Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET
|Date On||Date Off||Transaction||Days||Games||Side||Body Part||Injury||Severity||Surgery Date||Reaggravation|
|2009-10-21||2009-10-21||Off||0||0||Low Back||Surgery||Herniated Disc and Nerve Root Decompression||2009-10-21|
|2006-07-18||2006-09-13||15-DL||57||53||Trunk||Stress Fracture||Rib Cage||-|
2019 Preseason Forecast
Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET
|2012-07-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)||East Coast question from the midwest. Over the second half how far will R.A. Dickey and Johan Santana fall off from their first half performances?|
(wauzer from Milwaukee)
|Well, I don't think Santana will throw another no-hitter. And I doubt Dickey will throw another one-hitter.
Santana has posted a 5.67 ERA in seven starts since the no-no, and batters are hitting .291/.345/.544 against him over that period. He is better than that, but I think the real concern is workload. How many more innings can he pitch after sitting out all of 2011?
As for Dickey, sometimes knuckleballers have great years. Joe Niekro in 1982. Charlie Hough in 1985. Tim Wakefield in 1995 and 2002. Dickey seems to be having one of those years, as he did in 2010, but with a much higher (and more baffling) strikeout rate. How far will he fall? On the one hand, he has allowed five runs in three of his last four starts, so maybe it's already starting. On the other, he allowed eight in his third start of the year and then went 9-0 with a 1.21 ERA over his next 11. I don't know where his pitches are headed, I don't know where his season is headed. (Geoff Young)
|2011-08-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)||Your JAWS articles are one of my favorite parts of the site. Is Catfish Hunter the most underqualified member of the HOF in recent memory? The topic was brought up on a message board recently and the consensus was that I was an idiot for thinking Hunter isn't an obvious HOFer. I was surprised at how poorly Hunter measured via WARP. He seems to have benefited a lot via his home park, the pitching version of Jim Rice, if you will, and his career ERA+ is only 105, which puts him about on par with Tim Wakefield. Actually, my quick estimate of JAWS scores has Wakefield as only 2 points worse than Hunter.|
(The Groovin' Mahoovin from Atlantic City, NJ)
|Thanks for the kind words. Hunter fares poorly on the JAWS scale because of his middling run prevention, and while he's slightly further from the standard at starting pitching than Rice is in left field, he's slightly closer in terms of peak - he was washed up at 33 years old due to injuries that may have had something to do with the problems that felled him later in life. Furthermore, he dusts Rice when it comes to the postseason, having won five World Series rings. (Jay Jaffe)|
|2010-11-11 13:00:00 (link to chat)||So if I'm done, who is the oldest player in MLB? (Like most people, I like the idea that there's at least one guy still in the bigs around my age.)|
(Jamie Moyer from home, resting)
|Pretty sure it's Tim Wakefield. August 2, 1966. Wow.
I wonder if we see more older pitchers in the coming years than before. Improved health could play a role on hand, but added competition from other countries could make it harder to stay around. (Matt Swartz)
|2010-10-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)||I felt old when I compiled this list in April. Tweleve 2010 MLB players were older than me. How many will be back next year?
1 Jamie Moyer -- Phillies --18-Nov-62
2 Tim Wakefield -- Red Sox --2-Aug-66
3 Omar Vizquel -- White Sox --24-Apr-67
4 Trevor Hoffman -- Brewers -- 13-Oct-67
5 Matt Stairs -- Padres -- 27-Feb-68
6 Brad Ausmus -- Dodgers -- 14-Apr-69
7 Arthur Rhodes -- Reds -- 24-Oct-69
8 Ken Griffey Jr. -- Mariners -- 21-Nov-69
9 Mariano Rivera-- Yankees -- 29-Nov-69
10 Takashi Saito -- Braves -- 14-Feb-70
11 Jim Edmonds -- Brewers -- 27-Jun-70
12 Mark Grudzielanek -- Indians -- 30-Jun-70|
(ted from the cubicle)
|Most of them, I think. Next year is Wakefield's last season though. Matt Stairs wants to come back for one more year, at least. Arthur Rhodes is a reliever, so he'll pitch until he can't. (Marc Normandin)|
|2009-12-15 14:00:00 (link to chat)||Lackey to the Red Sox? I don't get it. Does this mean that Boston is going to try and trade some of its young pitching (Bowden, Tazawa, etc.) for a Cabrera or Gonzalez?|
(PSIllini from Columbus, OH)
|Maybe, but I think I like Joe's suggestion, that in this market, it means they might peddle from among their stock in veteran starters. Admittedly, that puts them up against the Braves, who are equally motivated to do something about their overstock, but Bowden and Tazawa have options (and could use time in Pawtucket), and it isn't like Tim Wakefield's retired just yet. The Sox could deal from among their new front five. Beckett's the logical guy to flip, although they cold also sell low on Dice-K to keep that fifth slot to Wakefield plus Bowden. (Christina Kahrl)|
|2009-12-01 13:00:00 (link to chat)||Why don't more teams have a knuckleballer in the pen as a long man/change of pace guy? You have to believe that after seeing 90mph fastballs all game, a 60mph knuckler would make anyone look foolish|
(jbuofm from Peoria)
|I did love the days of Tim Wakefield: Closer, but I think part of the problem is just that there aren't a lot of guys who can throw a knuckleball consistently well. I'm sure there are plenty of pitchers that can toss one for kicks, but consistency is the key, especially when it looks like the pitcher doesn't even know where it's going sometimes.
I also wonder how effective the pitch would be if everyone in the league was used to seeing it often. (Marc Normandin)
|2009-09-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)||Thanks for the chat, Will. What do you think the chances are of Tim Wakefield being an effective pitcher (i.e. not a perennially injured one) next season. What I'm angling at: should the Red Sox pick up his $4 million option next season? |
(mattymatty2000 from Philly)
|This is more a question for Shawn Hoffman, but I think the question is one of value -- can they replace his production, even at a reduced level, for the same or less cost. PECOTA gives us a tool for assessing this, but it's career assessment for Wakefield is dumbfounding. Shifting to a partial reliever role, it expects him to throw MORE innings in the next two years but for his value to go down. The other question here is the value of the next option; with his odd contract, you're not just giving up one year, but the right to keep renewing. I think the Red Sox have options, but that the cheap option and loyalty gets him one more year. (Will Carroll)|
|2009-07-13 14:00:00 (link to chat)||You said of Tim Wakefield going to the All-Star game, "the list of AL pitchers more qualified for the honor is very, very long." How many people on that list have been as good as Wakefield for as long? Isn't overlooking his track record, of years and years of being a very good if not great pitcher, equivalent to the one-half-year-itis in All-Star voting that you (and I) complain about?|
(Bill from New Mexico)
|You're overrating his career. He's been average to good, not very good to great. And the standard for making the All-Star team has to be higher than "22nd-best guy and a nice story." So many pitchers got cheated by that pick. All-Star pitching staffs have ALWAYS been about first-half performance, at least in my lifetime, so to change it for one guy is silly. Besides, let's be serious: if Wakefield had been 8-6, he wouldn't have been picked. This was innumeracy above all else.
Lightning round. (Joe Sheehan)
|2008-11-03 13:30:00 (link to chat)||What are your thoughts on Jamie Moyer and should the Phillies re-sign him? He is quoted as saying he'll be back what's he worth?|
(gmchugh from Seattle,Wa)
|On some level, Moyer's almost like the crafty lefty variant on Tim Wakefield--if you can get him for an affordable package that lets you write him in as your fourth starter, he's an asset. If he wants a three-year deal at market rates, wish him well. (Christina Kahrl)|
|2008-07-21 15:00:00 (link to chat)||As the proud, expectant father of twin girls, any physical reason that a women could not pitch professionally? ( I am not sure Ira Borders counts)
(cooper7d7 from CT)
|I'll make my second tennis reference here and say it's extremely unlikely. Even the best women players can't stay on the court with mediocre male players, but more importantly to pitching, the fastest woman (Venus Williams) tops out around 125. The first woman pitcher will likely be a Jamie Moyer or maybe a Tim Wakefield type. (Will Carroll)|
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