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2019 Preseason Forecast
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|2010-08-12 13:00:00 (link to chat)||Re: arbitrarily categorizing it.
Baseball has a history. We have line drives and fly balls and popups. The mainstream has to be eased intot hat. It *wouldn't* be categorized for background analysis, but Tim MCCarver is NEVER going to say "Ichiro catches 45% of BIP with a VLA of greater than 13.75%"
Similarly the question of categorization of pitches. They are categorized for the media: fastball, cutter, cut fastball, slider, slurve, curve, etc are EXISTING constructs that are used. Yes, the speed and spin and break are all on a continnuum, but no one is going to say "That pitch had 2450 rpms in the plane 5% off perpendicular with a vertical movement of X and a horizontal movement of Y." It's going to be a "curveball".
What's the record for most Grand Slams allowed by a pitching staff in a season, and is that really the infamy Jerry Manuel is going for?|
(Foghorn Leghorn from Outhouse)
|All of those categories are shorthand - they're an abstraction, standing in for reality. Abstractions can be helpful, but they can also keep us from thinking about the reality beneath. In the case of batted balls, ones on the border tend to not be very well served by arbitrary binning. And those are the ones that are the most interesting, I think. (Colin Wyers)|
|2010-08-26 13:00:00 (link to chat)||Marc: Thanks for the chat. The Mets. Tyler Kepner in an article in the NYT this morning says, basically, the pitching is fine and up to a pennant race, it's run support that has doomed the Mets. (Defense isn't that great either.) We have certainly seen their inability to hit for Santana, who has lost three in a row recently because the team can't plate runs for him. And injuries don't tell the whole tale. Do you see this in the numbers? Is it mostly (home) park effects? This team was not, I think, built correctly to score runs at Citifield. Does your view of the numbers bear this out?
(BeplerP from New York City)
|The offense isn't good, as you say. They have a .255 TAv, which is five points below the league average. So it isn't necessarily bad, but it's no better than the Athletics or the Indians, neither of which is known for their lineup. A couple of things: not playing Pagan every day, not having a healthy Beltran from day one, Jason Bay being concussed and not having a chance to redeem his seaso and Jose Reyes deciding walking isn't cool anymore put a dent in an offense that should have been much better. They were capable of being an 85-90 win team if things broke right for them, but they have had more go wrong than right.
That's not to say they are without blame of course--there were a lot of risky players on the roster (Oliver Perez, Jeff Francoeur)--but the lineup was designed to succeed at Citi. The problem was losing a lot of OBP sources that would have helped them in a park designed to help pitchers. Let's not get into how Jerry Manuel handled it though. (Marc Normandin)
|2010-08-26 13:00:00 (link to chat)||Where does Pagan rate as a keeper, including pitchers ... top-25? top-50?|
(David from DC)
|Top 30. Though Jerry Manuel's recent circle logic of, "He's never been a full-time player, so we're making him a part-time player" makes me regret being interested in him at all. (Marc Normandin)|
|2010-08-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)||The Mets are currently one game below .500. At the beginning of the year, everyone thought this was a .500 team. So what's with all the pitchforks and calls for Manuel's and Omar's heads? Is it simply because they're taking the roller coaster route to mediocrity?|
(Stephen from New York, NY)
|Pretty much. They had that run to the ASB that gave the impression they were better than this, when it was mostly good fortune with RISP. The offense has regressed to expectations.
In fairness, I see no reason to think Jerry Manuel is one of the top 100 available managers, regardless of the Mets' record. (Joe Sheehan)
|2010-07-23 13:00:00 (link to chat)||Who has more lives this summer: Jerry Manuel or a cat?|
(Jquinton82 from NY)
|It's Jerry Manuel, I think, but like Schrödinger's cat, he's quite possibly already dead. (Jay Jaffe)|
|2010-05-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)||Jerry Manuel or Omar's... I don't think they're that good and someone is going to end up being the sacrificial lamb when the fans call for blood. So who gets sent to the chopping block?|
(Jquinton82 from NY)
|I get the feeling Omar isn't going anywhere for a bit. I don't know why. Jerry though...I mean, he deserves to be canned, but I don't think it will happen unless they need a scapegoat. Maybe if the team is generally healthy but not performing well by midseason. (Marc Normandin)|
|2010-03-18 14:00:00 (link to chat)||Hi John ... thanks for the chat ...
1) Which team would be the best fit for the nomadic, enigmatic Elijah Dukes?
1a) Which team will actually sign him?|
(dianagramr from NYC)
|That's a great question. There is no question he is talented. There is no question he is troubled. I wonder if the Mets might not take a shot on him. I think Jerry Manuel would be the right guy to manage Dukes with his patient and positive approach. (John Perrotto)|
|2009-05-21 14:00:00 (link to chat)||The Mets wouldn't make the FMart deal for Johan, true, but Omar and Jerry Manuel's jobs weren't on the line at that point. Flags fly forever.|
(Silv from NY, NY)
|If they decide to trade Martinez, they can do much, much better. They probably can't get Peavy just because of the no-trade clause, but they could get a lot of terrific players. (Joe Sheehan)|
|2009-05-18 14:00:00 (link to chat)||Starts Jermey Reed at 1b and Daniel Murphy in LF and Gary Sheffield in RF (go get 'em Carlos!) as Ryan Church sits the bench. Starts Gary Sheffield in RF at bats him 4th. Omir Santos starts again! Sacrifice bunts with no one out and a runner on second IN THE FIRST INNING. Pinch hits for Daniel Murphy with Angel F. Pagan with the bases loaded and one out in the 8th inning down by two. These are all things Jerry Manuel did JUST LAST NIGHT. Was he this bad in Chicago? BTW- Mets didn't score in the first (or ever for that matter.) Pagan grounded into a double play. Sheffield went 0 for 4 and left 4 on base. |
(Dave from NJ)
|He was, and he will be. That the Mets were impressed with him was proof they didn't remember that this was what happened last time around: Manuel aced his interview, says all the right things in a conference room, and then handicapped his ballclub with his fascination with ways of insinuating himself into the ballgame. I know it means something to Mets fans if I label the man "Torborgian," but that's what you're working with, with a dash of braggadocio to spice things up a bit. (Christina Kahrl)|
|2009-05-04 14:00:00 (link to chat)||Jerry Manuel is really starting to get on my nerves. Between the Castro/Santos stunt, over-playing Sheffield and batting him 4th, and going to Shawn Green instead of K-Rod in the 10th inning in Philly on Saturday (not that every other manager in the majors wouldn't have) he's made a season's worth of dumb moves in a week. Has a team ever paid THREE managers simultaneously?|
(Steve from NJ)
|I think Manuel has done more to call his ability as a manager into question than Willie Randolph ever did. Not saying I'd fire him, just that he has, to me, seemed objectively worse. (Joe Sheehan)|
|2008-11-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)||I could see Jerry Manuel working well with Bradley. The injury history would worry me though|
(Brian from brooklyn)
|Not being around the Mets much, I don't have a great sense of Manuel as a players' manager. Some have told me he is, some have said he isn't. Me confused. (Steven Goldman)|
|2008-08-15 15:00:00 (link to chat)||What'd you think of Jerry Manuel's threat to move a starter to the pen in Flushing? Was it a smoke and mirrors threat to get some blood flowing out beyond the Right Field fence at Shea? Or a legitimate consideration? If its the latter, is Jon Niese ready to fill in for the big league rotation? Does John Maine have the makeup of a late inning reliever or even an interim closer? |
(Meddler from Brooklyn, NY)
|It's a really bad idea from a former manager who was given to posturing and pronouncements during his time on the South Side. I'd hope for adult intervention, but there's no guarantee that Omar Minaya would sort this out before the damage was done. (Christina Kahrl)|
|2008-05-09 14:00:00 (link to chat)||Managers are hired based on knowledge or a good interview?|
(metal1341 from STL)
|I don't think there's an easy answer to that. Obviously, both matter, although Jerry Manuel's excellent interview has always been seen as the key to why he got the job. Like it is with any profession, there's always going to be a combination of factors. (Christina Kahrl)|
|2008-09-29 10:30:00||Tigers/White Sox Play-In Game||Leyland's bullpen was 12th in the league in WXRL. That he went to Galarraga suggested he's managing to win this game rather than picking up the phone to make the same tired phone calls a la Jerry Manuel. |
But boy, that didn't work out too well, did it? (Jay Jaffe)