Biographical

Portrait of Josh Tomlin

Josh Tomlin PIndians

Indians Player Cards | Indians Team Audit | Indians Depth Chart

2018 Projections (Rest of Season Projections - seasonal age 33)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
0.3 5.25 1.32 0 0 0 0 0.0
Birth Date10-19-1984
Height6' 1"
Weight190 lbs
Age33 years, 11 months, 29 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
1.32014
1.02015
1.22016
1.92017
-1.42018
+proj
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA- WARP
2010 CLE MLB 12 12 73.0 6 4 0 72 19 43 10 .255 106 8.9 2.3 1.2 5.3 32% .274 .265 1.25 4.55 4.56 111 5.37 121.2 -0.1
2011 CLE MLB 26 26 165.3 12 7 0 157 21 89 24 .263 102 8.5 1.1 1.3 4.8 40% .253 .250 1.08 4.30 4.25 109 4.54 105.4 1.0
2012 CLE MLB 21 16 103.3 5 8 0 126 25 56 18 .261 98 11.0 2.2 1.6 4.9 43% .309 .299 1.46 5.03 6.36 120 6.20 142.1 -1.3
2013 CLE MLB 1 0 2.0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 .250 99 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 38% .250 .199 1.00 3.07 0.00 111 4.55 109.0 0.0
2014 CLE MLB 25 16 104.0 6 9 0 120 14 94 18 .261 102 10.4 1.2 1.6 8.1 39% .320 .283 1.29 4.03 4.76 87 3.78 92.7 1.3
2015 CLE MLB 10 10 65.7 7 2 0 47 8 57 13 .264 107 6.4 1.1 1.8 7.8 39% .199 .222 0.84 4.39 3.02 101 3.81 89.0 1.0
2016 CLE MLB 30 29 174.0 13 9 0 187 20 118 36 .259 113 9.7 1.0 1.9 6.1 45% .276 .256 1.19 4.83 4.40 104 4.76 105.4 1.2
2017 CLE MLB 26 26 141.0 10 9 0 166 14 109 23 .261 104 10.6 0.9 1.5 7.0 41% .329 .263 1.28 4.09 4.98 93 4.40 93.6 1.9
2018 CLE MLB 32 9 70.3 2 5 0 92 12 46 25 .265 106 11.8 1.5 3.2 5.9 32% .286 .328 1.48 7.19 6.14 124 6.87 153.5 -1.4
CareerMLB183144898.761530969133612167.2611059.71.31.76.140%.285.2691.234.674.771054.86110.23.6

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA-
2006 MHV A- 15 15 77.1 8 2 0 56 15 69 5 .000 6.5 1.8 0.6 8.1 0% .238 .000 0.92 3.10 2.10 0 0.00 0.0
2007 LKC A 26 15 103.7 10 3 0 103 19 89 10 .266 101 8.9 1.6 0.9 7.7 44% .302 .250 1.18 3.78 3.30 0 0.00 0.0
2007 KIN A+ 6 5 27.7 1 1 0 24 12 20 0 .252 101 7.8 3.9 0.0 6.5 49% .276 .239 1.30 3.11 3.57 0 0.00 0.0
2008 KIN A+ 40 9 102.7 9 5 3 82 16 109 10 .257 101 7.2 1.4 0.9 9.6 43% .280 .218 0.95 3.26 2.98 0 0.00 0.0
2008 BUF AAA 1 1 7.0 1 0 0 6 1 3 2 .268 87 7.7 1.3 2.6 3.9 43% .211 .253 1.00 6.60 3.86 0 0.00 0.0
2008 gcr Wnt 8 7 28.0 2 3 0 36 3 28 3 .000 11.6 1.0 1.0 9.0 0% .363 .000 1.39 4.34 6.43 0 0.00 0.0
2009 AKR AA 26 25 145.0 14 9 0 149 27 125 21 .268 98 9.2 1.7 1.3 7.8 38% .297 .254 1.21 3.99 4.16 0 0.00 0.0
2010 CLE MLB 12 12 73.0 6 4 0 72 19 43 10 .255 106 8.9 2.3 1.2 5.3 32% .274 .265 1.25 4.55 4.56 111 5.37 121.2
2010 COH AAA 20 17 107.3 8 4 0 83 33 80 11 .254 107 7.0 2.8 0.9 6.7 39% .238 .207 1.08 4.11 2.68 0 0.00 0.0
2011 CLE MLB 26 26 165.3 12 7 0 157 21 89 24 .263 102 8.5 1.1 1.3 4.8 40% .253 .250 1.08 4.30 4.25 109 4.54 105.4
2012 CLE MLB 21 16 103.3 5 8 0 126 25 56 18 .261 98 11.0 2.2 1.6 4.9 43% .309 .299 1.46 5.03 6.36 120 6.20 142.1
2013 CLE MLB 1 0 2.0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 .250 99 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 38% .250 .199 1.00 3.07 0.00 111 4.55 109.0
2013 LKC A 3 1 4.3 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 .273 107 2.1 0.0 0.0 8.3 55% .091 .100 0.23 1.48 0.00 0 0.00 0.0
2013 AKR AA 2 2 6.0 0 0 0 3 0 4 0 .267 99 4.5 0.0 0.0 6.0 59% .176 .184 0.50 2.48 1.50 0 0.00 0.0
2013 COH AAA 3 3 15.0 2 0 0 12 0 11 0 .242 103 7.2 0.0 0.0 6.6 28% .279 .177 0.80 2.13 2.40 0 0.00 0.0
2013 CLE Rk 2 2 2.0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 .289 92 4.5 0.0 0.0 9.0 60% .200 .106 0.50 2.00 0.00 0 0.00 0.0
2014 CLE MLB 25 16 104.0 6 9 0 120 14 94 18 .261 102 10.4 1.2 1.6 8.1 39% .320 .283 1.29 4.03 4.76 87 3.78 92.7
2014 COH AAA 6 6 40.0 2 1 0 26 10 33 5 .247 111 5.8 2.2 1.1 7.4 37% .210 .187 0.90 4.07 2.25 99 3.71 79.5
2015 CLE MLB 10 10 65.7 7 2 0 47 8 57 13 .264 107 6.4 1.1 1.8 7.8 39% .199 .222 0.84 4.39 3.02 101 3.81 89.0
2015 MHV A- 1 1 3.7 0 1 0 3 2 3 0 .263 92 7.4 4.9 0.0 7.4 50% .300 .271 1.36 3.51 7.36 45 1.47 31.1
2015 AKR AA 1 1 2.7 0 0 0 3 1 2 0 .279 90 10.1 3.4 0.0 6.8 12% .375 .286 1.50 2.89 0.00 89 2.98 65.5
2015 COH AAA 4 4 21.3 1 2 0 25 1 17 3 .258 117 10.5 0.4 1.3 7.2 43% .328 .269 1.22 3.52 4.22 108 4.01 82.7
2015 CLE Rk 1 1 2.0 0 0 0 3 0 3 0 .229 101 13.5 0.0 0.0 13.5 50% .500 .294 1.50 0.80 9.00 59 0.36 8.3
2016 CLE MLB 30 29 174.0 13 9 0 187 20 118 36 .259 113 9.7 1.0 1.9 6.1 45% .276 .256 1.19 4.83 4.40 104 4.76 105.4
2017 CLE MLB 26 26 141.0 10 9 0 166 14 109 23 .261 104 10.6 0.9 1.5 7.0 41% .329 .263 1.28 4.09 4.98 93 4.40 93.6
2017 MHV A- 1 1 3.7 0 0 0 8 0 4 1 .255 103 19.6 0.0 2.5 9.8 47% .500 .420 2.18 4.79 2.45 0 0.00 0.0
2018 CLE MLB 32 9 70.3 2 5 0 92 12 46 25 .265 106 11.8 1.5 3.2 5.9 32% .286 .328 1.48 7.19 6.14 124 6.87 153.5
2018 AKR AA 1 1 3.0 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 .270 79 3.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 57% .143 .045 0.33 1.31 0.00 104 4.09 86.8
2018 COH AAA 3 3 9.3 0 1 0 19 0 8 3 .245 104 18.3 0.0 2.9 7.7 37% .457 .381 2.04 5.79 6.75 108 5.04 102.2

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2010 1103 0.5186 0.4705 0.8266 0.6031 0.3277 0.9101 0.6609 0.1734
2011 2348 0.5349 0.4842 0.8241 0.6059 0.3443 0.8699 0.7314 0.1759
2012 1595 0.4897 0.4878 0.8226 0.6594 0.3231 0.8854 0.6996 0.1774
2013 36 0.5556 0.6667 0.8750 0.7500 0.5625 0.8000 1.0000 0.1250
2014 1691 0.4837 0.4814 0.7887 0.6357 0.3368 0.8981 0.5952 0.2113
2015 948 0.5232 0.4895 0.7888 0.6351 0.3296 0.8635 0.6309 0.2112
2016 2606 0.5031 0.4774 0.8296 0.6117 0.3413 0.9027 0.6968 0.1704
2017 2081 0.5036 0.4820 0.8016 0.6460 0.3156 0.8744 0.6503 0.1984
2018 1138 0.5123 0.4859 0.8065 0.6587 0.3045 0.8958 0.6036 0.1935
Career135460.50830.48250.81350.62980.33070.88710.66870.1865

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2013-02-15 2013-08-24 60-DL 190 128 Right Elbow Recovery From Surgery Tommy John Surgery 2012-08-22 -
2012-08-13 2012-09-09 60-DL 27 24 Right Elbow Surgery Tommy John Surgery 2012-08-22 -
2012-05-12 2012-05-27 15-DL 15 14 Right Wrist Inflammation Intersection Syndrome - -
2011-08-25 2011-09-29 60-DL 35 35 Right Elbow Strain - -
2009-08-28 2009-09-04 Minors 7 0 Left Lower Leg Strain Calf -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2018 CLE $3,000,000
2017 CLE $2,500,000
2016 CLE $2,250,000
2015 CLE $1,500,000
2014 CLE $1,500,000
2013 CLE $501,800
2012 CLE $494,500
2011 CLE $417,200
YearsDescriptionSalary
7 yrPrevious$9,163,500
2018Current$3,000,000
8 yrPvs + Cur$12,163,500
8 yrTotal$12,163,500

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
7 y 33 dSSG Baseball2 years/$5.5M (2016-17), 2018 option

Details
  • 2 years/$5.5M (2016-17), plus 2018 club option. Signed extension with Cleveland 1/261/16, adding to one-year, $2.25M deal signed 1/15/16 (avoided arbitration). 16:$2.25M, 17:$2.5M, 18:$3M club option ($0.75M buyout. Annual performance bonuses for 2017-18: $0.25M each for 20, 25 starts and 160, 180 innings. $0.5M each for 30 starts, 200 IP. Cleveland exercised 2018 option 11/3/17.
  • 1 year/$1.5M (2015). Re-signed by Cleveland 1/16/15 (avoided arbitration).
  • 1 year/$0.8M (2014). Lost arbitration with Cleveland 2/15/14 ($0.975M-$0.8M).
  • 1 year/$0.5018M (2013). Re-signed by Cleveland 3/11/13.
  • 1 year/$0.4945M (2012). Re-signed by Cleveland 3/3/12.
  • 1 year/$0.4172M (2011). Re-signed by Cleveland 3/8/11.
  • 1 year (2010). Contract purchased by Cleveland 7/27/10.
  • Drafted 2006 (19-581) (Texas Tech).

2018 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 11.8 8.5 0 29 29 185.0 177 45 139 35 .262 1.20 4.16 4.81 14.1 1.5
80o 11.4 9.1 0 29 29 178.1 180 45 134 36 .273 1.27 4.52 5.21 7.4 0.8
70o 11.1 9.5 0 29 29 173.2 182 46 130 36 .280 1.32 4.78 5.5 2.4 0.3
60o 10.8 9.8 0 29 29 169.1 184 46 127 37 .287 1.36 5.01 5.76 -2.0 -0.2
50o 10.5 10.2 0 29 29 165.3 185 47 124 37 .293 1.40 5.23 6 -6.0 -0.7
40o 10.2 10.5 0 29 29 161.5 186 47 121 37 .299 1.44 5.45 6.24 -10.1 -1.1
30o 9.9 10.9 0 29 29 157.5 188 47 118 37 .306 1.49 5.68 6.5 -14.5 -1.6
20o 9.6 11.3 0 29 29 152.9 189 48 115 38 .314 1.55 5.95 6.81 -19.7 -2.1
10o 9.1 12 0 29 29 146.7 191 48 110 38 .325 1.63 6.35 7.25 -27.2 -3.0
Weighted Mean10.510.102929165.31844612437.2921.395.205.97-5.5-0.6

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2018 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20193481202929176198511294043.2911.415.646.0910.12.66.62.0-0.7
20203581202828168186481263843.2901.405.606.0410.02.66.82.0-0.6
2021366100222213014839963043.2951.445.696.1410.32.76.72.1-0.6
202237570171710011430742443.2951.445.756.2010.22.76.62.2-0.5
20233847015158810126632143.2931.445.756.2110.32.76.42.1-0.5
2024393501313748523531743.2931.465.776.2310.32.86.42.1-0.4
2025403501111677620481543.2931.445.756.2110.32.76.52.0-0.4
2026413401010606918431443.2931.445.796.2510.32.76.42.1-0.4
20274234099556317381343.2941.465.846.3010.42.86.32.1-0.3

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 78)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 85 Dan Haren 2014 4.89
2 85 Jon Lieber 2003 0.00 DNP
3 85 Jim Bunning 1965 2.85
4 84 Shane Reynolds 2001 4.68
5 84 Bret Saberhagen 1997 6.92
6 83 Larry Jansen 1954 6.99
7 83 Jeff Francis 2014 5.85
8 83 Aaron Harang 2011 3.85
9 82 Ricky Nolasco 2016 4.69
10 82 David Wells 1996 5.30
11 82 Jon Matlack 1983 5.28
12 81 James Shields 2015 4.14
13 81 Chris Capuano 2012 4.13
14 81 Billy Pierce 1960 3.67
15 81 Jimmy Key 1994 3.64
16 81 Ron Reed 1976 2.74
17 81 John Burkett 1998 6.05
18 81 John Smiley 1998 0.00 DNP
19 81 Rodrigo Lopez 2009 7.50
20 81 Don Drysdale 1970 0.00 DNP
21 80 Brandon McCarthy 2017 4.18
22 80 Kyle Lohse 2012 3.11
23 80 Dennis Eckersley 1988 2.48
24 80 Dick Hall 1964 1.95
25 80 Brett Myers 2014 0.00 DNP
26 80 Rick Reed 1998 3.56
27 80 Joel Pineiro 2012 0.00 DNP
28 80 Brad Radke 2006 4.82
29 80 Bruce Hurst 1991 3.61
30 79 Roy Oswalt 2011 3.88
31 79 Ben Sheets 2012 3.83
32 79 Kevin Tapani 1997 3.49
33 79 Carl Pavano 2009 5.37
34 79 Jim Kaat 1972 2.86
35 79 Pat Dobson 1975 4.55 DNP
36 79 Bryn Smith 1989 3.17
37 79 Jerome Williams 2015 6.17
38 79 Johan Santana 2012 5.00
39 78 Tim Stauffer 2015 7.84
40 78 Bartolo Colon 2006 6.23
41 78 Carlos Silva 2012 0.00 DNP
42 78 Jesse Chavez 2017 5.41
43 78 Frank Lary 1963 3.35
44 78 Bob Friend 1964 3.59
45 78 John Lackey 2012 0.00 DNP
46 78 Claudio Vargas 2011 0.00 DNP
47 78 Don Mossi 1962 4.59 DNP
48 78 Justin Duchscherer 2011 0.00 DNP
49 78 Ken Johnson 1966 3.86
50 77 Brian Lawrence 2009 0.00 DNP
51 77 Fergie Jenkins 1976 3.66
52 77 John Candelaria 1987 5.44
53 77 Wandy Rodriguez 2012 4.33
54 77 Erik Hanson 1998 6.24
55 77 Mickey Lolich 1974 4.53
56 77 Kevin Millwood 2008 5.55
57 77 J.A. Happ 2016 3.32
58 77 Jason Vargas 2016 2.25
59 77 Matt Morris 2008 12.49
60 77 Josh Towers 2010 0.00 DNP
61 77 Hisashi Iwakuma 2014 3.52
62 77 Frank Viola 1993 3.72
63 76 Freddy Garcia 2010 4.87
64 76 Kevin Correia 2014 6.08
65 76 Dave Bush 2013 15.00
66 76 Brad Penny 2011 5.80
67 76 Jeff Weaver 2010 6.09
68 76 Don Newcombe 1959 3.53
69 76 Phil Niekro 1972 3.54
70 76 Gil Heredia 1999 5.35
71 76 Wilbur Wood 1975 4.57 DNP
72 76 Jake Westbrook 2011 5.06
73 76 Edwin Jackson 2017 6.28
74 76 Vicente Padilla 2011 4.15
75 76 Kris Benson 2008 0.00 DNP
76 76 Ervin Santana 2016 3.87
77 76 Josh Beckett 2013 6.23
78 76 Ted Lilly 2009 3.36
79 76 Steve Carlton 1978 3.31
80 75 Andy Pettitte 2005 2.67
81 75 Nate Robertson 2011 0.00 DNP
82 75 Gavin Floyd 2016 4.06
83 75 Denny Neagle 2002 5.53
84 75 Carlos Villanueva 2017 0.00 DNP
85 75 Jack McDowell 1999 8.05
86 75 Ted Higuera 1991 4.46
87 75 Ron Guidry 1984 4.69
88 75 Jarrod Washburn 2008 5.10
89 75 Jorge De La Rosa 2014 4.39
90 75 Anibal Sanchez 2017 6.92
91 75 Luke Hochevar 2017 0.00 DNP
92 75 Jason Hammel 2016 4.16
93 74 Steve Gromek 1953 4.87
94 74 Scott Kazmir 2017 0.00 DNP
95 74 Dave Hillman 1961 3.00
96 74 Javier Vazquez 2010 5.49
97 74 Bruce Chen 2010 4.36
98 74 Roberto Hernandez 2014 4.59
99 74 Bob Tewksbury 1994 5.61
100 74 Mike Garcia 1957 4.13

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .225 .243 .422 .231
11 vs R (Multi) .292 .319 .520 .276
18 Split (Multi) -.067 -.076 -.098 -.046
19 LgAvg (Multi) .006 .020 .015 .013
30 vs L (2016) .229 .247 .438 .233
31 vs R (2016) .299 .323 .522 .272
38 Split (2016) -.069 -.076 -.084 -.040
39 LgAvg (2016) .003 .018 .013 .012

Definition of multi-year splits

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2018 Due to publishing agreements, the 2018 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2018 book (available in hardcopy, and soon e-book and Kindle).
2017 From a cursory glance at the simplest figures, Tomlin’s spring appeared to put him on track for the best year of his career——through the end of June, he had a 9-1 record with a 3.32 ERA. But the peripherals behind those numbers were not nearly so encouraging, and that hot spring melted into a so-so summer. It soon became clear that 2016 would not be Tomlin’s best year, but it would be the year in which Tomlin was the best at being himself. The two factors that have always defined him are walks (of which there are very few) and home runs (of which there are very many). With his precision more freakish than ever and even more time spent watching balls sail over the fence, he became the first pitcher in history with more home runs than walks over the course of a full career. Kind of a depressing way to reach the peak version of yourself, maybe, but self-actualization isn’t always everything it’s cracked up to be.
2016 For the third time in his career, Tomlin allowed more home runs (13) than walks (eight). If he can just let four more balls escape Cleveland's gravitational tug, he'll be (at least temporarily) the only pitcher ever to feature such a fun fact over an entire career. Which is to say, Tomlin is unique even in the weird world of baseball. Early season shoulder surgery delayed the start to his year, but when he came back in August he had no trouble returning to his patented brand of pinpoint control and monstrous parabolas. A run of success at the end of the season was due to incredible luck: He had the most favorable BABIP (.199) and strand rate (90.2 percent) of any starter in baseball. With Tomlin's history of allowing medium-to-hard contact about 80 percent of the time—and most of it in the air—you should expect that luck to run out just in time for him to hit free agency at the end of this season.
2015 A common repercussion of Tommy John surgery, even for those who make a full recovery, is poor control in the short term as the pitcher rediscovers his release point. Tomlin had no such issues, throwing as many strikes as ever while posting a 3 percent walk rate that was the lowest of his career. His velocity was also unharmed, with a 90 mph average on his fastball that was a near-lock for his radar-gun readings of 2012. If anything, Tomlin stayed too close to the strike zone with his modest repertoire: His fly-ball tendencies led to copious slow trots from opposing batters, and for the second time in his career the right-hander surrendered more homers than he did free passes. At least he squelched the running game: Opposing baserunners were just 1-for-3 on stolen base attempts in 2014.
2014 Josh Tomlin is a strike-throwing savant who is all the way back from Tommy John surgery and would be welcome as a no. 4 in almost any rotation. That he may be a spare on the Indians is a sign of the club's pitching depth.
2013 The 2012 season was not kind to Tomlin, who gave up a lot of runs before being moved to the bullpen and ultimately requiring Tommy John surgerya surgery that will cost him most, if not all, of the coming season. When healthy, Tomlin is much better than indicated by his 2012 ERAwhich was compromised by some bad luck with hit sequencing. Tomlin's excellent command is his only appreciable skill, which can leave him open to disaster when he's not spot on with it. When at his controlly best, he's a more-than-adequate back-end startera career path he'll try to pick back up when he returns in 2014.
2012 Josh Tomlin is a freak. Not in the Tim Lincecum sense, but rather in that he can do whatever he wants with a baseball. Put a grid over the strike zone and ask him to throw to the (x,y) coordinate (2,3); he'll ask you provide coordinates with decimals out to the hundredth place. That's the kind of command he has. He doesn't strike many batters out, but he does throw five pitches for strikes. His fastball only averages 88 mph, but he throws both a four- and two-seamer, a plus cutter, a slow, loopy curve, and a lesser-used change. One of baseball's premier control artistshe led the majors in walk rate in 2011Tomlin should be painting masterpieces as the Tribe's third or fourth starter for many years.
2011 Called up in late July, Tomlin out-dueled CC Sabathia in his pro debut by allowing just one run over seven innings, and threw a complete-game four-hitter at the end of the season against the Royals. In between those two highlights was a ton of mediocrity. With three average pitches, he's a younger version of Mitch Talbot with better control, so that's a minor upgrade. Rotations can't be filled with impact arms, and teams need guys like Tomlin, but they don't want to depend on them.
2010 After relieving in '08, Josh Tomlin was exclusively used as a starter in '09, and saw his ERA go up a run due to a declining strikeout rate.
2009 Tomlin had an impressive season, but he was old for High-A, and without overwhelming stuff (he possesses a high-80s sinking fastball, slider, and change) he still has much to prove in the system's upper rungs. After pitching mostly from the bullpen, the Tribe sent him to the Arizona Fall League as a starter, where he posted an excellent 28-3 strikeout walk ratio while otherwise taking the obligatory thin-air AFL pounding, and will keep him in that role when he opens '09 at Double-A.

BP Articles

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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2011-05-23 13:00:00 (link to chat)Josh Tomlin has been incredible, with a 2.41 era, 0.82 whip, 4.5 K/9, and 1.5 BB/9. How is he doing it? Any chance he continues to be a useful starter?
(Teenwolf from Vancouver, BC)
His cutter and curveball have been very effective pitches that he has been able to throw for strikes. That certainly helps a lot when you have an 89-mph fastball.

Continues as a useful starter? Yeah, I think so. He doesn't walk many, and that's a good thing. The batters are going to get more hits off of him than they have been, though, and the lack of strikeouts will definitely hurt him. You really continually live at the margin of major league usefulness with a K-rate that low. (Mike Fast)
2011-05-23 13:00:00 (link to chat)Josh Tomlin? Keep waiting for the wheels to fall off. Will it happen? BAbip against seems less than sustainable.
(soxfan2005 from Boston)
I addressed most of this in my response to Teenwolf earlier, but yes, definitely, a BABIP below .200 is unsustainable. Even the .278 mark he posted last year is at the low edge of the MLB talent spread for starting pitchers.

As I mentioned earlier, the cutter and the curve help him there somewhat. The cutter is a great pitch inside to lefties, with a BABIP in the .260 range when used that way, and outside to righties is also better than average. (Mike Fast)


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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC