Portrait of Yadier Alvarez

Yadier Alvarez P  

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2019 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 23)
55.3 4.27 1.45 61 3 3 0 0.3
Birth Date3-7-1996
Height6' 3"
Weight175 lbs
Age22 years, 11 months, 9 days
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
2016 GRL A 9 9 39.3 3 2 0 31 11 55 1 92 7.1 2.5 0.2 12.6 49% .326 1.07 1.84 2.29 80 2.49 53.6
2016 DOD Rk 5 5 20.0 1 1 0 9 10 26 0 100 4.1 4.5 0.0 11.7 64% .200 0.95 3.01 1.80 82 2.11 44.7
2017 RCU A+ 14 11 59.3 2 4 1 61 25 61 3 108 9.3 3.8 0.5 9.3 51% .335 1.45 3.77 5.31 99 3.97 83.6
2017 TUL AA 7 7 33.0 2 2 0 29 25 36 1 104 7.9 6.8 0.3 9.8 56% .318 1.64 3.98 3.55 101 4.42 99.7
2018 TUL AA 17 8 48.3 1 2 1 37 43 52 2 112 6.9 8.0 0.4 9.7 54% .285 1.66 4.56 4.66 108 4.53 92.0
2018 DOD Rk 2 2 7.0 0 0 0 5 1 10 0 95 6.4 1.3 0.0 12.9 71% .357 0.86 1.64 1.29 74 2.01 43.3

Plate Discipline

YEAR Pits Zone% Swing% Contact% Z-Swing% O-Swing% Z-Contact% O-Contact% SwStr%

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation


Year Team Salary
2019 LAN $


Service TimeAgentContract Status
0 y 0 d2019

  • 2019. Contract selected by LA Dodgers 11/20/18.
  • Signed by LA Dodgers 7/2/15 as a free agent from Cuba. $16M signing bonus.

2019 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

90o 4.9 3.3 0.2 19 14 72.5 49 37 77 6 .245 1.19 3.11 3.42 12.0 1.3
80o 4.3 3.2 0.2 17 13 65.5 49 36 70 6 .261 1.30 3.53 3.87 7.8 0.9
70o 3.9 3.1 0.2 16 12 60.6 48 36 65 6 .272 1.38 3.84 4.21 5.2 0.6
60o 3.5 3 0.1 15 11 56.6 47 35 60 6 .282 1.45 4.11 4.51 3.1 0.3
50o 3.2 2.9 0.1 14 11 52.9 46 34 57 6 .292 1.51 4.37 4.79 1.4 0.2
40o 2.9 2.9 0.1 13 10 49.3 45 33 53 5 .301 1.58 4.63 5.07 -0.1 0.0
30o 2.6 2.8 0.1 12 9 45.5 43 32 49 5 .311 1.66 4.92 5.39 -1.6 -0.2
20o 2.3 2.6 0.1 11 8 41.3 42 31 44 5 .323 1.76 5.27 5.76 -3.0 -0.3
10o 1.9 2.4 0.1 9 7 35.6 39 29 38 5 .340 1.90 5.76 6.3 -4.5 -0.5
Weighted Mean3.22.90.1131052.24533565.2891.494.334.741.60.2

Comparable Players (Similarity Index )

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend

BP Annual Player Comments

2019  Due to publishing agreements, the 2019 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2019 book (available in hardcopy, and soon e-book and Kindle).
2018 Where Alvarez's stateside debut in 2016 served largely to inflate the imaginations of ceiling hounds, 2017's follow-up campaign checked on the realities of a still-maturing 21-year-old. His high-end velocity remained among the easiest in all of the minors, and his slider still tantalized with bouts of dazzling bite, but his simple mechanics belied a peculiar inability to repeat his throwing motion and command the baseball consistently. The fastball lacked movement in larger doses, the slider came and went, and the changeup still lagged. Prospect development is rarely a linear endeavor, of course, and the sky-high ceiling is still thereā€”he's just tethered a bit tighter to the floor than anticipated a year ago.
2017 One of the farm system's crown jewels, Alvarez signed for $16 million, and the Dodgers paid nearly double that due to overage penalties. When you watch him throw, you suddenly understand their willingness to do so, as he peppers the zone with upper-90s fastballs that meander into the triple digits on occasion. He pairs this low-effort, high-velo offering with a slider that flashes plus and has gained consistency as he's found stability in his mechanics. His change lags significantly, but that's not uncommon at this stage of development. Given the potency of his top two offerings, it would be easy to think he's destined for the bullpen. However, his potential as a starter merits a lengthy rope for the development of a third pitch, something that will likely be a focus going forward. His ceiling is a top-of-the-rotation starter, making him a quality prospect the likes of which Dodgers fans haven't seen since...Julio Urias.
2016 The Dodgers made yet another international splash when they signed Cuban right-hander Yadier Alvarez to a $16 million deal last July. He's 19, throws in the upper 90s and has already received three MVP votes from confused St. Louis sportswriters.

BP Articles

Click here to see articles tagged with Yadier Alvarez

BP Chats

2018-07-13 15:00:00 (link to chat)What kind of upside do you see in Yadier Alvarez?
(Keith from UNC)
Honestly I am pretty out on Alvarez now. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2017-09-18 23:00:00 (link to chat)OK, time to make some declarations with the MiLB season almost done. Biggest surprise (for better or worse) of any prospect this year? Why?
(Po Boy from NO)
Hmmm...I'll go with Yadier Alvarez's struggles to control the strike zone. He's still growing into his (large) body, so I'm not surprised he had *some* trouble with repeatability and inconsistent command in the here and now. But the delivery and the stuff is just so easy that I was a little surprised that he didn't demonstrate more feel and timing than he did. The delivery needs a better flow than it has, but perhaps we just need to wait a little longer until he harnesses his man body before we can start to see that.

Here's what I'm talking about w/r/t timing/command:

On the positive side, it's hard not to point and devolve into profanity-laced marvel at what Ronald Acuna did this season. Kid's been an utter and complete monster, and I'm not sure anyone quite saw THAT level coming from him (or anybody), especially on the heels of injury last season. (Wilson Karaman)
2017-06-13 12:00:00 (link to chat)Yadier Alvarez has looked pretty bad this year. Ks are down, walks back up, ratios below average. Simply adjusting to high-A?
(Scott B. from Manvera, SC)
Has he looked bad or just performed badly? Reports I've seen are largely on track with what we knew about him before. Easy plus-plus velocity, flashes a nasty breaker, change in progress. Needs to be in the zone more. All of this was true before he started slow in high-a and all of it is true now. It's part of the development process. (Craig Goldstein)
2017-05-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)What's going on with Yadier Alvarez? Two no shows on days he's scheduled to start?
(Mike from California )
Two truths and a lie: I am not a prospects guy. He was drinking expensive booze the night before one game and golfing the day before the other, and they both gave him migraines. This is exactly the type of question that you should've given Jeffrey Paternostro last Thursday.
(I checked the minor league park factors at and I would say that if I were scheduled to start in Lancaster, High Desert, or Bakersfileld-HR park factors of 1.8, 1.5, and 1.4, respectively-I might seriously consider the migraine strategy)
Sorry, not a prospects guy. (Rob Mains)
2017-03-22 20:00:00 (link to chat)Who pitches more 2018 MLB innings? Alex Reyes or Yadier Alvarez?
(Chris from MD)
Hmmm, good question. Reyes should be back pretty darned close to the start of the season, and even if Alvarez is a 2018 MLB option, one would have to think that a.) the Dodgers are going to limit his innings something fierce and b.) he won't be up until after service time considerations.

So I'll take Reyes. (Jarrett Seidler)
2017-03-22 20:00:00 (link to chat)Better dynasty league option to draft: Yadier Alvarez or Jason Groome?
(Jquinton82 from NY)
We ranked Alvarez slightly higher on the real 101 but Groome slightly higher on the dynasty 101. I guess I'll go with Bret and Ben in that I think Groome has a higher probability to stick in the rotation and I think that's something that really matters for y'all. (Jarrett Seidler)
2017-01-06 13:00:00 (link to chat)Would it be fair to say that Yadier Alvarez has the same potential as Alex Reyes, as a possible front-line starter?
(Ron from Texarkana)
Ehhhhhhhhh, okay I can maybe see that, as long as we acknowledge that is much, much further down the line, and there is a lot more risk. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2017-01-18 20:00:00 (link to chat)Yadier Alvarez has not been rated very high by anyone, possibly because of his age & limited performance. This guy was paid enormous money to sign relative to what other top prospects were signing for. Give us some projection and possible comps on the upside. Thanks.
(Cubbie Bear from CHI-TOWN)
Uhh, we just ranked him as the top prospect in one of the strongest farm systems in baseball. He could be a borderline SP1. (Bret Sayre)
2016-08-18 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is Yadier Alvarez the best prospect in the Dodgers system?
(DD from LA)
Not yet. I'd still say De Leon, Verdugo and Bellinger are ahead. At this point next year, it wouldn't surprise me at all if he was. (Christopher Crawford)
2016-08-18 13:00:00 (link to chat)Dylan Cease or Yadier Alvarez?
(BomboRiviera from Lancaster)
MAN. That's tough! It's so early in the morning, why are you asking me such tough questions!

Ya know what? I'm not choosing. I am passing. This is too hard.

Fine. Alvarez. (Christopher Crawford)
2016-06-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)Has there been any news updates on Yadier Alvarez, and do you like him or Sandy Alcantara more for a dynasty league?
(Ron from Texarkana)
Haven't heard much on Alvarez lately. I'll probably take Alcantara right now because of less volatility but Alvarez much higher upside. (Christopher Crawford)
2016-03-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)I need 1 more player for my fantasy minor league team. The choice is a SP prospect (Kolby Allard, Amir Garrett, Josh Hader, Grant Holmes, Yadier Alvarez or Dylan Cease), position player (Dominic Smith or Trent Clark) or lottery ticket (Willie Calhoun). Which SP and position player would you choose and also your overall pick, taking into account not only ceiling/floor but also proximity to the bigs (the closer the better).
(paladin from philippines)
I really like a bunch of those dudes. Calhoun can be a special hitter, but he's a butcher defensively and loses value if (when) he moves to the OF. Allard and Garrett are two really high-upside arms, and Alvarez could turn into any pitcher you can think of (good or bad). I probably go Clark there, but you've got options depending on what you're into. (Wilson Karaman)
2016-01-29 11:00:00 (link to chat)Would Lazarito have made the list if he had signed? Were Yadier Alvarez or Alfredo Rodriguez close to making the list?
(roarke from KC)
Yadier Alvarez is No. 78 on the list. Lazarito wouldn't have been on mine. (Top 101 Chat with Craig Goldstein)
2016-01-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who are your top 3 prospects from last years draft and recent int'l signings?
(mbeemsterboer from Wisconsin)
From the draft it'd be Brendan Rodgers, Dansby Swanson and Dillon Tate. From the international signings it'd be Yadier Alvarez, Eddy Julio Martinez and Vlad Guerrero, Jr. (Christopher Crawford)

BP Roundtables

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