Portrait of Alex Reyes

Alex Reyes P  

CSS Button No Image

Cardinals Player Cards | Cardinals Team Audit | Cardinals Depth Chart

2019 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 24)
Login or Subscribe today for access to projections!
Birth Date8-29-1994
Height6' 3"
Weight175 lbs
Age26 years, 1 months, 24 days
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
2016 SLN MLB 12 5 46.0 4 1 1 33 23 52 1 90 6.5 4.5 0.2 10.2 44% .283 1.22 2.70 1.57 93 3.45 76.2 0.9
2018 SLN MLB 1 1 4.0 0 0 0 3 2 2 0 91 6.8 4.5 0.0 4.5 40% .300 1.25 4.37 0.00 144 8.15 182.1 -0.1
2019 SLN MLB 4 0 3.0 0 1 0 2 6 1 1 93 6.0 18.0 3.0 3.0 30% .111 2.67 12.83 15.00 125 6.67 136.9 0.0

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
2013 JCY Rk APP 12 12 58.3 6 4 0 54 28 68 1 112 8.3 4.3 0.2 10.5 0% .349 1.41 2.96 3.39 99 5.12 111.3
2014 PEO A MID 21 21 109.3 7 7 0 82 61 137 6 92 6.8 5.0 0.5 11.3 0% .295 1.31 3.44 3.62 93 3.84 81.3
2015 PMB A+ FSL 13 13 63.7 2 5 0 49 31 96 0 94 6.9 4.4 0.0 13.6 0% .371 1.26 1.75 2.26 63 3.42 75.0
2015 SFD AA TEX 8 8 34.7 3 2 0 21 18 52 1 112 5.5 4.7 0.3 13.5 0% .282 1.13 2.31 3.12 65 2.45 53.7
2015 CRD Rk GCL 1 1 3.0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 105 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 0% .000 0.00 2.30 0.00 79 1.42 31.1
2015 SUR Wnt AFL 4 4 15.0 0 1 0 14 10 14 0 8.4 6.0 0.0 8.4 0% .333 1.60 3.71 3.60 0 0.00 0.0
2016 SLN MLB NL 12 5 46.0 4 1 1 33 23 52 1 90 6.5 4.5 0.2 10.2 44% .283 1.22 2.70 1.57 93 3.45 76.2
2016 MEM AAA PCL 14 14 65.3 2 3 0 63 32 93 6 96 8.7 4.4 0.8 12.8 42% .365 1.45 3.72 4.96 82 4.01 88.6
2018 SLN MLB NL 1 1 4.0 0 0 0 3 2 2 0 91 6.8 4.5 0.0 4.5 40% .300 1.25 4.37 0.00 144 8.15 182.1
2018 PEO A MID 1 1 5.0 1 0 0 1 2 12 0 101 1.8 3.6 0.0 21.6 50% .250 0.60 -0.12 0.00 38 1.59 33.6
2018 PMB A+ FSL 1 1 3.3 0 0 0 4 1 6 0 90 10.8 2.7 0.0 16.2 25% .500 1.50 0.77 0.00 60 3.41 72.0
2018 SFD AA TEX 1 1 7.7 1 0 0 1 3 13 0 102 1.2 3.5 0.0 15.3 30% .100 0.52 1.23 0.00 55 1.48 31.3
2018 MEM AAA PCL 1 1 7.0 1 0 0 1 1 13 0 83 1.3 1.3 0.0 16.7 33% .111 0.29 0.45 0.00 43 1.34 28.2
2019 SLN MLB NL 4 0 3.0 0 1 0 2 6 1 1 93 6.0 18.0 3.0 3.0 30% .111 2.67 12.83 15.00 125 6.67 136.9
2019 PMB A+ FSL 2 2 9.3 0 1 0 9 3 11 0 94 8.7 2.9 0.0 10.6 54% .346 1.29 1.91 1.93 84 3.65 75.2
2019 MEM AAA PCL 10 7 28.0 1 3 0 27 24 38 5 99 8.7 7.7 1.6 12.2 41% .344 1.82 6.08 7.39 102 5.18 106.6

Plate Discipline

YEAR Pits Zone% Swing% Contact% Z-Swing% O-Swing% Z-Contact% O-Contact% SwStr%
2016 783 0.4904 0.4508 0.7252 0.6823 0.2281 0.7824 0.5604 0.2748
2018 73 0.4384 0.3973 0.8966 0.5625 0.2683 1.0000 0.7273 0.1034
2019 69 0.4493 0.3478 0.8333 0.5484 0.1842 0.9412 0.5714 0.1667

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation


Year Team Salary
2019 SLN $564,600
2018 SLN $545,600
2017 SLN $535,000
2016 SLN $
3 yrPrevious$1,645,200
3 yrTotal$1,645,200


Service TimeAgentContract Status
2 y 65 dOctagon1 year/$564,600 (2019)

  • 1 year/$564,600 (2019). Re-signed by St. Louis 3/19.
  • 1 year/$0.5456M (2018). Re-signed by St. Louis 3/18.
  • 1 year/$0.535M (2017). Re-signed by St. Louis 3/17.
  • 1 year (2016). Contract selected by St. Louis 8/9/16.
  • Signed by St. Louis 2013 as an amateur free agent from the Dominican Republic. $0.95M signing bonus.

2019 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

90o 0 3.6 0 11 11 52.5 32 18 68 3 .256 0.97 1.89 2.17 5.7 0.6
80o 0 3.4 0 10 10 46.5 31 18 60 3 .272 1.05 2.23 2.55 3.2 0.3
70o 0 3.3 0 9 9 42.3 30 17 55 3 .283 1.11 2.48 2.83 1.6 0.2
60o 0 3.2 0 8 8 38.9 29 16 50 2 .293 1.17 2.70 3.07 0.5 0.1
50o 0 3 0 7 7 35.7 28 16 46 2 .302 1.22 2.90 3.3 -0.4 0.0
40o 0 2.9 0 7 7 32.6 26 15 42 2 .311 1.27 3.11 3.53 -1.2 -0.1
30o 0 2.7 0 6 6 29.4 25 14 38 2 .321 1.33 3.34 3.78 -1.8 -0.2
20o 0 2.5 0 5 5 25.7 23 13 33 2 .332 1.40 3.60 4.08 -2.4 -0.3
10o 0 2.2 0 4 4 20.7 20 11 27 2 .348 1.51 3.98 4.51 -2.9 -0.3
Weighted Mean02.907735.02715452.3001.212.883.26-0.20.0

The rest of this card is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers.

Not a subscriber? Click here for a free card so you can see what's missing.

Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or to subscribe and get instant access to the best baseball content on the web.

BP Annual Player Comments

The rest of this card is restricted to Baseball Prospectus Subscribers.

Not a subscriber? Click here for a free card so you can see what's missing.

Click here for more information on Baseball Prospectus subscriptions or to subscribe and get instant access to the best baseball content on the web.

BP Articles

Click here to see articles tagged with Alex Reyes

BP Chats

2018-02-05 12:00:00 (link to chat)Is Alex Reyes' potential higher than some of the names ahead of him? As in, is his spot on the list a buffer against the TJ surgery? (Although you have him higher than most rankings right now)
(nate from Virginia)
That's fair. If I knew for sure the stuff would come oh let's say at least 93% of the way back, he'd be top five, maybe higher. (Top 101 with Jeffrey Paternostro)
2018-01-31 14:00:00 (link to chat)Which rookies will have the most impact this season?
(Buddy from Peoria, IL)
Would it be cheating to say Shohei Ohtani? Or Ronald Acuna? If so, I think we'll hear from Alex Reyes, Willie Calhoun, and Lewis Brinson for sure. I kind of like Jesse Winker too. Also, Jake Bauers might be a good under-the-radar guy we didn't expect much from, but comes up to do damage. (Mark Barry)
2018-01-23 23:00:00 (link to chat)In a 15 team league with 30+ rounds (4 years to keep) would you draft Julio Urias about where you might have drafted Alex Reyes in 2017...later? earlier?
(Chris from Baltimore)
Urias is an exceedingly difficult player to value right now. It's very likely he misses the vast majority if not all of 2018, and while his youth is an asset for recovery purposes, his injury is a scary one in terms of regaining full functionality and effectiveness. I don't really have context for where Reyes was getting drafted after news of his injury broke, and it's tough to say where in the context of your draft is appropriate without knowing more about how many people in total are kept, etc. But broadly I'd peg him about 2 rounds earlier than I'd be looking at a standard-issue injury stash, just because the ceiling is still ostensibly there. Just know that he's a LONG play - this year's likely a full donut, and you'll be lucky if he generates positive value in 2019, either.

Take it back, sister. I've loved this tune since I heard it on my grandma's hi-fi: (Wilson Karaman)
2018-01-11 13:00:00 (link to chat)What can we expect from Michael Conforto and Alex Reyes in 2918 as both are coming off significant injuries? Are there concerns going forward? If you had to pick one over the other, for 2018 and beyond, who would you choose?
(Boomer from Philippines)
We've generally heard positive reports on both coming off their surgeries. But with Reyes we just know what the process is supposed to look like. We have a frame of reference. We've seen people come back from TJ and be fine. There really isn't a comp for Conforto's injury. So there's added uncertainty there. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2017-03-22 20:00:00 (link to chat)Who pitches more 2018 MLB innings? Alex Reyes or Yadier Alvarez?
(Chris from MD)
Hmmm, good question. Reyes should be back pretty darned close to the start of the season, and even if Alvarez is a 2018 MLB option, one would have to think that a.) the Dodgers are going to limit his innings something fierce and b.) he won't be up until after service time considerations.

So I'll take Reyes. (Jarrett Seidler)
2017-03-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)What would be your best estimate of Alex Reyes' trade value right now? What about midseason? Would the Cardinals be able to trade him for significant help this year, assuming they wanted to?
(Alex from CA)
I guess the only recent comp for this is the Wheeler/Flores for Gomez deal that fell through. I wouldn't make a trade like that if I were the Cardinals (and the service time difference makes it worse). I think they could definitely find some buyers for him, but you'd be selling low, because we just have zero info about the recovery yet. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2017-02-14 12:00:00 (link to chat)To put a guy like Gsellman at 17 overall has to mean he has Ace upside right? Or is a guy with the high floor of a #3 starter ranked in that range too? Basically, do you have to have Ace potential to be a top 15/20 prospect
(Dave from Queens)
A few different ideas to unpack here.

I haven't done my most recent check, but I'm guessing there's maybe 10-12 "aces" in the majors right now. So in any given year, they might not be an "ace" in the minors. Alex Reyes is the closest to that now, hence his ranking, but I couldn't quite pull the trigger on an 80 OFP there because of the control and command concerns. A sure shot #3 could definitely rank there though, and if you want to talk about *ceiling*--which isn't a word I love to discuss--is it impossible Gsellman gets another grade of change and command and turns into Jacob deGrom? No, it isn't, but that wasn't the line of thinking that led us to rank him there. And you could say the same things about Josh Hader, Anderson Espinoza, Brent Honeywell, plenty of pitchers in that same area of the list.

There aren't that many more #2 starters either, so guys with that potential should be top 25 guys. (The Top 101 Prospect Chat with Jeffrey Paternostro)
2017-02-14 12:00:00 (link to chat)Reports that Alex Reyes may have a season-ending injury (Craig Mish from Sirius XM reporting this). That would really, really blow.
(Josh from Sacramento)
Also, he's a pitcher. (The Top 101 Prospect Chat with Jeffrey Paternostro)
2017-02-14 12:00:00 (link to chat)Where would Otani rank?
(BBPAlan from NC)
I'm trying to think of an argument against him at #1, and I...

Oh I have one, Alex Reyes is getting an MRI. (The Top 101 Prospect Chat with Jeffrey Paternostro)
2017-02-14 12:00:00 (link to chat)Potential season ending injury for Alex Reyes. Assuming he's out for the season, how far back would you move him on the top 101?
(Erhan from Kansas)
Well, the book's already shipped so...

This was baked into the ranking. My Annual comment specifically spells out that this was a risky move for exactly this reason, but worth mentioning that there was a day or two where we all thought Benintendi blew out his knee, so it can happen to bats too.

If this happened before deadline? I guess he'd drop out of the top ten, but not a ton further than that, and without knowing exactly the issue I can't really pin it down more than that. (The Top 101 Prospect Chat with Jeffrey Paternostro)
2017-02-06 23:00:00 (link to chat)Who has the better 2017, Julio Urias or Alex Reyes?
(seddrah from Seattle)
Gimme Urias. What this kid has done/will do at such a tender age is absurd. I think the command and game management will both be more advanced in 2017, and I think Reyes may struggle some at the outset of his career as he refines his own command and gains greater consistency in his delivery. These are two of the most wonderful arms in the entire world. (Wilson Karaman)
2017-02-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)I've got Alex Reyes in a dynasty league. This TJ news is brutal. Thoughts? Sit on him for the years? Give up the roster spot and hope no one snags him? I'm leaning towards the former...
(brianagler from NYC)
I was hoping to start off on a more positive note, but we need to talk about Reyes. He's one of the few pitching prospects that I would hold onto in a dynasty league regardless of other factors. We've been through this before with other top prospects like Strasburg & Fernandez (just a few of the more prominent examples). If you own Reyes in a dynasty league, you're better off not trading him. (George Bissell)
2017-02-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)Which prospects this year have an 80 grade tool?
(CKnecht88 from Ohio)
This is my favorite question so far. Look, I'm not a scout. I have a tremendous amount of respect for the men and women who can do it. I think as far as 80-grade goes, that's reserved for top of the scale #OffTheCharts tools like Billy Hamilton's speed, Joey Gallo's power, Miguel Cabrera's hit tool (and maybe Mookie Betts someday)...I think of the current crop of prospects, Alex Reyes & Michael Kopech have 80-grade fastballs. There are a few relievers with the velocity to put an 80 on their fastballs too. If you're looking for a fun one, I think Jharel Cotton's changeup is a potential one to get there. I have no idea how you grade a screwball but Brent Honeywell for me there. (George Bissell)
2017-01-31 19:00:00 (link to chat)Francis Martes. The outing I saw him in the AFL, he looked terrible. Flat fastball that was getting rocked into loud outs and wallbangers. Yet, the Astros refuse to discuss him in a trade and the AGM doesn't do him the favor of tempering expectations and basically says this guy is fastball Jesus. What say you this year and career?
(Sir nerdlington from Colorado)
I'd probably weigh in at whatever notch is right below fastball Jesus. I like Martes a lot and could see his 2016 going in a similar way to how the Cardinals used Alex Reyes in 2016. Looking forward, I think he's at worst a pretty dominant closer-type and at best could be a top 35-40 starter. (Mark Barry)
2017-02-16 20:00:00 (link to chat)What to make of the Alex Reyes TJS? Are the Cards cooked?
(Marty from tampa)
It'll definitely be a harder road for the Cardinals now, but this stuff happens. There's been no proven mechanical or physical factors that contribute towards Tommy John, other than the sheer fact that pitchers throw baseballs very hard. It's part of the risk calculus, and sometimes the talent outweighs that.

I will say that the year I saw Alex Reyes in Double-A was also the year I saw Julio Urias, and I walked away thinking that Reyes was the better prospect. If you'd told me I could trade highly-rated prospect x, y, z for him, I probably would have. I hope for all of baseball that he comes back with his stuff intact, because baseball's better with a talent like Reyes. (Kate Morrison)
2017-01-06 13:00:00 (link to chat)Would it be fair to say that Yadier Alvarez has the same potential as Alex Reyes, as a possible front-line starter?
(Ron from Texarkana)
Ehhhhhhhhh, okay I can maybe see that, as long as we acknowledge that is much, much further down the line, and there is a lot more risk. (Jeffrey Paternostro)
2017-01-18 20:00:00 (link to chat)I'm trying to choose 3 of these guys to keep in my OBP Keeper League: Addison Russell, Jackie Bradley (his CF eligibility makes him more valuable in my league), Hanley Ramirez, Gerrit Cole, Alex Reyes, Danny Salazar. Any suggestions?
(mattstupp from NYC)
Russell, Hanley and Reyes (by a nose over Cole). (Bret Sayre)
2016-09-26 20:00:00 (link to chat)12 team keeper league, where we roster all 8 defensive positions, 2 utility, and 8 SPs. There aren't any weird contracts or scoring rules either. I need 10 keepers. My locks are Rizzo, Stanton, JD Martinez, Todd Frazier, Darvish, Scherzer, & Sale. I'm left to pick 3 of Lucroy, Jose Abreu, Byron Buxton, Stroman, Justin Upton, Dahl, Michael Brantley & Alex Reyes. Not easy to pick 3 out of that, huh? Take a shot! Thanks again!
(BPchatsChangedMyLife from Niagara, ON)
I'd try to package 3-5 of those extra guys for 1 no-doubt keeper, then try to do it again with the rest of that pack of extra guys. There's gotta be some teams in your league who have a stuff or two but only 5-7 legitimate keepers that might be willing to trade one big name player for depth, right? Try to do something with the value locked in those keepable players rather than just let that value evaporate when you submit your freeze list and send several of them back into the free agent poo; And be agnostic about which of that group of players you trade - don't fall in love with your guys. (Scooter Hotz)
2016-09-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)I'm assuming Alex Reyes will be in the rotation next year, but also on an innings count... What are your thoughts on that and his future in general?
(TrickDaddy14 from YT)
I think we'll find out a lot about him in the second half of next season, when players have seen him, and are working counts and not biting off the plate as much. I like him a lot, he's one of a handful of players in the league who could conceivably be an ace some day, but he's going to have to make adjustments. (Brendan Gawlowski)
2016-07-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)What theoretical trade would you like to see happen, just for selfish scouting purposes? Like who would you not get a chance to see in person that you'd like to see move into an organization you could scout more easily?
(Steve from Philly)
I really like this question. I've been on the receiving end twice already this season, though, as Grant Jones and James Fisher have picked my pocket stealing Chris Paddack and Anderson Espinoza to the Midwest League. I would love to see Alex Reyes get traded to the Rays and pitch at Durham. Noting to that whatsoever, just a high-minors top prospect type that I don't see for the most part right now. (Adam McInturff)
2016-05-12 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is Anderson Espinoza the #1 pitching prospect next season?
(Dan from LA)
I adore Anderson Espinoza, but probably not. Really good chance that both Giolito and Urias qualify, same with Alex Reyes, and those guys will get the nod, me thinks. (Christopher Crawford)
2016-03-14 14:30:00 (link to chat)Which "Artie Reyes" was it that you mentioned being impressed by at Tacoma, in your response to an earlier question? Reyes is a common baseball name. Did you mean Reyes The Lesser in the Cardinals system (Alex = Greater, Arturo = Lesser), or is there another Artie out there (at Tacoma or elsewhere) that I don't know about?
(Bill from New Mexico)
Arturo; I wasn't aware that people called Alex Reyes 'Artie.' (Brendan Gawlowski)
2016-03-03 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who is the most real deal Holyfield: Alex Reyes, Tyler Glasnow, or Blake Snell?
(nubber from tx)
Before seeing him this fall, I would have put Reyes behind Glasnow. I kinda/sorta fell in love in the AFL though. I go Reyes, Glasnow, Snell. Man oh man are all three good, though. (Christopher Crawford)
2016-01-29 11:00:00 (link to chat)If Alex Reyes has "one of the highest ceilings of any current pitching prospect", how much value is assigned to the fact that STL is excellent at maximizing pitching potential? In other words, how much further back in the rankings would Reyes be in he were in an organization with a poor development reputation (like BAL or COL)?
(Trey from Florida)
That's a background factor in determining the risk involved, for me. I don't know how to quantify how much value is assigned specifically, but the reality is that his ceiling isn't different in a different org so much as one's confidence in him *reaching* that ceiling. The only times I'd say that an org might affect the ceiling of a player is if you can reasonably assume that they can implement a major-league average pitch that the prospect currently doesn't have (think Warthen Slider), but even then, that's a significant leap of faith to take. (Top 101 Chat with Craig Goldstein)
2016-01-27 19:00:00 (link to chat)In my dynasty league, trying to decide who to keep out of Jose Berrios, Hunter Harvey, and Alex Reyes. Harvey obviously has an injury concern now, and eventually the AL East. Berrios has size and pitching plane concerns, and the American League line-ups. Reyes of course has the suspension issues, although I like the National League advantages and the Cardinals reputation for grooming pitchers. Leaning Reyes as I have no immediate starting pitching issues. Thoughts?
(Scott from Pa)
You can't really go wrong with either Berrios or Reyes. Since you aren't overly concerned about this year, I'd probably lean towards Reyes for the reasons you mentioned. Especially the Cardinals factor. But I'm also super high on Berrios. As for Harvey, I'd be trying my hardest to avoid Orioles pitching prospects. (Matt Collins)
2015-11-18 13:00:00 (link to chat)Best prospect you saw at the AFL?
(Aaron from San Diego )
Alex Reyes, and I'm not sure if it was close. J.P. Crawford was the best position player I saw, followed by Austin Meadows. It was kinda a weak year, but, those guys are legit. (Christopher Crawford)
2015-10-13 19:00:00 (link to chat)Admire your work! What is on tap for 2016? Which prospect will become the next big one?
(jill from maryland)
This isn't a super under-the-radar pick at all, but Alex Reyes is extremely exciting. (Kate Morrison)
2015-08-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)With Urias and Giolito getting a lot of attention, which other NL minor pitchers do you see as promising for potential #1/2/ace?
(steelydanu from L.A)
Well Tyler Glasnow for sure. Alex Reyes. Maybe Jose DeLeon? (Christopher Crawford)
2015-07-23 17:00:00 (link to chat)Can Alex Reyes be an effective mlb reliever right now? Would love to see him rack up some k's setting up rosenthal
(Berto from Missouri )
I think Reyes could be a solid middle reliever/set up right now, similar to David Price when he was first called up (Mike Gianella)
2015-07-30 13:00:00 (link to chat)What does Alex Reyes need to do (or continue to do) to close the margin between he and Giolito? Does Reyes have ace upside?
(RatedRookie from Atlanta)
I'm a huge Giolito fanboy, so I'm a bit biased. To me the difference between the two is that Giolito already has an MLB-average changeup, and he's got a bit more refined command right now. He has top 15 pitcher in MLB upside. Chris Mellen threw an 80 ceiling on him recently:

Reyes is a great talent, but probably has a ceiling more in the 15-30 range in MLB. That's terrific, and he could easily be a 1/2 for most teams in the game, but Giolito is truly a transcendent talent. If Reyes improves the change and continues to refine command, then we're talking about him nearing Giolito. (Jeff Long)
2015-07-13 14:30:00 (link to chat)Explain the process of how some guys aren't selected for the futures game? I heard teams can deny permission, especially if guy may get promoted soon. Is it a mix of potential, production, and cater to the host city?
(Davin from Pittsburgh)
This seems like a good starting point:

Each team can have up to 2 selections for the Futures Game, generally consisting of 1 world player, 1 USA player.

Teams can simply deny permission of a player (Dodgers and Corey Seager), or players can sit out due to injury (Cardinals and Alex Reyes). There really isn't any drawn out explanation other than this. But it's essentially the choice of the team whether they send a player selected.

Usually, you'll see two of the best prospects per team selected, but that is not always the case. They need to fill out bother rosters, and sometimes this means a player such as Kyle Farmer or Cheslor Cuthbert will be selected. - Tucker Blair (Futures Game Chat)
2015-07-01 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who is the better pitcher in Dynasty league, Alex Reyes, Daniel Norris, or Steven Matz?
(Silverback38 from VA)
Matz is the most polished and getting his chance now. Norris has shown he can hang in there in the bigs already. Reyes is still raw as anything, but man that FB/CB combo is one to dream on. I'd go Matz/Reyes/Norris I think, but if you're so inclined to value safety first then Norris leaps comfortably ahead of Reyes. Reyes is your boy for ceiling, though: (Wilson Karaman)
2015-06-25 13:00:00 (link to chat)top of your 5 offensive and top 5 pitching prospects left in the minors?
(Brian from MI)
ahhh I won't be able to do that to any satisfaction. So I'll punt and just say guys like Reynaldo Lopez, Lucas Giolito and Alex Reyes are some of my favorite guys pitching in the minors. (Harry Pavlidis)
2015-06-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)Can Alex Reyes rival Lucas Giolito in terms of pure stuff? Can anyone in the minor leagues, when healthy, rival Giolito, or is he really in a league of his own?
(Mark from Virginia)
Yes, amazingly enough. I said after seeing him earlier this season that Reyes' has the best stuff of any pitcher in the minors besides Giolito. Now, his stuff isn't nearly close to being as refined as Giolito and he's not anywhere near that level of pitcher yet. But the fastball/curveball combination is as close as they'll come. I'll still take Giolito's because the fastball command is leaps and bounds better, but the easy velocity is just as impressive and the curveball needs new adjectives in order to properly describe it. (Jeff Moore)
2015-06-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)Rank Palm Beach arms Luke Weaver, Alex Reyes, and Rob Kaminsky in terms of stuff and ceiling. Most intriguing position player at Palm Beach?
(Derek from Palm Beach (Florida))
Reyes..............Weaver....Kaminsky. The gap is notable between Reyes and the other two, and that's testament to him not a knock on the other guys. All three are quote good, Kaminsky's ceiling is the lowest, but he knows how to pitch with what he has. Weaver has a little bit better stuff and knows how to use it as well. Reyes is a stud though. He just needs to learn how to use it. (Jeff Moore)
2015-06-15 19:00:00 (link to chat)Alex Reyes: 5-WAR major-league career. Do you take the over or the under?
(Bill from New Mexico)
Well, he's a Cardinal, so over.

In all seriousness, I'll take over because he's got a good chance of topping that mark as a reliever if the command never comes around. Jeff Moore gave his fastball and curve 70 future grades; that's a lights out reliever if he stays healthy. (Brendan Gawlowski)
2015-06-10 14:00:00 (link to chat)I like Alex Reyes a lot. How much excitement is realslistic for a guy who struggles with control? Top 25 Dynasty spec?
(Lou from Missouri)
You can be excited about a prospect without necessarily expecting him to reach his ceiling. That's the one thing of which fantasy owners have to be careful. Do not invest in prospects *expecting* them to reach their ceiling. That rarely happens. With that said, Reyes is in one of the best organizations in baseball. I still think he's around 375-425 overall for dynasty leagues. (J.P. Breen)
2015-05-27 14:00:00 (link to chat)Hi CJ, Out of Jose Deleon, Reynaldo Lopez and Alex Reyes who would you prefer ?
(Tommy from Atlanta)
Alex Reyes. Lopez may have the biggest fastball but I would take Reyes' FB/CB future combo. OFP for Reyes would be the highest. (CJ Wittmann)
2015-05-26 19:00:00 (link to chat)14 team dynasty league, who has the higher upside? 5-tool Bradley Zimmer or Alex Reyes?
(Jeff from Chicago)
I like them both and it's close, but I generally tend to default to the hitter. So Zimmer for me, but as I said it's close. (Mike Gianella)
2015-05-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)Chris, looking for a leg up on my dynasty league. Two open minor league slots. Ketel Marte, Phillip Ervin, Jomar Reyes, Darnell Sweeney Jose de Leon, and Alex Reyes are all availabe. Whom should I add if I'm looking for superstar upside, regardless of ETA/position?
(Matt from KY)
Definitely take Reyes, and then....I'd go Marte. I've been impressed with what I've seen, and there's a 50/50 shot he can play shortstop. (Christopher Crawford)
2015-05-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)Better career: Jeff Hoffman or Alex Reyes?
(Mitch from Iowa)
This is a fun question. I probably would go with Hoffman because there's slightly more upside, but I want to see Hoffman show the top of the rotation stuff for a stretch before I go "all-in" on him. Also Reyes is really good, but Hoffman wins in a close decision. (Christopher Crawford)
2015-05-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)Jose de Leon, Alex Reyes, Jeff Hoffman - One is an Ace, one is a mid-rotation arm, one is a reliever... Where are you placing your bets?
(MP from KY)
Just reverse the order of names. Hoffman the ace, Reyes the mid-rotation, de Leon the reliever. I think all three start though. You can't make me do this, MP! (Christopher Crawford)
2015-04-29 20:00:00 (link to chat)Read some reports that Alex Reyes stuff has ticked up and he's hit 100 on the gun now. Any truth to this and if so what do you make of it?
(neph27 from The cmbl)
Reyes has always had top shelf stuff, it's just a matter of refinement and learning how to pitch. Early returns are that he's making strides in those areas, so he's definitely someone who is raising their stock at the moment. Just don't get carried away - he's got a long way to go. (Bret Sayre)
2015-04-22 14:00:00 (link to chat)Is it Moncada time yet in Greenville? IF not, to hold me over til then...who ya got in a FSL smack down between Alex Reyes and Blake Snell?
(Handsome NAMBER from Mortville)
Hagerstown in a couple of weeks. And Alex Reyes. (CJ Wittmann)
2015-04-22 14:00:00 (link to chat)Who are some prospects you expect to make a big climb up the rankings next time they come out? Any names that might surprise us?
(boneil33 from Boston)
This may not come as a surprise to many but I think when mid-season rankings come out, we will see Alex Reyes a lot higher on lists than he previously was. (CJ Wittmann)
2015-03-06 14:00:00 (link to chat)Can you name some prospects outside of most top 50 rankings that may jump into the top 10-15 tier by this time next year?
(James from Alcorn St)
Obviously not a lock that this will happen, but Margot, Devers, Tapia, Reynaldo Lopez, Alex Reyes, Grant Holmes (Christopher Crawford)
2015-01-21 15:00:00 (link to chat)Hey Doug, what are your thoughts on Alexander Reyes & Steven Matz? Could both become role 6 type players, or are the concerns for Reyes control & Matz injury pass holding them back of that possibility?
(kiper90 from Rochester, NY)
I covered Reyes in the NL Central prospects piece, and I think that he has all of the basic ingredients to solve his walks issue. He just needs to iron out his timing, which is typically the last thing to come around for a pitcher it can also take the longest. Stay tuned.

Matz is an intriguing prospect, with three potential plus pitches. He put up 140 innings last year, and his Tommy John was back in 2010, so I think that he is breaking free of the injury shackles. (Doug Thorburn)
2015-02-09 20:00:00 (link to chat)Who in the last 50 do you think has the best chance of moving into the top 20 next year?
(Shane from Tacoma)
That's a huge leap in one year, but Clint Frazier, Alexander Reyes, and Manuel Margot are three who come to mind right off the bat with chances to do so for me. (Top 101 Chat)
2014-11-24 13:00:00 (link to chat)I'm curious to know more about Alexander Reyes' body now. I hadn't heard until I read the Cardinals top 10 that he had thickened in his bottom.
(Howie from NYC)
Put on a lot of not necessarily good weight in the lower-half during the off-season. Enough that it stood out to evaluators, and not in a good way. Sounds like that is going to be a focus moving forward and I personally expect it to be a non-issue as Reyes continues to progress. (NL Central Top 10s With Nick Faleris)
2014-12-11 18:00:00 (link to chat)Hey Mark, what would your order be of these prospects if you had them in your farm? Alexander Reyes, Nomar Mazara, Leonardo Molina, Jairo Labourt, Ryan McMahon?
(kiper90 from Rochester, NY)
Mazara, Reyes, McMahon, Molina, Labourt. (Mark Anderson)
2014-10-09 15:00:00 (link to chat)If Alex Reyes can become consistent in his mechanics and improve his control, is there a top of the rotation potential with him?
(Isaac from last one)
Yes, but it's a long way off. What's weird is that I don't think Reyes ends up 'in the middle'. I think he's either a TOTR guy or a pen arm. I just have that kind of feeling with him. The mechs improved throughout the year, and the stuff is very, very lively. But, he struggles to hit the glove, and probably needs to lose 15 pounds. (Jordan Gorosh)
2014-09-10 12:00:00 (link to chat)Rank this dominican arms Domingo German michael feliz Alex reyes and Reynaldo lopez.
(Jeffrey from New York)
1. Reynaldo Lopez
2. Alex Reyes
3. Domingo German
4. Michael Feliz (Tucker Blair)
2014-09-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)Alex Reyes improved his control during the second half. Where do you think he ranks among prospect pitchers going into the offseason?
(Andrew from St. Augustine)
Question for the BP scout team! My two cents is, he only turned 20 last week and pitched in the Midwest League this year, so there's still a lot of road to travel before he reaches the Majors. But with his stuff he has to be viewed as a legit prospect... just not for 2015, in all likelihood. (Cory Schwartz)
2014-07-25 14:00:00 (link to chat)Not sure if you've witnessed or seen video of Alex Reyes, but can his massive walk rate be traced to mechanics, pitches that he doesn't yet have command of, or a combination?
(Alex from Wis)
I have not seen Reyes yet, so I will lean toward the BP prospect team for an evaluation. As a teaser, here's what JP and the crew said about Reyes' weaknesses in the Cards Top 10 List:

"Weaknesses: Needs general refinement; still transitioning from thrower to pitcher; needs to sharpen up command; work on sequencing; PFP refinement; holding runners; changeup is third offering; can overthrow the pitch; more deliberate in release."

On the jukebox: Sepultura, "Ratamahatta" (Doug Thorburn)
2014-07-25 14:00:00 (link to chat)What's Alex Reyes' ceiling? Striking out tons of guys in the midwest league
(Dick Grande from St Louis)
I will point to the aforementioned article from the prospect crew ( ).

Another teaser, his listed strengths: "Prototypical size; room for physical projection; electric arm speed; easy action and smooth release; fastball already works plus; projects to be plus-plus; 92-98 mph with late action; curveball could be second well above-average offering; hard breaker with tight rotation and heavy vertical bite; feel for changeup; could end up playing above average; delivery conducive for command projection" (Doug Thorburn)
2014-07-22 15:00:00 (link to chat)Have you seen Alex Reyes yet and what are your thoughts on him? (sorry if I missed a report on him). I saw him once and even though he walked 7 he looked absolutely insane out there, 95-96 with really nice CB and an unfair CH
(Tommy from Chicago)
I have seen Reyes. The mechanical profile is really rough. A lot of spine tilt, no consistency or rhythm, struggles to repeat. But man, the stuff is downright filthy. Was 93-96 T 97 in my viewing, and the CB flashed no-nonsense 6+ (even though it'll probably end up around a 6). CH is starting to come along, and he's developing feel.

I really liked the arm, but it's going to be a slow burn. Going to need to refine the mechanical profile, and probably needs to lose 10-15 pounds. Sir (who knighted him) Mix a lot would be jealous of what he's got going on back there.

He's in a great org for a project, and the Cardinals may make an impact starter out of him. (Jordan Gorosh)
2014-07-22 15:00:00 (link to chat)Who threw the best breaking ball you've seen all year?
(Fart Garfunkel from Poopsylvania)
I was sitting on the side for the futures game, but this guy Lucas Giolito has a pretty good one. Hunter Harvey's had big time depth.

Full game observance: Jake Thompson's SL is really nasty. Alex Reyes' flashed 6+. (Jordan Gorosh)
2014-07-22 15:00:00 (link to chat)From the Peoria rotation, would you rather have Rob Kaminsky or Alex Reyes?
(justarobert from Santa Clara)
It's funny you ask. These two guys were probably the most overrated pitchers I've seen this season. I was going in expecting two impact arms, but didn't see it. Reyes has command issues, and there's certainly a chance he ends up in the pen.

Kaminsky, I actually saw earlier this week. He was mostly high 80's. Could reach back for a bit more when he needed it and could certainly pitch, but the FB was flatter than I thought. The CB was good, not great. Didn't get many swings and misses. I was shocked to see his numbers, because the stuff doesn't fit the results. He's a #4 type.

I'd rather have Kaminsky because there's a better chance he's a big league starter, but they're in fairly close proximity. (Jordan Gorosh)
2014-07-03 19:00:00 (link to chat)Who is the Cardinals next great pitcher: Rob Kaminsky, Alex Reyes or someone else?
(scott from az)
I saw Alex Reyes so I'm biased that way. He's got a lot of refining to do still but at 19 he has a big fastball and a hammer with a developing change. I might be in love with him. (Mauricio Rubio)
2014-06-16 13:00:00 (link to chat)I know that Parks was aggressive in arguing Alex Reyes into the BP 101 and touted him as a potential big riser in season. Has the opinion on him changed at all with his continued control issues or just typical development of a young arm? Seems to still be missing bats consistently and generating weak contact. Thanks.
(JoJo from SD)
I don't know that any opinions have changed on Reyes so much as this is just the sort of thing that happens with young prospects all the time. Many are poised to make a jump. Some make it, others don't. It doesn't mean he won't The talent is still there. Sometimes it's tough to harness it. (Jeff Moore)
2014-05-29 19:30:00 (link to chat)Hey Ben, what would your order be of these prospects you would want in a Dynasty League? Alexander Reyes, Hunter Harvey,Francisco Mejia, Franchy Cordero, Ryan McMahon?
(kiper90 from Rochester, NY)
Hmm, let's go Harvey, McMahon, Reyes, Cordero, Mejia. Is this Craig? These are all guys who Craig loves. (Ben Carsley)
2014-05-15 20:00:00 (link to chat)Hey Bret, what would your order be of these prospects you would want in a Dynasty League? Alexander Reyes, Hunter Harvey,Francisco Mejia, Franchy Cordero, Ryan McMahon?
(kiper90 from Rochester, NY)
I'd go Harvey, McMahon, Reyes, Cordero, Mejia. (Bret Sayre)
2014-05-13 11:00:00 (link to chat)Professor Parks, what would your order be of these prospects if you had them in your farm? Alexander Reyes, Hunter Harvey,Francisco Mejia, Franchy Cordero, Ryan McMahon?
(kiper90 from Rochester, NY)
Harvey, Reyes, Mejia, McMahon, Cordero (Jason Parks)
2014-04-03 19:30:00 (link to chat)who has the highest ceiling between Alexander Reyes and Sean Manaea?
(gdabdullah from milwaukee)
I'd say they're fairly comparable as potential #2 guys. Maybe Reyes has a little more ceiling because he's further away and it's more likely something crazy happens and gives him an extra bump, but by the same token he carries more risk. If I'm picking one today, I'm going with Manaea (Craig Goldstein)
2014-03-19 20:00:00 (link to chat)in a deep dynasty any pitching prospects with high ceilings and arent close to the majors? need some names for late
(tno1986 from nyc)
Lewis Thorpe, Alexander Reyes, Jose Martinez, Alberto Tirado. (Bret Sayre)
2014-03-24 13:00:00 (link to chat)Got on the Alexander Reyes train while it's still time to get him on the cheap.I know this can be tricky but what would be a good major league or minor league comp.Past or present.
(Spirou from Montreal)
That's tough. I'd really wanna see more before that, but it's impossible not to be giddy about his potential especially with the organization he's in (Paul Sporer)
2014-03-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)Raimel Tapia and Alexander Reyes came out of nowhere with a lot of hype this year. Who has the best chances of being their equivalent next year?
(Silverback38 from VA)
In today's scouting notes, I wrote up Marlins pitching prospect Jorgan Cavanerio. It's not too often that I see a guy I've never heard of and am wowed by his performance, but that's what happened with Cavanerio. He's already quite good and if he takes another step when he gets off the complex leagues, everyone will know about him. (Jeff Moore)
2014-03-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)Saw the post of Alexander Reyes earlier; how good can he be?
(Rich from Maryland)
"Reyes has the highest ceiling of any arm on the Cardinals farm." That's a direct quote from our Cardinals top-10 from Parks about Reyes. (Jeff Moore)
2014-01-27 13:00:00 (link to chat)I was intrigued by Alexander Reyes at No. 98 on the BP top 101 list since I can't remember seeing much analysis of him on the site. What prompted his inclusion?
(benjamingh from IA)
He's a badass with a loose arm, great body, highly projectable arsenal that could include two 70 grade pitches and a 60 CH. (Jason Parks on the Top 101 Prospects)
2014-01-06 13:00:00 (link to chat)Do you approve of what Alexander Reyes did to get more money?
(Bubba from St. Louis)
Sure, why not? As long as he wasn't being put in any danger. The market has loopholes that not every player is willing to exploit. Good for those who are willing to take chances. (Jeff Moore)
2014-01-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)The STL system gets a lot of hype but a couple SP I haven't heard much about - Tim Cooney and Alexander Reyes - had good years. Thoughts on these two in a deep dynasty league? Thanks.
(Tuco from STL)
I'm a bigger fan of Reyes and actually own him in a deep NL-Only league. Both are worth rostering depending on the depth of your league/minor league system. (Craig Goldstein)
2013-12-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)Give us 1 pitching prospect and 1 hitting prospect we may not all know now, who will be household names at this time next year
(Shawnykid23 from CT)
RHP Alexander Reyes (Cardinals); Francisco Mejia (Indians) (Jason Parks)

BP Roundtables

No BP Roundtables have mentioned this guy.


PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC