Biographical

Portrait of Justin Masterson

Justin Masterson P  

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2019 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 34)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
34.7 4.82 1.46 29 2 2 0 -0.1
Birth Date3-22-1985
Height6' 6"
Weight260 lbs
Age34 years, 8 months, 14 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
-1.82015
2016
2017
2018
-0.12019
proj
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA- WARP
2008 BOS MLB 36 9 88.3 6 5 0 68 40 68 10 108 6.9 4.1 1.0 6.9 0% .243 1.22 4.72 3.16 111 5.39 115.0 0.1
2009 BOS 0 31 6 72.0 3 3 0 72 25 67 7 109 9.0 3.1 0.9 8.4 0% .314 1.35 3.83 4.50 89 4.04 86.6 1.1
2009 CLE 0 11 10 57.3 1 7 0 56 35 52 5 101 8.8 5.5 0.8 8.2 0% .315 1.59 4.39 4.55 99 5.24 112.4 0.1
2010 CLE MLB 34 29 180.0 6 13 0 197 73 140 14 107 9.9 3.7 0.7 7.0 0% .324 1.50 3.90 4.70 103 5.25 118.4 0.0
2011 CLE MLB 34 33 216.0 12 10 0 211 65 158 11 100 8.8 2.7 0.5 6.6 0% .302 1.28 3.31 3.21 99 4.44 103.1 1.6
2012 CLE MLB 34 34 206.3 11 15 0 212 88 159 18 99 9.2 3.8 0.8 6.9 0% .309 1.45 4.10 4.93 116 5.70 130.8 -1.3
2013 CLE MLB 32 29 193.0 14 10 0 156 76 195 13 100 7.3 3.5 0.6 9.1 0% .285 1.20 3.37 3.45 106 4.37 104.6 1.3
2014 CLE 0 19 19 98.0 4 6 0 106 56 93 6 101 9.7 5.1 0.6 8.5 0% .350 1.65 4.11 5.51 122 6.18 151.6 -1.6
2014 SLN 0 9 6 30.7 3 3 0 35 13 23 6 102 10.3 3.8 1.8 6.8 0% .309 1.57 5.81 7.04 128 5.95 145.9 -0.4
2015 BOS MLB 18 9 59.3 4 2 0 68 27 49 7 116 10.3 4.1 1.1 7.4 0% .339 1.60 4.85 5.61 132 7.46 174.4 -1.8
2009 TOT MLB 42 16 129.3 4 10 0 128 60 119 12 105 8.9 4.2 0.8 8.3 0% .000 1.45 4.07 4.52 94 4.57 98.1 1.3
2014 TOT MLB 28 25 128.7 7 9 0 141 69 116 12 102 9.9 4.8 0.8 8.1 0% .000 1.63 4.51 5.88 123 6.13 150.2 -2.1
CareerMLB2581841201.06474011814981004971038.93.70.77.558%.3061.403.934.311085.18119.3-0.8

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg LG G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA-
2008 BOS MLB AL 36 9 88.3 6 5 0 68 40 68 10 108 6.9 4.1 1.0 6.9 0% .243 1.22 4.72 3.16 111 5.39 115.0
2009 BOS MLB AL 31 6 72.0 3 3 0 72 25 67 7 109 9.0 3.1 0.9 8.4 0% .314 1.35 3.83 4.50 89 4.04 86.6
2009 CLE MLB AL 11 10 57.3 1 7 0 56 35 52 5 101 8.8 5.5 0.8 8.2 0% .315 1.59 4.39 4.55 99 5.24 112.4
2010 CLE MLB AL 34 29 180.0 6 13 0 197 73 140 14 107 9.9 3.7 0.7 7.0 0% .324 1.50 3.90 4.70 103 5.25 118.4
2011 CLE MLB AL 34 33 216.0 12 10 0 211 65 158 11 100 8.8 2.7 0.5 6.6 0% .302 1.28 3.31 3.21 99 4.44 103.1
2012 CLE MLB AL 34 34 206.3 11 15 0 212 88 159 18 99 9.2 3.8 0.8 6.9 0% .309 1.45 4.10 4.93 116 5.70 130.8
2013 CLE MLB AL 32 29 193.0 14 10 0 156 76 195 13 100 7.3 3.5 0.6 9.1 0% .285 1.20 3.37 3.45 106 4.37 104.6
2014 CLE MLB AL 19 19 98.0 4 6 0 106 56 93 6 101 9.7 5.1 0.6 8.5 0% .350 1.65 4.11 5.51 122 6.18 151.6
2014 SLN MLB NL 9 6 30.7 3 3 0 35 13 23 6 102 10.3 3.8 1.8 6.8 0% .309 1.57 5.81 7.04 128 5.95 145.9
2014 COH AAA INT 2 2 11.7 0 1 0 9 8 10 0 114 6.9 6.2 0.0 7.7 0% .281 1.46 3.69 5.40 99 4.27 90.4
2015 BOS MLB AL 18 9 59.3 4 2 0 68 27 49 7 116 10.3 4.1 1.1 7.4 0% .339 1.60 4.85 5.61 132 7.46 174.4
2015 PME AA EAS 1 1 4.7 0 0 0 8 1 2 0 99 15.4 1.9 0.0 3.9 0% .421 1.93 3.70 3.86 103 7.27 159.6
2015 PAW AAA INT 3 3 13.7 0 2 0 8 7 12 0 95 5.3 4.6 0.0 7.9 0% .235 1.10 3.15 3.29 102 3.46 75.9
2016 BRD A+ FSL 1 1 5.0 1 0 0 2 3 8 1 102 3.6 5.4 1.8 14.4 56% .125 1.00 4.45 3.60 85 2.43 53.7
2016 IND AAA INT 25 5 54.3 2 2 0 62 26 32 3 104 10.3 4.3 0.5 5.3 53% .339 1.62 4.69 4.97 122 6.67 147.2
2017 OKL AAA PCL 26 25 141.7 11 6 0 129 66 140 7 104 8.2 4.2 0.4 8.9 52% .309 1.38 4.27 4.13 94 3.84 81.8

Plate Discipline

YEAR Pits Zone% Swing% Contact% Z-Swing% O-Swing% Z-Contact% O-Contact% SwStr%
2008 1366 0.4788 0.4356 0.7546 0.5841 0.2992 0.8377 0.6056 0.2454
2009 2161 0.5373 0.4359 0.7718 0.5719 0.2780 0.8449 0.5971 0.2282
2010 3044 0.5161 0.4478 0.7909 0.5971 0.2885 0.8689 0.6188 0.2091
2011 3432 0.5495 0.4627 0.8161 0.6029 0.2917 0.8742 0.6696 0.1839
2012 3413 0.5095 0.4477 0.7984 0.5963 0.2933 0.8746 0.6375 0.2016
2013 3007 0.5012 0.4250 0.7645 0.5607 0.2887 0.8651 0.5681 0.2355
2014 2233 0.4716 0.4165 0.7645 0.5717 0.2780 0.8754 0.5610 0.2355
2015 1010 0.4743 0.4228 0.8080 0.5950 0.2674 0.9053 0.6127 0.1920
Career196660.51100.43990.78580.58570.28720.86800.61300.2142

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-07-08 2014-08-02 15-DL 25 21 Right Knee Inflammation -
2014-06-25 2014-07-01 DTD 6 5 Right Knee Soreness -
2013-09-03 2013-09-25 DTD 22 20 Left Abdomen Strain Oblique - -
2011-10-12 2011-10-12 Off 0 0 Left Shoulder Surgery Labrum - Posterior 2011-10-12 -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2017 LAN $
2016 PIT $
2015 BOS $9,500,000
2014 CLE $9,762,500
2013 CLE $5,687,500
2012 CLE $3,825,000
2011 CLE $468,400
2010 CLE $427,000
2009 BOS $415,500
YearsDescriptionSalary
7 yrPrevious$30,085,900
7 yrTotal$30,085,900

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
6 y 108 dRandy Rowley1 year (2017)

Details
  • 1 year (2017). Signed by LA Dodgers as a free agent 3/27/17 (minor-league contract). Retired 12/18.
  • 1 year (2016). Signed by Pittsburgh as a free agent 4/14/16 (minor-league contract).
  • 1 year/$9.5M (2015). Signed by Boston as a free agent 12/11/14. Performance bonuses: $0.5M each for 185, 190, 195, 200, 205 innings pitched. DFA by Boston 8/10/15.
  • 1 year/$9.7625M (2014). Re-signed by Cleveland 2/18/14 (avoided arbitration, $11.8M-$8.05M). Acquired by St. Louis in trade from Cleveland 7/30/14.
  • 1 year/$5.6875M (2013). Re-signed by Cleveland 1/18/13 (avoided arbitration). Award bonuses, including $50,000 for All-Star selection.
  • 1 year/$3.825M (2012). Re-signed by Cleveland 1/17/12 (avoided arbitration).
  • 1 year/$0.4684M (2011). Re-signed by Cleveland 3/8/11.
  • 1 year/$0.427M (2010). Re-signed by Cleveland 3/10/10.
  • 1 year/$0.4155M (2009). Re-signed by Boston 3/10/09. Acquired by Cleveland in trade from Boston 7/31/09 (Victor Martinez deal).
  • 1 year (2008). Contract purchased by Boston 4/24/08. Optioned to Double-A 4/25/08. Recalled 5/20/08. Optioned to Triple-A 5/21/08. Recalled 6/3/08. Optioned to Triple-A 7/7/08. Recalled 7/20/08.
  • Drafted by Boston 2006 (2-71) (San Diego State). $0.51M signing bonus.

2019 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 7.2 0 0.2 13 8 48.5 42 19 38 5 .260 1.26 3.89 4.12 -4.9 -0.5
80o 6.2 0 0.2 11 7 43.0 40 18 34 5 .274 1.35 4.28 4.54 -6.2 -0.7
70o 5.5 0 0.2 10 6 39.2 38 18 31 5 .284 1.41 4.57 4.85 -6.9 -0.7
60o 4.9 0 0.2 10 6 36.0 36 17 28 5 .292 1.47 4.81 5.11 -7.3 -0.8
50o 4.4 0 0.1 9 5 33.0 35 16 26 4 .300 1.53 5.05 5.36 -7.5 -0.8
40o 3.9 0 0.1 8 5 30.2 33 15 24 4 .308 1.59 5.29 5.62 -7.7 -0.8
30o 3.4 0 0.1 7 4 27.2 31 14 21 4 .317 1.66 5.54 5.9 -7.7 -0.8
20o 2.9 0 0.1 6 4 23.8 28 13 19 4 .327 1.73 5.85 6.23 -7.6 -0.8
10o 2.2 0 0.1 5 3 19.3 24 11 15 3 .341 1.85 6.29 6.71 -7.1 -0.8
Weighted Mean4.300.19532.43416254.2981.525.025.33-7.3-0.8

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2019 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
2020357813821156154681242049.3121.434.925.528.93.97.21.2-0.4
2021366713118127127561041649.3161.444.875.469.04.07.41.1-0.3
202237560271511010948911449.3161.434.875.468.93.97.51.1-0.3
202338560281611311351921549.3141.454.955.559.04.07.31.2-0.4
202439560271511111049901449.3141.444.955.558.94.07.31.1-0.4
202540560271511211250901549.3131.454.995.609.04.07.21.2-0.4
202641460251410110146811449.3141.455.055.669.04.17.21.2-0.4
2027424502413979844781349.3141.465.075.699.14.17.21.2-0.4
2028434502112858638671249.3151.465.105.729.14.07.11.3-0.4

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 72)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 87 R.A. Dickey 2009 4.76
2 85 Jared Fernandez 2006 11.37
3 83 Brandon Duckworth 2010 0.00 DNP
4 82 Chris Jakubauskas 2013 0.00 DNP
5 80 Daisuke Matsuzaka 2015 0.00 DNP
6 79 Claudio Vargas 2012 0.00 DNP
7 79 Scott Richmond 2014 0.00 DNP
8 78 Chris Narveson 2016 8.64
9 78 Brad Thomas 2012 0.00 DNP
10 77 John Wasdin 2007 5.95
11 76 Travis Smith 2007 0.00 DNP
12 76 Ross Ohlendorf 2017 0.00 DNP
13 76 D.J. Carrasco 2011 6.39
14 76 Brian Lawrence 2010 0.00 DNP
15 76 Josh Roenicke 2017 0.00 DNP
16 76 Randy Keisler 2010 0.00 DNP
17 75 Walter Silva 2011 0.00 DNP
18 75 Eric Stults 2014 4.70
19 75 Tim Redding 2012 0.00 DNP
20 75 Brian Burres 2015 0.00 DNP
21 74 Tomo Ohka 2010 0.00 DNP
22 74 Dustin McGowan 2016 3.49
23 74 Micah Bowie 2009 0.00 DNP
24 74 Aaron Small 2006 9.43
25 73 Stephen Randolph 2008 0.00 DNP
26 73 Vladimir Nunez 2009 36.00
27 73 Barry Zito 2012 4.44
28 73 Tim Corcoran 2012 0.00 DNP
29 73 Jorge De La Rosa 2015 4.41
30 73 Chan Ho Park 2007 15.75
31 72 Josh Towers 2011 0.00 DNP
32 72 Josh Fogg 2011 0.00 DNP
33 72 Travis Driskill 2006 0.00 DNP
34 72 Jamey Wright 2009 5.92
35 72 Mark Redman 2008 7.94
36 72 Shawn Estes 2007 0.00 DNP
37 71 Chien-Ming Wang 2014 0.00 DNP
38 71 Jeff Harris 2009 0.00 DNP
39 71 Vicente Padilla 2012 4.68
40 71 Eric Junge 2011 0.00 DNP
41 71 Alfredo Simon 2015 5.40
42 71 Tsuyoshi Wada 2015 3.90
43 71 Russ Ortiz 2008 0.00 DNP
44 71 Yoslan Herrera 2015 0.00 DNP
45 70 Marty McLeary 2009 0.00 DNP
46 70 Jason Marquis 2013 4.67
47 70 Rick Sutcliffe 1990 5.91
48 70 Jim Bibby 1979 3.33
49 70 Roberto Hernandez 2015 5.10
50 70 Chris Young 2013 0.00 DNP
51 70 Ryan Vogelsong 2012 3.61
52 70 Lefty Gomez 1943 0.00 DNP
53 70 Brandon Mann 2018 5.40
54 70 Jake Westbrook 2012 4.38
55 69 Brian Moehler 2006 7.08
56 69 Todd Ritchie 2006 0.00 DNP
57 69 Darryl Kile 2003 0.00 DNP
58 69 Jerome Williams 2016 8.31
59 69 Cesar Ramos 2018 0.00 DNP
60 69 Valerio De Los Santos 2007 0.00 DNP
61 69 Kris Benson 2009 9.27
62 69 C.J. Nitkowski 2007 0.00 DNP
63 69 Denny Stark 2009 7.36
64 69 Eddie Bonine 2015 0.00 DNP
65 69 Kevin Appier 2002 4.25
66 69 Brad Penny 2012 7.07
67 69 Chris Leroux 2018 0.00 DNP
68 68 Dave Burba 2001 6.69
69 68 Tony Fiore 2006 0.00 DNP
70 68 Matt Palmer 2013 0.00 DNP
71 68 Bob Shaw 1967 5.21
72 68 Mike Pelfrey 2018 0.00 DNP
73 68 Clay Hensley 2014 0.00 DNP
74 68 Matt Young 1993 5.45
75 68 Bill Hallahan 1937 7.47
76 68 Alan Benes 2006 0.00 DNP
77 68 Tim Stauffer 2016 0.00 DNP
78 68 Jeff Suppan 2009 5.90
79 68 Bob Veale 1970 4.41
80 68 Bob Ojeda 1992 4.33
81 68 Bob Weiland 1940 40.50
82 68 Brian Mazone 2011 0.00 DNP
83 68 Jarrod Washburn 2009 3.94
84 68 Jake Miller 1932 0.00 DNP
85 68 Ubaldo Jimenez 2018 0.00 DNP
86 67 Justin Lehr 2012 0.00 DNP
87 67 Fritz Ostermueller 1942 3.23
88 67 Jon Leicester 2013 0.00 DNP
89 67 Jeremy Powell 2010 0.00 DNP
90 67 Frank Castillo 2003 0.00 DNP
91 67 Danny MacFayden 1939 4.42
92 67 Joe Horlen 1972 3.64
93 67 Terry Adams 2007 0.00 DNP
94 67 Art Fowler 1957 6.67
95 67 Paul Wilson 2007 0.00 DNP
96 67 Walt Masterson 1954 0.00 DNP
97 67 Dave Bush 2014 0.00 DNP
98 67 Rick Rhoden 1987 4.16
99 67 Edinson Volquez 2018 0.00 DNP
100 67 Geoff Zahn 1980 5.34

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2018 The only Jamaican-born hurler in big-league history, Justin Masterson didn't exactly pop style all season in Oklahoma City, but he did manage to stay reasonably healthy and effective as a starter all year.
2017 Long known for his sinker with late, downward movement, Justin Masterson’s career is unfortunately following a similar trajectory. The righty threw just 59 innings in the minors—mostly as a reliever—following offseason arthroscopic shoulder surgery.
2016 Game of Thrones fans will be familiar with Beric “The Lightning Lord” Dondarrion, a good and just knight who's used to introduce resurrection into the series. Unfortunately, Beric's tale turns sour when we learn that each time he's brought back, he loses more and more of his old self. So it goes with Masterson, whose own comeback tale with the Red Sox met a gory end in August after he struggled all season long. Masterson's drastically reduced velocity has rendered his once-potent fastball/slider combo lifeless, and his ability to log 200-plus innings is a fading relic as well. The former Red Sox farmhand has always had trouble with lefties, but in 2015 southpaws hit like Babe Ruth against him, batting .307/.409/.508 with 17 XBH. Masterson will be just 31 this season and perhaps deserves one more shot as a ROOGY or a long man, but as Arya Stark will remind you, all pitching careers must die.
2015 When a struggling Masterson was traded to St. Louis last summer, the Cardinals clearly believed that pitching in front of one of the league's best infield defenses would shake the long-time sinkerball impresario out of the doldrums. Six starts and an ERA best suited for a Boeing jet later, it was clear the problem was with Masterson, not the fielders behind him. He has often struggled to retire lefties, but last year a puzzling drop in velocity combined with shaky command allowed hitters of all stripes to tee off, and his walk and strikeout rates moved in the wrong direction. He still produces more groundball outs than anyone, but if Masterson can't regain some zip on his fastball he may need to move to the 'pen, where he'll be better positioned to torture righties with impunity.
2014 Not that anyone is considering moving the Indians' workhorse to the bullpen full-time anymore, but his time in relief to close out the season confirmed the expectedthat he'd post amazing statistics if he only faced the Twins and White Sox. Seriously, it did show that he'd be a very effective reliever, with a more reliable platoon advantage. No pitcher who has faced 500 right-handed batters over the past three seasons has allowed a lower OPS (.537). Masterson's filthy mix of two fastballs and a slider remain less than nasty to left-handed hitters, especially those with the discipline to take. When one of those insolent lefties inevitably reaches, Masterson is severe toward potential basestealers, keeping most double play opportunities alive for the right-hander on deck.
2013 After an apparent breakout season in 2011, Masterson took a step back last year. Despite the disparity of nearly a full run between his ERA and Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP), we cant simply point to bad luck given the kind of pitcher he is: a sinker/slider side-armer with an extreme platoon split. Masterson has struggled at times with runners on base, and that was a big part of the problem last year. In fact, the only years it hasnt been a problem are those when he faced less than his fair share of lefties with runners on, and last year teams stacked lineups with more lefties than ever before (59 percent). The sequencing of hits is usually random, for the most part, but for a pitcher who struggles against a particular type of hitter, trouble is bound to occur when those hitters are clustered together.
2012 After a 2010 season that saw Masterson post much better peripherals than his ERA indicated, he proved in 2011 that his 2010 was merely bad luck. That put to rest the notion that his unorthodox pitching style made him a DIPS theory outlier (a pitcher who over- or under-performs his peripherals due to a skill, or lack thereof, that the peripherals don't capture). A rare sidearm starter, Masterson's ability to slice through righties like a machete more than compensates for the butter knife he employs versus lefties. Masterson is a ground-ball machine thanks to his arm angle and plus-plus sinkerone of the game's bestbut he also gets strikeouts thanks to a quality slider that he can play off a good second fastball. Maintaining the improved control he showed in the second half of 2010 (3.0 BB/9), Masterson's 2011 proved he can be a very good number three starter.
2011 One of the keys to the deal that sent Victor Martinez to Boston, the Indians hoped that Masterson would be a quality major-league starter by now, but he lacks that first adjective. Yes, he gets plenty of ground balls, but ground balls alone don't make a pitcher good by defaultespecially when you play with a team as soft on defense up the middle as Cleveland was last yearjust like walks don't automatically make a hitter good. Speaking of walks, Masterson made some progress in that department during the second half of the year, so there's still some hope for his future.
2010 In Boston, a starter with a 4.50 ERA means youre heading to the bullpen, while in Cleveland it means you're in contention to start Opening Day. Mastersons left/right splits were once again extreme; in 2009 righties struggled (.203/.289/.302) and lefties excelled (.323/.407/.470). His Achilles' heel is his walk rate, but he was especially hurt in 2009 by BABIP as the good luck of 2008 deserted him. If he maintains his walk and strikeout rates, then a relatively normal BABIP would put him around a 3.90 ERA without any additional improvements, and that's good enough to make him the answer to the prayers of Tribe fans.
2009 Masterson was serviceable as a starter, though 28 walks over 54 innings is a bit much, even for a side-arming ground-ball specialist. Relief was where he shone, with 7.6 whiffs and 3.1 walks per nine over his 27 appearances. Still, perhaps the greatest share of his success was due to delivery that rings up righties, limiting them to just .196/.274/.298. He was also successful against left-handed hitters, but although southpaw swingers hit only .238, too many of their hits went for extra bases. This raises an interesting question for Masterson's future: he was more effective as a reliever, but he has the endurance to start, and as a starter the impact of the occasional home run allowed to a left-hander would be diminished. Masterson's current lack of a reliable third pitch may ultimately resolve this question in favor of the bullpen.
2008 Can we get him nicknamed "Monsterson"? At 6-foot-6, 250 pounds, he's more than qualified for the moniker. Masterson's sinker is as scary as any movie creation and arguably the best in the minors. Finding a second pitch and refining his mechanics are on the to-do list for 2008.
2007 The 71st pick in the 2006 draft, this behemoth came to the team`s attention a closer in the Cape Cod League in 2005. Having already thrown 116 innings prior to the draft, he worked out of the bullpen in Lowell. Adding a few MPH to a low-90s two-seam fastball that he continued to located very well, he made mincemeat out of opposing hitters, holding them to a .174/.208/.200 showing. The Sox will move him back into the rotation in 2007; the development of his secondary pitches will determine if he stays there.

BP Articles

Click here to see articles tagged with Justin Masterson

BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2015-11-05 12:00:00 (link to chat)How well (badly) is Mat Latos going to pitch next year? Seems like he's heading down the Justin Masterson path of already worse than average and declining further ...
(Luke from MI)
I'll admit that I didn't see this coming. If you go by DRA last season is a big outlier. From 2010 to 2015 he was: 3.22, 3.51, 3.60, 3.77, 3.62, 4.53. So it's not like there was a gradual decline, it was sort of just a cliff. That said, his velocity was down a few mph, so I don't think he'll fully bounce back unless he finds more velo. I just don't think we should 100% write him off just yet. (Jeff Long)
2015-06-16 20:00:00 (link to chat)If the Red Sox were characters on Game of Thrones, who would they be? thanks
(Bill from Los Angeles)
This is super played out ...

... and as such, right in my wheelhouse.

Xander Bogaerts: Jon Snow
Mookie Betts: Danaerys Targaryen

Ben Cherington: Ned (tried to do the right thing, will probably lose head)
Wade Miley: Catelyn (doesn't do much but yell)
Rick Porcello: Robb Stark (handsome, ineffective)
Clay Buchholz: Sansa (WHAT EVEN ARE YOU?)
Eduardo Rodriguez: Arya (so much potential)
Brock Holt: Bran (takes a lot of forms)
Joe Kelly: Rickon (why do you exist?)
Mike Napoli: Hodor (...yep)
Christian Vazquez: Benjen Stark (plz come back)

John Henry: Tywin (still calling the shots)
Dustin Pedroia: Tyrion (most watchable/resourceful)
Larry Lucchino: Cersei (...)
David Ortiz: Jaime (lost a step but still badass)
Blake Swihart: Tommen (keep trying, little guy)

John Farrell: Stannis (stern but no one seems to listen)
Melisandre: Pablo Sandoval (is your power real or what)
Our Hopes/Dreams: Shireen

Hanley Ramirez: The Hound (unlikeable but powerful)
Koji Uehara: Brienne (still rooting for ya)
Daniel Nava: Pod (you too!)

Junichi Tawawa: Bronn (just gets stuff done)
Allen Craig: Janos Slynt (just doesn't)
Shane Victorino: Jorah (always hurt)
Jackie Bradley: Theon (has he not suffered enough?)
Justin Masterson: Beric Dondarrion (should not have been revived)

Craig Breslow: Doran (smart, ineffective)
Alejandro De Aza: sandsnake 1
Alexi Ogando: sandsnake 2
Tommy Layne: sandsnake 3

The Yankees: Roose Bolton
The Rays: Ramsay Bolton
The Blue Jays: The Night's King
The Orioles: Mance Rayder

And two for the book readers ...
Yoan Moncada: Young Griff
Rusney Castillo: Patchface (Ben Carsley)
2015-04-16 17:00:00 (link to chat)Due to injuries I picked up Miley, Masterson, Dickey and Norris. It's a very deep league. I obviously wasn't pleased with the latest results. Do I move on to the next group or have patience with some of these guys and which ones?
(LakeRaMan from San Gabriel)
It depends on how deep your league is I guess and who the "next ones" are. In order, I'd hang onto R.A. Dickey, Bud Norris, Wade Miley, and Justin Masterson. (Mike Gianella)
2014-10-23 14:00:00 (link to chat)Who are a few pitchers that you saw take a significant step forward/backward with their mechanics in 2014?
(Shawnykid23 from CT)
Steps forward: Trevor Bauer with his balance and simplified delivery, Yordano Ventura with his stability, Jake Arrieta with his momentum and transition through lift-and-stride, and Carlos Carrasco with his ditching of the windup and execution from the stretch (esp repetition).

Steps back: Danny Salazar in nearly all phases but especially stability, Justin Masterson with his vertical

The number of current and former Indians on this list is purely indidental (Doug Thorburn)
2014-08-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)Do you consider Jackie Bradley to be done in Boston? Also is Justin Masterson having a down year or should we expect bad numbers from him in the future?
(Kevin from NJ)
I think they could give him another shot if they don't trade him, but given the crowded OF a trade wouldn't surprise me.

Masterson looks like a mess right now. He is another pitcher (see my Miller answer earlier) who is having problems with his command in the zone. Is it fixable? Possibly, but I always felt like he had to be just right to be good anyway. (Mike Gianella)
2014-07-31 19:30:00 (link to chat)In 2015,The Red Sox top 2 starters are: ______ and _______?
(NightmareRec0n from Boston)
Jon Lester and Justin Masterson la la la la la I can't hear you telling me that's unrealistic (Ben Carsley)
2014-07-31 19:30:00 (link to chat)Who has a better ROS, Justin Masterson now that he has been traded or Yordano Ventura?
(Matt from WI)
Gimme Ventura, though I think Masterson is a great buy-low candidate. (Ben Carsley)
2014-06-11 12:00:00 (link to chat)What's your favorite kind of rare baseball event? Nine-pitch, 3 K innings? Weird double plays? Walk-off catcher's interferences?
(justarobert from Santa Clara)
Hi Robert! I'm partial to immaculate innings. A nine-pitch, nine-strike, three K inning. Justin Masterson (I think) did it to the Red Sox a few weeks ago. It's so wonderfully dispiriting! I mean, that has no impact on the game beyond the one scoreless half inning and the implication that the pitcher who did it is pitching well, but it's impressive and fun to watch. Also, you can do it and still lose, which is kind of amazing also. (Matthew Kory)
2014-03-19 20:00:00 (link to chat)Who would you rather have: AJ Burnett or Justin Masterson?
(Dan from GA)
Masterson, but I don't feel great about it. (Bret Sayre)
2013-10-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)Over a full season, predict the GB% off Carlos Martinez's two-seamer. 70%? 80%?
(garik16 from Strong Island)
80 is not a number I'd predict with much confidence, but he should be in that 70% club of elite worm killers. I've only got one guy hitting the 80 mark for a season on a two-seamer, and that was Justin Masterson a few years back. Check out this year's leaders, and prior years, too http://www.baseballprospectus.com/pitchfx/leaderboards/index.php?hand=&reportType=pfx&prp=P&month=&year=2013&pitch=SI&ds=gbs&lim=200 (Harry Pavlidis)
2013-04-18 14:00:00 (link to chat)How would you rank for the rest of the season: Justin Masterson, Carlos Villanueva, Ervin Santana, and Wade Davis
(nubber from tx)
He certainly won't maintain a 0.64 ERA, but I've like Carlos Villanueva for a while. So, I'll say Villanueva, Santana, Masterson, Davis. (Daniel Rathman)
2013-01-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hello, I am in a 12-team, 8-man keeper league and have six of my keepers set but am having trouble determining my last two. They are all cheap pitchers and none are ideal but ... anyways, the choices are Brandon McCarthy ($6), Justin Masterson ($5), Randall Delgado ($2) and Glen Perkins ($1). What are your thoughts? Thanks
(Tony from Minneapolis)
I like Perkins the best. He's the cheapest and there is a chance he saves some games this year. (Josh Shepardson)
2012-09-24 14:30:00 (link to chat)How do you explain what has happened to my Indians in 2012, especially the 2nd half?
(Ida from Chagrin Falls, OH)
There's no explaining a .279 second-half winning percentage, but I think the main things are a total lack of pitching behind Justin Masterson (who hasn't been great either), and the total offensive black holes in the corners (Casey Kotchman, Jack Hannahan and Shelley Duncan/Johnny Damon). (Bill Parker)
2011-04-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is this the year Justin Masterson turns the corner?
(Jerry from MSP)
He's managed to whiff a few lefties so far this year, and that's a good sign, but it's way too early to tell. Ask again after a few more spins through the rotation. He's a guy I've always liked and rooted for, and I hope he has a long career. (Ken Funck)
2011-02-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)Edwin Encarnacion - 30 dingers and 80 rbi this year? Justin Masterson - 15 wins and 180 K this year?
(josh from VA)
Encarnacion has never hit more than 26 HR in a season, so I'll take the under there. Masterson has got to solve his crazy splits against lefties if he's going to be that good. (Tommy Bennett)
2011-02-08 14:00:00 (link to chat)Justin Masterson...will he improve his control and finally start to move up the ladder of the game's top pitchers? Thanks.
(josh from VA)
Masterson needs to figure out a way to get lefties out. I don't think he'll ever be one of the game's top pitchers -- that's a very tall order in a world with Lincecum, Halladay, Felix, et al. -- but being a solid mid-rotation guy, which he can be (and almost already is) is a good thing. (Ken Funck)
2010-09-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hi Marc Wanted to know whether you had some opinions as to *why* some of these players haven't developed as some of us had hoped: * BJ Upton * Matt LaPorta * Justin Masterson * Scott Sizemore * Matt Wieters Thanks.
(Phoebus from Mobile)
Upton has just not been able to keep his BABIP and batting averages high enough, but he's had plenty of power when healthy and he's been great on the basepaths. He's also a fantastic defensive player. LaPorta is a curious case, as he was supposedly all better in terms of health and his swing mechanics, but hasn't been able to consistently produce. Masterson pitches in front of a horrible defense and can't get lefties out to save his life. He could deal with the LHB thing if the defense was better, but the combination of the two has just ruined him in 2010. Sizemore has just 143 plate appearances, so let's wait on calling him a disappointment. Wieters was over hyped and has actually performed well for his position and his age, but the power just isn't there yet consistently. (Marc Normandin)
2010-07-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)what's your outlook for Madison Bumgarner in the 2nd half? Does he stick w/ SF? And is he worthy of a roster spot in deep mixed leagues?
(Gigantes from SF)
I think he'll stick with San Fran, but yes, the league would need to be deep. He has some potential problems against right-handers, the kind of thing that once major league managers catch the scent of he won't be able to shake (ask Justin Masterson how that works for him with lefties) and his strikeout rates don't translate well into fantasy unless everything else is going perfectly for him. I think he'll be a good pitcher, but he still has a lot of work to do in his development. (Marc Normandin)
2010-06-18 14:00:00 (link to chat)How do you see Justin Masterson long-term? Solid starter, mediocre starter, maybe a good multiple inning reliever, or something else?
(Dennis from LA)
Mediocre starter, but that is very valuable if he can do that over 175-200 innings per year. I guess I see him as being closer to what Joe Blanton did last season than anything above that. (Eric Seidman)
2010-03-24 11:00:00 (link to chat)Could the Indians give the Twins a run for the money in the Central if their rotation is league average? Given the offense stays healthy? Or will they need a near 2007 Carmona for that to be achievable?
(SaberTJ from Cleveland, OH)
You know, I thought Carmona looked pretty sharp in his last spring outing. Who knows how good he'll be, but yeah, they need him to be good. Production from a LaPorta/Branyan duo at 1B would be helpful. One guy I'm pretty optimistic about is Justin Masterson. I'd put the Indians behind the Tigers and White Sox as well at the moment. (Tommy Bennett)
2010-03-24 11:00:00 (link to chat)You like Justin Masterson or Colby Lewis this season?
(Tom from Chicago)
Masterson. This goes back to translations, but it's just very odd to me how dominant Colby Lewis was in Japan. He lead the Central League in strikeouts the last two years with basically the same stuff he had when he was pitching (and not especially well) in the U.S. Maybe he's turned it all around, but it seems like the Japanese variable is doing more of the work. (Tommy Bennett)
2010-02-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hi Marc, do you have a strong gut feeling about any of these guys?: Buchholz, Brett Anderson, Dice-K, Scott Baker, Matusz, Wade Davis, Ricky Romero, Justin Masterson, Homer Bailey. Let's assume Tommy Hanson was gone several rounds ago. Please help or my entire pitching staff will be sleepers!
(robertcfox from DC)
Brett Anderson and Clay Buchholz would be the two I suggest to you. Buchholz showed some positive growth in 2009 that I'm excited to see in 2010, and Brett Anderson is a future beast. (Marc Normandin)
2010-01-26 14:00:00 (link to chat)Bigger impact for 2010, Justin Masterson or Jeff Niemann?
(Ace from Aceland)
Push. (Tommy Bennett)
2008-10-09 14:00:00 (link to chat)So far this October, Justin Masterson has been the bridge to Papelbon for the Red Sox. And a scary bridge he's been. Is there any chance Delcarmen and his better peripheral numbers get a shot at that role?
(Matt from Athens OH)
Perhaps the Red Sox most glaring weakness all year long has been their relief pitching in front of Papelbon, no question. Okajima didn't have the season he had in 2007, Delcarmen had a shot at the 7-8 inning role earlier in the year and didn't really nail it (he has the most PA of any Red Sox pitcher in the 7th, and 2nd most in the 8th, though in what leverage situations I don't know offhand). I've championed Masterson before and I still think he can be a part of a productive late-inning solution due to his abiltiy to generate groundballs, but I still think the Sox are a pitcher short back there, and it may cost them eventually. (Jay Jaffe)
2008-06-04 16:00:00 (link to chat)Justin Masterson: #3 starter or setup man?
(CAN I HAZ A from CHEESE BURGER?)
Youz Can Haz. It's a difficult question. On many teams, a No. 3 starter. On the Red Sox, maybe not. (Kevin Goldstein)
2008-05-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)When I first saw Justin Masterson pitch it seemed like he could be so much more effective if he threw from a higher arm slot to really take advantage of his size. Then again, he already gets a lot of ground balls so maybe the time investment and risk of totally messing up his development just wasn't worth it. Your thoughts?
(Jeremy from New England)
The latter. Strongly the latter. (Will Carroll)
2008-01-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hey KG, what particular stats do you focus on when considering a pitching prospect? Does some stat that takes into account ability to induce ground balls come into play? And, finally, what pitchers have a chance to develop into the next Derek Lowe / Jake Westbrook? Thanks.
(Mario66 from Toronto)
IP, H, K are the first three I like out, but everything is taken into account. Next Derek Lowe just might be Justin Masterson. (Kevin Goldstein)


BP Roundtables

DateRoundtable NameComment
2008-10-10 13:30:00Friday LCSRandom fact #3: When I first interviewed Justin Masterson, a couple of weeks after he was drafted, I asked him to describe himself as a pitcher. He said, "Shoot, I'm a two-seamer guy. A lot of people call it a sinker, but it's a fastball to me. It's kind of like a lefty slider." (David Laurila)
2008-10-10 13:30:00Friday LCSI love me some Justin Masterson. (Joe Sheehan)
 

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