Biographical

Portrait of Jay Groome

Jay Groome PRed Sox

Red Sox Player Cards | Red Sox Team Audit | Red Sox Depth Chart

2019 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 20)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
32.3 4.97 1.64 32 2 3 0 0.1
Birth Date8-23-1998
Height6' 6"
Weight220 lbs
Age21 years, 1 months, 28 days
BatsL
ThrowsL
2015
2016
2017
2018
0.12019
proj
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA- WARP

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg LG G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA-
2016 LOW A- NYP 1 1 2.7 0 0 0 0 4 2 0 92 0.0 13.5 0.0 6.8 57% .000 1.50 6.26 3.38 127 4.25 93.9
2016 RSX Rk GCL 2 2 4.0 0 0 0 3 0 8 0 91 6.8 0.0 0.0 18.0 50% .375 0.75 -0.70 2.25 51 1.06 23.4
2017 GRN A SAL 11 11 44.3 3 7 0 44 25 58 6 105 8.9 5.1 1.2 11.8 55% .355 1.56 4.56 6.70 98 4.49 95.5
2017 LOW A- NYP 3 3 11.0 0 2 0 5 5 14 0 102 4.1 4.1 0.0 11.5 58% .208 0.91 2.52 1.64 87 2.65 56.3
2019 LOW A- NYP 1 1 2.0 0 0 0 3 1 3 0 94 13.5 4.5 0.0 13.5 29% .429 2.00 1.90 4.50 92 4.16 85.5
2019 RSX Rk GCL 2 2 2.0 0 0 0 2 0 3 0 98 9.0 0.0 0.0 13.5 80% .400 1.00 0.50 0.00 82 3.17 65.2

Plate Discipline

YEAR Pits Zone% Swing% Contact% Z-Swing% O-Swing% Z-Contact% O-Contact% SwStr%

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status

Details

2019 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 10.4 0 0 13 13 53.2 40 25 52 5 .256 1.23 3.37 3.67 -2.4 -0.3
80o 8.6 0 0 11 11 45.7 38 24 44 4 .275 1.36 3.83 4.18 -4.6 -0.5
70o 7.4 0 0 10 10 40.5 36 23 39 4 .289 1.46 4.18 4.56 -5.7 -0.6
60o 6.4 0 0 9 9 36.2 35 22 35 4 .301 1.55 4.49 4.89 -6.3 -0.7
50o 5.5 0 0 8 8 32.3 33 20 31 4 .313 1.64 4.78 5.21 -6.7 -0.7
40o 4.7 0 0 7 7 28.6 30 19 28 4 .324 1.73 5.09 5.54 -7.0 -0.8
30o 3.9 0 0 6 6 24.7 28 17 24 3 .336 1.83 5.42 5.9 -7.0 -0.8
20o 3.1 0 0 5 5 20.4 24 15 20 3 .351 1.95 5.82 6.33 -6.7 -0.7
10o 2 0 0 4 4 14.7 19 12 14 2 .371 2.13 6.40 6.96 -5.8 -0.6
Weighted Mean5.4008831.33119304.3091.614.725.15-6.3-0.7

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2019 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20202169028281671701041622045.3151.645.015.299.25.68.71.10.2
2021225802525145141911471845.3071.604.965.248.85.69.11.10.3
2022235802525148147911411945.3041.605.055.348.95.58.61.20.2
2023245702424143139851431745.3071.574.805.078.85.49.01.10.5
2024255702323134130801331745.3031.574.895.178.75.48.91.10.3
2025264601818108108661081545.3101.615.065.359.05.59.01.20.1
2026274601919111105661131345.3021.544.785.058.55.39.11.10.4
202728450171710198581001345.3041.544.835.108.75.28.91.20.3
20282945017179995561021245.3081.534.634.898.65.19.31.10.5

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 91)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 95 Reggie Lawson 2018 0.00 DNP
2 95 Ian Clarkin 2015 0.00 DNP
3 95 Timothy Melville 2010 0.00 DNP
4 95 J.C. Sulbaran 2010 0.00 DNP
5 94 Chad James 2011 0.00 DNP
6 94 Michael Kopech 2016 0.00 DNP
7 94 Luiz Gohara 2017 5.22
8 93 Hunter Harvey 2015 0.00 DNP
9 93 Roman Mendez 2011 0.00 DNP
10 93 Ofelky Peralta 2017 0.00 DNP
11 93 Resly Linares 2018 0.00 DNP
12 93 Dae-Eun Rhee 2009 0.00 DNP
13 93 T.J. House 2010 0.00 DNP
14 93 Chuck Lofgren 2006 0.00 DNP
15 93 Anthony Swarzak 2006 0.00 DNP
16 92 Tony Santillan 2017 0.00 DNP
17 92 Kelvin De La Cruz 2009 0.00 DNP
18 92 Keyvius Sampson 2011 0.00 DNP
19 92 A.J. Alexy 2018 0.00 DNP
20 92 German Marquez 2015 0.00 DNP
21 92 Miguel Castro 2015 6.62
22 92 Christian Garcia 2006 0.00 DNP
23 92 Wilmer Font 2010 0.00 DNP
24 92 Jake Thompson 2014 0.00 DNP
25 92 Aliangel Lopez 2014 0.00 DNP
26 91 Sean Reid-Foley 2016 0.00 DNP
27 91 Omar Poveda 2008 0.00 DNP
28 91 Mason Thompson 2018 0.00 DNP
29 91 Alfredo Tavarez 2018 0.00 DNP
30 91 Rony Garcia 2018 0.00 DNP
31 91 Stephen Landazuri 2012 0.00 DNP
32 91 Ian Anderson 2018 0.00 DNP
33 91 Tanner Bushue 2011 0.00 DNP
34 91 Austin Franklin 2018 0.00 DNP
35 91 Pedro Avila 2017 0.00 DNP
36 91 Paul Demny 2010 0.00 DNP
37 91 Tyrell Jenkins 2013 0.00 DNP
38 91 Sal Romano 2014 0.00 DNP
39 91 Max Fried 2014 0.00 DNP
40 91 Jon Niese 2007 0.00 DNP
41 91 Tyler Matzek 2011 0.00 DNP
42 90 Brett DeVall 2010 0.00 DNP
43 90 Justin Nicolino 2012 0.00 DNP
44 90 Nick Barnese 2009 0.00 DNP
45 90 Homer Bailey 2006 0.00 DNP
46 90 Jorge Bucardo 2010 0.00 DNP
47 90 Victor Payano 2013 0.00 DNP
48 90 Parker Bridwell 2012 0.00 DNP
49 90 Cody Reed 2016 0.00 DNP
50 90 Jayson Aquino 2013 0.00 DNP
51 90 Jose Martinez 2014 0.00 DNP
52 90 Luis Cruz 2011 0.00 DNP
53 90 Chris Tillman 2008 0.00 DNP
54 90 Nick Travieso 2014 0.00 DNP
55 90 Brad Hand 2010 0.00 DNP
56 90 Jeurys Familia 2010 0.00 DNP
57 90 Grant Holmes 2016 0.00 DNP
58 90 Luke Jackson 2012 0.00 DNP
59 90 Carlos Perez 2012 0.00 DNP
60 90 Jean Cosme 2016 0.00 DNP
61 90 Randall Delgado 2010 0.00 DNP
62 90 Elvin Rodriguez 2018 0.00 DNP
63 90 Kyle Lobstein 2010 0.00 DNP
64 90 Felix Sterling 2013 0.00 DNP
65 89 Huascar Ynoa 2018 0.00 DNP
66 89 Joe Ross 2013 0.00 DNP
67 89 Sergio Gomez 2014 0.00 DNP
68 89 Logan Allen 2017 0.00 DNP
69 89 Tyler Phillips 2018 0.00 DNP
70 89 Geisel De La Cruz 2013 0.00 DNP
71 89 Franklin Morales 2006 0.00 DNP
72 89 JC Ramirez 2009 0.00 DNP
73 89 Gio Gonzalez 2006 0.00 DNP
74 89 Josh Hader 2014 0.00 DNP
75 89 Gustavo Armas 2016 0.00 DNP
76 89 Lachlan Wells 2017 0.00 DNP
77 89 Robert Stephenson 2013 0.00 DNP
78 89 Tyler Watson 2017 0.00 DNP
79 89 Tyler Pike 2014 0.00 DNP
80 89 Pedro Vasquez 2016 0.00 DNP
81 89 Tyler Chatwood 2010 0.00 DNP
82 89 Eric Hurley 2006 0.00 DNP
83 89 Jonathan Hernandez 2017 0.00 DNP
84 89 Trevor Reckling 2009 0.00 DNP
85 88 Freicer Perez 2016 0.00 DNP
86 88 Javier Medina 2017 0.00 DNP
87 88 Kyle Allen 2010 0.00 DNP
88 88 Justin Maese 2017 0.00 DNP
89 88 Mat Latos 2008 0.00 DNP
90 88 Matt Lollis 2011 0.00 DNP
91 88 Alejandro Requena 2017 0.00 DNP
92 88 Ricardo Sanchez 2017 0.00 DNP
93 88 Jose Valenzuela 2018 0.00 DNP
94 88 Yohander Mendez 2015 0.00 DNP
95 88 Edwin Uceta 2018 0.00 DNP
96 88 Alexander Vargas 2018 0.00 DNP
97 88 Andrew Jordan 2018 0.00 DNP
98 88 Bailey Falter 2017 0.00 DNP
99 88 Adrian Salcedo 2011 0.00 DNP
100 88 Anfernee Benitez 2016 0.00 DNP

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2019  Due to publishing agreements, the 2019 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2019 book (available in hardcopy, and soon e-book and Kindle).
2018 There’s no way to comb over the troubles Groome had in 2017. The 12th overall pick in 2016 was already currying favors with scouts headed into the season, ranking as one of the best left-handed prospects in baseball. But while he was expected to clean up in the low minors, injuries stymied his first full professional season. Groome missed time early in the year with a lat injury, and was then shut down for good in August with a left forearm strain. It’s tempting to brush away those concerns because Groome did not end up needing Tommy John surgery, and when on the mound, he flashed future top-of-the-rotation stuff. You hate to hear about elbow issues with any potential stud, though, and Groome’s walk rate reveals that he’s not yet the most stable man when it comes to command and control. Also, it’s pronounced “Grom,” but what were we going to do with that?
2017 Many scouts thought Groome was the best man in the 2016 draft, but he fell to the Red Sox at no. 12 overall due to signability concerns (commitment issues) and whispers about his makeup (rumors he wasn’t made of honor). A big, powerful lefty, Groome marries his mid-90s heat with an advanced curveball that hitters find tough to engage. He boasts a repeatable delivery that the Sox shouldn’t have to altar, and his scouting reports are bursting with unbride-eled enthusiasm. It's easy to fall in love with Groome, who is already one of the best southpaw prospects in the game. A few years down the line, perhaps he’ll be the latest Red Sox ring-bearer. Also, it’s pronounced “Grom,” but what were we going to do with that?

BP Articles

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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2017-09-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)Rank these pitchers and if you keep two who do keep: Mitch Keller, Triston McKenzie, Chance Adams, Sixto Sanchez, Jason Groome? Thanks JP
(Jquinton82 from NY)
Based on my very limited expertise in fantasy/prospect stuff: Sixto, Keller, Groome, McKenzie, Adams. Keep an eye on Groome's injury, though. Keep Sixto and Keller. (Nicolas Stellini)
2017-07-06 12:00:00 (link to chat)A few weeks ago, I traded Jason Groome for Kyle Wright, thinking both have high upsides but that Wright could get there a lot sooner. How do you think I did there?
(Ben from MA)
May have sold a little early on Groome, but I think you did all right. I don't know if Wright's upside is quite there though. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2017-05-22 23:00:00 (link to chat)Jason Groome ______ 😱 A) has fallen into the same bottomless pit Ozzie Smith did in the Simpsons. B) was abducted by Ego. C) is in the next episode of unsolved mysteries. D) The son of Waldo and Carmen San Diego.
(Jquinton82 from NY)
Nah, while any of those things would be infinitely more exciting, he's just hurt. Strained his lat at the beginning of the month, unclear how long the shelf living'll be: http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=31758 (Wilson Karaman)
2017-05-18 13:00:00 (link to chat)Sixto Sanchez or Jason Groome (and why). Go!
(Ryan from ME)
I think I have officially gone ride or die with Sixto. Part of this is gonna be due to Groome's mysterious whatever that has put him on the DL. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2017-05-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)Any updates on Jason Groome? Are the Sox being overly cautious with him?
(Dave from Des Moines)
I mean I would be too. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2017-03-22 20:00:00 (link to chat)Better dynasty league option to draft: Yadier Alvarez or Jason Groome?
(Jquinton82 from NY)
We ranked Alvarez slightly higher on the real 101 but Groome slightly higher on the dynasty 101. I guess I'll go with Bret and Ben in that I think Groome has a higher probability to stick in the rotation and I think that's something that really matters for y'all. (Jarrett Seidler)
2017-03-22 20:00:00 (link to chat)Thanks for the chat Jarrett. Was wondering if there was a certain type of player or tool that you just like. Example, some scouts of BP are drawn to Dominican SS, others really like really good change up. What's your poison.
(Jerry from Earth)
Lefties with a beautiful two-plane curve. So suffice to saw I am also the staff's high man on Jason Groome. (Jarrett Seidler)
2017-03-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)Bret Sayre ranked Nick Senzel, Corey Ray, Zach Collins, Jason Groome, & Mickey Moniak as his Top 5 Dynasty Signees from 2016. Do you agree with this, or have a different viewpoint?
(Ron from Texarkana)
I think I prefer Lewis to Moniak, but totally reasonable to prefer Moniak until there's more clarity on how Lewis looks now. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2017-01-31 19:00:00 (link to chat)For dynasty purposes, who would you rather have as a prospect, Jason Groome or Anderson Espinoza? What the greatest reason that sticks out to you?
(Ron from Texarkana)
Off the top of my head I was going to say Espinoza, mostly for proximity, but then I looked and saw Groome got a little taste of Low-A last season, so they're not that far apart. I think they both could be special, but I'll take Groome and bet on the frame. (Mark Barry)


BP Roundtables

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