Gilbert Lara 3BNationals
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Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET
|Date On||Date Off||Transaction||Days||Games||Side||Body Part||Injury||Severity||Surgery Date||Reaggravation|
2019 Preseason Forecast
Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET
|90o||384||30||75||9||0||11||38||3||121||0||0||.198||.204||.310||23||-21.4||SS 2, 3B 0||-2.1|
|80o||364||27||65||8||0||9||34||3||116||0||0||.182||.187||.279||15||-25.0||SS 2, 3B 0||-2.5|
|70o||349||24||59||7||0||8||31||2||113||0||0||.172||.175||.262||9||-27.3||SS 2, 3B 0||-2.7|
|60o||337||22||55||7||0||8||29||2||110||0||0||.166||.170||.260||4||-29.1||SS 2, 3B 0||-2.9|
|50o||325||21||50||6||0||7||27||2||107||0||0||.156||.160||.241||0||-30.5||SS 2, 3B 0||-3.1|
|40o||313||19||46||6||0||6||25||2||105||0||0||.149||.154||.227||-5||-31.8||SS 2, 3B 0||-3.2|
|30o||301||17||42||5||0||6||23||2||101||0||0||.142||.147||.220||-10||-33.0||SS 1, 3B 0||-3.3|
|20o||286||15||37||5||0||5||21||2||98||0||0||.131||.136||.202||-16||-34.1||SS 1, 3B 0||-3.5|
|10o||266||13||31||4||0||4||18||1||92||0||0||.118||.121||.179||-24||-35.2||SS 1, 3B 0||-3.6|
|Weighted Mean||329||21||51||6||0||7||28||2||108||0||0||.157||.162||.241||1||-30.1||SS 2, 3B 0||-3.0|
|2019-12-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)||I saw a lot of former big bonus signee Gilbert Lara after he was traded from Milwaukee. He definitely looks the part and has power, but a lot of K's, do you have similar concerns?|
(Kyle from Hagerstown)
|Gilbert Lara is a good argument for not ranking any J2 bonus guys until they are stateside. My concern is he's just never really hit and Ben's notes from this year include the sentence "There’s a bit of a bat wrap, and his uphill swing causes him to work under balls and leads to an all-or-nothing profile. He still has a lot of work ahead of him to clean up his mechanics and approach" (Washington Nationals Top 10 Chat)|
|2019-04-24 13:00:00 (link to chat)||Are Gilbert Lara and KJ Harrison anything now? They're both off to blazing starts in their first action in the Nats org. Could they be change of scenery post hype sleepers?|
(Andrew from Boston)
|Ben Spanier wrote up Lara for us earlier this year (https://www.baseballprospectus.com/prospects/article/48330/notes-from-the-field-april-9-2019/) and he's basically the same guy he was before on a hot start.
Harrison might have some changes in him so far. He's increased his exit velo from prior years and generally looks pretty good as a hitter right now. That said he's 22 and in Low-A, so take it with a pretty significant grain of salt. (Craig Goldstein)
|2018-04-16 14:00:00 (link to chat)||Is Gilbert lara off life support or is it small sample size and he will regress? |
(Bsg from Tucson)
|Well it’s definitely a small sample size. Real Gilbert Lara is somewhere in between last season and where he is now. I think it will be less last season when it settles in but maybe not nearly as close as we’d all like to this season so far. (Scott Delp)|
|2017-06-13 12:00:00 (link to chat)||Should we be worried about Gilbert Lara at this point?|
(Grapes from Milwaukee)
|Yes. (Craig Goldstein)|
|2017-05-18 13:00:00 (link to chat)||Time to give up on Gilbert Lara?|
(Tom from Portland)
|Nah, way too early for that, but the reports have been bad. (Jeffrey Paternostro)|
|2017-01-06 13:00:00 (link to chat)||Is Gilbert Lara hype train over?
Seeing guys breakout last year like Eloy or Aquino, give me hope. But repeated mixed reports give doubt.
(also cold from entire Northeast)
|The reports this year weren't great, especially w/rt/ his likely positional home, but he's young and this shit isn't linear. The hype train is over, but there is always the allure of the post-hype sleeper. (Jeffrey Paternostro)|
|2017-01-06 13:00:00 (link to chat)||what is Maitan's likely development path next few years for levels?
normal- complex 2017, lowA 2018, and onward?
fast - rookie/lowA 2017, highA 2018, and onward?
Braves fans seem to think he could be in majors by age 20, so that's a 3 year minor league track|
(DB from da burgh)
|It's not impossible, but he could also be Gilbert Lara at 20. (Jeffrey Paternostro)|
|2016-10-06 14:00:00 (link to chat)||Any thoughts on balancing the line between being patient and moving on, in regards to younger prospects struggling their first few years? Seen guys like Eloy and Aquino emerge this year, while some like Gilbert Lara seem stuck in mud. Avg reader obviously doesn't see these guys in person. Not scouting stat lines is a mantra, but culture, makeup, language, desire are things not easily determined by sitting in stands either. |
(DB from Pgh)
|I think it gets even harder with IFAs, because those bonuses (that often become proxy for OFP), might be agreed upon a full year out from signing. Think about how different your average high school freshman ballplayer changes by senior year. You'd think the IFAs have the advantage here, given access to pro coaching and more baseball focus, but it doesn't always work out that way. Good production always beats bad production, but if someone I trust and has seen him tells me Lara still has it, I'm going to take a second look.
For a real-world example, the Mets Ali Sanchez hit .212/.260/.275 in Brooklyn this year, and he didn't exactly light up the GCL the year before. I still like him a lot as a prospect, because of what I have seen. Now he is a different profile than Lara, and didn't get nearly as enough money (although he was a mid-six figures bonus guy), but would you be shocked if it clicks for either in 2017? This stuff is more art than science, especially with the teenagers. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
|2016-04-12 18:00:00 (link to chat)||Do you think Gilbert Lara stays at short and what do you think his upside could be?|
(Chase from U.S.A.)
|I would say it's unlikely that Lara is a long-term shortstop, but again, I can't blame the Brewers for giving it every shot to work. The upside at third or shortstop is immense. You can't even see the floor, but the upside is up there with any prospect that wasn't in the 101. (Christopher Crawford)|
|2016-03-28 13:00:00 (link to chat)||Thoughts on Gilbert Lara? Do you think his swing could present problems for him in the future?|
(Kyle from Wisconsin)
|Well, he's not a total joke, which is legitimately a great starting point for some of these high-money guys. That's not a knock on the industry at all--it's just that hard to scout a 16 year old and have to 'pull the trigger' on a seven-figure bonus.
I wrote up Lara here, albeit in brief:
The frame really stands out when you consider how young he is. This guy is going to be a physical monster. I can see 1-2 more inches in height and 20-40 more pounds grown out. That sounds kind of nuts, but when you're standing next to him, the broadness of his upper-half and the way he carries his current frame makes it more believable.
There are some attributes of his swing that I think will cause him issue, but I don't think it's fair to assume an 18-year-old kid is going to hit like this forever. For one, his swing isn't a TOTAL wreck. Secondly, he actually does have standout hitting tools--there's a reason we have known this kid's name for a few years.
I'd like to see him get less 'drifty' in his swing and have a quieter launch position before he starts the hands, but I think I'm likely echoing what he's hearing in the cage and the video room every day.
He isn't a SS for me, though he does have the arm for third. He might be so big and rangy he has to move to an OF corner, but there's a chance for the bat to play there. If he stays in the infield, he'll need to soften his hands and probably get more natural ranging to his back-hand side.
There's a lot to like. There's also a lot to be mindful of relating to the amount of time it will take for him to put it together--or even be a palatable big league prospect such that we even really get a feel for who this guy is.
Crowdsourcing this to Brewers fans: if you were the director of PD, would you send him to full-season ball again? Or would you hold him back in Extended and send him to Helena? Playing entire season at age 18, remember. (Adam McInturff)
|2016-01-29 11:00:00 (link to chat)||Doing my best to envision my Brew Crew's next competitive team, how much hope should I place in Gilbert Lara? Can I hope to see him take a big step forward this year in full-season ball? Thanks!|
(Tanner from Chicago)
|I think it's reasonable to appreciate the ceiling but also tap the breaks in terms of how quickly he'll get there. I don't think he stick at SS (he's huge), but the power is intense and he might be better at making contact than I originally thought. (Top 101 Chat with Craig Goldstein)|
|2015-09-21 20:30:00 (link to chat)||Gilbert Lara started out hot, hitting .400+ after about 100~ ABs. Then hit under .200 for a long while.
Future star who got tired or overwhelmed stateside at age 17....
Or just chill and it's too early to tell anything. |
(DBrown from Pittsburgh)
|Chill and believe in the power of the Lara. (Bret Sayre)|
|2015-08-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)||Gilbert Lara started great, then really coooled off - anything more to that besides normal teenager adjustment to stateside ball? (I.e., no change to his evolving profile?)|
(Mike from Chicago)
|The report I received was that Lara looked exhausted without the big bat-speed he showed early, and that's totally understandable. This is still a very talented prospect, but one who is going to go through his fair share of growing pains. This is one of them. (Christopher Crawford)|
|2015-08-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)||Leonardo Molina, Magneuris sierra and Gilbert Lara were hyped on BP last winter, do they justify the hype after this minor league season?|
(Mark from Seattle)
|All of them are soooo young and soooo far away. All still working on refining the most basic elements of their skillsets. They all have intriguing baselines, which is why they're known names already, and it's far too early to get off any of their respective bandwagons. FWIW, I've heard nothing but good things about Lara's work ethic and the tools are probably the best of the bunch. (Wilson Karaman)|
No BP Roundtables have mentioned this guy.