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Date | Question | Answer |
2020-03-27 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Which lotto ticket teenager is the best add as my final prospect: Maximo Acosta, Misael Urbina, Brayan Rocchio, or Keoni Cavaco? (Alex from Austin) | Rocchio, though Acosta has more upside and big helium (Jesse Roche) |
2019-06-05 21:00:00 (link to chat) | Do you ever go back and undertake an exercise whereby you review your previous "too early" post-draft dynasty rankings and compare them to your end-of-year/start of year prospect rankings, to see whether there are any trends (e.g. guys with a certain skill set perform better/worse initially in pro ball, general under/over ranks, etc.)? (AJ from Boston) | I do this every year and it's a great exercise that helps me hopefully get a little better at making these initial lists in future seasons. The toughest thing about doing it this early isn't that you don't know the skills of the player (you really don't learn that much from their brief tastes of pro ball), it's that you don't know how quickly the team is going to move them. Take Andrew Vaughn for example, my guess is that he ends up in High-A relatively quickly after signing, but if the White Sox end up keeping him in short season ball for the full year, it has an effect on his ETA whether he's beating up on those pitchers or not. In terms of trends, it's generally the prep bats/arms who we don't quite have as much information on that move most sharply. Someone like Keoni Cavaco could easily be in the top-10 after his pro debut, or he could fall back into the late teens because everything is notable when you're dealing with a short track record. (Mr. President Bret Sayre) |
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