Biographical
Alex Kirilloff LFTwins |
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2019 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 21)
| PA | AVG | HR | R | RBI | SB | DRC+ | WARP |
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- 2015
- 2016
- 2017
- 2018
- -1.62019
proj
WARP Summary
MLB Statistics
| YEAR | TEAM | AGE | G | PA | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | DRC+ | DRAA | BRR | FRAA | BWARP |
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Statistics for All Levels
'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.Minor league stats are currently shown —Click to hide.
| YEAR | Team | Lg | LG | G | PA | oppAVG | oppOBP | oppSLG | BABIP | BPF | BRAA | repLVL | POS_ADJ | DRC+ | DRC+ SD | FRAA | BRR | DRAA | BWARP |
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| 2016 | ELZ | Rk | APP | 55 | 232 | .260 | .330 | .382 | .328 | 107 | 3 | 6.9 | -2.1 | 111 | 0 | 2.5 | 0.8 | -5.2 | 0.3 |
| 2018 | CDR | A | MID | 65 | 281 | .245 | .320 | .363 | .364 | 104 | 23.4 | 7.8 | -3.3 | 169 | 0 | -4.1 | -0.8 | 18.5 | 1.9 |
| 2018 | FTM | A+ | FSL | 65 | 280 | .254 | .323 | .371 | .399 | 99 | 22.8 | 7.9 | -3.1 | 169 | 0 | 0.6 | -0.8 | 17.5 | 2.3 |
| 2019 | PEN | AA | SOU | 94 | 411 | .245 | .315 | .369 | .333 | 98 | 8.3 | 10.9 | -5.4 | 121 | 0 | -4.6 | -3.3 | 8.3 | 0.6 |
Statistics For All Levels
Minor league stats are currently shown —Click to hide.| Year | Team | lvl | LG | PA | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | SO | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | ISO | SF | SH |
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| 2016 | ELZ | Rk | APP | 232 | 216 | 33 | 66 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 98 | 33 | 11 | 32 | 0 | 1 | .306 | .341 | .454 | .148 | 3 | 0 |
| 2018 | CDR | A | MID | 281 | 252 | 36 | 84 | 20 | 5 | 13 | 153 | 56 | 24 | 47 | 1 | 1 | .333 | .391 | .607 | .274 | 3 | 0 |
| 2018 | FTM | A+ | FSL | 280 | 260 | 39 | 94 | 24 | 2 | 7 | 143 | 45 | 14 | 39 | 3 | 2 | .362 | .393 | .550 | .188 | 4 | 0 |
| 2019 | PEN | AA | SOU | 411 | 375 | 47 | 106 | 18 | 2 | 9 | 155 | 43 | 29 | 76 | 7 | 6 | .283 | .343 | .413 | .131 | 1 | 0 |
Plate Discipline
| YEAR | Pits | Zone% | Swing% | Contact% | Z-Swing% | O-Swing% | Z-Contact% | O-Contact% | SwStr% | CSAA |
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Injury History — No longer being updated | Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET |
| Date On | Date Off | Transaction | Days | Games | Side | Body Part | Injury | Severity | Surgery Date | Reaggravation |
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Compensation
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2019 Preseason Forecast | Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET |
| PCT | PA | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | SO | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | DRC+ | VORP | FRAA | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90o | 391 | 40 | 90 | 18 | 1 | 15 | 49 | 7 | 88 | 0 | 0 | .237 | .249 | .408 | 66 | -4.6 | -0.5 | |
| 80o | 368 | 35 | 81 | 16 | 1 | 14 | 44 | 7 | 85 | 0 | 0 | .226 | .239 | .393 | 57 | -9.7 | -1.0 | |
| 70o | 352 | 32 | 73 | 14 | 1 | 12 | 41 | 6 | 82 | 0 | 0 | .213 | .225 | .364 | 51 | -13.0 | -1.4 | |
| 60o | 338 | 30 | 67 | 13 | 1 | 11 | 38 | 5 | 80 | 0 | 0 | .203 | .214 | .348 | 45 | -15.5 | -1.7 | |
| 50o | 325 | 28 | 63 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 5 | 78 | 0 | 0 | .199 | .210 | .347 | 40 | -17.7 | -1.9 | |
| 40o | 312 | 25 | 58 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 5 | 75 | 0 | 0 | .191 | .203 | .332 | 35 | -19.6 | -2.1 | |
| 30o | 298 | 23 | 52 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 4 | 73 | 0 | 0 | .179 | .189 | .313 | 29 | -21.4 | -2.3 | |
| 20o | 282 | 21 | 47 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 4 | 70 | 0 | 0 | .171 | .181 | .298 | 23 | -23.2 | -2.5 | |
| 10o | 259 | 18 | 39 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 3 | 65 | 0 | 0 | .154 | .163 | .269 | 13 | -25.1 | -2.7 | |
| Weighted Mean | 330 | 28 | 65 | 13 | 1 | 11 | 36 | 5 | 79 | 0 | 0 | .202 | .213 | .351 | 42 | -16.9 | -1.8 |
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BP Articles
Click here to see articles tagged with Alex KirilloffBP Chats
| Date | Question | Answer |
|---|---|---|
| 2020-12-18 12:00:00 (link to chat) | Do you expect Alex Kirilloff to be in the lineup everyday for the Twins this year? What sort of production would you expect if so? (Jim from St. Paul) | I'd assume that's one of the reasons Rosario was non-tendered. We've never been overly effusive about Kiriloff's bat, some of that is injury, some of that is some approach and swing tweaks that got him out front and pull happy. But I'd expect him to be a solid enough regular in short order. (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2020-01-27 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Should Alex Kirilloff's ranking of #86 make us concerned it was more than just injury that contributed to his down year? (Dina from Tempe) | I am using this as a proxy for the dozen Kiriloff questions in chat. The injury is certainly part of it, but I wasn't a huge fan of the profile when he was hitting, and he hit less, looks more like a first baseman, and the staff members that saw him this year argued for him around this spot. (Top 101 Prospects Chat) |
| 2020-01-13 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Assuming Alex Kirilloff moves to 1B primarily, would you rather have him or Andrew Vaughn? (dougotto from Chicago) | Vaughn, and the 101--coming in a bit--will reflect that. (AL Central Top 10 Chat) |
| 2019-09-18 13:00:00 (link to chat) | What positions do you see Alex Kirilloff and Yordan Alvarez playing next year. Really hoping Kirilloff gets time at first and Would love to keep Alvarez but hard to do if he is going to be a DH. Thanks (Kkelly from IL) | I think you have to keep Alvarez either way, you can't just give up a bat like that. I think he might get _some_ time at 1B, but Gurriel is around for another season at $8m, so I'm not expecting a ton there. Probably some LF throughout the year. (Craig Goldstein) |
| 2019-09-13 12:00:00 (link to chat) | Any chance the Twins call up Alex Kirilloff after the AA playoffs to help their quickly-thinning OF depth? (The Colonel from Pasadena, CA) | The cubs did this with Hoerner because they had literally no other healthy internal options. The Twins have role 40 or 45 types available to fill in, so less need to rush Kirilloff here for questionable September upside. (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2019-08-02 16:00:00 (link to chat) | What are the chances Alex Kirilloff ends up being the future starting first baseman for the Twins on the depth chart? (Nathan from MN) | Kirilloff should be fine in a corner outfield spot. I think the Twins might have found their future first baseman in Lewin Diaz. (Jon Hegglund) |
| 2019-07-09 12:00:00 (link to chat) | Alex Kirilloff stock has been more volatile this year than expected. Is it due to the new swing, a slightly more patient approach, just injuries, or a little bit of all 3 that have led to inferior reports? What do you now see his MLB role as? (Josh K from K Town) | So it hasn't really been for us, because as we discussed on the pod, we baked this outcome more into his preseason ranking because I was worried this would be what happened in the upper minors. He's also playing more first base and I didn't see a swing that would consistently get his raw power into games, at least enough to carry a cold corner outcome. Now the injuries are a mitigating factor here, and even I think he's better than his 2019 line, but we are probably holding him around a 50-55 likely outcome. (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2019-05-31 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Thoughts on Wander Javier? Whats his upside? (Dusty from Colorado) | Javier's upside is massive, as is his risk profile. We have very little data to go on, and his injury history is problematic. His frame and skill set, though, could see him push into the top-50 prospects by next season. I personally targeted him in dynasty trades all offseason, as I did with Alex Kirilloff last winter. I'm hoping it pays off similarly. (J.P. Breen) |
| 2019-04-19 18:00:00 (link to chat) | Excluding anyone in the majors currently and also Vladdy dadi... give me your top 5 prospects of your choice to start a dynasty with. (Rocky from Los Angeles ) | I'll stick to guys I've seen, however briefly. Hitters would be Royce Lewis, Alex Kirilloff and Nick Madrigal. All are young, have very advanced hit tools and really understand the strike zone. Pitchers would be Mitch Keller, Brusdar Graterol and Ian Anderson. They each already have the requisite pitches and enough command of each to have pretty high floors and the chance to be great fantasy starters. (Scott Delp) |
| 2019-02-18 16:00:00 (link to chat) | Five guys that have the chance to be the #1 prospect at the start of next season... (Mark from Green Bay) | I'm assuming Jordon Adell doesn't make it to the bigs this year, so he'd be my choice. Next obvious options are Trammell, Royce Lewis, Wander Franco, and Alex Kirilloff. All these guys are already top-20 prospects but aren't likely to get called up in 2019. (Kevin Jebens) |
| 2018-09-12 13:00:00 (link to chat) | How good is Alex Kirilloff going to be? (Kenny from Parker Street) | He has been awesome since coming back from injury. He's another great contact guy that could see some benefit from big-league baseballs. (Mark Barry) |
| 2018-08-29 19:00:00 (link to chat) | Any mlb comps for Alex Kirilloff? (Sean99 from Orland Park) | I'm really bad at comps so someone feel free to yell at me if they think I'm too far off base, but what about Benintendi? Benintendi's hit tool is better and Kirilloff might possess more power. (Eddy Almaguer) |
| 2018-07-30 23:00:00 (link to chat) | Thoughts on Alex Kirilloff? (Kevin from NYC) | Yeah he's lived up to his pedigree this year. Was a bummer when he lost last year to TJ, and I think that caused him some undue dings in dynasty-oriented rankings this past offseason. He's a very good young hitter though - big dude, uses his strength well off his back leg, strong hands, good barrel, good leverage to drive pitches. He's a keeper.
I don't delve into the Ryan Seacrest wing of the movie scene very often, but let me tell you something clearly and unequivocally: this song is a straight-up banger that has earned every ounce of airplay it has received and will continue to receive: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U4fErC9skHE (Wilson Karaman) |
| 2018-07-09 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Who have been the best players you have seen this year? (Lance from Ft. Worth) | On the mound, I really like MacKenzie Gore. I have not caught Hunter Greene yet, but Gore has the best stuff I've seen so far. Position players, the Twins have a pair of potential stars in Royce Lewis and Alex Kirilloff. I also like the Cubs Miguel Amaya, Cardinals Elehuris Montero, and Cleveland's Will Benson. The Fort Wayne team has also been a lot of fun to watch with all their young talent. (Nathan Graham) |
| 2018-07-24 20:00:00 (link to chat) | Thoughts on Alex Kirilloff? (Kevin from Minn) | I wrote a brief thing on him in this column:
https://www.baseballprospectus.com/fantasy/article/41087/tales-from-the-deep-dynasty-faab-report-for-week-14/ He seems to have as much or more helium than anyone. He's flying up prospect rankings compared to where he was before the season started. He's making contact, drawing walks and hitting for power. He should be in Double-A next season at age 21, which is excellent. If you're in a league with minor league rosters and you can pick him up now, do it and avoid the rush next spring. (Scooter Hotz) |
| 2018-07-24 20:00:00 (link to chat) | Who is the prospect you love that people aren't talking enough about? (Andrew from Springfield) | Well, it can't be Alex Kirilloff because everyone's talking about him. I'm tempted to say Carter Kieboom, a guy I love, but I don't think he's much of a secret at this point either. I'll go with AJ Puk, a guy who was dazzling and knocking on the doors of the big leagues when he hit the sidelines for Tommy John surgery. If he comes back and is roughly the same pitcher, he could make an impact in the majors fairly quickly. (Scooter Hotz) |
| 2018-07-06 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Are you a believer of Alex Kirilloff? (Carl from MI) | Definitely. Considering his missing year of development, his performance this season is impressive.I'm interested to see a bigger sample size in High-A. Hoping to see him when he comes to Daytona later this season. (Scott Delp) |
| 2018-06-15 13:00:00 (link to chat) | What are your thoughts on Alex Kirilloff? (Chris from LA) | I probably was a little too cautious last offseason because of health uncertainty, will rectify that at midseason. (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2018-05-25 12:15:00 (link to chat) | Who are a few prospects primed to rise up the prospect rankings.
I’m thinking Luzardo and Luis robert are a few. Thoughts on them and any others in that category? (Robert from California) | Have a few variations of this question in the queue, and Bret and I talked about this very topic on this week's TINO, which should be out today/tomorrow, in the context of Jeffrey's article on updating the 101 (or, why we don't do that: https://www.baseballprospectus.com/prospects/article/40025/view-from-behind-backstop-straight-at-101-brendan-rodgers/):
Luzardo would definitely get a bump. We liked him a bunch coming into the season and between the list locking in December and publishing in February, we discussed how we'd have liked to have been more aggressive with him. Robert probably too, though the thumb injury is a downer, and I don't know that he'd fly intensely higher. Austin Riley, Alex Kirilloff re-establishing value, Luis Alexander Basabe (healthy knees again). I mentioned Jo Adell earlier. Those are the types of names that'd get a solid boost/be considered for the list now, at this point. (Craig Goldstein) |
| 2017-02-06 23:00:00 (link to chat) | If you had a semi-old, win-now team in a deep dynasty league with separate minors rosters, would you sell a promising young stud prospect bat like Alex Kirilloff for an older but stable pitcher like Jeff Samardzija or a rapidly declining star like Felix Hernandez? Or hold tight? (Rodney Ruxin from Los Banos) | I'd move Kiriloff for Shark there, yeah. I like the kid's bat, but he's several years away, and if you're that leveraged for the here and now already, go for it while the going's still possible. The idea of acquiring Felix right now in most any context makes me sad, and the fact that it makes me sad makes me even sadder. :(
A revolution riddim, dis: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eciArkBTeBM (Wilson Karaman) |
| 2017-02-02 13:00:00 (link to chat) | How good is Alex Kirilloff? Superstar prep bat, got off to a good start at Elizabethton. For fantasy purposes, what is a good comp...can he be a left handed version of Stephen Piscotty? (Rodney Ruxin from Los Banos) | His stats sure look Piscotty-esque. I think prep-bats are always important to wait on though -- I'm bullish on them, but hit tool is such a hard thing to translate to even MiLB, and guys like Kirilloff probably need that to be Great. That said, yeah, I think your enthusiasm makes a ton of sense. (Trevor Strunk) |
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