Biographical

Portrait of Bryan Mata

Bryan Mata PRed Sox

Red Sox Player Cards | Red Sox Team Audit | Red Sox Depth Chart

2019 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 20)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
58.7 5.73 1.78 47 3 5 0 -0.4
Birth Date5-3-1999
Height6' 3"
Weight160 lbs
Age22 years, 0 months, 6 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2015
2016
2017
2018
-0.42019
proj
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA- WARP

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg LG G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA-
2016 DRX Rk DSL 14 14 61.0 4 4 0 54 19 61 2 87 8.0 2.8 0.3 9.0 51% .319 1.20 2.56 2.80 87 4.64 102.5
2017 GRN A SAL 17 17 77.0 5 6 0 75 26 74 3 105 8.8 3.0 0.4 8.6 53% .333 1.31 3.40 3.74 97 4.67 99.4
2018 SLM A+ CAR 17 17 72.0 6 3 0 58 58 61 1 103 7.3 7.3 0.1 7.6 59% .292 1.61 4.76 3.50 122 5.71 120.8
2019 SLM A+ CAR 10 10 51.3 3 1 0 38 18 52 1 103 6.7 3.2 0.2 9.1 67% .268 1.09 3.06 1.75 92 3.68 75.7
2019 PME AA EAS 11 11 53.7 4 6 0 54 24 59 6 97 9.1 4.0 1.0 9.9 54% .340 1.45 3.98 5.03 103 5.42 111.6

Plate Discipline

YEAR Pits Zone% Swing% Contact% Z-Swing% O-Swing% Z-Contact% O-Contact% SwStr%

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation

Compensation

Year Team Salary

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
0 y 0 d2021

Details
  • 2021. Contract selected by Boston 11/20/20.
  • Signed by Boston 1/27/16 as an amateur free agent from Venezuela. $25,000 signing bonus.

2019 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 14.3 0 0 18 18 79.6 66 45 63 7 .258 1.39 4.13 4.51 -10.7 -1.2
80o 12.4 0 0 16 16 72.2 65 45 57 7 .275 1.52 4.60 5.01 -13.5 -1.5
70o 11.1 0 0 15 15 67.0 64 44 53 7 .287 1.62 4.95 5.39 -15.3 -1.7
60o 10 0 0 14 14 62.7 63 43 50 7 .298 1.70 5.25 5.72 -16.5 -1.8
50o 9 0 0 13 13 58.8 62 43 47 7 .307 1.78 5.54 6.03 -17.4 -1.9
40o 8.1 0 0 12 12 55.0 61 42 44 7 .318 1.87 5.84 6.36 -18.2 -2.0
30o 7.2 0 0 11 11 51.0 60 41 40 7 .328 1.97 6.17 6.71 -18.7 -2.0
20o 6.2 0 0 10 10 46.6 58 40 37 6 .341 2.08 6.57 7.14 -19.3 -2.1
10o 4.9 0 0 9 9 40.6 54 37 32 6 .359 2.26 7.14 7.76 -19.4 -2.1
Weighted Mean900131358.16142467.3051.765.495.98-16.9-1.8

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2019 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
202021610026261521601201251949.3081.845.946.289.57.17.41.1-1.1
202122610025251481541121251849.3071.805.796.139.46.87.61.1-0.8
202223610025251501541121271849.3061.785.706.039.36.77.61.1-0.7
202324470171710310380881249.3011.785.796.139.07.07.71.0-0.6
202425470181810510879891249.3051.785.716.049.26.77.61.0-0.5
202526470191911211582961449.3071.765.796.129.36.67.71.1-0.6
202627470191911411883961449.3061.775.736.069.36.67.61.1-0.6
202728470181810711178911449.3071.765.736.069.36.57.61.2-0.5
202829470191911111580951449.3061.755.696.029.36.57.71.1-0.5

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 85)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 94 Rob Kaminsky 2015 0.00 DNP
2 92 Kohl Stewart 2015 0.00 DNP
3 92 Tyler Pike 2014 0.00 DNP
4 91 Tyler Matzek 2011 0.00 DNP
5 90 A.J. Alexy 2018 0.00 DNP
6 90 Jonathan Hernandez 2017 0.00 DNP
7 90 Nicholas Bucci 2011 0.00 DNP
8 89 Jesse Biddle 2012 0.00 DNP
9 89 Hunter Harvey 2015 0.00 DNP
10 89 Matt Hobgood 2011 0.00 DNP
11 89 Shane Watson 2014 0.00 DNP
12 89 Zachary Bird 2015 0.00 DNP
13 88 Yovani Gallardo 2006 0.00 DNP
14 88 Jair Jurrjens 2006 0.00 DNP
15 88 Duane Underwood Jr. 2015 0.00 DNP
16 88 Mike Montgomery 2010 0.00 DNP
17 88 Brian Gonzalez 2016 0.00 DNP
18 87 Clayton Cook 2011 0.00 DNP
19 87 Jake Johnson 2011 0.00 DNP
20 87 Chuck Lofgren 2006 0.00 DNP
21 87 Jeurys Familia 2010 0.00 DNP
22 87 Juan Minaya 2011 0.00 DNP
23 87 Sean Gallagher 2006 0.00 DNP
24 87 Ofelky Peralta 2017 0.00 DNP
25 86 Robinson Lopez 2011 0.00 DNP
26 86 Josh Hader 2014 0.00 DNP
27 86 Drew Hutchison 2011 0.00 DNP
28 86 Junior Fernandez 2017 0.00 DNP
29 86 Chad James 2011 0.00 DNP
30 86 Max Fried 2014 0.00 DNP
31 86 Beau Burrows 2017 0.00 DNP
32 86 Blake Beavan 2009 0.00 DNP
33 85 Jen-Ho Tseng 2015 0.00 DNP
34 85 Victor Payano 2013 0.00 DNP
35 85 Joey Mahalic 2009 0.00 DNP
36 85 Casey Kelly 2010 0.00 DNP
37 85 Zach Lee 2012 0.00 DNP
38 85 Luis Cruz 2011 0.00 DNP
39 85 Luis Heredia 2015 0.00 DNP
40 85 Andrew Jordan 2018 0.00 DNP
41 85 Nick Neidert 2017 0.00 DNP
42 85 Ricardo Sanchez 2017 0.00 DNP
43 85 Rodrigo Takahashi 2017 0.00 DNP
44 85 Mauricio Cabrera 2014 0.00 DNP
45 85 Mauricio Robles 2009 0.00 DNP
46 85 Chris Flexen 2015 0.00 DNP
47 85 Jason Adam 2012 0.00 DNP
48 85 Trevor Reckling 2009 0.00 DNP
49 84 Richard Castillo 2010 0.00 DNP
50 84 Shawn Morimando 2013 0.00 DNP
51 84 Dae-Eun Rhee 2009 0.00 DNP
52 84 Clayton Tanner 2008 0.00 DNP
53 84 Peter Lambert 2017 0.00 DNP
54 84 Chris Archer 2009 0.00 DNP
55 84 Maikel Cleto 2009 0.00 DNP
56 84 Matt Lollis 2011 0.00 DNP
57 83 Deolis Guerra 2009 0.00 DNP
58 83 Riley Pint 2018 0.00 DNP
59 83 JC Ramirez 2009 0.00 DNP
60 83 Reggie Lawson 2018 0.00 DNP
61 83 Archie Bradley 2013 0.00 DNP
62 83 Touki Toussaint 2016 0.00 DNP
63 82 Miguel Castro 2015 6.62
64 82 Antonio Senzatela 2015 0.00 DNP
65 82 Carlos Herrera 2018 0.00 DNP
66 82 Elvin Rodriguez 2018 0.00 DNP
67 82 Kyle Allen 2010 0.00 DNP
68 82 Sean O'Sullivan 2008 0.00 DNP
69 82 Robert Gsellman 2014 0.00 DNP
70 82 Jesse Beal 2011 0.00 DNP
71 82 Felix Sterling 2013 0.00 DNP
72 82 Rony Garcia 2018 0.00 DNP
73 82 T.J. House 2010 0.00 DNP
74 82 Tanner Bushue 2011 0.00 DNP
75 82 Ian Clarkin 2015 0.00 DNP
76 82 Timothy Melville 2010 0.00 DNP
77 82 Brad Keller 2016 0.00 DNP
78 82 Eric Hurley 2006 0.00 DNP
79 82 Resly Linares 2018 0.00 DNP
80 81 Tyler Green 2012 0.00 DNP
81 81 Tyler Chatwood 2010 0.00 DNP
82 81 Nicholas McBride 2011 0.00 DNP
83 81 Sal Romano 2014 0.00 DNP
84 81 Wilmer Font 2010 0.00 DNP
85 81 Jake Woodford 2017 0.00 DNP
86 81 Alex Reyes 2015 0.00 DNP
87 81 Christian Garcia 2006 0.00 DNP
88 81 Clemente Mendoza 2011 0.00 DNP
89 81 Quinton Miller 2010 0.00 DNP
90 81 J.C. Sulbaran 2010 0.00 DNP
91 81 Lucas Sims 2014 0.00 DNP
92 81 Will Smith 2010 0.00 DNP
93 81 Carlos Pimentel 2010 0.00 DNP
94 80 Sean Reid-Foley 2016 0.00 DNP
95 80 Carlos Perez 2012 0.00 DNP
96 80 Akeem Bostick 2015 0.00 DNP
97 80 Alex Burnett 2008 0.00 DNP
98 80 Phillippe Aumont 2009 0.00 DNP
99 80 Garrett Gould 2012 0.00 DNP
100 80 Brad Hand 2010 0.00 DNP

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2019  Due to publishing agreements, the 2019 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2019 book (available in hardcopy, and soon e-book and Kindle).
2018 Nothing Mata has done in his career looks terribly special until you realize he doesn’t turn 19 until May. Viewed through that lens, he deserves praise for already surpassing 130 career innings, and for holding his own in Greenville despite barely being old enough to vote. Mata is thinner than a Whippet and lacks a premium fastball, but he has a projectable body and a good feel for pitching. His ceiling falls short of sky-high, and he’s even riskier than your average starting pitching prospect due to his age and size. But Mata has passed every test he’s been given on the mound at an age when most are worried about the SATs or AP exams, and that’s all you can ask for.

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