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Billy Beane LF

Player Cards | Team Audit | Depth Chart

Career Summary
10 315 .219 .246 .296 65 -0.5
Birth Date3-29-1962
Height6' 4"
Weight195 lbs
Age57 years, 6 months, 22 days
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

1984 NYN 22 5 10 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 .100 .100 .100 73 -0.3 -0.4 -0.4 -0.1
1985 NYN 23 8 8 2 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 .250 .250 .375 68 -0.3 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1
1986 MIN 24 80 194 39 6 0 3 11 54 0 2 3 .213 .258 .295 61 -8.5 0.9 0.7 -0.3
1987 MIN 25 12 15 4 2 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 .267 .267 .400 75 -0.5 -0.2 -0.3 -0.1
1988 DET 26 6 6 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 .167 .167 .167 87 -0.1 0.0 -0.3 0.0
1989 OAK 27 37 82 19 5 0 0 0 13 0 3 1 .241 .238 .304 71 -2.5 0.3 1.2 0.0

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
1980 LTF A- NYP 43 148 .000 .000 .000 .272 0.0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1981 LYN A+ CRL 114 456 .000 .000 .000 .364 0.0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1982 JAC AA TXS 126 450 .000 .000 .000 .297 0.0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1983 JAC AA TXS 121 462 .000 .000 .000 .327 0.0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1984 NYN MLB NL 5 10 .260 .304 .362 .125 94 -1.7 0.3 -0.1 73 11 -0.4 -0.4 -0.3 -0.1
1984 JAC AA TXS 123 514 .000 .000 .000 .305 0.0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1985 NYN MLB NL 8 8 .248 .316 .377 .400 92 -0.4 0.2 0 68 14 -0.2 -0.3 -0.3 -0.1
1985 TID AAA INT 135 557 .000 .000 .000 .349 0.0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1986 MIN MLB AL 80 194 .256 .324 .393 .286 107 -13.2 5.4 -1.2 61 12 0.7 0.9 -8.5 -0.3
1986 TOL AAA INT 32 132 .000 .000 .000 .305 0.0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1987 MIN MLB AL 12 15 .242 .324 .396 .444 102 -0.4 0.4 -0.1 75 12 -0.3 -0.2 -0.5 -0.1
1987 POR AAA PCL 123 508 .000 .000 .000 .328 0.0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1988 DET MLB AL 6 6 .240 .312 .397 .250 95 -0.2 0.2 0 87 7 -0.3 0.0 -0.1 0.0
1988 TOL AAA INT 110 393 .000 .000 .000 .314 0.0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1989 OAK MLB AL 37 82 .265 .323 .387 .284 94 -5.3 2.1 -0.7 71 14 1.2 0.3 -2.5 0.0
1989 TAC AAA PCL 38 164 .000 .000 .000 .361 0.0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
1980 LTF A- NYP 148 138 10 29 3 2 1 39 14 8 35 3 4 .210 .252 .283 .072 1 1
1981 LYN A+ CRL 456 403 47 108 13 9 9 166 59 36 125 19 8 .268 .335 .412 .144 3 3
1982 JAC AA TXS 450 418 39 88 13 4 5 124 36 27 136 12 12 .211 .259 .297 .086 2 2
1983 JAC AA TXS 462 423 53 104 14 1 11 153 75 29 129 5 5 .246 .297 .362 .116 1 1
1984 JAC AA TXS 514 455 78 128 29 3 20 223 72 48 81 26 9 .281 .356 .490 .209 0 0
1984 NYN MLB NL 10 10 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 1 .100 .100 .100 .000 0 0
1985 TID AAA INT 557 504 63 143 34 4 19 242 77 42 130 15 7 .284 .345 .480 .196 0 0
1985 NYN MLB NL 8 8 0 2 1 0 0 3 1 0 3 0 0 .250 .250 .375 .125 0 0
1986 TOL AAA INT 132 126 17 37 5 0 5 57 17 4 16 7 0 .294 .326 .452 .159 0 0
1986 MIN MLB AL 194 183 20 39 6 0 3 54 15 11 54 2 3 .213 .258 .295 .082 0 0
1987 POR AAA PCL 508 463 63 132 28 8 8 200 71 36 77 18 5 .285 .342 .432 .147 0 0
1987 MIN MLB AL 15 15 1 4 2 0 0 6 1 0 6 0 0 .267 .267 .400 .133 0 0
1988 DET MLB AL 6 6 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 2 0 0 .167 .167 .167 .000 0 0
1988 TOL AAA INT 393 361 33 85 15 2 9 131 39 26 112 8 8 .235 .289 .363 .127 2 2
1989 TAC AAA PCL 164 151 19 48 6 1 4 68 23 12 25 4 1 .318 .368 .450 .132 0 0
1989 OAK MLB AL 82 79 8 19 5 0 0 24 11 0 13 3 1 .241 .238 .304 .063 1 2

Plate Discipline

YEAR Pits Zone% Swing% Contact% Z-Swing% O-Swing% Z-Contact% O-Contact% SwStr% CSAA

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
1989-06-13 1989-07-05 22 21 Left Wrist Soreness - -
1986-04-08 1986-04-22 14 14 Right Shoulder Sprain - -


Year Team Salary


Service TimeAgentContract Status


2019 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

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BP Annual Player Comments

No BP Book Comments have been found for this player.

BP Articles

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BP Chats

2018-06-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)What do you think of the report from Susan Slusser with the San Francisco Chronicle that Billy Beane may be departing from the A's after next season?
(John from Harrisonburg)
I don't know enough about the inner workings of the A's front office to really comment, but it seems like he has been less involved in the day-to-day for a while now. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2018-06-04 19:00:00 (link to chat)Kyler Murray over Brady Singer? Why Billy Beane why?
(John from Harrisonburg)
Heck of an interesting pick there. Billy Beane just out there keeping it entertaining all the time. Plenty of tools to like from Murray. It was going to take a high pick like this to lure him from football and this will probably do it. (Draft Night with David Lee)
2018-06-04 19:00:00 (link to chat)With both Liberatore and Singer available, the A's go with the undersized CFer, Kyler Murray. Why?
(Dan from San Francisco)
I guess the Athletics fell in love with the tools. You can count on Billy Beane to keep things interesting. Brings an explosive skill set with power up the middle. If you're going big with the bonus to lure Murray away, you think he has much higher upside than a Liberatore or Singer. (Draft Night with David Lee)
2016-08-15 22:00:00 (link to chat)Who would be better at shortstop for the A's next season: Marcus Semien or Chad Pinder?
(John from San Francisco)
Semien, and it shouldn't really be a question. He's been the fifth-best SS in the majors by FRAA this year, and with the pop in his bat he's currently 8th in WARP. He's pre-arb and cost-controlled through next season, and he'll be Oakland's starting shortstop unless Billy Beane beanes him out of town for a HAUL. (Wilson Karaman)
2016-04-14 20:00:00 (link to chat)Bubba Starling will have a comparable MLB career to ______________
(Ted from Florida)
Billy Beane. (Scooter Hotz)
2016-01-27 19:00:00 (link to chat)What would a Red Sox package for Sonny Gray look like? Would have to be something like Moncada/Devers, Owens, and someone else, right?
(Slinkey1998 from California)
Given what the trade market looks like right now, I think you'd probably need two of the top 4, or at least Kopech instead of Owens. With that being said, this is Billy Beane we're talking about so you never know. Maybe he's super in love with Marco Hernandez or something. (He's probably not) (Matt Collins)
2015-12-08 13:00:00 (link to chat)While on the subject of Billy Butler, where does his contract rank on the list of the worst ones you have ever seen and it wasn't like everybody didn't see it coming. The Red Sox didn't know that Ramirez and Sandoval were going to stink but, outside of Billy Beane, knew this was not going to work out well for the A's.
(oldbopper from New Britain, CT)
Welll.... it's still just 3/30. I think B.J. Upton and Josh Hamilton, just in the last few years, get in line ahead of Butler as obviously inadvisable big-money deals. (Matthew Trueblood)
2015-10-07 14:00:00 (link to chat)What will it take to get Sommy Gray this offseason?
(David from Delta airlines)
Hi David, can you get Delta to get some outlets on their planes? I was down to 1% after my flights today. In most cases, it would take such an insane haul to pry Gray loose that it wouldn't be worth it for the acquiring team. But this is Billy Beane so who the hell knows what he thinks is fair value. (Sahadev Sharma)
2015-09-30 19:00:00 (link to chat)The A's have really gotten a chance to explore their rotation depth this season. Of Kendall Graveman, Jesse Chavez, Sean Nolin, Aaron Brooks, and Felix Doubront, are any more than rotation filler? Right now, in my mind, only Sonny Gray and Chris Bassitt have rotation spots locked down for next season. Jesse Hahn, A.J. Griffin, and Jarrod Parker all seem at varying points of a career ending injury trajectory.
(Jeff from San Francisco)
I wan'ted to buy into Sean Nolin but I don't think any of those guys are much more than rotation filler. Billy Beane will have to get pretty creative next year to plug those rotation spots. (Mauricio Rubio)
2015-09-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)So this year has been pretty terrible for A's fans. Billy Beane dealt the first legit offensive star in Josh Donaldson this team has had since Miguel Tejada, and he got pennies on the dollar (fingers crossed on Franklin Barreto!). Then we saw Jesse Hahn go down with a serious injury and I think he may be sidelined permanently. So give me some good news about the farm. Sean Manaea and Dillon Overton -- thoughts? How about Renato Nunez and Matt Olson? Is Matt Chapman anything other than a Stockton mirage?
(Ted from San Jose)
Still shaking my head at the Donaldson trade. I liked pretty much all the pieces the A's got back... but they aren't guys you trade a star 3B for. Really like Manaea. He's a dude. Going to be perfect middle rotation/3 SP in Oakland. Not sure the fastball command will be there for anything more than that though. Great park for his skill set, too. And man... personality is a perfect fit for the A's. Great get. Overton wasn't throwing very hard last I heard. Have to see where the health is there, but he's got some potential. My reports on the other guys are pretty dated. I wasn't a big fan of Olson. (Al Skorupa)
2015-08-13 20:00:00 (link to chat)Can you explain Billy Butler to me? Historically, he's hit better against left-handers than right-handers. This year, he's hitting .191/.327/.382 against lefties, but hitting .263/.302/.370 against righties. So, now he's hitting righties better, but only exhibits plate discipline against lefties. Why?
(Dave from Santa Monica)
Can I explain him? Sure. He's a big fella. So big they call him Country Breakfast. He was acquired in what has been a very poor year for Billy Beane and is losing at-bats to Danny Valencia.

(I have no idea what's going on with the splits.) (Greg Wellemeyer)
2015-07-23 17:00:00 (link to chat)Rank these Theo Epstein trade fleecings: 1. Rangers - 2 trades (recevied Hendricks, Villanueva, Edwards, Grimm, Ramirez, and Olt for Dempster and Garza rentals (resulted in 0 WS)). 2. Orioles (received Jake Arrieta, Pedro Strop, and international bonus money for Scott Feldman and Steve Clevenger. 3. A's (received Addison Russell (!), Billy McKinney, and Dan Straily for Jeff Samardzija and Jason Hammel (who promptly returned to Cubs in FA)). Also, are you still a little in shock that Billy Beane traded Addison Russell?
(Mark from Bleacher Nation)
That's a fun question.

The Arrieta trade, the Russell trade, and the Rangers trade. I was not in shock about it (nothing Beane does is on the shock level) but I was very surprised. (Mike Gianella)
2015-07-16 20:00:00 (link to chat)Do you think Chad Pinder get the next shot at SS in Oakland the way Semien has kicked the ball around ? Pinder himself has 15 errors already so do you think he has to move off SS ?
(Curt from Stockton, Cal)
I don't think Billy Beane knows what his roster is going to look like in a week, much less next season. Franklin Barreto is the guy long-term at short in Oakland for my money. (George Bissell)
2015-07-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)The A's are 41-50, 8 games out of a playoff spot, and with every AL team in front of them. Yet, Billy Beane hasn't deal Ben Zobrist, Tyler Clippard, Scott Kazmir, or Jesse Chavez. At some point, isn't waiting going to reduce their trade value since there are less games for them to help?
(Paul from San Diego)
This could be just me, but I feel like the A's feel like with that run differential, they're due to get back in this race. The division is extremely flawed, so I sort of understand this thinking, but there's just too many teams to jump over now. The overall point is correct though, the longer they hold on, the more the value drops. (Christopher Crawford)
2015-06-02 18:00:00 (link to chat)We're 50-some games into the season, and Josh Donaldson has a slash of .316/.375/.606 overall while Brett Lawrie is hitting .265/.295/.376. Kendall Graveman has charitably been uneven. Sean Nolin is coming back from an injury. Franklin Barreto can't even hit in Stockton. Why did Billy Beane sell so low on Donaldson, who would look really great in a lineup that has hit lefties to the tune of .226/.308/.323 this season? I feel like we haven't gotten the whole story on this trade.
(John from San Francisco)
Well, there were some rumors of disrespect on Donaldson's part that ended up making it into the mainstream media, so I can't imagine Beane was too torn up about seeing Donaldson go at the time.

It was a bad decision even if you're rosy as hell on Barreto. I did wonder if Beane saw something in Nolin and Graveman that he liked but neither player is going to make up the difference one Josh Donaldson makes. (Mauricio Rubio)
2015-02-16 11:00:00 (link to chat)Is Billy Butler the perfect Billy Beane signing? His value has never been lower, and his track record suggests .290/.360/.440 is realistic. I think it is the most under rated signing of the offseason.
(John from Chicago)
There are a lot of Moneyball references to use with Butler, so yeah, he's up there so far as Ultimate Beane Signings go. (R.J. Anderson)
2015-01-08 12:00:00 (link to chat)If you could download all the knowledge and wisdom of any person involved in baseball (player, active or retired; coach, GM, scout, Bill James) and use it for your own writing and baseball enjoyment, whose knowledge would you steal?
(Daniel from San Jose)
This is a terrific question, and I'm honestly not sure how to answer it exactly. I think my choice would be Jed Hoyer. Hoyer has worked in nearly every department of a front office, so he likely has a really wide variety of knowledge that I could steal and use.

There's a lot of directions to go with that, and I almost gave a lot of obvious answers like Paul DePodesta, Billy Beane, or John Mozeliak.

Actually I might have just changed my answer to Mozeliak.

This is a great question. I'll be thinking about this for hours now. (Jeff Long)
2014-12-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)Josh Donaldson had 4 years before free agency, and the A's got an adequate, injury prone replacement in Brett Lawrie, a pair of soft-tossers in Sean Nolin and Kendall Graveman, and an infielder who is years away from contributing in Franklin Barreto. Then they dealt Brandon Moss for a 24-year old second baseman who just got to Double-A in Joey Wendle. And before that, they signed DH Billy Butler to a three-year deal. Why sell off Donaldson and Moss for such paltry returns? Why bring in Butler if you're going to rebuild? What is Billy Beane doing?
(John from San Francisco)
I think, emphasize think, I could come up with explanations on each of these moves on their own. But combined, they really throw me for a loop. I'm struggling to come up with an answer that's not far-fetched... We've been programmed to trust Beane, but it looks like he went all in last summer, which I loved and now he realizes that if he doesn't try and get some long-term assets for his club, it could go down the tubes quickly. I get that thought process, I'm not sure I see these moves being the best execution. Adding Butler to the mix almost feels like they changed their minds as to how to approach the offseason a few weeks into the process. Perplexing... (Sahadev Sharma)
2014-12-11 18:00:00 (link to chat)Was Barreto the main target in the Donaldson deal, and if so, can he be good enough to make this a win for Billy Beane?
(Ryan from Hey Dennis)
It's hard to say a guy like Barreto, who is so far, far away from the big leagues, was the main target, particularly when the deal included someone like Brett Lawrie. I think the A's are banking on Lawrie being healthy (risky) and producing for a few years, and anything Barreto provides 3-5 years from now is just icing on the cake. (Mark Anderson)
2014-10-03 11:00:00 (link to chat)Does Billy Beane's long tenure make him more or less essential to the A's?
(William from Boston)
This question was submitted quite early (thank you, William!) so I've been trying to wrap my head around it for a while. I think it has layers and I'm afraid my answer is going to be superficial, but I'll try.

On the one hand, a byproduct of Beane's longevity (and his Moneyball fame) is that he is the A's in a way that many general managers are not their teams. He's also a part owner of the team. A very small part, but it's something that enmeshes him more than someone who's a "mere" employee might be enmeshed.

On the other hand, I'm not sure whether Beane's level of essential ... essentialness? has changed in 15 years. He's still smart, creative, apparently fosters loyalty (David Forst turning down opportunities to leave), but is he more (or less) those things now than he was in 2002? And if he is, is it because he's better (or worse) at his job now or is there something inherent in his length of tenure?

One wonders, actually, whether Beane has been with the A's so long now and been identified as the A's for so long now that the team is essential to him. Could he really just up and roll out to Boston the way he almost did over a decade ago? Would the distraction of the move be worth it? Beane might be with the A's until he's out of baseball at this point. (Jason Wojciechowski)
2014-10-03 11:00:00 (link to chat)Where do you think the A's go from here? Give it 1 more shot, or look to quasi re-build by getting rid of Jeff Samardzija, Josh Donaldson, etc?
(Shawnykid23 from CT)
Everybody is bad at predicting what Billy Beane is going to do in a given offseason. We're all horrible at it. I bet even David Forst and Farhan Zaidi have running bets between them about what's going to happen at work that day, and they're even.

So on the one hand, the A's have some serious holes and no obvious ways to fill them because their usual method ("trade all the prospects!" (by "usual," I mean "the last two years" and I'm assuming Beane won't zag just yet, which of course means he will)) is exhausted. On the other hand, the team signed Coco Crisp through at least 2016 (vesting option in '17), and why get the jump on that rather than wait-and-see if you don't intend to take your shots?

So I don't know, but my working assumption is that the A's aren't going to be selling, though I admit some intellectual curiosity regarding how much they could get back for Josh Donaldson, a player with three years of team control left, but no long-term deal signed, a late bloomer (next year is his age-29 season) and so his best years aren't ahead of him, an MVP candidate for two straight years now with a good offense+defense profile. I love rooting for him, so emotionally I don't want him to go anywhere, but if I were a fan of any other team, I'd want to see a trade just for the "what does that prospect package look like?" question. (Jason Wojciechowski)
2014-07-11 13:00:00 (link to chat)Another piece falls into place in my diabolic plan to hoard talent and take over the internet.***evil laugh***
(Bill Simmons from The Internet)
Hiring BPers to write about baseball seems like a sound strategy to me. It's what Billy Beane would do, if he had a website. And if you're going to cover culture too, you can at least put "Prospectus" in the title. (Ben Lindbergh)
2014-07-07 11:00:00 (link to chat)If you where Billy Beane,would you have made that trade ?
(boatman44 from Liverpool)
I would want a ring and those arms help my cause in 2014. It would have been extremely painful but the answer is yes. (Jason Parks on the Top 50)
2014-07-08 13:00:00 (link to chat)So according to Billy Beane in today WSJ, I need an ivy league degree to get into baseball. ( What do you think the future of scouts will be?
(Jake from Boston)
I don't believe the future of scouts is all that different than the present. There is still going to be a need for guys with the scouting skill set in the game, regardless of how tech driven the industry becomes, or how hyper-intelligent front offices continue to become. There may be more of a need for scouts to be able to do a variety of things, but the ultimate skill set of laying eyes on a player and making evaluations/projections will always be an important part of the game. I don't discount what Beane is suggesting in the article, but I also wouldn't make the leap that such a trend in front offices means the death of the scout. (Mark Anderson)
2014-06-11 12:00:00 (link to chat)What sort of moves would you make through the end of the season if you were running the Phillies?
(Dave M. from Philadelphia)
If I were running the Phillies, I'd sell everything that isn't nailed down. So would you, I'm guessing. It's obviously what needs to be done. They're awful, they're really old, they're expensive, and their minor league system needs almost as much help as their major league team does. So sell sell sell sell. Clearly sell. But the thing about the Phillies is I'm not running them and neither are you. The interesting question is what will Ruben Amaro do? Or what will the ever-silent Phillies ownership do? And for that I have no answer.

I'll say this additionally to throw a wrench in the works: if I'm running the Phillies, I don't want Amaro as the one in charge of tearing down the franchise. As lousy as the Phillies are, they do have some desirable players that could bring value from other teams. Do you want Amaro to be the one dealing with Billy Beane while trading Chase Utley to the A's? If you're a Phillies fan maybe that's the real danger. (Matthew Kory)
2014-04-09 19:00:00 (link to chat)I recently reread Moneyball, and loved being able to look back at how their moves actually worked out, specifically regarding the draft. Given how adamant Billy Beane once was on spending a first round pick on a high schooler, what has changed that has them drafting so many in recent years?
(John Blanton from New York )
I think that Beane is always looking for a way to beat the market. His strategy is ever evolving and once the book came out everyone kind of knew that OBP was undervalued so he had to adjust and eventually came up with this A's team that's different.

Baseball changed, so did Beane. (Mauricio Rubio)
2014-03-12 14:00:00 (link to chat)A possibly overlooked part of the Moneyball story is Billy Beane turning down the Boston job to stay with the small-market A's because ostensibly he relished the challenge. While PLAYERS will inevitably (for the most part) go to the highest bidder, is it a sort of subplot to the Moneyball story that many sharp front office minds will be more prone to work for underdog teams to try and topple the Evil Empire(s)? Or will the brightest baseball minds eventually be gobbled up by the richest teams?
(Ponderous from of Deeper Things)
Check out Lewie Pollis' BP piece from last week, which was largely about this. (Ben Lindbergh)
2014-02-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)Has Oakland's offseason actually made them a better team, or is Billy Beane just moving a lot of parts around in hopes, with some more good luck, that they can plug the holes from various departures (Colon) and likely regressions (Donaldson, Lowrie, Crisp)?
(Dave from San Francisco)
A better team than they played as last season? Probably not. A better team than they were at the the start of the offseason? Yes. The Kazmir deal does concern me some. Maybe I'm too risk averse when it comes to starters. (R.J. Anderson)
2014-02-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)Has Oakland's offseason actually made them a better team, or is Billy Beane just moving a lot of parts around in hopes, with some more good luck, that they can plug the holes from various departures (Colon) and likely regressions (Donaldson, Lowrie, Crisp)?
(Dave from San Francisco)
A better team than they played as last season? Probably not. A better team than they were at the the start of the offseason? Yes. The Kazmir deal does concern me some. Maybe I'm too risk averse when it comes to starters. (R.J. Anderson)
2013-12-03 13:00:00 (link to chat)What is Billy Beane doing this offseason? Trading for closers, now in a 3-team deal?
(EdTheRevelator from Cleveland)
Providing us with a lot of content. (R.J. Anderson)
2013-11-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)Gregory Polanco is from the DR yet his plate discipline would even make Billy Beane swoon, what gives? I thought all DR prospects were hackers.
(Dave from Pittsburgh)
Every industry is subject to stereotypes and hard cliches, and the baseball/scouting industry is no different. A lot of those stereotypes center around Latin American players, with long held beliefs like they're all hackers, most of them end up in the bullpen, etc. As bad as it may sound, it is hard to move beyond those sterotypes at times and when a super-talented player like Polanco defies one of those stereotypes, it makes people stand up and take notice. (Mark Anderson)
2013-11-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)Kevin, What do you think of the Moneyball way of scouting and Billy Beane's comment of "adapt or die" vs. Grady Fuson's comment of "You're discounting what scouts have doing to 50 years".
(Pete from SF)
A decade after Lewis's book, I see a lot of intelligent blending of information in scouting offices. The point is that you don;t have to retrain any of the old guys to start doing quantitative stuff. You just have to supplement what they give you. The one stat I hear scouts cite most often is the ratio of strikeouts to walks--for hitters as well as pitchers. As for me, I've become much more interested in contact percentage. I think the ability to put the bat on the ball is as much of a "tool" as running speed. Like Tony Gwynn or Joey Votto. (Kevin Kerrane)
2013-09-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)What would you most want to write about if you had total access?
(Habyart from Mission)
If I had total access and people would be honest with me, I'd really want to spend an offseason writing about Ken Rosenthal and what he does, how he does it. Or, maybe larger, an offseason; how an offseason develops, in the rooms, in the negotiations, every team starting with one idea about themselves and ending the winter with another one. The offseason is where the real personalities are, not on the field.

Also. In Moneyball, in the section about the year Billy Beane got drafted, they talk about how the Mets had the first overall pick. Quoting:

Plus, there was this one other thing: In the months leading up to the draft the Mets front office had allowed themselves to become part of a strange experiment. Sports Illustrated had asked the Mets' GM if one fo the magazine's reporters could follow the team as it decided who would become the first overall draft pick. The Mets had shown the magazine their short list of prospects, and the magazine had said it would be convenient, journalistically, if the team selected Darryl Strawberry."

That would be an amazing article to write and report, with enough access. I wonder how much that story is apocrypha, though. I went looking through the SI Vault and found no such story. Only an article about Strawberry two months before the draft, maybe 1,000 words. So hmmmmm. I'm now skeptical. (Sam Miller)
2013-03-19 13:00:00 (link to chat)I have a haiku for you. Billy Beane, genius. The A's will see October. The ballpark is crap.
(Tibetan Monk from Tibet. Duh!)
I'm buying two of those. (Matthew Kory)
2013-03-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)The South Siders are a legit dark horse. Kenny Williams should get the same kudos Billy Beane gets. I think they win 90 easy. Opinion?
(Petey7 from Indy)
I like the White Sox more than PECOTA, which projects them to go 79-83, but I don't see a 90-win team here. I think they'll jockey with the Indians for second place in the AL Central, about eight games behind the Tigers. (Daniel Rathman)
2013-02-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)Ultimate face palm Billy Beane baseball career.
(Mike from Utica, NY)
I'm going to send this to him and he's going to attack you with a handsome smile and a baseball bat. (Jason Parks)
2012-09-19 13:00:00 (link to chat)To paraphrase Billy Beane, will the Orioles s*** work in the playoffs? The record in one-run games .... good fortune and great bullpen ... does THAT work in the playoffs?
(dianagram from VORGville)
Realistically, what works in the playoffs is scoring more runs than you allow. As far as how you get there -- having a "good bullpen" is probably the most transient advantage you can have. Relievers are much more unreliable than staring pitching or hitting. (Colin Wyers)
2012-06-12 13:00:00 (link to chat)Thoughts on the reported 5 yr/$85 mil deal for 30 year old Andre Ethier?
(Aaron from LB)
They had to lock him up; otherwise, the super-rich new Dodgers new ownership would sign him when he became a free agent. Wait, I guess that explanation only works when other teams sign their pending free agents.

I wouldn't really want Ethier for five years, and I don't think that's just because I have never adjusted to when Billy Beane traded him away at a time that I was very, very convinced that Billy Beane couldn't possibly make a bad move. The generous way of looking at it is this: There aren't going to be any good free agents anymore. There will be some, but very few, since everybody good gets locked up at even earlier ages and for even longer. So if there are no free agents, and you have to spend the money somehow, might as well keep the guy you like. (Sam Miller)
2012-05-31 14:00:00 (link to chat)Are you still a Billy Beane fan? I'm not anymore; the guy can't make good trades that don't involve Dan Haren. If not, do you see any way he doesn't outlive all of us as GM-for-life?
(oira79 from San Francisco)
I wish he'd quit shilling for ownership's desires to move to San Jose (the crying about how the A's can't compete in Oakland isn't really becoming of a man of his stature), but I'm not going to be calling for his head any time soon. Taking shots at contention hasn't worked out when he's gone for it, but I'd dispute this "good trades" point -- three years of Seth Smith for Josh Outman and Guillermo Moscoso is a steal, for instance. (Jason Wojciechowski)
2012-05-31 14:00:00 (link to chat)I grant you that Moscoso and the best-named pitcher ever have fallen apart in Colorado, but three years of Seth Smith doesn't seem worth having since the guy has a 98 OPS+ and if he ain't hitting, he ain't nothing. Tell me what else Billy Beane has done for you lately.
(oira79 from San Francisco)
Alternatively, Smith has a .289 TAv, well above-average. I don't know if the difference between OPS+ and TAv in this case comes down entirely to a proper weighting of OBP vs. SLG (Smith is, admittedly, not hitting for any power so far) or if there are also disagreements about park factor and league between our numbers and Baseball-Reference. But I'd run with TAv.

I mean, even if Smith has been barely adequate this year, Beane still got a barely adequate player for two bad players. That's an upgrade.

Also: Josh Reddick for an injured closer. I'll take it. (Jason Wojciechowski)
2012-02-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)ken Rosenthal tweeted the Manny deal to be 500k, maybe pro-rated to kill some of the suspension. Billy Beane is off the reservation.
(chiefsalsa from Mannywood)
If a win costs about $5 million in WARP terms, $500K needs to be about one run above replacement level to be a break-even proposition. So how is Billy Beane off the reservation again? (Jay Jaffe)
2012-01-26 13:00:00 (link to chat)Would you fire Billy Beane of you were running things in Oakland?
(Steve C from Toronto)
No. I'd find him a new stadium. (Jason Parks)
2012-01-26 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is it fair to say Billy Beane is no longer a Top 5 GM?
(Steven from Chicago)
It's subjective, but its fair to say that if you believe that to be the case. It's a very difficult thing to judge because the playing field is not equal for all those involved. I happen to think Beane is a very good GM, given what he has to work with. (Jason Parks)
2011-09-02 14:00:00 (link to chat)I know you're not excited about the Moneyball movie, but I did notice in one of the trailers that Billy Beane has a poster of The Clash on his wall. Is Beane a fan of The Clash, or just Hollywood license?
(Eric from Denver)
I don't know if he's a fan of The Clash, but I do know that he generally has good taste in music, so it wouldn't shock me. (Kevin Goldstein)
2011-09-02 14:00:00 (link to chat)Rank the following places from most to least likely as to where Billy Beane will be in 2012? 1) A's, 2) Cubs, 3) Dodgers, 4) Not a GM in MLB
(Eric from Denver)
I think you just did. (Kevin Goldstein)
2011-06-20 14:00:00 (link to chat)Is it fair to say Billy Beane is no longer an upper tier GM?
(Tutis from Oakland)
Quite. He's very good at assembling pitching staffs, but his inability to build an offense in recent years has become glaringly apparent. (Jay Jaffe)
2011-06-20 14:00:00 (link to chat)Referring to Billy Beane, rumors persist he hasn't been running the day-to-day operations for several seasons; David Forst has. Would that make a little more sense as far as the lackluster rosters, lack of substantial moves, poor minor league development of their own draft picks, etc? Not that it excuses Beane at all if he is AWOL - he's still responsible for the product on the field. Which raises a concern with the tarped third deck, lack of promotion, no FanFest and poor product on the field - are the A's built to look like they are competitive and really created to be scuttled?
(Manprin from Sacramento, CA)
I think Wolff and Beane are trying to make the case that the A's can't compete in their current ballpark and administering a rather thin gruel of nutrients while hoping that Bud does something to open up San Jose for them. Whether Beane is involved in the day-to-day as much as he was years ago isn't all that relevant if you've got a coherent core philosophy; if you don't, why is Beane even sticking around at all? (Jay Jaffe)
2011-06-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)The comments from the A's current and former players about Geren have been pretty interesting and perhaps a strong indication that he didn't have much of a future. But how much of their mediocrity do you think was due to Geren's ineptitude?
(Peter Q from Austin, TX)
I just don't know how you pin all of that offensive ineptitude on Geren's lack of communication skills. I just don't know what another manager could have done to get more pop out of this group. You know what really interests me here is that it has been 16 years since Tony LaRussa left, and they A's have had just three managers in that time--Art Howe, Ken Macha, and Geren. I know the manager is supposedly just a puppet for Billy Beane, but it is probably long-since time they find a stronger, more experienced hand, go the Showalter route the Orioles took. I admit I'm not sure who that is, off the top of my head. Lure Bobby Cox out of retirement? Don't snap back--I know that's fanciful. (Steven Goldman)
2011-04-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)Jay - thanks for chatting. Somewhere in Billy Beane's much lauded debut novel, Moneyball, there is mention (so I'm told - who has time to read, right?) that teams take the first two months of a season to figure out who they are, the next two months to upgrade and the final two months to bust out. Do you agree with that sentiment? In other words, when's the earliest we will see teams blow things up?
(R.A. Wagman from Section 203)
That sounds about right. Teams spend almost five months putting together their squads for the coming season, and a lot of thought goes into that. To blow it up based upon a few weeks is an admission that you've wasted nearly half of your (calendar) year. While two months is hardly a definitive sample size, it's a point where a lot of the pretenders have been weeded out, and teams are willing to embrace the idea that what they left the gate with isn't perfect, and that they're better served by making moves than sitting still. (Jay Jaffe)
2011-04-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)If the A's start off slowly this season, do you think Bob Geren will be on the hot seat?
(Tom from Madison)
I suppose it's possible, but I've always thought Geren was well-regarded in Oakland. Furthermore, the A's have never made a midseason managerial move on Billy Beane's watch, and haven't done so since 1986, coincidentally the only year that Beane got more than 82 PA at the major league level. (Jay Jaffe)
2011-03-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)Should we give any credit to the Giants for developing and keeping their star pitchers healthy? With all the words written about Moneyball and Billy Beane wasn't this same situation what really what made him look like a genius?
(EricJ from SF)
Absolutely, they should get credit, from the training staff to Bruce Bochy; it's the sort of basic logistical challenge every organization and every skipper has to deal with that trumps the value of any in-game machinations. (Christina Kahrl)
2010-11-23 13:00:00 (link to chat)If the A's go into next season with the team as currently configured and the Rangers fail to sign Cliff Lee, are the A's legitimate contenders for the AL West?
(Dave from Chicago)
I like the pitching but where the hell is the offense supposed to come from on that team? They had three guys with TAvs above .275 last year, Jack Cust, Coco Crisp, and Daric Barton, and the first two are gone now. Yes, they'll have Chris Carter, but that's not enough.

Billy Beane's inability to build an offense in Oakland over the past several years is downright depressing. (Jay Jaffe)
2010-11-16 13:00:00 (link to chat)You have $5 million to spend and you're Mets GM. Who do you get?
(Liam from Whippleville, NY)
Jorge de la Rosa? Rid of Oliver Perez? $5 million would cover almost half of the sunk cost remaining on his deal. Hey, there must be some more former GMs on the market. Would $5 million be enough to entice Billy Beane to Queens? Might as well get the whole gang back there. (Ben Lindbergh)
2010-11-11 13:00:00 (link to chat)Should Billy Beane still be considered a Top 5 GM anymore?
(Tom from Oakland)
I'm not sure. The GM to the team is like the President to the country. They're going to get blamed or credited based on a million factors of their control, and there's a whole lot of ignorance about who the people are underneath them. Are the A's a Top 5 organization anymore? I doubt it. But he may still be a Top 5 GM. Paul DePodesta just got hired by the Mets. It's tough to hold on to good talent underneath you, and Beane obviously could be as good at being a GM as he used to be with less talented assistants. (Matt Swartz)
2010-10-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)Christina, if you're (11) in the comments section, who the heck are the Top Ten?
(GBSimons from Boise, ID)
I really have no idea, but I always liked #11 (and multiples of 11). Billy Beane wore #11, and so did Moose Earnshaw, while Jose Canseco wore 33. The A's won a World Series in 1911. So, it works for me. (Christina Kahrl)
2010-10-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)You got to kiss all the teams good bye. Gut feeling, besides the Red Sox, who's got the best chance of being in the playoffs next year that isn't in it this year? Who's poised to make a several year run?
(jay from Long Branch, NJ)
I'll say the Cardinals in the NL and the Athletics in the AL. St. Louis still has Pujols, Holliday, Wainwright and Carpenter in a relatively weak division and Oakland has such great pitching that it only needs a passable offense to be a winnner, and I believe Billy Beane will act to get a big bat this winter. Also remember that Chris Carter really started raking the last couple of weeks of the seasons after a tough start. (John Perrotto)
2010-09-15 14:00:00 (link to chat)Could you make an argument that the A's are purposefully trotting out a pathetic line-up to keep their record in check without really competing for a championship? Playing in a pitcher's park with a very good defense the A's can hover at .500 with invalids at the plate. With the ballpark drama playing out fielding a team that actually makes the playoffs would be a counter argument that they need a new balloak for revenue. Or am I drunk at the conspiracy wheel?
(Manprin from Sacramento, CA)
I doubt they are purposely doing trotting that lineup out there. I am just one of the few statistical analysts who will openly question what Billy Beane has been doing lately. Developing pitching and defensively-oriented players has been the As strong suit lately, but they have looked so inept offensively that I just cannot comprehend what they see in half of these players. You would think that after putting the Sweeneys, Davis'es, Buck's of the world out there so often that at least one would pan out, but none have. And going after players like Kouzmanoff and Conor Jackson to bolster a lineup is problematic as well. For some reason, everyone that is touted in their system form an offensive standpoint seems to fail at the major league level. It's gotta' be frustrating for As fans and I've never seen anything like it. (Eric Seidman)
2010-09-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)At what point can we start talking about Billy Beane as a seriously overrated GM? The scoreboard is starting to really show some unflattering performance on his part. Is he disengaged or distracted? How many Jason Kendalls, Cliff Penningtons, Andre Ethiers, Carlos Gonzalezes, and failed reclamation projects do we give a guy because he's tall and handsome?
(Castro Somal from Oakland)
I mean, Brad Pitt is playing him in a movie, so he can probably go a long way with that. But yes, I know what you mean. The problem is now we're going to delve into the territory where Beane is so overrated he becomes underrated, because he's still very good at his job. The problem is that there are more people who are also very good at their job in the game today as well, and a lot of them have better resources too. (Marc Normandin)
2010-06-07 18:30:00 (link to chat)Who is cockier Tim Wilken or Billy Beane?
(MattBey from Houston)
Cocky? or confident? (Kevin Goldstein)
2010-06-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)So re-reading Moneyball is kinda, sorta really funny now, hey? I really appreciate some of the lessons, but it's hard to re-read with the benefit of hindsight on the careers.
(Will from Mactaquac)
The book was always about lessons, but a lot of people lost Billy Beane's underlying message. The same thing happened to his other books, like The Blind Side. (Marc Normandin)
2010-06-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)"The book was always about lessons, but a lot of people lost Billy Beane's underlying message. The same thing happened to his other books, like The Blind Side." IF I WERE BILLY BEANE I WOULD NOT HAVE WRITTEN MONEYBALL!!!!!!!!!
(achaik from maine)
2010-05-11 16:30:00 (link to chat)During my fantasy draft I felt like a Billy Beane prodigy when I grabbed both Grady Sizemore and Nate McLouth with mid-round picks. Since then, of course, their terrible starts in the first five weeks has gotten me to channel my inner Jim Bowden. What's the thought on these two moving forward? More Sample Size Theater with an inevitable rebound, or did everyone else just wisely stay away from these two in the first place?
(OTSgamer from Dallas, TX)
Grady Sizemore is a great young baseball player. I can't figure out why, but he just doesn't seem to be showing the amazing eye he's shown for several years. He's also swinging and missing a lot more than he used to. I'm guessing he should bounce back, but he must be doing something wrong in his approach to be getting these results, maybe not seeing the ball well or something. Nate McLouth's line drive rate is pretty low this year, but not low enough to explain his atrocious BABIP. I have to imagine that bounces back, because nothing else seems crazily out of line. I wouldn't give up on either player at all. (Matt Swartz)
2010-03-23 16:30:00 (link to chat)Matt, for all the hype Jack Zduriencik got this winter, it seems as if things arenīt going so smoothly in Spring Training for the mariners: Milton Bradley getting into trouble, Cliff Lee having some health issues... how do you think all that will work out? How do you see them in that division?
(Guillermo from Montevideo)
Every team has their problems. I think Jack Z is a great GM. Of course, no GM deserves to be treated like he can do no wrong. Otherwise, we end up with people shouting that sabermetrics is stupid because Billy Beane can't win. Every GM has strengths as weaknesses. Overall, that really looks like a great division. Four teams, any of one them could win it. I'd probably bet on the Mariners if I had to guess, but maybe the Rangers are the better bet. I also have no idea why the Angels beat their Pythagorean Record so handily in recent years. Maybe they shouldn't be counted out either. The A's could take it, too, of course. As far as Cliff Lee himself, I'm not sure I'd give up on him with a small injury. I could his low trade value being a symptom of health questions, but I'd still bet he gets 30 starts if I had to guess. (Matt Swartz)
2010-01-26 14:00:00 (link to chat)I actually think Stringer Bell = Billy Beane. Seemed like he controled the Game under with his magic touch, but then everything started to go wrong.
(Thomas from OC)
I am actually a little upset with myself for not putting this together. You're 100% right. (Tommy Bennett)
2010-01-06 13:00:00 (link to chat)Do you stil consider Billy Beane and Mark Shapiro to be Top 5 GM's, or have the past couple of seasons changed the way you view both GMs's?
(Ron from Vancouver)
I've never been as high on either of them as certain readers would like to believe, and I'm certainly not very sold on the job that either of them has done in recent years. Beane wasted a whole lot of time and money on Bobby Crosby, and the Indians' talent pipeline on Shapiro's watch hasn't impressed me, though I think he's done well in some of his trades. (Jay Jaffe)
2009-10-13 14:00:00 (link to chat)It seems like Kenny Williams and Billy Beane almost approach their teams like keeper league fantasy owners: building up for runs earlier in the year, being unafraid to sell off when it doesn't go well as the season progresses, and taking on value (i.e., getting stars like Holliday, Peavy, or Rios cheaply while also dealing for prospects like Quentin) whenever possible. They don't seem to follow the more rigid labels of "rebuilding" or "contending." Is this is a genuine trend I'm noticing, and does this flexbility serve their teams better than some sort of more consistent plan?
(Jim Clancy from Exhibition Stadium)
Well, Kenny certainly seems like someone who keeps things in play. He keeps an eye out to add other people's blue-chip talent when other people get frustrated with it (Danks, Floyd, and Quentin, for example), Flowers is on the way as well, and yet he's also adding premium veterans. Rios might end up looking like a mistake in the long-term, but it was an understandable risk given they were playing Podzilla again, and needed a center fielder.

It's a superficial observation, but I guess I'm left with the notion that the repercussions of the Bobby Abreu trade of 2006 was the event that highlighted how silly it can be to talk about 'white flags' or talking about rebuilding/contending as opposites. Pat Gillick ran up the flag, and two weeks later he's in a playoff race. Doing both at once is the rule for more teams than there are in just one category or the other. (Christina Kahrl)
2009-10-08 14:00:00 (link to chat)Evan Grant has been reporting that the Texas Rangers should (will?) resign Marlon Byrd, Trade Nelson Cruz, and platoon Julio Borbon and Ivan Rodriguez in the DH slot. Doesn't that sound to you more like a recipe for exactly what they SHOULDN'T do?
(Ira from North Texas)
Ivan Rodriguez has no business on this team next year. Taylor Teagarden is basically that guy if you just want to go defense behind the plate, and you'd be insane to DH I-Rod. Trade Cruz to make room for him and Byrd? What the hell? Is this Billy Beane's plan for the Rangers? (Joe Sheehan)
2009-10-05 16:00:00 (link to chat)Would a Milton Bradley + 16 MIL for Pat Burrell trade be feesible? The Rays Front Office is always looking for improvements and getting a player for 2 yrs and only costing them 2.5 Per makes a ton of sense for them.
(jlarsen from Chicagoland)
So the Cubs would be paying 80% of Bradley's remaining salary AND giving him up in exchange for an awful fielding outfielder who constantly needs defensive replacements late in the game. If the Rays pull this off, Hendry should be fired and Friedman becomes the new Billy Beane. (Eric Seidman)
2009-07-24 16:30:00 (link to chat)Can you breakdown the Holliday trade. I love Wallace but don't know anything about Shane Peterson or Clayton Mortenson.
(tonipeluso from Oakland, CA)
Cardinals get 2 months of Holliday, As get two prospects (Peterson and Mortenson) that Kevin Goldstein likes but doesn't love, and Wallace, who was likely a 1B in the MLB, and I'm pretty sure Pujols ain't going anywhere. Billy Beane was able to trade Holliday for more than he traded to GET Holliday, and the Cardinals legitimately upgrade their outfield. Is it too cliche to say win-win? (Eric Seidman)
2009-07-24 16:30:00 (link to chat)If Holliday trade was a Win-Win, and Billy Beane got more for him than for what he traded for him. Following your logic, the big loser in the Holliday trade was Colorado, right?
Pretty much. (Eric Seidman)
2009-07-15 14:00:00 (link to chat)I understand that this isn't really a prospect question, but I keep hearing that Billy Beane will be content to get the 2 draft picks for Holliday. Seeing as how the Brewers were undone by the Yankees signing Teixeira, and with the prospect of the Mets having a protected pick next year, how wise of a strategy is that? Shouldn't they settle for one established prospect?
(big baby from nj)
I think that's just smart posturing. If I have a nice car, and I put a for sale sign on it, and somebody comes and kicks the tires but doesn't offer much, wouldn't it make more sense for me to say I'm fine with keeping it if nobody wants to pay me what it's worth? (Kevin Goldstein)
2009-07-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hi John, thanks as always for taking time to chat. What are the prospects that the A's deal Holliday before the deadline, and who do you hear are the frontrunners?
(Shane from Miami)
Billy Beane seems adamant that he'll keep Holliday all season and take the two draft picks if he does not get two impact prospects in return. Thus, I have a feeling Holliday stays in Oakland. (John Perrotto)
2009-01-29 13:00:00 (link to chat)Anything on Billy Beane's new computer game?
(Aloysius from Warsaw)
I still want to try it, I'm just not sure I want to $60 try it. I think I'll hold off until next year. (Marc Normandin)
2008-12-11 14:00:00 (link to chat)Beyond the fact that he isn't very good... Would it be a smart bet for Billy Beane to trade Bobby Crosby to a potential Furcal suitor just to shrink the market for him? The A's can't outbid anybody who might want Furcal, so shouldn't they want to be the only ones bidding? Then even if they don't sign Furcal, I don't really see some kind of a Gregorio Petit, Pennington, Mark Ellis as a downgrade at all. At least there's SOME defense, power and obp in that group, albeit not in the same place.
(Juan Eduardo from San Francisco)
My problem with that is I don't think there is much of a market for Bobby Crosby. His value is lower than ever. It's a good idea in theory but I think it would be hard to execute. (John Perrotto)
2008-11-24 15:00:00 (link to chat)I seem to remember several years ago reports that Billy Beane was on the verge of trading for Jim Edmonds, but he went to St. Louis instead. I would LOVE to know which side nixed the deal and why. Can I find that anywhere? You could probably write a whole book about stuff like this...
(Jed from San Francisco)
Not sure. You'd probably have to find an insider willing to talk. (Caleb Peiffer)
2008-11-03 13:30:00 (link to chat)Speaking as a Mets fan to an A's fan, what do you suppose it would realistically take to pry Huston Street from Billy Beane's far-from cold, dead hands? And do you think Street poses the best solution to the Mets bullpen woes (from here he seems to be a better solution than paying retail rates for K-Rod and/or Fuentes, or wishcasting on Putz to be healthy)?
(wrightfan5 from MD)
I think you can expect Beane to hold out for the best bits in the organization, but I really doubt that the Mets would deal Fernando Martinez for Street, and if I'm the A's, I don't need or want guys like Mike Carp. Danny Murphy's interesting, but basically this would have to involve a lot of low-level pitching to make it worthwhile. I suppose it depends on whether or not consecutive humiliations at the hands of the Phillies adds any additional impetus; at some point, Omar's going to be the guy taking the blame for failure. (Christina Kahrl)
2008-10-24 14:00:00 (link to chat)After multiple major surgeries, what kind of production should we expect from Eric Chavez next season and beyond?
(Dave from Chicago)
I've always viewed the litanies of injuries of both Chavez and Bobby Crosby as enough for the A's to move strongly towards Plan B options at both positions; that they haven't remains one of Billy Beane's biggest shortcomings. I expect nothing from them, and I think the A's might eventually come around to the idea that Jack Hanahan and Donnie Murphy aren't gonna cut it. (Jay Jaffe)
2008-10-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)So the A's are on the verge of re-signing Mark Ellis. Even ignoring concerns about his surgically repaired shoulder, why trade for Eric Patterson and Adrian Cardenas and draft Jemile Weeks if Ellis is sticking around for a few years?
(Dave from Chicago)
I have to admit I did something of a double-take on hearing of this. Thirty-one year-old second basemen with sketchy injury histories are exactly the kind of players Billy Beane is generally smart enough to stay away from. Perhaps this is a Varitek-like character signing. I don't know. (Steven Goldman)
2008-10-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is Brad Pitt being pitched role of Billy Beane in a 'Moneyball' movie the worst idea since Beverly Hills Chihuahua?
(Chris from Harrisonburg, VA)
How much did Chihuahua make on it's opening? Pitt's an underrated actor, but to me a bit too manic for the part. I see it more as Clooney with Pitt as Michael Lewis. (Will Carroll)
2008-07-24 13:00:00 (link to chat)Billy Beane is showing much more patience with Daric Barton than he did with Carlos Pena--is he mellowing as he ages?
(Drew W from NoVa)
Perhaps, but I think it also reflects the difference between how Barton works at his craft now, and how Pena did then. (Christina Kahrl)
2008-07-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)Regarding Inoa... signing him doesn't seem very much like an A's-like move... What made Billy Beane take a risk now?
(Wendy from Madrid)
Maybe the A's arent' as "A's-like" as you thing -- and maybe they thought he's that good. I'll have more on this later in the week. (Kevin Goldstein)
2008-06-27 14:00:00 (link to chat)Just this week I visited Cleveland and took in a game at Progressive Field. Great place to see a game. It was Omar's triumphant return to Cleveland. He laid down a bunt to win the game. The fan base still seems very energized. Does this help or hurt a front office as they plan for the future? Do they need to "seem" to compete? Or is an organization like Cleveland smart enough to do the "right thing" and trust their fans to buy into the plan?
(mhixpgh from Back From Progressive Field)
I think you can trust a fan base to learn and invest some faith in what you're trying to do--look at the confidence it seems most A's fans have in Billy Beane, something that's not merely the product of a certain amount of celebrity. A passionate audience means you still have an audience, and that beats disinterest any day of the week. (Christina Kahrl)
2008-06-24 13:00:00 (link to chat)With rumors of Billy Beane about to offer a record contract to a 16 year old Dominican pitcher, one has to wonder: is this his idea of a market inefficiency to exploit or just one heckuva young pitcher?
(Rob from Alaska)
If you have to offer a record contract to a player, doesn't that automatically rule out that there's a market inefficiency at work at all? Or is the market inefficiency that pitching has become so thin that buying high on a teenager is preferable to other options? (Steven Goldman)
2008-06-17 15:00:00 (link to chat)would the yankees and a's be willing to swap matsui or giambi for harden?
(jphan44 from CT)
I'm sure the Yanks would be willing, and I'm 100% skeptical that Billy Beane would bite. (Jay Jaffe)
2008-05-05 12:30:00 (link to chat)How would you rank the Stockton trio of Anderson, Cahill, and De Los Santos - and has your ranking of those 3 changed since the season began?
(Ryan from NY)
I'll say this: Trevor Cahill has done everything to earn consideration as one of the minor leagues better pitching prospects. He might very well be a top ten overall guy next year. Some credit for his draft goes to Billy Beane, if I recall correctly. Didn't Beane personally cross-check Cahill three times, or am I thinking of another guy. Anyway, he's at the top, and I think the next two are tied for the moment. De Los Santos gets more than a month before falling to the bottom, but I believe a little more in what Anderson is selling than I did six weeks ago. (Bryan Smith)
2008-01-29 16:00:00 (link to chat)Billy Beane's fire sale: yet another stroke of small-market, moneyball-esque genius? Or has he finally overplayed his hand?
(Jonah from New York, NY)
Neither. The A's couldn't compete with the Angels on the field, and the farm system had dried up, so he had only one option left, which was to take it on the chin for a few years and reload. I wouldn't call that "genius", I'd call that "realism". Not a lot of GMs would make that call, but that's because not a lot of GMs have the job security that Beane has to make a decision in his organization's best long-term interests, knowing he'll still be there to reap the rewards. (Rany Jazayerli)
2008-01-25 13:30:00 (link to chat)How much more trade activity do you see coming from Oakland before the season starts? Does it make sense, in your mind, to hold onto any of Blanton, Street, Ellis, and Chavez until the trading deadline and then deal them?
(Geoff from Chicago)
Billy Beane has said the stated direction is to get back to the point the team was at just prior to their 2000-2004 run with a stable of prospects that can position them for the next 5 to 7 years.

Given that direction (and since Beane accumulated 9 prospects in the Swisher and Haren deals and so it looks to be working) it would seem that all of those in your list except Huston Street, who at 23 is several years younger than the rest of the bunch, would be candidates for turning over for prospects. That said, since they're not planning on being competitive this year it doesn't seem that would need to deal any of these guys before the season starts and could wait to see if something better comes along.

The value of Chavez, unfortunately, is probably at an all-time low (three off-season surgeries and they're not sure he'll be ready by spring training) but Ellis (SFR loves him) and particularly Blanton would certainly be attractive to a lot of teams right now. So for Chavez I would assume that they would be hoping he gets off to a hot start and then find a taker (like the Phils?). (Dan Fox)
2008-01-17 14:00:00 (link to chat)Hi Christina - Bill James (the analyst, not the former Miracle Braves stalwart) wrote eloquently in the 1980s about a team building itself to beat its divisional competition rather than to become a truly great, World Series-type team. Do you see NL teams falling into that trap, and doesn't it seems like Billy Beane is being very aggressive in avoiding that just-good-enough mindset?
(BL from Bozeman)
Absolutely, but it's defensible in the wild-card era, because look what that mindset has given us in the NL: the Astros and Rockies in the WS, not to mention a second Marlins championship. Where it's not at all defensible is when you operate out of that sensibility in a league where there are truly great teams--and that's effectively Terry Ryan's legacy in Minnesota, and perhaps also Doug Melvin's in Texas. (Christina Kahrl)

BP Roundtables

DateRoundtable NameComment
2010-10-06 10:00:002010 Playoffs Day OneAnd before CarGo was, CarPe was another instance of Billy Beane's capacity to regift a goodie. (Christina Kahrl)
2009-06-10 08:45:002009 Draft Coverage, Day TwoStassi and Grant Green to OAK. Interesting. The real question is if we should we wait before posting the comments suggesting that going over-slot is the new black and Billy Beane has outsmarted us all again? (Kiley McDaniel)

Advanced Catching Metrics

Year lvl CSAA Framing Runs Blocking Chances EPAA Blocking Runs SB Attempts SRAA TRAA Throwing Runs FRAA Adj. FRAA
1989 mlb -.001 0.0 3 .000 0.0 0 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 1.2

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