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Portrait of Austin Riley

Austin Riley 3B  

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2019 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 22)
PA AVG HR R RBI SB DRC+ WARP
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Birth Date4-2-1997
Height6' 3"
Weight240 lbs
Age27 years, 0 months, 21 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2015
2016
2017
2018
0.02019
proj
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA H 2B 3B HR BB SO HBP SB CS AVG OBP SLG DRC+ DRAA BRR FRAA BWARP
2019 ATL 22 80 297 62 11 1 18 16 108 5 0 2 .226 .279 .471 89 -2.9 -0.4 0.6 0.4
Career80297621111816108502.226.279.47189-2.9-0.40.60.4

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg LG G PA oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ DRC+ DRC+ SD FRAA BRR DRAA BWARP
2015 BRA Rk GCL 30 121 .227 .301 .317 .313 117 0.2 3.7 -0.1 121 0 2.5 0.3 -1.8 0.4
2015 DNV Rk APP 30 131 .263 .331 .384 .430 98 14.2 4.0 0.5 192 0 -3.0 -0.5 7.1 0.8
2016 ROM A SAL 129 543 .251 .313 .376 .341 102 19.1 14.4 1.3 130 0 3.1 -2.6 5.7 2.4
2017 BRV A+ FSL 81 339 .246 .316 .360 .289 101 3.5 9.4 1.2 111 0 -2.5 -0.4 3.0 1.1
2017 MIS AA SOU 48 203 .243 .313 .367 .393 95 14.2 5.5 0.8 156 0 -1.6 -0.5 10.7 1.6
2017 PER Wnt AFL 17 77 .000 .000 .000 .349 0.0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2018 MIS AA SOU 27 109 .243 .320 .375 .415 95 14.5 3.1 0.4 179 0 1.2 1.0 8.8 1.5
2018 GWN AAA INT 75 324 .258 .324 .399 .374 98 12.6 9.5 0.9 127 0 -0.3 1.1 8.7 2.0
2018 BRA Rk GCL 6 22 .269 .334 .406 .364 104 1.4 0.7 0 125 0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.1
2019 ATL MLB NL 80 297 .249 .323 .429 .293 99 -1.2 9.0 -2.2 89 10 0.6 -0.4 -2.9 0.4
2019 ROM A SAL 3 10 .268 .349 .397 .250 97 -1.1 0.3 -0.1 63 0 -0.5 -0.1 -0.3 -0.1
2019 GWN AAA INT 44 194 .277 .349 .476 .300 101 9.2 6.7 -0.3 139 0 -1.5 0.2 10.2 1.3

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team lvl LG PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO SF SH
2015 BRA Rk GCL 121 106 18 27 5 0 7 53 21 12 37 2 1 .255 .331 .500 .245 2 0
2015 DNV Rk APP 131 111 18 39 9 1 5 65 19 14 28 0 1 .351 .443 .586 .234 1 0
2016 ROM A SAL 543 495 68 134 39 2 20 237 80 39 147 3 3 .271 .324 .479 .208 6 0
2017 MIS AA SOU 203 178 28 56 9 1 8 91 27 20 50 2 0 .315 .389 .511 .197 2 0
2017 BRV A+ FSL 339 306 43 77 10 1 12 125 47 23 74 0 2 .252 .310 .408 .157 5 0
2017 PER Wnt AFL 77 70 11 21 5 1 6 46 18 4 21 1 1 .300 .364 .657 .357 0 0
2018 BRA Rk GCL 22 18 3 5 3 0 1 11 3 3 6 0 0 .278 .409 .611 .333 0 0
2018 GWN AAA INT 324 291 41 82 17 0 12 135 47 26 95 1 0 .282 .346 .464 .182 3 0
2018 MIS AA SOU 109 99 17 33 10 3 6 67 20 8 28 0 0 .333 .394 .677 .343 0 0
2019 GWN AAA INT 194 174 39 51 13 0 15 109 41 20 39 0 0 .293 .366 .626 .333 0 0
2019 ROM A SAL 10 10 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 .200 .200 .200 .000 0 0
2019 ATL MLB NL 297 274 41 62 11 1 18 129 49 16 108 0 2 .226 .279 .471 .245 2 0

Plate Discipline

YEAR Pits Zone% Swing% Contact% Z-Swing% O-Swing% Z-Contact% O-Contact% SwStr% CSAA
2019 1101 0.4450 0.5622 0.6155 0.7918 0.3781 0.7139 0.4502 0.3845 0.0000
Career11010.44500.56220.61550.79180.37810.71390.45020.38450.0000

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2032 ATL $22,000,000
2031 ATL $22,000,000
2030 ATL $22,000,000
2029 ATL $22,000,000
2028 ATL $22,000,000
2027 ATL $22,000,000
2026 ATL $22,000,000
2025 ATL $22,000,000
2024 ATL $21,000,000
2023 ATL $15,000,000
2022 ATL $3,950,000
2021 ATL $590,500
2020 ATL $568,500
2019 ATL $
YearsDescriptionSalary
4 yrPrevious$20,109,000
2019Current$21,000,000
5 yrPvs + Cur$41,109,000
8 yrFuture$176,000,000
13 yrTotal$217,109,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
3 y 138 dALIGND10 years/$212M (2023-32), 2033 option

Details
  • 10 years/$212M (2023-32), plus 2033 club option. Signed extension with Atlanta 8/1/22. 23:$15M, 24:$21M, 25-32:$22M annually, 33:$20M club option (no buyout). Riley to donate 1 percent of annual salary to club charity. At signing, most lucrative contract in club history.
  • 1 year/$3.95M (2022). Lost arbitration with Atlanta 5/11/22 ($4.2M-$3.95M).
  • 1 year/$590,500 (2021). Re-signed by Atlanta 3/21.
  • 1 year/$568,500 (2020). Re-signed by Atlanta 3/20.
  • 1 year (2019). Contract selected by Atlanta 5/15/19.
  • Drafted by Atlanta 2015 (1s-41) (DeSoto Central HS, Southaven, Miss.). $1.6M signing bonus ($1.5064M slot).

2019 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG DRC+ VORP FRAA WARP
Weighted Mean???????00??.000.000.00000.0?0.0

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BP Articles

Click here to see articles tagged with Austin Riley

BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2020-08-14 14:00:00 (link to chat)Jesse, can you give more insight on your ranking for Austin Riley? It looks like you're still pretty high on him. What do you see his ceiling as now? Thanks!
(asaw780 from Boston)
Yes, we remain bullish on Riley. He is a young player who will take a bit of time to figure things out, but he has big power that plays. In the short-term, I think he is a .230/30 type hitter, but long-term I think he can provide a bit more average and maybe turn in a .250/35 season or two. He has been heating up a bit of late as well. (Jesse Roche)
2020-04-01 13:00:00 (link to chat)What do you think the Cubs' long term plan is for starting pitching? Lester is gonna retire after this year. Yu and Hendricks are a good start, but after that it's a whole lot of unknown.
(Will from Indianapolis)
They're going to have to continue to look outside the organization, whether it's for free agents or in trades (Bryant, Contreras, etc.). I like Brailyn Marquez a lot, perhaps too much especially with his late in-season adjustments last year, but the cavalry isn't coming from within the system right now. I continue to see the Braves as logical trade partners for a Bryant deal because they have two outfield prospects who can both play center (or Austin Riley, if needed), plus Acuna, and a ton of arms that could be superfluous in Atlanta but useful in Chicago. (Craig Goldstein)
2020-01-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is Austin Riley one of the beneficiaries of the Josh Donaldson signing? And given the muddiness of Riley's 2019 (scorching start to ugliness to injury), what have you heard/what is your sense about how Atlanta views him today?
(Karl from Berlin)
I saw a Braves reporter say that if the season started today Camargo would open at 3B and Riley would be in Triple-A. That seems plausible to me, though I think if the Braves are going to win the division they're going to need Riley to be a consistent part of the club. I don't think they're down on him as much as opening at Triple-A might indicate. He's got some development to do, and Triple-A is a good place for it. (Craig Goldstein)
2019-12-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)What are the odds Austin Riley craps out a la Will Middlebrooks? What are the odds he becomes a Troy Glaus-type player and hits .250 with 30 HR?
(The Colonel from Pasadena, CA)
25%, 30% (Atlanta Braves Top 10 Chat)
2019-11-07 14:00:00 (link to chat)Should the Braves bring back Josh Donaldson or maybe back up the spending truck for Anthony Rendon? Austin Riley is terrible. He just can't be the team's 3B of the future.
(Dan from Atlanta)
Riley might not be their 3B of the future but he also could be their LF of the future. He certainly scuffled after his hot start, but I wouldn't give up on him entirely. That said, it would certainly be disappointing from a Braves fan perspective if they don't bring in someone with a little more certainty to man 3B. Whether it's re-upping Donaldson or snagging Rendon, their core is young and cheap and ready to win right now. Not supplementing that core by patching what few holes they have on the roster would certainly be a disappointment. (Free Agent Chat w/Collin Whitchurch)
2019-10-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who has a better bat, Will Smith or Austin Riley?
(The Colonel from Pasadena, CA)
pure bat? I'd go Riley despite the cratering in the second half. I think adjustments get made there. (Craig Goldstein)
2019-09-13 12:00:00 (link to chat)Are you concerned about Austin Riley? Another evaluator keeps mentioning his questionable bat speed and poor walk and strikeout rates. And honestly, am I nuts to get a Will Middlebrooks vibe with Riley?
(John from PA)
As we head into list season, good time for a reminder that I am not gonna comment on other's evals. As for Riley, he's dealt with injury issues and is going to have to make secondary adjustments now like every other dude who the league adjusts to. I'm going to give his some time to do it. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2019-08-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)What position do you think Nick Senzel plays next year? How about Carter Kieboom, Austin Riley and Brendan Rodgers?
(The Colonel from Pasadena, CA)
I think he'll primarily play center field. I'll guess second base for Kieboom, outfield for Riley, and second base for Rodgers. (JP Breen)
2019-07-11 23:00:00 (link to chat)Who would you rather have for the future (if their parks were neutral): Brendan Rodgers at 2B or Austin Riley at 3B?
(The Colonel from Pasadena, CA)
Probably Riley, though his sophomore slump's gonna be a doozy. I remain slightly surprised/somewhat leary that Rodgers hasn't developed a better approach (Wilson Karaman)
2019-07-08 20:00:00 (link to chat)I'm assuming Austin Riley will move back to 3B next season when Donaldson goes? Will Nick Senzel move back to 3B anytime soon or do you think he's a CF now? How is he out there?
(The Colonel from Pasadena, CA)
Riley back to third seems like the likeliest outcome, but don't underestimate the chance that they try to plug Camargo back in. I am surprised that Senzel can even play center at all, and it's a real credit to him, but I'm still not sure where his long-term home is yet. Maybe second? Third is blocked by Suarez for some time to come. (Jarrett Seidler)
2019-06-14 14:00:00 (link to chat)Who wins this deal? Yordan Alvarez Carter Kieboom, Peter Alonso, Sixto Sanchez, and Austin Riley for Trevor Bauer and Freddie Freeman?
(Kenny from Kansas)
In the near, short, or long-term? Seems like near-term Bauer and Freeman are productive now. At some point it will shift to the other side of the deal. (Don't ask me when. I have no idea.) (Rob Arthur)
2019-05-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who are your top 10 dynasty hitting prospects right now?
(Eugene from Monroe)
For guys that haven't debuted yet, I'll say: Wander Franco, Keston Hiura, Kyle Tucker, Jo Adell, Alex Kiriloff, Austin Riley, Taylor Trammell, Brendan Rodgers, Luis Robert and Yordan Alvarez (Mark Barry)
2019-05-24 15:00:00 (link to chat)The Giants offense is a pathetic mess. Yesterday, Mac Williamson had a platinum (is that even a thing?) sombrero. Was it just a bad day or is he just not good? It’s the latter, isn’t it? Also, do the Giants have an Austin Riley in their farm system? Can you lie to me and tell me Heliot Ramos is going to be better than a very Giants-esque utility player?
(Pablo Forever from Folsom, CA)
Yeah, Mac Williamson will probably never have the contact skills to make the power relevant. I do think Heliot Ramos will be something, someday. Bart is good and close, even with the injury. Marco Luciano and Alexander Canario are going to be fun to watch but are many years away. It's not great, but at least I trust Zaidi with some premium picks in the draft? (Jon Hegglund)
2019-05-01 12:00:00 (link to chat)Austin Riley is striking out way less this year. Reasons for optimism? What does his future stat line look like in Atlanta?
(Greg from ATL)
Ah, now I'm all nostalgic for the Austin Riley K-rate wars of last season's chats. I was less worried about this than most apparently because of the level of damage he was doing on contact. But more contact can only mean good things. Something like .270, 25ish bombs seems like a decent median. Could see him having a couple big years mixed in there too. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2019-04-10 21:00:00 (link to chat)with the emergence of top rookies such as Jimenez, Alonso, lowe etc who else do you expect to make the jump next. thanks
(easterbrook from ontario canada)
If you mean someone already in the majors, I'm all about Victor Robles. I think he'll eventually move up into a more prominent role in the Nats lineup and keep showing off a pretty absurd power/speed combo with great defense in center. I'm also in the tank for Chris Paddack, the Padres rookie starter.

In terms of players who haven't debuted: Vlad Jr. (duh). Beyond him, I could see Austin Riley's power playing pretty quickly if an opportunity were to arise in Atlanta. (Zach Crizer)
2019-03-15 16:00:00 (link to chat)How many PAs does Austin Riley get in 2019
(nschaef from NYC)
PECOTA only has him for 47 plate appearances, and I think that might be a bit light. I'll say an even 200. He's only one Josh Donaldson injury away. What could possibly go wrong?? (Mark Barry)
2019-02-06 21:00:00 (link to chat)Austin Riley or Hudson Potts...Who makes a bigger impact with their speed? Who stays at 3rd into their 30s?
(Sean M from Phoenix, IL)
Neither are speed guys, but if I have to pick between the two I’d pick Potts. But again, I don’t see him as a dude who’s routinely going to challenge for/surpass 10 steals. Potts is also the “safer bet” to stick at third, but only because he’s a double-plus defender there. Riley should stick at third just fine too. - BC (Dynasty 101 Chat w/ Ben Carsley and Bret Sayre)
2018-11-29 23:00:00 (link to chat)Austin Riley has to be pretty miffed about the Braves signing Donaldson, eh? Do we have to expect him to spend 2019 in AAA? Thanks1
(Chasson from Moon)
Eh, he could use the extra AAA time, it alleviates a super two crunch, and Donaldson's an elite but fragile player. There should be plenty of opportunity to get Riley his debut at-bats, keep JD fresh, and have everybody win. JD's one-year deal is kinda perfect, really. (Wilson Karaman)
2018-07-13 15:00:00 (link to chat)Can you expand on the Austin Riley writeup? The "an advanced approach with good awareness of the strike zone" confuses me. I'm admittedly scouting the stats only, but his massive K rates don't scream advanced approach to me.
(Greg from GA)
It's swing and miss in the zone more than chasing basically. We can debate which is worse. I've basically held the line on Riley for two years with my staff yelling at me to stuff him, but I finally gave in. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2018-06-29 13:00:00 (link to chat)I really appreciate what Hudson Potts has done. It's early,but what do we have there? Another Austin Riley, mixed opinions, prove everyone wrong kind of emergence?
(Yonnie from Calligonnie)
I like that were alternate Hudson Potts weeks. One week it is "he's actually overrated, right?" the next it's "He's a breakout Austin Riley type, right?"

Wilson ten packed him this week and thought the glove was ahead of the bat, but the bat had potential given his age relative to competition. And the glove was really good,

As for the bat:

"He’ll wear his 19 years and sometimes fall prey to executed sequencing out of the zone, but there’s also some foundational command of the zone. There’s natural strength, and there’s a lot of untapped potential to apply it more effectively in the pursuit of loft and distance." (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2018-06-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)Will Austin Riley be ranked high? I was excited until he got hurt.
(Edith from Barcelona)
Yes, I have finally been won over. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2018-06-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)Biggest prospect on the rise in rankings this year?
(Max from Boston)
Based on our sketched out midseason 50 tiers, The Jesus Lizard (mostly because I was a coward and didn't push him hard last offseason), Jo Adell, Keston Hiura, Austin Riley, Lazarito, Griffin Canning (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2018-05-25 12:15:00 (link to chat)Who are a few prospects primed to rise up the prospect rankings. I’m thinking Luzardo and Luis robert are a few. Thoughts on them and any others in that category?
(Robert from California)
Have a few variations of this question in the queue, and Bret and I talked about this very topic on this week's TINO, which should be out today/tomorrow, in the context of Jeffrey's article on updating the 101 (or, why we don't do that: https://www.baseballprospectus.com/prospects/article/40025/view-from-behind-backstop-straight-at-101-brendan-rodgers/):

Luzardo would definitely get a bump. We liked him a bunch coming into the season and between the list locking in December and publishing in February, we discussed how we'd have liked to have been more aggressive with him. Robert probably too, though the thumb injury is a downer, and I don't know that he'd fly intensely higher. Austin Riley, Alex Kirilloff re-establishing value, Luis Alexander Basabe (healthy knees again). I mentioned Jo Adell earlier. Those are the types of names that'd get a solid boost/be considered for the list now, at this point. (Craig Goldstein)
2018-04-20 12:00:00 (link to chat)While you don't want to read too much into the first few weeks, is it fair to wonder if BP was a little too low on Austin Riley?
(Tim from GA)
To be fair, that's me more than BP. He certainly had his boosters internally. I've been slow to warm on the swing, but if he makes it work, he makes it work. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2018-02-05 12:00:00 (link to chat)I'll post the requisite Braves question(s). What kept Austin Riley and Max Fried off the list? How close was Pache? Why do you hate my TEAM?!?!?!
(Lawgiver from Kentucky)
Austin Riley has just never been my jam, although Javi loves him and Javi knows his shit. Fried looked better in the majors than the minors, but I'd like to see him put together a full healthy season of good pitching at some point. Pache is another guy that probably makes a 150, though I like him less than the industry generally. (Top 101 with Jeffrey Paternostro)
2018-02-23 20:00:00 (link to chat)What are some players you are most looking forward to seeing this year?
(kcshankd from Cascadia)
Gee, a ton of them. I like seeing some of the lesser-regarded guys trying to find value. I am lucky in that I live midway between Daytona and Jacksonville so I can see the Double-A Southern League and the High-A Florida State League. The home teams have several guys I’m excited to see. Monte Harrison in Jax and Taylor Trammell and Jose Siri in Daytona. I’m hoping to get better looks at Eloy, Austin Riley, Zac Collins. Then there is always a Braves’ pitcher. This season is Kyle Wright. Too many to list... (Scott Delp)
2017-01-06 13:00:00 (link to chat)So how many prospects in the Braves system would be the top prospect in the Diamondbacks or Royals systems?
(Greg from ATL)
I think I can get to 12, past that it depends on how you feel about Austin Riley I guess. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2016-05-12 13:00:00 (link to chat)Everyone's high on the Braves system, but as a Braves fan, I'm confused. I don't see any pitchers with ace potential other than Newcomb, who can't throw strikes. I don't see any hitters who could hit 20+ homers. So what am I missing? Can a team win with a bunch of 10-15 homer guys in the lineup and a bunch of middle rotation guys in the rotation?
(Alex from Atlanta)
First of all, Dansby Swanson. Second of all, Austin Riley and Braxton Davidson absolutely could hit 20+ homers. Third of all, Dansby Swanson. Fourth of all, not a lot of ace guys, but a TON of middle of the rotation guys. Their depth is simply outstanding. (Christopher Crawford)
2016-05-12 13:00:00 (link to chat)Austin Riley strikes out a ton and can't walk. Davidson isn't good. Even for young guys, their seasons look miserable. There is no power in the org.
(Alex from Atlanta)
Way too soon to make these kinds of statements. I just don't agree at all that there is no power in the organization. It's not its strength, but there's pop. (Christopher Crawford)
2016-03-28 13:00:00 (link to chat)Can you give me your overall thoughts on the hitters in the Braves system? I obviously love the pitching, but I'm nervous about any future hitters besides Dansby and Albies.
(Alex from Georgia)
Really respect the guys running the show and the scouting department there in Atlanta. They understand that especially in the NL, pitching wins you games.

There's a reason they're targeting a 'college bat'--so they say--in this year's draft. It makes sense. The system is VERY pitching heavy, though I agree, Dansby is a damn stud.

There just isn't even a ton of guys to talk about here in terms of their hitters. Austin Riley had a great debut, but they strayed so far from where others had him (a pitcher), you have to say to yourself 'I want to see this in a full-season league, and over time.'

That said, I really trust their scouts. I trust the guys pulling the trigger, and it wouldn't shock me if we were all wrong about Riley and they were right. He's certainly hit and hit and hit to date.

That said, yes, they definitely need to add offense--and it wouldn't shock me to see them go as 'bat heavy' as they were 'pitching heavy' last year.

Can I get a Kolby Allard, though? Love that kid. Hope he stays healthy. (Adam McInturff)
2016-02-03 20:00:00 (link to chat)With our new prospects draft approaching, I need to make room for two MiLB spots. Which two get the axe? Adam Walker, Tyler Goeddel, Tyler White or Alex Blandino? If I had to guess, it'll be Benintendi and someone like Naylor or Austin Riley replacing them.
(Wally from LA)
Goeddel was taken in the Rule 5, so I'd probably hold him and see if he can stick. Blandino is the other keep here but I can't wait to see what Tyler White does this year. (Greg Wellemeyer)
2016-01-21 19:00:00 (link to chat)Can you give us a couple prospects that you could see their stock blowing up this year? Robles and Espinoza aside
(Isaac from Akron)
Victor Robles blew up last year and he's my dude...Assuming you're looking for lower-level prospects with upside, not MLB-ready types, my favorites would have to be Francis Martes (Astros) and Brent Honeywell (Rays). Honeywell throws the screwball and so far nobody has been able to touch it. I also like Austin Riley (Braves). He's going to shoot up lists. If you're looking for the one big name prospect that I'm high on it's Nomar Mazara...I'm all in... (George Bissell)


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