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2019 Preseason Forecast
Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET
|2010-10-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)||Great articles so far this postseason CK. In fact I've enjoyed the entire BP approach to each game/series (with the preview, pitch matchups, and recaps).
What do you see this offseason for the O's?
Rangers or Giants?|
(McNulty from Baltimore)
|Thanks McNulty, the compliment's appreciated. I know that I love writing about individual games, and maybe it was early exposure to Okrent's "Nine Innings," but then I think using a game as a vehicle for shuttling between macro and micro theme-wise is interesting in itself. And the stuff that Matt and Eric and the rest of the team have been bringing to the table has been an enhancement I've appreciated as much as the audience.
For the O's... well, hopefully some learning from the mistakes of the recent past. Garrett Atkins was a few million they could have more usefully invested in inner-city baseball, because that would have done more to earn or retain fans than one broke-bat ex-Rockie. "Stay the course" isn't much consolation, though, but with Showalter skippering the squad, I'm more interested to see who he decides has value from among the talent they have on hand. If there's a FA I'd like to see them pursue, it's J.J. Hardy, because they shouldn't settle for the likes of Izturis this time around. (Christina Kahrl)
|2010-06-28 14:00:00 (link to chat)||Orioles fan. Nobody in the majors is performing. Nobody in the minors is performing. I know they won't always be this bad, but realistically, when is the earliest they could contend? Last year pundits thought it was 2011/2012, but now that seems ridiculous. Will I have to wait until a salary cap is implemented or Angelos sells the team?|
(Dan from Maryland)
|This has been pretty much a lost year, as just about all of the key youngsters on whom the Orioles' future hinges has taken a step backwards - Adam Jones, Matt Wieters, Brian Matusz, Chris Tillman... In retrospect, I think the team waited too long to pull the plug on Dave Trembley, because the situation has just festered, but keep in mind the Orioles' poor standing also has to do with the fact that the other four teams in the division are especially strong; the O's are 8-25 (.242) against them, which is worse than the 1962 Mets' pace.
In terms of contention, I think a lot depends upon whom they hire as a manager. Buck Showalter might be able to get them playing respectable baseball by sometime next year, but contention will take some front office smarts, and I'm not sure the guy who signed Garrett Atkins need apply. (Jay Jaffe)
|2010-05-24 14:00:00 (link to chat)||At the beginning of the season, who could have imagined such a lackluster group of players making up the American League leaderboard for home runs? Is the National League finally catching up in terms of talent?|
(psychdoc777 from Chicago)
|It's certainly a weird list, isn't it? Not that I don't enjoy seeing Paul Konerko beating off Father Time, again; I expect that career-ending hip issue Tommy Lasorda conjured up more than a decade ago as a matter of CYA is bound to catch up to Konerko someday. For myself, I think it makes for a fascinating question about what's to come. Does anybody expect Jose Bautista to reach 30? He certainly doesn't have to in order to wind up with a career year. Ty Wigginton's doing enough good stuff to keep attention from focusing on "Garrett Atkins, Needless Expense in Cleats" when it comes to journeymen employed as Orioles. But here again, does this mean he's going to double his season tally with more than two-thirds of the season to play? Anybody expect that?
It makes for an interesting proposition as far as who might end up winning an MVP award: One of the Twins' towers? Somebody who has a great second half for a late-charging contender? A pitcher? But I don't take it for a minute to mean that the NL's caught up to anybody--their list of HR leaders is almost as freaky, with Kelly Johnson and Rod Barajas up there. (Christina Kahrl)
|2010-02-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)||Can we get a preview of your AL East breakdown?|
(Eli from Brooklyn)
|Yankees - rich.
Red Sox - rich, but not as rich.
Rays - young and talented, but definitely not rich.
Orioles - lots of young arms and a few nice young bats. Also Garrett Atkins. Ugh
Blue Jays - Paying Vernon Wells until the robot apocalypse. (Jay Jaffe)
|2010-01-28 14:00:00 (link to chat)||If you remove Garrett Atkins and replace him with Garko on a 1/3 mil deal, would that change your perspective on the O's offseason? Because outside of Atkins, I don't disagree with the other 3 moves (Tejada, Millwood and Gonzo). Stability without commitments past this year was the name of the game, yes?|
(Mike from MD)
|I'd like it better, but even there, I think expectations for Millwood are a bit overstated. Tejada fills a need adequately, and I didn't mind Gonzalez as an investment. (Christina Kahrl)|
|2010-01-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)||I am totally depressed at the prospect of Garrett Atkins playing first base for the Orioles. Am I wrong or right?|
(TGisriel from Baltimore)
|I don't have much faith in him getting rid of your depression.
I'm sorry again for the delay, but I'm pretty sure I need a new computer. This one hates me. (Marc Normandin)
|2009-12-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)||Thoughts about Mike Gonzalez to the O's? Garrett Atkins' chances of rebounding? Next move(s) for the O's that would make sense? Personally, I like both moves (and the Millwood one last week) given their relatively low cost (short commitments to all three players) and fit with the Orioles' long range plans. How about you? Do you see them "really" playing for M. Holliday or AGon?|
(BartPachino from Northridge, CA)
|Not wild about either move, though Gonzo is flippable if need be, and the length, as you say, isn't bad. I like the Millwood move more.
I don't see them in on Holliday, but the depth of their young pitching makes going after Adrian Gonzalez a viable possibility. (Jay Jaffe)
|2009-07-31 14:00:00 (link to chat)||Why haven't we heard much trade talk regarding Garrett Atkins? He's fallen out of favor in Colorado and can probably net a prospect or two from a contender looking for a corner IF.|
(Sean from Andover, NJ)
|Because he's sucked for a while now, doesn't play defense that well and has never really hit on the road. If Dayton Moore ran a contender, I might agree with you, but in this season, no, Garret Atkins cannot net a prospect or two. (Joe Sheehan)|
|2009-05-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)||As a fantasy guy, I'm wondering what your take on Garrett Atkins is. This isn't exactly sabermetrically correct, but I'm getting a bit of a Morgan Ensberg vibe on him - late bloomer, short peak, rapid decline. He's never been terribly athletic. Is this a common player development curve?|
(Rob from Alaska)
|Am I still a fantasy guy, even though my Tout team sucks? (I'm midpack with the same strategy in the CBS Experts League!) Anyway, yeah, I actually like that comp. So does PECOTA (#3), so I can't give you points for originality, dawg. You gotta work on your artistry ... wait, sorry, slipped into Idol mode. (Will Carroll)|
|2009-05-18 14:00:00 (link to chat)||For a team that needs a 3B, how much sense would it make to try to pry Brandon Wood away from the Angels? I mean, it seems like he's never actually going to get to play.|
(Jay from DC)
|I think a lot would depend on which team in which park... put Wood in Houston, for example, and he might be a star. Put him in Denver and see his strikeout rate take a park-induced dip, and people would get over Garrett Atkins or Ian Stewart in a hurry. The problem is that with the Angels (sensibly) going year to year with Figgins, there isn't much incentive for them to do anything differently than was done to, say, Al Rosen's career. Not that Wood's going to be Al Rosen, but I'd love to see what he might do in Phoenix or Denver. (Christina Kahrl)|
|2009-03-03 13:00:00 (link to chat)||Where do you come down on a decision between Chris Davis and Garrett Atkins if you were drafting in non-keeper 5x5 league? Thanks!! |
(lemppi from Ankeny, IA)
|Garrett Atkins. I love Davis for his power, but if his batting average craters because he strikes out too often, Atkins will have more power. For now, Atkins also has Coors benefiting his production. (Marc Normandin)|
|2009-02-10 14:00:00 (link to chat)||PECOTA seems to like Garrett Atkins, at least at the plate. Where do I play?
(Ian Stewart from Colorado Springs?)
|Infield and outfield corners in a sort of supersub's role. It would help if you hit a *lot* better against right-handed pitching. (Christina Kahrl)|
|2008-11-12 14:00:00 (link to chat)||Is Wes Hodges' defense as bad as it looks to Joe Sheehan: i.e., Corey Smiff level frying pan? Worse than Jorge Cantu or Garrett Atkins? Of the Marginal Lefty Brigade (Sowers, Laffey, Jackson, S. Lewis, Huff), which would be league-average starters in 2009?|
(buffum from Austin TX)
|No, it's not. I think I'd bet on Huff from that group. (Kevin Goldstein)|
|2008-06-24 13:00:00 (link to chat)||Here's a fantasy question for you if you're interested. I'd much appreciate it.
Someone in my league just traded Ryan Howard, Justin Verlander, Josh Beckett, Curtis Granderson and Manny Ramirez for Cliff Lee, Ervin Santana, Carlos Gomez, Torii Hunter, Erik Bedard and Garrett Atkins.
A lot of people are screaming veto, and I have to agree. The trade doesn't have any 'needs-based' or 'long-term' mitigating factors, either. As an important aside, the team getting the first set of players is in third while the other guy is near the bottom.
Would you exercise a veto on this deal? Thanks!|
(havens from bristol, CT)
|Are we assuming good faith in this deal? Often a league has someone in it who is the Randy Smith of fantasy GMs and just gets suckered by everybody. I think that guy is fair game -- if he wears diapers, he shouldn't have been allowed in the league in the first place. I'm not for exercising the veto except in really apparent cases of dumping... You know, there was a parallel case in actual baseball, where for awhile Bowie Kuhn was negating trades just because he didn't like the players involved. He was actually sitting there and passing judgment on what the GMs were doing. Imagine if Bud Selig came in and said "Mets, you're overpaying for Johan Santana. No deal." That kind of thing was happening, and the more obvious opposite case as well, where he would have said, "Twins, Carlos Gomez isn't good enough. You need to hold out for a better position player or no deal." Like much of Kuhn's reign it was pathetic and unintentionally comical. (Steven Goldman)|
|2008-06-23 12:00:00 (link to chat)||Goint west... but east of the continental divide, if the Rockies are sellers, who do they shop?|
(Corkedbat from Dallas)
|Garrett Atkins, for sure. It seems like they are ready to cut bait after he turned down their long-term contract proposal. (John Perrotto)|
|2008-02-29 13:00:00 (link to chat)||how are cano's fielding stats?
does having jeter and cano up the middle hurt some of the yankee pitchers like wang?|
(jphan44 from NY)
|In both 2006 and 2007 I had Robinson Cano doing well at +7.8 and +9.1 respectively. The system didn't like him in 2005 when he was -6.1.
That said, in SFR the infielders next to you definitely have an effect on your SFR. I think we saw that this year with Garrett Atkins where he rated "only" -3.5 when other systems have him way down there with Ryan Braun. (Dan Fox)
No BP Roundtables have mentioned this guy.
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