Biographical

Portrait of Michael Chavis

Michael Chavis 2B  

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2019 Projections (Rest of Season Projections - seasonal age 23)
PA AVG HR R RBI SB DRC+ WARP
274 .207 11 29 32 1 46 -1.1
Birth Date8-11-1995
Height5' 10"
Weight216 lbs
Age23 years, 9 months, 15 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2015
2016
2017
2018
-1.12019
proj
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA H 2B 3B HR BB SO HBP SB CS AVG OBP SLG DRC+ DRAA BRR FRAA BWARP
2019 BOS 23 31 136 33 2 0 10 15 37 2 2 1 .277 .368 .546 116 3.2 0.1 0.1 0.7
Career311363320101537221.277.368.5461163.20.10.10.7

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg LG G PA oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ DRC+ DRC+ SD FRAA BRR DRAA BWARP
2014 RSX Rk GCL 39 150 .000 .000 .000 .368 0.0 119 0 0.0 0.0 -2.8 0.0
2015 GRN A SAL 109 471 .260 .327 .371 .293 101 -7.7 13.0 -1.9 73 0 3.6 -1.2 -21.2 -0.8
2016 GRN A SAL 74 312 .255 .319 .384 .303 103 1.7 8.3 0.6 98 0 -0.4 1.3 -6.4 0.4
2016 SLM A+ CAR 7 27 .269 .343 .406 .222 103 -2.3 0.8 -0.3 40 0 -0.7 1.1 -2.2 -0.1
2017 SLM A+ CAR 59 250 .244 .317 .370 .360 104 22.1 6.9 -2 170 0 -1.6 1.3 13.0 1.9
2017 PME AA EAS 67 274 .262 .329 .404 .265 106 5.3 7.4 -1.1 104 0 -0.5 0.1 -3.9 0.2
2017 PER Wnt AFL 23 104 .000 .000 .000 .286 0.0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2018 LOW A- NYP 5 21 .244 .308 .332 .400 98 2.5 0.6 0 176 0 0.1 1.1 0.8 0.3
2018 PME AA EAS 33 139 .250 .323 .383 .383 102 9.7 4.0 -0.9 145 0 0.9 0.5 4.7 1.0
2018 PAW AAA INT 8 34 .253 .309 .395 .368 95 3.8 1.0 -0.2 91 0 -1.2 0.2 -0.8 -0.1
2019 BOS MLB AL 31 136 .250 .328 .421 .319 115 2.9 4.0 -0.4 116 17 0.1 0.1 3.2 0.7
2019 PAW AAA INT 12 48 .254 .332 .405 .214 92 4.4 1.6 0 0 0 0.9 -0.2 0.0 0.0

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team lvl LG PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO SF SH
2014 RSX Rk GCL 150 134 21 36 12 3 1 57 16 15 38 5 3 .269 .347 .425 .157 0
2015 GRN A SAL 471 435 56 97 29 1 16 176 58 29 144 8 5 .223 .277 .405 .182 1 2
2016 SLM A+ CAR 27 25 5 4 0 0 0 4 1 2 7 1 0 .160 .222 .160 .000 0 0
2016 GRN A SAL 312 279 30 68 11 3 8 109 35 22 74 3 1 .244 .321 .391 .147 1 0
2017 SLM A+ CAR 250 223 50 71 17 2 17 143 55 19 57 1 0 .318 .388 .641 .323 1 0
2017 PME AA EAS 274 248 39 62 18 0 14 122 39 20 56 1 0 .250 .310 .492 .242 3 0
2017 PER Wnt AFL 104 92 17 24 6 1 4 44 17 7 20 0 0 .261 .327 .478 .217 2 0
2018 PAW AAA INT 34 33 8 9 3 0 2 18 7 1 12 0 0 .273 .294 .545 .273 0 0
2018 LOW A- NYP 21 16 5 5 4 0 1 12 3 5 5 0 0 .313 .476 .750 .438 0 0
2018 PME AA EAS 139 122 23 37 7 0 6 62 17 13 35 3 1 .303 .388 .508 .205 0 0
2019 PAW AAA INT 48 40 7 10 2 0 4 24 6 7 9 0 0 .250 .354 .600 .350 1 0
2019 BOS MLB AL 136 119 20 33 2 0 10 65 26 15 37 2 1 .277 .368 .546 .269 0 0

Plate Discipline

YEAR Pits Zone% Swing% Contact% Z-Swing% O-Swing% Z-Contact% O-Contact% SwStr% CSAA
2019 492 0.4492 0.4959 0.6352 0.6968 0.3321 0.7532 0.4333 0.3648 0.0000
Career4920.44920.49590.63520.69680.33210.75320.43330.36480.0000

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2019 BOS $

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
0 y 0 d1 year (2019)

Details
  • 1 year (2019). Contract selected by Boston 11/20/18. Re-signed by Boston 3/19.
  • Drafted by Boston 2014 (1-26) (Sprayberry HS, Marietta, Ga.). $1.8705M signing bonus (slot amount).

2019 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG DRC+ VORP FRAA WARP
90o 331 40 75 15 1 15 44 19 93 1 0 .244 .295 .446 69 0.1 2B 0, 1B -1 -0.1
80o 312 36 67 13 1 14 40 17 89 1 0 .232 .280 .429 61 -3.6 2B 0, 1B -1 -0.5
70o 297 33 62 12 1 13 37 16 86 1 0 .224 .272 .415 55 -6.1 2B 0, 1B 0 -0.7
60o 285 31 57 11 1 12 34 15 84 1 0 .214 .262 .398 50 -8.1 2B 0, 1B 0 -0.9
50o 274 29 53 11 0 11 32 13 81 1 0 .207 .252 .379 46 -9.7 2B 0, 1B 0 -1.1
40o 263 27 49 10 0 10 30 13 79 1 0 .199 .243 .362 41 -11.1 2B 0, 1B 0 -1.2
30o 251 25 44 9 0 9 28 12 76 1 0 .187 .231 .340 36 -12.5 2B 0, 1B 0 -1.4
20o 236 22 40 8 0 8 25 10 73 1 0 .180 .221 .324 31 -13.8 2B 0, 1B 0 -1.5
10o 217 19 35 7 0 7 22 9 68 0 0 .172 .213 .309 23 -15.4 2B 0, 1B 0 -1.6
Weighted Mean27729541101133148210.208.255.37847-9.22B 0, 1B 0-1.0

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2019 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG DRC+ WARP VORP BRR POS_ADJ REP_ADJ RAA FRAA
2020243253870141134116961.227.272.40447-1.2-8.3-0.6-2.48.4-13.7-2.5
2021253003563121113715861.224.270.39346-1.1-8.2-0.6-2.37.7-13.1-2.3
2022262553056111103312750.231.273.40948-0.9-6.6-0.5-2.06.6-10.7-1.9
2023271912240808249560.226.269.40347-0.7-5.2-0.4-1.54.9-8.1-1.4
2024281692036707218490.228.272.40447-0.6-4.6-0.4-1.44.3-7.2-1.3
2025291611934706208470.225.271.40247-0.6-4.5-0.4-1.44.1-6.9-1.2
2026301491831606198440.226.271.40247-0.6-4.3-0.4-1.33.8-6.4-1.1
2027311331627505177390.226.271.40146-0.5-3.8-0.3-1.23.4-5.7-1.0
2028321171425505156350.224.270.39846-0.5-3.5-0.3-1.13.0-5.1-0.9

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 78)

Rank Score Name Year DRC+ Trend
1 95 D.J. Peterson 2015 0 DNP
2 91 Paul DeJong 2017 115
3 90 Alex Liddi 2012 67
4 90 J.D. Davis 2016 0 DNP
5 88 Josh Bell 2010 49
6 86 Nick Senzel 2018 0 DNP
7 86 Matt Davidson 2014 0 DNP
8 85 Brett Wallace 2010 57
9 85 Mat Gamel 2009 77
10 85 Brandon Wood 2008 67
11 84 Will Middlebrooks 2012 105
12 83 Vinnie Catricala 2012 0 DNP
13 83 Brandon Laird 2011 84
14 83 Renato Nunez 2017 70
15 83 Jedd Gyorko 2012 0 DNP
16 81 Andy Marte 2007 73
17 81 Matt Skole 2013 0 DNP
18 81 Adam Duvall 2012 0 DNP
19 81 Joel Guzman 2008 0 DNP
20 80 Ryan McMahon 2018 74
21 80 Christian Villanueva 2014 0 DNP
22 80 Chris Shaw 2017 0 DNP
23 80 Michael Choice 2013 75
24 80 Paul Goldschmidt 2011 95
25 79 Ryan O'Hearn 2017 0 DNP
26 79 Lewis Brinson 2017 73
27 79 Juan Francisco 2010 64
28 79 Rhys Hoskins 2016 0 DNP
29 79 Jerry Sands 2011 90
30 79 Corey Dickerson 2012 0 DNP
31 78 Ike Davis 2010 108
32 78 Anthony Santander 2018 75
33 78 Harrison Bader 2017 82
34 78 Bryce Brentz 2012 0 DNP
35 78 Dylan Davis 2017 0 DNP
36 78 Kyle Parker 2013 0 DNP
37 78 Vince Belnome 2011 0 DNP
38 78 Ryan Lavarnway 2011 99
39 77 Trevor Story 2016 110
40 77 Wladimir Balentien 2008 58
41 77 Andrew Burns 2014 0 DNP
42 77 Matt Adams 2012 76
43 77 Nick Williams 2017 93
44 77 Jon Gaston 2010 0 DNP
45 77 Jesus Aguilar 2013 0 DNP
46 77 David Vidal 2013 0 DNP
47 77 Travis Demeritte 2018 0 DNP
48 77 Brett Jackson 2012 62
49 76 Randal Grichuk 2015 114
50 76 Brett Phillips 2017 90
51 76 Clint Frazier 2018 76
52 76 Eric Campbell 2009 0 DNP
53 76 Neftali Soto 2012 0 DNP
54 76 Jamie Romak 2009 0 DNP
55 76 Bradley Zimmer 2016 0 DNP
56 76 Dylan Cozens 2017 0 DNP
57 76 Brian Anderson 2016 0 DNP
58 76 Devin Mesoraco 2011 83
59 76 Hunter Renfroe 2015 0 DNP
60 75 Adam Walker 2015 0 DNP
61 75 David Dahl 2017 0 DNP
62 75 Chris Young 2007 97
63 75 Lonnie Chisenhall 2012 96
64 75 Nellie Rodriguez 2017 0 DNP
65 75 Patrick Leonard 2016 0 DNP
66 75 Willy Garcia 2016 0 DNP
67 75 Ryan Wheeler 2012 77
68 75 Matt Rose 2018 0 DNP
69 75 Domonic Brown 2011 93
70 75 Miguel Andujar 2018 120
71 75 Trayce Thompson 2014 0 DNP
72 75 Chris Carter 2010 88
73 75 Xavier Scruggs 2011 0 DNP
74 75 Dustin Geiger 2015 0 DNP
75 75 Kevin Cron 2016 0 DNP
76 75 Kelly Dugan 2014 0 DNP
77 75 Kirk Nieuwenhuis 2011 0 DNP
78 75 Christin Stewart 2017 0 DNP
79 75 Joe Benson 2011 55
80 75 Gary Sanchez 2016 141
81 74 Jeimer Candelario 2017 95
82 74 Franklin Gutierrez 2006 59
83 74 Mike Moustakas 2012 95
84 74 Peter O'Brien 2014 0 DNP
85 74 Edwin Encarnacion 2006 101
86 74 Tyler Austin 2015 0 DNP
87 74 Patrick Wisdom 2015 0 DNP
88 74 Todd Frazier 2009 0 DNP
89 74 Ademar Rifaela 2018 0 DNP
90 74 Ryan Strieby 2009 0 DNP
91 74 Derek Fisher 2017 70
92 74 Tyler O'Neill 2018 90
93 74 Travis d'Arnaud 2012 0 DNP
94 74 Thomas Neal 2011 0 DNP
95 74 Ian Stewart 2008 92
96 74 Aristides Aquino 2017 0 DNP
97 74 Nick Evans 2009 63
98 74 Derek Dietrich 2013 89
99 74 Daniel Palka 2015 0 DNP
100 74 Maikel Franco 2016 102

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2019  Due to publishing agreements, the 2019 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2019 book (available in hardcopy, and soon e-book and Kindle).
2018 Chavis enjoyed a breakout campaign in 2017. Boston’s 2014 first-rounder finally stayed both healthy and productive for a full season. He mashed in High-A like a prospect with his pedigree should, then handled the jump to Portland, showcasing above-average power with a very respectable strikeout rate. The one drawback? Chavis keeps moving further down the defensive spectrum. Drafted as a shortstop who was likely to move to second or third, he’s now a third baseman who’s likely to shift to first or left field. He’s got enough pop and a good enough hit tool that serving in an everyday role as such isn’t out of the question, though.
2017 Everything was going well for Chavis in April. The former first-rounder was hitting .356/.415/.576 in 65 PA in Greenville, an environment in which a 20-year-old with Chavis’ pedigree should dominate. Unfortunately, Chavis tore a ligament in his thumb late in the season’s first month, and after he returned he was never the same. From June 7 through August 22, Chavis hit just .214/.296/.341. When the Sox gave him an “eh, what the hell” promotion to Salem, he struggled in his seven games there, too. If you squint, you can still see the power, athleticism and bat speed that made Chavis a first rounder, and he did improve his approach at the plate. Those desperate caveats aside, Chavis is one more bad season away from joining Jason Place, Kolbrin Vitek and Trey Ball as a Red Sox trivia answer to a question no one wants to ask.
2016 When Chavis was drafted in the first round in 2014, we were told he possessed a relatively mature hit tool and developing power. In his first taste of full-season ball, the Georgia native flipped the script on those reports, mashing 16 homers and 29 doubles but hitting for a poor average and striking out at a Tim Beckham-esque pace. A Tim Beckham-esque K% is the same as a Kris Bryant K%, to be fair, but players who whiff like that bust more often than they turn into handsome franchise cornerstones. That being said, Chavis is handsome, so if he learns to walk more than once a week that's half the battle right there.
2015 The 26th overall pick last June, Chavis is another athletic player with a plus hit tool in a farm system that has graduated several such talents in recent years. Currently a shortstop, he profiles best as a third baseman or second baseman down the line, but the bat will make such a move acceptable. With quick wrists, athleticism and more power than his stature would suggest, Chavis has the ingredients to hit for a good average and for meaningful power. Like most high school picks, Chavis will take time to advance to the majors, but the potential payoff is a first-division starter, with offensive comps ranging from Martin Prado to Clint Frazier to “dear god, stop making comparisons, he's 19 years old.”

BP Articles

Click here to see articles tagged with Michael Chavis

BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2019-05-01 12:00:00 (link to chat)Michael Chavis is playing a lot of 2B in Boston. The Brewers are playing Travis Shaw at 2B. Do you see this eventually changing the way you evaluate second basemen?
(Brady Childs from KIN 100)
As someone enjoying this Ajax run I am ready for positionless baseball. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2018-09-10 14:00:00 (link to chat)Is Michael Chavis still on PEDs? Does it matter? What's his upside, he had a great year for the time he played.
(The Undertaker from Death Valley)
Lot of wrestlers in the house today. Chavis probably isn't going to play third. I think he can hit enough to be a decent 1B without being anything truly spectacular. (Darius Austin)
2018-07-13 15:00:00 (link to chat)Michael Chavis has 2 bombs since coming back already. If the power is there again, will he be thought of as similiar to before the PED suspension?
(Coach Swinson from parts unkown )
I only got a one-game look at him on rehab, but it looked like mostly the same dude for good and for ill. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2018-02-05 12:00:00 (link to chat)I recognize this isn't a fantasy list, but bat-alone would get Michael Chavis on the top 100, wouldn't it?
(Greg P. from Boston)
Ben Carsleys Fantasy Take: Its true that power is at less of a premium today than it was five years ago, but Chavis still has the ceiling of a decent fantasy third baseman and the floor of a passable fantasy CI. Given his proximity to the majors and (to a lesser degree) his potential future home of Fenway that makes him a borderline top-50 dynasty prospect. He does carry risk thanks to the defensive deficiencies and the injury history, though. (Top 101 with Jeffrey Paternostro)
2017-11-03 13:00:00 (link to chat)Do you think Michael Chavis will have enough bat to play at 1B or is he trade bait this offseason? He lowered his K rate in AA which is promising but he posted only .800 OPS (likely driven down by low BABIP).
(Lougle from Queens)
Dombrowski prospects are always trade bait. Uncle Jack saw him in the AFL this week and liked what he saw, FWIW. And with a nod to my earlier rant, that jibes with the 2017 reports generally.

https://www.baseballprospectus.com/prospects/article/34629/notes-field-arizona-fall-league-november-3-2017/ (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2017-07-19 17:00:00 (link to chat)What's the buzz on how Michael Chavis' breakout season?
(Mark from Santa Fe)
He's made himself the second-best 3B prospect in the system, but it's hard to find a better 3B prospect than Devers that's not named Yoan. He's probably become trade bait at best, since Devers' defensive improvements have made it less like that he's moved to 1B. I like Chavis, but he's probably traded soon. (Brett Cowett)
2017-06-13 12:00:00 (link to chat)Michael Chavis is the next Aaron Judge, right?
(mattymatty2000 from Portland)
hahahahahahaha (Craig Goldstein)
2017-05-22 23:00:00 (link to chat)So, Michael Chavis is a confusing prospect. Can you shed any light on the offensive/defensive profile? I feel like I want to discount the breakout not just due to SSS but repeating the league.
(Rob from Alaska)
Greg Goldstein's gotten a couple looks at him so far, and his very-raw-still-forming-first-impression reads thusly: "He has legit raw power and looked like he has enough bat speed to pull inside pitches over the fence. Don't think his hit tool jives with that monster average he's putting up." We'll have more on Chavis directly, I'd imagine. (Wilson Karaman)
2017-04-28 13:30:00 (link to chat)Michael Chavis seems to have started hitting in High-A (finally). Do you think he can maintain the improvements?
(AJ from Canada)
I don't think he can maintain a .545 ISO or a 15% walk rate, no. Do I think he can get back on track? You bet. (Craig Goldstein)
2016-01-27 19:00:00 (link to chat)Hey Matt, prospect question. Do you have any personal favorite prospects who aren't well known heading into the season but are keeping an eye on there stock this year?
(Vladimir from Russia)
Hate to disappoint, but I'm among the worst person on the staff to answer this question. My only real deep prospect knowledge is in the Red Sox system, so I can give you a couple of those. Michael Chavis was a first round pick so maybe he doesn't fit here, but he has huge raw power and I can see him jumping up in public perception if/when that starts showing itself in games. Luis Basabe was really impressive when I saw him in Lowell last year, too. Good speed profile with sneaky power for someone of his size. (Matt Collins)
2015-06-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)Rank the Greenville infielders in order of wishing they were Phillies: Michael Chavis, Rafael Devers, Mauricio Dubon, Javier Guerra, and Yoan Moncada? (I put them in alphabetical order for you to avoid any cognitive bias based on how they initially appeared)
(Steve from Phila)
Love this question. I'll take Devers, Moncada, Guerra, Chavis, Dubon. I love Devers. He's got that innate bat speed and barrel feel I was talking about earlier. It's just natural and pure. Mondada is great for the obvious reasons we've talked about. I also love Guerra. He's a stud and a legit big league shortstop defensively, and he has more pop than you'd expect from his thin frame. I've seen him go out opposite field and it's impressive.

It's too bad the Red Sox have played themselves out of the need for Cole Hamels, because that's a system deep enough for the Phillies to make their demands and actually have them obliged. (Jeff Moore)
2015-05-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)I'll be in greenville tonight, anything I should keepan eye on at the game?
(teddy from lexington)
For starters, check out my reports on the following players:

Rafael Devers http://www.baseballprospectus.com/prospects/eyewitness_bat.php?reportid=217
Javier Guerra http://www.baseballprospectus.com/prospects/eyewitness_bat.php?reportid=214
Michael Chavis http://www.baseballprospectus.com/prospects/eyewitness_bat.php?reportid=220
Mauricio Dubon http://www.baseballprospectus.com/prospects/eyewitness_bat.php?reportid=213
Dedgar Jimenez http://www.baseballprospectus.com/prospects/eyewitness_pit.php?reportid=257

One thing I am specifically intrigued by is the progression of Devers at 3B. How is the footwork? Is the first step lagging and lacking the instinctual necessity for a ball down the line? Is it choppy and causing him to be out of position when he attempts to field a ball? Those were my issues when I watched him play, and could ultimately push him to 1B if there are not improvements. I'm likely on the lower end of the spectrum with his defense, but I am not alone. I've talked with scouts about his defense and the opinion has generally been split.

Oh, and check out that guy Yoan Moncada. Unfortunately, I missed him by a week. (Tucker Blair)
2015-04-22 14:00:00 (link to chat)Rafael Devers and Michael Chavis: have you seen them? Who will become the better hitter? Thanks.
(CyMature from Cooperstown Retirement Home)
I will see them soon (I am hoping). If I had to answer this one, I would guess Devers. (CJ Wittmann)
2015-03-29 14:00:00 (link to chat)Does Michael Chavis have enough elite bat speed and hit tool to rocket up the prospect lists this year?
(Victor from Dumfries)
He does but I haven't seen him live. Didn't hit as well his first year in pro ball but again some HS hitters need those first few months just to get used to being a pro. His first year was just weird. I really want to keep an eye on him this year. (Ryan Parker)
2015-03-29 14:00:00 (link to chat)Who do you have higher actual realizable prospects for….Michael Chavis or Michael Gettys?
(Nate from Florida)
Chavis likely Gettys is making the right improvements so far.

So it's like a race, Chavis got the head start but Gettys just realized he was running with a boulder tied to his feet. (Ryan Parker)
2015-01-15 18:00:00 (link to chat)Who has most most power potential of the first round third basemen - Matt Chapman or Michael Chavis?
(Robbber from Norcal)
I have more faith in Chavis getting to his raw power in game situations, and as a result I would give him the edge here. (Mark Anderson)
2015-02-09 20:00:00 (link to chat)Hey Nick who was your favorite guy from the 2014 MLB draft that did not make the list?
(Mo from MN)
Touki Toussaint, Michael Chavis, Sean Reid-Foley, Jack Flaherty, Derek Fisher, Max Pentecost, Michael Kopech, Luis Ortiz, Forrest Wall. There's been a solid influx of low-minors talent. (Top 101 Chat)


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