Biographical

Portrait of Dustin May

Dustin May P  

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Dodgers Player Cards | Dodgers Team Audit | Dodgers Depth Chart

2019 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 21)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
115.3 4.23 1.24 101 7 7 0 0.8
Birth Date9-6-1997
Height6' 6"
Weight180 lbs
Age21 years, 5 months, 10 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2015
2016
2017
2018
0.82019
proj
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA- WARP

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA-
2016 DOD Rk 10 6 30.3 0 1 1 37 4 34 0 107 11.0 1.2 0.0 10.1 57% .394 1.35 2.56 3.86 97 4.29 90.9
2017 GRL A 23 23 123.0 9 6 0 121 26 113 8 98 8.9 1.9 0.6 8.3 52% .306 1.20 3.35 3.88 97 4.81 100.3
2017 RCU A+ 2 1 11.0 0 0 0 6 1 15 0 108 4.9 0.8 0.0 12.3 60% .240 0.64 1.45 0.82 92 3.57 75.2
2018 RCU A+ 17 17 98.3 7 3 0 91 17 94 9 108 8.3 1.6 0.8 8.6 58% .294 1.10 3.79 3.29 89 4.47 89.6
2018 TUL AA 6 6 34.3 2 2 0 27 12 28 0 106 7.1 3.1 0.0 7.3 53% .267 1.14 3.21 3.67 102 4.38 89.0

Plate Discipline

YEAR Pits Zone% Swing% Contact% Z-Swing% O-Swing% Z-Contact% O-Contact% SwStr%

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status

Details

2019 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 9.7 6.2 0 25 25 131.8 104 34 110 14 .246 1.05 3.25 3.55 21.6 2.3
80o 8.9 6.3 0 24 24 124.3 106 35 104 14 .260 1.13 3.61 3.94 15.2 1.7
70o 8.3 6.3 0 23 23 119.1 107 35 99 15 .270 1.19 3.87 4.22 11.1 1.2
60o 7.9 6.3 0 22 22 114.7 107 35 96 15 .278 1.24 4.10 4.47 7.6 0.8
50o 7.4 6.3 0 21 21 110.7 108 35 92 15 .286 1.29 4.32 4.71 4.5 0.5
40o 7 6.3 0 20 20 106.7 108 35 89 15 .294 1.34 4.54 4.95 1.7 0.2
30o 6.6 6.3 0 20 20 102.5 108 36 86 15 .303 1.40 4.78 5.2 -1.1 -0.1
20o 6.1 6.3 0 19 19 97.7 108 35 82 15 .313 1.47 5.06 5.51 -4.3 -0.5
10o 5.4 6.3 0 17 17 91.3 107 35 76 15 .327 1.56 5.46 5.95 -8.3 -0.9
Weighted Mean7.56.302121110.5106359215.2841.284.294.684.90.5

Comparable Players (Similarity Index )

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2019  Due to publishing agreements, the 2019 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2019 book (available in hardcopy, and soon e-book and Kindle).
2018 Bronson Arroyo may have hung 'em up, but the ghost of his frame and delivery lingers on in May. The young redhead's affectionate "Gingergaard" moniker is something of a misnomer, as despite the length and locks, the Dodgers' former third-rounder lacks projection for true Thor-ian bulk and top-end velocity. His gas ain't bad, though, working consistently into the mid-90s with a strong bore into the kitchen of right-handed hitters. And he pairs it with an exciting slider that can tantalize on the same plane as his two-seamer before veering sharp and late in the opposite direction. Standard questions about durability for a skinny guy, command projection for a tall guy and third-pitch development for ... well, just about every young starter, figure to dog him throughout the growth process, but there's a sassy kind of mid-rotation upside here.
2017 Dodgers fans will miss Vin Scully in the years to come, but perhaps even more so if-and-when May takes the mound for the first time. You can almost hear Scully's syrupy drawl describing May as a tall drink of water with ginger locks and a slinger's arm slot. In reality, May won't touch the majors for a few years but his consistency is benefitting from professional coaching, allowing his potent fastball-slider combination to flourish. Both his fastball and breaking ball have produced excellent spin rates, with the former topping the list at the World Wood Bat Association World Championships. And at 6-foot-6, May's lanky frame might not be done adding good weight. Once he does, he'll not only be long, but strong, which will help him get his spin rate on.

BP Articles

Click here to see articles tagged with Dustin May

BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2019-01-23 12:00:00 (link to chat)Sometimes when ranking there's a balance between what a guy has done and what he should do. BP has always been the high man on Dustin May. Where does he fall on that balance?
(Matthew from STL)
The reality caught up to the projection in 2018. It's sit mid-90s touch upper now, the breaking ball jumped, there's some positive markers in the change, and he added a cutter, cause why not. I think there's still a bit more to come, so he's not all the way to the "what he's done" side, but closer than you might otherwise think. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2019-01-23 12:00:00 (link to chat)You all seem to be the highest in the industry on Dustin May and Brusdar - what is about these profiles that you all like so much?
(Jash from TB)
Covered May above, but on Brusdar, It's 102 with movement when he's more high-90s and a flash 7 hard slider. The change and curve aren't great, but there's average projection. That'd be a helluva starter, and while there is significant pen risk, the fastball/slider reliever version is potentially elite. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2019-01-23 12:00:00 (link to chat)Couple Dodgers questions: Does Verdugo see success with regular playing time somewhere this year? Secondly, what is Dustin May's projection - #2 or #3?
(Vandall from South Bend)
Man, I will be honest I am extremely bored with Verdugo the prospect and have to be re-talked into him every list season. It usually happens though. I just want to see him get the regular playing time already. I think he'll be above-average, but not spectacular. We have May as OFP #2, likely #3/4, but he's one where I don't feel great about the grading system capturing how I feel here. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2018-12-10 16:00:00 (link to chat)Need to cut one of the following: Sixto, Alcantara, Touki, Andres Gimenez or Dustin May. I'm leaning toward May because of the lack of ML proximity.
(Jim from (Dynasty League))
I think May or Alcantara is the right call, and May would be the easiest to get back given that proximity issue. (Darius Austin)
2018-11-28 13:00:00 (link to chat)Will we see Dustin May in LA in 2019? Do you think he still has the potential to be a #2 or #3?
(Vandall from South Bend)
This seems an appropriate time to remind everyone reading this that I write about current baseball, baseball analytics, baseball history, and baseball economics. I know next to nothing about prospects and fantasy. Not that I don't care, but there are others here who are far, far better than I. So you should post questions like this to them! Wilson Karaman is chatting tomorrow; he knows fantasy and prospects. Jeffrey Paternostro is our lead prospect writer; he'll be chatting Friday. Bryan Grosnick and Jarrett Seidler next week. Mike Gianella and Kevin Carter the week after. All far better people to ask fantasy and prospects questions! As for Dustin May, I see he just turned 21 and has pitched a grand total of 34 1/3 innings above A-level. Again, I'll defer to the smart kids, but I don't see the Dodgers rushing him. (And yes, I know, Walker Buehler, but was older and rocketed his way up through the minors before arriving at Chavez Ravine.) But seriously, I'm a moron. Ask Wilson or Jeffrey tomorrow or Friday! (Rob Mains)
2018-11-28 13:00:00 (link to chat)Peter Maris seems like an interesting guy. Old for his level, but LH with developing power, solid speed, great plate control, and neutral MIF defense. Seems like an ML profile. Have any thoughts?
(duhbear from VT)
My comments about Dustin May would apply here. Not what I said about him specifically, but that this is better for our deep bench of prospects experts, several of whom have upcoming chats. (Rob Mains)
2018-12-12 17:00:00 (link to chat)How excited should I be about Dustin May?
(Felix from 55th and Kedzie 1 bedroom apt above liquor store)
As excited as you want to be. On a scale of 1-10, it's a 7 for me. (Mike Gianella)
2018-12-06 20:00:00 (link to chat)Is Dustin May worth investing in in a dynasty fantasy league?
(Keith from Aspen)
Buy immediately. Definitely before the Dodgers list and the 101 come out. (Jarrett Seidler)
2018-11-29 23:00:00 (link to chat)Will we see Dustin May in LA in 2019? Do you think he still has the potential to be a #2 or #3?
(Brandon from Mass)
Yeah, he should get to Chavez next year. I'm honestly not sure what to make of him as a starter longterm, but I buy it as long as it works. I think he's ideally suited for one of those soon-to-be-ubiquitous 2-3 innings 2-3 times a week roles teams are gravitating towards, but absolutely possible the stuff plays and holds to true starter caliber outcome. (Wilson Karaman)
2018-11-30 13:00:00 (link to chat)Will we see Dustin May in LA in 2019? Do you think he still has the potential to be a #2 or #3?
(Brandon from Mass)
The Dodgers aren't afraid to be aggressive with their arms, and May already has some Double-A innings under his belt. A 2019 debut would be aggressive but not too fanciful. And yeah, we have him as a 7/6 and a top 30 or so prospect in baseball. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2018-07-30 23:00:00 (link to chat)Dustin May worth getting excited about?
(Kevin from Channahon)
Very much so, yes. I wrote about him most recently a couple months ago, with links to a couple other recent looks. He added some strength this year, and has generally just been more crisp and consistent getting down the hill on line. He's a unique physical specimen and is just kinda tough to time, plus the top two (mid-90's gas and a tight, hard low-80s curve) is really good in raw stuff terms: https://www.baseballprospectus.com/prospects/article/40248/monday-ten-pack-may-29-drew-waters-jo-adell/ (Wilson Karaman)
2018-07-13 15:00:00 (link to chat)Does Dustin May have top of the rotation potential? Should he be untouchable in a trade for a rental player?
(Jose from CA)
Let's start with the Gingergaard. The short answer is yes, although you'd like to see strides with a third pitch before you sign on for that OFP. I joked on twitter about including a dotted line labeled "Below here trade for Manny Machado," and as much as we love May, he'd be below that line for me. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2018-07-10 20:00:00 (link to chat)In a deep 20 team keep forever league. Is it time to move on from Byron Buxton (have Yelich, Acuna, Soto, Schwarber, Robles, Adell and Luis Robert). Looking to improve my pitching and looking at Dustin May.
(beringstorm from Tacoma, WA)
Sweet outfield! I wouldn't blame you for wanting to move Buxton but I wonder if you can get more. I love May, but Buxton should net you more. Try for guys like Sixto, Paddack, A.Reyes and work your way down. (Eddy Almaguer)
2018-07-16 19:00:00 (link to chat)What's Dustin May's ceiling?
(Kevin from Channahon)
So here's that whole ceiling thing again. Dustin May absolutely has reasonable outcomes where he's an ace. He's probably only getting there 10 or 15 percent of the time. Is that enough to be considered a ceiling? (Jarrett Seidler)
2018-07-16 19:00:00 (link to chat)How excited should I be about Dustin May?
(Sean99 from Orland Park)
That said, you should be very excited. This is why everyone takes the big raw fastball/curveball prep out of Texas, to have a prospect like this a couple years later. There's very little pointing down here; his stuff is great, his stats relative to league and age context are great, you constantly hear rumblings that his Trackman/spin sort of stuff is off the charts, it's a clean motion from a good body, we hear positive things about him as a kid, all of it.

And he's still a pitcher, of course. (Jarrett Seidler)
2018-07-16 19:00:00 (link to chat)Thanks for taking the time to chat Jarrett. Since you guys seem to like a certain type of prospect nowadays- players with good bat to ball skills who who are underrated due to lacking a big power ceiling- doesn't Gavin Lux also fit this profile?
(Barry from Brooklyn )
Sure. But we're always going to be a bit wary of a hitter breaking out somewhere like Rancho without underlying tools changes; it's the same reason Dustin May's performance is a lot better than it initially looks. (Jarrett Seidler)
2018-06-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)An owner in my league only looks at stats when assessing minor leaguers. How dangerous is that? He dropped Dustin May. Should I grab him?
(Sean99 from Orland Park)
So I have so many questions here, but first it's a 3.83 ERA and a K per inning in the Cal League even before we get into the stuff.

Anyway, yes, free the Gingergaard. The stuff has jumped and there could be even more coming. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2018-06-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)Can you elaborate on Dustin May's stuff jumping? Any positives with the changeup?
(Bobby Bradley's 40-time from MA)
Velocity has jumped and he's found a tighter breaking ball that's worked for him. Change is still a work in progress, to put it politely. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2018-04-13 12:00:00 (link to chat)Dustin May doesn't get a lot of attention, yet, appears to be on the rise. Legit?
(Jett from Skyward)
You must be new here.

Yes, we like the Gingergaard a lot. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2018-02-05 12:00:00 (link to chat)Dustin May's ranking was a nice surprise. Though he's had good numbers I've read that people believe he isn't going to fill out and might be close to physically maxed out. This ranking implies differently, I guess?
(Sal from LAD)
Sure. Despite my attempts to make the Gingergaard nickname stick, he doesn't have Syndergaard's frame. I do think there is more in the tank, but the present stuff is better than he gets credit for, and that's all baked into the ranking. And you could rightly have the same concerns about Triston McKenzie for example. (Top 101 with Jeffrey Paternostro)
2018-01-31 14:00:00 (link to chat)I'm in a rookie draft at the moment expanding from 140 rostered to 210. Could you name a few guys that might have gotten overlook on the published top 100 lists but could be big movers in 2018. The only notable name left in my league are Alec Hansen, Jhailyn Ortiz, Nolan Jones.
(Chansen8895 from San Jose)
Those are some good names to target, for sure. Jones especially has seen his stock rise over the last calendar year. Some other names I like: Seuly Matias, Gabriel Maciel, Yonathan Diaz, Jesus Luzardo, and Dustin May. (Mark Barry)
2017-07-25 20:00:00 (link to chat)Overall, who is the best pitching prospect in the Midwest League?
(Slaphappy from Indiana )
The league is deep in pitching this year. A few weeks ago I would have said Dylan Cease. I think Emmett is high on Dustin May, I like Reggie Lawson. - Nathan (Emmett Rosenbaum & Nathan Graham)
2017-07-25 20:00:00 (link to chat)Thoughts on the Great Lakes rotation? Obviously Dustin May is dreamy, but I'd love to hear more about A.J. Alexy. Thanks.
(Steve from LA)
I wish I could tell you about Alexy, but I've missed him this year. I've had some misfortune with Great Lakes and ended up with Jordan Sheffield three times. I can confirm that May is very dreamy though, I saw him twice and think he's legit. -Emmett (Emmett Rosenbaum & Nathan Graham)
2017-06-13 12:00:00 (link to chat)Can you name 3 guys in A ball who have similar potential and could blow up like those before them (ie: Acuna, Jimenez, Robles, Vladito). Looking to snag the next stars in my league... Thanks in advance!
(Peter from Houston)
We get these questions year round so it's hard to keep track of guys you haven't heard of or aren't rostering already but guys we like are: Dustin May, Daniel Brito, Estevan Florial, Christian Pache. (Craig Goldstein)
2017-04-28 13:30:00 (link to chat)whose your favorite pennystock prospect?
(kjesanis from worcester)
Mmmm, again depends a bit on depth of your league but I've been all in on Dustin May. I also like Derian Cruz with Atlanta despite his ice cold start. (Craig Goldstein)
2017-03-22 20:00:00 (link to chat)What prospects are you looking to buy a bunch of pre-season stocks this year so this time next year you their stock will be drastically higher so you can say to everyone "Look I got in on the ground floor on ___"?
(Igor from At a Bar)
So the "problem" - and it's not really a problem at all - when you contribute to lists is that I've pretty much revealed all of my "helium" guys, and our lists reflect them. So like I can give you, say, Thomas Szapucki, Dustin May, and Alec Hansen, but BP's writings and lists already have that purchase price built in. (Jarrett Seidler)
2017-03-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)Pick two to round out dynasty keepers on the farm: Dustin May, Duane Underwood, Mark Appel, Thyago Viera, Adalberto Mejia, Franchy Cordero. Thanks!
(Steve from Wilmington)
My Dustin May love is well known. The rest of that list is uh, something. Mejia I guess. Ben is psychically sending me messages to tell you not to roster prospect relievers in a dynasty league. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2016-12-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)Favorite breakout prospect for 2017? What about someone who you think will suffer a drop in status?
(Francisco from Maryland)
Breakouts I'll be watching for: Anderson Tejeda, Dustin May, Joey Wentz, Riley Pint
Guys I could see falling: Jorge Mateo, Adonis Medina, Anderson Espinoza, Jahmai Jones (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2016-09-12 23:00:00 (link to chat)Thanks for doing this Wilson. Figure you'd be a good guy to ask- how are the early returns on the dodgers draft this year?
(smelmoth from The Cape)
So far, so really, really good. Lux has crushed the ball across a couple levels. There's no power there yet, though there could be a bit down the line, and the skill set is broad and impressive. Smith I just wrote up the other day, linked below. Big fan, fits the organizational mold of an athletic catcher with unusual agility and quickness behind the dish. One of the fastest transfers on the pop you'll see, enough raw material with the bat to project decent enough offensive value. I like him a good bit, and I felt similarly about Mitchell White, who looked great over a couple innings when I caught him. Filthy cutter, nice little foundation of a curveball, extremely athletic delivery. Looks like a steal in the 2nd round. Dustin May got some serious and, from the sound of it, well-deserved digital ink on his Swansonian coiffe from Matt Pullman last month, too. And then they paid a couple guys late, including Chris Mathewson out of Long Beach State, who I liked at least for the raw material this spring.

Will Smith: http://www.baseballprospectus.com/prospects/eyewitness_bat.php?reportid=393
Mitchell White: http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=30311
Dustin May: http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=30061 (Wilson Karaman)


BP Roundtables

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