Biographical

Portrait of Jeter Downs

Jeter Downs SS  

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2019 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 20)
PA AVG HR R RBI SB DRC+ WARP
325 .158 10 37 27 9 28 -2.1
Birth Date7-27-1998
Height5' 11"
Weight195 lbs
Age27 years, 0 months, 24 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2015
2016
2017
2018
-2.12019
proj
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA H 2B 3B HR BB SO HBP SB CS AVG OBP SLG DRC+ DRAA BRR FRAA BWARP

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shown —Click to hide.
YEAR Team Lg LG G PA oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ DRC+ DRC+ SD FRAA BRR DRAA BWARP
2017 BIL Rk PIO 50 209 .290 .359 .447 .288 105 4.7 6.6 3 97 0 -4.5 -1.5 -4.8 -0.1
2018 DYT A MID 120 524 .248 .321 .371 .306 102 8.6 14.6 1.6 124 0 -12.2 -1.6 12.3 1.6
2019 RCU A+ CAL 107 479 .253 .325 .408 .304 107 22.6 12.9 4.7 127 0 -5.1 4.1 10.3 2.9
2019 TUL AA TEX 12 56 .255 .336 .408 .333 111 5 1.5 0.6 167 0 -0.4 0.8 3.3 0.6

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shown —Click to hide.
Year Team lvl LG PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO SF SH
2017 BIL Rk PIO 209 172 31 46 3 3 6 73 29 27 32 8 5 .267 .370 .424 .157 5 1
2018 DYT A MID 524 455 63 117 23 2 13 183 47 52 103 37 10 .257 .351 .402 .145 1 2
2019 TUL AA TEX 56 48 14 16 2 0 5 33 11 6 10 1 0 .333 .429 .688 .354 0 0
2019 RCU A+ CAL 479 412 78 111 33 4 19 209 75 54 97 23 8 .269 .354 .507 .238 7 2

Plate Discipline

YEAR Pits Zone% Swing% Contact% Z-Swing% O-Swing% Z-Contact% O-Contact% SwStr% CSAA

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2023 WAS $
2022 BOS $

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
0 y 68 d2024

Details
  • 2024. DFA by NY Yankees 1/19/24. Sent outright to Triple-A 1/24/24.
  • 1 year (2023). Re-signed by Washington 3/23. Claimed by NY Yankees off waivers 12/19/23 after being DFA by Washington 12/12/23.
  • 1 year (2022). Contract selected by Boston 11/19/21. Re-signed by Boston 3/22. DFA by Boston 12/14/22.
  • Acquired by Boston in trade from LA Dodgers 2/9/20.
  • Acquired by LA Dodgers in trade from Cincinnati 12/21/18.
  • Drafted by Cincinnati 2017 (1s-32) (Pace HS, Miami Gardens, Fla.). $1,822,500 signing bonus ($2,084,400 slot).

2019 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG DRC+ VORP FRAA WARP
90o 391 48 71 4 0 15 41 29 98 14 5 .199 .264 .337 54 -3.0 SS -8, 2B 0 -1.2
80o 368 43 62 3 0 13 37 26 95 12 4 .184 .245 .309 45 -8.3 SS -7, 2B 0 -1.7
70o 352 39 57 3 0 12 34 23 92 11 4 .176 .234 .297 39 -11.7 SS -7, 2B 0 -2.0
60o 338 36 52 3 0 11 31 21 89 10 4 .167 .223 .283 33 -14.3 SS -7, 2B 0 -2.3
50o 325 34 47 2 0 10 29 20 87 9 3 .157 .213 .263 28 -16.6 SS -6, 2B 0 -2.5
40o 312 31 43 2 0 9 27 18 85 8 3 .149 .203 .249 23 -18.6 SS -6, 2B 0 -2.7
30o 298 29 39 2 0 8 24 16 82 8 3 .141 .189 .235 17 -20.4 SS -6, 2B 0 -2.8
20o 282 26 35 2 0 7 22 15 78 7 2 .133 .181 .221 11 -22.3 SS -6, 2B 0 -3.0
10o 259 22 29 1 0 6 19 12 74 6 2 .119 .163 .198 2 -24.4 SS -5, 2B 0 -3.2
Weighted Mean33035482010302088103.158.213.26330-15.8SS -7, 2B 0-2.4

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2019 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG DRC+ WARP VORP BRR POS_ADJ REP_ADJ RAA FRAA
202021504601034017563312921.225.282.34631-2.2-9.92.13.013.0-27.9-10.0
202122506601044017563512721.225.282.34531-2.2-10.12.12.813.0-28.1-10.0
20222348057993017553212420.226.282.35131-2.1-9.62.02.612.3-26.5-9.5
20232444653934015503111619.228.286.35131-1.9-8.91.82.311.5-24.5-8.8
20242543952893015493111118.225.284.34731-1.9-9.11.72.111.3-24.2-8.7
20252642752894015493010817.227.286.35432-1.9-8.91.51.911.0-23.3-8.4
20262742051884015483010616.228.287.35532-1.9-9.11.21.810.8-22.8-8.3
20272840950853015472910414.227.287.35532-1.9-9.11.01.610.5-22.2-8.1
20282940249823014462910213.227.288.35432-1.9-9.40.71.510.3-21.9-8.0

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 78)

Rank Score Name Year DRC+ Trend
1 94 Wendell Rijo 2016 0 DNP
2 91 Delino DeShields 2013 0 DNP
3 89 Dilson Herrera 2014 89
4 87 Riley Unroe 2016 0 DNP
5 87 Adrian Cardenas 2008 0 DNP
6 86 Jonathan Schoop 2012 0 DNP
7 86 Rougned Odor 2014 89
8 85 Jorge Polanco 2014 99
9 84 Jamie Westbrook 2015 0 DNP
10 84 Gleyber Torres 2017 0 DNP
11 83 Yeiler Peguero 2018 0 DNP
12 83 Luis Arraez 2017 0 DNP
13 83 Ozzie Albies 2017 109
14 83 Jeimer Candelario 2014 0 DNP
15 83 Gavin Lux 2018 0 DNP
16 82 Matt Dominguez 2010 0 DNP
17 82 Edinson Rincon 2011 0 DNP
18 81 Cheslor Cuthbert 2013 0 DNP
19 81 Andrew Velazquez 2015 0 DNP
20 81 Jason Martin 2016 0 DNP
21 80 Anderson Feliz 2012 0 DNP
22 80 Trevor Story 2013 0 DNP
23 80 Billy McKinney 2015 0 DNP
24 80 Kyle Tucker 2017 0 DNP
25 80 Lucius Fox 2018 0 DNP
26 80 Ramon Flores 2012 0 DNP
27 79 Brendon Davis 2018 0 DNP
28 79 Maikel Franco 2013 0 DNP
29 79 Willy Adames 2016 0 DNP
30 79 Bobby Borchering 2011 0 DNP
31 79 Jesse Winker 2014 0 DNP
32 79 J.P. Crawford 2015 0 DNP
33 78 Taylor Trammell 2018 0 DNP
34 78 Matt Davidson 2011 0 DNP
35 78 Nick Gordon 2016 0 DNP
36 78 Trey Michalczewski 2015 0 DNP
37 78 Dante Bichette Jr. 2013 0 DNP
38 78 Tyler Wade 2015 0 DNP
39 78 Caleb Gindl 2009 0 DNP
40 78 Ruddy Giron 2017 0 DNP
41 78 Jake Bauers 2016 0 DNP
42 78 Jahmai Jones 2018 0 DNP
43 78 Francisco Lindor 2014 0 DNP
44 78 Ronald Torreyes 2013 0 DNP
45 77 Alen Hanson 2013 0 DNP
46 77 Nick Noonan 2009 0 DNP
47 77 Jefry Marte 2011 0 DNP
48 77 Rafael Devers 2017 106
49 77 Carlos Correa 2015 128
50 77 Victor Robles 2017 79
51 77 Javier Betancourt 2015 0 DNP
52 77 Edilio Colina 2009 0 DNP
53 76 Luis Alexander Basabe 2017 0 DNP
54 76 Billy Rowell 2009 0 DNP
55 76 Ruben Tejada 2010 71
56 76 Cedric Hunter 2008 0 DNP
57 76 Orlando Arcia 2015 0 DNP
58 76 Amed Rosario 2016 0 DNP
59 76 Omar Estevez 2018 0 DNP
60 76 Jurickson Profar 2013 87
61 76 Jomar Reyes 2017 0 DNP
62 76 Jose Tabata 2009 0 DNP
63 76 Freddie Freeman 2010 70
64 75 Addison Russell 2014 0 DNP
65 75 Jacob Skole 2012 0 DNP
66 75 Nomar Mazara 2015 0 DNP
67 75 Aderlin Rodriguez 2012 0 DNP
68 75 Dominic Smith 2015 0 DNP
69 75 Frederick Parejo 2011 0 DNP
70 75 Edward Salcedo 2012 0 DNP
71 75 Alex Liddi 2009 0 DNP
72 75 Kevin Padlo 2017 0 DNP
73 74 Elvis Andrus 2009 86
74 74 Ryan McMahon 2015 0 DNP
75 74 Cito Culver 2013 0 DNP
76 74 Jose Osuna 2013 0 DNP
77 74 Luigi Rodriguez 2013 0 DNP
78 74 Adalberto Mondesi 2016 49
79 74 Anderson Tejeda 2018 0 DNP
80 74 Starlin Castro 2010 90
81 74 Jiovanni Mier 2011 0 DNP
82 74 Tim Beckham 2010 0 DNP
83 74 Wilmer Flores 2012 0 DNP
84 74 Joe Benson 2008 0 DNP
85 74 Edgardo Baez 2006 0 DNP
86 74 Darwin Perez 2010 0 DNP
87 74 Franmil Reyes 2016 0 DNP
88 74 Rashun Dixon 2011 0 DNP
89 73 Chris Marrero 2009 0 DNP
90 73 Randy Ventura 2018 0 DNP
91 73 Clint Frazier 2015 0 DNP
92 73 Chris Parmelee 2008 0 DNP
93 73 Carson Kelly 2015 0 DNP
94 73 Jon Singleton 2012 0 DNP
95 73 Luis Urias 2017 0 DNP
96 73 Jonathan Garcia 2012 0 DNP
97 73 Zacrey Law 2017 0 DNP
98 73 Sebastian Valle 2011 0 DNP
99 72 Richard Urena 2016 0 DNP
100 72 Hak-Ju Lee 2011 0 DNP

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2019  Due to publishing agreements, the 2019 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2019 book (available in hardcopy, and soon e-book and Kindle).
2018 The Reds' second-round pick, Jeter Downs will look back fondly at how things turned out if he can put together a career comparable to his namesake's down years.

BP Articles

Click here to see articles tagged with Jeter Downs

BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2021-01-21 12:00:00 (link to chat)Jeter Downs. I am surprised he did not make it given he actually has an extensive professional track record for you to evaluate. Any noteworthy flaws that kept him off the list? thanks
(uncasf1 from Raleigh)		He will also be on tomorrow's Just Missed list, but the short of it is we think he's probably a second baseman and we worry the approach will limit his hit tool at higher levels. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2021-01-15 12:00:00 (link to chat)Of these prospects, who is most likely to get significant MLB playing time in 2021? Jarren Duran, Kyle Isbel, Jeter Downs, or Luis Barrera. Thanks.
(Old timer from Raleigh)		Royals seem to be the most willing to play the prospects. I expect once you manipulate Nick Pivetta's service time, you will do the same with Downs and Durran. Barrera doesn't really strike me as a starter once he's up, but it's the A's so who knows. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2020-04-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)Both Jeter Downs and Vidal Brujan went very early in the fantasy experts prospect mock draft, too early imo. I assume this is due in part to their steal potential. Given the lack of steals at the MLB level, is it time to get rid of steals as a stand alone fantasy category?
(Old Timer from Raleigh NC)		I agree both Brujan (16) and Downs (34) went a touch too early for my tastes, but neither stood out as a massive overdraft to me. Obviously, the majority of Brujan's fantasy value is tied to his speed and potential for big stolen-base numbers. Downs, on the other hand, carries more value in his hit/power combo than his legs. Still, he could chip in 10-15 steals at peak despite his more modest raw foot speed.

Steals are certainly in steep decline. Just last year, the average MLB hitter only stole ~7 bases over 600 PAs (versus 21.8 homers).

There are many different fantasy leagues, some of which devalue stolen bases. Steals are less valuable in simulation-based leagues such as Scoresheet or Benchwarmer Baseball. Steals are also less valuable in points formats or even leagues with more categories. However, steals remain a vital, valuable part of most traditional 5x5 formats. Personally, I enjoy value being tied to stolen bases and their increasing rarity. If you are opposed to stolen bases carrying so much value, you can always set up your new league to more properly value the stat. For now, however, I do not see stolen bases going anywhere. Who doesn't like a good swiped bag?! (Jesse Roche)
2020-03-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Dynasty keeper league. I am likely to have a choice of Jeter Downs, Orelvis Martinez, or Noelvi Marte with my first pick. Do you have any particular preference and why? Thanks.
(Old Timer from Raleigh NC)		Dynasty and keeper are different things normally. If you can keep nearly your entire roster forever, then it is dynasty. If you have a strict keeper limit, even if you can keep forever, it is keeper. The difference matters because opportunity cost is something that must be considered when talking players like Orelvis Martinez and Noelvi Marte who are a ways away.

Regardless, none are bad picks, but I am partial to Marte as a potential 5-category star who could be a top-10 dynasty prospect by year's end if everything goes according to plan. (Jesse Roche)
2020-02-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)What is your ceiling projection for Jeter Downs?
(Mahonri from OC )		Downs missed the Ceiling-Only Top 101 mainly due to his Potential Earnings of $15-20 (which I tried to push to $20-25 to no avail). I see his ceiling as something like .265/25/15. He just has 50/55 raw power but he puts the ball in the air so much (53%) that he maximizes that pop. His speed also plays up due to instincts. Average speedsters can net ~15 stolen bases on moxie and savvy alone. (Jesse Roche)
2019-10-30 16:00:00 (link to chat)Hi Craig, I'm still not talking to you, but what *realistically* would be an acceptable Lindor trade package? I'm fully prepared for it to be more underwhelming than it should be. To steal from a wildly successful and rollicking podcast, Thanks, I Hate It.
(Mark from The Bad Place)		Okay, so this is picking up on a rumor that Jon Morosi was peddling that may or may not be related to what I wrote in my Dodgers 2020 Hindsight piece. Morosi, stop stealing my bits for news! Anyway, the Dodgers are interested in Lindor and I think there are two ways for Cleveland to go about it from them. One involves Corey Seager as a centerpiece. What he gives you now is the same two years of team control as Lindor, a lower ceiling (but not THAT much, he was a 5+ win player in recent memory), and lower overall cost than Lindor. I think you fill that out with maybe one other significant prospect -- Keibert Ruiz might make some sense with the ascendance of Will Smith and Ruiz's down-ish year, plus maybe a DJ Peters type? Maybe a flier like Gerardo Carrillo (one of my fav arms in that system).

If you're not going with Seager I think you look to start with May or Lux and go from there. I don't know that you get 2/3 of them and Ruiz, but you might be able to pry Jeter Downs as a future shortstop type if you're not getting Lux. The Dodgers haven't tended to part with guys that are part of the current team so I don't know if May/Lux is feasible, but you could also chase an Alex Verdugo, potentially since the team is deep in outfielders. Could also work a throw in like an Edwin Rios, who flashed briefly. Rios types aren't major additions to the deal but he's ready now-ish and could contribute as a DH/1B type. (Craig Goldstein)
2019-08-28 12:00:00 (link to chat)What does Jeter Downs's upside look like? Could he be a first-division SS?
(Slippery Pete from The deep)		That feels a bit lofty for me, although Brandon but an OFP 55 on him earlier this year. https://legacy.baseballprospectus.com/prospects/eyewitness_bat.php?reportid=549 (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2019-07-31 12:00:00 (link to chat)Recently got Jeter Downs probably because of the great first name. With the great first name aside what should we be expecting from him as a prospect?
(David from Atlantis)		I'm not his biggest fan. A slew of average to above-average tools but nothing that really pops. I like to see a carrying tool, personally, so this does fall into the category of guy I underrate. (Craig Goldstein)
2019-04-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)How freaking good is Josiah Gray? What a steal for my beloved Dodgers!
(Sandra from Hollywood)		I like Josiah Gray, maybe a little too much. I think I stated I preferred him to Jeter Downs at the time of the deal. That might be stating things a little too much, that said I don't think trading Puig, Wood, and Kemp for Homer Bailey's contract and prospects on the tier of Gray or Downs can be qualified a steal in any sense. (Craig Goldstein)
2019-02-06 21:00:00 (link to chat)Did any of the following get consideration or should they be rostered in leagues that hold around 175 prospects? Julio Rodriguez, Mark vientos, Monte Harrison Jeter Downs, Josh Naylor
(Charlie from San Jose)		Naylor got semi-serious top 101 consideration, and I threw Harrison into the HM. Vientos and Downs are fine top 175 names as well. Idk which Julio Rodriguez you mean! - BC (Dynasty 101 Chat w/ Ben Carsley and Bret Sayre)


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PITCHf/x Hitter Profile

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