugout altercation. He came up in September and was a pinch-hitter, playing all of 14 innings in the majors, and those came in left field. Perhaps the Dodgers spent $28 million on a utility player, but it isn't a good sign when a shortstop-turned-second-baseman-turned-utility player doesn't make much of an impact in his debut year at age 27.
2014 The Dodgers continued to throw their weight around in one of the few amateur arenas where they can still flex their financial muscles: the Cuban market. Guerrero might not have the defensive chops to stick at short as he transitions to the majors, but his value will be sustainable so long as he can handle the keystone. The power is legit—Guerrero has been one of the best hitters in Cuban baseball for the past four seasons—and for $28 million the Dodgers will get to enjoy the next four years of his theoretical prime. He doesn't need to lead the army for L.A. to conquer the National League, but the squad's odds will be greatly enhanced if he can just be Alexander at the plate.

BP Articles

Click here to see articles tagged with Alex Guerrero

BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2015-07-23 17:00:00 (link to chat)last one - do you think Alex Guerrero would be a good keeper for next year in an NL only league? He had to have been drafted after the 12th rd and I have to keep him on my team all year and hes just dead weight right now. The only other guy I could potentially keep is Lind, and if he gets traded to an AL team I'm outta luck on that one too. So should I hang on to Guerrero or drop him? thanks again
(ganz1080 from CT)
He's a good keeper if he gets to play, but his limitations on the defensive spectrum make it hard to see where the Dodgers are going to fit him in. A trade to an AL team where he can DH doesn't help you. I'd stick with Lind. Even though he could go to the AL, you never know and it's not like Guerrero has an obvious role with LA. (Mike Gianella)
2015-06-02 18:00:00 (link to chat)Do you play OOTP '16? I just started playing and it's awesome, but the amount of maxed out 5 star guys on every team kind of bothers me... (Alex Guerrero has same rating as Trout)
(Wes from NY)
I use the 20-80 scale and there are some things about the way the scale is distributed that bothers me but on the whole I love the game. (Mauricio Rubio)
2014-05-02 14:00:00 (link to chat)Does Dee Gordon keep the second base job or is he just on a hot streak?
(Scott from AZ)
I think that Alexander Guerrero could force himself into the starting lineup if his defense improves to a passable state, but that could take awhile, by which time I expect that Gordon will have turned back into a pumpkin. (Doug Thorburn)
2014-03-14 09:00:00 (link to chat)Hey Mike, love the position rankings and appreciate them coming out early this year. Since some have been out a while are there any rankings that you would really like to change based on something you've seen in the Spring (like an injury perhaps)? Thanks.
(DanDaMan from Sea Cliff)
Hi Dan.

I reflect the changes in my bid limits that I update every week (including today! http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=23036). Today, I moved Joakim Soria up and Neftali Feliz down and moved Alexander Guerrero down and Dee Gordon up. Kris Medlen is out while Ervin Santana is in in the National League. Check out the rankings for all the latest movers and shakers. (Mike Gianella)
2013-12-10 18:00:00 (link to chat)Soup starter: Matt Kemp to Cincy for Brandon Phillips. What needs to be added, and dare the Reds get bold and try Billy Hamilton at 2b, at least until Ludwick's deal is up, at which time they put Kemp in LF and BHam in CF?
(DF from Wilmington, NC)
I think the Dodgers would have to kick in some money to make this happen and even though their pockets are deep I think the goal in moving Matt Kemp is to try to save money, not add another long term contract in Brandon Phillips. I suspect that the Dodgers are more likely to move Andre Ethier than Kemp and aren't simply going move Kemp for salary relief. It also seems that the Dodgers are going to try Alexander Guerrero at the keystone and if they do bring in a 2B will bring in someone more "marginal" to compete for the job.

The Reds priority is going to be to make Billy Hamilton comfortable both at the plate and on the field so I think it's unlikely they move him to 2B. That doesn't mean it's impossible, but the club seems committed to keeping him in the outfield for now. (Mike Gianella)
2013-10-24 13:00:00 (link to chat)What kind of player could Alexander Guerrero be? What's his ceiling? Thanks!
(Brett from Kansas City)
Not sure, and not sure that anyone knows. For anyone who doesn't know, Guerrero is the Cuban player the Dodgers just signed to a four-year deal to play second base. He's played in Cuba, he's played well there, he's not that tall and he's kinda stocky. How will that translate to MLB? I don't know, and the Dodgers don't either. Obviously they think he can play the position defensively or they wouldn't have given him $28 million.

More significant, at least for this off-season, is what this means for Robinson Cano who has seemed like he'd be willing to sign with another team if the money was there. The Dodgers may have been the best chance for the money to be there. Maybe the Dodgers will still give Cano a go though, after all they have four high priced outfielders, so what's two high priced second basemen? More likely though, Cano is going to have to find his $300 million elsewhere, which maybe means New York. (Matthew Kory)
2013-10-23 13:00:00 (link to chat)If you're running the Dodgers, do you keep Mark Ellis around next season now they you've signed Alexander Guerrero?
(Josh from Wyoming)
Probably. But, if I'm the Dodgers, I probably have a higher opinion of Guerrero. (R.J. Anderson)
2013-09-12 18:00:00 (link to chat)What kind of seasons might you expect out of Miguel Alfredo Gonzalez and Alexander Guerrero next year? Have you come across any good comps?
(AnthopoJays from TX)
It's next to impossible to devise a comp for Cuban players with their American counterparts since we have so little information about these players when they come to the United States. With japanese players, for example, we have more information on statistics in their leagues and how players do when they come here by comparison so that we can make an educated guess. This still isn't the case with Cuban players because their society isn't open. All we usually have to go on are scouting reports, and while the reports are put together by top notch professionals who know their stuff, I'm an analyst, not a scout. All I can do is take the scouts at their word. Yasiel Puig exceeded expectations this year because of this variability, but this more often than not cuts the other way. Gonzalez could be anything from a #3 starter to a Quad A guy based on what I've read. Guerrero could eventually be a starter, but how good he'll be is an open question. I wish I could offer you more help, but I'd rather be honest and give you broad answers like these than steer you in the wrong direction. (Mike Gianella)


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