Portrait of Dominic Smith

Dominic Smith 1B  

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2019 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 24)
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Birth Date6-15-1995
Height6' 0"
Weight239 lbs
Age24 years, 4 months, 0 days
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

2017 NYN 22 49 183 33 6 0 9 14 49 1 0 0 .198 .262 .395 80 -4.0 0.3 -5.5 -0.7
2018 NYN 23 56 149 32 11 1 5 4 47 2 0 0 .224 .255 .420 77 -3.6 0.3 -2.4 -0.4
2019 NYN 24 89 197 50 10 0 11 19 44 1 1 2 .282 .355 .525 112 4.0 2.8 -1.6 0.9

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
2013 KNG Rk APP 3 8 .297 .350 .456 .667 109 2.9 0.2 -0.2 393 0 -0.1 -0.3 1.8 0.1
2013 MTS Rk GCL 48 198 .233 .308 .320 .346 98 7.4 6.0 -3.8 154 0 4.1 -0.2 3.3 0.9
2014 SAV A SAL 126 518 .262 .331 .383 .321 102 0.5 14.8 -9.5 98 0 -4.1 -4.8 -9.4 -1.3
2015 SLU A+ FSL 118 497 .249 .310 .336 .351 99 11.7 13.4 -8.6 139 0 9.1 -6.5 8.9 1.8
2015 SRR Wnt AFL 14 60 .000 .000 .000 .432 0.0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2016 BIN AA EAS 130 542 .265 .332 .400 .329 107 16.5 14.6 -9.3 118 0 1.1 -5.3 1.3 0.3
2017 NYN MLB NL 49 183 .257 .333 .436 .218 94 -5.7 5.4 -3.4 80 11 -5.5 0.3 -4.0 -0.7
2017 LVG AAA PCL 114 500 .276 .342 .439 .380 106 21 14.8 -9.5 128 0 6.6 -2.4 18.8 2.8
2018 NYN MLB NL 56 149 .241 .316 .398 .297 92 -1.4 4.2 -1.9 77 16 -2.4 0.3 -3.6 -0.4
2018 LVG AAA PCL 84 375 .269 .338 .428 .315 121 -3.7 11.0 -5.6 83 0 8.5 1.9 -6.2 1.0
2019 NYN MLB NL 89 197 .254 .329 .434 .320 95 7.5 6.0 -1.7 112 10 -1.6 2.8 4.0 0.9
2019 SYR AAA INT 2 9 .245 .325 .394 .333 101 -0.9 0.3 -0.2 63 0 0.0 0.0 -0.4 0.0

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
2013 KNG Rk APP 8 6 2 4 4 0 0 8 4 2 0 0 0 .667 .750 1.333 .667 0 0
2013 MTS Rk GCL 198 167 23 48 9 1 3 68 22 24 37 2 4 .287 .384 .407 .120 3 0
2014 SAV A SAL 518 461 52 125 26 1 1 156 44 51 77 5 4 .271 .344 .338 .067 3
2015 SRR Wnt AFL 60 47 8 17 4 0 1 24 6 12 10 0 0 .362 .483 .511 .149 1 0
2015 SLU A+ FSL 497 456 58 139 33 0 6 190 79 35 75 2 1 .305 .354 .417 .112 4 0
2016 BIN AA EAS 542 484 64 146 29 2 14 221 91 50 74 2 1 .302 .367 .457 .155 5 0
2017 LVG AAA PCL 500 457 77 151 34 2 16 237 76 39 87 1 1 .330 .386 .519 .188 1 0
2017 NYN MLB NL 183 167 17 33 6 0 9 66 26 14 49 0 0 .198 .262 .395 .198 1 0
2018 LVG AAA PCL 375 337 52 87 21 1 6 128 41 34 76 3 0 .258 .328 .380 .122 2 0
2018 NYN MLB NL 149 143 14 32 11 1 5 60 11 4 47 0 0 .224 .255 .420 .196 0 0
2019 SYR AAA INT 9 9 1 2 1 0 0 3 1 0 3 0 0 .222 .222 .333 .111 0 0
2019 NYN MLB NL 197 177 35 50 10 0 11 93 25 19 44 1 2 .282 .355 .525 .243 0 0

Plate Discipline

YEAR Pits Zone% Swing% Contact% Z-Swing% O-Swing% Z-Contact% O-Contact% SwStr% CSAA
2017 741 0.4480 0.4885 0.7099 0.6265 0.3765 0.8125 0.5714 0.2901 0.0000
2018 574 0.5000 0.5261 0.7185 0.6760 0.3763 0.7835 0.6019 0.2815 0.0000
2019 761 0.4599 0.4836 0.7391 0.6629 0.3309 0.8233 0.5956 0.2609 0.0000

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation


Year Team Salary
2019 NYN $559,320
2018 NYN $
2017 NYN $
1 yrTotal$559,320


Service TimeAgentContract Status
0 y 146 d1 year/$559,320 (2019)

  • 1 year/$559,320 (2019). Re-signed by NY Mets 3/19.
  • 1 year (2018). Re-signed by NY Mets 3/18.
  • 1 year (2017). Contract selected by NY Mets 8/11/17.
  • Drafted by NY Mets 2013 (1-11) (JSerra HS, Gardena, Calif.). $2.6M signing bonus ($2.8403M slot).

2019 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

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BP Annual Player Comments

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BP Articles

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BP Chats

2018-06-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)What does Alonso have to do get a call up? Sheesh.
(Angry Mets Fan from Citi Field)
First, let's see how he does at AAA. Second, a callup now would effectively be throwing in the towel on Dominic Smith, who (1) is younger and (2) has had only 190 (admittedly pretty ineffective) MLB plate appearances. Third, it ain't like the Metropolitans need him for the pennant drive. All that being said, the "no way will he play in the majors in 2018" talk is pretty dumb. If he puts up TAv in Las Vegas similar to what he did in Binghamton (and I'd focus on TAv, since you have to park adjust the snot out of anything in the PCL), he would at least warrant a September callup, right? (Rob Mains)
2018-07-26 12:00:00 (link to chat)Will we ever see Dominic Smith again? I heard they’re trying to convert him to an outfielder. Any chance there’s success?
(Greg from NY )
Yeah. He'll be the starting first baseman for the Rays in 2020. But no, I think any conversion to the outfield is doomed to fail, if not as spectacularly as the Lucas Duda / Todd Hundley / Daniel Murphy experiments. (Bryan Grosnick)
2018-07-26 12:00:00 (link to chat) Does peter Allonzo have a chance to beat the Mets starting first baseman next year? And what happened to Dominic Smith?
(Greg from Florida )
I do think Alonso has a chance to *be* the Mets starting first baseman next year ... but not until May or June. I think that the Mets will try hard to let either Frazier, Bruce, or even Conforto get first crack at the position, because they're all under contract. It'll take another year of battering the ball for the front office to give Alonso a fair shake.

For the second part, see above. (Bryan Grosnick)
2018-05-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)Peter Alonso is going bananas. Will the Mets call him up this year or pretend he has defensive liabilities in order to stall his clock?
(Peach from GA)
It's really tough to say with the Mets and their front office. I agree with Jarrett Seidler's statement on the For All You Kids Out There podcast that bringing him up early and letting him sink or swim might give the Mets the most information early ... but I think it'll be July before the Mets are willing to cut bait on Adrian Gonzalez.

Look, I too want Alonso to be Rhys Hoskins. (Even though he's a University of Florida guy.) But with so many options (good or no) at or near the majors in Wilmer Flores, Jay Bruce, Michael Conforto, Dominic Smith, and Gonzalez, I absolutely see the Mets slow-playing Alonso until this fall, even though it's probably not best for business. (Bryan Grosnick)
2018-02-28 20:00:00 (link to chat)Is Keith Hernandez a good comp for Dominic Smith?
(Keith from Target)
Eh, Keith had a much better eye and struck out way less and also had worse power. Outside of their positions and uniforms, not really. (Eddy Almaguer)
2017-03-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)Thanks Jeff, Is it strange that Dominic Smith isn't on the Mets' 40-man roster? Given Duda's back, Conforto's struggles and Bruce being trade bait, I would have thought Smith might be in line for a June or July promotion with a hot start.
(Keith from Farmington, CT)
They never add a guy unless he is being called up or they'll need to protect him from the Rule 5 that offseason. No need to start Smith's option clock early. I don't think you will see him before September regardless unless there's a DL pile-up. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2017-03-09 20:00:00 (link to chat)Going to draft Dominic Smith in an hour...3 years from now chances of .285/.350 and 25 home runs while plus d? Thank you.
(Accudart from VT)
He definitely has a chance of that! I am one of those people who looks at Dom Smith and sees the James Loney starter kit (although word is he's in the best shape of his life). If you have other equivalent options, I'd look elsewhere, but I wish you the best of luck! (Ben Murphy, Ian Lefkowitz and Jared Weiss)
2017-02-16 20:00:00 (link to chat)Dominic Smith might be the most divisive prospect in the game. Does he or does he not have power?
(oldbopper from New Britain, CT)
_(ツ)_/ (Kate Morrison)
2017-02-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)Beyond Cody Bellinger, there doesn't seem to be any surefire 1B prospects. Josh Bell and Dominic Smith seemingly follow but neither seem to be sure things. What do you think of the 1B prospect pool behind Cody Bellinger?
(Sammy from Pittsburgh)
As an outsider to the prospect world, I want to say that there's been a movement away from putting hopes in that most capricious of tools, the hit tool, and favoring "safer" athletic tools reflected in speed and defense. Those skills are also front-loaded into a player's career, so they're also more reliable sources of value for the team during those pre-arb years. Craig will probably tell me I'm wrong, but that's my sense of it. It could just be a one or two-year blip. (Patrick Dubuque)
2017-01-18 20:00:00 (link to chat)Noted BP author says you are insanely off-base on your Ian Happ ranking, and that he belongs in the Dominic Smith tier of losers and never-will-bes (paraphrasing). Care to respond with a pot-stirring takedown of his worldview?
(RotoLando from Cloud City)
This could not narrow it down any less. (But Happ can hit.) (Bret Sayre)
2016-12-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)Once Dominic Smith reaches his prime, which current player does he most resemble. Thanks.
(bobw1966 from Ft. Lauderdale)
Logan Morrison. Don't @ me.

(I hope he's better than that.) (Bryan Grosnick)
2016-11-22 20:00:00 (link to chat)What's the timeline looking like for Dominic Smith? Do you think he'll be put out there as trade bait or really put the pressure on Duda at some point?
(DMC from NY)
This seems to be the least trolly Dom Smith question available for me. Depending on what they do with Conforto and Bruce, Smith could effectively be the backup 1B chilling out at Las Vegas in 2017 in case of a Duda injury or underperformance. I do think the Mets probably look to him to start in 2018 at the latest. (Jarrett Seidler)
2016-08-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)With Dominic Smith producing better this year and likely the 1B of the future, how do you see Peter Alonso fitting in as he rises through the system? Is he a liability in an OF corner? Do you think Alonso will be in the Mets top 10 prospects next year?
(Tim from Jacksonville)
Well, I don't think Dominic Smith is a sure thing as "likely the 1B of the future." I'm down on him, as I have real concerns that Smith ends up more like today's James Loney than the ideal situation, which is early-career James Loney. So Peter Alonso fits in just fine! I'd love to see him get run in a corner OF slot because I value flexibility, but as a college guy, I'd be cautious about putting him in the top 10 before he gets some reps at St. Lucie. (Bryan Grosnick)
2016-02-25 12:00:00 (link to chat)Just read the Mets top prospect lists. Seems like BP is much lower on a few Mets prospects (Gavin Cecchini, Wuilmer Becerra and Dom Smith specifically) than other prospect evaluators. Any reason for this?
(Gortat from Lake Eerie)
I don't know that I am that much lower on those guys (well okay, Smith), 4-10 is very very fluid here, and I had a bunch of different orders working throughout the process. Eventually you just have to file. But some specific reasons.

Cecchini: I just don't see a shortstop here. I've been told at times I have high standards for the position, but there isn't one tool or skill he has defensively that you can point to and say "that is a major league shortstop skill."

Becerra: Man, I like Becerra. I am pretty sure I had one of the first public reports on him, and his improvements this year during the jump to full season ball are heartening. I don't think a 55/45 is a bad prospect either. But there is a lot of pressure on the bat in right field, and scouts like him less than I do.

Dominic Smith: I wrote a whole bunch about this for my debate with Chris, but I've never seen even plus raw in BP, so I don't know where the power is coming from. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2016-03-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)I need 1 more player for my fantasy minor league team. The choice is a SP prospect (Kolby Allard, Amir Garrett, Josh Hader, Grant Holmes, Yadier Alvarez or Dylan Cease), position player (Dominic Smith or Trent Clark) or lottery ticket (Willie Calhoun). Which SP and position player would you choose and also your overall pick, taking into account not only ceiling/floor but also proximity to the bigs (the closer the better).
(paladin from philippines)
I really like a bunch of those dudes. Calhoun can be a special hitter, but he's a butcher defensively and loses value if (when) he moves to the OF. Allard and Garrett are two really high-upside arms, and Alvarez could turn into any pitcher you can think of (good or bad). I probably go Clark there, but you've got options depending on what you're into. (Wilson Karaman)
2016-01-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Chris, thanks for the chat. Who do you prefer as the potential long-term 1B for my Orioles? Mancini or Walker? I've noticed Mancini getting more and more love after a fantastic 2015. What kind of numbers do you see him putting up in his prime? Thanks!
(Mike from Baltimore)
Long-term? I think Mancini; I just don't know if Walker is ever going to hit for enough power to be my long-term answer at first. Mancini isn't perfect by any means, but unless you're a guy like Dominic Smith, I prefer my first baseman to be a bopper. Just a personal preference. (Christopher Crawford)
2015-10-27 13:00:00 (link to chat)I know you have been down on Dom Smith and so have I, but is it possible in this offensive era that he can be a great fit for the post-Duda Mets as someone who does not strikeout, hits for a good average, takes some more walks, and maybe develops some power with decent 1B defense? (Think Daniel Murphy trajectory with more patience and power than he ever showed before this year.)
(AMetsGuy from NYC)
Even more Dominic Smith questions though. I guess my reputation precedes me. If I could write him in for Murph's career line (.288/.331/.424) today with decent first base defense, yeah okay, that's a role 5ish guy in this era? That's a 60-65 hit tool. That's a big ask. Dom has good bat head control and feel, and he's very comfortable going the other way. He is also yet to see really good velocity in on his hands day in and day out. I think that will be the real test for him in Double-A, and it's not just a matter of does the power come then, it's does the hit tool hold up? I have my doubts. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2015-06-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)So Dominic Smith......just kidding! Do you think Robert Gsellman is top 100 worthy?
(Greg from NYC)
I'm gonna push for him to sneak in the back end. I think he's very legitimate as a potential number 3 starter. We'll have to see how that plays out in the off-season and how he handles the transition to Double-A. (Jeff Moore)
2015-06-02 18:00:00 (link to chat)Dominic Smith has gone from almost zero production his first year plus of Pro Ball to now suddenly tearing up the FSL league over the past 2-3 weeks. Any reports on what he is now doing differently?
(agetting from Queens)
Jeff Moore lit a fire under that boy. Jeff will have a solid update on what Smith is doing differently tomorrow as a part of his Minor League update. (Mauricio Rubio)
2015-03-06 14:00:00 (link to chat)The Savannah pitching staff was great for the Mets last year. Of Gsselman, Diaz, Whalen, Flexen (who was hurt), and Gant who do you feel has the most potential?
(Wrightfan from NY)
To be honest, I'm not a huge fan of any of those guys, but if I'm icking one I go with Gant. That park is going to make a lot of pitchers look good and make guys like Dominic Smith look bad. (Christopher Crawford)
2014-07-09 15:00:00 (link to chat)What is your take on Dominic Smith?
(Smush Parker from Dubai)
Lots of hip drift. It's ok for the hips to move forward but it should be done before the foot hits the ground. His foot plants and he keeps drifting. I worry that move is so engrained in him that fixing it my introduce a host of other problems into his swing. (Ryan Parker)
2014-07-09 15:00:00 (link to chat)Doesn't Nick Franklin have the same hip problem as Dominic Smith?
(Frankie from Wichita)
The hip drift? Can you snag me a video of Nick because honestly I can't recall. (Ryan Parker)
2014-05-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)How high or low could you see Dominic Smith jumping or falling in the 101? Best case/worst case scenarios?
(Bruce from Rochester)
He was on the fringe of the 101 last year and that was with limited looks at him. I've seen him since and will fight harder for his inclusion. That said, I haven't seen him in game action during the regular season (all of my looks were during spring training) and the numbers have been unimpressive thus far. There's a lot of time to determine next year's rankings, and Smith can do a lot to move up or down in that time. I'll bet hes in the 101 next year. No idea where. (Jeff Moore)
2014-01-29 19:00:00 (link to chat)Can Dominic Smith be in the top 101 next year and will Syndergaard be better in the long term compared to Zack Wheeler? Thanks and goodluck at BP!
(MetsFaithful5 from Syracuse)
I like Wheeler better than Syndergaard, which is more of a compliment to the former than an insult to the latter. I'm not a huge Smith guy. I want to see the power develop before I put a 1B prospect in the Top 100. (Ben Carsley)
2014-01-29 19:00:00 (link to chat)Keith Law just released his top 100 prospect list... He has Dominic Smith rated number (37!). Now you guys did not have him in the top 100, but what's your take on Law's ranking of Smith?
(MetsFaithful5 from Syracuse )
I think it's too high, but Law's list isn't for fantasy. I don't get the Smith appeal. If he still looks like he can hit ok with 25 bombs in a few years, I'll add him as a Top 50 guy then. Bret is going to fire me. (Ben Carsley)
2014-01-17 10:00:00 (link to chat)Which 1B prospects do you like more and why out of CJ Cron, Dominic Smith and Matt Olson. Personally I like Cron for his power potential and low K%, I like his chances to find better pitches to swing at.
(MoenPDC from Boston MA)
I think Dom Smith has the best chance to hit, but I'm not really a fan of 1B prospects, especially ones that are on dimensional power bats with suspect hit tools. Dom Smith is more hard contact than power. I'd take that over Cron all day long. (Jason Parks)
2014-01-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)A few mets questions here, and good ones at that. Travis d'Arnaud: still on track to be an all star catcher? Is it possible Matt Harvey can come back throwing HARDER than before? And how soon do we see Dominic Smith in the top 100? Thanks!
(MetsFaithful5 from Syracuse )
The ceiling still remains at that level for d'Arnaud, but at some point you have to wonder if injuries aren't going to keep him from achieving that level. He's going to be a very good player, but the All-Star projection may not materialize because of the lack of durability.

I've always been a firm believer that TJ surgery survivors throwing harder after surgery is a myth.

With Smith, it all depends on the bat. He could force his way into that discussion next winter by posting impressive numbers with the scouting reports to back it up in 2014. (Mark Anderson)
2013-12-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is Dominic Smith already the #1 ranked 1B prospect in the game? Potential 25/100?
(Mike from The Couch)
I don't see that kind of over-the-fence power from him. I like the bat, but I wouldn't take him over Singleton, even with Singleton's recent run of #slack. (Jason Parks)
2013-11-19 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who do you think is the 3rd best hitter from the draft? (I'm guessing you have Bryant and Frazier 1,2)
(Jake from Toledo)
Right now, it's a close race between Tim Anderson, J.P. Crawford and Dominic Smith. (Bret Sayre)
2013-11-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)How many Mets prospects are in the discussion for the top 100 Propsects ranking? And one player in the mets system that hasn't gotten the hype that Syndergaard and d'Arnaud did, but could be equally as successful?
(MetsFaithful5 from Upstate NY)
D'Arnaud and Syndergaard are Top 100 locks for me. There's probably a case to be made for someone like Rafael Montero, but I'm not sure I'm there with the argument yet. I don't think Dominic Smith cracks that level quite yet, but I do think he's the guy that could be the next big thing in that system. (Mark Anderson)

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