Biographical

Portrait of Alec Mills

Alec Mills PCubs

Cubs Player Cards | Cubs Team Audit | Cubs Depth Chart

2018 Projections (Rest of Season Projections - seasonal age 26)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
6.3 4.85 1.45 5 0 0 0 0.0
Birth Date11-30-1991
Height6' 4"
Weight190 lbs
Age26 years, 9 months, 22 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2014
2015
-0.12016
2017
0.52018
+proj
WARP Summary

MLB Statistics

Historical (past-seasons) WARP is now based on DRA..
cFIP and DRA are not available on a by-team basis and display as zeroes(0). See TOT line for season totals of these stats.
Multiple stints are are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA- WARP
2016 KCA MLB 3 0 3.3 0 0 0 3 5 4 0 .225 102 8.1 13.5 0.0 10.8 44% .333 .326 2.40 6.10 13.50 117 7.18 158.8 -0.1
2018 CHN MLB 4 2 14.7 0 1 0 9 3 18 1 .253 102 5.5 1.8 0.6 11.0 53% .242 .189 0.82 2.16 3.07 72 2.22 49.8 0.5
CareerMLB7218.0010128221.2461026.04.00.511.051%.262.2241.112.895.00833.1269.60.4

Statistics for All Levels

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP W L SV H BB SO HR oppTAv PPF H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 GB% BABIP TAv WHIP FIP ERA cFIP DRA DRA-
2012 IDA Rk 17 7 50.7 1 4 3 58 17 50 7 .279 113 10.3 3.0 1.2 8.9 49% .331 .281 1.48 5.54 4.62 99 5.85 97.2
2013 LEX A 18 3 45.3 2 3 6 28 9 47 1 .271 83 5.6 1.8 0.2 9.3 62% .233 .197 0.82 2.41 1.59 73 1.40 31.2
2014 LEX A 7 7 38.0 2 1 0 25 10 33 0 .257 101 5.9 2.4 0.0 7.8 58% .263 .182 0.92 2.71 1.18 77 2.35 49.6
2014 IDA Rk 7 6 19.3 2 2 0 20 4 14 0 .000 9.3 1.9 0.0 6.5 0% .328 .000 1.24 3.49 4.66 99 5.86 100.0
2015 WIL A+ 21 21 113.3 7 7 0 122 14 111 3 .257 98 9.7 1.1 0.2 8.8 52% .350 .243 1.20 2.08 3.02 66 2.20 53.3
2016 KCA MLB 3 0 3.3 0 0 0 3 5 4 0 .225 102 8.1 13.5 0.0 10.8 44% .333 .326 2.40 6.10 13.50 117 7.18 158.8
2016 NWA AA 12 12 67.7 1 2 0 57 12 68 2 .267 97 7.6 1.6 0.3 9.0 44% .314 .202 1.02 2.12 2.39 67 1.59 37.9
2016 OMA AAA 12 11 58.0 4 3 0 62 19 54 8 .276 99 9.6 2.9 1.2 8.4 47% .323 .263 1.40 4.73 4.19 86 3.38 68.7
2017 MYR A+ 2 2 9.0 0 1 0 8 1 7 0 .261 103 8.0 1.0 0.0 7.0 68% .320 .209 1.00 2.50 3.00 88 3.39 76.3
2017 IOW AAA 3 3 14.0 2 0 0 12 3 7 0 .249 102 7.7 1.9 0.0 4.5 47% .255 .238 1.07 3.36 3.21 96 3.27 63.0
2017 CUB Rk 2 2 5.0 0 0 0 2 1 6 0 .245 106 3.6 1.8 0.0 10.8 44% .222 .105 0.60 2.38 0.00 94 4.48 80.9
2017 MSS Wnt 6 6 23.0 1 3 0 26 6 20 1 .000 10.2 2.3 0.4 7.8 0% .357 .000 1.39 3.90 3.91 0 0.00 0.0
2018 CHN MLB 4 2 14.7 0 1 0 9 3 18 1 .253 102 5.5 1.8 0.6 11.0 53% .242 .189 0.82 2.16 3.07 72 2.22 49.8
2018 IOW AAA 23 23 124.7 5 12 0 121 41 108 10 .266 91 8.7 3.0 0.7 7.8 41% .303 .265 1.30 4.18 4.84 101 3.75 80.6

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2016 86 0.3256 0.4767 0.8293 0.7500 0.3448 0.9048 0.7500 0.1707
2018 218 0.5229 0.4679 0.7255 0.5526 0.3750 0.7937 0.6154 0.2745
Career3040.46710.47040.75490.60840.36650.82510.65350.2451

Injury History  —  No longer being updated

Last Update: 12/31/2014 23:59 ET

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-04-05 2014-07-21 Minors 107 0 - Not Disclosed - -
2013-06-13 2013-09-06 Minors 85 0 Right Elbow Surgery Tommy John Surgery -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2018 CHN $
2017 CHN $
2016 KCA $

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
0 y 22 d1 year (2018)

Details
  • 1 year (2018). Re-signed by Chicago Cubs 3/18.
  • 1 year (2017). Acquired by Chicago Cubs in trade 2/8/17 after being DFA by Kansas City. Re-signed by Chicago Cubs 3/17.
  • 1 year/$0.5075M (2016). Contract selected by Kansas City 11/20/15. Re-signed by Kansas City 2/28/16.
  • Drafted by Kansas City 2012 (22-673) (Tennessee-Martin).

2018 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 1/27/2017 12:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA DRA VORP WARP
90o 2.6 2 0 16 6 56.1 51 17 45 8 .265 1.21 4.03 4.16 4.3 0.5
80o 2.5 2.2 0 16 6 49.9 48 17 40 8 .280 1.30 4.44 4.59 2.7 0.3
70o 2.4 2.3 0 16 6 45.5 47 16 36 8 .291 1.38 4.75 4.91 1.4 0.2
60o 2.4 2.4 0 16 6 41.8 45 15 33 7 .300 1.44 5.01 5.19 0.3 0.0
50o 2.3 2.4 0 16 6 38.5 43 15 31 7 .309 1.50 5.26 5.46 -0.8 -0.1
40o 2.2 2.5 0 16 6 35.3 41 14 28 7 .317 1.56 5.52 5.73 -1.8 -0.2
30o 2.2 2.6 0 16 6 31.9 39 13 25 6 .327 1.63 5.80 6.02 -3.0 -0.3
20o 2.1 2.7 0 16 6 28.0 36 12 22 6 .338 1.72 6.13 6.37 -4.4 -0.5
10o 2 2.9 0 16 6 22.9 31 11 18 5 .353 1.84 6.62 6.87 -6.3 -0.7
Weighted Mean2.32.4016637.84214307.3061.485.235.42-0.6-0.1

Preseason Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2018 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA DRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
2019277805619149154511252646.3171.375.075.589.33.17.51.6-0.1
2020286704916130133441072246.3141.375.065.579.23.17.41.5-0.1
202129560431411311738941946.3171.375.065.579.33.07.51.5-0.1
202230550391310210434851746.3141.355.035.549.13.07.51.5-0.0
2023314503311879130721546.3181.395.205.739.43.17.41.5-0.2
2024324403110828528681446.3161.385.105.619.33.17.51.5-0.1
202533340289747625611346.3171.375.105.629.33.17.51.6-0.1
202634340279727524591346.3161.385.115.639.43.07.41.6-0.1
202735330258677022551246.3171.375.115.639.42.97.41.6-0.1

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 85)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 92 Zach Petrick 2016 0.00 DNP
2 92 Tim Cooney 2017 0.00 DNP
3 90 Ross Stripling 2016 4.14
4 90 Chris Stratton 2017 3.84
5 90 Jeff Niemann 2009 4.18
6 90 Dylan Axelrod 2012 5.65
7 89 Eric Surkamp 2014 5.18
8 88 Austin Pruitt 2016 0.00 DNP
9 88 Scott Lewis 2010 0.00 DNP
10 88 Clay Hensley 2006 3.95
11 88 David Phelps 2013 5.19
12 88 Jordan Pries 2016 0.00 DNP
13 88 Rafael Montero 2017 5.67
14 87 Adam Wilk 2014 0.00 DNP
15 87 Rob Scahill 2013 5.13
16 87 Eric Jokisch 2016 0.00 DNP
17 86 Josh Collmenter 2012 3.89
18 86 Justin Haley 2017 6.00
19 86 Andrew Carraway 2013 0.00 DNP
20 86 Matt Andriese 2016 4.44
21 86 Phil Irwin 2013 9.64
22 86 Kyle Gibson 2014 4.57
23 86 Chris Cody 2010 0.00 DNP
24 86 Ty Blach 2017 5.00
25 86 Brian Johnson 2017 4.33
26 85 Mark Leiter 2017 5.86
27 85 Alfredo Aceves 2009 3.86
28 85 Tyler Anderson 2016 3.94
29 85 Phil Coke 2009 5.25
30 85 D.J. Mitchell 2013 0.00 DNP
31 85 Josh Geer 2009 6.31
32 85 Stephen Fife 2013 4.32
33 85 Brady Rodgers 2017 0.00 DNP
34 85 Troy Patton 2012 2.43
35 85 Asher Wojciechowski 2015 7.16
36 85 Jack Egbert 2009 27.00
37 85 Mike Montgomery 2016 2.97
38 85 Guillermo Moscoso 2010 27.00
39 84 Mike Clevinger 2017 3.40
40 84 Michael Bowden 2013 4.30
41 84 Jonathan Dziedzic 2017 0.00 DNP
42 84 Chris Heston 2014 5.06
43 84 Chris Devenski 2017 2.90
44 84 Tyler Wagner 2017 0.00 DNP
45 84 Kevin Mulvey 2011 0.00 DNP
46 84 Mike Hauschild 2016 0.00 DNP
47 84 Alex Colome 2015 4.10
48 84 Brad Meyers 2012 0.00 DNP
49 84 Anthony Ranaudo 2016 9.48
50 84 Dustin Nippert 2007 5.96
51 83 Yohan Pino 2010 0.00 DNP
52 83 Mitch Talbot 2010 4.97
53 83 David Rollins 2016 7.71
54 83 C.J. Riefenhauser 2016 0.00 DNP
55 83 Drew Rucinski 2015 7.71
56 83 Brooks Pounders 2017 10.45
57 83 Carlos Rosa 2011 0.00 DNP
58 83 Cody Anderson 2017 0.00 DNP
59 83 Kyle Weiland 2013 0.00 DNP
60 83 Erik Johnson 2016 8.33
61 83 Luis Marte 2013 0.00 DNP
62 83 Charles Brewer 2014 0.00 DNP
63 83 Michael Kirkman 2013 8.18
64 83 Jimmy Barthmaier 2010 0.00 DNP
65 83 Enny Romero 2017 4.20
66 83 Logan Verrett 2016 5.40
67 82 Daniel Stumpf 2017 4.06
68 82 Adam Warren 2014 3.09
69 82 Aaron West 2016 0.00 DNP
70 82 Ryan Cook 2013 3.07
71 82 Bryan Augenstein 2013 0.00 DNP
72 82 Taylor Jungmann 2016 8.10
73 82 Taylor Rogers 2017 3.23
74 82 Zeke Spruill 2016 0.00 DNP
75 82 Bruce Billings 2012 0.00 DNP
76 82 Esmailin Caridad 2010 15.75
77 82 Jorge Reyes 2014 0.00 DNP
78 82 Matt Bowman 2017 4.45
79 82 Mike Bolsinger 2014 6.19
80 82 Nick Blackburn 2008 4.75
81 82 Gus Schlosser 2015 0.00 DNP
82 82 Pierce Johnson 2017 18.00
83 82 Andrew Albers 2012 0.00 DNP
84 82 Josh Tomlin 2011 4.35
85 82 Nick Tropeano 2017 0.00 DNP
86 81 Bryan Mitchell 2017 6.61
87 81 Mike Wright 2016 6.39
88 81 Terance Marin 2016 0.00 DNP
89 81 Sean Nolin 2016 0.00 DNP
90 81 Tom Koehler 2012 5.40
91 81 Carlos Frias 2016 0.00
92 81 Tyler Cravy 2016 2.86
93 81 Rafael Perez 2008 3.66
94 81 Sean Gilmartin 2016 7.13
95 81 Colin Rea 2017 0.00 DNP
96 81 Andrew Heaney 2017 7.06
97 81 Red Patterson 2013 0.00 DNP
98 81 Cesar Valdez 2011 0.00 DNP
99 81 Dietrich Enns 2017 9.00
100 81 Tyler Wilson 2016 5.46

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .286 .444 .429 .322
11 vs R (Multi) .167 .500 .333 .331
18 Split (Multi) .119 -.056 .095 -.009
19 LgAvg (Multi) .006 .020 .015 .013
30 vs L (2016) .286 .444 .429 .322
31 vs R (2016) .167 .500 .333 .331
38 Split (2016) .119 -.056 .095 -.009
39 LgAvg (2016) .003 .018 .013 .012

Definition of multi-year splits

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2018 Due to publishing agreements, the 2018 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2018 book (available in hardcopy, and soon e-book and Kindle).
2017 Do you like strikeouts? Do you have disdain for the walk? If the answer to both of these questions is yes, Mills is the pitcher for you. Splitting time between Double and Triple-A, the former 22nd-round pick issued just 1.5 BB/9 while punching out 8.7 K/9 in just over 125 minor-league innings. He features a swing-and-miss fastball with arm-side run and a developing change, along with a curve that's a work in progress. He got knocked around in a couple of appearances in the show, but it's not out of the realm of possibility he could develop into a mid-to-back-of-the-rotation starter.
2016 Armed with a low-90s fastball and an excellent changeup, Alec Mills put up solid numbers at High-A Wilmington and would rather chew glass than hand out a free pass; he'll get his first crack at passing the Double-A exam this summer.

BP Articles

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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2016-07-13 15:00:00 (link to chat)Alec Mills is flying under the radar. Do you think he can be a 50+ role player as a starter for my Royals or am I being too much of a homer? Thanks for the chat man.
(Jubbs from Smacktown)
You know, I just missed him, he was still in NW Arkansas when Omaha came north. My understanding is that he's a little light of that. Good changeup, not sure he'll miss enough same-side bats. (Brendan Gawlowski)


BP Roundtables

No BP Roundtables have mentioned this guy.

 

PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

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