Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET
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2019 Preseason Forecast
Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET
|2014-01-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)||Just for reference, the last 9 WARP seasons (rounding) by a RF? 2011 Jose Bautista, 2001 Sammy Sosa, 2001 Shawn Green, 1988 Jose Canseco, 1986 Jesse Barfield. (Add in LF, and you get a whole lot of Bonds, plus 2001 Luis Gonzalez and Rickey in 1990 and 1980. Also, holy 1980 Willie Wilson FRAA.) So I think I'd be surprised by a 9 win season.|
(justarobert from Santa Clara)
|It's a fair point, but I think Puig is a better defender than Bautista so can contribute more on that side of the ball. I'm not saying it's likely - it's not - but I do think it's within his spectrum of production. (Craig Goldstein)|
|2013-05-29 18:30:00 (link to chat)||First year keeper league. Wondering about your feelings on "dump trades". What's the line for you on what should be vetoed? |
(DSparks003 from Scranton)
|Hey Mr. Sparks.
My feelings on dump trades are complicated. I don't like them, but I do like playing in keeper formats and it's next to impossible to prohibit them entirely in keeper leagues. So I've learned to live with them. In my leagues, we use a salary cap to limit the damage dump trades can do. It doesn't stop dump trades, but prevents the egregious deals that we used to see where one team sent its five best players to one team.
If you've listened to Jason Collette and Paul Sporer on the fantasy podcast, you know that they take a very hard stance against vetoes. I'm almost entirely in agreement. Unless a deal is obviously collusion, I don't like the concept of blocking trades in a keeper league. Future value is often entirely in the eye of the beholder. Not only that, but I've seen "great" future trades not work out and "bad" future trades work out fairly well for teams playing for next year. An example of something I'd veto is a deal where a player who is obviously overvalued for next year gets traded in a dump deal to a non-contender.
I'm more likely to consider a veto for offseason trades where either a) a player is getting dealt back to the team he originally was traded from the previous seasons or b) a player who is clearly overpriced is dealt. I was in a league once where a past-his-prime Shawn Green was overpriced and dealt for two keepers. Green was then tossed back by the owner who dealt for him. I might have voted to veto that, but a better solution is forcing the owner who dealt for Green to keep him. In the vast majority of cases, though, I agree with Paul and Jason. Vetoes are generally very bad for leagues. (Mike Gianella)
|2009-05-04 14:00:00 (link to chat)||Jerry Manuel is really starting to get on my nerves. Between the Castro/Santos stunt, over-playing Sheffield and batting him 4th, and going to Shawn Green instead of K-Rod in the 10th inning in Philly on Saturday (not that every other manager in the majors wouldn't have) he's made a season's worth of dumb moves in a week. Has a team ever paid THREE managers simultaneously?|
(Steve from NJ)
|I think Manuel has done more to call his ability as a manager into question than Willie Randolph ever did. Not saying I'd fire him, just that he has, to me, seemed objectively worse. (Joe Sheehan)|
|2008-10-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)||Brien Taylor? Never heard that story, please tell.
(carp1626 from Warrensburg)
|Taylor was the #1 overall pick in the 1991 draft, a high school southpaw with great stuff taken by the Yankees. He went ahead of Dmitri Young (#4), Manny Ramirez (#13), Cliff Floyd (#14), Shawn Green (#16), and several other future major leaguers. As with many hard-throwing young lefties, he struggled with control, but he was definitely projectable, reaching AA at 21. Unfortunately, that winter he got into a bar fight and was thrown down on his pitching arm. He missed a full year recovering, and when he came back he just had nothing left.
...You know what's interesting about that? I never thought about this before, but the Yankees left Taylor throw a million pitches at 20 and 21 (160 innings each year with tons of walks and strikeouts). I wonder if his arm would have fallen off even without the bar fight. (Steven Goldman)
|2008-09-08 13:00:00 (link to chat)||The same Cito Gaston who said Shawn Green would never cut it as a major league ballplayer?|
(Rich from Columbus, OH)
|You don't have to agree with all of someone's decisions to have a good conversation with them. (Derek Jacques)|
|2008-06-27 14:00:00 (link to chat)||The run differential looks nice and all, especially compared the LAAOA's. But there seems to be an odd amount of blowout wins skewing the Pythag a bit, not to mention they have all those pitchers looking forward to increased workloads. In other words CK, do you see Beane buying or selling? |
(ashitaka from long beach, ca)
|I think there's more work to be done on the outsized impact that blowout wins can have on a team's overall outlook. Beating the bejeezuz out of other team's 11th or 12th pitchers isn't really a skill that defines playoff teams. I think Beane's going to be flexible, willing to do both at once (perhaps similar to where the D'backs were in 2006, when they decided to keep their bid for contention alive by calling up the kids while dealing Shawn Green), depending on what people are looking for, and what they're looking to offer. If he gets a great offer on Joe Blanton, he'll listen. (Christina Kahrl)|
|2008-02-29 13:00:00 (link to chat)||Who has the stronger arm? Me or Juan Pierre? (Note: I "probably" lead my slow pitch softball league in outfield assists last year, although most of the base runners have had hip replacements recently.)|
(Clay from St. Louis, MO)
|Well, if your league is anything like the one I played in last year, getting an assist is actually an accomplishment since we're too old to try to stretch anything or for that matter want to even consider sliding. So I'd have to say yes, your arm is probably competitive.
For 2007 Pierre ranked dead last among centerfielders at -7.3 with a rate of -6.0. Grady Sizemore is second to last at -4.6 with David DeJesus (-4.5) not far behind. In 2006 Pierre was -1.8 and in 2005 -1.6. From 2005-2007 he finished second to last at -10.7 ahead of only Johnny Damon (-11.2). He wasn't nearly as bad as far as rate was concerned because of his greater playing time (-3.0 per 550 opportunities). From a rate perspective Brady Clark did the worst among centerfielders who received much playing time (256 adjusted games in those three years) at -5.3 runs per 550 opportunities.
Who was the worst in 2005-2007 you might ask (ok, you didn't but play along)? Shawn Green was -16.0 and Shannon Stewart was -11.8 before we get to Damon and Pierre. Jason Bay (-10.5) and Xavier Nady (-10.4) were no great shakes either. (Dan Fox)
|2008-01-22 19:00:00 (link to chat)|| Can you suggest any free-agent outfielders the Orioles might go after who promise greater productivity than does Corey Patterson?|
(gradyjerome from New Bern, NC)
|Well, there's that Bonds fellow...I'm looking at the list and it's not promising. What are your thoughts on Shawn Green? How about Luis Gonzalez? Roger Cedeno? Richard Hidalgo? How about a return visit from Sammy Sosa? I'd take a pass on just about everyone, really. I'd invite some of them to camp, but I wouldn't be going out of my way to sign anyone on that list, except for Bonds who will still be more productive than most. (Jim Baker)|
|2008-01-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)||Do you see Jeremy Hermida making the leap this year? |
(Dan from NYC)
|Didn't he already do that in the second half? He's a terrific hitter, probably going to end up somewhere between Shawn Green and Lance Berkman. Too bad no one will notice. (Joe Sheehan)|
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