Caleb Ferguson Stats | Baseball Prospectus

Biographical

Caleb Ferguson P
Scouting Report
Scouted by Will Siskel (Aug 9, 2016)
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2019 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 22)

IP	ERA	WHIP	SO	W	L	SV	WARP
24.7	3.81	1.18	26	1	1	0	0.3

Birth Date	7-2-1996
Height	6' 3"
Weight	226 lbs

Age	27 years, 9 months, 23 days
Bats	R
Throws	L

: 2015
: 2016
: 2017
: 1.02018
: 0.32019
proj

WARP Summary

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MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shown —Click to hide.

YEAR	Team	Lg	G	GS	IP	W	L	SV	H	BB	SO	HR	PPF	H/9	BB/9	HR/9	K/9	GB%	BABIP	WHIP	FIP	ERA	cFIP	DRA	DRA-	WARP
2018	LAN	MLB	29	3	49.0	7	2	2	43	12	59	8	97	7.9	2.2	1.5	10.8	47%	.292	1.12	3.75	3.49	86	3.17	70.9	1.0
2019	LAN	MLB	46	2	44.7	1	2	0	39	27	54	7	96	7.9	5.4	1.4	10.9	40%	.291	1.48	5.00	4.84	104	4.92	101.0	0.2
Career		MLB	75	5	93.7	8	4	2	82	39	113	15	96	7.9	3.7	1.4	10.9	44%	.291	1.29	4.35	4.13	95	4.01	85.2	1.3

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shown —Click to hide.

YEAR	Team	Lg	LG	G	GS	IP	W	L	SV	H	BB	SO	HR	PPF	H/9	BB/9	HR/9	K/9	GB%	BABIP	WHIP	FIP	ERA	cFIP	DRA	DRA-
2015	DOD	Rk	AZL	14	4	14.7	0	3	1	17	21	16	0	99	10.4	12.9	0.0	9.8	0%	.378	2.59	6.12	8.59	136	10.11	221.7
2016	GRL	A	MID	10	10	50.3	1	4	0	49	3	41	3	90	8.8	0.5	0.5	7.3	60%	.309	1.03	2.92	2.68	90	4.26	94.0
2016	DOD	Rk	AZL	2	0	6.0	1	0	0	4	0	11	0		6.0	0.0	0.0	16.5	38%	.308	0.67	0.44	1.50	58	2.22	49.0
2016	OGD	Rk	PIO	2	2	10.0	1	0	0	4	2	11	0	98	3.6	1.8	0.0	9.9	67%	.167	0.60	3.04	0.90	81	0.86	19.0
2017	RCU	A+	CAL	25	24	122.3	9	4	0	113	55	140	6	105	8.3	4.0	0.4	10.3	46%	.335	1.37	3.77	2.87	91	3.90	83.0
2018	LAN	MLB	NL	29	3	49.0	7	2	2	43	12	59	8	97	7.9	2.2	1.5	10.8	47%	.292	1.12	3.75	3.49	86	3.17	70.9
2018	TUL	AA	TEX	8	8	39.0	3	0	0	31	10	40	2	111	7.2	2.3	0.5	9.2	42%	.284	1.05	2.83	1.38	80	2.73	57.7
2018	OKL	AAA	PCL	2	2	8.0	0	0	0	6	7	12	0	86	6.8	7.9	0.0	13.5	21%	.316	1.63	3.36	2.25	98	4.02	85.1
2019	LAN	MLB	NL	46	2	44.7	1	2	0	39	27	54	7	96	7.9	5.4	1.4	10.9	40%	.291	1.48	5.00	4.84	104	4.92	101.0
2019	RCU	A+	CAL	1	0	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0		0.0	9.0	0.0	18.0	0%	.000	1.00	2.66	0.00	75	2.26	46.4
2019	OKL	AAA	PCL	13	1	15.3	0	0	1	9	5	27	1	94	5.3	2.9	0.6	15.8	50%	.333	0.91	2.10	1.76	55	1.28	26.3

Plate Discipline

YEAR	Pits	Zone%	Swing%	Contact%	Z-Swing%	O-Swing%	Z-Contact%	O-Contact%	SwStr%
2018	830	0.5627	0.4771	0.7374	0.6424	0.2645	0.7733	0.6250	0.2626
2019	821	0.5286	0.4799	0.7640	0.6982	0.2351	0.8119	0.6044	0.2360
Career	1651	0.5457	0.4785	0.7506	0.6701	0.2499	0.7925	0.6148	0.2494

Injury History — No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On	Date Off	Transaction	Days	Games	Side	Body Part	Injury	Severity	Surgery Date	Reaggravation

Compensation

Year	Team	Salary
2024	NYA	$2,400,000
2023	LAN	$1,100,000
2022	LAN	$762,500
2021	LAN	$605,500
2020	LAN	$583,500
2019	LAN	$560,000
2018	LAN	$

Years	Description	Salary
5 yr	Previous	$3,611,500
2019	Current	$2,400,000
6 yr	Pvs + Cur	$6,011,500
6 yr	Total	$6,011,500

Service Time	Agent	Contract Status
5 y 93 d		1 year/$2.4M (2024)

Details

1 year/$2.4M (2024). Re-signed by LA Dodgers 1/11/24 (avoided arbitration). Acquired by NY Yankees in trade from LA Dodgers 2/5/24.
1 year/$1.1M (2023). Re-signed by LA Dodgers 1/13/23 (avoided arbitration).
1 year/$762,500 (2022). Re-signed by LA Dodgers 3/22/22 (avoided arbitration).
1 year/$605,500 (2021). Re-signed by LA Dodgers 3/21.
1 year/$583,500 (2020). Re-signed by LA Dodgers 3/20.
1 year (2019). Re-signed by LA Dodgers 3/19.
1 year (2018). Contract selected by LA Dodgers 6/6/18.
Drafted by LA Dodgers 2014 (38-1,149) (West Jefferson HS, Ohio).

2019 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT	W	L	SV	G	GS	IP	H	BB	SO	HR	BABIP	WHIP	ERA	DRA
90^o	0	0	0	0	0	15.5	11	4	16	2	.248	0.98	2.62	2.87
80^o	0	0	0	0	0	10.1	8	3	11	1	.263	1.06	2.97	3.26
70^o	0	0	0	0	0	6.3	5	2	7	1	.273	1.12	3.23	3.54
60^o	0	0	0	0	0	3.2	3	1	3	0	.282	1.17	3.45	3.79
50^o	0	0	0	0	0	0.3	0	0	0	0	.291	1.22	3.66	4.02
Weighted Mean	?	?	?	?	?	0.0	?	0	0	?	.000	0.00	0.00	?

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2019 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.

Year	Age	W	L	G	GS	IP	H	BB	SO	HR	GB%	BABIP	WHIP	ERA	DRA	H/9	BB/9	K/9	HR/9	WARP
2020	23	5	3	72	5	99	77	32	108	12	45	.290	1.10	3.71	4.14	7.0	2.9	9.8	1.1	0.9
2021	24	5	3	79	5	110	87	36	123	13	45	.298	1.12	3.65	4.08	7.1	3.0	10.1	1.1	1.1
2022	25	5	3	74	5	102	83	33	110	13	45	.299	1.14	3.81	4.26	7.3	2.9	9.7	1.2	0.8
2023	26	5	3	75	5	104	83	33	117	13	45	.299	1.12	3.66	4.09	7.2	2.9	10.2	1.1	1.0
2024	27	5	3	73	5	101	80	31	113	12	45	.294	1.10	3.67	4.10	7.1	2.8	10.0	1.1	1.0
2025	28	5	3	72	5	99	77	30	112	12	45	.293	1.08	3.61	4.03	7.0	2.7	10.2	1.1	1.0
2026	29	5	3	69	5	95	75	29	106	12	45	.294	1.09	3.67	4.10	7.1	2.7	10.0	1.1	0.9
2027	30	4	3	66	4	91	72	27	102	11	45	.296	1.09	3.61	4.03	7.1	2.7	10.1	1.1	1.0
2028	31	4	2	55	4	76	60	23	85	9	45	.294	1.10	3.69	4.12	7.1	2.7	10.1	1.1	0.7

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 80)

Rank	Score	Name	Year	Run Average	Trend
1	90	Tyler Skaggs	2014	4.70
2	88	Lucas Giolito	2017	2.78
3	87	Francis Martes	2018	0.00	DNP
4	85	Jack Flaherty	2018	3.46
5	85	Alex Sanabia	2011	3.27
6	84	Trey McNutt	2012	0.00	DNP
7	84	Jaime Garcia	2009	0.00	DNP
8	84	Dana Eveland	2006	8.13
9	83	Jose Garcia	2007	0.00	DNP
10	83	Zach Davies	2015	3.71
11	83	Nick Kingham	2014	0.00	DNP
12	82	Cody Buckel	2014	0.00	DNP
13	82	Jenrry Mejia	2012	5.63
14	82	Daniel Corcino	2013	0.00	DNP
15	82	Gerrit Cole	2013	3.30
16	82	Rubby De La Rosa	2011	3.86
17	82	Jameson Taillon	2014	0.00	DNP
18	82	Wade Davis	2008	0.00	DNP
19	82	German Marquez	2017	4.56
20	82	Jon Niese	2009	4.21
21	82	Jonathan Broxton	2006	2.95
22	81	Henderson Alvarez III	2012	5.28
23	81	Arodys Vizcaino	2013	0.00	DNP
24	81	Kyle Simon	2013	0.00	DNP
25	81	Allen Webster	2012	0.00	DNP
26	81	Ian Krol	2013	3.95
27	81	Chris Tillman	2010	6.20
28	81	Eduardo Rodriguez	2015	4.07
29	81	Franklin Morales	2008	6.39
30	81	Casey Kelly	2012	7.14
31	81	Jordan Swagerty	2012	0.00	DNP
32	81	C.J. Riefenhauser	2012	0.00	DNP
33	80	Stephen Landazuri	2014	0.00	DNP
34	80	Clayton Blackburn	2015	0.00	DNP
35	80	Giovanni Soto	2013	0.00	DNP
36	80	Miguel Castro	2017	3.93
37	80	James Simmons	2009	0.00	DNP
38	80	Nick Tropeano	2013	0.00	DNP
39	80	Jordan Walden	2010	2.35
40	80	Trevor Bauer	2013	5.82
41	80	Edwin Escobar	2014	4.50
42	80	Luke Jackson	2014	0.00	DNP
43	80	Anthony Banda	2016	0.00	DNP
44	80	Tyler Danish	2017	0.00
45	80	Tommy Hanson	2009	2.96
46	80	Jay Jackson	2010	0.00	DNP
47	80	Alex Reyes	2017	0.00	DNP
48	80	Justus Sheffield	2018	10.13
49	80	Danny Duffy	2011	5.64
50	79	Grant Holmes	2018	0.00	DNP
51	79	Noah Syndergaard	2015	3.60
52	79	Scott Barnes	2010	0.00	DNP
53	79	Carlos Martinez	2014	4.13
54	79	Anibal Sanchez	2006	3.07
55	79	Dennis Santana	2018	12.27
56	79	Liam Hendriks	2011	6.17
57	79	John Stilson	2013	0.00	DNP
58	79	Alec Asher	2014	0.00	DNP
59	79	Derek Holland	2009	6.38
60	79	Michael Kopech	2018	5.02
61	79	Christian Binford	2015	0.00	DNP
62	79	Tim Alderson	2011	0.00	DNP
63	79	Tommy Hunter	2009	4.42
64	79	Brett Cecil	2009	5.69
65	79	Luis Severino	2016	6.08
66	79	Manny Banuelos	2013	0.00	DNP
67	79	Yohander Mendez	2017	6.57
68	79	Edwin Diaz	2016	2.79
69	78	Mat Latos	2010	3.07
70	78	Zack Littell	2018	7.52
71	78	Jake McGee	2009	0.00	DNP
72	78	Evan Anundsen	2010	0.00	DNP
73	78	Robert Dugger	2018	0.00	DNP
74	78	Zack Wheeler	2012	0.00	DNP
75	78	Cesar Carrillo	2006	0.00	DNP
76	78	Luis Ortiz	2018	23.14
77	78	Dylan Owen	2009	0.00	DNP
78	78	Jacob Turner	2013	4.19
79	78	Lisalverto Bonilla	2012	0.00	DNP
80	78	Jake Thompson	2016	5.70
81	78	Aaron Poreda	2009	2.70
82	78	Kasey Kiker	2010	0.00	DNP
83	78	Trevor Rosenthal	2012	2.78
84	78	Miguel Sulbaran	2016	0.00	DNP
85	78	Edgar Osuna	2010	0.00	DNP
86	78	Steve Garrison	2009	0.00	DNP
87	78	Keyvius Sampson	2013	0.00	DNP
88	78	Tyler Alexander	2017	0.00	DNP
89	78	Patrick Corbin	2012	4.71
90	78	Nestor Cortes Jr.	2017	0.00	DNP
91	78	Adam Miller	2007	0.00	DNP
92	77	Corey Black	2014	0.00	DNP
93	77	Daniel Norris	2015	4.65
94	77	Scott Olsen	2006	4.68
95	77	Brandon Finnegan	2015	3.56
96	77	Alex White	2011	7.36
97	77	Bryan Shaw	2010	0.00	DNP
98	77	Luis Cruz	2013	0.00	DNP
99	77	Hector Rondon	2010	0.00	DNP
100	77	Rafael Montero	2013	0.00	DNP

BP Annual Player Comments

Year		Comment
2019		Due to publishing agreements, the 2019 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2019 book (available in hardcopy, and soon e-book and Kindle).
2018		Southpaw Caleb Ferguson rode a solid heater and plus-flashing hook to one of the better pitching seasons in the high-octane California League, pacing the circuit's qualified starters in ERA and whiff rate.
2017		A 38th-round pick, Caleb Ferguson can run his heavy fastball with plus life up to 93 mph from the left side, with a breaking ball that could get to average. There have been lengthy careers built on less.

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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC

Caleb Ferguson has thrown 4,171 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2018 and 2024, all of them occuring in Spring Training. In 2024, he has relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (94mph) and Slider (86mph), also mixing in a Sinker (94mph).

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