Luke Raley Stats | Baseball Prospectus

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Luke Raley LFDodgers

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2019 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 24)

PA	AVG	HR	R	RBI	SB	DRC+	WARP
325	.201	9	34	31	0	60	-0.7

Birth Date	9-19-1994
Height	6' 4"
Weight	235 lbs

Age	29 years, 7 months, 6 days
Bats	L
Throws	R

: 2015
: 2016
: 2017
: 2018
: -0.72019
proj

WARP Summary

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MLB Statistics

YEAR	TEAM	AGE	G	PA	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	DRC+	DRAA	BRR	FRAA	BWARP

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shown —Click to hide.

YEAR	Team	Lg	LG	G	PA	oppAVG	oppOBP	oppSLG	BABIP	BPF	BRAA	repLVL	POS_ADJ	DRC+	FRAA	BRR	DRAA	BWARP
2016	GRL	A	MID	56	231	.253	.315	.367	.301	93	2.1	6.1	-2.4	89	5.5	1.5	-5.8	0.5
2016	DOD	Rk	AZL	5	19	.282	.360	.425	.692	99	6.5	0.6	-0.2	314	-0.5	0.1	2.6	0.3
2016	OGD	Rk	PIO	5	25	.293	.348	.431	.409	93	4.7	0.7	-0.1	196	-0.2	-0.1	1.5	0.2
2017	RCU	A+	CAL	123	541	.270	.337	.424	.372	107	20.9	15.0	-5.8	128	2.6	2.2	14.7	3.0
2018	CHT	AA	SOU	27	116	.238	.315	.366	.369	103	4.1	3.3	-1.4	116	2.3	0.7	2.1	0.7
2018	TUL	AA	TEX	93	435	.271	.341	.423	.331	110	11.7	12.4	-5.7	110	-2.0	2.8	4.2	1.2
2018	SRR	Wnt	AFL	4	18	.258	.345	.357	.273	102	-0.1	0.5	-0.2	102	0.0	0.3	1.3	0.2
2019	ROC	AAA	INT	33	138	.257	.330	.432	.403	103	5.2	4.8	-1.7	118	2.3	2.0	3.3	0.9
2019	TWI	Rk	GCL	5	20	.201	.290	.308	.353	94	1.5	0.6	-0.2	144	0.5	-0.2	0.8	0.1

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shown —Click to hide.

Year	Team	lvl	LG	PA	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	TB	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	ISO	SF	SH
2016	OGD	Rk	PIO	25	24	6	10	2	2	1	19	5	1	1	0	0	.417	.440	.792	.375	0	0
2016	GRL	A	MID	231	200	24	49	11	4	2	74	17	15	47	4	4	.245	.319	.370	.125	5	2
2016	DOD	Rk	AZL	19	16	4	10	1	0	1	14	2	2	2	0	0	.625	.684	.875	.250	0	0
2017	RCU	A+	CAL	541	478	102	141	21	11	14	226	62	43	124	9	1	.295	.375	.473	.178	1	0
2018	SRR	Wnt	AFL	18	14	3	3	0	1	0	5	3	3	4	1	0	.214	.333	.357	.143	1	0
2018	TUL	AA	TEX	435	386	65	106	17	5	17	184	53	24	105	3	0	.275	.345	.477	.202	5	0
2018	CHT	AA	SOU	116	98	15	27	2	3	3	44	16	12	32	1	0	.276	.371	.449	.173	2	0
2019	ROC	AAA	INT	138	126	28	38	6	0	7	65	21	7	42	4	0	.302	.362	.516	.214	0	0
2019	TWI	Rk	GCL	20	19	1	7	0	0	1	10	2	0	2	0	0	.368	.350	.526	.158	1	0

Plate Discipline

YEAR	Pits	Zone%	Swing%	Contact%	Z-Swing%	O-Swing%	Z-Contact%	O-Contact%	SwStr%	CSAA

Injury History — No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On	Date Off	Transaction	Days	Games	Side	Body Part	Injury	Severity	Surgery Date	Reaggravation

Compensation

Year	Team	Salary
2024	SEA	$
2023	TBA	$722,300
2020	LAN	$

Years	Description	Salary
1 yr	Previous	$722,300
1 yr	Total	$722,300

Service Time	Agent	Contract Status
1 y 106 d		2024

Details

2024. Acquired by Seattle in trade from Tampa Bay 1/5/24.
1 year (2023). Re-signed by Tampa Bay 3/23.
1 year (2022). Re-signed by LA Dodgers 3/22. Acquired by Tampa Bay in trade from LA Dodgers 3/18/22.
1 year (2021). Re-signed by LA Dodgers 3/21.
2020. Contract selected by Minnesota 11/20/19. Acquired by LA Dodgers in trade from Minnesota 2/9/20.
Acquired by Minnesota in trade from LA Dodgers 7/31/18.
Drafted by LA Dodgers 2016 (7-221) (Lake Erie, Ohio). $147,500 signing bonus ($187,400 slot)

2019 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT	PA	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	DRC+	VORP	WARP
90^o	383	42	83	11	5	12	46	22	107	.238	.298	.401	83	7.0	0.7
80^o	363	38	76	10	5	11	42	20	104	.229	.287	.389	75	1.9	0.2
70^o	349	35	70	9	5	10	39	18	101	.219	.276	.372	69	-1.4	-0.2
60^o	337	33	66	9	4	10	36	17	99	.214	.269	.366	65	-4.1	-0.4
50^o	325	31	61	8	4	9	34	16	96	.203	.258	.347	60	-6.4	-0.7
40^o	313	29	57	8	4	8	32	15	94	.197	.249	.334	55	-8.5	-0.9
30^o	301	27	53	7	3	8	30	14	92	.190	.243	.323	50	-10.5	-1.1
20^o	287	24	48	6	3	7	27	13	88	.180	.231	.305	45	-12.7	-1.4
10^o	267	21	41	5	3	6	24	11	84	.165	.213	.281	37	-15.3	-1.6
Weighted Mean	329	31	62	8	4	9	35	16	97	.205	.259	.347	61	-5.6	-0.6

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2019 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.

Year	Age	PA	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	DRC+	WARP	VORP	BRR	POS_ADJ	REP_ADJ	RAA	FRAA
2020	25	466	52	96	12	5	13	51	26	140	.226	.284	.369	61	0.1	-1.9	0.2	0.5	12.0	-14.6	2.4
2021	26	447	50	93	12	5	13	50	25	133	.227	.285	.376	62	0.1	-1.5	0.1	0.3	11.5	-13.4	2.3
2022	27	362	41	73	9	4	11	40	21	110	.220	.280	.367	60	-0.0	-2.1	0.1	0.2	9.3	-11.7	1.9
2023	28	368	42	76	9	5	12	42	21	111	.224	.283	.382	63	0.1	-1.3	0.1	0.1	9.5	-10.9	1.9
2024	29	405	46	84	10	5	12	46	22	121	.226	.284	.378	62	0.0	-1.8	0.1	-0.0	10.4	-12.3	2.1
2025	30	393	44	80	10	4	11	43	23	118	.224	.285	.372	62	0.0	-2.0	0.1	-0.1	10.1	-12.1	2.1
2026	31	383	43	77	10	4	11	42	23	117	.220	.281	.369	60	-0.1	-2.5	0.1	-0.3	9.9	-12.2	2.0
2027	32	339	38	68	8	4	10	38	20	103	.221	.282	.369	60	-0.1	-2.3	0.1	-0.3	8.7	-10.8	1.8
2028	33	325	36	65	8	4	9	36	19	98	.221	.282	.368	60	-0.1	-2.3	0.1	-0.4	8.4	-10.4	1.7

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 87)

Rank	Score	Name	Year	DRC+	Trend
1	96	Brock Peterson	2008	0	DNP
2	94	Jesus Aguilar	2014	67
3	93	Chad Tracy	2010	0	DNP
4	93	Jonathan Griffin	2013	0	DNP
5	93	Nicky Delmonico	2017	120
6	92	Mark Canha	2013	0	DNP
7	92	Steffan Wilson	2010	0	DNP
8	92	Ryan Casteel	2015	0	DNP
9	92	Chun-Hsiu Chen	2013	0	DNP
10	92	Ryan McBroom	2016	0	DNP
11	92	Steve Selsky	2014	0	DNP
12	92	Brandon Snyder	2011	83
13	92	Jose Osuna	2017	78
14	91	Dexture McCall	2018	0	DNP
15	91	Luis Antonio Jimenez	2006	0	DNP
16	91	Jordy Lara	2015	0	DNP
17	91	Billy Nowlin	2011	0	DNP
18	90	Mark Hamilton	2009	0	DNP
19	90	Jose Marmolejos	2017	0	DNP
20	90	Kyle Martin	2017	0	DNP
21	90	D.J. Peterson	2016	0	DNP
22	90	Joey Terdoslavich	2013	75
23	90	Matt Curry	2013	0	DNP
24	90	Rich Poythress	2012	0	DNP
25	90	Matt Rizzotti	2010	0	DNP
26	90	Mike McDade	2013	0	DNP
27	90	Andy Wilkins	2013	0	DNP
28	89	Lucas Duda	2010	90
29	89	Michael Spina	2011	0	DNP
30	89	Jonathan Galvez	2015	0	DNP
31	89	Lars Anderson	2012	79
32	89	Jonathan Rodriguez	2014	0	DNP
33	89	Joey Curletta	2018	0	DNP
34	89	Dylan Moore	2017	0	DNP
35	89	Logan Parker	2009	0	DNP
36	88	Andrew Brown	2009	0	DNP
37	88	Trey Mancini	2016	120
38	88	Sebastian Elizalde	2016	0	DNP
39	87	Aaron Baker	2012	0	DNP
40	87	Kyle Roller	2012	0	DNP
41	87	Neftali Soto	2013	59
42	87	Tyler Moore	2011	0	DNP
43	87	Rangel Ravelo	2016	0	DNP
44	87	Christian Walker	2015	102
45	87	Kody Hinze	2012	0	DNP
46	87	Austin Gallagher	2013	0	DNP
47	87	Stephen Head	2008	0	DNP
48	87	Brett Wallace	2011	76
49	86	Ricky Oropesa	2014	0	DNP
50	86	Dominic Ficociello	2016	0	DNP
51	86	Angel Villalona	2015	0	DNP
52	86	Nicholas Basto	2018	0	DNP
53	86	Mark Fleisher	2008	0	DNP
54	86	John Wooten	2015	0	DNP
55	86	Jared Walsh	2018	0	DNP
56	86	Joe Mahoney	2011	0	DNP
57	86	Justin Bour	2012	0	DNP
58	86	Angelo Songco	2013	0	DNP
59	86	O'Koyea Dickson	2014	0	DNP
60	85	Christian Marrero	2011	0	DNP
61	85	Michael Gonzales	2012	0	DNP
62	85	Conrad Gregor	2016	0	DNP
63	85	Beau Mills	2011	0	DNP
64	85	Daniel Paolini	2014	0	DNP
65	85	Chris Marrero	2013	76
66	85	Wade Hinkle	2014	0	DNP
67	85	Kiel Roling	2011	0	DNP
68	85	Mark Trumbo	2010	59
69	85	Yonder Alonso	2011	120
70	85	Nick Evans	2010	77
71	84	Travis Shaw	2014	0	DNP
72	84	Ryan Strieby	2010	0	DNP
73	84	Michael Russell	2017	0	DNP
74	84	Jon Talley	2013	0	DNP
75	84	Matt Oberste	2016	0	DNP
76	84	Chris Swauger	2011	0	DNP
77	84	Dalton Hicks	2014	0	DNP
78	84	Chris Errecart	2009	0	DNP
79	84	Art Charles	2015	0	DNP
80	84	Brian Ragira	2016	0	DNP
81	84	Brandon Allen	2010	76
82	84	Jamie Romak	2010	0	DNP
83	84	Michael Jones	2009	0	DNP
84	83	Brian Mundell	2018	0	DNP
85	83	Dillon Dobson	2018	0	DNP
86	83	Koby Clemens	2011	0	DNP
87	83	Joey Votto	2008	121
88	83	Russ Canzler	2010	0	DNP
89	83	Todd Frazier	2010	0	DNP
90	83	Chris Parmelee	2012	88
91	83	Nate Freiman	2011	0	DNP
92	83	Mike Carp	2010	85
93	83	Sam Travis	2018	80
94	83	Jordan Patterson	2016	96
95	83	Jordan Brown	2008	0	DNP
96	83	Ben Paulsen	2012	0	DNP
97	82	Marcos Vechionacci	2011	0	DNP
98	82	Chris Lubanski	2009	0	DNP
99	82	Adam Duvall	2013	0	DNP
100	82	Austin Slater	2017	84

BP Annual Player Comments

Year		Comment
2019		Due to publishing agreements, the 2019 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2019 book (available in hardcopy, and soon e-book and Kindle).

BP Articles

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BP Chats

Date	Question	Answer
2019-10-18 12:00:00 (link to chat)	Outside of Royce Lewis, what are your thoughts on other Twins players that were out in Arizona? (Michael from Minneapolis)	Luke Raley is a physical monster, but really has the ceiling for me of a platoon bat (if it all goes right). Zach Neff is a nice organizational left-hander, one that helps a minor league bullpen. Jovani Moran was fine for me, lefty with some velocity and feel to spin a breaking ball, that usually means some up/down reliever role. Dakota Chalmers has a real quality fastball/curveball combination, but you could tell the rust coming off his Tommy John surgery as well. He has high upside if he cuts down on his walks. (Steve Givarz)

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PITCHf/x Hitter Profile

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