Biographical

Portrait of Andrew Miller

Andrew Miller PIndians

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2018 Projections (Rest of Season Projections - seasonal age 33)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
13.3 2.07 1.00 21 1 0 0 0.4
Birth Date5-21-1985
Height6' 7"
Weight205 lbs
Age33 years, 3 months, 0 days
BatsL
ThrowsL
2.12014
1.82015
2.62016
2.02017
0.92018
+proj
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA- WARP
2006 DET MLB 8 0 10.3 0 1 0 8 10 6 0 .254 109 7.0 8.7 0.0 5.2 70% .242 .263 1.74 5.50 6.10 120 5.85 119.2 -0.0
2007 DET MLB 13 13 64.0 5 5 0 73 39 56 8 .262 103 10.3 5.5 1.1 7.9 51% .327 .290 1.75 5.33 5.62 105 5.25 108.7 0.3
2008 FLO MLB 29 20 107.3 6 10 0 120 56 89 7 .259 95 10.1 4.7 0.6 7.5 48% .336 .288 1.64 3.96 5.87 106 5.10 108.8 0.5
2009 FLO MLB 20 14 80.0 3 5 0 85 43 59 7 .260 100 9.6 4.8 0.8 6.6 50% .306 .281 1.60 4.40 4.84 110 5.22 112.0 0.3
2010 FLO MLB 9 7 32.7 1 5 0 51 26 28 6 .272 93 14.1 7.2 1.7 7.7 42% .409 .386 2.36 6.25 8.54 126 6.69 151.0 -0.6
2011 BOS MLB 17 12 65.0 6 3 0 77 41 50 8 .262 109 10.7 5.7 1.1 6.9 49% .332 .307 1.82 5.15 5.54 119 6.14 142.7 -0.9
2012 BOS MLB 53 0 40.3 3 2 0 28 20 51 3 .266 102 6.2 4.5 0.7 11.4 43% .269 .232 1.19 3.11 3.35 87 2.91 66.7 0.9
2013 BOS MLB 37 0 30.7 1 2 0 25 17 48 3 .267 101 7.3 5.0 0.9 14.1 57% .338 .257 1.37 3.07 2.64 69 2.19 52.5 0.9
2014 BAL 0 23 0 20.0 2 0 1 8 4 34 1 .261 100 3.6 1.8 0.5 15.3 36% .219 .155 0.60 1.16 1.35 30 1.54 37.8 0.7
2014 BOS 0 50 0 42.3 3 5 0 25 13 69 2 .264 103 5.3 2.8 0.4 14.7 55% .280 .202 0.90 1.72 2.34 55 1.93 47.4 1.3
2015 NYA MLB 60 0 61.7 3 2 36 33 20 100 5 .262 107 4.8 2.9 0.7 14.6 50% .241 .200 0.86 2.12 2.04 69 2.25 52.5 1.8
2016 CLE 0 26 0 29.0 4 0 3 14 2 46 3 .255 115 4.3 0.6 0.9 14.3 58% .212 .150 0.55 1.48 1.55 44 2.10 46.5 1.0
2016 NYA 0 44 0 45.3 6 1 9 28 7 77 5 .260 108 5.6 1.4 1.0 15.3 55% .284 .190 0.77 1.73 1.39 39 1.76 38.9 1.7
2017 CLE MLB 57 0 62.7 4 3 2 31 21 95 3 .256 105 4.5 3.0 0.4 13.6 42% .233 .180 0.83 1.97 1.44 62 2.24 47.6 2.0
2018 CLE MLB 24 0 21.0 2 3 1 16 13 30 1 .259 106 6.9 5.6 0.4 12.9 55% .326 .261 1.38 3.38 3.43 83 2.82 62.9 0.5
2014 TOT MLB 73 0 62.3 5 5 1 33 17 103 3 .263 102 4.8 2.5 0.4 14.9 50% .263 .188 0.80 1.54 2.02 47 1.81 44.3 2.1
2016 TOT MLB 70 0 74.3 10 1 12 42 9 123 8 .258 110 5.1 1.1 1.0 14.9 56% .256 .175 0.69 1.63 1.45 41 1.89 41.9 2.6
CareerMLB47066712.349475262233283862.2611037.94.20.810.649%.306.2561.343.483.95894.0188.49.4

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA-
2006 DET MLB 8 0 10.3 0 1 0 8 10 6 0 .254 109 7.0 8.7 0.0 5.2 70% .242 .263 1.74 5.50 6.10 120 5.85 119.2
2006 LAK A+ 3 0 5.1 0 0 0 2 1 9 0 .257 93 3.5 1.8 0.0 15.9 88% .250 .101 0.59 0.89 0.00 75 0.00 0.0
2007 DET MLB 13 13 64.0 5 5 0 73 39 56 8 .262 103 10.3 5.5 1.1 7.9 51% .327 .290 1.75 5.33 5.62 105 5.25 108.7
2007 LAK A+ 7 7 41.3 1 4 0 43 15 28 1 .252 100 9.4 3.3 0.2 6.1 65% .313 .239 1.40 3.57 3.49 95 3.96 99.0
2007 ERI AA 4 4 30.7 2 0 0 22 5 24 2 .245 107 6.4 1.5 0.6 7.0 76% .247 .179 0.88 3.42 0.59 82 2.95 95.4
2007 TOL AAA 2 2 6.0 0 0 0 6 5 9 0 .252 37 9.0 7.5 0.0 13.5 60% .200 .048 1.83 2.67 9.00 95 3.52 94.6
2008 FLO MLB 29 20 107.3 6 10 0 120 56 89 7 .259 95 10.1 4.7 0.6 7.5 48% .336 .288 1.64 3.96 5.87 106 5.10 108.8
2008 JUP A+ 4 2 12.7 1 0 0 10 1 11 1 .235 98 7.1 0.7 0.7 7.8 58% .257 .194 0.87 2.73 0.71 86 2.40 54.0
2008 CAR AA 1 1 5.7 0 0 0 2 4 6 0 .250 109 3.2 6.3 0.0 9.5 92% .167 .170 1.05 3.76 3.16 89 3.17 66.2
2008 MRL Rk 1 1 1.0 0 1 0 2 1 0 0 .280 101 18.0 9.0 0.0 0.0 60% .400 .419 3.00 6.54 18.00 0 0.00 0.0
2009 FLO MLB 20 14 80.0 3 5 0 85 43 59 7 .260 100 9.6 4.8 0.8 6.6 50% .306 .281 1.60 4.40 4.84 110 5.22 112.0
2009 JUP A+ 1 1 4.0 0 0 0 3 1 5 0 .257 89 6.8 2.2 0.0 11.2 70% .300 .189 1.00 1.44 2.25 85 1.92 44.8
2009 JAX AA 1 1 6.0 0 0 0 5 2 5 0 .242 86 7.5 3.0 0.0 7.5 41% .294 .248 1.17 2.43 1.50 98 4.74 105.5
2009 NWO AAA 3 3 11.7 1 2 0 9 13 16 0 .261 83 6.9 10.0 0.0 12.3 64% .321 .270 1.88 4.30 7.69 95 4.25 85.4
2009 MRL Rk 2 2 7.0 0 0 0 8 4 10 0 .254 92 10.3 5.1 0.0 12.9 61% .444 .289 1.71 2.16 2.57 90 4.46 102.4
2009 MSS Wnt 5 5 15.3 0 1 0 13 11 13 1 .000 7.6 6.5 0.6 7.6 0% .293 .000 1.57 5.74 5.29 0 0.00 0.0
2010 FLO MLB 9 7 32.7 1 5 0 51 26 28 6 .272 93 14.1 7.2 1.7 7.7 42% .409 .386 2.36 6.25 8.54 126 6.69 151.0
2010 JUP A+ 3 3 15.7 1 1 0 8 15 23 0 .273 90 4.6 8.6 0.0 13.2 47% .250 .243 1.46 3.55 1.72 104 4.87 112.7
2010 JAX AA 18 18 85.3 1 8 0 98 61 66 6 .258 92 10.3 6.4 0.6 7.0 49% .338 .310 1.86 5.06 6.01 120 8.25 176.9
2011 BOS MLB 17 12 65.0 6 3 0 77 41 50 8 .262 109 10.7 5.7 1.1 6.9 49% .332 .307 1.82 5.15 5.54 119 6.14 142.7
2011 PAW AAA 13 12 65.7 3 3 0 42 35 61 2 .255 93 5.8 4.8 0.3 8.4 51% .235 .211 1.17 3.51 2.47 102 4.81 108.0
2012 BOS MLB 53 0 40.3 3 2 0 28 20 51 3 .266 102 6.2 4.5 0.7 11.4 43% .269 .232 1.19 3.11 3.35 87 2.91 66.7
2012 GRN A 2 1 2.0 0 0 0 2 0 3 0 .237 117 9.0 0.0 0.0 13.5 75% .500 .250 1.00 2.07 0.00 93 3.54 72.4
2012 PAW AAA 10 0 11.0 0 0 1 4 14 23 1 .255 99 3.3 11.5 0.8 18.8 53% .214 .244 1.64 4.25 5.73 89 2.04 46.2
2013 BOS MLB 37 0 30.7 1 2 0 25 17 48 3 .267 101 7.3 5.0 0.9 14.1 57% .338 .257 1.37 3.07 2.64 69 2.19 52.5
2014 BAL MLB 23 0 20.0 2 0 1 8 4 34 1 .261 100 3.6 1.8 0.5 15.3 36% .219 .155 0.60 1.16 1.35 30 1.54 37.8
2014 BOS MLB 50 0 42.3 3 5 0 25 13 69 2 .264 103 5.3 2.8 0.4 14.7 55% .280 .202 0.90 1.72 2.34 55 1.93 47.4
2015 NYA MLB 60 0 61.7 3 2 36 33 20 100 5 .262 107 4.8 2.9 0.7 14.6 50% .241 .200 0.86 2.12 2.04 69 2.25 52.5
2015 SWB AAA 1 0 1.0 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 .273 93 18.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 67% .667 .319 2.00 1.15 0.00 96 3.86 95.7
2016 CLE MLB 26 0 29.0 4 0 3 14 2 46 3 .255 115 4.3 0.6 0.9 14.3 58% .212 .150 0.55 1.48 1.55 44 2.10 46.5
2016 NYA MLB 44 0 45.3 6 1 9 28 7 77 5 .260 108 5.6 1.4 1.0 15.3 55% .284 .190 0.77 1.73 1.39 39 1.76 38.9
2017 CLE MLB 57 0 62.7 4 3 2 31 21 95 3 .256 105 4.5 3.0 0.4 13.6 42% .233 .180 0.83 1.97 1.44 62 2.24 47.6
2017 COH AAA 1 0 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 .246 0.0 0.0 0.0 18.0 0% .000 .020 0.00 -0.67 0.00 101 4.13 94.1
2018 CLE MLB 24 0 21.0 2 3 1 16 13 30 1 .259 106 6.9 5.6 0.4 12.9 55% .326 .261 1.38 3.38 3.43 83 2.82 62.9
2018 LKC A 1 0 0.7 0 0 0 3 0 1 0 .254 40.5 0.0 0.0 13.5 40% .600 .562 4.50 0.48 27.00 101 4.02 82.3
2018 AKR AA 1 0 0.3 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 .270 54.0 27.0 0.0 0.0 33% .667 .761 9.00 21.30 108.00 105 3.41 69.7
2018 COH AAA 5 0 4.7 0 0 0 2 0 6 1 .267 3.9 0.0 1.9 11.6 30% .111 .145 0.43 3.53 1.93 82 3.16 67.6

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2008 1809 0.5323 0.4151 0.8056 0.5680 0.2411 0.8611 0.6569 0.1944
2009 1375 0.5004 0.3913 0.8086 0.5741 0.2082 0.8582 0.6713 0.1914
2010 643 0.5039 0.3935 0.8221 0.5525 0.2320 0.9050 0.6216 0.1779
2011 1224 0.5074 0.4248 0.8058 0.5717 0.2736 0.8761 0.6545 0.1942
2012 683 0.5183 0.3939 0.7323 0.5254 0.2523 0.7634 0.6627 0.2677
2013 554 0.5397 0.4314 0.6820 0.5217 0.3255 0.7628 0.5301 0.3180
2014 980 0.5235 0.4214 0.6320 0.5244 0.3084 0.7732 0.3681 0.3680
2015 953 0.4942 0.4386 0.5718 0.5053 0.3734 0.7605 0.3222 0.4282
2016 1104 0.4855 0.4620 0.6314 0.5243 0.4032 0.8078 0.4148 0.3686
2017 975 0.4841 0.4677 0.6338 0.5551 0.3857 0.7672 0.4536 0.3662
2018 309 0.4854 0.3981 0.6829 0.5733 0.2327 0.7674 0.4865 0.3171
Career106090.50820.42320.72130.54790.29320.81960.54450.2787

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2013-07-07 2013-10-31 60-DL 116 73 Left Foot Surgery Lis-franc Ligament 2013-07-15 -
2012-03-26 2012-05-06 15-DL 41 26 Left Thigh Recovery From Strain Hamstring - -
2012-03-21 2012-03-26 Camp 5 0 Left Thigh Strain Hamstring - -
2012-03-05 2012-03-16 Camp 11 0 Left Elbow Inflammation Triceps - -
2010-04-08 2010-04-30 Minors 22 0 Right Ankle Sprain -
2009-07-30 2009-09-11 Minors 43 0 Right Ankle Sprain High Ankle -
2009-04-21 2009-05-16 15-DL 25 23 Right Abdomen Strain Oblique -
2008-08-20 2008-08-20 On-Alr 0 0 Left Fingers Blister -
2008-07-14 2008-09-01 15-DL 49 42 Right Knee Inflammation Patellar Tendinitis -
2007-08-04 2007-08-23 15-DL 19 18 Left Thigh Strain Hamstring -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2018 CLE $9,000,000
2017 CLE $9,000,000
2016 NYA $9,000,000
2015 NYA $9,000,000
2014 BOS $1,903,125
2013 BOS $1,475,000
2012 BOS $1,040,000
2010 FLO $1,790,219
2009 FLO $2,462,500
2008 FLO $1,325,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
10 yrPrevious$36,995,844
2018Current$9,000,000
11 yrPvs + Cur$45,995,844
11 yrTotal$45,995,844

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
9 y 62 dFrontline4 years/$36M (2015-18)

Details
  • 4 years/$36M (2015-18). Signed by NY Yankees as a free agent 12/5/14. 15-18:$9M annually. Acquired by Cleveland in trade from NY Yankees 7/31/16 with $21,098,361 remaining on contract.
  • 1 year/$1,903,125 (2014). Re-signed by Boston 2/15/14 (avoided arbitration). Acquired by Baltimore in trade from Boston 7/31/14.
  • 1 year/$1.475M (2013). Re-signed by Boston 1/18/13 (avoided arbitration).
  • 1 year/$1.04M (2012). Re-signed by Boston 12/6/11 (avoided arbitration). Performance bonuses: $50,000 each for 20, 25 starts.
  • 1 year (2011), plus 2012 club option. Re-signed by Boston as a free agent 12/16/10 (minor-league contract). 11: split contract ($1.3M in majors), 12: club option. Roster, performance bonuses. Miller may opt out if not on Major League roster by specified date, $3M option for 2012 guaranteed if Boston designates Miller for assignment and another club claims him off waivers. Contract purchased by Boston 6/19/11. Boston declined 2012 option 10/31/11.
  • 1 year/$1,790,219 (2010). Renewed by Florida 3/2/10. Acquired by Boston in trade from Florida 11/12/10. Non-tendered by Boston 12/2/10.
  • 4 years/$5.4M (2006-09). Signed Major League contract with Detroit 8/06. $3.55M signing bonus. On Major League roster: 08:$1.325M, 09:$1.575M. Escalators may bring total package to $7.5M, depending on when Miller makes 25-man roster. Contract guarantees September call-up in 2006. Miller may opt out of contract early & go to arbitration. Acquired by Florida in trade from Detroit 12/4/07.
  • Drafted by Detroit 2006 (1-6) (North Carolina).

2018 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 3.6 2 5 55 0 76.2 38 20 120 5 .241 0.76 0.99 1.33 23.3 2.5
80o 3.5 2 5 55 0 70.0 38 20 110 5 .257 0.83 1.29 1.7 21.1 2.3
70o 3.5 2.1 5 55 0 65.6 38 20 103 5 .268 0.88 1.51 1.98 19.4 2.1
60o 3.5 2.1 5 55 0 62.0 38 19 98 5 .278 0.93 1.71 2.21 18.0 2.0
50o 3.4 2.2 5 55 0 58.6 38 19 92 5 .287 0.97 1.89 2.44 16.6 1.8
40o 3.4 2.2 5 55 0 55.3 37 19 87 5 .296 1.01 2.08 2.67 15.3 1.7
30o 3.3 2.2 5 55 0 51.8 36 19 82 5 .305 1.06 2.28 2.91 13.8 1.5
20o 3.3 2.3 5 55 0 47.9 35 18 75 5 .316 1.12 2.52 3.2 12.1 1.3
10o 3.2 2.4 5 55 0 42.5 34 17 67 5 .332 1.20 2.86 3.61 9.6 1.0
Weighted Mean3.42.1555058.13719915.2840.961.862.416.91.8

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2018 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
201934424760805327123847.2861.002.512.695.93.013.80.92.3
202035424650694522104647.2830.982.412.585.92.913.60.82.0
20213632360063432294647.2861.032.632.826.13.113.40.91.7
20223731351054381882547.2971.032.522.706.33.013.60.81.5
20233831354057382086547.2851.012.552.736.03.113.50.81.6
20243931353056391983547.2901.042.622.816.33.113.30.81.5
20254031353056381983547.2881.022.612.806.13.113.30.81.5
20264131350053371879547.2891.032.732.926.23.013.30.81.4
20274231347050361773547.2921.052.782.986.43.013.10.91.3

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 59)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 78 B.J. Ryan 2009 6.53
2 76 Francisco Cordero 2008 3.58
3 74 Robb Nen 2003 0.00 DNP
4 73 Jonathan Papelbon 2014 2.04
5 70 Joe Nathan 2008 1.73
6 68 Brian Fuentes 2009 3.93
7 68 Scot Shields 2009 7.13
8 68 J.J. Putz 2010 3.00
9 68 Rich Gossage 1985 2.39
10 68 Billy Wagner 2005 1.97
11 67 Brendan Donnelly 2005 4.13
12 67 John Hiller 1976 2.75
13 66 Arthur Rhodes 2003 4.17
14 66 Trevor Hoffman 2001 3.73
15 66 Mike Adams 2012 3.61
16 65 Luke Gregerson 2017 4.72
17 64 Matt Thornton 2010 2.67
18 64 Doug Jones 1990 2.77
19 64 Damaso Marte 2008 4.02
20 63 Sergio Romo 2016 2.64
21 62 Norm Charlton 1996 4.52
22 61 Lee Smith 1991 2.34
23 61 Heath Bell 2011 2.87
24 61 Roberto Hernandez 1998 4.16
25 61 Pedro Feliciano 2010 3.45
26 61 Rafael Betancourt 2008 5.32
27 60 Eric Plunk 1997 5.07
28 60 Jerry Blevins 2017 2.94
29 60 Jonathan Broxton 2017 6.89
30 60 John Axford 2016 4.25
31 60 Fernando Rodney 2010 4.37
32 60 Randy Johnson 1997 2.54
33 59 Brad Lidge 2010 3.15
34 59 Pedro Martinez 2005 2.86
35 59 Darren O'Day 2016 3.77
36 59 Rafael Soriano 2013 3.24
37 58 John Wetteland 2000 5.25
38 58 Bruce Ruffin 1997 6.14
39 58 Hideki Okajima 2009 3.39
40 58 Jeremy Affeldt 2012 3.27
41 58 George Sherrill 2010 7.43
42 58 Peter Moylan 2012 5.40
43 58 Kerry Wood 2010 3.33
44 58 Joakim Soria 2017 3.86
45 58 Troy Percival 2003 4.01
46 57 Brian Wilson 2015 0.00 DNP
47 57 Jose Veras 2014 4.89
48 57 Akinori Otsuka 2005 4.02
49 57 Jason Isringhausen 2006 3.86
50 57 Keith Foulke 2006 4.35
51 57 Glen Perkins 2016 9.00
52 57 Shawn Kelley 2017 7.27
53 57 Joaquin Benoit 2011 3.39
54 56 Joe Borowski 2004 8.02
55 56 Mike Jackson 1998 1.55
56 56 J.P. Howell 2016 4.09
57 56 Jeff Montgomery 1995 3.84
58 56 Jason Motte 2015 3.72
59 56 Jose Valverde 2011 2.61
60 56 Dave Smith 1988 4.08
61 56 Ryan Dempster 2010 4.60
62 55 Nolan Ryan 1980 3.85
63 55 Eric Gagne 2009 0.00 DNP
64 55 Tippy Martinez 1983 2.61
65 55 Mariano Rivera 2003 1.91
66 55 Jay Howell 1989 1.69
67 55 Skip Lockwood 1980 6.11
68 55 Michael Gonzalez 2011 5.23
69 54 Fernando Rodriguez 2017 0.00 DNP
70 54 Dennys Reyes 2010 3.55
71 54 Armando Benitez 2006 3.52
72 54 Gene Garber 1981 3.53
73 54 Kiko Calero 2008 3.86
74 54 Manny Parra 2016 0.00 DNP
75 53 Casey Janssen 2015 4.95
76 53 Roger Clemens 1996 3.93
77 53 Octavio Dotel 2007 4.70
78 53 Jason Schmidt 2006 3.97
79 53 Joe Smith 2017 3.33
80 53 Jason Frasor 2011 3.90
81 53 Tom Henke 1991 2.32
82 53 Tom Seaver 1978 3.36
83 52 Mike Marshall 1976 4.35
84 52 Bob Wickman 2002 5.77
85 52 Chad Qualls 2012 5.85
86 52 Mike MacDougal 2010 7.23
87 52 Francisco Liriano 2017 6.12
88 52 Chris Carpenter 2008 2.93
89 52 Hoyt Wilhelm 1956 4.77
90 52 Tony Barnette 2017 5.65
91 52 Justin Verlander 2016 3.20
92 52 Michael Wuertz 2012 0.00 DNP
93 51 Craig Stammen 2017 3.36
94 51 Grant Balfour 2011 2.47
95 51 Nick Masset 2015 5.40
96 51 J.C. Romero 2009 3.24
97 51 Jim Kern 1982 3.72
98 51 Tom Wilhelmsen 2017 4.44
99 51 Jared Burton 2014 4.78
100 51 Sparky Lyle 1978 3.71

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .194 .224 .321 .207
11 vs R (Multi) .152 .221 .262 .185
18 Split (Multi) .042 .003 .059 .022
19 LgAvg (Multi) -.020 -.022 -.064 -.025
30 vs L (2016) .181 .189 .333 .192
31 vs R (2016) .153 .195 .279 .169
38 Split (2016) .028 -.006 .054 .023
39 LgAvg (2016) -.022 -.023 -.071 -.028

Definition of multi-year splits

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2018 Due to publishing agreements, the 2018 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2018 book (available in hardcopy, and soon e-book and Kindle).
2017 There came a point last postseason when Miller seemed not so much a relief pitcher as the perfect symbol for an Official Bullpen Revolution. (Or, at least, the perfect symbol for all the debates over whether or not Miller really represented said revolution.) It was almost easy to believe that he was somehow immune to all the quirks of ability and fate that make pitchers pitchers rather than simple symbols of classical perfection. Those strikeouts—27 in his first 15 postseason innings!—that flexibility—able to perform in any inning, no matter the circumstances!—that slider—that slider! Add it all together and you have, well, not quite the dominance of Mariano Rivera, because Miller went multiple innings more often than Rivera ever did. Unreal. But Miller’s not an unreal symbol, he’s just a relief pitcher. A really, really damn good one at that.
2016 Dellin Betances is more imposing and more unusual, but Miller's slider would be worth its weight in gold if it weren't an abstract concept that couldn't be weighed. He backfoots the pitch as well as anybody in the game, throwing it with such frequency and such effectiveness that one wonders whether he could ditch his fastball completely and still post a sub-3 ERA. If his elbow can hold up to the strain of all those sliders, he'll be one of those rare relievers who easily justifies his four-year contract.
2015 It wasn't long ago that Miller was the lump of iron pyrite of the Miguel Cabrera trade. After finding his niche in Boston as a two-pitch lefty with scrubbed mechanics, he set off a bidding war at the trade deadline; by October it was clear he is one of the 10 best relievers in baseball. Not just against lefties, either: He held righties to a .446 OPS, and it's easy to see why. At the angle from which he throws, he dots the low corners with fastballs that don't seem to ever actually touch the strike zone until they're already in the catcher's glove. He alternates between that and a back-foot slider that enters and exits the frame like a stray paper airplane thrown from somewhere in the upper deck. He has one career save, and will spend the next four years battling Dellin Betances for the title of Best Non-Closer In Baseball. Loser is the one with the saves.
2014 Bobby Valentine left few positives behind from his year at the helm of the Sox, but the changes to Miller's mechanics were unarguably productive. Inconsistency in his delivery was the issue, so it was simplified: He pitched exclusively from the stretch, used a shortened stride to ease his leg through his motion and replaced his loopy curve with a tighter, devastating slider variant. The results were surprising and immediate, and he improved so much in 2013 that his season-ending ankle injury was considered what had been unthinkable roughly a year before: a bullpen-debilitating blow. In his 71 relief innings with these mechanics, Miller has struck out 99 batters, death-murder-killed nearly every lefty he's come up against, and even limited the production of right-handers to .209/.345/.330. With his career thus rescued, he should rejoin a stacked Boston bullpen in 2014.
2013 A former sixth-overall pick, Miller found extended big-league success for the first time last season in an inning-or-less, LOOGY-type role. The New And Improved Miller came from two things: an increased velocity (his average fastball hit almost 96 mph) and ditching his curveball for an effective slider. With the new repertoire, Miller struck out over 30 percent of the hitters he faced while dropping his walk rate to a career low. Two years after essentially being cut by the Marlins, Miller looks to have more of a career in front of him than college teammate Bard, who at the time was putting up a 1.93 ERA in 74 2/3 innings for an 88-win Boston team. How strange is baseball?
2012 Miller didn't damage the Red Sox in the way you would think, despite stats that suggest the opposite. Yes, he had an ERA of 5.54 that wouldn't have looked good even 10 years ago when offenses dominated, but the Red Sox went 9-3 in his starts, thanks to over eight runs of support per game. In a word, both the Sox and Miller were lucky. Despite a stretch in the minors and his first few appearances in the majors that suggested, hey, Miller does know where the strike zone is, he eventually turned back into a 6-foot-7, Andrew Miller-shaped pumpkin.
2011 Along with Cameron Maybin, Miller was a key part of the Miguel Cabrera/Dontrelle Willis dump deal with the Tigers, and the pair succeeded so well as Marlins that Ben & Jerry's should name a teal-colored flavor after them: "Blue-Chip Disappointment." Nobody questions Miller's stuff, because lefties with plus velocity get taken seriously; the problem is the unending litany of setbacks, an accumulation of little hurts, and the too-frequent disassociation with strikes that finally drove the Marlins beyond despair, all the way to disgust. Dealt to the Red Sox after the season for lefty Dustin Richardson, Miller will become a project for new pitching coach Curt Young, free of the expectations that come with being a high draft pick and a major trade acquisition.
2010 More than ever, waiting for Miller to capitalize on the talents that made him the sixth overall pick in the 2006 draft seems like an exercise in futility. He often struggled, and despite a couple of minor-league stints (one on rehab after an oblique strain), Miller again failed to establish himself. After the season he went to the AFL to work on improving his mechanics, which is a bit like going to Antarctica to work on raising your body temperature. Heading into his age-25 season, he's still young enough to sort himself out, and he deserves some understanding based on the way he was rushed through the minors, but the '06 draft is starting to look pretty distant, and if Miller doesn't come through soon, expectations need to be adjusted from "untapped talent" to "another journeyman looking to catch lightning in a bottle." That day isn't here yet, but it's bearing down on Miller like one of his runaway fastballs.
2009 It's easy to get frustrated with Miller when you rate his lows against his highs, but try to remember that he's still just a kid learning on the job. He's trying to learn a third pitch to complement his fastball/slider combo, and there are going to be struggles as long as he's working on that. April was a terrible month, but in May and June he shined, with 7.2 K/9, 3.6 BB/9, just 0.3 HR/9 and a 3.36 ERA over 61 2/3 innings. Tendonitis in a knee interrupted this breakthrough, and Miller would subsequently appear in just nine more games as a reliever. With just two pitches at his disposal, he may be a better option from the pen in the short term, but he has too much potential as a starter for the Fish to give up on his rotation possibilities.
2008 As good a job as the Tigers have done of picking players in the draft in recent years, their handling of them has been suspect. Maybin, completely unready, was rushed to cover a problem in left field. Similarly, Miller was bounced around the system like a pi?ata, going from the draft to the Florida State League to the majors in 2006 and then pitching at four different levels in 2007. It's not that he was ineffective in the minors; it's just that you can't really develop much other than your flying habits when you change teams as often as Miller did last year. Miller still has all the tools that made him arguably the top pitcher in the 2006 draft class and just needs a full season in one place-it's called "Triple-A"-to work on his mechanics, command, and secondary pitches. Given that development times, the Marlins could have the Josh Beckett of their next championship team here.
2007 Miller is a six-foot-six-inch lefty who can hit the upper-90s on radar guns. Detroit offered above-slot money in order to get him signed, and he was retiring big league hitters by Labor Day. He leverages his height extremely well, throwing in on batters` hands so effectively he generated a 22:3 groundball-to-flyball ratio in his time with the Tigers. Nevertheless, he isn`t quite a finished product; his walk rate was relatively high at North Carolina (4.1 per nine innings), something that carried over into his major league trial, and he lacks an effective third pitch. The upside here is along the lines of a left-handed Carlos Zambrano. Last year`s bullpen stint notwithstanding, the next time Miller pitches in the major leagues it will be as a starter. The Tigers are unlikely to press him to compete for a job in spring training, but the stretch run could be another story.

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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2017-05-03 20:00:00 (link to chat)Do you see Tony Zych getting the 8th inning role in Seattle?
(Florida man from Florida)
I like him a lot, or I did before he got hurt. He's recovered now, but before Edwin Diaz, it was Zych who seemed like the closer in waiting. So he certainly could recover that. There's been talk the M's might break out Diaz into an Andrew Miller role, which could open up Zych (or Nick Vincent?) for saves. (David Brown)
2017-03-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)What should be the concern level with the Indians pitching staff? Klubers work load, Salazar and Carrasco injuries. Bauers inconsistencies. What gives?
(Dave from Cleveland)
There's definitely reason to worry about Carrasco and Salazar from a durability standpoint, but if healthy I think they're each among the top 20 pitchers in the league. I've mostly given up on Bauer being in that same category, although he's not without upside still. Their rotation depth could be an issue, but that's not really unique to the Indians. As long as Kluber is making 30-plus starts and they get, say, 300 innings from the Carrasco/Salazar combo, it'll be one of the best rotations in the league. I can't see a bullpen with Andrew Miller, Cody Allen, Bryan Shaw, Dan Otero, and Boone Logan for a full season being anything but excellent. (Aaron Gleeman)
2016-09-08 19:00:00 (link to chat)Who do you think is going to win the World Series and why?
(Ruby from NY)
I love this question. I know this answer might surprise some people, but I'm going to go with the Cleveland Indians. I love what Terry Francona is doing with the bullpen, especially how he is mixing and matching Andrew Miller based on the situation regardless of what inning it is. Their bullpen is fantastic and if they can find a way to shorten games and get strong performances out of Kluber and Carrasco, they've got a shot. (George Bissell)
2016-06-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)I've seen Puk on a few occasions and he reminds me of Andrew Miller. Is Puk someone the Phillies ought to invest in rather than and OF ?
(Ling from Dover, DE)
You know what? I hate comps? But that's really not a bad one for Puk if things go "wrong." I'd rather have Puk than Moniak, but, I'd rather have Jason Groome. So...yeah, I dunno. I'm very helpful. (Christopher Crawford)
2016-06-23 14:00:00 (link to chat)How unreal is Glebyr Torres? Should the Cubs use him for trade bait? Or is there a place for him in the future in Chicago?
(BC from Urbandale)
Torres is pretty good! In terms of dangling him for trade stuff, I don't think it's necessary. As you may have heard, the Cubs have a pretty dang solid roster, and only need to make minor upgrades and patches (unless someone gets hurt between now and the deadline, of course). The most expensive player I could see them being in on is Andrew Miller, and as great as Miller is, I'd hesitate to ship Torres out for him. The Cubs don't lack for other young talents to use as chips at the trade table. (Nicolas Stellini)
2015-06-08 13:00:00 (link to chat)Your opinion please of Twins prospect Alex Meyer. The next Andrew Miller type transformation to closer?
(John from CT )
The stuff plays awful well in the bullpen, but you still have to throw strikes. That's not impossible, but man, at some point you gotta actually do it, ya know? (Christopher Crawford)
2015-05-05 15:00:00 (link to chat)For years Andrew Miller was a failed highly considered prospect who was drafted to start by the Tigers. Then he went to the Sox where he was middling bullpen help. And then last year happened. What was it that turned things around so dramatically for him?
(John from CT)
The short version is that Miller fixed his mechanics in Boston. He now pitches from the stretch 100% of the time and shortened his stride which makes it easier for his long front leg to get through his motion. He also ditched his curveball for the back foot slider. These developments improved his command considerably and he's been a different, dominating pitcher ever since. (Nick Shlain)
2015-04-29 20:00:00 (link to chat)Is Andrew Miller going to keep the Yankees closing job rest of season (I shouldn't expect any saves from Betances on my roster anymore, right?)
(Bill from NJ)
The way Miller is pitching, I wouldn't be expecting much more than a handful of saves from Betances. (Bret Sayre)
2015-02-13 19:00:00 (link to chat)Which side- my Dellin Betances for Hector Rondon and Zach Britton. It's a H2H league, and while Betances could be great, I should be picking up more saves, which I need more than the few extra K's/week Betances might get me. I also expect Betances to get less IP this year assuming he closes, and if he struggles at all I don't think the Yanks hesitate to go with Andrew Miller.
(Shawn from Cubicle)
I love Betances, but I think you have to take the two closers in that format, particularly if closers are going to be taken/frozen in your draft/auction. I do think Betances is the man and he'll be fine, though, and every closer has risk of losing his job if he struggles. (Mike Gianella)
2014-11-18 13:00:00 (link to chat)Word is the Blue Jays are pursuing Andrew Miller to be their closer. Did they not learn their lesson about spending big on relievers after their experience with BJ Ryan?
(Kevin from Toronto)
Kevin, let's wait and see what the price tag on Miller ends up being-and whether he lands in Toronto-before judging this idea. This is also a different front office, so lessons learned in the J.P. Ricciardi regime might not carry over, even if they were learned back then. (Daniel Rathman)
2015-02-09 20:00:00 (link to chat)Assuming Sanchez, Norris, and Pompey all graduate in 2015, can you give us your rough guess as to their top 5 prospects by year's end? Matt Smoral made some progress towards the end of 2014, could he be a guy that could really put it together and explode on the prospect scene this season?
(Peter Gabriel from In Your Eyes)
Alright. Nick has passed off the baton to me (Mellen) so let's keep this going!

Smoral was tabbed as an On The Rise guy in this year's Top 10 so we definitely see it possible that he's a player who could bump up into the 10 best prospects within the system at this time next year. It's going to come down to the continued progress keeping the delivery in check and maintaining the arm slot. Some evaluators are more bullish on him as a reliever in the long-run, but an Andrew Miller type if fairly valuable at the end of the day.

As for potential Top 5 by year end? Hoffman is going to be a tough read because of the rehab, but if things are going well and the reports indicate the stuff is returning he's in there for me. Like Labourt, Pentecost, and Castro as well. Give me Alford as the 5th name. (Top 101 Chat)
2014-10-14 18:00:00 (link to chat)Who should Tiger fans be rooting for out these last 4 teams? Perhaps the Royals, since that would ensure years more employment for Dayton Moore and Ned Yost?
(John from Cincinnati)
The Orioles have Quintin Berry (non-rostered) and Delmon Young, but a championship may fatten the Andrew Miller price tag. For the ERoyals, I think Moore and Yost are hanging around regardless, and if they win then we can say the AL Central's lifespan has seen dynasties by the Indians, Twins and Tigers but championships from the Royals and White Sox. What a world. Inherently Tigers fans cannot wish well on the Giants nor the Cardinals for pseudo-clutch reasons. But Jhonny Peralta deserves to be happy, so if that's what happens then good for him. After all that's how Gerald Laird got his ring. (Matt Sussman)
2014-10-09 15:00:00 (link to chat)Hi Jordan, Any chance a team will try to sign Andrew Miller and convert him back into a starter?
(ACJ from Illinois)
Odds are very, very slim. He's excelling in his current role. (Jordan Gorosh)
2014-08-19 14:00:00 (link to chat)Eduardo Rodriguez is looking like an absolute steal in the Andrew Miller trade. Is his upside higher than Henry Owens or Brian Johnson?
(Mike from Virginia)
I was a big fan of ERod last season. I saw 90-94; working both sides of the plate. SL flashed plus, CH average. I think they play 55, 50 at the highest level. I had him ranked #3 in the system behind Bundy and Harvey. But I really enjoyed Henry Owens. Owens fastball worked the same and the CH was much better. ERod's SL could be better than Owens' CB. Pick your poison. (CJ Wittmann)
2014-07-28 19:00:00 (link to chat)You're Dave Dombroski. What do you do this trade deadline, what do you do in August, what do you do in the offseason?
(Francis from Boston)
Hooray, I'm Dave Dombrowski! Finally I look good in striped polos. Well I'm running out of prospects as well as Prospect Erector Sets, so a lefty reliever is all I can afford this year. Andrew Miller coming back to Detroit for that purpose would be super cool, but I would NOT give up what was traded for Miller the last time. In the offseason I begrudgingly let Max Scherzer get his money somewhere and ask really nicely if Justin Verlander wants to spend his money on a right fielder. (Matt Sussman)
2011-06-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is there still hope for Andrew Miller to develop into a good major-league starter? I'm thinking that the ace projections there when he was drafted are now a thing of the past. At what point has the ship sailed on a pitching prospect of his caliber? It's not like there have been major injury issues.
(Brendan from Providence )
Yes. Not sure how crazy to get with the expectations, but if Miller found his command, he could still end up being a good major league quality starter. Some pitchers just take a long time to figure it out. Better late than never, assuming what is happening at the present is legit. (Jason Parks)
2011-01-18 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is there a reasonable possibility that Andrew Miller and Daniel Bard could become the Red Sox version of the memorable Cincinnati "Nasty Boys".
(dawson950 from cape cod)
I love Bard, but no. Dibble was one hell of a pitcher until his arm fell off, and Charlton/Myers were pretty great in their Cincy years as well. (Marc Normandin)
2010-09-15 14:00:00 (link to chat)Good morning hombre- I'm a big Marlins fan. What would you do in the offseason to put this team into the playoffs? I miss the glory days of 2003 and watching them play this year has been killer. I'm dying for another shot at a ring. Any thoughts to help appease my pain?
(Angel Batista from Miami, Florida)
I'm bullish on the Marlins, Detective Batista. Anibal Sanchez has taken a big step forward. Clay Hensley and Leo Nunez have been great out of the bullpen. Josh Johnson and Ricky Nolasco are great. They'll have a healthy Coghlan back. There is a lot to like. Starting Wes Helms more than once a year isn't really that wise, and it's time to give up on the Andrew Miller experiment, but there is no reason they couldn't go 87-75 next season and try to sneak into a playoff spot. (Eric Seidman)
2010-06-07 18:30:00 (link to chat)Todd Van Poppel was one player who tried to manipulate his way away from a team, saying he just wouldn't sign with the Braves. The Braves took Chipper Jones instead and have sent Van Poppel a bouquet of flowers every day since then. Pete Incaviglia made all kinds of demands of the Expos so he wouldn't have to sign there. They traded him, provoking a rules change.
(Steven Goldman from Langley, New Jersey)
Andrew Miller also tried, and the Tigers called his bluff. I'm ticked as Gary Brown to the Giants makes great sense, and I love this pick. 3.9 to first from the right side? SOLD. (Kevin Goldstein)
2009-07-01 14:00:00 (link to chat)How likely is it Jonathan Sanchez is the new Oliver Perez?
(beta461 from SF)
Matters do seem to be making that sort of turn, don't they? Even so, we might say the same about Andrew Miller after consecutive bad outings. (Christina Kahrl)
2009-05-28 14:00:00 (link to chat)Is Andrew Miller going to emerge as an ace someday, or has that ship sailed?
(Chad from Miami)
Come sail away, come sail away, come sail away with meeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee (Kevin Goldstein)
2009-04-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hi Joe. Who is most likely to have success this year and long term?: Yovani Gallardo, Clayton Kershaw and Andrew Miller.
(sbryk7 from NYC)
Kershaw's in a different, better class than the other two, in both cases. (Joe Sheehan)
2009-04-16 13:00:00 (link to chat)I drafted Andrew Miller on the cheap as my last starter. What do you expect out of him? I didn't have him active last night, but plan to for his next start against the Pirates.
(Mr. Jangles from High Plains)
I think he still needs a third pitch to compliment his fastball and slider. He was pretty good in spots last year, except for that stretch at the beginning and after his injury. I have faith in him coming around though. (Marc Normandin)
2009-04-08 15:00:00 (link to chat)Do you still follow Andrew Miller? What kind of season can we expect out of him? Thanks!
(Tony from Brooklyn, NY)
I'm not optimistic on it being anything more than mediocre. (Kevin Goldstein)


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