Tanner Houck Stats | Baseball Prospectus

Biographical

Tanner Houck P
Scouting Report
Scouted by Steve Givarz (Oct 7, 2019)
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2019 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 23)

IP	ERA	WHIP	SO	W	L	SV	WARP
83.7	5.16	1.58	70	5	6	0	0.1

Birth Date	6-29-1996
Height	6' 5"
Weight	230 lbs

Age	27 years, 9 months, 27 days
Bats	R
Throws	R

: 2015
: 2016
: 2017
: 2018
: 0.12019
proj

WARP Summary

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MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
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YEAR	Team	Lg	G	GS	IP	W	L	SV	H	BB	SO	HR	PPF	H/9	BB/9	HR/9	K/9	GB%	BABIP	WHIP	FIP	ERA	cFIP	DRA	DRA-	WARP

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shown —Click to hide.

YEAR	Team	Lg	LG	G	GS	IP	W	L	SV	H	BB	SO	HR	PPF	H/9	BB/9	HR/9	K/9	GB%	BABIP	WHIP	FIP	ERA	cFIP	DRA	DRA-
2017	LOW	A-	NYP	10	10	22.3	0	3	0	21	8	25	0	104	8.5	3.2	0.0	10.1	49%	.333	1.30	2.53	3.63	89	4.91	104.6
2018	SLM	A+	CAR	23	23	119.0	7	11	0	110	60	111	11	103	8.3	4.5	0.8	8.4	50%	.298	1.43	4.31	4.24	110	4.96	104.9
2019	PME	AA	EAS	17	15	82.7	8	6	0	86	32	80	4	99	9.4	3.5	0.4	8.7	50%	.346	1.43	3.35	4.25	97	5.45	112.1
2019	PAW	AAA	INT	16	2	25.0	0	0	1	19	14	27	3	85	6.8	5.0	1.1	9.7	48%	.250	1.32	5.30	3.24	98	3.52	72.4

Plate Discipline

YEAR	Pits	Zone%	Swing%	Contact%	Z-Swing%	O-Swing%	Z-Contact%	O-Contact%	SwStr%

Injury History — No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On	Date Off	Transaction	Days	Games	Side	Body Part	Injury	Severity	Surgery Date	Reaggravation

Compensation

Year	Team	Salary
2023	BOS	$740,000
2022	BOS	$716,000
2021	BOS	$577,000

Years	Description	Salary
3 yr	Previous	$2,033,000
3 yr	Total	$2,033,000

Service Time	Agent	Contract Status
1 y 100 d		1 year/$740,000 (2023)

Details
1 year/$740,000 (2023). Re-signed by Boston 3/23. 1 year/$716,000 (2022). Renewed by Boston 3/22. 1 year/$577,000 (2021). Re-signed by Boston 3/21. 1 year (2020). Contract selected by Boston 9/15/20. Drafted by Boston 2017 (1-24) (Missouri). $2.6145M signing bonus (slot amount).

2019 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT	W	G	GS	IP	H	BB	SO	HR	BABIP	WHIP	ERA	DRA	VORP	WARP
90^o	20	24	24	106.9	86	45	89	11	.252	1.23	3.68	4.01	-8.7	-0.9
80^o	17.7	22	22	98.6	87	46	82	11	.269	1.34	4.11	4.48	-13.0	-1.4
70^o	16.2	21	21	92.9	87	46	77	11	.281	1.43	4.43	4.83	-15.6	-1.7
60^o	14.9	20	20	88.1	87	46	73	11	.291	1.50	4.71	5.13	-17.6	-1.9
50^o	13.8	19	19	83.7	87	45	70	11	.301	1.58	4.98	5.42	-19.3	-2.1
40^o	12.7	18	18	79.5	86	45	66	11	.311	1.65	5.25	5.71	-20.8	-2.3
30^o	11.6	17	17	75.0	85	45	62	11	.321	1.73	5.54	6.03	-22.2	-2.4
20^o	10.3	16	16	69.9	84	44	58	11	.333	1.84	5.90	6.42	-23.5	-2.6
10^o	8.6	14	14	63.1	82	43	52	11	.350	1.99	6.42	6.98	-25.0	-2.7
Weighted Mean	13.8	19	19	83.2	85	45	69	11	.298	1.56	4.93	5.37	-18.8	-2.0

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2019 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.

Year	Age	W	L	G	GS	IP	H	BB	SO	HR	GB%	BABIP	WHIP	ERA	DRA	H/9	BB/9	K/9	HR/9	WARP
2020	24	6	8	24	24	142	153	81	123	20	43	.313	1.64	5.24	5.55	9.7	5.1	7.8	1.3	-0.1
2021	25	5	7	19	19	114	120	65	97	16	43	.303	1.62	5.29	5.60	9.4	5.1	7.6	1.3	-0.1
2022	26	5	7	19	19	114	118	63	97	15	43	.303	1.59	5.20	5.50	9.3	5.0	7.7	1.2	-0.0
2023	27	4	6	16	16	96	100	54	82	14	43	.303	1.61	5.37	5.68	9.4	5.1	7.7	1.3	-0.2
2024	28	4	5	15	15	90	93	51	76	12	43	.301	1.60	5.24	5.55	9.3	5.1	7.6	1.2	-0.1
2025	29	4	6	18	18	104	106	57	91	15	43	.302	1.57	5.19	5.49	9.2	4.9	7.9	1.3	-0.0
2026	30	4	5	16	16	93	95	50	81	13	43	.300	1.55	5.17	5.47	9.2	4.8	7.8	1.3	0.0
2027	31	4	5	16	16	94	96	51	83	13	43	.302	1.57	5.15	5.45	9.2	4.9	8.0	1.2	0.0
2028	32	4	5	15	15	88	89	47	78	13	43	.299	1.55	5.13	5.43	9.1	4.8	8.0	1.3	0.0

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 91)

Rank	Score	Name	Year	Run Average	Trend
1	97	Max Fried	2017	5.19
2	96	Luis Martinez	2018	0.00	DNP
3	96	Chris Anderson	2016	0.00	DNP
4	94	Chris Ellis	2016	0.00	DNP
5	94	Tyler Wagner	2014	0.00	DNP
6	94	Jimmy Barthmaier	2007	0.00	DNP
7	94	Franklyn Kilome	2018	0.00	DNP
8	93	Wyatt Strahan	2016	0.00	DNP
9	93	Michael Mader	2017	0.00	DNP
10	93	Henry Centeno	2018	0.00	DNP
11	93	Mike Hinckley	2006	0.00	DNP
12	93	Travis Ott	2018	0.00	DNP
13	93	Anthony Ranaudo	2013	0.00	DNP
14	93	Derian Gonzalez	2018	0.00	DNP
15	93	Shane Watson	2017	0.00	DNP
16	92	Kyle Weiland	2010	0.00	DNP
17	92	Carlos Hernandez	2010	0.00	DNP
18	92	Dean Deetz	2017	0.00	DNP
19	92	Braulio Lara	2012	0.00	DNP
20	92	Zach Jackson	2006	6.10
21	92	Michael Goodnight	2012	0.00	DNP
22	92	Scott Moss	2018	0.00	DNP
23	92	Manuel Rondon	2018	0.00	DNP
24	92	Fernando Nieve	2006	4.30
25	91	Jason Hammel	2006	7.77
26	91	Glen Perkins	2006	1.59
27	91	Jake Cose	2014	0.00	DNP
28	91	Aliangel Lopez	2017	0.00	DNP
29	91	Omar Poveda	2011	0.00	DNP
30	91	Brandon Waddell	2017	0.00	DNP
31	91	Anthony Meo	2013	0.00	DNP
32	91	Anthony Ferrara	2013	0.00	DNP
33	91	Sam Selman	2014	0.00	DNP
34	91	Luis Lugo	2017	0.00	DNP
35	91	Jordan Kipper	2016	0.00	DNP
36	91	Adam Harben	2007	0.00	DNP
37	91	Evan Anundsen	2011	0.00	DNP
38	91	Max Russell	2012	0.00	DNP
39	91	Edgar Olmos	2013	16.20
40	91	Sean Black	2011	0.00	DNP
41	91	Jerry Sullivan	2011	0.00	DNP
42	90	Aaron Miller	2011	0.00	DNP
43	90	Jae Kuk Ryu	2006	8.40
44	90	Drake Britton	2012	0.00	DNP
45	90	Chuck Lofgren	2009	0.00	DNP
46	90	Brad Peacock	2011	0.75
47	90	Scott Barlow	2016	0.00	DNP
48	90	Cody Poteet	2018	0.00	DNP
49	90	Ian McKinney	2018	0.00	DNP
50	90	Garrett Williams	2018	0.00	DNP
51	90	Luis Noel	2011	0.00	DNP
52	90	Brett Wallach	2012	0.00	DNP
53	90	Joshua Slaats	2012	0.00	DNP
54	90	Heath Fillmyer	2017	0.00	DNP
55	90	Shane Greene	2012	0.00	DNP
56	90	Zach Thompson	2017	0.00	DNP
57	90	Chris Hernandez	2012	0.00	DNP
58	90	Michael Jensen	2014	0.00	DNP
59	90	Matt Withrow	2017	0.00	DNP
60	90	Corey Black	2015	0.00	DNP
61	90	Spencer Turnbull	2016	0.00	DNP
62	89	T.J. McFarland	2012	0.00	DNP
63	89	Daniel Mengden	2016	6.63
64	89	Jose Paulino	2018	0.00	DNP
65	89	Michael Kirkman	2010	1.65
66	89	Emerson Martinez	2018	0.00	DNP
67	89	Zachary Neal	2012	0.00	DNP
68	89	Nick Pivetta	2016	0.00	DNP
69	89	Luke Jackson	2015	4.26
70	89	Zach McAllister	2011	8.15
71	89	Kelvin De La Cruz	2012	0.00	DNP
72	89	Wynn Pelzer	2009	0.00	DNP
73	89	Joely Rodriguez	2015	0.00	DNP
74	89	Silfredo Garcia	2015	0.00	DNP
75	89	Tyler Beede	2016	0.00	DNP
76	89	Matt Bywater	2012	0.00	DNP
77	89	Rob Rasmussen	2012	0.00	DNP
78	89	James Adkins	2009	0.00	DNP
79	89	Taylor Jungmann	2013	0.00	DNP
80	89	Logan Shore	2018	0.00	DNP
81	89	Roberto Gomez	2013	0.00	DNP
82	89	Cody Scarpetta	2012	0.00	DNP
83	88	JC Ramirez	2012	0.00	DNP
84	88	Adrian De Horta	2018	0.00	DNP
85	88	Brooks Raley	2011	0.00	DNP
86	88	Taylor Jordan	2012	0.00	DNP
87	88	Andrew Sopko	2018	0.00	DNP
88	88	Alex Balog	2016	0.00	DNP
89	88	Mark Hardy	2011	0.00	DNP
90	88	Nicholas Carr	2010	0.00	DNP
91	88	Trevor Harden	2011	0.00	DNP
92	88	Charlie Lowell	2014	0.00	DNP
93	88	Ranfi Casimiro	2016	0.00	DNP
94	88	Ryan Rowland-Smith	2006	0.00	DNP
95	88	Jimmy Lambert	2018	0.00	DNP
96	88	Anthony Swarzak	2009	6.56
97	88	Ian Clarkin	2018	0.00	DNP
98	88	Chris Heston	2011	0.00	DNP
99	88	Evan Reed	2009	0.00	DNP
100	88	Graham Stoneburner	2011	0.00	DNP

BP Annual Player Comments

Year		Comment
2019		Due to publishing agreements, the 2019 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2019 book (available in hardcopy, and soon e-book and Kindle).
2018		The sun-loving brother of Pale Houck, Tanner is a big, right-handed starter out of the University of Missouri, who can run his heavy fastball up to the high-90s but pitched most often in the 92-95 range as a junior. He’s got an ideal build for a starting pitcher, showed decent command as an undergrad and gets positive reviews for his demeanor on the mound. The fine folks at Baseball America labeled Houck “the second coming of Jake Peavy,” which is pretty high praise and a great sign for Sox fans and duck boat salesmen alike. So why’d Houck fall all the way to the 24th pick in last year’s draft? He lacks an impact secondary pitch at present and has a high-effort delivery, which may limit him to a bullpen role. Houck could move fast as a potential impact reliever, but he’s still got mid-rotation upside, so expect the Sox to give him at least a season to try and figure it out as a starter.

BP Articles

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BP Chats

Date	Question	Answer
2021-06-30 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Hi Craig. Could I get your thoughts on Daulton Jefferies and Tanner Houck? Do you expect to see either soon and what are your projected ceilings for both of these pitchers? Thanks! (Jack from Mechanicsburg)	I actually like Houck quite a bit as a back-end, five-inning type starter. I don't have a ton of thoughts on Jefferies honestly. He's never been my cup of tea but I hope he can stay healthy and be something akin to what I described Houck as. (Craig Goldstein)

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