Biographical
Tyler Mahle PReds |
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2019 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 24)
| IP | ERA | WHIP | SO | W | L | SV | WARP |
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- 2015
- 2016
- 0.02017
- -1.32018
- 0.62019
proj
WARP Summary
MLB Statistics
Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shown —Click to hide.
| YEAR | Team | Lg | G | GS | IP | W | L | SV | H | BB | SO | HR | PPF | H/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | K/9 | GB% | BABIP | WHIP | FIP | ERA | cFIP | DRA | DRA- | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | CIN | MLB | 4 | 4 | 20.0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 11 | 14 | 0 | 93 | 8.6 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 6.3 | 56% | .302 | 1.50 | 4.02 | 2.70 | 108 | 5.48 | 116.5 | 0.0 |
| 2018 | CIN | MLB | 23 | 23 | 112.0 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 125 | 53 | 110 | 22 | 103 | 10.0 | 4.3 | 1.8 | 8.8 | 41% | .324 | 1.59 | 5.21 | 4.98 | 118 | 6.30 | 140.8 | -1.3 |
| 2019 | CIN | MLB | 25 | 25 | 129.7 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 136 | 34 | 129 | 25 | 98 | 9.4 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 9.0 | 48% | .307 | 1.31 | 4.61 | 5.14 | 98 | 4.82 | 99.0 | 1.3 |
| Career | MLB | 52 | 52 | 261.7 | 11 | 23 | 0 | 280 | 98 | 253 | 47 | 99 | 9.6 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 8.7 | 45% | .314 | 1.44 | 4.82 | 4.88 | 107 | 5.51 | 118.2 | 0.1 | |
Statistics for All Levels
'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.Minor league stats are currently shown —Click to hide.
| YEAR | Team | Lg | LG | G | GS | IP | W | L | SV | H | BB | SO | HR | PPF | H/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | K/9 | GB% | BABIP | WHIP | FIP | ERA | cFIP | DRA | DRA- |
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| 2013 | CIN | Rk | AZL | 12 | 4 | 34.3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 32 | 8 | 30 | 0 | 96 | 8.4 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 7.9 | 0% | .302 | 1.17 | 2.95 | 2.36 | 94 | 3.38 | 73.4 |
| 2014 | BIL | Rk | PIO | 15 | 15 | 76.7 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 80 | 15 | 71 | 5 | 9.4 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 8.3 | 0% | .323 | 1.24 | 3.67 | 3.87 | 87 | 4.49 | 95.1 | |
| 2015 | DYT | A | MID | 27 | 26 | 152.0 | 13 | 8 | 0 | 145 | 25 | 135 | 7 | 102 | 8.6 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 8.0 | 0% | .312 | 1.12 | 2.92 | 2.43 | 84 | 3.82 | 83.7 |
| 2016 | DAY | A+ | FSL | 13 | 13 | 79.3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 58 | 17 | 76 | 6 | 109 | 6.6 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 8.6 | 48% | .255 | 0.95 | 3.15 | 2.50 | 90 | 2.85 | 62.9 |
| 2016 | PEN | AA | SOU | 14 | 14 | 71.3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 78 | 20 | 65 | 12 | 90 | 9.8 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 8.2 | 42% | .320 | 1.37 | 4.77 | 4.92 | 110 | 5.72 | 126.2 |
| 2017 | CIN | MLB | NL | 4 | 4 | 20.0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 11 | 14 | 0 | 93 | 8.6 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 6.3 | 56% | .302 | 1.50 | 4.02 | 2.70 | 108 | 5.48 | 116.5 |
| 2017 | PEN | AA | SOU | 14 | 14 | 85.0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 57 | 17 | 87 | 5 | 99 | 6.0 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 9.2 | 41% | .245 | 0.87 | 2.50 | 1.59 | 80 | 2.65 | 56.3 |
| 2017 | LOU | AAA | INT | 10 | 10 | 59.3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 52 | 13 | 51 | 4 | 95 | 7.9 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 7.7 | 42% | .281 | 1.10 | 3.25 | 2.73 | 90 | 3.25 | 69.3 |
| 2018 | CIN | MLB | NL | 23 | 23 | 112.0 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 125 | 53 | 110 | 22 | 103 | 10.0 | 4.3 | 1.8 | 8.8 | 41% | .324 | 1.59 | 5.21 | 4.98 | 118 | 6.30 | 140.8 |
| 2018 | LOU | AAA | INT | 5 | 5 | 29.7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 11 | 20 | 4 | 100 | 6.7 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 6.1 | 39% | .209 | 1.11 | 4.94 | 2.73 | 120 | 3.89 | 82.3 |
| 2019 | CIN | MLB | NL | 25 | 25 | 129.7 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 136 | 34 | 129 | 25 | 98 | 9.4 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 9.0 | 48% | .307 | 1.31 | 4.61 | 5.14 | 98 | 4.82 | 99.0 |
| 2019 | LOU | AAA | INT | 3 | 3 | 9.0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 101 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 65% | .400 | 1.22 | 2.07 | 4.00 | 70 | 3.37 | 69.4 |
Plate Discipline
| YEAR | Pits | Zone% | Swing% | Contact% | Z-Swing% | O-Swing% | Z-Contact% | O-Contact% | SwStr% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 372 | 0.4758 | 0.4032 | 0.8067 | 0.5706 | 0.2513 | 0.8416 | 0.7347 | 0.1933 |
| 2018 | 2067 | 0.5269 | 0.4678 | 0.7570 | 0.6391 | 0.2771 | 0.8017 | 0.6421 | 0.2430 |
| 2019 | 2062 | 0.5155 | 0.4544 | 0.7673 | 0.6068 | 0.2923 | 0.8481 | 0.5890 | 0.2327 |
| Career | 4501 | 0.5175 | 0.4563 | 0.7658 | 0.6186 | 0.2819 | 0.8263 | 0.6254 | 0.2342 |
Injury History — No longer being updated | Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET |
| Date On | Date Off | Transaction | Days | Games | Side | Body Part | Injury | Severity | Surgery Date | Reaggravation |
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Compensation
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2019 Preseason Forecast | Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET |
| PCT | W | L | SV | G | GS | IP | H | BB | SO | HR | BABIP | WHIP | ERA | DRA | VORP | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weighted Mean | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | 0.0 | ? | 0 | 0 | ? | .000 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ? | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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BP Articles
Click here to see articles tagged with Tyler MahleBP Chats
| Date | Question | Answer |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-12 15:00:00 (link to chat) | CIN has seen big improvements in SP performance in guys FIRST FULL seasons under Derek Johnson's tutelage - Sonny Gray (2019), Trevor Bauer (2020), Luis Castillo (2019), Anthony DeSclafani (2019). Gray and Castillo were All-Stars in their first full season with Johnson and Bauer won CY Young. Similar situations though, Tanner Roark and Tyler Mahle flatlined, while Wade Miley was dreadful. Still, there does seem to be a real track record of success for CIN SP working with Johnson. Could Tejay Antone or Jeff Hoffman see a "Derek Johnson-bump" in their first full seasons with the Reds? (Craig from Chicago) | I'd argue the bump for Antone has already happened and it's been pretty well-chronicled what happened there (and it was outside of the Reds pitching development system broadly speaking). I think this does illustrate the point that you are never gonna have a perfect system that is a perfect fit for a variety of arms, and you just hope to do well on balance. On Hoffman, I was probably the last guy out on him, but that was two years ago even for me. Wouldn't be shocked if he turns into a solid pen arm outside of Coors/Rockies though. (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2020-08-05 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Thanks much for doing these Craig.
Tyler Mahle seems to have reinvented himself with that slider. His 6 IP and K/BB and length were encouraging last night in Cincinnati. Makes me wonder if he will be more helpful than the erratic Matz.
Considering him ahead of banged up or fringe wire options like Caleb Smith Lindholm Newcomb Reynaldo Lopez Taijuan Wacha Alex Wood Alex Reyes Ponce De Leon but would need to make a tough drop. (Matz or perhaps STL Closer Kim seems to be the likeliest, no?)
We Start 5 SP and 3 RP and it’s a weekly league.
Current staff
SP Glasnow Darvish Nola Weaver Cease
RP Lugo Pomeranz Wick
Bench SP Matz
Bench RP Burnes Kim
IL Alcantara
14 team Weekly lineups Dynasty points (All Play format this season) K (2) IP (2) W (10) L (-5) BB (-1) ER (-1)
SV (8) HD (4) BS (-6)
Thanks much,
Dylan (dylanrox from Quarantine, DE) | Mahle is an interesting case. I haven't watched him this year but last year he had some initial success after ditching the slider and going to the curve. That tapered off and he's back to the slider this year, though we currently have him with a cutter too, with only a couple mph disparity. His whiff rate (still a small sample) is up on both pitches, so I do wonder if there's a bit of a blending/labeling question there. I guess I'd probably let it play out another start or two before making a call, though I realize that's a non-small % of the season these days. I don't know that he'll be dramatically better than Matz generally but if you're inclined to go with the hot new thing, I wouldn't blame you. (Craig Goldstein) |
| 2019-09-20 11:00:00 (link to chat) | Hey Jeffrey! What do you make of Lucas Sims and Tyler Mahle? Sims's 33% K rate jumps out at me, and I like Mahle's 18% K-BB. But the results just haven't shown. In a dynasty, would you ditch either/both of them for a risky pitching prospect, like Albert Abreu or Trevor Rogers? (Jake from Rhode Island) | So the problem for both has always been dingers, and 2019 baseballs have been particularly unkind. I'd be more inclined to hold on Mahle (1) because I have always liked him and (2) he's by far the more likely starter. If I were to dump one of them I miiiiiiiiight due it for Abreu but not for Rogers. I'd want a bit safer arm before I felt great about pulling the trigger. Either of those might just get you this version of Sims or Mahle in three years. (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2019-05-10 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Is Tyler Mahle a good comp for what Zac Gallen will look like? (Nonnie from Tepid) | I'm ok with this. I think Gallen might have a little more upside. (Mark Barry) |
| 2019-05-17 16:00:00 (link to chat) | Any starters which an owner percent less than a Tyler Mahle worth considering? (Vic from Baltimore) | Shaun Anderson would be the one I like (Mike Gianella) |
| 2018-05-25 12:15:00 (link to chat) | Which Reds pitcher do you like most going forward? (bg from Seattle) | "Which neurotoxin do you most enjoy?"
Tyler Mahle, I guess at the MLB level. I've never been a Castillo guy (the stuff is great but the command worries me, and I think it's tough when your swing-and-miss pitch is the changeup). Minors? I like Tony Santillan a bit. (Craig Goldstein) |
| 2018-04-27 12:00:00 (link to chat) | Thoughts on Tyler Mahle? Giving up a ton of homers but strikeouts and walk rate are there and getting a lot of swing and misses. (Jason from Orem) | I think he will be fine and kinda wish I had found room for him on the backend of this year's 101. Home runs are always going to be a bit of an issue though. (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2018-05-11 13:00:00 (link to chat) | Will Tyler Mahle settle in to being a top 50 SP year on year? Top 30 upside? (Warren from Australia) | I know there are some Mahle stans out there. He's probably more in the realm of 50 than 30. (Nicolas Stellini) |
| 2017-11-17 13:00:00 (link to chat) | The Reds have 14 or so guys vying for a rotation spot, none outside Homer Bailey, Luis Castillo and maybe Tyler Mahle seem worth getting excited about. Who do the Reds finally decide is better suited shoring up their awful bullpen and move from the rotation in 2018? Some names to consider: Amir Garrett, Robert Stephenson, Brandon Finnegan, Cody Reed, Rookie Davis, Jon Moscot, Jackson Stephens, Tim Adleman, Sal Romano, Keury Mella. (matzabal from CO) | I don't know that a lot of those guys will be great bullpen arms either (Tim Adleman is still around, eh? Good for him). Garrett, Romano, Stephenson, and Finnegan are the obvious ones here, and the guys most likely to have a real impact in the pen. Also are we still excited about Homer Bailey? I will defer to actual Reds fans on this, but I am...not. (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2017-08-21 13:00:00 (link to chat) | My farm consists of Gleyber Torres, Vlad Guerrero Jr, Franklin Barreto, Austin Meadows, Scott Kingery, Mickey Moniak, Blake Rutherford, Michael Kopech, Mitch Keller and Tyler Mahle. Plus recently graduated Amed Rosario, Bradley Zimmer and Clint Frazier.
Is there any positions or areas I should focus on as I work to be competitive in 2019? (Trip from SC) | Trip. Dude. You're kidding me, right? That is a ridiculous farm system, and seems pretty well-timed for your 2019 target date. I mean, really.
Just to be sure, I checked with Scooter Hotz of our prospects team. His take: "I agree with your assessment. I would also add that with prospects, don’t worry about positional need. Focus on getting the best prospects regardless of position. If you end up with a surplus of players at a position in the majors, use the trade market to re-organize your roster positionally. That will give you more value than prioritizing positional need over getting the best player available." (I will note that Scooter and I are in a fantasy league together. I've spent the entire year with a surplus of OFs and a lack of RPs, and he had a surplus of RPs and a lack of OFs, and we never got it together to make a trade. So do as we say, not as we do) (Rob Mains) |
| 2017-07-06 12:00:00 (link to chat) | Did Tyler Mahle get any consideration? Looked like the best SP in the Southern League this year, and it didn't seem to be just smoke and mirrors - good K rate, low walks, kept throwing one great game after another. (buckb2 from Huntsville) | He did. He's another guy that gets unfairly dinged because our Southern League coverage is a bit patchy this year, and we haven't gotten a team member on him before the list got locked. Like with Florial, have some coming up. (Jeffrey Paternostro) |
| 2017-06-20 13:00:00 (link to chat) | How good can Tyler Mahle be in the MLB? Does he have Ace upside given what he's shown this year? (Pedro from Deep South) | Pedro, see my response to Billy from Beantown's question. I went through the same drill with this question, except that I had to look him up in the BP Annual's index to find out where he plays. Cincinnati! I get it. As for ace upside, with the qualification that I'm an idiot who knows nothing when it comes to prospects, I note that (1) he didn't make our Top 101 list in the spring, and (2) his performance this year, while undeniably awesome, is pretty out of line with what he's done at every level prior to this year. It's entirely possible that he's turned a corner at 22 and is now on a different trajectory. But I'd hesitate to make that call after just 14 starts. He should be fine, but there aren't that many aces out there. (Rob Mains) |
| 2017-06-27 20:00:00 (link to chat) | How good can tyler mahle be as a fantasy SP? (pedro from Deep South) | The consensus on Mahle is mid-rotation upside. But remember what I just said about Steve? Steve really loves Tyler Mahle. (Jarrett Seidler) |
| 2016-08-01 16:00:00 (link to chat) | What are your thoughts on Tyler Mahle? (Ryan from US) | Solid pitcher, throws lots of pitches for strikes, not a future ace but could be a pretty solid mid-level starter long term. (Mike Gianella) |
| 2016-06-20 16:00:00 (link to chat) | Can you give me the names of a few prospects, outside of the Top 101, that have the highest upside? (cracker73 from Florida) | LHP Ian Clarkin, RHP Tyler Mahle, SS Kevin Newman (Steve Givarz) |
BP Roundtables
No BP Roundtables have mentioned this guy.
PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile
A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC
Although he has not thrown an MLB pitch in 2024, Tyler Mahle threw 11,644 pitches that were tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2017 and 2023, all of them occuring in Spring Training. In 2023, he relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (93mph) and Slider (84mph), also mixing in a Splitter (85mph). He also rarely threw a Cutter (85mph).
BP Annual Player Comments
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