Baseball Prospectus

MLB Statistics

Statistics for All Levels

Plate Discipline

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2019 Projections)

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 61)

Rank	Score	Name	Year	Run Average	Trend
1	86	Ryan Drese	2012	0.00	DNP
2	77	Chris Bootcheck	2015	0.00	DNP
3	74	Sean Bergman	2006	0.00	DNP
4	74	Pat Ahearne	2006	0.00	DNP
5	73	Chris Michalak	2007	0.00	DNP
6	72	Tim Corcoran	2014	0.00	DNP
7	70	Brandon Duckworth	2012	0.00	DNP
8	69	Nate Bump	2013	0.00	DNP
9	69	Randy Keisler	2012	0.00	DNP
10	69	Jeff Bennett	2016	0.00	DNP
11	69	Jeremy Powell	2012	0.00	DNP
12	68	Marty McLeary	2011	0.00	DNP
13	68	Chris Narveson	2018	0.00	DNP
14	68	Nerio Rodriguez	2007	0.00	DNP
15	67	Danny Graves	2010	0.00	DNP
16	67	Claudio Vargas	2014	0.00	DNP
17	67	Chien-Ming Wang	2016	4.56
18	66	Kris Benson	2011	0.00	DNP
19	66	Giancarlo Alvarado	2014	0.00	DNP
20	65	Nate Robertson	2014	0.00	DNP
21	63	Pat Mahomes	2007	0.00	DNP
22	63	Matt Palmer	2015	0.00	DNP
23	63	Brian Gordon	2015	0.00	DNP
24	62	Brian Lawrence	2012	0.00	DNP
25	62	Ariel Prieto	2006	0.00	DNP
26	61	Joel Pineiro	2015	0.00	DNP
27	61	Chuck Smith	2006	0.00	DNP
28	61	Bob Purkey	1966	1.37
29	61	Johnny Schmitz	1957	0.00	DNP
30	61	Joaquin Andujar	1989	0.00	DNP
31	60	Tim Belcher	1998	4.88
32	60	Armando Reynoso	2002	10.80
33	60	Bob Keegan	1957	3.91
34	60	Frank Lary	1966	0.00	DNP
35	60	Hal Schumacher	1947	0.00	DNP
36	60	Bud Black	1993	4.13
37	60	Fernando Valenzuela	1997	6.17
38	59	Heinie Meine	1932	5.08
39	59	Paul Splittorff	1983	4.38
40	59	Bill Dietrich	1946	2.96
41	59	Eddie Gaillard	2007	0.00	DNP
42	59	Dick Rudolph	1924	0.00	DNP
43	59	Danny Jackson	1998	0.00	DNP
44	59	Fred Toney	1925	0.00	DNP
45	59	Terry Mulholland	1999	5.02
46	59	Mike Torrez	1983	4.86
47	59	Ned Garver	1962	0.00	DNP
48	59	Huck Betts	1933	2.70
49	59	Dock Ellis	1981	0.00	DNP
50	59	Ken Ray	2011	0.00	DNP
51	59	Flint Rhem	1937	0.00	DNP
52	59	Claude Osteen	1976	0.00	DNP
53	58	Walt Terrell	1994	0.00	DNP
54	58	Danny MacFayden	1941	10.29
55	58	Jack Knott	1943	0.00	DNP
56	58	Mel Harder	1946	3.42
57	58	Mike Bielecki	1996	2.87
58	58	Kevin Appier	2004	18.00
59	58	Ray Benge	1938	4.70
60	58	Burt Hooton	1986	0.00	DNP
61	58	Bob Buhl	1965	4.88
62	58	Andy Ashby	2004	0.00
63	58	Ken Johnson	1969	4.62
64	58	Bob Porterfield	1960	0.00	DNP
65	58	Bob Walk	1993	5.82
66	58	Bob Welch	1993	5.51
67	57	Bob Forsch	1986	3.56
68	57	Dick Ruthven	1987	0.00	DNP
69	57	Jim Turner	1940	3.37
70	57	George Brunet	1971	5.79
71	57	Aaron Sele	2006	4.96
72	57	Bob Ojeda	1994	24.00
73	57	Tim Leary	1995	0.00	DNP
74	57	Blix Donnelly	1950	5.57
75	57	Rick Reuschel	1985	2.69
76	57	Dave Roberts	1981	9.98
77	57	Larry Gura	1984	5.44
78	57	Scott Erickson	2004	7.33
79	57	Rip Collins	1932	0.00	DNP
80	57	Mel Parnell	1958	0.00	DNP
81	57	Eric Junge	2013	0.00	DNP
82	57	Jack Billingham	1979	4.16
83	57	Pat Hentgen	2005	0.00	DNP
84	57	Scott Kamieniecki	2000	6.21
85	57	Mark Redman	2010	0.00	DNP
86	57	Sloppy Thurston	1935	0.00	DNP
87	57	Larry McWilliams	1990	9.72
88	57	Bill Lee	1983	0.00	DNP
89	57	Ray Herbert	1966	4.83
90	57	Mudcat Grant	1972	0.00	DNP
91	57	Sad Sam Jones	1929	5.04
92	57	Steve Sparks	2002	6.38
93	57	Camilo Pascual	1970	2.57
94	57	Doug Drabek	1999	0.00	DNP
95	56	Bill Hallahan	1939	0.00	DNP
96	56	Milt Pappas	1975	0.00	DNP
97	56	Howie Pollet	1957	0.00	DNP
98	56	Paul Abbott	2004	7.13
99	56	Kip Wells	2013	0.00	DNP
100	56	Rick Rhoden	1989	4.56

BP Annual Player Comments

Year		Comment
2014		J.D. Martin, an intelligent, poised soft-tosser, harnessed his cutter and had a glorious 2013, posting the International League's lowest walk rate and winning its Most Valuable Pitcher award, which he parlayed into millions—of Korean won, from the Samsung Lions.
2012		J.D. Martin still throws just about everything as he tries to hang on as a utility pitcher; if he surfaces as your team's fifth starter, it's not a good sign.
2011		Martin is increasingly becoming one of those guys who, if he didn't have bad luck, wouldn't have any luck at all. After the veteran junkballer was finally given a chance to join the rotation in May once Scott Olsen broke down, Martin made it through two months before a back injury shelved him for the rest of the year. He'll contend with Maya and Atilano for the last slot in the rotation, but his victory would be a confession that the other two aren't ready, not an endorsement of his ability to keep the job over the long term.
2010		A former Indians supplemental first-rounder from 2001, Martin had been reduced to journeyman status, and was signed to provide pitching depth in the minors. Then he tore through the International League, and given their dire need, the Nats couldn't ignore the performance. His approach relies more heavily on changeups than his fastball, which doesn't generally translate into big-league success, but Martin held his own, and is certainly worthy of another extended look. He probably won't get to enjoy a lengthy career in the bigs, but the dominance he displayed in the minors did not happen by chance, every rotation needs its back-end starters, so why not a strike-throwing survivor who put in nine years to make it?
2009		A TJ survivor who is already an eight-year minor league vet, J.D. Martin should eventually make it up to the majors as a reliever.
2008		Right-hander J.D. Martin constantly teases the organization with his talents, only to frustrate them with his elbow problems. Dropped from the roster and brought back on a minor league deal, he may be on his last chance with Cleveland.
2007		Just when he seemed to be emerging as a prospect, J.D. Martin succumbed to Tommy John surgery. He looked good in his late-season return, so keep an eye on this one--he was on the verge of a big league look as a starter.
2005		A supplemental first-round pick in 2001 (for the loss of Manny Ramirez), Martin looked like money in the bank after his first two seasons. A strained elbow ligament put a damper on the fun: Though he avoided the surgeon's knife, it sure looked like there was some hangover in 2004 as his strikeout rate failed to recover. Martin doesn't throw hard, so everything has to be in sync for him pitch effectively. It could happen, sure. "An optimist is a guy who has never had much experience."

BP Articles

BP Chats

BP Roundtables

PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC

Although he has not thrown an MLB pitch in 2024, J.D. Martin threw 2,077 pitches that were tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2009 and 2010, including pitches thrown in . In 2010, he relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (87mph) and Cutter (85mph), also mixing in a Curve (73mph), Sinker (86mph) and Change (81mph).