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Keith Law ?

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Career Summary
1 .000 .000 .000 0 0.0
Birth Date1-12-1977
Height6' 2"
Weight165 lbs
Age43 years, 8 months, 6 days
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics


Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
1998 JAM A- NYP 0 115 .000 .000 .000 .210 0.0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
1998 JAM A- NYP 115 105 11 18 5 1 1 28 11 10 23 3 2 .171 .243 .267 .095 0 0

Plate Discipline

YEAR Pits Zone% Swing% Contact% Z-Swing% O-Swing% Z-Contact% O-Contact% SwStr% CSAA

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation


Year Team Salary


Service TimeAgentContract Status


2019 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

Weighted Mean???????00??.000.000.00000.0?0.0

BP Annual Player Comments

No BP Book Comments have been found for this player.

BP Articles

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BP Chats

2020-03-06 13:00:00 (link to chat)Keith Law has Daniel Lynch ranked in his top 15 prospects. He is obviously the high guy on him in the industry. Do you see that kind of upside due to his entire package of stuff and left-handedness?
(Bubic Hair from In your soup)
Maybe. it depends on how you assess risk and his stuff. I have Lynch with three above-average offerings (FB, SL, CH) and a fourth show-me pitch (CU). Some see his fastball or slider as potential plus offerings. If you think he has a 60/60/55/50 arsenal with strong command of each pitch, and you are not concerned about his mechanics and prior arm issues, then there is a strong case for him to be ranked that high. (Jesse Roche)
2019-02-11 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who is Tucupita Marcano? Keith Law raved about his hit tool this off season, but what does the power and speed look like down the line?
(Carmen from Where in the world is Carmen San Diego?)
I scooped him up in a league last season after reading some glowing reviews from our guys. He's got some pretty fun PECOTA comps (Rougned Odor, Gleber Torres, Leody Tavaras). I don't know if he'll ever put up huge power/speed numbers (he doesn't seem to be very efficient on the bases), but he's obviously still super young, so that should improve. (Mark Barry)
2017-05-22 23:00:00 (link to chat)Keith Law doesn't think Sixto Sanchez is a top 100 prospect. What's your reaction to that?
(Mike from PA)
Differences and discrepancies make the world go 'round, and they're certainly one of the fun things about trying to project the Major League performance a bunch of teenagers are likely to one day produce. Feel free to take that up with our Lakewood contingent, just make sure you don't have any steaks in your jacket pocket when you do. We have some, uh, adamant believers in that young man's potential on staff here. (Wilson Karaman)
2017-01-31 19:00:00 (link to chat)Mark: Tyler O'Neill failed to make Keith Law's top 100. I understand that defense is one reason why. But for fantasy purposes, how would you rank him? And do you think he stays in Seattle, given the organization's emphasis on OF defense recently?
(gelezinas from Rockville MD)
I think I read that Keith left him off due in part to a lack of projection, which makes sense because that dude is yoked already. He strikes out a little too much for me personally to go all-in. As far as the team goes, though, I think if he hits, they'll find a spot for him and live with the defense. (Mark Barry)
2017-02-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)Trev my dude, what's your take on this Mickey Moniak everybody is so on about and should Phillies fans be concerned about the lack of prospects on Keith Law's manifesto
(The Dirty Inning is a great podcast from Philadelphia )
I agree with your screenname, listener!

And I think Moniak is probably going to be good. Whether he's very good or a star depends (sadly) on development, which is hard to gauge. As far as I can tell the Phils have a decent-if-not-elite milb development system, so I think Moniak has a good shot to reach his potential, which is a five-tool-center fielder.

And no, I don't think so. Law has many positive sides, but his list for the Phillies sort of shows a lack of recent scouting. Sixto Sanchez listed at 90-97, for instance, ignores that he sat 94-97 for the end of the season, which is a far different animal. There are others, but I don't want to pile on: suffice it to say, I think Law is too low ont he system (Trevor Strunk)
2016-12-05 20:00:00 (link to chat)Keith Law still believes Eduardo Rodriguez has #1 upside. Is he crazy? I know ERod finished the year strong and is a nice hidden buy, but a #1?
(Danny from Boston)
Keith isn't crazy. I've always liked Eduardo a little more than everyone thought I did, but I'm not sure if his secondary offerings ever get to the point that we're comparing him to the elite southpaws in the game. (George Bissell)
2016-06-21 20:00:00 (link to chat)Can you tell me a few prospects, outside the Top 101, with the highest upside for fantasy? Thanks for the chat!
(cracker73 from Florida)
Bobby Bradley, Cornelius Randolph, Kevin Newman (credit to Keith Law for nailing that on his preseason list), Frankie Montas. ANd I'm going out on a limb here, but I still like Carson Fulmer despite his atrocious walk rate. (Scooter Hotz)
2015-12-08 13:00:00 (link to chat)Eddy Julio Martinez - where does he rank on the top prospect lists? Star potential?
(Ben from Chi Town)
Several members of Cubs Twitter and I have kicked around the interesting, fairly enormous range of evaluations of Martinez we've seen out there. Keith Law thinks he'd be a potential 1:1 candidate in 2016 if eligible; Ben Badler and Jim Callis don't view him as a top-10 Cubs prospect. I think we just have to wait and see. Based on the details of their respective reports, my inclination is toward KLaw's end of the spectrum. (Matthew Trueblood)
2015-08-12 13:00:00 (link to chat)First of all, I really enjoy the content here at BP. Been a daily stop for a decade. I'm a big prospect nerd and I read everything I can about younger talent. What would you say is the biggest difference between guys like Keith Law, Killey McDaniel, Jim Calis, and you? I know everybody has a different approach. I love all the work. Do you attend more games than those writers or do they attend more games than you do? If so why do you attend more or why do you attend less?
(JBlair from Astoria)

All of those guys -- and yes, even you Kiley -- are amazing. They are guys that I hope to someday be on the level of. I don't think I'm there yet, I'm really trying to be, but I'm not there yet. Unfortunately because of some family stuff and some health things, I haven't been able to get to as many games this year as I like; but normally I try and be out there as much as possible. Luckily the prospect team is amazing, and I think our coverage is as good as anyone's. Appreciate you checking out the work. (Christopher Crawford)
2015-06-18 13:00:00 (link to chat)When did people really start to know that Mike Trout was going to be 'best player in the world Mike Trout'? It seems like some of our superstars grew into their role (Goldy, Rizzo) and some come with the attached pedigree. (Miggy, Kershaw, Harper) To me, Trout fits more with the first two. What I'm getting at is - we don't always foresee a player rising to the superstar ranks, but sometimes they just do. Any thoughts on why we see some so obviously and others sneak up on us? (Maybe I'm dead wrong on which camp Trout belongs in...)
(mbeemsterboer from Chicago)
Well, if you believe the story, his signing scout thought he would be pretty good. The rest of us, I think, needed to see it for ourselves before making such a proclamation.

The go-to explanation as to why Trout didn't go higher in the draft is his location. Teams were (supposedly) biased against northeastern players because they're tougher to judge. In other cases, it seems like maybe this skill or that attribute were underrated or unseen. For instance, I think Keith Law has wrote about him missing Goldschmidt's athleticism (or not appreciating what that could mean for his development). You have other cases where the factors are internal; maybe this guy put in more work, or took to instruction better, or took better care of his body.

I guess what I'm saying is, a lot of these cases stem from the unpredictability of human beings. People grow/mature/develop at different rates in all kinds of professions and ways, so why shouldn't it be true for baseball? (R.J. Anderson)
2015-06-10 14:00:00 (link to chat)Keith Law gave the Brewers very high marks on the 2015 draft, your initial reaction on the draft? Fastest prospect to move? Highest Ceiling? Highest Floor? Personal favorite pick?
(Tyler from Somewhere in Wisconsin)
I think Law is spot on. The Brewers have had a very nice draft, as I've said earlier in the chat. If he returns with a full bill of health, Nathan Kirby will likely be the fastest mover. As Crawford noted in his day-two analysis, though, left-hander Jake Drossner could move quickly if he transitions to the bullpen. The Brewers don't have a history of doing that, though. Highest ceiling is Trent Clark. If Demi had the same upside, he'd have also gone in the top-15. Highest floor is likely Kirby. Personal favorite is Clark. The Brewers org needed a guy with a feel for hitting, instead of raw power for days. (J.P. Breen)
2015-02-16 11:00:00 (link to chat)What do you think of Steven Souza ? Many analysts are saying he's a 15/15 guy but I think he's capable of more given a full season.
(Tom from Miami)
Souza is a physically imposing dude with a good approach and average or better wheels. The problem with projecting him to hit 20-25 home runs is his swing. As Keith Law has pointed out, he doesn't have the typical slugger swing/bat path, which could mean his power results in more doubles than over-the-fence production. (R.J. Anderson)
2014-12-18 15:00:00 (link to chat)Who has better eyes, Ben or Matt Kemp? Also, what was the deal with Jose Castillo not pitching last year? Anything that harms his long term value?
(John from CT)
Look, I love Ben and I have to work with him, but this isn't a contest. They're both beautiful people though, I think we can all agree. Castillo's lack of pitching was due to some soreness but nothing structural (I asked Keith Law, but also received an answer from our own Tucker Blair). He threw in a Venezuelan League, but that doesn't seem to have been picked up by B-Ref. (Craig Goldstein)
2014-12-18 15:00:00 (link to chat)Who are some of your favorite writers (fiction and non-fiction? Also, who do you like better in a keeper format with OBP instead of BA - Shin Soo Choo or Josh Hamilton?
(Dennis from LA)
I think Choo bounces back in a big way. I really enjoyed a trilogy I just read by Laini Taylor (first book is The Daughter of Smoke and Bone). I love love love Jasper Fforde's Thursday Next series, which I know Keith Law has mentioned multiple times. I'm not the reader he is and I tend not to read non-fiction, so I'm sorry I can't be of more help. I tend to like YA novels more than most other genre's which might be less of a surprise than I think. I honestly spend most of my time reading baseball articles online rather than books, and if I'm going to name someone there, my favorite writer is Sam Miller. Yes, it's a total brown-nose move, but I honestly think he's one of the best baseball writers on the planet, so, it is what it is. (Craig Goldstein)
2014-10-17 12:00:00 (link to chat)How is Kyle Zimmer doing ;)
(ssimon from Pelham, N.Y.)
He's been lighting things up in the Arizona Fall League, based on the scouts I've talked to and based on stuff that guys like Keith Law are writing. Once the World Series ends, I'm headed to Surprise to check in on Zimmer, Dozier, Starling and the rest of the prospect gang.

But, basically, the story on Zimmer hasn't changed much since he injured his lat muscle in May. The club still feels he can contribute in 2015, and they hope he could join the rotation midseason. But the next season he completes in healthy fashion will be the first. His talent is immense. His brittleness is frustrating for the organization - and, of course, for Zimmer himself. He's a bright guy, a hard worker and in the words of more than one KC official "a clean liver*." So his inability to stay on the field is tough for everyone involved.

*The noun here refers not to the organ, but the noun form of the verb "to live." The implication is basically the same, though.

Also, stop trolling. Now is not the time. (Andy McCullough)
2014-08-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)Keith Law recently said in a chat that Jorge Soler "has lightning in his wrist." Most impressive wrist strength in the minors in your opinion?
(Dick Grande from St Louis)
Without having seen everybody, that's hard to say, but Soler is probably in the discussion. Law isn't wrong. I'd like to have lightning in me somewhere. That would be really cool. (Jeff Moore)
2014-07-01 13:00:00 (link to chat)Keith Law recently tweeted on Jose Berrios: "6' max RHP who doesn't get fastball plane or life and gives up a ton of flyballs." Are those legitimate concerns?
(John from MN)
These are certainly important observations to Berrios' profile, but the reports I've gotten on Berrios have all been positive. Fastball 94-95 T98; plus curve; developing slider and change. He's on our #BPTop50, up quite a few spots from the pre-season Top 101. I haven't seen the player, so all I'm going by is what we've reported this season, but it's a high-upside profile. (Chris Rodriguez)
2014-06-27 14:00:00 (link to chat)Thanks for answering the question on Taijuan Walker! There has been some static--I read it in Keith Law articles--about Walker's "upright finish."
(RatedRookie from Atlanta)
One last bit on Walker - there are differing opinions on the "upright finish," but as one who dislikes spine-tilt in the name of over-the-top arm slots, I prefer "upright" to the common alternative. Keith may have been addressing the flexion component with Walker, rather than posture specifically, which is a different element of the "upright" paradigm. If that's the case, then I agree that Walker could use some more athleticism and flex in the spine near release point.

On the jukebox: Incubus, "Echo" (Doug Thorburn)
2014-06-26 14:00:00 (link to chat)Keith Law just recently said that Scooter is a "utility/bench" player at best. Do you think Scooter can start full time down the road?
(Mark from WI)
Yes, I do. There are mixed opinions on Scooter. Most everyone believes in the hit tool, but some question his ability to handle second base defensively in the long-term. I had a scout swear to me a couple years ago that Scooter would hit 12-to-15 homers a year once he got comfortable in the bigs. He's shown flashes of that power this year. The only concern I have with Scooter long-term is his ability to consistently handle lefties. If he can hold his own there, he can start everyday for Milwaukee. (J.P. Breen)
2014-06-05 14:00:00 (link to chat)Keith Law said today that the White Sox have moved off of Kolek, and will take Nola instead. He has Kolek dropping to #8. Why? Kolek seemed like a great choice at #3 to me.
(Litigator from Chicago)
Kolek's body and velocity kept him on short lists as someone the teams up top absolutely needed to keep tabs on, but once that short list gets paired down it's easy to see why Kolek might get dropped in favor of a less risky proposition. Kolek is 11th on my board, and that's a result of him being highly underdeveloped, showing secondaries that at present fair often play below average, below average command, almost no track record (didn't play on the scouting circuit and had minimal exposure to the rest of the high-profile HS talent in the class), and highly overmatched spring competition (which could essentially be dominated by erratic fastballs).

He's a great prospect, and really interesting from a developmental standpoint. But it's more of a $3 MM investment profile for me than $4.5 or 5.5 MM. (Draft Day Chat with Nick J. Faleris)
2014-06-11 12:00:00 (link to chat)Is there anything in the Brewers system to be excited about? Keith Law of ESPN has me down in the dumps about the whole Brewers system
(Justin from WI)
Being in first place, four games up on the Cardinals isn't enough for you? If I may be so bold, I'd suggest more focus on the major league team and less on the minor leagues, but, since you asked, Jason Parks ranked Tyrone Taylor first in the latest BP Brewers Top 10 list and I don't see anything from him this season to diminish that ranking. THAT said, the Brewers are kinda odd in that they do have a weak minor league system but one of the younger major league rosters. So maybe for them the minor league system isn't quite as important as for other teams. Hope that makes you feel better! (Also, first place!) (Matthew Kory)
2014-05-27 11:30:00 (link to chat)Thoughts on Ziomek, Kubitza and Farmer? They've all had a great amount of success at West Michigan, and in a live chat a few weeks back, Keith Law said he thinks they're all (Crawford too) destined for the bullpen. Is there any chance that any of them can become a major league starter?
(Zack from Windsor)
I like Ziomek the most out of those three if he can continue to refine the command/control profile. As I said, I'm a sucker for lefties. Farmer surprised me this year. I've seen him a couple of times, and he sat 93-94 the last start I attended. The funky delivery makes him probably suited for the pen long term, but he could end up as a #5 work horse type guy. Kubitza is a reliever all the way. Fastball is upper 80s, and while the slider is legit, he can't flip a lineup over. (Jordan Gorosh)
2014-05-13 11:00:00 (link to chat)Keith Law is still icing down after that slap re: College Coaches & Workload
(sickboy19 from boston)
It wasn't directed at Keith, or any specific person. I just don't buy into the blanket arguments that college coaches are bad because some pitchers end up getting hurt. The issue [itself] is complicated and requires nuance, and just throwing out a cloud of blame isn't constructive and it doesn't solve anything. It often comes off like loud noise made for the sake of making loud noise. That accomplishes very little if anything. (Jason Parks)
2014-03-21 14:00:00 (link to chat)Brady Aiken has been blowing up lately specifically Keith Law stated that he could be in contention for being picked #1 in this years draft. Have you seen him or heard anything about him?
(Rob from Baltimore)
I was sitting next to Keith at Aiken's last start. To say there was tons of heat there is an understatement, nonetheless, there was tons of heat there. I'll be writing about Aiken for the draft ten pack, and will be including that I strongly believe he should be the #1 overall pick. I don't think the Astros will take him, but whichever team he falls to will and should be doing back flips. (Ronit Shah)
2014-02-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)RJ, Tyler Skaggs has been pretty disappointing so far albeit being young for the levels he's pitched at. Do you think he's been rushed and do you see him improving this year as the Angels 5th starter ?
(PJ from Oswego, NY)
We talked about Skaggs a bit earlier. I think it was Keith Law who pointed out the D'Backs tweaked his stride a bit last season, which may have hurt him. I suppose it's possible he was rushed on top of that as well. He should improve. The materials are still there for success, albeit at a lesser level than before. (R.J. Anderson)
2014-01-29 19:00:00 (link to chat)Keith Law just released his top 100 prospect list... He has Dominic Smith rated number (37!). Now you guys did not have him in the top 100, but what's your take on Law's ranking of Smith?
(MetsFaithful5 from Syracuse )
I think it's too high, but Law's list isn't for fantasy. I don't get the Smith appeal. If he still looks like he can hit ok with 25 bombs in a few years, I'll add him as a Top 50 guy then. Bret is going to fire me. (Ben Carsley)
2014-02-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)Keith Law said he prefers Marcus Semien to Kolten Wong. Can you go find him and beat some sense into him?
(Reed from Texas)
I'd rather have Wong, but it's not a ridiculous statement. Wong is more of a high-floor than a high-celing guy. If Semien turns into an everyday player, it will be close. (Jeff Moore)
2014-02-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)Keith Law said Kohl Stewart might be a good five years away from the majors, but baseball prospectus wrote he should move faster than most high school arms. If he is a thrower not a pitcher, why he can move faster? I wanted to know which is true? If Kohl Stewart sucks, I am so disappointed at that pick.
(Ryan from Minnesota)
I can't remember the last prospect that spent five years in the minors and worked out. If he's there that long, it's because he's not panning out as a prospect. He has the goods to be among the best pitching prospects in the game. He'll take some time because he's a high school arm and hasn't even reached a full-season league yet, but five years seems ridiculous. Even if he spends a full year at each level, that's only four more years. (Jeff Moore)
2014-01-06 13:00:00 (link to chat)What's you opinion on Aaron Sanchez? Keith Law seemed to love him but then noticed some changes to his mechanics he didn't like. Jason doesn't even see him as the best pitching prospect in the Jay's org.
(Kenny Bania from Mendy's)
He's not. I like Stroman better. I freaking love Stroman. Sanchez has the whole package, but there are questions about his control (even bigger questions than with Zach Wheeler - you're welcome Mets fans). (Jeff Moore)
2013-09-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)Keith Law is a short right-hander. He gets no plane on his fastball. But all he does is succeed. Please explain.
(CyMature from Western Mass)
Well, being a Little Lebowski Urban Achiever can open a lot of doors for people. (Jason Parks)
2013-06-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is there a sense of satisfaction or dejection when you find yourself wide of the prospecting industry with a ranking and it proves to be right or wrong? I'm thinking specifically of Buxton's ranking above Sano on the off season lists (Keith Law, Baseball America, Jonathan Mayo, all had Sano higher) and the somewhat surprising high ranking of someone like Hedges, Uria or Almora on the midseason list? Thanks for the great work!
(Ryan from San Diego)
We all form conclusions in a different manner, and I don't judge or compare my work to the work of others in the industry. I feel very confident in the product I attach my name to, and that's all I care about. I don't need to be right or wrong, and I am very open about being wrong (its a huge part of the process). But I feel good about the work if its thorough and honest. Did I see enough? Did I ask around enough? Did I really think about the specifics? If I did, its all good, regardless of the outcome. (Jason Parks on the Midseason Top 50 Prospects)
2013-04-25 12:30:00 (link to chat)If Keith Law states that Eric Hosmer's hands are still setting up wrong on his swing, then what does this say about the KC coaching staff? Or does it infer that the coaching staff might already have worked to correct that flaw, but Hosmer can't seem to bring it into games?
(dianagram from VORGville)
Well, it could be that Keith is wrong. (Note: I'm not saying Keith is wrong. I like and respect Keith, and I haven't even heard what he said about Hosmer.) But if Keith is right, then yeah, either of those explanations could be the correct one. I wouldn't know without asking someone closer to the situation. (Ben Lindbergh)
2013-03-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)For Steve in San Fran, Keith Law reported the other day that Lincecum's fastball is sitting 90-91.
(Chris from KC)
thanks, Chris. (Harry Pavlidis)
2013-02-12 13:00:00 (link to chat)Do you agree with the huge downgrade Keith Law gave to Gary Brown by omitting him from his top 100 or do you see him becoming better than a league average CF? After a slow start in an advanced pitcher friendly league he seemed to turn things around and scouts liked the changes to his swing. Factor in a low BABIP of .318 for a burner, steady walk and strikeout rates and elite speed/defence and doesn't that make him somewhat close to the same guy who BP ranked at 18 last year?
(Scott from LA)
Scott, thanks for the question. The short answer is, I don't know. Keith Law makes his living by knowing this kind of thing. If you asked my opinion on someone in the Red Sox minor league system I could probably give you a decent scouting report but I'm afraid Brown is out of my area of expertise. Looking at his minor league stats, I can see why Law downgraded him. He went from a .925 OPS to a .731 OPS. The first was in the California League which I think is a pretty big hitters league though so I'm assuming there must be more to it than just the drop off in stats. (Matthew Kory)
2013-02-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)I know it's not your list, but Keith Law put Addison Russell at 10 in baseball. Can you see it?
(Alex from LA)
He's top 20 for us, so yes, I can see it. If you think he sticks at SS (which I do), he might end up a 6/6 offensive talent. That's a monster talent. (Jason Parks)
2013-02-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)Would you say Keith Law's rating of Olt (71) is a tad low or did he take a hit with his MLB debut this year?
(Aceathon from Texas)
We have him ranked higher, but again, you can make a case for him being high or low on a list. Scouting is an art not a science. We all see the game differently. (Jason Parks)
2013-02-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)Back to the Arenado stuff -- how consistent are tools supposed to be? If they vary enough over a course of a year for a guy like Keith to drop a top-30 guy like Arenado out his top 100, I almost feel like I may as well scout the numbers. You and Keith Law and others are understandably insistent that scouting the numbers doesn't really work. But ultimately a prospect's movement in top-X lists from year-to-year seems very very highly correlated with the difference in numbers from year-to-year. I understand part of that is the inherent variability involved in being a human. I think you did a good job with the Arenado write-up by mentioning that "the swing doesn’t pack the type of middle-of-the-order punch his profile originally suggested." But I am curious to hear a little more about what caused the change in perception about his original profile, besides simply stating that his production went down.
(Arenada from CS)
As the talent level around him improved, I felt that he continued with the same approach expecting the same results. That kind of stuff can be a warning flag. I guess I'm just not overly optimistic that he is the type of hitter that can figure it all out at the major league level. (Jason Parks)
2013-01-14 14:00:00 (link to chat)What is Johnathan Singleton's ETA to the Majors now given the (ridiculously-harsh) 50 game pot suspension?
(Ashitaka1110 from Houston, TX)
September? On ESPN's Baseball Today podcast (I think), Keith Law mentioned the possibility of the Astros adding Singleton to the 40-man to get around the suspension. If that happens, then maybe even earlier. (Ben Lindbergh)
2012-12-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)Am I wrong to consider Yunel Escobar's 2011 Home/Road splits concerning? Keith Law intimated that he hit at home because of the man in white. Looking at it, since 2010 Escobar has only hit in home games in 2011...
(Mike from Atlanta)
Impossible to say without more data. If it's a consistent and established pattern, then we can treat it as real until it's disproven. The reason why isn't important. So yeah, if there's enough data, then it's reasonable to be concerned. (Ian Miller)
2012-08-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)Do people in the industry ever get annoyed with internet types trying to scout stat lines? Or do they just kind of laugh at "prospect gurus" who know nothing about prospects other than their baseball-reference pages?
(Justin from AZ)
You know, I have no idea. The angry chat dude won't believe me, but I don't have the time to read other people's prospect work. As a basic rule, if you are talking to people in the industry, scouts, front office folks etc and doing the damn at games, I can respect what you do when it comes to prospects, and obviously there are a lot of people who fall into that category, like myself, Keith Law, the Baseball America crew, Mayo, etc. If you don't talk to people in the industry constantly, I don't think you can do this job (covering baseball below the big leagues) well at all. That's just my personal opinion. (Kevin Goldstein)
2012-06-29 13:00:00 (link to chat)If Martin Perez ever puts it together how good can he be?
(Aaron from Dallas)
I'm not a prospect expert; I rely upon the work of and discussions with folks such as Kevin Goldstein, Jason Parks, Keith Law and the Baseball America team to get a sense of what a prospect can do now and what he may become eventually. The consensus appears to be along the lines of a number three starter with a chance to be a number two. That's a bit shy of what people thought a couple of years ago, but it would hardly be a shame, as even third starters don't grow on trees. (Jay Jaffe)
2012-06-13 12:00:00 (link to chat)I asked this of Kevin Goldstein but he never answered. The whine from him (and, to be fair, Keith Law also) about what seems like a great new draft system is that baseball will lose multi-sport athletes to other sports. Is there some way to quantify this potential loss?
(oira79 from San Francisco)
A great new draft system for who, is the question. It seems to be great for the league as a whole, in terms of keeping draft bonuses down. There's really only two other parties that can benefit from that money - owners and players, in other words the people who negotiated the CBA that in essence colludes against amateurs. (Some will suggest that the fans will get this money in terms of lower ticket prices, but that doesn't seem to be how it works out in reality - teams charge what the market will carry in terms of ticket pricing, or at least they try to.) As far as how much talent this will cost MLB, I couldn't say - there's too many variables. I think it'll have a bigger impact in the international market, in that teams will invest less in curating and developing international talent to begin with. (Colin Wyers)
2012-06-05 16:00:00 (link to chat)KG: over the last week, I must have read a hundred Twitter replies (from you and Keith Law) indicating that teams *ALWAYS* take the best player available (BPA) in the first round. However, your write-up on why the Mariners took Zunino was very context-specific and idiosyncratic to their situation. Isn't the truth that, say 95% of first-round picks are simply BPA, but that team-specific factors do occasionally come into play - but that this explanation is too nuanced to play to a large audience, and it's simply easier for you and Keith to emphasize the ALWAYS BPA rule?
(Jivas from formerly Chicago)
Great question, and I'm glad you asked it. I think Keith and I emphasize the BPA rule to reinforce that this isn't the NBA or NFL where you draft for need and fill a hole. Certainly and only at certain times, it can play a role. (Kevin Goldstein)
2012-06-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)How much stock do you put in a player being "bored" in the minors, and it affecting his performance. See: Keith Law's recent comments regarding Shelby Miller.
(Jake from Chicago)
I didn't see what Keith Law said re Miller, but I'm sure players get bored if they don't feel challenged. I've been bored at jobs before. Not this one, of course. (Bradley Ankrom)
2012-05-31 14:00:00 (link to chat)Manny going to be called up soon? If so, will he make an impact? He's doing a whole lot of nothing in AAA.
(Romeo from Atlanta)
Latest word is that he won't be up Friday, and Susan Slusser, intrepid A's beat writer, thinks that means it's unlikely he'll be up this weekend at all.

Keith Law said on Baseball Today that Manny long ago lost his bat speed (I'm sure others have said the same thing, but I just listened to that podcast this morning), and that seems like a hard thing to get back at 40. It's always possible that Manny won't ever make it to Oakland at all. We must steel ourselves for this potential outcome. (Jason Wojciechowski)
2012-04-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who would win in a WWE Steel Cage Match between Kevin Goldstein and Keith Law?
(Bootsy from Mexico)
I don't understand why people are so obsessed over questions like this - they get asked all the time on Twitter and chats. Both are outstandingly knowledgeable prospect experts who are tremendously accessible and have great breadth beyond baseball, and both have helped a whole lot of people at BP and elsewhere in this industry, myself included. (Jay Jaffe)
2012-03-29 13:00:00 (link to chat)You and Keith Law are chatting at the same time. Is this because you secretly hate each other or are secretly the same person?
(ttt from Manhattan)
There are a lot of people on Twitter who see us as rivals are something, and it's kind of comical. It's because I said I'd chat at this time and I don't keep track of Keith's schedule. (Kevin Goldstein)
2012-02-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who wins in a MMA match between Keith Law and Kevin Goldstein?
(Marcus from Sweden)
Have you ever seen the two of them side by side? It's a physical mismatch in favor of Kevin. Put them in a kitchen, though, and all bets are off. (Jay Jaffe)
2012-02-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)What royals were ranked in Keith Law's Top 100 prospects...Position?
(Pat from KC)
I have no idea. (Seriously, I haven't checked yet.) And if I did know, I'd probably suggest that you subscribe to Insider to find his results rather than telling them to you here.

On that note - KG's top 101 will be out on Monday. (Colin Wyers)
2012-01-26 13:00:00 (link to chat)So next time I'm in Ft Worth, where SHOULD I go for the best BBQ? Visit often, as my grandparents live there.
(Johnny from San Diego)
Ask Keith Law. Kidding of course. Don't ask Keith Law. I really like Railhead BBQ. It's not fancy, but the brisket is delicious and they offer Ranch Style beans, which is the key to my heart. (Jason Parks)
2012-01-26 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who wins in a WWE Steel Cage Match between Keith Law and Kevin Goldstein?
(Marissa from Florida)
Keith would get pummeled in 30 seconds and then write a review of the event. KG would take to the internet and live tweet the celebratory meal he was preparing. I'd just laugh and judge from the sidelines. (Jason Parks)
2012-01-26 13:00:00 (link to chat)It appears Keith Law is a great cook based on his website and twitter account. Have has ever cooked a meal for you? If so, was it actually good?
(Marcus from Kansas)
Keith Law has never cooked for me. (Jason Parks)
2012-01-12 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who would win in a MMA fight between Keith Law and Kevin Goldstein?
(R.A Wagman from Toronto)
I've never met Keith Law in person. But I'm worried about how the fedora would stand up to a blow from a skillet or a wok or whatever cooking tool Keith is likely to have sneaked into the cage. (Mike Fast)
2012-01-30 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who wins in a UFC match between Keith Law and Kevin Goldstein?
(Zooe from LA)
Fighting? Far more interesting to hear them debate almost any topic.

...I am freezing, by the way. I just thought I would mention that. (Steven Goldman)
2011-11-30 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who wins in a steel cage match between Keith Law and Kevin Goldstein?
(Boosty from New Orleans)
those of us who buy tickets. I look forward to the cooking portion of the duel. (Jay Jaffe)
2011-11-16 13:30:00 (link to chat)I am standing on a ledge right now. Please tell me Melky won't be a defensive disaster in CF next year.
(Tbirds from Seattle)
I wish I could, but I thought Keith Law had the best line about this: "When I call Cabrera a fourth outfielder, that doesn't mean the Giants get to play three others alongside him to make up for all the balls he won't catch." (Ben Lindbergh)
2011-11-16 13:30:00 (link to chat)In an unexpected turn of events I decided to climb back in my window and off the ledge simply because Keith Law's line is so amusing.
(Tbirds from Seattle)
Keith Law and Ben Lindbergh: lifesavers. (Ben Lindbergh)
2011-10-31 13:00:00 (link to chat)Yep, you guys were right, that Rasmus trade was a disaster (yes, I am pointing my championship ring finger at you Keith Law)
(Mo from st. louis)
He doesn't work here anymore, hasn't for years. Personally, I liked the Rasmus trade and said it was what the Cards had to do at the time. R.J. Anderson was a little bit more critical in his take ( because he saw the long-term damage the trade would do... Which isn't wrong given that you can't assume a championship as of July 27. (Steven Goldman)
2011-10-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)Keith Law said that
(richardkr34 from Saint Paul, MN)
This is easily my favorite question of the day. (Kevin Goldstein)
2011-08-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who wins in a MMA style match between you and me?
(Keith Law from Arizona)
Keith Law bites. Everybody knows this. This is why nobody fights MMA matches with Keith Law. (Sam Miller)
2011-07-29 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who would win in a UFC match between you and Keith Law?
(Kate from LA)
I adore Keith, but he's like 5-5 or 5-6 and I'm guessing 150-160. I'm 6-2, 225 and have bouncer experience. Total mismatch. He's crush me at Carcassone. (Kevin Goldstein)
2011-06-06 23:00:00 (link to chat)Thoughts on the two Rangers picks? I don't get why we keep taking guys who would probably be available in round 2 or 3.
(gwdunbar from Austin, TX)
Because teams take guys they like. Let me makes this clear. The Rangers or the Rays or the A's or whoever really couldn't give a rat's ass what myself, or Keith Law or Jim Callis think about a guy. That's who they like. I understand the Matthews pick, he's a Rangers kind of guy w/ a very clean arm who might be undervalued. As for Cone, I just don't get that one. (Kevin Goldstein II)
2011-02-28 13:00:00 (link to chat)Dee Gordon at 84 vs BA ranking of 26 seems like a huge disparity. What do you see differently then Baseball America?
(PimpDaddy from NY)
Let me start by saying that I have nothing but respect for the lists of BA, Keith Law and Jonathan Mayo. They do their homework, they talk to people in the game, and they're done by smart people. We all have our different sources, we all have our biases and philosophies. I just don't think Gordon is going to be a well-rounded enough player to rank him that high. (Kevin Goldstein)
2011-02-28 13:00:00 (link to chat)How much, if at all, do you talk with other prospect evaluators who also publish lists (e.g. BA) before you all publish? Do you isolate yourselves from each other those final couple weeks before sending your lists to publication, or is there any level of opinion and information-sharing?
(mattcollins from boston)
I would definitely call Keith Law and Jim Callis friends, and we certainly talk baseball, but I know that we all put up walls when we do rankings. (Kevin Goldstein)
2011-03-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)You've been around this BP block for a while. When did Keith Law become a scouty guy? Did he gain access to the Jays as a stats guy and then learn the scout trade once inside?
(CrisE from St Paul, MN)
I suppose I can afford a dry chuckle over the fact that a lot of things have changed since the early days, but KLaw obviously put his opportunity with the Jays to good use--mastering basic sabermetrics isn't rocket science, but learning about life on the other side of the tracks from the inside once he got there makes him one of the most valuable sabermetric commodities on the face of the planet. (Christina Kahrl)
2011-01-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)Over the past 10 years, the Internet has provided an excellent forum to state HOF cases for underappreciated players. Do you think there is a possibility for a player like Raines to pull a Blyleven or Rice and gain enough sentiment to get in on their final year of eligibility?
(jhardman from Raleigh)
I'd like to believe Raines will get there before his 15th ballot. The voting body is evolving. Folks like Keith Law, Rob Neyer, Christina Kahrl, myself and a whole lot of other Internet-based writers who would have been ineligible five years ago could be voting on his candidacy well before his 15th year. (Jay Jaffe)
2010-09-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hey Jay ..... thanks for the chat. Have you recovered from the "5-Napkin Burger" Friday night? Who is the current leading candidate for the "Irrational Exuberance" HOF candidacy? In other words, who might be the next Jim Rice?
(dianagramr from NYC)
Hey Diana! It took me awhile to recover from the 5-Napkin Burger, but maybe that was all the beer I drank trying to get through the Yanks' drawn out loss later that night.

Right now I'd have to say that it's Omar Vizquel's candidacy that leaves me cold. Keith Law wrote about it at length using JAWS numbers I supplied ( The short version is that Vizquel's defensive numbers don't measure up to the average Hall of Fame shortstop let alone those of Ozzie Smith, nor does his bat:

Ozzie Smith: 90.9 car/50.2 Pk/70.6 JAWS/.261 TAv/554 RARP/219 RAP/255 FRAA
Omar Vizquel: 47.8/27.8/37.8/.247/334/-16/84
AVG HOF SS: 70/47.9/59/.274/477/204/105 (Jay Jaffe)
2010-07-01 14:00:00 (link to chat)Keith seems to not be a Brett Jackson fan at all. Give me a reason for optimism, something like Keith Law is wrong, he's short, and he's a terrible dancer.
(Cross Checking from KLaw's Chat)
I go back and forth on Jackson, but you can't argue with what he's doing. Like I wrote today, no killer tool, but no bad ones either. (Kevin Goldstein)
2010-07-01 14:00:00 (link to chat)I know Caston is our best SS prospect but that's not really saying much is it? We don't exactly have the best ss prospects obviously. He wasn't even on people top 200 lists and he went 32? Am I missing something?
(19Yanks23 from Lamcaster Ca)
You are missing a ton. We talked about this on the podcast, but who's Top 200 lists are you talking about? Mine, Keith Law's? Baseball America's? Perfect Game's? All do great work, but do any of them have better information on the kid than the Yankees, who have had him on their scout team for two years straight and got like 30 in-person views this year from probably six different scouts and front-office officials? I mean seriously, who the hell are we to say that's a 'bad' pick considering that? (Kevin Goldstein)
2010-06-07 18:30:00 (link to chat)Keith Law said in his chat earlier this afternoon, "I think this is the worst crop of draftable talent since I got into the business full-time in 2002." Is it really that bad of a draft class?
(Cult of Basebaal from Pasadena of Los Angeles)
I think Keith can make that argument, it's not a great class at all. Definitely below average. (Kevin Goldstein)

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