Jay Groome Stats | Baseball Prospectus

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Jay Groome PRed Sox

Red Sox Player Cards | Red Sox Team Audit | Red Sox Depth Chart

2019 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 20)

IP	ERA	WHIP	SO	W	L	SV	WARP
32.3	4.97	1.64	32	2	3	0	0.1

Birth Date	8-23-1998
Height	6' 6"
Weight	262 lbs

Age	25 years, 8 months, 3 days
Bats	L
Throws	L

: 2015
: 2016
: 2017
: 2018
: 0.12019
proj

WARP Summary

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MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shown —Click to hide.

YEAR	Team	Lg	G	GS	IP	W	L	SV	H	BB	SO	HR	PPF	H/9	BB/9	HR/9	K/9	GB%	BABIP	WHIP	FIP	ERA	cFIP	DRA	DRA-	WARP

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shown —Click to hide.

YEAR	Team	Lg	LG	G	GS	IP	W	L	H	BB	SO	HR	PPF	H/9	BB/9	HR/9	K/9	GB%	BABIP	WHIP	FIP	ERA	cFIP	DRA	DRA-
2016	LOW	A-	NYP	1	1	2.7	0	0	0	4	2	0	92	0.0	13.5	0.0	6.8	57%	.000	1.50	6.26	3.38	127	4.25	93.9
2016	RSX	Rk	GCL	2	2	4.0	0	0	3	0	8	0	91	6.8	0.0	0.0	18.0	50%	.375	0.75	-0.70	2.25	51	1.06	23.4
2017	GRN	A	SAL	11	11	44.3	3	7	44	25	58	6	105	8.9	5.1	1.2	11.8	55%	.355	1.56	4.56	6.70	98	4.49	95.5
2017	LOW	A-	NYP	3	3	11.0	0	2	5	5	14	0	102	4.1	4.1	0.0	11.5	58%	.208	0.91	2.52	1.64	87	2.65	56.3
2019	LOW	A-	NYP	1	1	2.0	0	0	3	1	3	0	94	13.5	4.5	0.0	13.5	29%	.429	2.00	1.90	4.50	92	4.16	85.5
2019	RSX	Rk	GCL	2	2	2.0	0	0	2	0	3	0	98	9.0	0.0	0.0	13.5	80%	.400	1.00	0.50	0.00	82	3.17	65.2

Plate Discipline

YEAR	Pits	Zone%	Swing%	Contact%	Z-Swing%	O-Swing%	Z-Contact%	O-Contact%	SwStr%

Injury History — No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On	Date Off	Transaction	Days	Games	Side	Body Part	Injury	Severity	Surgery Date	Reaggravation

Compensation

Year	Team	Salary
2023	SDN	$
2021	BOS	$

Service Time	Agent	Contract Status
0 y 0 d		1 year (2023)

Details
1 year (2023). Re-signed by San Diego 3/23. 1 year (2022). Re-signed by Boston 3/22. Acquired by San Diego in trade from Boston 8/2/22. 2021. Contract selected by Boston 11/20/20. Drafted by Boston 2016 (1-12) (Barnegat HS, N.J.). $3.65M signing bonus ($3.1928M slot).

2019 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT	W	G	GS	IP	H	BB	SO	HR	BABIP	WHIP	ERA	DRA	VORP	WARP
90^o	10.4	13	13	53.2	40	25	52	5	.256	1.23	3.37	3.67	-2.4	-0.3
80^o	8.6	11	11	45.7	38	24	44	4	.275	1.36	3.83	4.18	-4.6	-0.5
70^o	7.4	10	10	40.5	36	23	39	4	.289	1.46	4.18	4.56	-5.7	-0.6
60^o	6.4	9	9	36.2	35	22	35	4	.301	1.55	4.49	4.89	-6.3	-0.7
50^o	5.5	8	8	32.3	33	20	31	4	.313	1.64	4.78	5.21	-6.7	-0.7
40^o	4.7	7	7	28.6	30	19	28	4	.324	1.73	5.09	5.54	-7.0	-0.8
30^o	3.9	6	6	24.7	28	17	24	3	.336	1.83	5.42	5.9	-7.0	-0.8
20^o	3.1	5	5	20.4	24	15	20	3	.351	1.95	5.82	6.33	-6.7	-0.7
10^o	2	4	4	14.7	19	12	14	2	.371	2.13	6.40	6.96	-5.8	-0.6
Weighted Mean	5.4	8	8	31.3	31	19	30	4	.309	1.61	4.72	5.15	-6.3	-0.7

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2019 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.

Year	Age	W	L	G	GS	IP	H	BB	SO	HR	GB%	BABIP	WHIP	ERA	DRA	H/9	BB/9	K/9	HR/9	WARP
2020	21	6	9	28	28	167	170	104	162	20	45	.315	1.64	5.01	5.29	9.2	5.6	8.7	1.1	0.2
2021	22	5	8	25	25	145	141	91	147	18	45	.307	1.60	4.96	5.24	8.8	5.6	9.1	1.1	0.3
2022	23	5	8	25	25	148	147	91	141	19	45	.304	1.60	5.05	5.34	8.9	5.5	8.6	1.2	0.2
2023	24	5	7	24	24	143	139	85	143	17	45	.307	1.57	4.80	5.07	8.8	5.4	9.0	1.1	0.5
2024	25	5	7	23	23	134	130	80	133	17	45	.303	1.57	4.89	5.17	8.7	5.4	8.9	1.1	0.3
2025	26	4	6	18	18	108	108	66	108	15	45	.310	1.61	5.06	5.35	9.0	5.5	9.0	1.2	0.1
2026	27	4	6	19	19	111	105	66	113	13	45	.302	1.54	4.78	5.05	8.5	5.3	9.1	1.1	0.4
2027	28	4	5	17	17	101	98	58	100	13	45	.304	1.54	4.83	5.10	8.7	5.2	8.9	1.2	0.3
2028	29	4	5	17	17	99	95	56	102	12	45	.308	1.53	4.63	4.89	8.6	5.1	9.3	1.1	0.5

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 91)

Rank	Score	Name	Year	Run Average	Trend
1	95	Reggie Lawson	2018	0.00	DNP
2	95	Ian Clarkin	2015	0.00	DNP
3	95	Timothy Melville	2010	0.00	DNP
4	95	J.C. Sulbaran	2010	0.00	DNP
5	94	Chad James	2011	0.00	DNP
6	94	Michael Kopech	2016	0.00	DNP
7	94	Luiz Gohara	2017	5.22
8	93	Hunter Harvey	2015	0.00	DNP
9	93	Roman Mendez	2011	0.00	DNP
10	93	Ofelky Peralta	2017	0.00	DNP
11	93	Resly Linares	2018	0.00	DNP
12	93	Dae-Eun Rhee	2009	0.00	DNP
13	93	T.J. House	2010	0.00	DNP
14	93	Chuck Lofgren	2006	0.00	DNP
15	93	Anthony Swarzak	2006	0.00	DNP
16	92	Tony Santillan	2017	0.00	DNP
17	92	Kelvin De La Cruz	2009	0.00	DNP
18	92	Keyvius Sampson	2011	0.00	DNP
19	92	A.J. Alexy	2018	0.00	DNP
20	92	German Marquez	2015	0.00	DNP
21	92	Miguel Castro	2015	6.62
22	92	Christian Garcia	2006	0.00	DNP
23	92	Wilmer Font	2010	0.00	DNP
24	92	Jake Thompson	2014	0.00	DNP
25	92	Aliangel Lopez	2014	0.00	DNP
26	91	Sean Reid-Foley	2016	0.00	DNP
27	91	Omar Poveda	2008	0.00	DNP
28	91	Mason Thompson	2018	0.00	DNP
29	91	Alfredo Tavarez	2018	0.00	DNP
30	91	Rony Garcia	2018	0.00	DNP
31	91	Stephen Landazuri	2012	0.00	DNP
32	91	Ian Anderson	2018	0.00	DNP
33	91	Tanner Bushue	2011	0.00	DNP
34	91	Austin Franklin	2018	0.00	DNP
35	91	Pedro Avila	2017	0.00	DNP
36	91	Paul Demny	2010	0.00	DNP
37	91	Tyrell Jenkins	2013	0.00	DNP
38	91	Sal Romano	2014	0.00	DNP
39	91	Max Fried	2014	0.00	DNP
40	91	Jon Niese	2007	0.00	DNP
41	91	Tyler Matzek	2011	0.00	DNP
42	90	Brett DeVall	2010	0.00	DNP
43	90	Justin Nicolino	2012	0.00	DNP
44	90	Nick Barnese	2009	0.00	DNP
45	90	Homer Bailey	2006	0.00	DNP
46	90	Jorge Bucardo	2010	0.00	DNP
47	90	Victor Payano	2013	0.00	DNP
48	90	Parker Bridwell	2012	0.00	DNP
49	90	Cody Reed	2016	0.00	DNP
50	90	Jayson Aquino	2013	0.00	DNP
51	90	Jose Martinez	2014	0.00	DNP
52	90	Luis Cruz	2011	0.00	DNP
53	90	Chris Tillman	2008	0.00	DNP
54	90	Nick Travieso	2014	0.00	DNP
55	90	Brad Hand	2010	0.00	DNP
56	90	Jeurys Familia	2010	0.00	DNP
57	90	Grant Holmes	2016	0.00	DNP
58	90	Luke Jackson	2012	0.00	DNP
59	90	Carlos Perez	2012	0.00	DNP
60	90	Jean Cosme	2016	0.00	DNP
61	90	Randall Delgado	2010	0.00	DNP
62	90	Elvin Rodriguez	2018	0.00	DNP
63	90	Kyle Lobstein	2010	0.00	DNP
64	90	Felix Sterling	2013	0.00	DNP
65	89	Huascar Ynoa	2018	0.00	DNP
66	89	Joe Ross	2013	0.00	DNP
67	89	Sergio Gomez	2014	0.00	DNP
68	89	Logan Allen	2017	0.00	DNP
69	89	Tyler Phillips	2018	0.00	DNP
70	89	Geisel De La Cruz	2013	0.00	DNP
71	89	Franklin Morales	2006	0.00	DNP
72	89	JC Ramirez	2009	0.00	DNP
73	89	Gio Gonzalez	2006	0.00	DNP
74	89	Josh Hader	2014	0.00	DNP
75	89	Gustavo Armas	2016	0.00	DNP
76	89	Lachlan Wells	2017	0.00	DNP
77	89	Robert Stephenson	2013	0.00	DNP
78	89	Tyler Watson	2017	0.00	DNP
79	89	Tyler Pike	2014	0.00	DNP
80	89	Pedro Vasquez	2016	0.00	DNP
81	89	Tyler Chatwood	2010	0.00	DNP
82	89	Eric Hurley	2006	0.00	DNP
83	89	Jonathan Hernandez	2017	0.00	DNP
84	89	Trevor Reckling	2009	0.00	DNP
85	88	Freicer Perez	2016	0.00	DNP
86	88	Javier Medina	2017	0.00	DNP
87	88	Kyle Allen	2010	0.00	DNP
88	88	Justin Maese	2017	0.00	DNP
89	88	Mat Latos	2008	0.00	DNP
90	88	Matt Lollis	2011	0.00	DNP
91	88	Alejandro Requena	2017	0.00	DNP
92	88	Ricardo Sanchez	2017	0.00	DNP
93	88	Jose Valenzuela	2018	0.00	DNP
94	88	Yohander Mendez	2015	0.00	DNP
95	88	Edwin Uceta	2018	0.00	DNP
96	88	Alexander Vargas	2018	0.00	DNP
97	88	Andrew Jordan	2018	0.00	DNP
98	88	Bailey Falter	2017	0.00	DNP
99	88	Adrian Salcedo	2011	0.00	DNP
100	88	Anfernee Benitez	2016	0.00	DNP

BP Annual Player Comments

Year		Comment
2019		Due to publishing agreements, the 2019 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2019 book (available in hardcopy, and soon e-book and Kindle).
2018		There’s no way to comb over the troubles Groome had in 2017. The 12th overall pick in 2016 was already currying favors with scouts headed into the season, ranking as one of the best left-handed prospects in baseball. But while he was expected to clean up in the low minors, injuries stymied his first full professional season. Groome missed time early in the year with a lat injury, and was then shut down for good in August with a left forearm strain. It’s tempting to brush away those concerns because Groome did not end up needing Tommy John surgery, and when on the mound, he flashed future top-of-the-rotation stuff. You hate to hear about elbow issues with any potential stud, though, and Groome’s walk rate reveals that he’s not yet the most stable man when it comes to command and control. Also, it’s pronounced “Grom,” but what were we going to do with that?
2017		Many scouts thought Groome was the best man in the 2016 draft, but he fell to the Red Sox at no. 12 overall due to signability concerns (commitment issues) and whispers about his makeup (rumors he wasn’t made of honor). A big, powerful lefty, Groome marries his mid-90s heat with an advanced curveball that hitters find tough to engage. He boasts a repeatable delivery that the Sox shouldn’t have to altar, and his scouting reports are bursting with unbride-eled enthusiasm. It's easy to fall in love with Groome, who is already one of the best southpaw prospects in the game. A few years down the line, perhaps he’ll be the latest Red Sox ring-bearer. Also, it’s pronounced “Grom,” but what were we going to do with that?

BP Articles

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BP Chats

Date	Question	Answer
2020-03-02 12:00:00 (link to chat)	Sox lefty Jay Groome is coming off TJS and I think he's in a make it or break it season. What do you think he does this year? Is it realistic to project him as a TOR arm? Thanks! (KC from Somwhere near Boston.)	Make or break might be a bit strong, but I believe the golf term would be "moving day." He looked good when I caught him on rehab late in the year, but we really won't know anything until he starts taking the ball regularly and working deep into games which was a problem even before the TJ. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2019-11-06 13:00:00 (link to chat)	I've been offered Jay Groome a bunch of times in my dynasty league but have been passing to this point on account of him sucking. (Mike from Baltimore)	I mean, I wouldn't buy him in a fantasy league outside of a buy-low scenario until he shows upon healthy for a bit, but also I don't give a shit about fantasy stuff when I make these lists. (Boston Red Sox Top 10 Chat)
2017-09-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Rank these pitchers and if you keep two who do keep: Mitch Keller, Triston McKenzie, Chance Adams, Sixto Sanchez, Jason Groome? Thanks JP (Jquinton82 from NY)	Based on my very limited expertise in fantasy/prospect stuff: Sixto, Keller, Groome, McKenzie, Adams. Keep an eye on Groome's injury, though. Keep Sixto and Keller. (Nicolas Stellini)
2017-07-06 12:00:00 (link to chat)	A few weeks ago, I traded Jason Groome for Kyle Wright, thinking both have high upsides but that Wright could get there a lot sooner. How do you think I did there? (Ben from MA)	May have sold a little early on Groome, but I think you did all right. I don't know if Wright's upside is quite there though. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2017-05-22 23:00:00 (link to chat)	Jason Groome ______ 😱 A) has fallen into the same bottomless pit Ozzie Smith did in the Simpsons. B) was abducted by Ego. C) is in the next episode of unsolved mysteries. D) The son of Waldo and Carmen San Diego. (Jquinton82 from NY)	Nah, while any of those things would be infinitely more exciting, he's just hurt. Strained his lat at the beginning of the month, unclear how long the shelf living'll be: http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=31758 (Wilson Karaman)
2017-05-18 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Sixto Sanchez or Jason Groome (and why). Go! (Ryan from ME)	I think I have officially gone ride or die with Sixto. Part of this is gonna be due to Groome's mysterious whatever that has put him on the DL. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2017-05-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Any updates on Jason Groome? Are the Sox being overly cautious with him? (Dave from Des Moines)	I mean I would be too. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2017-03-22 20:00:00 (link to chat)	Better dynasty league option to draft: Yadier Alvarez or Jason Groome? (Jquinton82 from NY)	We ranked Alvarez slightly higher on the real 101 but Groome slightly higher on the dynasty 101. I guess I'll go with Bret and Ben in that I think Groome has a higher probability to stick in the rotation and I think that's something that really matters for y'all. (Jarrett Seidler)
2017-03-22 20:00:00 (link to chat)	Thanks for the chat Jarrett. Was wondering if there was a certain type of player or tool that you just like. Example, some scouts of BP are drawn to Dominican SS, others really like really good change up. What's your poison. (Jerry from Earth)	Lefties with a beautiful two-plane curve. So suffice to saw I am also the staff's high man on Jason Groome. (Jarrett Seidler)
2017-03-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)	Bret Sayre ranked Nick Senzel, Corey Ray, Zach Collins, Jason Groome, & Mickey Moniak as his Top 5 Dynasty Signees from 2016. Do you agree with this, or have a different viewpoint? (Ron from Texarkana)	I think I prefer Lewis to Moniak, but totally reasonable to prefer Moniak until there's more clarity on how Lewis looks now. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2017-01-31 19:00:00 (link to chat)	For dynasty purposes, who would you rather have as a prospect, Jason Groome or Anderson Espinoza? What the greatest reason that sticks out to you? (Ron from Texarkana)	Off the top of my head I was going to say Espinoza, mostly for proximity, but then I looked and saw Groome got a little taste of Low-A last season, so they're not that far apart. I think they both could be special, but I'll take Groome and bet on the frame. (Mark Barry)

BP Roundtables

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